The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, set to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.[1] Voters in each state and the District of Columbia will choose a slate of electors to the U.S. Electoral College, who will then elect a president and vice president for a term of four years.
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 2024 electoral map, based on the results of the 2020 census | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
Incumbent president Joe Biden, a member of the Democratic Party, initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee, facing little opposition.[2][3] However, Biden's performance in the June 2024 presidential debate intensified concerns about his age and health, and led to widespread calls within his party for him to leave the race.[4] He withdrew on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who became the party's nominee on August 5.[5] Harris chose Minnesota governor Tim Walz as her running mate.[6] Biden's withdrawal makes him the first eligible incumbent president since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968 not to run for re-election, and the first to withdraw after securing enough delegates to win the nomination.[7] Harris is the first nominee who did not participate in the primaries since Hubert Humphrey, also in 1968.[8]
Biden's predecessor, Donald Trump, a member of the Republican Party, is running for re-election for a second, non-consecutive term, after losing to Biden in 2020.[9] Trump faced also limited opposition in the Republican primaries. Trump was nominated during the 2024 Republican National Convention along with his running mate, Ohio senator JD Vance. Trump's campaign has been criticized by legal experts, historians, and political scientists for invoking violent rhetoric and authoritarian statements.[10][11][12] During the 2024 campaign, Trump has repeatedly made false claims that the 2020 election was rigged and stolen from him.[13] In 2023 and 2024, Trump was found liable and guilty in civil and criminal proceedings, respectively, for sexual abuse, defamation, financial fraud, and falsifying business records, becoming the first former president to be convicted of a crime.[14]
The presidential election will take place at the same time as elections for the U.S. Senate, House, gubernatorial, and state legislatures. Key swing states include Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.[15][16] Leading campaign issues are abortion,[17][18][19] border security and immigration,[20][21] climate change,[22][23] democracy,[24][25] the economy,[26] education,[27] foreign policy,[28] healthcare,[29] and LGBT rights.[30] The winners are scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025, as the 47th president and 50th vice president of the United States.
Background
Procedure
Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years old, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. The Twenty-second Amendment forbids any person from being elected president more than twice. Major party candidates seek the nomination through a series of primary elections that select the delegates who choose the candidate at the party's national convention. Each party's national convention chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's ticket. The nominee for president usually picks the running mate, who is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention. If no candidate wins a majority of their party's delegates' votes, or (in this election) a party's presumptive nominee drops out of the race between the primaries and the convention, a brokered convention may be held: the delegates are then "released" and are free to switch their allegiance to a different candidate.[31]
The general election in November is an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.[32]
Election offices are dealing with increased workloads and public scrutiny. Officials in many key states have sought for more funds to hire more personnel, improve security, and extend training. Numerous election offices are dealing with an increase in retirements and public record demands, owing in part to the electoral mistrust planted by former President Donald Trump's loss in the 2020 election.[33] [34]
Trump is the first president in American history to be impeached twice, and the first to run again after impeachment. Trump was first impeached by the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives in December 2019 for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress due to his attempts to coerce Ukraine to provide damaging information on Joe Biden and misinformation regarding Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections by withholding military aid.[35] Trump's second impeachment by the House occurred on January 13, 2021, for "incitement of insurrection" owing to his role in the January 6 United States Capitol attack. As Trump was acquitted by the Senate in both cases, Trump is not barred from seeking reelection to the presidency in 2024.[36]
The Colorado Supreme Court,[37] a state Circuit Court in Illinois,[38] and the Secretary of State of Maine[39] ruled that Trump is ineligible to hold office under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution for his role in the January 6 Capitol attack, and as such, attempted to disqualify him from appearing on the ballot.[40][39] These attempts were unsuccessful, as on March 4, 2024, the United States Supreme Court unanimously ruled that states cannot determine eligibility for a national election under Section 3.[41]
Election interference
False claims of interference made by Donald Trump
Trump has made false claims of voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election, and has continued denying the election results as of August 2024[update].[43][44] Election security experts have warned that officials who deny the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election, may attempt to impede the voting process, or refuse to certify the 2024 results.[45] The New York Times has reported that "the Republican Party and its conservative allies are engaged in an unprecedented legal campaign targeting the American voting system", by restricting voting for partisan advantage ahead of Election Day and preparing to mount "legally dubious" challenges against the certification process if Trump loses.[46] In the lead up to the 2024 election, the Republican Party has made false claims of massive "noncitizen voting" by immigrants, in an attempt to delegitimize the election in the event of a Trump defeat.[47][48][49]
The claims have been made as part of a larger election denial movement in the United States.[50] Trump has continued spreading his "Big Lie" of a stolen election and has predicted without evidence that the 2024 election would be rigged against him. Trump has baselessly claimed some version of "election interference" against him roughly once per day since announcing his 2024 candidacy. Trump has falsely accused Biden of "weaponizing" the Justice Department to target him in relation to his criminal trials.[42] Trump and several Republicans have stated they will not accept the results of the 2024 election if they believe they are "unfair."[51]
Trump's previous comments suggesting he can "terminate" the Constitution to reverse his election loss,[52][53] his claim that he would only be a dictator on "day one" of his presidency and not after,[a] his promise to use the Justice Department to go after his political enemies,[60] his plan to use the Insurrection Act of 1807 to deploy the military in Democratic cities and states,[61][62] attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election, continued Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election, Trump's baseless predictions of voter fraud in the 2024 election,[63] and Trump's public embrace and celebration of the January 6 United States Capitol attack,[64] have raised concerns over the state of democracy in America.[65][66][67][68] Trump's political operation said that it plans to deploy more than 100,000 attorneys and volunteers to polling places across battleground states, with an "election integrity hotline" for poll watchers and voters to report alleged voting irregularities.[69]
Interference by foreign nations
Current and former U.S. officials have stated that foreign interference in the 2024 election is likely. Three major factors cited were "America's deepening domestic political crises, the collapse of controversial attempts to control political speech on social media, and the rise of generative AI."[70] On April 1, 2024, The New York Times reported that the Chinese government had created fake pro-Trump accounts on social media "promoting conspiracy theories, stoking domestic divisions and attacking President Biden ahead of the election in November."[71] According to disinformation experts and intelligence agencies, Russia spread disinformation ahead of the 2024 election to damage Joe Biden and Democrats, boost candidates supporting isolationism, and undercut support for Ukraine aid and NATO.[72][73]
On August 8, 2024, Microsoft reported that Iran was attempting to influence the 2024 presidential election and that a group affiliated with the Revolutionary Guard had "broken into the email account of a former senior adviser to a presidential campaign".[74] On August 10, 2024, the Trump campaign claimed it had been hacked by Iran as part of Iranian interference, and on August 12 the Harris campaign also claimed to have been victims of a failed spear phishing attack by Iran.[75] On August 14, 2024, Google's Threat Analysis Group reported that Iran had attempted to hack the Trump and Biden-Harris campaigns in May and June.[74]
Criminal trials and indictments against Donald Trump
Trump has been found liable in civil proceedings for both sexual abuse and defamation in 2023 and defamation in 2024, while also being criminally convicted of 34 felonies related to falsifying business records, expected to be an issue during the campaign. He has four criminal indictments totaling 91 felony counts and there are other lawsuits against Trump.[76] On May 30, Trump was found guilty by a jury of all 34 felony counts in The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump over falsifying business records for hush money payments to adult film star Stormy Daniels, to ensure her silence about a sexual encounter between them, to influence the 2016 presidential election. This makes Trump the first former U.S. president to be convicted of a crime in American history.[77] Trump and many Republicans have made numerous false and misleading statements regarding Trump's criminal trials, including false claims that they are "rigged" or "election interference" orchestrated by Joe Biden and the Democratic Party, of which there is no evidence.[78][42]
Trump faces an additional 57 felony counts; four counts in a United States of America v. Donald J. Trump for his alleged role in attempting to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election and involvement in the January 6 United States Capitol attack; 10 counts in The State of Georgia v. Donald J. Trump, et al. for his alleged attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia; 40 counts in United States of America v. Donald J. Trump, Waltine Nauta, and Carlos De Oliveira relating to his hoarding of classified documents and alleged obstruction of efforts to retrieve them.[79]
In addition to his indictments, on May 9, 2023, Trump was found liable by an anonymous jury[80] for sexual abuse[81] in E. Jean Carroll v. Donald J. Trump and ordered to pay a total of $88.3 million combined for damages and defamation.[82][83][84] In September 2023, Trump was found guilty of financial fraud and ordered to pay a $457 million judgement currently on appeal.[85]
According to an April 2024 Reuters/Ipsos poll, the percentage of registered voters who found Trump's charges somewhat to very serious in the federal elections case was 74%, 72% in the Georgia case, 69% in the classified documents case, and 64% in the New York hush money case.[86] Nearly a quarter of Republican voters said they would not vote for Trump if found guilty of a felony by a jury.[85] Following his hush money conviction, 15% of likely Republican voters and 49% of independents stated they wanted Trump to drop out, and 54% of registered voters approved of the jury's decision.[87] Polling also found 56% of Republicans who were unchanged by the verdict, and 35% of Republicans and 18% of independents who stated they were more likely to vote for Trump.[88]
Trump has been noted for attempting to delay his trials until after the November election. If Trump wins the election in November, then on January 20, 2025, Trump could order a new attorney general to dismiss the federal charges he is facing, prevent the state charges from taking affect through a variety of methods, and issue a presidential self-pardon.[89][90]
On July 1, 2024, the US Supreme Court delivered its 6–3 decision in Trump v. United States, along ideological lines, ruling that Trump had absolute immunity for acts he committed as president within his core constitutional purview, at least presumptive immunity for official acts within the outer perimeter of his official responsibility, and no immunity for unofficial acts.[91][92][93] Thus, Trump's sentencing date for his convictions in New York was delayed from July to September 2024,[94] and likely the trial dates in Trump's other cases will be delayed as well, to review the applicability of the Supreme Court's decision.[95][96]
Political violence
Several scholars, lawmakers, intelligence agencies, and the public have expressed concerns about political violence surrounding the 2024 election.[97][98] The fears come amidst increasing threats and acts of physical violence targeting public officials and election workers at all levels of government.[99][100] Trump has increasingly embraced extremism, conspiracy theories such as Q-Anon, and far-right militia movements to a greater extent than any modern American president.[101][102] Trump has espoused dehumanizing, combative, and violent rhetoric and promised retribution against his political enemies.[110] Trump has played down but refused to rule out violence following the 2024 election, stating "it depends".[111]
Assassination attempt
On July 13, 2024, Trump survived an assassination attempt while addressing a campaign rally near Butler, Pennsylvania.[112] Trump was shot and wounded on his right ear by Thomas Matthew Crooks, a 20-year-old man from Bethel Park, Pennsylvania,[113][114] who fired eight rounds with an AR-15–style rifle from the roof of a building located approximately 400 feet (120 meters) from the stage; the shots killed audience member Corey Comperatore and critically injured two other audience members.[113] Crooks was subsequently shot and killed by the U.S. Secret Service's counter-sniper team.[115] The motive and cause of the assassination attempt are still under investigation by authorities.
Electoral map
Effects of the 2020 census
This will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the reapportionment of votes in the United States Electoral College following the 2020 United States census.[116][117] If the results of the 2020 election were to stay the same (which has never occurred in the history of presidential elections) in 2024, Democrats would have 303 electoral votes against the Republicans' 235, a slight change from Biden's 306 electoral votes and Trump's 232, meaning that Democrats lost a net of 3 electoral votes to the reapportionment process. This apportionment of electoral college votes will remain only through the 2028 election. Reapportionment will be conducted again after the 2030 United States census.[118]
Historical background
Most states are not competitive because demographics keep them solidly behind a major party. Because of the nature of the Electoral College, this means a limited number of swing states — competitive states that "swing" between the Democratic and Republican parties – are vital to winning the presidency. These include states in the Rust Belt, such as Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and in the Sun Belt, such as Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia.[16] Strategists in both parties have stated the election will be decided by about 6% of voters, about 80,000 voters, in these 6 states.[119]
North Carolina may be considered a battleground state because of the close result in the previous presidential election, in which Trump only won by 1.3%.[120] Some former swing states such as Iowa, Ohio and Florida have shifted towards the Republicans, while Colorado and New Mexico have shifted towards Democrats.[121][122]
The Democratic electoral coalition, securing the "blue states" for Democratic presidential candidates, has had relatively high support among Black voters;[123][124] voters who have attended college[125] or who live in urban areas.[126] Some working class voters since the 1970s, have drifted towards Republican candidates as some Democratic candidates moved to the left on cultural issues.[127] The traditional Republican coalition that dominates many "red states" is composed mainly of rural White voters, evangelicals, the elderly, and non-college educated voters.[128] Republicans had historically performed well with suburban, middle class voters since the 1950s, but this bloc has drifted away from them in recent years because of the rise of the Make America Great Again movement.[129] The acceleration of this trend has been credited with tipping the 2020 presidential election in favor of Democrat Joe Biden, because the incumbent Trump was historically unpopular in the suburbs for a Republican candidate, underperforming there significantly.[130]
Some polling for this election has indicated Democratic strength among Hispanic, Asian, Arab, and youth voters appears to have somewhat eroded, while Republicans' durability with Whites and voters over the age of 65 appears to be slipping.[131][132][133][134][135][needs update] However, some political analysts[136] have argued that these apparent trends in polling are not representative of the actual electorate, and are a polling mirage resulting from poor sampling months before the election, large numbers of voters who do not think the election will be between Biden and Trump,[137] and heavy non-response bias.[138][139][140][141]
Campaign issues
This section needs expansion with: the platform of the Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign. You can help by adding to itadding to it or making an edit request. (July 2024) |
Abortion
.jpg)
Abortion access is expected to be a key topic during the campaign.[142][20] This is the first presidential election to be held in the aftermath of the 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision, in which the United States Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, leaving abortion law entirely to the states, including bans on abortion.[143] The three justices appointed by former president Donald Trump—Amy Coney Barrett, Brett Kavanaugh, and Neil Gorsuch—all voted to overturn the federal right to an abortion in Dobbs.[144]
Democrats are predominantly supportive of viewing abortion access as a right[145] while Republican politicians generally favor significantly restricting the legality of abortion.[146] By April 2023, most Republican-controlled states had passed near-total bans on abortion, rendering it largely illegal throughout much of the United States. According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, there are 15 states that have de jure early-stage bans on abortion without exceptions for rape or incest.[143]
Trump has claimed credit for overturning Roe, but has criticized Republicans pushing for total abortion bans.[147][148] Trump has said he will leave the issue of abortion for the states to decide, but would allow red states to monitor women's pregnancies and prosecute them if they have an abortion.[149] Since becoming the presumptive nominee, Kamala Harris has indicated her support for passing legislation which would restore the federal abortion right protections previously guaranteed by Roe.[150][151]
Border security and immigration
Border security and immigration are among the top issues concerning potential voters in the 2024 presidential election.[152][153] Polling has shown that a majority of Americans want to reduce immigration into the country[154] and that a substantial minority of white Republicans are concerned about white demographic decline.[155] In 2023 and early 2024, a surge of migrants entering the country through the United States' border with Mexico occurred.[156] By June 2024, illegal crossings reached a three-year low following four consecutive monthly drops, which senior U.S. officials attributed to increased enforcement between the United States and Mexico, the weather, and Biden's executive order increasing asylum restrictions.[157] By July 2024, border arrests dropped 33% to a 46-month low as a result of Biden's executive action after it previously dropped by 55% in June, bringing it to its lowest level since September 2020.[158] In February 2024, Biden and congressional negotiators reached a bipartisan agreement on a bill to secure the border that included many conservative demands and also unlocked aid to Ukraine and Israel, but the bill was opposed by Trump who claimed it would hurt Republicans' ability to run on immigration as a campaign issue.[159][160][161][162][163][164]
.jpg)
Donald Trump has stated that if elected, he would increase deportations, send the U.S. military to the border, expand ICE detentions through workplace raids,[165] deputize local law enforcement to handle border security, increase Customs and Border Patrol funding as well as finish building the wall on the southern border.[166] The New York Times reported that Trump is considering "an extreme expansion of his first-term crackdown on immigration," such as "preparing to round up undocumented people already in the United States on a vast scale and detain them in sprawling camps while they wait to be expelled."[165] Trump has stated his intention to deport 11 million people through the construction of detention camps and using the military.[149] Trump has made false claims of a "migrant crime wave" that are not supported by national data.[167]
Trump's anti-immigration tone is noted to have grown harsher from his previous time as president,[165] and has drawn criticism for using more dehumanizing rhetoric when referring to some illegal immigrants. Trump has called some immigrants "not human", "not people", and "animals".[168][169][170] Since fall 2023,[171] Trump has claimed that immigrants are "poisoning the blood of our country," which has drawn comparisons to racial hygiene rhetoric used by white supremacists and Adolf Hitler.[172][173][171][106] Trump's comments come as part of violent, dehumanizing rhetoric Trump has increasingly utilized during his campaign.[174][168][105][106][107][108]
Kennedy has stated that he supports securing the border, including efforts like Operation Lone Star by states in the absence of federal action.[175]
Climate change
Climate change is expected to be an issue in the 2024 presidential election.[22][23] In 2023, the United States saw a record in crude oil production with over 13.2 million barrels of crude per day beating the 13 million barrels per day produced at the peak of Trump's presidency.[176] America also dealt with supply shocks caused by the 2021–2024 global energy crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic and Russian invasion of Ukraine.[177]
Trump has ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change[178][179][180] and repeatedly referred to his energy policy under the mantra "drill, baby, drill."[181] Trump says he will increase oil drilling on public lands and offer tax breaks to oil, gas, and coal producers. Trump has stated his goal for the U.S. to have the lowest cost of electricity and energy of any country in the world.[182] Trump has promised to roll back electric vehicle initiatives, proposed leaving the Paris Climate Accords, and rescinding several environmental regulations.[182][183] Trump has stated his intention to roll back parts of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act,[184] which was the largest investment in addressing climate change and clean energy in US history.[185]
Democracy
Democracy is expected to be a large issue in the 2024 election. An AP-NORC poll of 1,074 adults conducted between November 30 to December 4, 2023, found that 62% of adults said democracy could be at risk depending on who wins the next election.[186]
Polling before the election has indicated profound dissatisfaction with the state of American democracy.[187][188][189] Liberals tend to believe that conservatives are threatening the country with Christian nationalist autocratic tendencies and their attempts to overturn the 2020 election.[190] Some Republicans are concerned that Trump's former impeachment and four criminal indictments are attempts to influence the election and keep him from office.[191] However, there is no evidence that Trump's criminal trials are "election interference" orchestrated by Joe Biden and the Democratic Party.[78][42] Trump has repeated false claims that the 2020 election was rigged and stolen from him.[13]
Donald Trump's 2024 campaign has been criticized by legal experts, historians, and political scientists for making increasingly violent and authoritarian statements,[10][11][12] which some believe the Trump campaign is intentionally leaning into.[192] Trump's platform calls for the vast expansion of presidential powers and the executive branch over every part of the federal government.[193] Trump has called for stripping employment protections for thousands of career civil service employees and replacing them with political loyalists if deemed an "obstacle to his agenda" within federal agencies, the United States Intelligence Community, State Department, and Department of Defense.[194] Trump has repeatedly stated his intention to have the Justice Department investigate and arrest his domestic political rivals, judges, prosecutors, and witnesses involved in his criminal trials.[195][196][197] Project 2025 is a proposed plan by the Heritage Foundation to centralize power into the executive branch for conservative policies to be enacted without input from the judicial branch, legislative branch or local government. The plan includes a near total ban on abortion such as criminalizing out of state abortions, banning contraceptives,[198][199][200] rolling back labor rights,[201] and rolling back LGBT rights in the United States.[202] The plan received some support from the Republican party. The document was written in part by former members of the Trump administration such as Russ Vought, and John McEntee[203] while Donald Trump stated states he is unfamiliar with parts of the plan.[204][205][206]
Trump's campaign has been noted for using increasingly dehumanizing and violent rhetoric against his political enemies.[174][168][207][106][208][209] Trump has promised to pardon those charged for their involvement in the January 6, 2021, Capitol attack and has called those charged "hostages" and "great, great patriots."[210][211][212] Trump has played down but not ruled out violence after the 2024 election if he does not win, stating, "it depends."[213]
Economic issues
Voters consistently cite economic issues as their top issue for the 2024 election.[214][215][216] Increasing inflation has become a more common critique of Trump's economic plans.[217][218][219][220] In June 2024, 16 Nobel Prize in Economics laureates signed an open letter arguing that Trump's fiscal and trade policies coupled with efforts to limit the Federal Reserve's independence would reignite inflation in the United States.[221][222][223] Moody's[224] and most economists surveyed by the WSJ in July 2024 predict that inflation would be worse under Trump than Biden, a result due in part to tariffs, a crack down on illegal immigration, and larger deficits.[225]
Trump has proposed further individual and corporate tax cuts beyond his prior 2017 tax cuts.[226] Trump has argued that keeping taxes low for the wealthy increases job creation.[227] Trump's stated trade policy involves the United States decoupling from the global economy and having the country become more self-contained and exerting its power through individual trade dealings. This would be accomplished through a universal baseline tariff[228] of 10% on all imports,[229] with increased penalties if trade partners manipulate their currency or engage in unfair trade practices.[182] Trump has called for 100% tariffs on cars made outside the U.S. and a minimum 60% tariff on Chinese goods.[229] Trump stated his plans to urge Congress to pass a "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" to bestow presidential authority to impose a reciprocal tariff on any country that imposed one on the United States.[182] The Washington Post reported in January 2024 that Trump was preparing for a massive trade war.[230] Trump's trade policies have been described as protectionist,[231] neomercantilist or autarkist.[228][232]
Education
Republican candidates see education as a winning campaign issue. Dozens of states have created laws preventing the instruction of critical race theory, an academic discipline focused on the examination of racial inequality. Supporters of the laws claim that conversations about racial identity are not appropriate for a school environment.[233][234][27] Critics of the laws against critical race theory claim they whitewash American history and act as memory laws to rewrite public memory of U.S. history.[235] Trump has pledged to terminate the Department of Education,[182] claiming it has been infiltrated by "radical zealots and Marxists."[236]
Foreign policy
.jpg)
The ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine and Israel–Hamas war are expected to be significant issues of the election.[237]
Trump's 2024 campaign has reiterated its isolationist "America First" foreign policy agenda,[238][239] and has promised to "fundamentally reevaluate" NATO's purpose and mission, shifting the nation's defense burdens from Europe towards Asia.[182] Trump has stated he would encourage Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" to countries that did not contribute enough to NATO.[240] Trump has said he would cut off aid to Ukraine quickly if reelected.[241] Trump previously stated he would potentially recognize Russia's illegal annexation of Crimea,[242] and made suggestions that he could have prevented the war by ceding parts of eastern Ukraine to Russia.[238]
Kennedy condemned Hamas's attacks on Israeli civilians and declared support for aid to Israel.[243]
Israel–Hamas war views
Polling has indicated a significant divide between government policy on the Israel–Hamas war and the views of the general public.[244] During the election, several pro-Israel and pro-Palestinian protests occurred in the United States. Before dropping out, Biden voiced support for the right to protest but criticized when they became violent or antisemitic.[245] Trump has stated he would shut down Palestinian protests, deport demonstrators, and "set the movement back 25 or 30 years."[246]
Healthcare issues
The issue of healthcare and drug policy, including whether the United States should shift to a universal healthcare system,[247] and the COVID-19 pandemic is expected to play a key role in the 2024 presidential election.[248]
Trump has made repealing the Affordable Care Act a key issue of the 2024 election.[29] During an interview on March 11, 2024, Trump suggested he was open to cutting entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare, which the Trump campaign later claimed was merely referring to "cutting waste" and that he would protect the programs. Trump previously suggested while president in 2020 that he would "at some point" look into cutting entitlement programs, and Trump's previous budget proposals have suggested some cuts to the programs. During the Republican primary, Trump attacked his opponents by suggesting they would cut entitlement benefits.[249][250]
Kennedy has been a prominent anti-vaccine advocate, but according to Deseret News, he has attempted to moderate his anti-vaccine position before the election, stating that he is not against all vaccines.[251] West is running on a platform of Medicare-for-all.[252]
LGBT rights
.jpg){kind=spacer}
In recent years, conservative politicians in state legislatures have introduced a large and growing number of bills that Democrats say restrict the rights of LGBT people, especially transgender people.[253][254] Trump has promised a rollback on Democratic-supported policies surrounding transgender individuals.[255] Trump stated he will rescind Biden's Title IX protections "on day one" for transgender students using bathrooms, locker rooms, and pronouns that align with their gender identities.[256] Trump has stated he would enact a federal law that would recognize only two genders and claimed that being transgender is a concept made up by "the radical left."[257] Trump has pledged "severe consequences" for teachers who "suggest to a child that they could be trapped in the wrong body." Trump previously withdrew Title IX provisions that allowed transgender youth to have access to the bathrooms of their choice, and he attempted to roll-back several transgender-related policies in the Affordable Care Act.[255]
Democratic Party
On April 25, 2023, President Joe Biden announced his run for re-election, keeping Vice President Kamala Harris as his running mate.[258][259] Republicans intensified their criticism of Harris after Biden declared his intention to run for office.[260] During late 2021, as Biden faced low approval ratings, there was speculation that he would not seek re-election,[261] and Representatives Carolyn Maloney, Tim Ryan and former Representative Joe Cunningham (all Democrats), publicly urged Biden not to run.[262][263][264]
Many were also concerned about his age; he was the oldest person to assume the office at age 78 and would be 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of a second term.[265] According to an April 2023 poll, 70 percent of Americans—including 51 percent of Democrats—believed Biden should not run for a second term; almost half said so because of his age. The FiveThirtyEight national polling average said Biden's approval rating was 41 percent, while 55 percent disapproved.[266] There was also speculation that Biden might face a primary challenge from a member of the Democratic Party's progressive faction.[267][268] After Democrats outperformed expectations in the 2022 midterm elections, many believed the chances that Biden would run for and win his party's nomination had increased.[269]
Author Marianne Williamson announced her candidacy in February 2023, having previously sought the nomination in 2020.[270] In April 2023, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced his candidacy.[271] On October 9, 2023, Kennedy announced that he would drop out of the Democratic primary and instead run as an independent candidate.[272] Representative Dean Phillips announced his run against Biden on October 26.[273] Venture capitalist Jason Palmer announced his campaign on October 22.[274]
Williamson announced her initial withdrawal on February 7, 2024,[275] though she resumed her campaign a few weeks later.[276] On March 6, 2024, Philips suspended his campaign after failing to win any primaries the previous night on Super Tuesday,[277] followed by Williamson on June 11.[278] Palmer unexpectedly won the American Samoa caucuses, making him the first candidate to win a contested primary against an incumbent president since Ted Kennedy in 1980.[279] He won no other contests and suspended his candidacy on May 15, 2024.[280] On March 12, 2024, Biden obtained a majority of delegates, officially becoming the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee.[281] Williamson re-entered the race on July 2[282] and called for an open convention, before finally ending her campaign on July 29.[283]
The Israel–Hamas war protest vote movements turned out to be the largest opposition to the Joe Biden 2024 presidential campaign rather than any of his 2024 challengers.[284] These “Uncommitted” voters received more votes than many contenders in the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries, including Amy Klobuchar, Cory Booker, Beto O’Rourke, and Biden’s vice president Kamala Harris. Uncommitted votes also achieved a higher percentage of the vote than the 2020 campaign of Pete Buttigieg, with only a fraction of the spending. The Uncommitted campaign won 36 delegates in the primaries.[285] Following a widely panned debate performance against Donald Trump on June 27, 2024[286] and a COVID-19 diagnosis in mid-July,[287] Biden announced on July 21 that he would withdraw from the presidential race, allowing the Democratic Party to choose a new candidate.[288] He endorsed incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris for the presidential nomination.[289] Soon after, Harris announced that she was running for the 2024 Democratic nomination.[290] By the end of the following day, July 22, Harris had secured enough delegate endorsements to become the Democratic Party's new presumptive nominee.[291]
Because of concerns regarding ballot deadlines in Ohio, the party held a virtual vote by delegates to select the party's nominee prior to their in-person convention, in which Harris secured a majority of delegates' votes on August 2.[292] Harris secured the nomination after voting closed on August 5.[5]
If she wins, Harris would become the first female and first Asian American president of the United States, and the second African-American president after Barack Obama.[293] Her running mate Tim Walz, who was deployed to Italy in support of Operation Enduring Freedom, would also be the first vice president to have served in the war on terror, a distinction he shares with the Republican vice presidential nominee.[294]
Democratic nominees
 | |
|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | Tim Walz |
| for President | for Vice President |
 |
 |
| 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present) |
41st Governor of Minnesota (2019–present) |
Republican Party
Donald Trump, the then-incumbent president, was defeated by Biden in the 2020 election and is not term-limited to run again in 2024, making him the fifth ex-president to seek a second non-consecutive term. If he wins, Trump would be the second president to win a non-consecutive term, after Grover Cleveland in 1892.[295] Trump filed a statement of candidacy with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) on November 15, 2022, and announced his candidacy in a speech at Mar-a-Lago the same day.[296][297] Trump was considered an early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination.[298] Trump had announced in March 2022 that his former vice president Mike Pence would not be his running mate.[299] In civil proceedings, Trump has been found liable for sexual abuse and defamation in 2023, defamation in 2024, and financial fraud in 2024, becoming the first former president to be convicted of a crime.[14]
In March 2023, Trump was indicted over his hush money payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels.[300] Trump was again indicted in June over his handling of classified documents that contained materials sensitive to national security. Trump has pleaded not guilty to all the charges related to these indictments.[301][302]
Trump faced limited opposition in the primaries, easily defeating Nikki Haley.[303]
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was seen as the main challenger to Trump for the Republican nomination; he raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022 and had more favorable polling numbers than Trump by the end of 2022.[304][305][306] On May 24, 2023, DeSantis announced his candidacy on Twitter in an online conversation with Twitter CEO Elon Musk. "American decline is not inevitable—it is a choice...I am running for president of the United States to lead our great American comeback," DeSantis said. His campaign stated to have raised $1 million in the first hour following the announcement of his candidacy.[307] Speaking on Fox & Friends, he stated that he would "destroy leftism" in the United States.[308] At the end of July 2023, FiveThirtyEight's national polling average of the Republican primaries had Trump at 52 percent, and DeSantis at 15.[309]
Following the Iowa caucuses, in which Trump posted a landslide victory, DeSantis and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, leaving the former president and Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor who served in Trump's cabinet, as the only remaining major candidates.[310][311] Trump continued to win all four early voting contests while Haley's campaign struggled to gain momentum.[312] On March 6, 2024, the day after winning only one primary out of fifteen on Super Tuesday, Haley suspended her campaign.[313]
On March 12, 2024, Trump officially became the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.[314]
On July 15, 2024, the first day of the Republican National Convention, Trump officially announced that Senator JD Vance of Ohio would be his running mate. If elected, he would be the first marine and first Iraq War veteran to serve as vice president.[315] Trump had survived an assassination attempt days earlier with a gunshot wound to the ear.[316]
On July 18, 2024, Trump accepted the nomination from the Republican National Convention to become the Republican presidential nominee. This was the third consecutive election in which he was the Republican nominee.[317]
Republican nominees
 | |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump | JD Vance |
| for President | for Vice President |
.jpg) |
 |
| 45th President of the United States (2017–2021) |
U.S. Senator from Ohio (2023–present) |
Third-party and independent candidates
Third-party and independent candidates have also announced presidential runs, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and Cornel West. Centrist political organization No Labels abandoned their efforts in April 2024.[318] Some established third parties, such as the American Solidarity Party, the Prohibition Party, the Constitution Party, the Libertarian Party and the Party for Socialism and Liberation, and the Green Party have announced presidential nominees.
Notable party nominations
The following individuals have been nominated by their respective parties to run for president.
With majority ballot access
Libertarian Party
Chase Oliver was chosen by the Libertarian Party as its presidential nominee on May 26, 2024, at the 2024 Libertarian National Convention. Oliver was the party's candidate in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia.[319] As of May 2024[update], the party has ballot access in at least 37 states with a total of 380 electoral votes.[320]
 | |
|---|---|
| Chase Oliver | Mike ter Maat |
| for President | for Vice President |
 |
 |
| Sales account executive from Georgia |
Economist from Virginia |
Green Party
Jill Stein announced on May 26, 2024, that her campaign had accrued enough delegates to secure the Green Party nomination and thus became the presumptive nominee.[321][322][323] Stein was also the party's candidate in 2012 and 2016. Stein is a physician and a former member of the Lexington Town Meeting. No running mate has yet been announced, with the 2024 Green National Convention to take place August 15–18, 2024.[324] As of June 2024[update], Stein has ballot access both on Green Party and Independent ballot lines in at least 22 states with a total of 273 electoral votes.[325][better source needed] On August 16, Stein selected academic Rudolph "Butch" Ware as her running mate.[326]
 | |
|---|---|
| Jill Stein | Butch Ware |
| for President | for Vice President |
 |
|
| Physician from Massachusetts |
Academic from California |
With partial ballot access
These parties have ballot access in some states, but not enough to get 270 votes to win the presidency, without running a write-in campaign.
- American Solidarity Party: Peter Sonski, Connecticut school board member[327]
- Approval Voting Party: Blake Huber, nominee for president in 2020[328]
- Constitution Party: Randall Terry, anti-abortion activist and perennial candidate[329]
- Green Party of Alaska: Jasmine Sherman, nonprofit executive and activist[330]
- Independent American Party and Constitution Party offshoots: Joel Skousen, survivalist and consultant[331]
- Prohibition Party: Michael Wood, businessman[332]
- Party for Socialism and Liberation: Claudia De la Cruz, political activist[333][334]
- Socialist Equality Party: Joseph Kishore, writer and SEP nominee in 2020[335]
- Socialist Workers Party: Rachele Fruit, hotel worker and trade unionist[336]
Without ballot access
- Legal Marijuana Now Party: Dennis Schuller, chairman of the Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now! Party[337]
- Pirate Party: Vermin Supreme, performance artist and perennial candidate[338][339]
- Socialist Party USA: Bill Stodden, nonprofit executive[340][341]
- Transhumanist Party: Tom Ross, technology and political activist[342]
- Unity Party of America: Paul Noel Fiorino, perennial candidate[343]
Notable declared candidates
The following individuals have declared their intent to run for president.
Independents
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., after initially running in the Democratic primary, became an independent candidate in October 2023.[344][345] A member of the Kennedy family, he is an environmental lawyer who promotes conspiracy theories.[346][347] His support mostly draws from independent and anti-establishment voters disillusioned with mainstream American political parties.[348][349] He initially polled at the highest levels for a candidate outside the two major parties since 1992, reaching an average of around 15% at one point[350][351]; his polling would drop to low single digits as the election neared.[352] Kennedy is a son of U.S. Attorney General and Senator Robert F. Kennedy and nephew of U.S. President John F. Kennedy and Senator Ted Kennedy. On March 26, 2024, Kennedy announced Nicole Shanahan, an attorney from California, as his running mate.[353]
 | |
|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Nicole Shanahan |
| for President | for Vice President |
 |
|
| Environmental lawyer from California[b] |
Attorney and technologist from California |
Cornel West
Cornel West is a socialist activist and intellectual who announced a campaign as an independent after initially announcing a run as a People's Party and later a Green Party candidate.[252] His running mate is Melina Abdullah, an academic and civic leader from California.
 | |
|---|---|
| Cornel West | Melina Abdullah |
| for President | for Vice President |
 |
_(cropped).jpg) |
| Academic and activist from California |
Academic and civic leader from California |
Other independent candidates
- Shiva Ayyadurai, engineer, entrepreneur, and anti-vaccine activist; candidate for U.S. Senate from Massachusetts in 2018 and 2020[355][356][c]
- Johnny Buss, part-owner and vice president of strategic development of the Los Angeles Lakers[357][358]
- Joseph "Afroman" Foreman, rapper[359][360][361][362]
- Taylor Marshall, podcaster and author[363][364][360][365]
Withdrawn candidates
The following notable individual(s) announced and then suspended their campaigns before the election:
Timeline
Opinion polling and forecasts
Opinion polling aggregation
Harris and Trump
_polling_(2024_polls_only).svg)
_polling.svg)
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Others/ Undecided [d] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[367] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.4% | 47.2% | 4.4% | Harris +1.2% |
| 538[368] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.0% | 46.8% | 5.2% | Harris +1.2% |
| Cook Political Report[369] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.7% | 47.8% | 3.5% | Harris +0.9% |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[370] | through November 5, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.4% | 48.4% | 3.2% | Tie |
| Silver Bulletin[371] | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 3.8% | Harris +1.0% |
| Real Clear Politics[372] | through November 5, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.7% | 48.6% | 2.7% | Harris +0.1% |
| Average | 48.5% | 47.7% | 3.8% | Harris +0.8% | ||
Harris, Trump, and Kennedy
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Others/ Undecided [d] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | through August 23, 2024 | August 24, 2024 | 49.0% | 43.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | Harris +5.1% |
| 538 | through August 22, 2024 | August 23, 2024 | 47.3% | 43.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | Harris +3.7% |
| Silver Bulletin | through August 23, 2024 | August 23, 2024 | 48.0% | 43.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | Harris +4.3% |
| Average | 48.1% | 43.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | Harris +4.4% | ||
| Poll source | Date | Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Others/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy suspends his campaign. | |||||||
| RMG Research[373] | August 12–14, 2024 | 2,708 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 4% |
| Pew Research[374] | August 5–11, 2024 | 9,201 (A) | ± 1.3% | 46% | 45% | 7% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports[375] | August 4–7, 2024 | 1,794 (LV) | ± 2% | 44% | 49% | 3% | 2% |
| ActiVote[376] | July 30 – August 6, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45.0% | 44.4% | 10.5% | — |
| RMG Research[377] | July 29–31, 2024 | 3,000 (RV) | — | 47% | 42% | 6% | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[378] | July 29, 2024 | 1,750 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | 5% | 4% |
| Harvard/Harris[379] | July 26–28, 2024 | 2,196 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 42% | 45% | 8% | 5% |
| ActiVote[380] | July 24–29, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44.3% | 45.5% | 10.3% | — |
| Forbes/HarrisX[381] | July 22–25, 2024 | 3,013 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 42% | 43% | 9% | 6% |
| RMG Research[382] | July 22–23, 2024 | 2,000 (RV) | — | 46% | 48% | 6% | — |
| Reuters/Ipsos[383] | July 22–23, 2024 | 1,241 (A) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | 8% | 12% |
| Harris declares her candidacy. | |||||||
| Forbes/HarrisX[384] | June 28–30, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 43% | 17% | — |
Harris, Trump, Kennedy, Stein and West
Electoral College forecasts
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts of the composition of the Electoral College. These forecasts use a variety of factors to estimate the likelihood of each candidate winning the Electoral College electors for that state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by forecasters The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, CNalysis, Decision Desk HQ, and RealClearPolitics are omitted for brevity.[f]
Note that many of these forecasts were made before Biden withdrew from the race on July 21, 2024. FiveThirtyEight, and Decision Desk HQ suspended their forecasts after President Biden dropped out of the race; Inside Election's forecast is also from before Biden's withdrawal. Their ratings in the table show hypothetical forecasts for if Biden was still in the race.
| State | EVs | PVI[387] | 2020 result |
2020 margin[388] |
IE May 8, 2024[389] |
Cook August 8, 2024[390] |
CNalysis August 5, 2024[391] |
Sabato August 7, 2024[392] |
RCP July 27, 2024[393] |
DDHQ July 9, 2024[394] |
538 July 19, 2024[385] |
Economist August 15, 2024[386] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | 3 | R+8 | 52.8% R | 10.06% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Arizona | 11 | R+2 | 49.4% D | 0.31% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup |
| Colorado | 10 | D+4 | 55.4% D | 13.50% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Florida | 30 | R+3 | 51.2% R | 3.36% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R |
| Georgia | 16 | R+3 | 49.5% D | 0.24% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Illinois | 20 | D+7 | 57.5% D | 16.99% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Iowa | 6 | R+6 | 53.1% R | 8.20% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Kansas | 6 | R+10 | 56.4% R | 14.63% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Maine[g] | 2 | D+2 | 53.1% D | 9.07% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D |
| ME–01[g] | 1 | D+9 | 60.1% D | 23.09% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D |
| ME–02[g] | 1 | R+6 | 52.3% R | 7.44% | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Michigan | 15 | R+1 | 50.6% D | 2.78% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Minnesota | 10 | D+1 | 52.4% D | 7.11% | Lean D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D |
| Missouri | 10 | R+10 | 56.8% R | 15.39% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Montana | 4 | R+11 | 56.9% R | 16.37% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R |
| NE–02[g] | 1 | EVEN | 52.0% D[h] | 6.50% | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D |
| Nevada | 6 | R+1 | 50.1% D | 2.39% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| New Hampshire | 4 | D+1 | 52.7% D | 7.35% | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D |
| New Jersey | 14 | D+6 | 57.3% D | 15.94% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| New Mexico | 5 | D+3 | 54.3% D | 10.79% | Solid D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| North Carolina | 16 | R+3 | 49.9% R | 1.35% | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R |
| Ohio | 17 | R+6 | 53.3% R | 8.03% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Oregon | 8 | D+6 | 56.4% D | 16.08% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Pennsylvania | 19 | R+2 | 50.0% D | 1.16% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| South Carolina | 9 | R+8 | 55.1% R | 11.68% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Texas | 40 | R+5 | 52.1% R | 5.58% | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Virginia | 13 | D+3 | 54.1% D | 10.11% | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D |
| Wisconsin | 10 | R+2 | 49.5% D | 0.63% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Overall | D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 208 R – 219 111 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 246 66 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups | ||||
Debates
In April 2022, the Republican National Committee voted unanimously to withdraw from the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD).[395] In May 2024, the Biden campaign proposed hosting two debates outside of the CPD timetable and refusing to participate in CPD-hosted debates. Biden and Trump agreed to debates on CNN on June 27 and ABC News on September 10.[396]
June 27: Biden vs Trump
CNN hosted the first major debate of the election on June 27, with 51 million viewers watching.[397] Media outlets characterized Biden's debate performance as a "disaster". Some pundits noted that he frequently lost his train of thought and gave meandering, confused answers.[398][399][400]
G. Elliott Morris and Kaleigh Rogers of ABC News' 538 argued that Biden had failed to reassure voters that he was capable of serving as president for another four years.[401] After the debate, elected officials, party strategists, and fundraisers conversed about replacing Biden as the party's candidate, including whether prominent Democrats should make a public statement asking him to step aside.[402] Biden stated that he would not be dropping out.[403] Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton reiterated their support for Biden following the debate.[404][405] The debate performance led to Biden ultimately withdrawing his bid for re-election on July 21.
September 10: Harris vs Trump
The second presidential debate is scheduled to be held on September 10 and will be hosted by ABC News.[406] On August 2, 2024, Trump announced that he was withdrawing from the debate as he had agreed only to debate Biden, not Harris.[407] However, on August 8, 2024, ABC reported that both candidates have agreed to the debate as originally scheduled. No location details have been announced.[408] The moderators will be David Muir and Linsey Davis.[409] Trump has made his participation in the ABC debate contingent on Harris participating in other proposed debates.[410] On August 15, Harris campaign said that a second debate in October would be contingent on Trump "actually showing up" to the first on September 10.[411]
October 1 vice presidential debate: Vance vs Walz
On August 15, 2024, vice presidential candidates JD Vance and Tim Walz agreed a debate hosted on CBS News on October 1,[412][needs update] though Vance indicated he would only attend under certain conditions.[413]
See also
Notes
- ^ Attributed to multiple references:[54][55][56][57][58][59]
- ^ Kennedy claims residency in New York, but he was removed from the ballot in that state for using a “sham” address[354]
- ^ Ayyadurai is not eligible to serve as president as he is not a natural-born citizen, but he claims he can run for office.
- ^ a b Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ The FiveThirtyEight forecast[385] and Economist[386] each rate only a handful of states as "safe." States rated safe by all other forecasts but FiveThirtyEight and Economist are omitted
- ^ a b c d Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
- ^ The boundaries of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district have since changed because of redistricting.
References
- ^ "Election Planning Calendar" (PDF). Essex-Virginia.org. Essex County, Virginia. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 7, 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
- ^ Gold, Michael; Nehamas, Nicholas (March 13, 2024). "Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- ^ Quinn, Melissa; Kim, Ellis (July 19, 2024). "More Democrats join wave of lawmakers calling on Biden to drop out of 2024 race". CBS News. Archived from the original on July 26, 2024. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
- ^ a b Kim, Seung Min (August 5, 2024). "Kamala Harris is now Democratic presidential nominee, will face off against Donald Trump this fall". Associated Press. Archived from the original on August 8, 2024. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Harris selects Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz to be VP running mate, sources say". cnn.com. CNN. Archived from the original on August 6, 2024. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "The president has dropped of out the race. What's next?". Colorado Public Radio. July 23, 2024. Archived from the original on July 28, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
- ^ "Party like it's 1968? History repeats itself, Biden decision throws Chicago DNC into uncertain future". NBC Chicago. July 21, 2024. Archived from the original on July 23, 2024. Retrieved July 24, 2024.
- ^ "Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024". CNN. November 16, 2022. Archived from the original on January 15, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2024.
- ^ a b Jill Colvin; Bill Barrow (December 7, 2023). "Trump's vow to only be a dictator on 'day one' follows growing worry over his authoritarian rhetoric". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 8, 2023. Retrieved December 8, 2023.
- ^ a b Michael C. Bender; Michael Gold (November 20, 2023). "Trump's Dire Words Raise New Fears About His Authoritarian Bent". The New York Times. Archived from the original on December 8, 2023. Retrieved December 8, 2023.
- ^ a b Stone, Peter (November 22, 2023). "'Openly authoritarian campaign': Trump's threats of revenge fuel alarm". The Guardian. Archived from the original on November 27, 2023. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- ^ a b Riccardi, Nicholas; Price, Michelle L. (December 16, 2023). "Trump calls Biden the 'destroyer' of democracy despite his own efforts to overturn 2020 election". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 15, 2023. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
- ^ a b Charalambous, Peter; Pereira, Ivan (May 30, 2024). "Donald Trump becomes 1st US president tried and convicted of crimes". ABC News. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
- ^ Silver, Nate. "Tim Walz is a Minnesota Nice choice". www.natesilver.net.
- ^ a b Dorman, John L. "Six battleground states will hold the key to the White House in 2024". Business Insider. Archived from the original on December 24, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
- ^ For sources on this, see:
- Edsall, Thomas B. (April 12, 2023). "How The Right Came To Embrace Intrusive Government". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
Republicans in states across the country are defiantly pushing for the criminalization of abortion — of the procedure, of abortifacient drugs and of those who travel out of state to terminate pregnancy... According to research provided to The Times by the Kaiser Family Foundation, states that have abortion bans at various early stages of pregnancy with no exception for rape or incest include Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia and Wisconsin.
- Weisman, Jonathan (April 11, 2023). "Pressured by Their Base on Abortion, Republicans Strain to Find a Way Forward". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 11, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- Godfrey, Elaine (May 4, 2022). "The GOP's Strange Turn Against Rape Exceptions". The Atlantic. Archived from the original on May 4, 2022. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- Edsall, Thomas B. (April 12, 2023). "How The Right Came To Embrace Intrusive Government". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- ^ McCammon, Sarah (November 8, 2023). "Abortion rights win big in 2023 elections, again". NPR. Archived from the original on December 15, 2023. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
- ^ "Here's why abortion will be such a big issue for the ballot come November". NBC. March 11, 2024. Archived from the original on March 11, 2024. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
- ^ a b Sahil, Kapur (April 17, 2024). "7 big issues at stake in the 2024 election". NBC. Archived from the original on July 3, 2024. Retrieved April 17, 2024.
- ^ Arnsdorf, Isaac. "Trump brags about efforts to stymie border talks: 'Please blame it on me'". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 28, 2024. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
- ^ a b Gongloff, Mark (January 30, 2024). "The 2024 election just might turn on ... climate change?". Portland Press Herald. Archived from the original on February 13, 2024. Retrieved February 12, 2024.
- ^ a b Andreoni, Manuela (January 16, 2024). "Climate is on the Ballot Around the World". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 16, 2024. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
- ^ Fields, Gary; Sanders, Linley (December 15, 2023). "Americans agree that the 2024 election will be pivotal for democracy, but for different reasons". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 16, 2023. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
- ^ "Saving democracy is central to Biden's campaign messaging. Will it resonate with swing state voters?". CBS News. February 18, 2024. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- ^ Cook, Charlie (March 2, 2023). "Will 2024 Be About the Economy, or the Candidates?". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on March 25, 2023. Retrieved March 25, 2023.
- ^ a b Manchester, Julia (January 29, 2023). "Republicans see education as winning issue in 2024". The Hill. Archived from the original on January 29, 2023. Retrieved July 9, 2023.
- ^ Ward, Alexander; Berg, Matt (October 20, 2023). "2024: The foreign policy election?". Politico. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- ^ a b Colvin, Jill; Miller, Zeke (November 27, 2023). "Trump says he will renew efforts to replace 'Obamacare' if he wins a second term". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 4, 2023. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
- ^ "Here's where the 2024 presidential candidates stand on LGBTQ+ issues". ABC News. Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ "How Democrats can pick a new candidate, step by step". Washington Post. July 21, 2024.
- ^ "US Election guide: how does the election work?". The Daily Telegraph. November 6, 2012. Archived from the original on November 10, 2015. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
- ^ Parks, Miles (April 9, 2024). "The most detailed look yet at the 'exodus' of local voting officials". National Public Radio. Archived from the original on June 10, 2024. Retrieved August 12, 2024.
- ^ Timm, Jane C. (February 12, 2024). "Amateur fraud hunters bury election officials in public records requests". NBC News. Archived from the original on July 29, 2024. Retrieved August 12, 2024.
- ^ Rascoe, Ayesha (November 7, 2019). "Who Was On The Trump-Ukraine Call?". NPR. Archived from the original on June 5, 2024. Retrieved May 31, 2024.
- ^ Bacon Jr., Perry (February 5, 2020). "What Happens When An Impeached President Runs For Reelection?". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on June 1, 2024. Retrieved May 31, 2024.
- ^ Halpert, Madeline; Drenon, Brandon (December 19, 2023). "Colorado Supreme Court kicks Trump off ballot, citing 'insurrection'". BBC News. Archived from the original on December 20, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
- ^ Smith, Mitch (February 28, 2024). "Judge Orders Trump Removed From Illinois Primary Ballots". The New York Times. Archived from the original on February 29, 2024. Retrieved February 28, 2024.
- ^ a b Freiman, Jordan; Kaufman, Katrina; Kazarian, Grace (December 28, 2023). "Maine secretary of state disqualifies Trump from primary ballot". CBS News. Archived from the original on December 29, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "Trump back on ballot in Colorado while state Republicans appeal ban to Supreme Court". CBS News. December 28, 2023. Archived from the original on December 29, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Frtize, John (March 4, 2024). "Supreme Court keeps Trump on Colorado ballot, rejecting 14th Amendment push". Archived from the original on March 4, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Yourish, Karen; Smart, Charlie (May 24, 2024). "Trump's Pattern of Sowing Election Doubt Intensifies in 2024". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. Retrieved May 25, 2024.
Former President Donald J. Trump has baselessly and publicly cast doubt about the fairness of the 2024 election about once a day, on average, since he announced his candidacy for president, according to an analysis by The New York Times ... This rhetorical strategy — heads, I win; tails, you cheated — is a beloved one for Mr. Trump that predates even his time as a presidential candidate ... Long before announcing his candidacy, Mr. Trump and his supporters had been falsely claiming that President Biden was "weaponizing" the Justice Department to target him.
- ^ Samuels, Brett (June 13, 2022). "Trump releases 12-page response to Jan. 6 hearing". The Hill. Archived from the original on June 19, 2022. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
- ^ Feinberg, Andrew (August 29, 2022). "Trump demands 'new election immediately' in bizarre post on Truth Social". The Independent. Archived from the original on November 18, 2022. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
- ^ Waldman, Michael (February 1, 2022). "How Bad Could the 2024 Election Be?". Brennan Center for Justice. Archived from the original on November 29, 2022. Retrieved March 23, 2023.
- ^ Rutenberg, Jim; Corasaniti, Nick (July 13, 2024). "Unbowed by Jan. 6 Charges, Republicans Pursue Plans to Contest a Trump Defeat". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on July 13, 2024.
- ^ Broadwater, Luke (May 21, 2024). "House G.O.P. Moves to Crack Down on Noncitizen Voting, Sowing False Narrative". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on May 23, 2024. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
Republicans are pushing legislation to crack down on voting by noncitizens, which happens rarely and is already illegal in federal elections, in a move that reinforces former President Donald J. Trump's efforts to delegitimize the 2024 results if he loses.
- ^ Swenson, Ali (May 18, 2024). "Noncitizen voting, already illegal in federal elections, becomes a centerpiece of 2024 GOP messaging". Associated Press. Archived from the original on May 18, 2024. Retrieved May 18, 2024.
- ^ Levine, Sam; Leingang, Rachel (May 17, 2024). "Trump and Johnson spread unfounded fears by urging non-citizen voting ban". The Guardian. Archived from the original on June 19, 2024. Retrieved May 18, 2024.
- ^ Riccardi, Nicholas; Mascaro, Lisa (May 21, 2024). "Election deniers moving closer to GOP mainstream, report shows, as Trump allies fill Congress". Associated Press. Archived from the original on May 21, 2024. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
- ^ Basu, Zachary (May 22, 2024). "Trump spreads false "assassination" claims as voters fear violence". Axios. Archived from the original on May 23, 2024. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
Former President Trump and his allies have already signaled they will not accept the results of the election if they believe it's "unfair," reviving the type of rhetoric that helped incite the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.
- ^ Ibrahim, Nur (December 5, 2022). "Did Trump Say Election Fraud Allows for 'Termination' of US Constitution?". Snopes. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
In sum, Trump posted on Truth Social that, what he believed to be, election fraud in the 2020 presidential election allows "for the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution." For that reason, we rated this claim "Correct Attribution."
- ^ Astor, Maggie (December 4, 2022). "Trump's Call for 'Termination' of Constitution Draws Rebukes". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on December 4, 2022. Retrieved December 4, 2022.
- ^ Olivia Ronaldi (December 6, 2023). "Trump says he would be a dictator only on 'Day One' if he wins a second term". CBS News. Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ David A. Graham (December 6, 2023). "Trump Says He'll Be a Dictator on 'Day One'". The Atlantic. Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ Adam Wren (December 6, 2023). "Trump's 'dictator' remark jolts the 2024 campaign – and tests his GOP rivals on debate day". Politico. Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ David Jackson (December 6, 2023). "Donald Trump says he will be a 'dictator' only on 'day one.' Then he'll focus on drilling". USA Today. Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ Michael Gold (December 6, 2023). "Trump Says He Wouldn't Be a Dictator, 'Except for Day 1'". The New York Times. Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ Mariana Alfero (December 6, 2023). "Trump says he wouldn't be a dictator 'except for Day One'". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on December 9, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ Swan, Jonathan; Savage, Charlie; Haberman, Maggie (June 15, 2023). "The Radical Strategy Behind Trump's Promise to 'Go After' Biden". The New York Times. Archived from the original on December 9, 2023. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- ^ Arnsdorf, Isaac; Dawsey, Josh; Barrett, Devlin (November 5, 2023). "Trump and allies plot revenge, Justice Department control in a second term". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on November 5, 2023. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
- ^ Fields, Gary (November 27, 2023). "Trump hints at expanded role for the military within the US. A legacy law gives him few guardrails". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 10, 2023. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
- ^ "Trump Is Lying About Another Election Being 'Stolen' From Him – The One Still A Year Away". HuffPost. October 7, 2023. Archived from the original on October 7, 2023. Retrieved October 7, 2023.
- ^ Feuer, Alan; Haberman, Maggie (April 13, 2024). "Inside Donald Trump's Embrace of the Jan. 6 Rioters". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 13, 2024. Retrieved April 14, 2024.
Recently, however, his celebrations of the Capitol riot and those who took part in it have become more public as he has promoted a revisionist history of the attack and placed it at the heart of his 2024 presidential campaign ... Mr. Trump hasn't always embraced Jan. 6 — at least not openly ... Mr. Trump's embrace of Jan. 6 not only has meant describing the attack in which more than 100 police officers were injured as a "love fest." It also has led him to tell a journalist that he wanted to march to the Capitol that day but that his team had prevented him from doing so.
- ^ Baker, Peter (December 9, 2023). "Talk of a Trump Dictatorship Charges the American Political Debate". The New York Times. Archived from the original on December 9, 2023. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- ^ Mizelle, Shawna (February 22, 2023). "Lawmakers in 32 states have introduced bills to restrict voting so far this legislative session". CNN. Archived from the original on December 10, 2023. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- ^ Skelley, Geoffrey (May 17, 2021). "How The Republican Push To Restrict Voting Could Affect Our Elections". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on October 21, 2023. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- ^ Gardner, Amy (March 26, 2021). "After Trump tried to intervene in the 2020 vote, state Republicans are moving to take more control of elections". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on June 14, 2022. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- ^ Multiple sources:
- "Fact checking Trump and Johnson's election integrity announcement". CNN. April 12, 2024. Archived from the original on April 22, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- Ken Thomas; Erica Werner (January 23, 2017). "Trump wrongly blames fraud for loss of popular vote". Associated Press. Archived from the original on April 23, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- Thompson, Stuart A. (July 5, 2022). "On Conservative Radio, Misleading Message Is Clear: 'Democrats Cheat'". The New York Times. Archived from the original on April 23, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- Corasaniti, Nick (February 12, 2024). "Election Deniers Seek to Rewrite the Law". The New York Times. Archived from the original on April 23, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- Isenstadt, Alex (April 19, 2024). "Trump campaign says it will deploy thousands of election workers to monitor poll sites". Politico. Archived from the original on April 22, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- Przybyla, Heidi (June 1, 2022). "'It's going to be an army': Tapes reveal GOP plan to contest elections". Politico.
- Luciano, Michael (April 23, 2024). "Lara Trump Boasts RNC Will Have 'People Who Can Physically Handle Ballots' on Election Day". Mediaite. Archived from the original on May 11, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- Lutz, Eric (April 19, 2024). "No, Trump's Plan to Deploy 100,000 Poll Workers Isn't About "Election Integrity"". Vanity Fair. Archived from the original on April 19, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- Timm, Jane C. (April 19, 2024). "Trump campaign, RNC pledge to deploy 100,000 attorneys and volunteers to monitor the vote". NBC News. Archived from the original on April 22, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- Slattery, Gram (April 19, 2024). "Trump campaign launches effort to fight voter fraud". Reuters. Archived from the original on April 19, 2024. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- ^ Chalfant, Morgan (March 6, 2024). "U.S. braces for foreign interference in 2024 election". Semafor. Archived from the original on March 11, 2024. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ Hsu, Tiffany; Myers, Steven Lee (April 1, 2024). "China's Advancing Efforts to Influence the U.S. Election Raise Alarms". The New York Times. Archived from the original on April 3, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ De Luce, Dan (February 26, 2024). "Russia's 2024 election interference has already begun". NBC News. Archived from the original on April 1, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Barnes, Julian E.; Sanger, David E. (March 27, 2024). "Russia Amps Up Online Campaign Against Ukraine Before U.S. Elections". The New York Times. Archived from the original on April 2, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ a b Collier, Kevin (August 14, 2024). "Google says it observed Iran trying to hack the Trump and Biden-Harris campaigns". USA Today. Archived from the original on August 16, 2024. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
- ^ Morrison, Dan (August 12, 2024). "FBI probes Trump hack, Harris team says it was also targeted in failed attempt". USA Today. Archived from the original on August 15, 2024.
- ^ "How Trump's criminal and civil cases could shape the 2024 campaign". PBS NewsHour. December 28, 2023. Archived from the original on April 14, 2024. Retrieved April 14, 2024.
- ^ Gamio, Lazaro; Yourish, Karen; Haag, Matthew; Bromwich, Jonah E.; Haberman, Maggie; Lai, K.K. Rebecca (May 30, 2024). "The Trump Manhattan Criminal Verdict, Count By Count". The New York Times. Archived from the original on May 30, 2024. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
- ^ a b Qiu, Linda (May 31, 2024). "Trump and Allies Assail Conviction With Faulty Claims". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on June 1, 2024. Retrieved June 9, 2024.
- ^ "Keeping Track of the Trump Criminal Cases". The New York Times. July 26, 2023. Archived from the original on April 27, 2024. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Berman, Dan (March 23, 2023). "Carroll v. Trump jurors will be anonymous, judge says, citing Trump's reaction to hush money investigation". CNN. Archived from the original on April 2, 2023. Retrieved March 24, 2023.
- ^ Blake, Aaron (July 19, 2023). "Judge clarifies: Yes, Trump was found to have raped E. Jean Carroll". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on January 16, 2024. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Queen, Jack; Cohen, Luc (May 9, 2023). "Jury finds Trump sexually abused writer E. Jean Carroll, awards her $5 mln". Reuters. Archived from the original on May 9, 2023. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
- ^ Stempel, Jonathan (March 28, 2023). "Trump fails to narrow rape accuser's case as trial looms". Reuters. Archived from the original on April 5, 2023. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ Boboltz, Sara (January 26, 2024). "Jury Awards E. Jean Carroll Over $80 Million In Case Against Trump". HuffPost. Archived from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ a b Lange, Jason (April 10, 2024). "Trump hush money charges seen as serious by most voters, Reuters/Ipsos finds". Reuters. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ "Two-thirds of registered voters say Trump's hush money charges are serious". Ipsos. April 10, 2024. Archived from the original on April 27, 2024. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Thompson, Alex; Nichols, Hans (June 1, 2024). "Poll: 49% of Independents think Trump should drop out post-guilty verdict". Axios. Archived from the original on June 1, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ Bushard, Brian (June 1, 2024), "First Polls After Trump Conviction: Warning Signs For Republican", Forbes
- ^ Feuer, Alan; Haberman, Maggie (March 14, 2024). "Trump's Court Delays Pile Up While the Presidential Race Gathers Speed". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 28, 2024. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Knutson, Jacob (January 9, 2024). "Where the legal debate stands on whether Trump can pardon himself". Axios. Archived from the original on April 28, 2024. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Hurley, Lawrence (July 1, 2024). "Supreme Court provides win to Trump, ruling he has immunity for many acts in election interference indictment". NBC News. Archived from the original on July 1, 2024. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
- ^ Fisher, Joe (July 1, 2024). "Supreme Court rules Trump has partial immunity for official acts only". United Press International. Archived from the original on July 1, 2024. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
- ^ Savage, Charlie (July 1, 2024). "Highlights of the Supreme Court Ruling on Presidential Immunity". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 2, 2024. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
- ^ Ramey, Corinne; Fanelli, James (July 2, 2024). "Judge Delays Trump Hush-Money Sentencing to Rule on Immunity". Wall Street Journal. Archived from the original on July 4, 2024. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
- ^ Barrett, Devlin; Stein, Perry (July 2, 2024). "Justice Dept. plans to pursue Trump cases past Election Day, even if he wins". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 3, 2024. Retrieved July 4, 2024.
- ^ Cheney, Kyle; Gerstein, Josh (July 1, 2024). "Trump's election subversion case heads back to Judge Chutkan. But it may never reach a jury". Politico. Archived from the original on July 2, 2024. Retrieved July 4, 2024.
- ^ Pezenik, Sasha; Margolin, Josh (February 2, 2024). "The top threats facing the 2024 election". ABC News. Archived from the original on July 7, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
- ^ Solender, Andrew (May 30, 2024). "Lawmakers fear potential unrest after Trump verdict". Axios. Archived from the original on July 3, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
- ^ Hakim, Danny; Bensinger, Ken; Sullivan, Eileen (May 20, 2024). "'We'll See You at Your House': How Fear and Menace Are Transforming Politics". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on June 24, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
- ^ Walton, Daniel (July 30, 2024). "'Ripe for political violence': US election officials are quitting at an alarming rate". The Guardian. Archived from the original on April 8, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
- ^ Baker, Peter (December 1, 2022). "Trump Embraces Extremism as He Seeks to Reclaim Office". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 16, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
Analysts and strategists see Mr. Trump's pivot toward the far right as a tactic to re-create political momentum ... Mr. Trump has long flirted with the fringes of American society as no other modern president has, openly appealing to prejudice based on race, religion, national origin and sexual orientation, among others ... Mr. Trump's expanding embrace of extremism has left Republicans once again struggling to figure out how to distance themselves from him.
- ^ Swenson, Ali; Kunzelman, Michael (November 18, 2023). "Fears of political violence are growing as the 2024 campaign heats up and conspiracy theories evolve". The Associated Press. Archived from the original on May 11, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
Trump has amplified social media accounts that promote QAnon, which grew from the far-right fringes of the internet to become a fixture of mainstream Republican politics ... In his 2024 campaign, Trump has ramped up his combative rhetoric with talk of retribution against his enemies. He recently joked about the hammer attack on Paul Pelosi and suggested that retired Gen. Mark Milley, a former Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman, should be executed for treason.
- ^ Nacos, Brigitte L.; Shapiro, Robert Y.; Bloch-Elkon, Yaeli (2020). "Donald Trump: Aggressive Rhetoric and Political Violence". Perspectives on Terrorism. 14 (5). International Centre for Counter-Terrorism: 2–25. ISSN 2334-3745. JSTOR 26940036.
- ^ Layne, Nathan; Slattery, Gram; Reid, Tim (April 3, 2024). "Trump calls migrants 'animals,' intensifying focus on illegal immigration". Reuters. Archived from the original on June 17, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
While speaking of Laken Riley – a 22-year-old nursing student from Georgia allegedly murdered by a Venezuelan immigrant in the country illegally – Trump said some immigrants were sub-human. "The Democrats say, 'Please don't call them animals. They're humans.' I said, 'No, they're not humans, they're not humans, they're animals,'" said Trump, president from 2017 to 2021.
- ^ a b Haberman, Maggie; Nehamas, Nicholas; McFadden, Alyce (October 3, 2023). "Trump Said Shoplifters Should Be Shot, Part of a String of Violent Remarks". The New York Times. Archived from the original on October 8, 2023. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Gabriel, Trip (October 5, 2023). "Trump Escalates Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric With 'Poisoning the Blood' Comment". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 17, 2024. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
- ^ a b LeVine, Marianne (November 12, 2023). "Trump calls political enemies 'vermin,' echoing dictators Hitler, Mussolini". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on November 13, 2023. Retrieved November 12, 2023.
- ^ a b Gold, Michael; Huynh, Anjali (April 2, 2024). "Trump Again Invokes 'Blood Bath' and Dehumanizes Migrants in Border Remarks". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 2, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Basu, Zachary (October 4, 2023). "Trump's words turn violent as pressure on him builds". Axios. Archived from the original on July 10, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
- ^ Attributed to multiple sources:[103][104][105][106][107][108][109]
- ^ Ibssa, Lalee; Kim, Soo Rin (April 30, 2024). "Trump says 'it depends' if there will be violence if he loses 2024 election to Biden". ABC News. Archived from the original on April 30, 2024. Retrieved April 30, 2024.
- ^ "Biden condemns 'sick' attempt on Trump's life". BBC. July 14, 2024. Archived from the original on July 14, 2024. Retrieved July 14, 2024.
- ^ a b Barnes, Julian E.; Gold, Michael; Levien, Simon J. (July 13, 2024). "Live Updates: Trump 'Safe' After Shooting at Rally; Suspect Killed". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on July 13, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
- ^ "FBI identifies Thomas Matthew Crooks as 'subject involved' in Trump rally shooting". Reuters. July 14, 2024. Archived from the original on July 14, 2024. Retrieved July 14, 2024.
- ^ Cheatle, Kimberly (July 15, 2024). "Statement From U.S. Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle" (Press release). United States Secret Service. Archived from the original on July 15, 2024. Retrieved July 15, 2024.
Secret Service personnel on the ground moved quickly during the incident, with our counter sniper team neutralizing the shooter and our agents implementing protective measures to ensure the safety of former president Donald Trump.
- ^ McArdle, Megan (May 21, 2015). "2016 Might Look Safe to Democrats. But 2024?". Bloomberg L.P. Archived from the original on October 23, 2015. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
- ^ Janda, Kenneth (2013). The Challenge of Democracy: American Government in Global Politics. Wadsworth. p. 218. ISBN 978-1-133-60230-9.
- ^ Neale, Thomas (2012). The Electoral College: How It Works in Contemporary Presidential Elections (PDF). Congressional Research Service. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
- ^ Allen, Mike; VandeHei, Jim (May 6, 2024). "Behind the Curtain: 6% of six states". Axios. Archived from the original on May 11, 2024. Retrieved May 12, 2024.
- ^ "North Carolina may be the hottest political battleground of 2024". The Economist. ISSN 0013-0613. Archived from the original on June 15, 2023. Retrieved August 9, 2023.
- ^ Mondeaux, Cami (December 30, 2022). "Who's in and who's out: Here are the battleground states to watch in 2024". The Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on December 30, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
- ^ "Over Two Decades, Much of the West Has Turned Blue. Why Hasn't Texas?". governing.com. December 12, 2023. Archived from the original on May 30, 2024. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
- ^ Levitz, Eric (October 19, 2022). "How the Diploma Divide Is Remaking American Politics". New York. Archived from the original on October 20, 2022. Retrieved October 21, 2022.
Blue America is an increasingly wealthy and well-educated place. Throughout the second half of the 20th century, Americans without college degrees were more likely than university graduates to vote Democratic. But that gap began narrowing in the late 1960s before finally flipping in 2004... A more educated Democratic coalition is, naturally, a more affluent one... In every presidential election from 1948 to 2012, white voters in the top 5 percent of America's income distribution were more Republican than those in the bottom 95 percent. Now, the opposite is true: Among America's white majority, the rich voted to the left of the middle class and the poor in 2016 and 2020, while the poor voted to the right of the middle class and the rich.
- ^ Edsall, Thomas (February 1, 2023). "How Much Longer Can 'Vote Blue No Matter Who!' Last?". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on February 8, 2023. Retrieved February 8, 2023.
- ^ Goldberg, Zach (January 31, 2023). "The Rise of College-Educated Democrats". Manhattan Institute. Archived from the original on February 8, 2023. Retrieved February 8, 2023.
- ^ Munis, Kal; Jacobs, Nicholas (October 20, 2022). "Why Resentful Rural Americans Vote Republican". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on October 20, 2022. Retrieved October 21, 2022.
...that the disproportionately White, older, more religious, less affluent and less highly educated voters who live in rural areas are more likely to hold socially conservative views generally championed by Republicans. Meanwhile, urban areas are filled with younger, more racially diverse, more highly educated and more affluent people who hold the more socially liberal views generally championed by Democrats.
- ^ Brownstein, Roland (August 10, 2021). "This may be the Democrats' last chance to recover working-class Whites". CNN. Archived from the original on May 26, 2023. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
- ^ Charen, Mona (November 9, 2018). "Who Votes Republican". RealClearPolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. Archived from the original on November 16, 2018. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
- ^ Cost, Jay. "Losing the Suburbs". AEI.com. AEI. Archived from the original on February 21, 2020. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
- ^ Gonyea, Don (March 31, 2021). "Amid Changing Political Landscape, Suburbs No Longer Belong To GOP". NPR. Archived from the original on March 31, 2021. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
- ^ Goldmacher, Shane (November 5, 2023). "Trump Leads in 5 Critical States as Voters Blast Biden, Times/Siena Poll Finds". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on November 28, 2023. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ Cohn, Nate (September 15, 2023). "Why Are Democrats Losing Ground Among Nonwhite Voters? 5 Theories". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on November 28, 2023. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ Cohn, Nate (September 5, 2023). "Consistent Signs of Erosion in Black and Hispanic Support for Biden". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on November 27, 2023. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ Shalal, Andrea (October 31, 2023). "Arab American support for Biden, Democrats plummets over Israel, poll shows". Reuters. Archived from the original on December 2, 2023. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ Cohn, Nate (November 27, 2023). "Why Biden's Weakness Among Young Voters Should Be Taken Seriously". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on November 28, 2023. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ Adam Carlson (December 4, 2023). "What Do Aggregated Crosstabs Tell Us About 2024?". Split Ticket. Archived from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved January 27, 2024.
- ^ Arlette Saenz; MJ Lee (January 12, 2024). "Biden campaign grapples with undecided voters who don't yet believe Trump could be the nominee". CNN. Archived from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved January 27, 2024.
- ^ Mellman, Mark (December 6, 2023). "The problem with interpreting poll crosstabs". The Hill. Archived from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved January 27, 2024.
- ^ Faria, Zachary (November 7, 2023). "Trump's strong general election polling is a mirage". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved January 27, 2024.
- ^ "The Unpollable Election". Yahoo News. December 19, 2023. Archived from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved January 27, 2024.
- ^ "For Biden, youth vote polling is a warning, not the apocalypse". Brookings. Archived from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved January 27, 2024.
- ^ "Here's why abortion will be such a big issue for the ballot come November". NBC. March 11, 2024. Archived from the original on March 11, 2024. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
- ^ a b For sources on this, see:
- Edsall, Thomas B. (April 12, 2023). "How The Right Came To Embrace Intrusive Government". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
Republicans in states across the country are defiantly pushing for the criminalization of abortion — of the procedure, of abortifacient drugs and of those who travel out of state to terminate pregnancy... According to research provided to The Times by the Kaiser Family Foundation, states that have abortion bans at various early stages of pregnancy with no exception for rape or incest include Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia and Wisconsin.
- Allison, Natalie (June 24, 2022). "Roe reversal divides 2024 GOP field". Politico. Archived from the original on June 28, 2022. Retrieved June 25, 2022.
- Weisman, Jonathan (April 11, 2023). "Pressured by Their Base on Abortion, Republicans Strain to Find a Way Forward". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 11, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- Godfrey, Elaine (May 4, 2022). "The GOP's Strange Turn Against Rape Exceptions". The Atlantic. Archived from the original on May 4, 2022. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- Edsall, Thomas B. (April 12, 2023). "How The Right Came To Embrace Intrusive Government". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- ^ Shapero, Julia (June 24, 2022). "Trump credits himself for abortion ruling". Axios. Archived from the original on December 16, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Feiner, Lauren (May 20, 2022). "Democratic senators concerned about phone location data being used to track people seeking abortions". CNBC. Archived from the original on May 20, 2022. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- ^ Kilgore, Ed (June 21, 2023). "House GOP Forges Ahead on Wildly Unpopular National Abortion Ban". Intelligencer. Archived from the original on November 15, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
- ^ "Trump: 'I was able to kill Roe v. Wade'". NBC News. May 17, 2023. Archived from the original on February 5, 2024. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
- ^ "Trump criticizes Republicans pushing abortion bans with no exceptions: 'You're not going to win'". NBC News. September 16, 2023. Archived from the original on February 5, 2024. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
- ^ a b Cortellessa, Eric (April 30, 2024). "How Far Trump Would Go". Time. Archived from the original on May 11, 2024. Retrieved May 11, 2024.
- ^ Astor, Maggie (July 21, 2024). "Where Kamala Harris Stands on the Issues: Abortion, Immigration and More". New York Times.
- ^ Messerly, Megan; Ollstein, Alice Miranda (July 29, 2024). "Kamala Harris' call for 'reproductive freedom' means restoring Roe". Politico.
- ^ Leonhardt, David (January 17, 2024). "A 2024 Vulnerability". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 26, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ "Americans agree that the 2024 election will be pivotal for democracy, but for different reasons". Associated Press. December 15, 2023. Archived from the original on December 16, 2023. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
- ^ M. Jones, Jeffrey (July 12, 2024). "Sharply More Americans Want to Curb Immigration to U.S." Gallup. Archived from the original on July 20, 2024. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ Frankovic, Kathy (August 19, 2021). "White Republicans see the white population decline in America as a bad thing". YouGov. Archived from the original on November 29, 2023. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ "America's immigration policies are failing". The Economist. Archived from the original on January 26, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ Montoya-Galvez, Camilo (July 1, 2024). "Illegal crossings at U.S.-Mexico border fall to 3-year low, the lowest level under Biden". CBS News. Archived from the original on July 10, 2024. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
- ^ "Border arrests drop 33% to a 46-month low in July after asylum restrictions take hold". The Associated Press. August 16, 2024. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
- ^ Arnsdorf, Isaac (January 28, 2024). "Trump brags about efforts to stymie border talks: 'Please blame it on me'". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on January 28, 2024. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
- ^ "Senate GOP blocks bipartisan border deal and foreign aid package in key vote". CNN. February 7, 2024. Archived from the original on March 24, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Kane, Paul (February 7, 2024). "Senate Republicans retreating into the same ungovernable chaos as House GOP". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on February 7, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Jacqueline Alemany; Marianna Sotomayor; Leigh Ann Caldwell; Liz Goodwin (January 7, 2024). "GOP leaders face unrest amid chaotic, bungled votes". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on June 19, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Liz Goodwin; Leigh Ann Caldwell; Abigail Hauslohner (February 7, 2024). "Senate GOP blocks border deal; future of Ukraine, Israel aid unclear". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on February 8, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Richard Cowan; Picas Costas. "US Senate unveils $118 billion bill on border security, aid for Ukraine, Israel". Reuters. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
- ^ a b c Charlie Savage; Maggie Haberman; Jonathan Swan (November 11, 2023). "Sweeping Raids, Giant Camps and Mass Deportations: Inside Trump's 2025 Immigration Plans". The New York Times. Archived from the original on April 25, 2024. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
- ^ Garsd, Jasmine (December 13, 2023). "Where the Republican presidential candidates stand on immigration". NPR. Archived from the original on February 10, 2024. Retrieved February 10, 2024.
- ^ Olympia, Sonnier; Haake, Garrett (February 29, 2024). "Trump's claims of a migrant crime wave are not supported by national data". NBC News. Archived from the original on June 22, 2024. Retrieved June 23, 2024.
- ^ a b c Layne, Nathan; Slattery, Gram; Reid, Tim (April 3, 2024). "Trump calls migrants 'animals,' intensifying focus on illegal immigration". Reuters. Archived from the original on June 17, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
While speaking of Laken Riley – a 22-year-old nursing student from Georgia allegedly murdered by a Venezuelan immigrant in the country illegally – Trump said some immigrants were sub-human. "The Democrats say, 'Please don't call them animals. They're humans.' I said, 'No, they're not humans, they're not humans, they're animals,'" said Trump, president from 2017 to 2021.
- ^ Iati, Marisa (March 16, 2024). "Trump says some undocumented immigrants are 'not people'". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on March 16, 2024. Retrieved March 17, 2024.
- ^ Huynh, Anjali; Gold, Michael (March 17, 2024). "Trump Says Some Migrants Are 'Not People' and Predicts a 'Blood Bath' if He Loses". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 23, 2024. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
- ^ a b Astor, Maggie (March 17, 2024). "Trump Doubles Down on Migrants 'Poisoning' the Country". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 25, 2024. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
- ^ Sullivan, Kate (October 6, 2023). "Trump's anti-immigrant comments draw rebuke". CNN. Archived from the original on November 15, 2023. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
- ^ LeVine, Marianne; Kornfield, Maryl (October 12, 2023). "Trump's anti-immigrant onslaught sparks fresh alarm heading into 2024". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on June 19, 2024. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
- ^ a b Nacos, Brigitte L.; Shapiro, Robert Y.; Bloch-Elkon, Yaeli (2020). "Donald Trump: Aggressive Rhetoric and Political Violence". Perspectives on Terrorism. 14 (5). International Centre for Counter-Terrorism: 2–25. ISSN 2334-3745. JSTOR 26940036.
- ^ "RFK Jr. Sides with Texas in Border Battle Against Biden Admin". MSN. Archived from the original on March 22, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ Halper, Evan; Olorunnipa, Toluse (December 31, 2023). "U.S. oil production hit a record under Biden. He seldom mentions it". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on January 18, 2024. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
- ^ "IEA Global Energy Crisis". International Energy Agency. October 2022. Archived from the original on December 6, 2022. Retrieved December 6, 2022.
- ^ Waldman, Scott (January 16, 2024). "No more going wobbly in climate fight, Trump supporters vow". Politico. Archived from the original on January 17, 2024. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
- ^ Joyella, Mark (March 21, 2022). "On Fox, Donald Trump Calls Climate Change A 'Hoax': 'In The 1920's They Were Talking About Global Freezing'". Forbes. Archived from the original on December 12, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ Lindsay, James M. (December 1, 2023). "Campaign Roundup: The Republican Presidential Candidates on Climate Change". Council on Foreign Relations. Archived from the original on December 12, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
Donald Trump hasn't said how he would approach climate change if he returns to the White House. But during his first term in office, he withdrew the United States from the Paris Agreement and regularly ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change.
- ^ Geiger, Julianne (May 11, 2023). "Trump Promises To "Drill, Baby, Drill" If Elected". Oilprice.com. Archived from the original on December 12, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f Colvin, Jill (November 12, 2023). "Trump's plans if he returns to the White House include deportation raids, tariffs and mass firings". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 10, 2023. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
- ^ Friedman, Lisa (March 18, 2024). "Trump's Violent Language Toward EVs". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on March 21, 2024. Retrieved March 21, 2024.
- ^ Joselow, Maxine; Puko, Timothy (December 11, 2023). "Specter of second Trump term looms over global climate talks". Washington Post. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ Bordoff, Jason (December 2022). "America's Landmark Climate Law". International Monetary Fund. Archived from the original on January 18, 2024. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
The Inflation Reduction Act is the most significant piece of climate legislation in the history of the United States.
- ^ Fields, Gary; Sanders, Linley (December 15, 2023). "Americans agree that the 2024 election will be pivotal for democracy, but for different reasons". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 16, 2023. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
- ^ Balz, Dan; Ence Morse, Clara (August 18, 2023). "American democracy is cracking. These forces help explain why". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on November 15, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
- ^ Leonhardt, David (September 17, 2022). "A Crisis Coming: The Twin Threats to American Democracy". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 1, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
- ^ Gambino, Lauren (November 5, 2023). "With the US election a year away, most Americans don't want Biden or Trump". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on November 16, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
- ^ Smith, Allan; Gomez, Henry J. (November 7, 2022). "Republicans switched gears to focus on issues such as inflation and crime that poll highest among voter concerns". NBC News. Archived from the original on November 7, 2022. Retrieved May 3, 2023.
- ^ "Is Our Democracy Under Threat?". rutgers.edu. Archived from the original on October 25, 2022. Retrieved May 3, 2023.
- ^ Baker, Peter (December 9, 2023). "Talk of a Trump Dictatorship Charges the American Political Debate". The New York Times. Archived from the original on December 9, 2023. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- ^ Savage, Charlie (April 24, 2024). "Trump's Immunity Claim Joins His Plans to Increase Executive Power". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 24, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
- ^ Swan, Jonathan; Savage, Charlie; Maggie, Haberman (July 17, 2023). "Trump and Allies Forge Plans to Increase Presidential Power in 2025". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 13, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ Liptak, Adam (June 5, 2024). "Trump's Vows to Prosecute Rivals Put Rule of Law on the Ballot". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on June 9, 2024. Retrieved June 9, 2024.
- ^ Peter, Stone (November 10, 2023). "Trump suggests he would use FBI to go after political rivals if elected in 2024". The Guardian. Archived from the original on June 7, 2024. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ^ Homans, Charles (April 27, 2024). "Donald Trump Has Never Sounded Like This". New York Magazine. Archived from the original on July 19, 2024. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Sherman, Carter (August 5, 2024). "Project 2025: what does the rightwing blueprint say about abortion?". The Guardian. Archived from the original on August 8, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ Bader, Eleanor J. (July 27, 2024). "Project 2025 Isn't Just Anti-Abortion. It Attacks Surrogacy, IVF, Contraception". Truthout. Archived from the original on August 7, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "What is Project 2025? Wish list for a Trump presidency, explained". www.bbc.com. Archived from the original on June 12, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ Greenhouse, Steven (August 4, 2024). "Trump claims he's pro-worker. Project 2025 will gut labor rights". The Guardian. Archived from the original on August 8, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "What is Project 2025 and what does it mean for LGBTQ Americans?". www.advocate.com. Archived from the original on August 4, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ Armour, Stephanie. "Inside Project 2025: Former Trump official outlines hard right turn against abortion". ABC News. Archived from the original on August 5, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "Russell Vought, a Project 2025 architect, is ready to shock Washington if Trump wins second term". Yahoo News. August 5, 2024. Archived from the original on August 5, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ Blitzer, Jonathan (July 15, 2024). "Inside the Trump Plan for 2025". The New Yorker. Archived from the original on August 5, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024 – via www.newyorker.com.
- ^ "Project 2025 shakes up leadership after criticism from Democrats and Trump, but says work goes on". Associated Press. July 30, 2024. Archived from the original on August 5, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ Haberman, Maggie; Nehamas, Nicholas; McFadden, Alyce (October 3, 2023). "Trump Said Shoplifters Should Be Shot, Part of a String of Violent Remarks". The New York Times. Archived from the original on October 8, 2023. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
- ^ LeVine, Marianne (November 12, 2023). "Trump calls political enemies 'vermin,' echoing dictators Hitler, Mussolini". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on November 13, 2023. Retrieved November 12, 2023.
- ^ Gold, Michael; Huynh, Anjali (April 2, 2024). "Trump Again Invokes 'Blood Bath' and Dehumanizes Migrants in Border Remarks". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on April 2, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Weissert, Will (January 4, 2024). "One attack, two interpretations: Biden and Trump both make the Jan. 6 riot a political rallying cry". Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 5, 2024. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ^ Mascaro, Lisa (January 6, 2024). "On Jan. 6 many Republicans blamed Trump for the Capitol riot. Now they endorse his presidential bid". Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 6, 2024. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ^ Price, Michelle L.; Colvin, Jill; Beaumont, Thomas (January 6, 2024). "Trump downplays Jan. 6 on the anniversary of the Capitol siege and calls jailed rioters 'hostages'". Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 6, 2024. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ^ Ibssa, Lalee; Kim, Soo Rin (April 30, 2024). "Trump says 'it depends' if there will be violence if he loses 2024 election to Biden". ABC News. Archived from the original on April 30, 2024. Retrieved April 30, 2024.
- ^ Goldmacher, Shane (October 17, 2022). "Republicans Gain Edge as Voters Worry About Economy, Times/Siena Poll Finds". The New York Times. Archived from the original on October 20, 2022. Retrieved October 21, 2022.
- ^ Montanaro, Domenico (March 29, 2023). "Poll: Dangers for both parties on the economy, crime and transgender rights". NPR. Archived from the original on March 29, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
- ^ Roche, Darragh (July 19, 2023). "Election 2024 poll: How voters feel about key issues". Newsweek. Archived from the original on January 26, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ Levitz, Eric (April 24, 2024). "Trump's team keeps promising to increase inflation". Vox. Archived from the original on July 10, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
- ^ Burns, Tobias (July 10, 2024). "Experts see potential for higher inflation under Trump". The Hill. Archived from the original on July 23, 2024. Retrieved July 31, 2024.
A growing number of investors and economists see inflation rising if former President Trump and Republicans sweep the upcoming elections. As Trump opens a wider lead in polling over President Biden, economic experts say his proposed tax and tariff policies could lead to higher prices, after more than two years of the incumbent fighting inflation.
- ^ Wiseman, Paul (May 21, 2024). "Trump or Biden? Either way, US seems poised to preserve heavy tariffs on imports". Associated Press. Archived from the original on May 21, 2024. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
Trump has vowed more of the same in a second term. He's threatening to impose a 10% tariff on all imports — and a 60% tax on Chinese goods...Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, warns that the consequences would be damaging. Trump's tariff plans, Zandi said, 'would spark higher inflation, reduce GDP and jobs and increase unemployment, all else equal.'
- ^ "Trumponomics would not be as bad as most expect". The Economist. July 11, 2024. ISSN 0013-0613. Archived from the original on August 8, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
- ^ Nichols, Hans (June 25, 2024). "Scoop: 16 Nobel economists see a Trump inflation bomb". Axios. Cox Enterprises. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ Picciotto, Rebecca (June 25, 2024). "Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists warn a second Trump term would 'reignite' inflation". CNBC. Archived from the original on June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ Picchi, Aimee (June 25, 2024). "16 Nobel Prize-winning economists warn that Trump's economic plans could reignite inflation". www.cbsnews.com. Archived from the original on July 9, 2024. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
Trump's policies could prove to be inflationary, other economists also warned, such as his proposal to create a 10% across-the-board tariff on all imports to deporting immigrants. The tariff plan would add $1,700 in annual costs for the typical U.S. household, essentially acting as an inflationary tax, according to experts at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
- ^ Bade, Gavin (August 4, 2024). "Trump's trade guru plots an even more disruptive second term". Politico. Archived from the original on August 4, 2024. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ Kiernan, Paul; DeBarros, Anthony (July 11, 2024). "Economists Say Inflation Would Be Worse Under Trump Than Biden". The Wall Street Journal. Archived from the original on August 2, 2024. Retrieved July 31, 2024.
Conducted July 5–9...of the 50 who answered questions about Trump and Biden 56% said inflation would be higher under another Trump term than a Biden term, versus 16% who said the opposite...Fifty-one percent of economists anticipate larger federal budget deficits under a Trump presidency, compared to 22% under Biden.
- ^ Oliphant, James; Slattery, Gram (April 24, 2024). "Trump's second-term agenda: deportations, trade wars, drug dealer death penalty". Reuters. Archived from the original on December 5, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Boak, Josh; Colvin, Jill (April 15, 2024). "Tax Day reveals a major split in how Joe Biden and Donald Trump would govern". Associated Press. Archived from the original on April 27, 2024. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ a b Savage, Charlie; Swan, Jonathan; Haberman, Maggie (December 26, 2023). "A New Tax on Imports and a Split From China: Trump's 2025 Trade Agenda". The New York Times. Archived from the original on December 26, 2023. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
- ^ a b Basu, Zachary (May 8, 2024). "Trump's inflation bomb: How his second-term plans could make it worse". Axios. Archived from the original on May 11, 2024. Retrieved May 11, 2024.
- ^ Stein, Jeff (January 27, 2024). "Donald Trump is preparing for a massive new trade war with China". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ "Donald Trump's second term would be a protectionist nightmare". The Economist. October 31, 2023. Archived from the original on May 12, 2024. Retrieved May 11, 2024.
- ^ Helleiner, Eric (2021). "The Return of National Self-Sufficiency? Excavating Autarkic Thought in a De-Globalizing Era". International Studies Review. 23 (3): 933–957. doi:10.1093/isr/viaa092. ISSN 1468-2486.
- ^ Wilson, Reid (June 23, 2021). "GOP sees critical race theory battle as potent midterm weapon". The Hill. Archived from the original on June 23, 2021. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- ^ Asmelash, Leah (May 5, 2021). "A school district tried to address racism, a group of parents fought back". CNN. Archived from the original on October 19, 2021. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- ^ Snyder, Timothy (June 29, 2021). "The War on History Is a War on Democracy". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on July 4, 2021. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- ^ McGraw, Meredith (January 26, 2023). "Trump unveils new education policy loaded with culture war proposals". Politico. Archived from the original on December 16, 2023. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
- ^ Allen, Jonathan; Dixon, Matt (October 20, 2023). "Israel-Hamas war ignites fight between Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley". NBC News. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
- ^ a b Swan, Jonathan; Savage, Charlie; Haberman, Maggie (December 9, 2023). "Fears of a NATO Withdrawal Rise as Trump Seeks a Return to Power". The New York Times. Archived from the original on December 10, 2023. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
- ^ Brownstein, Ronald (March 28, 2023). "In 2024, Republicans may complete a historic foreign policy reversal". CNN. Archived from the original on March 28, 2023. Retrieved June 29, 2023.
- ^ Baker, Peter (February 11, 2024). "Favoring Foes Over Friends, Trump Threatens to Upend International Order". The New York Times. ISSN 1553-8095. Archived from the original on February 20, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
- ^ Hayden, Jones (June 16, 2024). "Trump threatens to cut US aid to Ukraine quickly if reelected". Politico Europe. Archived from the original on June 22, 2024. Retrieved June 23, 2024.
- ^ Barnes, Julian E.; Helene, Cooper (January 14, 2019). "Trump Discussed Pulling U.S. From NATO, Aides Say Amid New Concerns Over Russia". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
- ^ "What have US presidential candidates said about Hamas' attack on Israel?". Reuters. October 12, 2023. Archived from the original on November 1, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
- ^ Lange, Jason; Spetalnick, Matt (November 15, 2023). "US public support for Israel drops; majority backs a ceasefire, Reuters/Ipsos shows". Reuters. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
- ^ Baker, Peter (May 2, 2024). "Biden Denounces Violence on Campus, Breaking Silence After Rash of Arrests". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on May 16, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ Dawsey, Josh; DeYoung, Karen; LeVine, Marianne (May 27, 2024). "Trump told donors he will crush pro-Palestinian protests, deport demonstrators". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on June 1, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ Larry Levitt (July 20, 2023). "Health Care Issues in the Early Stages of the 2024 Election". KFF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
- ^ Bradner, Eric (September 12, 2023). "2024 GOP contenders clash over Covid-19 records as they warn against future mandates". CNN. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
- ^ Browning, Kellen (March 11, 2024). "Trump Mentions Cutting Entitlements, and Biden Pounces". The New York Times. Archived from the original on March 11, 2024. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
- ^ Cancryn, Adam (March 11, 2024). "Trump tees up a Biden broadside on Social Security". Politico. Archived from the original on March 22, 2024. Retrieved March 21, 2024.
- ^ Benson, Samuel (November 2, 2023). "RFK Jr.'s big gamble". Deseret News. Archived from the original on November 2, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
He's shared a number of controversial theories relating to school shootings and COVID-19 vaccines. In more recent interviews, however, he's taken a more measured approach... Early polls show Kennedy polling in the teens or low 20s — a major underdog, but enough to put both major party nominees on edge...
- ^ a b Benson, Samuel (November 21, 2023). "Cornel West thinks the U.S. is in "spiritual decay." That's why he's running for president". Deseret News. Archived from the original on December 4, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ Rogers, Kaleigh; Radcliffe, Mary (May 25, 2023). "Over 100 Anti-LGBTQ+ Laws Passed In The Last Five Years — Half Of Them This Year". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on May 25, 2023. Retrieved May 30, 2023.
- ^ "BREAKING: Louisiana Legislature Passes Bills Targeting LGBTQ+ Youth". Human Rights Campaign. June 5, 2023. Archived from the original on June 6, 2023. Retrieved June 6, 2023.
- ^ a b Chen, Shawna (January 31, 2023). "Trump unveils sweeping attack on trans rights". Axios. Archived from the original on December 16, 2023. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
- ^ Dorn, Sara (May 10, 2024). "Trump Promises Rollback On Trans Rights: Here's What He's Said". Forbes. Archived from the original on May 12, 2024. Retrieved May 11, 2024.
- ^ Migdon, Brooke (February 1, 2023). "Trump vows to punish doctors, hospitals that provide gender-affirming care to transgender minors". The Hill. Archived from the original on February 5, 2024. Retrieved February 10, 2024.
- ^ Rafford, Claire (January 19, 2022). "Biden commits to Harris as his running mate for 2024". Politico. Archived from the original on January 27, 2022. Retrieved January 19, 2022.
- ^ Evans, Gareth (April 25, 2023). "President Joe Biden launches 2024 re-election campaign". BBC News. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ^ Garrison, Joey. "VP Kamala Harris becomes Republicans' go-to target after Biden launches 2024 reelection bid". USA Today. Archived from the original on April 29, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
- ^ Gangitano, Alex (November 18, 2021). "Harris says 2024 is 'absolutely not' being discussed yet with Biden". The Hill. Archived from the original on November 19, 2021. Retrieved November 19, 2021.
- ^ Watson, Kathryn (August 15, 2022). "Rep. Carolyn Maloney says 'off the record', Biden is 'not running again'". CBS News. Archived from the original on August 28, 2022. Retrieved September 3, 2022.
- ^ Vakil, Caroline (June 23, 2022). "SC Democratic governor candidate says Biden shouldn't run in 2024 due to age". The Hill. Archived from the original on September 3, 2022. Retrieved September 3, 2022.
- ^ Reimann, Nicholas (September 9, 2022). "Rep. Tim Ryan Suggests Biden Shouldn't Run In 2024—Joining These Other Democrats". Forbes. Archived from the original on December 22, 2022. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
- ^ Gittleson, Ben (December 22, 2021). "Biden tells ABC's David Muir 'yes' he'll run again, Trump rematch would 'increase the prospect'". ABC News. Archived from the original on January 30, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
- ^ Silver, Nate (January 28, 2021). "How Popular Is Joe Biden?". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on January 28, 2021. Retrieved June 16, 2023.
- ^ Otterbein, Holly (January 1, 2022). "The left is already looking to 2024. Some want to see a Biden primary challenge". Politico. Archived from the original on January 7, 2022. Retrieved January 8, 2022.
- ^ Dorman, John L. (January 2, 2022). "Former Sanders presidential campaign manager says Biden will have 'a progressive challenger' in 2024". Business Insider. Archived from the original on January 4, 2022. Retrieved January 8, 2022.
- ^ Enten, Harry (December 18, 2022). "How the midterms changed the 2024 primaries for Biden and Trump". CNN. Archived from the original on December 30, 2022. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
- ^ Weissert, Will (February 27, 2023). "Williamson becomes Democratic primary's 1st Biden challenger". Associated Press. Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
- ^ McDuffie, McDuffie; Murray, Isabella (April 20, 2023). "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. launches long shot presidential bid as a Democrat". ABC News. Archived from the original on October 23, 2023. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
- ^ Davis O'Brien, Rebecca (October 9, 2023). "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to Run for President as Independent, Leaving Democratic Primary". The New York Times. Archived from the original on October 9, 2023. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
- ^ Otterbein, Holly; Schneider, Elena (October 26, 2023). "Rep. Dean Phillips files paperwork for presidential bid against Biden". Politico. Archived from the original on October 27, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
- ^ "Statement of Candidacy". docquery.fec.gov. Archived from the original on February 20, 2024. Retrieved June 5, 2024.
- ^ Gibson, Brittany (February 7, 2024). "Marianne Williamson ends her 2024 presidential run". Politico. Archived from the original on February 8, 2024. Retrieved February 7, 2024.
- ^ "Williamson restarts campaign after 3% in Michigan primary vote". United Press International. February 28, 2024. Archived from the original on March 6, 2024. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ Shabad, Rebecca; Egwuonwu, Nnamdi (March 6, 2024). "Dean Phillips ends presidential campaign and endorses Biden". NBC News. Archived from the original on March 8, 2024. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ Murray, Isabella (June 12, 2024). "Marianne Williamson signals end of 2024 bid now that presidential primaries have ended". ABC News. Archived from the original on June 13, 2024. Retrieved June 14, 2024.
- ^ Bickerton, James (March 6, 2024). "Joe Biden is first incumbent president to lose a primary in 44 years". Newsweek. Archived from the original on March 6, 2024. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ Pipia, Lindsey (May 15, 2024). "American Samoa primary victor Jason Palmer bows out of the presidential race". NBC News. Archived from the original on June 5, 2024. Retrieved June 5, 2024.
- ^ Sangal, Aditi; Hammond, Elise; Forrest, Jack; Chowdhury, Maureen (March 12, 2024). "Live updates: Biden secures Democratic nomination as Trump inches closer to GOP one". CNN. Archived from the original on March 12, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- ^ Fortinsky, Sarah (July 2, 2024). "Marianne Williamson calls to replace Biden: 'Today I throw my hat in the ring'". The Hill. Archived from the original on July 3, 2024. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
- ^ Lowenkron, Hadriana (July 29, 2024). "Marianne Williamson Ends Longshot 2024 Presidential Bid". Bloomberg. Retrieved July 29, 2024.
- ^ "What the 'uncommitted' vote says about Biden's reelection". politico.com. Politico. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
- ^ Nichols, John (June 10, 2024). "What the "Uncommitted" Campaign Has Already Won". The Nation. Archived from the original on June 14, 2024. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Two weeks that imperiled Biden's presidency left him on probation in the court of Democratic opinion". Associated Press. July 12, 2024. Archived from the original on July 23, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
- ^ "President Joe Biden tests positive for COVID-19 while campaigning in Las Vegas, has 'mild symptoms'". Associated Press. July 17, 2024. Archived from the original on July 23, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
- ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 21, 2024. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ Johnson, Ted (July 21, 2024). "Joe Biden Endorses Kamala Harris As Democratic Presidential Nominee". Deadline Hollywood. Archived from the original on July 21, 2024. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ Nehamas, Nicholas (July 21, 2024). "Kamala Harris Says She's Running in Biden's Place". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 28, 2024. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ Hutzler, Alexandra; Reinstein, Julia; Peller, Lauren; El-Bawab, Nadine; Sarnoff, Leah (July 22, 2024). "Election 2024 updates: Harris secures enough delegates to become presumptive nominee". ABC News. Archived from the original on July 24, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
- ^ "Harris has secured enough Democratic delegate votes to be the party's nominee, committee chair says". Associated Press. August 2, 2024. Archived from the original on August 2, 2024. Retrieved August 2, 2024.
- ^ "Harris could become the first female president after years of breaking racial and gender barriers". Associated Press. July 21, 2024. Archived from the original on August 7, 2024. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "What we know about military records of Walz and Vance". www.bbc.com. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
- ^ Zeitz, Joshua (November 15, 2022). "4 Ex-Presidents Who Ran Again — And What They Mean for Trump". Politico. Archived from the original on June 8, 2023. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
- ^ Orr, Gabby (November 15, 2022). "Former Republican President Donald Trump says he's launching another White House bid". CNN. Archived from the original on January 15, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
- ^ Jackson, David; Mansfield, Erin; Looker, Rachel (November 15, 2022). "Donald Trump files federal paperwork for 2024 presidential run as GOP debates party future: live updates". USA Today. Archived from the original on November 16, 2022. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
- ^ Bravender, Robin (November 10, 2021). "A top campaign strategist for Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin says 'if Trump runs, Trump will be the nominee' in 2024". Business Insider. Archived from the original on January 9, 2022. Retrieved January 9, 2022.
Immediately after Youngkin's upset win last week, political pundits started chattering about whether the Virginia governor-elect was on a fast track to the White House.
- ^ Hagen, Lisa (March 16, 2022). "Trump Appears to Rule Out Pence as Running Mate in Potential 2024 Run". US News & World Report. Archived from the original on June 16, 2023. Retrieved June 16, 2023.
- ^ Mangan, Dan (April 4, 2023). "NY grand jury indicts Trump in hush money payment case". CNBC. Archived from the original on March 30, 2023. Retrieved March 30, 2023.
- ^ Sangal, Aditi; Hayes, Mike; Powell, Tori B.; Chowdhury, Maureen; Hammond, Elise; Vogt, Adrienne (June 13, 2023). "June 13, 2023 Trump pleads not guilty in historic federal indictment". CNN. Archived from the original on June 14, 2023. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
- ^ Zitner, Aaron; Leary, Alex (June 10, 2023). "Trump Faces 2024 Split Screen of Campaign and Criminal Trials". The Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660. Archived from the original on June 10, 2023. Retrieved July 14, 2023.
- ^ Peoples, Steve; Kinnard, Meg (March 6, 2024). "Nikki Haley suspends her campaign and leaves Donald Trump as the last major Republican candidate". apnews.com. Associated Press. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
- ^ Margaritoff, Marco (July 16, 2022). "Trump Fundraising Slows For First Time In 18 Months, Trails DeSantis". HuffPost. Archived from the original on July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 18, 2022.
- ^ Pengelly, Martin (December 15, 2022). "Trump 'is in trouble', says insider after DeSantis surges in 2024 polls". The Guardian. Archived from the original on January 19, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ Fineout, Gary (December 15, 2022). "DeSantis builds his conservative resume as Trump flounders". Politico. Archived from the original on January 22, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ Peoples, Steve; Gomez Licon, Adriana; Izaguirre, Anthony (May 24, 2023). "DeSantis launches GOP presidential campaign in Twitter announcement plagued by glitches". Associated Press. Archived from the original on May 24, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ^ Pengelly, Martin (May 30, 2023). "Ron DeSantis says he will 'destroy leftism' in US if elected president". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on May 30, 2023. Retrieved May 30, 2023.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 28, 2023). "Who's ahead in the national polls?". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on July 27, 2023. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
- ^ Weisman, Jonathan (January 15, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy, Wealthy Political Novice Who Aligned With Trump, Quits Campaign". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 16, 2024. Retrieved January 15, 2024.
- ^ Hernández, Alec; Dixon, Matt; Burns, Dasha; Allen, Jonathan (January 21, 2024). "Ron DeSantis suspends his presidential bid and endorses Trump". NBC News. Archived from the original on January 21, 2024. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
- ^ Blake, Aaron (February 24, 2024). "3 takeaways from the South Carolina GOP primary". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on February 29, 2024. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ Allison, Natalie (March 6, 2024). "Nikki Haley drops out of Republican primary". Politico. Archived from the original on March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ Allison, Natalie (March 12, 2024). "It's official: Donald Trump is the GOP's presumptive presidential nominee". Politico. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ "JD Vance's Marine Corps Service Would Set Him Apart from Most Vice Presidents | Military.com". www.military.com. Retrieved August 8, 2024.
- ^ Samuels, Brett (July 15, 2024). "Trump picks JD Vance for VP". The Hill. Archived from the original on July 15, 2024. Retrieved July 15, 2024.
- ^ "Takeaways from the final night of the Republican National Convention". CNN. July 19, 2024. Archived from the original on July 22, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
- ^ Mueller, Julia; Trudo, Hanna (April 4, 2024). "No Labels abandons 2024 presidential effort". The Hill. Archived from the original on April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ Robertson, Nick (May 26, 2024). "Libertarian Party chooses Chase Oliver as presidential nominee". The Hill. Archived from the original on May 27, 2024. Retrieved May 27, 2024.
- ^ Oppenheim, Oren (May 24, 2024). "Could RFK Jr., Libertarian Party team up? How it could be a game-changer for him". ABC News. Archived from the original on May 27, 2024. Retrieved May 27, 2024.
- ^ @DrJillStein (May 26, 2024). "BREAKING: We have received enough delegates to clinch the @GreenPartyUS presidential nomination! We have swept 21 states' delegate selection conventions, bringing our total delegate count to 219. We can't continue this fight without your help! We don't take money from super PACs and rely on supporters like you. Join our movement for people, planet and peace: http://jillstein2024.com/donate" (Tweet). Retrieved May 28, 2024 – via Twitter.
- ^ Kennedy, Kaitlyn (May 26, 2024). "Jill Stein makes major announcement on Green Party nomination for president". MSN. Archived from the original on July 25, 2024. Retrieved May 28, 2024.
- ^ Astor, Maggie (November 9, 2023). "Jill Stein Announces Third-Party Bid For President". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 9, 2023. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Green Party ANM / PNC". Green Party US. April 15, 2024. Retrieved May 27, 2024.
- ^ "Ballot Access Map – Jill Stein 2024". jillstein2024ballotaccess.com. Archived from the original on May 27, 2024. Retrieved June 7, 2024.
- ^ "Green Party candidate Jill Stein selects Dr. Butch Ware as running mate". NewsNationNow.com. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
- ^ Redpath, Bill (June 3, 2023). "Peter Sonski is the American Solidarity Party 2024 Presidential nominee". Ballot Access News. Archived from the original on June 3, 2023. Retrieved June 3, 2023.
- ^ "Approval Voting Party Nominates Blake Huber for President". Ballot Access News. May 28, 2024. Archived from the original on May 31, 2024. Retrieved July 17, 2024.
- ^ Winger, Richard (April 27, 2024). "Randall Terry Wins Constitution Party's Presidential Nomination". Ballot Access News. Archived from the original on April 27, 2024. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Jasmine Sherman 2024 nomination by the Green Party of Alaska. June 24, 2024. Retrieved June 25, 2024 – via YouTube.
- ^ "Nevada and Utah Constitution Parties Nominate Joel Skousen for President". Ballot Access News. May 28, 2024.
- ^ Winger, Richard (May 10, 2023). "Prohibition Party Chooses National 2024 Ticket". Ballot Access News. Archived from the original on November 29, 2023. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
- ^ Evans, Jordan Willow (September 11, 2023). "Party for Socialism and Liberation Announces 2024 Presidential Ticket". Independent Political Report. Archived from the original on September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Candidate Filings". Utah Voter Information. Archived from the original on January 15, 2024. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ Barrickman, Nick (February 27, 2024). "Socialist Equality Party selects Joseph Kishore and Jerry White as its presidential and vice presidential candidates for the 2024 US election". World Socialist Web Site. Archived from the original on March 16, 2024. Retrieved March 16, 2024.
- ^ Sahner, Vivian (March 4, 2024). "Vote Socialist Workers Party! Rachele Fruit • Margaret Trowe for president & vice president". The Militant. Vol. 88, no. 9. Archived from the original on March 6, 2024. Retrieved March 16, 2024.
- ^ Winger, Richard (July 7, 2024). "Legal Marijuana Now Party of Minnesota Nominates Dennis Schuller for President". Ballot Access News.
- ^ Evans, Jordan Willow (June 11, 2024). "Pirate Party Endorses Vermin Supreme for President at National Convention". Independent Political Report. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
- ^ Vermin Supreme (July 9, 2024). SUPER TUESDAYS w/ Vermin Supreme ft. Jonathan Realz!. Retrieved July 17, 2024 – via YouTube.
- ^ Redpath, Bill (October 23, 2023). "Socialist Party USA Nominates Presidential Ticket". Ballot Access News. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- ^ "Socialist Party USA Announces 2024 Presidential Ticket and New Leadership". Independent Political Report. October 23, 2023. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- ^ "Conversations with Tom Ross: The Transhumanist Party's 2024 Presidential Candidate". Scientific Inquirer. October 10, 2023. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Hammons-Led Unity Party of America Selects Paul Fiorino and Matthew May as 2024 Presidential Ticket – Independent Political Report".
- ^ "Anti-vaccine activist RFK Jr. launches presidential campaign". Associated Press. April 19, 2023. Archived from the original on April 30, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
- ^ Gibson, Brittany; Zhang, Andrew (October 9, 2023). "RFK Jr. announces he will run as an independent candidate". Politico. Archived from the original on October 19, 2023. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
- ^ Multiple sources:
- Oshin, Olafimihan (January 23, 2022). "Auschwitz Memorial says RFK Jr. speech at anti-vaccine rally exploits Holocaust tragedy". The Hill. Archived from the original on January 24, 2022. Retrieved January 27, 2022.
During a speech at the rally, Kennedy, a conspiracy theorist and prominent anti-vaxxer, warned of a massive surveillance network being created with satellites in space and 5G mobile networks collecting data.
- "Cheryl Hines Blasts Husband RFK Jr. for Holocaust Remark". The Wrap. January 25, 2022. Archived from the original on January 25, 2022. Retrieved January 27, 2022.
Cheryl Hines has publicly condemned a statement made by her husband Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at a rally on Sunday, in which the environmental lawyer and conspiracy theorist likened COVID regulations to the Holocaust.
- "Guests urged to be vaccinated at anti-vaxxer Robert F Kennedy Jr's party". The Guardian. December 18, 2021. Archived from the original on December 18, 2021. Retrieved January 27, 2022.
The younger Kennedy has campaigned on environmental issues but is also a leading vaccines conspiracy theorist and activist against shots including those approved to combat Covid-19, which has killed more than 805,000 in the US and more than 5.3 million worldwide.
- Dorn, Sara. "RFK Jr. Makes Unfounded Claims About Mass Shootings, Covid-19: Here Are All The Conspiracies He Promotes". Forbes. Archived from the original on June 22, 2023. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
- "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s Conspiracy Theories Go Beyond Vaccines". The New York Times. July 6, 2023. Archived from the original on October 11, 2023. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an environmental lawyer, is a leading vaccine skeptic and purveyor of conspiracy theories who has leaned heavily on misinformation as he mounts his long-shot 2024 campaign for the Democratic nomination.
- Oshin, Olafimihan (January 23, 2022). "Auschwitz Memorial says RFK Jr. speech at anti-vaccine rally exploits Holocaust tragedy". The Hill. Archived from the original on January 24, 2022. Retrieved January 27, 2022.
- ^ Rebecca Klar, Emily Brooks (July 20, 2023). "RFK Jr. hearing puts censorship, misinformation fights at center stage". The Hill. Archived from the original on July 20, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Race Stays Static In The Face Of Major Events, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; RFK Jr. Receives 22% As Independent Candidate In 3-Way Race". Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. November 1, 2023. Archived from the original on November 2, 2023. Retrieved November 2, 2023.
- ^ "In 3-Way Race, Independent Robert Kennedy Jr. Garners 24% Across 6 Battleground States; Trump 35%, Biden 33%, Kennedy 24%; RFK Noses Ahead Among Voters Under 45". Siena College Research Institute. November 7, 2023. Archived from the original on November 13, 2023. Retrieved November 12, 2023.
- ^ Benson, Samuel (November 2, 2023). "RFK Jr.'s big gamble". Deseret News. Archived from the original on November 21, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
Early polls show Kennedy polling in the teens or low 20s
- ^ Enten, Harry (November 11, 2023). "How RFK Jr. could change the outcome of the 2024 election". CNN. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ Koretski, Katherine (August 8, 2024). "RFK Jr.'s incredible disappearing campaign". NBC News. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
- ^ Trudo, Hanna (March 26, 2024). "RFK Jr. announces Nicole Shanahan as VP pick". The Hill. Archived from the original on March 27, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
- ^ "RFK Jr. denied ballot access in New York after judge rules he used 'sham' address on petition". CNN. August 12, 2024. Retrieved August 14, 2024.
- ^ "Indian American Scientist Shiva Ayyadurai joins 2024 US presidential race". Business Insider India. August 2, 2023. Archived from the original on August 3, 2023. Retrieved November 4, 2023.
- ^ "Nikki Haley To Shiva Ayyadurai: The 4 Indian-Americans To Enter 2024 US Presidential Election Race". India.com. August 3, 2023. Archived from the original on November 6, 2023. Retrieved November 4, 2023.
- ^ Bengel, Chris (March 14, 2024). "Lakers part-owner Johnny Buss announces presidential campaign as an independent". CBS Sports. Archived from the original on March 16, 2024. Retrieved March 16, 2024.
- ^ "Johnny Buss, brother of Lakers owner Jeanie Buss, is running for president". Los Angeles Times. March 15, 2024. Archived from the original on March 15, 2024. Retrieved March 16, 2024.
- ^ Curi, Peter (May 8, 2023). "Afroman hosting 2024 presidential campaign show in Lombard". wgntv.com. Archived from the original on May 9, 2023. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
- ^ a b Lafrate, Anthony (August 6, 2023). "Who Are the 2024 3rd-Party Candidates?". catholicvote.org. Archived from the original on November 15, 2023. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
- ^ Foley, Ryan (November 14, 2023). "14 lesser-known candidates running for president in 2024: Afroman". The Christian Post. Archived from the original on January 17, 2024. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ Afroman [@ogafroman] (December 18, 2023). "202Fro In Full Effecc💨🇺🇸 Tickets at http://ogafroman.com" (Tweet). Retrieved January 8, 2024 – via Twitter.
- ^ Hall, Kennedy (May 19, 2023). "Taylor Marshall Running for President: What Does This Mean?". Crisis Magazine. Archived from the original on May 19, 2023. Retrieved May 19, 2023.
- ^ Michael Sean Winters (May 17, 2023). "Taylor Marshall for Prez in 2024! The Catholic candidate whose time has come". ncronline.org. Archived from the original on May 19, 2023. Retrieved May 19, 2023.
- ^ Foley, Ryan (November 14, 2023). "14 lesser-known candidates running for president in 2024: Taylor Marshall". The Christian Post. Archived from the original on January 17, 2024. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ Dickinson, Tim (October 20, 2023). "Kanye is 'Not a Candidate in 2024,' His Lawyer Says". Rolling Stone. Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
- ^ "National 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin". 270toWin.com.
- ^ Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018). "National : President: general election : 2024 Polls". FiveThirtyEight.
- ^ "Relaunched: CPR Harris vs. Trump 2024 National Polling Average | Cook Political Report".
- ^ "Harris vs. Trump polls - The Hill and DDHQ". The Hill.
- ^ Silver, Nate. "FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast". www.natesilver.net.
- ^ "2024 National: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling". www.realclearpolling.com.
- ^ [1]
- ^ Pew Research
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
auto81was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
auto221was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ @RMG_Research (August 2, 2024). "@KamalaHarris 47% @realDonaldTrump 42% @RobertKennedyJr 6%" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
auto91was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
auto178was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
auto109was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ @RMG_Research (July 24, 2024). "When we push to see how people lean, it's Trump 48% Harris 46% Kennedy 2%" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
auto242was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
auto185was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Morris, G. Elliott (July 19, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
- ^ a b "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved August 15, 2024.
- ^ "2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List". Cook Political Report. December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 13, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
- ^ "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 2023.
- ^ Gonzales, Nathan. "2024 Presidential Ratings (May 8, 2024)". Inside Elections. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report. July 9, 2024. Retrieved July 9, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast". CNalysis. August 5, 2024. Archived from the original on December 25, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ Kondik, Kyle (August 7, 2024). "Electoral College Rating Changes". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling". www.realclearpolling.com. Retrieved August 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". Decision Desk HQ/The Hill. Retrieved July 9, 2024.
- ^ McDaniel, Eric (April 14, 2022). "Republicans say they're quitting the 'biased' Commission on Presidential Debates". NPR. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ Boak, Josh; Miller, Zeke; Colvin, Jill (May 15, 2024). "Biden and Trump agree to presidential debates in June on CNN and in September on ABC". Associated Press. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
- ^ Gold, Hadas (June 28, 2024). "51.27 million viewers tuned in to CNN's presidential debate with Biden and Trump". CNN. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
- ^ Shephard, Alex (June 27, 2024). "Ditch Biden. That Debate Performance Was a Disaster". The New Republic. ISSN 0028-6583. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
- ^ "'Babbling' and 'hoarse': Biden's debate performance sends Democrats into a panic". NBC News. June 27, 2024. Archived from the original on June 28, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.
- ^ "A 'disaster': Biden's shaky start in debate with Trump rattles Democrats". Reuters. June 27, 2024.
- ^ Elliot G., Morris; Kaleigh, Rogers (June 27, 2024). "Biden's biggest weakness – his age – on full display tonight at debate: ANALYSIS". ABC News. Archived from the original on June 28, 2024.
Ultimately, Biden won the debate on policy but lost it on presentation, and failed to reassure voters he is up for another four years.
- ^ Ryan, Brad; Clark, Emily; Macmillan, Jade; Thorpe, Andrew; Bevan, Matt (June 27, 2024). "Biden stumbles as Trump deflects in 'game-changing' presidential debate — as it happened". ABC News. Archived from the original on June 28, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.
- ^ Long, Colleen; Kim, Seung Min (July 5, 2024). "Biden dismisses age questions in interview as he tries to salvage reelection effort". Associated Press. Retrieved July 6, 2024.
- ^ Cameron, Chris (June 28, 2024). "Obama Defends Biden: 'Bad Debate Nights Happen'". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 29, 2024.
- ^ Teshome, Eden (June 28, 2024). "Hillary Clinton after debate: 'I'll be voting Biden'". The Hill. Retrieved June 29, 2024.
- ^ Yilek, Caitlin (June 27, 2024). "When the next presidential debate of 2024 takes place and who will moderate it – CBS News". CBS News. Retrieved June 28, 2024.
- ^ Marquez, Alexandra; Alcindor, Yamiche. "Trump ditches upcoming ABC debate, proposes Fox News debate instead". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ Davis, Ebony; Gold, Hadas; Treene, Alayna (August 8, 2024). "Trump and Harris agree to debate on ABC on September 10, network says". CNN. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
- ^ Gleason, Sarah. "Linsey Davis, David Muir to moderate first Harris, Trump debate". USA TODAY. Retrieved August 10, 2024.
- ^ "Harris, Trump to debate Sept. 10 on ABC, network says". The Dallas Morning News. August 8, 2024. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
- ^ Bohannon, Molly. "Harris Offers 2 Debates With Trump: 'The Debate About Debates Is Over'". Forbes. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
- ^ "Vance and Walz agree to a vice presidential debate on Oct. 1 hosted by CBS News". Associated Press. August 15, 2024. Retrieved August 15, 2024.
- ^ Scully, Rachel. "Vance says he'd like to debate Walz 'more than once'". The Hill. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}