Jump to content

National Election Pool: Difference between revisions

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Content deleted Content added
Edited external links to correct: exit-poll.net is not an official NEP page
No edit summary
Line 5: Line 5:
The precursor was [[Voter News Service]], which was disbanded in 2003, after controversies over the [[United States presidential election, 2000 Florida results|2000]] and [[United States congressional elections, 2002|2002]] election results. The NEP plan is largely the suggestion of CNN, which used Edison/Mitofsky as consultants in the past. Mitofsky headed the original pool that preceded VNS.
The precursor was [[Voter News Service]], which was disbanded in 2003, after controversies over the [[United States presidential election, 2000 Florida results|2000]] and [[United States congressional elections, 2002|2002]] election results. The NEP plan is largely the suggestion of CNN, which used Edison/Mitofsky as consultants in the past. Mitofsky headed the original pool that preceded VNS.


Despite the pledge to avoid the mistakes of previous years and the consequent increase in sample size, the NEP had [[2004 United States presidential election controversy, exit polls|exit poll controversies]] in the [[2004 Presidential Election]] when leaked exit polling data was different than the final results, beyond the [[margin of error]]. Some news organizations like [[The New York Times]] and [[The Washington Post]], among others, jumped to the conclusion that Kerry would win the election. NEP/Edison/Mitofsky updated the [[statistical weight]]s to coincide with the vote count. The purpose of the exit poll is not to determine if an election is flawed but the goal of the NEP is to predict winners of races and to describe why a candidate won.
Despite the pledge to avoid the mistakes of previous years and the consequent increase in sample size, the NEP had [[2004 United States presidential election controversy, exit polls|exit poll controversies]] in the [[2004 Presidential Election]] when leaked exit polling data was different than the final results, beyond the [[margin of error]]. Some news organizations like [[The New York Times]] and [[The Washington Post]], among others, began planning for a win by John Kerry. NEP/Edison/Mitofsky updated the [[statistical weight]]s to coincide with the vote count.

Problems struck yet again during the 2006 congressional elections. Early polling data on the [[United States House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] races across the country showed a higher percentage of Democrats having been surveyed than were being shown in raw vote tallies. Most members and subscribers decided to ignore the polling on the night of the election. [http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/08/AR2006110802162_pf.html]

The organizers of the pool insist that the purpose of their quick collection of exit poll data is not to determine if an election is flawed, but rather to project winners of races. Despite past problems, they note that none of their members has incorrectly called a winner since the current system was put in place. [http://www.exit-poll.net/about.html] However, to avoid the premature leaking of data, collection is now done in a "Quarantine Room" at an undisclosed location in New York. All participants are stripped of outside communications devices until it's time for information to be released officially.


==External links==
==External links==

Revision as of 23:34, 2 February 2008

The National Election Pool (NEP) is a consortium of news organizations formed in 2003 to provide "information on Election Night about the vote count, election analysis and election projections." NEP's FAQ

Member companies consist of ABC News, the Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, FOX News and NBC News. The organization relies on the Associated Press to perform vote tabulations and contracted with Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International to "make projections and provide exit poll analysis."

The precursor was Voter News Service, which was disbanded in 2003, after controversies over the 2000 and 2002 election results. The NEP plan is largely the suggestion of CNN, which used Edison/Mitofsky as consultants in the past. Mitofsky headed the original pool that preceded VNS.

Despite the pledge to avoid the mistakes of previous years and the consequent increase in sample size, the NEP had exit poll controversies in the 2004 Presidential Election when leaked exit polling data was different than the final results, beyond the margin of error. Some news organizations like The New York Times and The Washington Post, among others, began planning for a win by John Kerry. NEP/Edison/Mitofsky updated the statistical weights to coincide with the vote count.

Problems struck yet again during the 2006 congressional elections. Early polling data on the House of Representatives races across the country showed a higher percentage of Democrats having been surveyed than were being shown in raw vote tallies. Most members and subscribers decided to ignore the polling on the night of the election. [1]

The organizers of the pool insist that the purpose of their quick collection of exit poll data is not to determine if an election is flawed, but rather to project winners of races. Despite past problems, they note that none of their members has incorrectly called a winner since the current system was put in place. [2] However, to avoid the premature leaking of data, collection is now done in a "Quarantine Room" at an undisclosed location in New York. All participants are stripped of outside communications devices until it's time for information to be released officially.