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2025 Kosovan parliamentary election

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2025 Kosovan parliamentary election
Kosovo
← 2021 9 February 2025
All 120 seats in the Assembly
61 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Vetëvendosje[a] Albin Kurti 54
PDK Bedri Hamza[b] 18
LDK–PSHDK Lumir Abdixhiku 17
AAK–NISMA–CL Ramush Haradinaj 8
AKR–PD Behgjet Pacolli 3
Independents – 1
Minority lists
Serb List Zlatan Elek 10
KDTP Fikrim Damka 2
Vakat Bahrim Šabani 1
IRDK Elbert Krasniqi 1
RI Gazmend Salijević 1
NDS Emilija Redžepi 1
SDU Duda Balje 1
JGP Adem Hodža 1
PAI Bekim Arifi 1
LPRK Erxhan Galushi 1

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Kosovo on 9 February 2025.[1]

Background

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In the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats.[2] They created a coalition with minority parties to form a Government.[3]

Electoral system

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The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.[4] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.[5] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.

Campaign

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Parties and Coalitions

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Government Parties

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On August governing parties of Vetëvendosje, Guxo! and Alternativa announced that they would once again run inside the same electoral list, with incumbent Prime Minister Albin Kurti presumably leading the list.[6] Although initial reports suggested that Guxo! and Alternativa preferred a formal coalition.[7]

Opposition Parties

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On 27th March 2024 the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) announced that Bedri Hamza, mayor of South Mitrovica and Former Minister of Finance, would be its candidate for Prime Minister.[8] The move to nominate Hamza has been speculated as an attempt to focus the campaign on the Economy, which has seen stagnation under the new government.[9] On November 3rd during the convention of PDK, Hamza announced their slogan would be "Kosova mundet më mirë"(Kosovo can do better). Hamza also announced his plans and projects for governing Kosovo, with the economy being the main point of his program.[10]

On December 2023 the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) published it's program from the upcoming election dubbed "Rruga e re" ("The New Road", "The New Path" or "The New Way").[11] On July 2024 LDK and PSHDK, a Christian minority party in Kosovo, announced that they would run together in the same electoral list.[12] Lumir Abdixhiku is it's candidate for Prime Minister, serving as leader of LDK since 2021.

On January 2024 opposition parties Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK), Social Democratic Initiative (NISMA) and Conservative List of Kosovo (LKK) announced they would run together in a coalition lead by leader of AAK and former Prime Minister, Ramush Haradinaj.[13] According to the Social Democratic Party of Kosovo (PSD) it too was offered to join this coalition but rejected it due to ideological differences.[14] The coalition was made official on August 2024[15] and soon after, the coalition published their program which focuses more on foreign relations and Kosovo's aspiration to join NATO and EU.[16]

The New Kosovo Alliance (AKR) and the Justice Party (PD) along with assembly members of ruling LVV[17] announced the creation of the "Family List" Coalition.[18] The coalition was formed as opposition to the government attempt to increase LGBTQ rights in Kosovo, specifically the proposed Civil Code which would've legalized same-sex civil unions.[19]

Campaign Issues

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Economy

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Dialogue with Serbia

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Following the formation of the government Prime Minister Kurti declared that dialogue with Serbia would be his 6th or 7th priority, choosing to focus more on domestic issues.[20] On 20th September 2021 Kosovo announced a ban on Serbian license plate being used by Serbian citizens in Kosovo.[21] The Government justified this action as reciprocal measures, seeing as Serbia doesn't recognize Kosovan license plate.[22] This however sparked protest in Serb-majority north Kosovo as well as condemnation from Serbia who threatened to use military action. On 30th September 2021 EU had announced they had brokered a temporary deal between Serbia and Kosovo, halting the issue for 6 months.[23]

On July 2022 Kosovan government announced that Serbian citizens who enter Kosovo will receive entry and exit documents sparking barricades by local Serbs in Kosovo. This would also lead to Serbian politicians and policemen to leave Kosovan Institutions.[24][25]

International Standing
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Corruption and Organized Crime

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Education and Healthcare

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LGBTQ rights

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The issue of regulating marriage and civil partnerships for same-sex couples has sparked a clash of viewpoints in the Kosovo Assembly. In March 2022, the Civil Code Draft did not pass its first reading due to strong opposition, particularly regarding the potential legalization of civil partnerships between same-sex individuals. The proposed law would allow for the creation of a separate legal framework to register "civil partnerships" for same-sex couples, but it faced significant opposition from lawmakers and religious leaders, who view it as a redefinition of marriage and family. LGBT community supporters have called for equal recognition of marriage rights, emphasizing that Kosovo's Constitution guarantees the right to marry for all citizens.[26] In April 2024, Kosovo's Prime Minister Albin Kurti announced plans to pass a new Civil Code in May, which included provisions for civil partnerships between same-sex couples. This would have made Kosovo the second country in the Western Balkans, after Montenegro, to legally recognize such unions. However, the vote did not take place in May, and the process has been delayed indefinitely. The proposal faced opposition from some members of Kurti's party and religious leaders in Kosovo, who argued it would redefine marriage and family. The draft defines marriage as a legally recognized union between a man and a woman but allows for civil partnerships between same-sex couples. Despite the delay, Kurti remains confident that the legislation will eventually pass.[27]

Results by municipalities

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Results by Municipality
Municipality Kurti Hamza Abdixhiku Haradinaj Pacolli Elek Others
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Deçan
Dragash
Gjakova
Gjilan
Drenas
Ferizaj
Fushë Kosovë
Graçanicë
Hani i Elezit
Istog
Junik
Kaçanik
Kamenicë
Klinë
Kllokot
Leposaviq
Lipjan
Malisheva
Mamusha
Mitrovicë
North Mitrovica
Novobërda
Obiliq
Partesh
Peja
Podujevë
Prishtina
Prizren
Rahovec
Ranillug
Skenderaj
Suhareka
Shtërpca
Shtime
Vitia
Vushtrri
Zubin Potok
Zveçan
Diaspora
Total
Source:

Opinion polls

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National polls

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Pollster Date LVV LDK PDK AAK-NISMA-CL (Coalition) Family List Coalition SL Other Abstention Lead
LVV A Guxo AAK NISMA CLK AKR PD
UBO 3–15 June 2024 49.6 – 0.7 15.5 17.0 8.6 – – 3.0 7.4 2.6 32.6
Albanian Post 1-10 June 2024 41.1 – – 19.2 19.6 5.8 – – – 5.1 9.2 21.5
ISRN 6 May 2024 38 – 1.5 18.2 17.2 12.4 1.7 – – 3.7 2.2 19.8
UBO 5 April 2024 49.5 – 0.6 16 17.1 6.9 – – 5.6 4.3 – 32.4
PIPOS 22 February 2024 40.9 0.1 0.4 21.5 20.4 9.0 – – – 0.4 4.6 19.4
UBO 16–23 December 2023 48.5 0.1 0.8 17.9 18.2 6.8 1.5 – – – 3.2 3.0 – 30.3
UBO 23 December 2022 42.6 0.2 1.3 19.8 19 7.3 2 – 0.2 – 4.3 3.4 – 22.8
PIPOS December 2022 35.5 – 1 22.2 21.5 6 2.4 – 0.4 – – 0.2 – 13.3
UBO September 2022 37.3 0.3 1.5 22.3 21.7 7.7 1.2 – 0.3 – 5.1 2.1 – 15
PIPOS August 2022 33.2 0.2 0.9 21.6 18.3 10.1 1.5 – 0.2 – – – – 11.6
PIPOS 7 July 2022 38.1 – 1.2 25.1 21.3 11.9 2.1 – – – – – – 13
UBO 18 June 2022 39.6 – 1.3 20.3 21.9 6.7 1.9 – – – 4.2 3.5 – 17.7
UBO May 2022 38.3 – – 17.7 19.7 6.5 – – – – – – – 18.6
UBO 7–15 March 2022 41.9 – 1.1 19.4 21.6 7.2 1 – 0.4 – 4.2 2.8 – 20.3
PIPOS 12 February 2022 34.7 – – 24.1 21.3 7.7 0.4 – – – – 0.5 – 10.6
2021 election 14 February 2021 50.3 12.73 17.01 7.2 2.52 – 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘓𝘋𝘒 – 5.09 – – 33.29

Seat projections

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The projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.

Date LVV LDK PDK AAK SL Other Lead
June 2024 55 17 19 9[c] 10 10 36
49 22 23 6[c] 10 10 26
May 2024 45 21 20 14[c] 10 10 24
April 2024 56 18 19 7[c] 10 10 37
February 2024 45 23 22 10[c] 10 10 22
December 2023 53 20 20 7 10 10 33
January 2023 48 22 22 8 10 10 26
December 2022 42 26 25 7 10 10 16
September 2022 42 25 24 9 10 10 17
August 2022 40 26 22 12 10 10 14
July 2022 40 26 22 12 10 10 14
June 2022 44 23 25 8 10 10 19
May 2022 47 21 24 8 10 10 23
March 2022 46 22 24 8 10 10 22
February 2022 40 27 24 9 10 10 13

Leadership approval

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Dates
conducted 		Pollster Sample
size 		Vjosa Osmani Albin Kurti Lumir Abdixhiku Memli Krasniqi Ramush Haradinaj
Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net
6-27 May 2024 UBO 1,200 64% 30% +34% 59% 35% +24% 35% 54% -19% 28% 63% -35% 21% 66% -45%
Pollster Date Kurti Abdixhiku Krasniqi Hamza Haradinaj Limaj Osmani Pacolli Kusari-Lila Lead
Albanian Post June 2024 56.4 40.5 28.9 43.7 25.4 – 67.8 – – – [d]
45.6 18.6 – 20.5 6.2 – – – – 25.1
PIPOS February 2024 3.07 2.13 2.05 – 1.89 1.65 3.06 – – 0.01
PIPOS December 2022 26.7 20 17 – 7.2 2.9 11.8 0.4 0.4 6.7
PIPOS August 2022 2.98 2.92 2.60 – 2.38 2.13 3.37 2.33 2.31 0.39
PIPOS February 2022 28.9 18.6 13.3 – 6.2 1.5 7.3 0.5 – 10.3

Albin Kurti

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The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Albin Kurti, prime minister of Kosovo since March 2021.

Pollster Date Approve Disapprove Lead
UNDP 25 July 2024 58.3 41.7 16.6
UNDP 28 February 2024 48.9 51.1 -2.6
UNDP 25 April 2023 51.5 48.5 3.0

Glauk Konjufca

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The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Glauk Konjufca, chairman of Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo since March 2021.

Pollster Date Approve Disapprove Lead
UNDP 25 July 2024 64.4 35.6 28.8
UNDP 28 February 2024 52.2 47.8 4.7
UNDP 25 April 2023 58.3 41.7 16.6

Notes

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  1. ^ Guxo (6 Mps) and Alternativa (1) (Candidates run inside LVV list)
  2. ^ Although Memli Krasniqi is leader of the PDK, Bedri Hamza will be its candidate for Prime Minister
  3. ^ a b c d e AAK-NISMA-CL coalition
  4. ^ Poll asked for the positive opinion and isn't a comparison of leaders

References

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  1. ^ "Presidentja Osmani nxjerr dekretin: Zgjedhjet e rregullta parlamentare mbahen më 9 shkurt 2025". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-16. Retrieved 2024-08-16.
  2. ^ ndi.org
  3. ^ prishtinainsight.com
  4. ^ Kosovo IFES
  5. ^ Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2
  6. ^ "Nuk bënë koalicion, por Guxo dhe Alternativa do të garojnë bashkë me LVV-në". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-30. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  7. ^ "Guxo dhe Alternativa kërkojnë koalicion parazgjedhor, LVV ende pa përgjigje". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-27. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  8. ^ "Bedri Hamza, kandidat i PDK-së për postin e kryeministrit". Radio Evropa e Lirë (in Albanian). 2024-03-27. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  9. ^ "Kandidatura e Bedri Hamzës për kryeministër, analisti Arifi: PDK e zgjodhi me qëllim të fokusimit në temat ekonomike". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-03-31. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  10. ^ "Konventa e PDK-së – Krejt çka premtoi Bedri Hamza | Albanian Post". albanianpost.com. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  11. ^ "Abdixhiku shpalos sot 100 projektet e "Rrugës së Re"". Nacionale. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  12. ^ "LDK dhe PSHDK arrijnë marrëveshje, do të garojnë me një listë zgjedhore". KosovaPress.com. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  13. ^ "Nënshkruhet marrëveshja e koalicionit AAK-Nisma dhe Lista Konservatore, Haradinaj: Bashkë të dalim nga gjendja e rënduar e cila po ndikon te të gjithë". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-02-16. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  14. ^ Dakaj, Shkodrane (2024-01-18). "PSD: Refuzuam ftesën e AAK-së për t'iu bashkuar koalicionit". Raporto Korrupsionin! KALLXO.com. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  15. ^ "Bëhen të ditura gjashtë koalicione parazgjedhore". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-30. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  16. ^ Jashari, Gojart (2024-11-05). "Programi i koalicionit AAK-Nisma: Anëtarësim direkt në NATO, paga mesatare jo nën 1000 euro". Paparaci. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  17. ^ G.U (2024-08-30). "Konfirmohet koalicioni mes PD-së dhe AKR-së". Klan Kosova (in Albanian). Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  18. ^ G.U (2024-08-30). "Konfirmohet koalicioni mes PD-së dhe AKR-së". Klan Kosova (in Albanian). Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  19. ^ "Kosovë: Dështon miratimi në parim i Projektkodit Civil". Voice of America (in Albanian). 2022-03-16. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
  20. ^ "Kurti: Dialogu me Serbinë del e 7-ta për nga përparësitë, por jam gati për kompromise". fax.al. Retrieved 2024-11-25.
  21. ^ Henley, Jon (2022-11-22). "Fears Kosovo-Serbia number plate row could spark violence". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2024-11-25.
  22. ^ "Tensions at Kosovo-Serbia border over license plate rules – DW – 09/21/2021". dw.com. Retrieved 2024-11-25.
  23. ^ "NATO troops patrol Kosovo-Serbia border after truck blockade". AP News. 2021-10-02. Retrieved 2024-11-25.
  24. ^ "Kosovo Puts Off Action on Restive Serbs as Tensions Escalate". Bloomberg.com. 2022-07-31. Retrieved 2024-11-25.
  25. ^ Lirë, Radio Evropa E. (2022-11-05). "Serbët vendosin të largohen nga institucionet e Kosovës". Radio Evropa e Lirë (in Albanian). Retrieved 2024-11-25.
  26. ^ "Komuniteti LGBTI me sy kah Kuvendi". Radio Evropa e Lire (in Albanian). 2024-03-16. Retrieved 2022-03-16.
  27. ^ ""Martesat mes gjinisë së njëjtë" | Albin Kurti zotohet: Shumë shpejt do t'i siguroj personalisht votat për Kodin Civil". Demokracia (in Albanian). 2024-04-26. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
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