loading
Papers Papers/2022 Papers Papers/2022

Research.Publish.Connect.

Paper

Paper Unlock

Authors: Bożena Mielczarek and Jacek Zabawa

Affiliation: Faculty of Computer Science and Management, Wrocław University of Science and Technology, Wyb. Wyspiańskiego 27, 50-370 Wrocław and Poland

Keyword(s): Hybrid Simulation, Healthcare Demand, Population Ageing.

Related Ontology Subjects/Areas/Topics: Discrete-Event Simulation ; Formal Methods ; Simulation and Modeling

Abstract: This paper explores the consequences of demographic changes on future access to hospital beds. It is based on the situation in a Polish administrative region called the Wrocław Region (WR). The aim of the paper is to quantify the impact of population ageing on hospital demand with particular emphasis on neurological patients. A computer simulation model was used to project the population evolution during the period 2016-2030 and forecast the number of neurological patients to be admitted to the WR hospitals. We found that the growth of the WR population will have a large impact on the number of elderly patients, including persons with diagnosed neurological disorders. The simulation experiments predict a continuous rise in the demand, and the ageing alone will increase the number of neurological patients in WR, on average, by 8.5 % between 2016 and 2030.

CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

Sign In Guest: Register as new SciTePress user now for free.

Sign In SciTePress user: please login.

PDF ImageMy Papers

You are not signed in, therefore limits apply to your IP address 18.118.138.145

In the current month:
Recent papers: 100 available of 100 total
2+ years older papers: 200 available of 200 total

Paper citation in several formats:
Mielczarek, B. and Zabawa, J. (2018). Impact of Population Ageing on Hospital Demand. In Proceedings of 8th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH; ISBN 978-989-758-323-0; ISSN 2184-2841, SciTePress, pages 459-466. DOI: 10.5220/0006904404590466

@conference{simultech18,
author={Bożena Mielczarek. and Jacek Zabawa.},
title={Impact of Population Ageing on Hospital Demand},
booktitle={Proceedings of 8th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH},
year={2018},
pages={459-466},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0006904404590466},
isbn={978-989-758-323-0},
issn={2184-2841},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of 8th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH
TI - Impact of Population Ageing on Hospital Demand
SN - 978-989-758-323-0
IS - 2184-2841
AU - Mielczarek, B.
AU - Zabawa, J.
PY - 2018
SP - 459
EP - 466
DO - 10.5220/0006904404590466
PB - SciTePress

- Science and Technology Publications, Lda.
RESOURCES

Proceedings

Papers

Authors

Ontology

CONTACTS

Science and Technology Publications, Lda
Avenida de S. Francisco Xavier, Lote 7 Cv. C,
2900-616 Setúbal, Portugal.

Phone: +351 265 520 185 (National fixed network call)
Fax: +351 265 520 186
Email: [email protected]

EXTERNAL LINKS

PRIMORIS

INSTICC

SCITEVENTS

CROSSREF

PROCEEDINGS SUBMITTED FOR INDEXATION BY:

dblp

Ei Compendex

SCOPUS

Semantic Scholar

Google Scholar

Microsoft Academic