2024 Sindh provincial election: Difference between revisions
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| previous_year = 2018 |
| previous_year = 2018 |
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| election_date = 8 February 2024 |
| election_date = 8 February 2024 |
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| next_election = 2025 |
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| next_year = '' |
| next_year = ''2025'' |
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| seats_for_election = 130 out of 168 seats in the [[Provincial Assembly of Sindh|Sindh Assembly]]{{efn|name=seats|29 seats are reserved for women and 9 are reserved for non-Muslims filled through Proportional representation}} |
| seats_for_election = 130 out of 168 seats in the [[Provincial Assembly of Sindh|Sindh Assembly]]{{efn|name=seats|29 seats are reserved for women and 9 are reserved for non-Muslims filled through Proportional representation}} |
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| majority_seats = 85 |
| majority_seats = 85 |
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Revision as of 14:46, 26 October 2024
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130 out of 168 seats in the Sindh Assembly[a] 85 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Registered | 26,994,769 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 41.97% ( 6.14%) [1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Map of Sindh with Provincial Assembly constituencies | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Provincial elections were held in Sindh on 8 February 2024 to elect a new provincial legislature.[2] On 5 August 2023, after the approval of the results of the 2023 digital census by the Council of Common Interests headed by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, elections have been delayed for several months, as new delimitations will be published on 14 December 2023.[3][4] On 2 November 2023, the Election Commission of Pakistan announced, in agreement with the President of Pakistan, Arif Alvi, that the elections should be held on 8 February 2024.[5] This election was held concurrently with nationwide general elections and other provincial elections.
Background
In the 2018 election, the Pakistan People's Party (PPP) won 99 seats, gaining a majority in the Provincial Assembly. It became the third consecutive time that the PPP was able to form government in Sindh Since 2008.[6]
The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) became the largest party in Karachi by winning 21 out of 44 seats from the city. It was the first time since 1988 that any party other than the MQM-P got the mandate to represent the city on the provincial and national levels.[7] Overall, the PTI won 30 seats and became the second largest party, and the largest party in the opposition.
The Muttahida Qaumi Movement - Pakistan (MQM-P), which was the largest and most popular party in Karachi, Hyderabad and other urban areas of Sindh, faced a tough challenge from the rising popularity of the PTI and received its worst ever result. It won only 21 seats and became the third largest party in the province. The MQM-P also opted to join the opposition.
In April 2022, after circumstances arising during a political crisis in Pakistan after the successful no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Imran Khan, the MQM-P left the opposition and joined the PPP-led provincial government.
In September 2022, Former Prime Minister and Leader of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf Imran Khan announced to liberate Sindh from Zardari Mafia.[8] He stated that Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf will team up with the youth to liberate the poor and oppressed people of Interior Sindh from Feudal lords of Pakistan People's Party.[9] This was the very first time some party leader threatened dominance of People's Party in Sindh and upcoming election will be a battle for survival of PPP[10] in interior Sindh as Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf has support of the people of Karachi and Hyderabad and will be able to gain seats in Interior Sindh if they campaign well.[11]
Merger of MQM factions
Since the appointment of Kamran Tessori as the Governor of Sindh, efforts began to merge breakaway factions of the MQM-P like the Pak Sarzameen Party (PSP) and the Farooq Sattar group back into the MQM-P to unite their vote bank to overcome the growing popularity of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI).[12][13] The Mohajir Qaumi Movement Pakistan - Haqiqi (MQM-H) was also approached, but refused to merge the with the MQM-P.[14]
On the evening of 12 January 2023 Syed Mustafa Kamal, the leader of the PSP, and Farooq Sattar announced their merger with the MQM-P in a press conference.[15]
Ban on PTI from contesting as a party
On 22 December 2023, the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) decided against letting the PTI retain its electoral symbol, arguing that the party had failed to hold intra-party elections. On 22 December, the PTI approached the Peshawar High Court (PHC) against the ECP's order and hence, a single-member bench suspended the ECP's order until 9 January 2024. On 30 December 2023, the ECP filed a review application within the PHC, and days later, a two-member bench withdrew the suspension order as it heard the case. However, on 10 January 2024, the two-member bench had declared the ECP's order to be "illegal, without any lawful authority, and of no legal effect. On 11 January, the ECP challenged this ruling in the Supreme Court, and on 13 January, a three-member bench ruled in favor of the ECP and stripped the PTI of its electoral symbol. As a consequence of this ruling, the PTI could not allot party tickets to any of its candidates. Therefore, all candidates of the party will be listed as independent candidates and each will have a different electoral symbol.[16]
Schedule
The schedule of the election was announced by the Election Commission of Pakistan on 15 December 2023.[17]
| Sr no | Poll Event | Schedule |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Notice Issued by the Returning Officers | 19 December 2023 |
| 2 | Dates of filing Nomination papers with the Returning Officers by the candidates | 20 December 2023 to 24 December 2023 |
| 3 | Publication of names of the nominated candidates. | 24 December 2023 |
| 4 | Last date of scrutiny of nomination papers by the Returning Officer | 25 December 2023 to 30 December 2023 |
| 5 | Last date of filing appeals against decisions of the Returning Officer rejecting/accepting nomination papers. | 3 January 2024 |
| 6 | Last date for deciding of appeals by the Appellate Tribunal | 10 January 2024 |
| 7 | Publication of revised list of candidates | 11 January 2024 |
| 8 | Last date of withdrawal of candidate and publication of revised list of candidates | 12 January 2024 |
| 9 | Allotment of election symbol to contesting candidates | 13 January 2024 |
| 10 | Date of Polling and Counting of Votes | 8 February 2024 |
Electoral system
The 168 seats of the Sindh Assembly consist of 130 general seats, whose members are elected by the first-past-the-post voting system through single-member constituencies. 29 seats are reserved for women and 9 seats are reserved for non-Muslims. The members on these seats are elected through proportional representation based on the total number of general seats secured by each political party.
Opinion polls
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | PPP | PTI | MQM(P) | Other | MMA | Ind. | Lead | Sample size |
Undecideds & Non-voters[b] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PA | 11 August 2023 | The Provincial Assembly is dissolved by Governor Kamran Tessori on the advice of Chief Minister Murad Ali Shah.[18] | |||||||||
| Gallup Pakistan | 30 June 2023 | 35% | 36% | 2% | — | 1% | N/A | 17% | |||
| NA | 11–12 April 2022 | Imran Khan is removed from office in a no-confidence motion | |||||||||
| IPOR (IRI) | 21 March 2022 | 44% | 17% | 5% | 34% | 27% | ~810 | N/A[c] | |||
| Gallup Pakistan | 31 January 2022 | 34% | 30% | 3% | 28% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ~1,300 | 39% | |
| IPOR (IRI) | 9 January 2022 | 44% | 13% | 7% | 36% | 31% | 867 | N/A[c] | |||
| IPOR (IRI) | 11 November 2020 | 22% | 13% | 1% | 61% | 9% | 467 | N/A[c] | |||
| 2018 Elections | 25 July 2018 | ECP | 38.4% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 25.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 23.6% | 10,025,437 | N/A |
| Directly elected seats | 76 | 23 | 16 | GDA 11 TLP 2 | 1 | 1 post. | 53 | Women: 29 / non-Muslims: 9 Total =168 seats | |||
| ECP 2024 Gen.Elections delimitations for Sindh PA seats: 130 directly elected + 29 women + 9 non-Muslims = 168 | |||||||||||
Results
Result by party
| Party | Popular vote | Seats | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General | Reserved | Total | +/− | |||||||||
| Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | Independents joined | Total | Women | Non-Muslims | ||||
| Pakistan Peoples Party | 5,228,678 | 46.11 |  7.77
|
130 | 85 | 4 | 89 | 20 | 6 | 115 | 16
| |
| Muttahida Qaumi Movement Pakistan | 905,896 | 7.99 | 0.34
|
88 | 28 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 15
| |
| Independents (backed by PTI) | 1,105,243 | 9.75 | 4.72
|
113 | 10 | −1[19] | 9 | 12 | 18
| |||
| Grand Democratic Alliance | 1,399,137 | 12.34 | 2.77
|
75 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11
| |
| Jamaat-e-Islami Pakistan | 708,413 | 6.25 | N/A | 102 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1
| |
| Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan | 329,715 | 2.91 | 1.60
|
119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3
| |
| Pakistan Muslim League (N) | 188,473 | 1.66 | 0.34
|
51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| |
| Istehkam-e-Pakistan Party | 4951 | 0.04 | N/A | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| |
| Wafa Parast Group[d] | 103,592 | 0.91 | N/A | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| |||
| Independents | 921,159 | 8.12 | 2.09
|
3[24] | −3 | 0 | 0 |
| ||||
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| Total | 11,338,919 | 100% | 130 | 29 | 9 | 168 | ||||||
| Valid votes | 11,338,919 | |||||||||||
| Invalid votes | ||||||||||||
| Votes cast/ turnout | ||||||||||||
| Abstentions | ||||||||||||
| Registered voters | 26,994,769 | |||||||||||
| Source: Election Commission of Pakistan[25] | ||||||||||||
Results by region
| Region | Seats | PPP | MQM | IND[e] | JI | GDA | IND | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Sindh | 44 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Lower Sindh | 39 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Karachi | 47 | 11 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 130 | 85 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Results by division
| Division | Total seats | PPP | MQM | IND[e] | JI | GDA | IND | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larkana | 17 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sukkur | 14 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Nawabshah | 13 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mirpur Khas | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hyderabad | 28 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Karachi | 47 | 11 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 130 | 85 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Results by district
| Division | District | Seats | PPP | MQM | IND[e] | JI | GDA | IND | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larkana | Jacobabad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kashmore | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shikarpur | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Larkana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Qambar Shahdadkot | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sukkur | Ghotki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sukkur | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Khairpur | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nawabshah | Naushahro Feroz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nawabshah | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sanghar | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mirpur Khas | Mirpur Khas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Umerkot | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tharparkar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hyderabad | Matiari | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tando Allahyar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hyderabad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tando Muhammad Khan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jamshoro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dadu | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Badin | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sujawal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Thatta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Karachi | Malir | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Korangi | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| East | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| South | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Keamari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| West | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Central | 9 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 130 | 85 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
Results by constituency
See also
- 2024 Pakistani general election
- 2024 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provincial election
- 2024 Balochistan provincial election
- 2024 Punjab provincial election
Notes
- ^ 29 seats are reserved for women and 9 are reserved for non-Muslims filled through Proportional representation
- ^ This is a column that lists the percentage of undecided voters and non-voters in certain polls that publish this data. As some polls do not publish any data whatsoever on undecided voters and non-voters, the columns with survey participants that had a preference when polled are all that is needed to reach 100%. In surveys that do include data on non-voters and undecided voters, a scaling factor is applied to the margin of error and the rest of the data (for example, if the number of undecideds and non-voters equals 20%, each party would have their vote share scaled up by a factor of 100/80 (the formula is 100/(100-UndecidedPercentage)). This is done to keep consistency between the different polls and the different types data they provide.
- ^ a b c This poll or crosstabulation did not include any data about undecided voters or non-voters and cut them out completely from the published results.
- ^ Panel name of Independent candidates supported by MQM's London faction controlled by its founder Altaf Hussain[20][21][22][23]
- ^ a b c Backed by the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf
References
- ^ "Sindh Assembly Election Results 2024 - Exclusive Coverage by Dunya News".
- ^ "The Constitution of Pakistan, Part VIII: Elections". Archived from the original on 2018-12-26. Retrieved 2022-09-25.
- ^ "Pakistan's general election may be delayed by new census". Al Jazeera English. Retrieved 2023-08-06.
- ^ Sadozai, Irfan (2023-08-17). "Election delay all but certain as ECP decides to go for fresh delimitation". Dawn. Retrieved 2023-08-17.
- ^ Sadozai, Irfan; Guramani, Nadir; Bhatti, Haseeb; Momand, Abdullah (2023-11-02). "President, ECP agree on holding elections on Feb 8". Dawn. Retrieved 2023-11-02.
- ^ "PPP sweeps Sindh". The Express Tribune. 2018-07-26. Archived from the original on 2022-09-25. Retrieved 2022-09-25.
- ^ "PTI breaks decades-old MQM hegemony in Karachi". Daily Times. 2018-07-27. Archived from the original on 2018-07-28. Retrieved 2022-09-25.
- ^ "Imran urges Sindh's youth to be part of his team to defeat Zardari". Pakistan Observer. 2022-09-06. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ Malik, Adam (2014-11-20). "'Liberating Sindh': Imran Khan and the Hero syndrome". Dawn. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ Khan, Ayaz Muhammad (2021-08-07). "Can PTI dethrone PPP from Sindh government?". Global Village Space. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ News Desk (2018-04-06). "Will PTI be able to gain seats in Interior Sindh?". Global Village Space. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ "Karachi-based MQM factions in talks for merger". Gulf News. 9 January 2023. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
- ^ "All MQM factions agree to unite, says Tessori". The News International. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
- ^ "Afaq not against merger of MQM factions, says governor". Dawn. 2023-01-07. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
- ^ "PSP, Farooq Sattar formally announce merger with MQM-P". ARY NEWS. 2023-01-12. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
- ^ Bhatti, Haseeb (2024-01-13). "PTI bat-tered, loses iconic electoral symbol as SC restores ECP order". Dawn. Retrieved 2024-01-13.
- ^ Sadozai, Irfan (2023-12-15). "ECP issues election schedule for Feb 8 general polls". Dawn. Retrieved 2023-12-15.
- ^ "Sindh Assembly bows out as Governor Tissori signs dissolution summary". Geo.tv. 2023-08-11. Retrieved 2023-08-11.
- ^ Ayub, Imran (2024-02-15). "PTI-backed independent MPA-elect Ejaz Swati joins PPP". Dawn. Retrieved 2024-07-13.
- ^ Azfar-ul-Ashfaque (2024-02-06). "MQM-P in tight spot after London faction backs independent candidates". Dawn. Retrieved 2024-02-06.
- ^ "Close contest expected between PTI, JI and MQM-P in District West". The News International. Retrieved 2024-02-06.
- ^ "Candidates backed by Altaf Hussain's MQM arrested ahead of national polls in Pakistan's southeast". Arab News. 2024-02-06. Retrieved 2024-02-06.
- ^ "WAFAPARAST CANDIDATES ELECTION - 2024". mqm.org. Retrieved 2024-02-06.
- ^ "Party Positions". Geo News. Retrieved 11 February 2024.
- ^ "General Elections 2024 - Sindh Assembly". elections.gov.pk. Retrieved 2024-02-09.
- ^ a b c "Sindh Assembly Election Results 2024 - Exclusive Coverage by Dunya News".
