Missouri bellwether: Difference between revisions

Missouri is no longer thought of as a perennial swing state. Since 1964, the only three Democrats it has backed have been Southerners: [[Lyndon B. Johnson]], [[Jimmy Carter]], and [[Bill Clinton]].<ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-06-24/missouri-no-longer-political-bellwether/55795366/1 | title=Missouri slips from political bellwether status this fall | work=USA Today | date=June 24, 2012 | access-date=June 24, 2012 | author=Shesgreen, Deirdre}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/10/missouri_politics_why_the_swing_state_is_now_a_red_state_.html |title=Swung State |first=David |last=Weigel |date=October 3, 2012 |work=Slate |access-date=July 19, 2015}}</ref> In [[2008 United States presidential election|2008]], Missouri narrowly voted for the losing candidate, Republican [[John McCain]], despite a sizable [[United States electoral college|electoral college]] win for Democrat [[Barack Obama]]. In [[2012 United States presidential election|2012]], Missouri favored losing candidate [[Mitt Romney]] by nearly 10 percentage points, despite another significant victory for Obama in the rest of the country. In [[2016 United States presidential election|2016]] and [[2020 United States presidential election|2020]], Missouri voted by 18.5% and 15.4%, respectively for Republican [[Donald Trump]]. Trump won in 2016 and lost in 2020. Missouri has not supported any Democratic candidate since Bill Clinton in [[1996 United States presidential election in Missouri|1996]], despite there being three subsequent elections won by Democrats.

 

 

One of the more important national phenomena that has not had the same impact in Missouri as in the rest of the country is the influx of immigrants, particularly Latinos. Analysts and journalists in recent times have pointed to states like [[Ohio]],<ref>[http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,164437,00.html Fox News ''Ohio Special Election Could Be '06 Bellwether'']</ref> [[New Mexico]],<ref>[http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/showdown/NM/ CNN ''Showdown States: New Mexico'']</ref> and [[Pennsylvania]],<ref>[http://www.fandm.edu/x10888.xml Franklin & Marshall ''The Pennsylvania Paradox''] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060903161405/http://www1.fandm.edu/x10888.xml |date=2006-09-03 }}</ref> as more accurate political and cultural bellwethers.