Alan Greenspan: Difference between revisions
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{{Infobox_President | name =Alan Greenspan |
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{{Short description|American economist and financial advisor}} |
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| nationality =American |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=January 2023}} |
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| image =Greenspan.jpg |
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{{Infobox officeholder |
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| imagesize =176px |
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| honorific_suffix = |
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| order =13th [[Chairman of the Federal Reserve|Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve]] |
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| name = Alan Greenspan |
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| image = Alan Greenspan color photo portrait.jpg |
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| term_end =[[January 31]], [[2006]] |
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| order = 13th |
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| office = Chairman of the Federal Reserve |
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| predecessor =[[Paul Volcker]] |
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| president = {{Plainlist| |
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*[[Ronald Reagan]] |
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| birth_date ={{birth date and age|1926|3|6}} |
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*[[George H. W. Bush]] |
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| birth_place =[[New York City]] |
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*[[Bill Clinton]] |
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| death_date = |
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*[[George W. Bush]]}} |
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| death_place = |
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| |
| deputy = {{Plainlist| |
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*[[Manuel H. Johnson|Manley Johnson]] |
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| profession =[[Economist]] |
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*[[David W. Mullins Jr.|David Mullins]] |
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|}} |
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*[[Alan Blinder]] |
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*[[Alice Rivlin]] |
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*[[Roger W. Ferguson Jr.|Roger Ferguson]]}} |
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| term_start = August 11, 1987 |
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| term_end = January 31, 2006 |
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| predecessor = [[Paul Volcker]] |
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| successor = [[Ben Bernanke]] |
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| office1 = Member of the [[Federal Reserve Board of Governors]] |
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| president1 = {{Plainlist| |
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*Ronald Reagan |
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*George H. W. Bush |
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*Bill Clinton |
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*George W. Bush}} |
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| term_start1 = August 11, 1987 |
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| term_end1 = January 31, 2006 |
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| predecessor1 = Paul Volcker |
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| successor1 = Ben Bernanke |
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| office2 = 10th Chairman of the [[Council of Economic Advisers]] |
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| president2 = [[Gerald Ford]] |
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| term_start2 = September 4, 1974 |
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| term_end2 = January 20, 1977 |
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| predecessor2 = [[Herbert Stein]] |
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| successor2 = [[Charles Schultze]] |
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| birth_date = {{birth date and age|1926|3|6}} |
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| birth_place = New York City, U.S. |
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| death_date = <!-- {{Death date and age|YYYY|MM|DD|1926|3|6}} --> |
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| death_place = |
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| party = [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] |
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|spouse = {{plainlist| |
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* {{marriage|Joan Mitchell Blumenthal|1952|1953|end=annulled}} |
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* {{marriage|[[Andrea Mitchell]]|1997}}}} |
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| education = {{plainlist| |
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* [[New York University]] ([[Bachelor of Arts|BA]], [[Master of Arts|MA]], [[PhD]]) |
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* [[Columbia University]]}} |
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}} |
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'''Alan Greenspan''' (born |
'''Alan Greenspan''' <!-- no "KBE" according to the manual of style --> (born March 6, 1926) is an American economist who served as the 13th [[chair of the Federal Reserve|chairman of the Federal Reserve]] from 1987 to 2006. He worked as a private adviser and provided consulting for firms through his company, Greenspan Associates LLC. |
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First |
First nominated to the [[Federal Reserve]] by President [[Ronald Reagan]] in August 1987, Greenspan was reappointed at successive four-year intervals until retiring on January 31, 2006, after the second-longest tenure in the position, behind only [[William McChesney Martin]].<ref>{{cite news|author1= Friedman, Benjamin M. |title=Chairman Greenspan's Legacy|url=http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2008/mar/20/chairman-greenspans-legacy |work= New York Review of Books | volume = 55 | archive-date = March 5, 2016 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20160305195203/http://www.nybooks.com/articles/2008/03/20/chairman-greenspans-legacy/ | issue=4|date=March 20, 2008|author1-link=Benjamin M. Friedman}}</ref> President [[George W. Bush]] appointed [[Ben Bernanke]] as his successor. |
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Greenspan came to the [[Federal Reserve Board]] from a consulting career. Although he was subdued in his public appearances, favorable media coverage raised his profile to a point that several observers likened him to a "rock star".<ref>{{cite news |last=Aversa |first=Jeannine |title=Alan Greenspan Enjoys Rock Star Renown |date=March 5, 2005 |url= http://www.chron.com/business/article/Alan-Greenspan-enjoys-rock-star-renown-1914177.php |work=Houston Chronicle |access-date=December 7, 2011}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Evans-Pritchard |first =Ambrose |title=Greenspan Was More a Rock Star than a Feared Fed Sage |date=September 17, 2007 |work=The Daily Telegraph |location=London |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/2815893/Greenspan-was-more-a-rock-star-than-a-feared-Fed-sage.html |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20220112/https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/2815893/Greenspan-was-more-a-rock-star-than-a-feared-Fed-sage.html |archive-date=January 12, 2022 |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |access-date=December 7, 2011}}{{cbignore}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Stahl |first =Leslie |title=Greenspan Defends Low Interest Rates |date=February 11, 2009 |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/greenspan-defends-low-interest-rates/ |work=CBS News |access-date=December 7, 2011}}</ref> Democratic leaders of Congress criticized him for politicizing his office because of his support for [[Social Security privatization]]<ref name="Inside">{{cite web |last1=Woodruff |first1=Judy |last2 = Reid |first2 = Harry |title=Inside Politics |url=http://www.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0503/03/ip.01.html |publisher=CNN |access-date=June 14, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170710150047/http://www.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0503/03/ip.01.html |archive-date=July 10, 2017 |location=Washington DC |format=Transcript of interview |date=March 3, 2005 |quote=Judy, you understand, I hope, that I'm not a big Greenspan fan -- Alan Greenspan fan. I voted against him the last two times. I think he's one of the biggest political hacks we have in Washington. The fact of the matter is, he told us when we were in power and Clinton was president the biggest problem facing the American people was the deficit. And we did something about it. We, during the Clinton years, paid down the debt by about a half a trillion dollars. Why doesn't he respond to the Republicans and tell them the big problem here is the debt that this administration is created?}}</ref><ref name="washtime">{{cite news |url =http://www.washtimes.com/news/2005/mar/04/20050304-102717-1490r/ |title=Reid Sticks by Greenspan Comments |date=March 5, 2005 |work =The Washington Times |access-date=October 24, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081205194350/http://www.washtimes.com/news/2005/mar/04/20050304-102717-1490r/ |archive-date=December 5, 2008 |url-status=live}}</ref> and tax cuts.<ref name="Andrews">{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2005/03/03/politics/03deficit.html |title=Greenspan says Federal Budget Deficits are 'Unsustainable{{'-}} |first=Edmund L. |last=Andrews |work= [[The New York Times]] |date=March 3, 2005 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> |
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Many have argued that the [[Easy money policy|"easy-money" policies]] of the Fed during Greenspan's tenure, including the practice known as the "[[Greenspan put]]", were a leading cause of the [[dot-com bubble]] and [[subprime mortgage crisis]] (the latter occurring within a year of his leaving the Fed), which, said ''[[The Wall Street Journal]]'', "tarnished his reputation".<ref name="WSJ January 13, 2012">{{cite news |url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052970204409004577157001537763864 |title=Little Alarm Shown at Fed At Dawn of Housing Bust |last1=Hilsenrath |first1=Jon |last2=Di Leo |first2=Luca |last3=Derby |first3=Michael S. |date=January 13, 2012 |newspaper=[[The Wall Street Journal]] |access-date=January 24, 2012 |name-list-style=amp}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Teeter|first1=Preston|last2=Sandberg|first2=Jorgen|date=2017|title=Cracking the enigma of asset bubbles with narratives|journal=Strategic Organization|volume=15|issue=1|pages=91–99|doi=10.1177/1476127016629880|s2cid=156163200}}</ref> Yale economist [[Robert Shiller]] argues that "once stocks fell, real estate became the primary outlet for the speculative frenzy that the stock market had unleashed".<ref name="Shiller Barron's">{{cite news |last=Shiller|first=Robert |title=The Bubble's New Home |work=[[Barron's (newspaper)|Barron's]] |date=June 20, 2005 |url=http://online.barrons.com/article/SB111905372884363176.html |quote=Once stocks fell, real estate became the primary outlet for the speculative frenzy that the stock market had unleashed. Where else could plungers apply their newly acquired trading talents? The materialistic display of the big house also has become a salve to bruised egos of disappointed stock investors. These days, the only thing that comes close to real estate as a national obsession is poker.}}</ref> Greenspan argues that the housing bubble was not a result of low-interest short-term rates but rather a worldwide phenomenon caused by the progressive decline in long-term interest rates – a direct consequence of the relationship between high savings rates in the developing world and its inverse in the developed world. |
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From 2001 until his retirement, he was increasingly criticized for some statements seen as overstepping the Fed's traditional purview of monetary policy, and viewed by others as overly supportive of the policies of President [[George W. Bush]], as well as for policies seen as leading to a [[United States housing bubble|housing bubble]]. Greenspan was nonetheless still generally considered during that time to be the leading authority on American domestic economic and monetary policy, and his active influence continues to this day.<ref>http://www.denverpost.com/business/ci_4021400</ref><ref>http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/financialpost/story.html?id=1b18ccd6-a9d8-4167-bf2c-d3710c4c8c5f&k=6899</ref><ref>http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/060519/greenspan_speech.html?.v=2</ref> |
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==Early life and education== |
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==Biography== |
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Greenspan was born in the [[Washington Heights, Manhattan|Washington Heights]] area of New York City. His father, Herbert Greenspan, was of [[Jews in Romania|Romanian Jewish]] descent, and his mother, Rose Goldsmith, was of [[Hungarian Jewish]] descent.{{Sfn|Greenspan|2007|p=19}} After his parents divorced, Greenspan grew up with his mother in the household of his maternal grandparents who were born in Russia.{{Sfn|Mallaby|2016|p=13}} His father worked as a stockbroker and consultant in New York City.{{Sfn|Martin|2000|p=[https://archive.org/details/greenspanmanbeh000mart/page/54 54]}} |
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Greenspan was born in 1926 to a [[Hungary|Hungarian]] [[Jewish]] family <ref>The original family name may have been '''Grünspan'''.</ref> in the [[Washington Heights, Manhattan|Washington Heights]] area of [[New York City]]. He studied [[clarinet]] at [[The Juilliard School]] from 1943 to 1944.<ref>Aversa, Jeannine. [http://www.ohio.com/business/9705977.html "Greenspan opens up in new book"], ''[[Akron Beacon Journal]]'', [[September 11]], [[2007]]. Accessed [[September 16]], [[2007]]. "A lover of classical and jazz music, Greenspan once worked as a jazz musician and studied the clarinet at Juilliard."</ref> He is an accomplished [[saxophone]] player who has played with [[Stan Getz]].<ref>Hagenbaugh, Barbara. [http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/fed/2003-07-15-greenspanrocks_x.htm "The Alan Greenspan Project rocks on"], ''[[USA Today]]'', [[July 16]], [[2003]]. Accessed [[September 16]], [[2007]]. "At the time, the band members did not know that early in life, the Fed chairman was a musician. He learned how to play the clarinet as a kid and played with famous saxophonist Stan Getz when they were both teenagers."</ref> While in college, he played in a jazz band. He then attended [[New York University]] (NYU), and received a [[Bachelor of Science|B.S.]] in [[Economics]] ([[summa cum laude]]) in 1948, and an [[Master's Degree|M.A]] in Economics in 1950. Greenspan went on to [[Columbia University]], intending to pursue advanced economic studies, but subsequently dropped out. Much later, in 1977, NYU also awarded him a [[Doctor of Philosophy|Ph.D.]] in Economics. He did not complete a [[dissertation]],{{Fact|date=May 2007}} normally required for that degree. On December 14, 2005, he was awarded an honorary [[Doctor of Commercial Science]] from NYU, his fourth degree from that institution. |
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Greenspan attended [[George Washington High School (New York City)|George Washington High School]] from 1940 until he graduated in June 1943, where one of his classmates was [[John George Kemeny|John Kemeny]].{{Sfn|Greenspan|2007|p=24}} He played clarinet and saxophone along with [[Stan Getz]]. He further studied clarinet at the [[Juilliard School]] from 1943 to 1944.{{Sfn|Martin|2000|pp=[https://archive.org/details/greenspanmanbeh000mart/page/11 11–13]}} Among his bandmates in the [[Woody Herman|Woody Herman band]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Leonard Garment |url=https://www.arts.gov/honors/medals/leonard-garment |access-date=2024-09-03 |website=www.arts.gov |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |title=Johnny Mandel Biography |url=https://www.musicianguide.com/biographies/1608002575/Johnny-Mandel.html |access-date=2024-09-03 |website=www.musicianguide.com}}</ref> was [[Leonard Garment]], [[Richard Nixon]]'s [[White House Counsel|special counsel]].<ref>{{Cite book |last=Leonard Garment |url=https://archive.org/details/crazyrhythmmyjou00garm_0/mode/2up |title=Crazy rhythm |date=2001 |publisher=Da Capo Press |others=Internet Archive |isbn=978-0-306-81082-4}}</ref> In 1945, Greenspan attended [[New York University Stern School of Business|New York University's Stern School of Business]], where he earned a B.A. degree in economics ''[[summa cum laude]]'' in 1948{{Sfn|Martin|2000|p=27}} and an [[Master of Arts|M.A.]] degree in economics in 1950.{{Sfn|Greenspan|2007|p=33}} At [[Columbia University]], he pursued advanced economic studies under [[Arthur Burns]] but withdrew because of his increasing work demand at Townsend-Greenspan & Company.{{Sfn|Martin|2000|pp=[https://archive.org/details/greenspanmanbeh000mart/page/27 27–31]}} |
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Starting in 1950, Greenspan began a 20-year association with famed novelist and philosopher [[Ayn Rand]]. He wrote for Rand’s newsletters and authored several essays in her book ''[[Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal]]''.<ref>http://usliberals.about.com/od/peopleinthenews/a/Greenspan1.htm</ref> |
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In 1977, Greenspan obtained a Ph.D. in economics from New York University. His dissertation is not available from the university<ref>{{cite news |first=Jim |last=McTague |title=Dr. Greenspan's Amazing Invisible Thesis |url=http://online.barrons.com/article/SB120675340444773623.html?mod=b_hpp_9_0002_b_this_weeks_magazine_home_right |work=[[Barron's (newspaper)|Barron's]] |date=March 31, 2008 |access-date=October 17, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130406132920/http://online.barrons.com/article/SB120675340444773623.html?mod=b_hpp_9_0002_b_this_weeks_magazine_home_right |archive-date=April 6, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> since it was removed at Greenspan's request in 1987, when he became chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. In April 2008, however, ''[[Barron's (newspaper)|Barron's]]'' obtained a copy and notes that it includes "a discussion of soaring housing prices and their effect on consumer spending; it even anticipates a bursting housing bubble".<ref>{{cite news |first=Jim |last=McTague |title=Looking at Greenspan's Long-Lost Thesis |url=http://online.barrons.com/public/article/SB120917419049046805.html?mod=mktw |work=[[Barron's (newspaper)|Barron's]] |date=April 28, 2008 |access-date=July 25, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130216052633/http://online.barrons.com/public/article/SB120917419049046805.html?mod=mktw |archive-date=February 16, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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From 1948 to 1953, Greenspan worked as an economic analyst at The Conference Board, a business and industry oriented think-tank in New York City. From 1955 to 1987, Greenspan was Chairman and President of Townsend-Greenspan & Co., Inc., an economic consulting firm in New York City, a 33-year stint interrupted only from 1974 to 1977 by his service as Chairman of the [[Council of Economic Advisers]] under [[President of the United States|President]] [[Gerald Ford]]. In the summer of 1968, Greenspan agreed to serve [[Richard Nixon]] as his coordinator on domestic policy in the nomination campaign.<ref>[[Stephen Ambrose]]: ''[[Nixon: The Triumph of a Politician, 1962-1972]]'' (1989) ISBN 0-671-52837-8</ref> Greenspan also has served as a corporate director for [[Alcoa|Aluminum Company of America]] (Alcoa); [[Automatic Data Processing, Inc.]]; [[American Broadcasting Company|Capital Cities/ABC, Inc.]]; [[General Foods Corporation|General Foods, Inc.]]; [[JPMorgan Chase & Co.|J.P. Morgan & Co., Inc.]]; [[Morgan Guaranty Trust Company]] of New York; [[Mobil|Mobil Corporation]]; and The Pittston Company.<ref>{{cite news| title=U.S. Senate Panel Votes for 4th Term for Fed Chairman Greenspan| author=Bloomberg News| publisher=''[[Deseret Morning News|Deseret News]]'' | date=[[2000-02-01]]}} See also verbatim list reproduced at [[Wharton School of Business]], "[http://www.wharton.upenn.edu/whartonfacts/news_and_events/newsreleases/2005/p_2005_4_332.html Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Board of Governors of Federal Reserve, Receives Dean’s Medal at Wharton School MBA Commencement]".</ref> |
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==Career== |
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Alan Greenspan has been married twice. His first marriage was to Joan Mitchell in 1952. The marriage ended in divorce one year later in 1953. In 1984, Greenspan began dating journalist [[Andrea Mitchell]]. Greenspan at the time was 58, and the also once divorced Mitchell was 20 years his junior at the age of 38. In [[1997]], they married. |
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===Before the Federal Reserve=== |
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{{See also|Greenspan Commission}} |
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During his economics studies at New York University, Greenspan worked under Eugene Banks, a managing director at the [[Wall Street]] investment bank [[Brown Brothers Harriman]], in the firm's equity research department.{{Sfn|Greenspan|2007|p=31}} From 1948 to 1953, Greenspan worked as an analyst at the National Industrial Conference Board (currently known as [[the Conference Board]]), a business- and industry-oriented [[think tank]] in New York City.{{Sfn|Greenspan|2007|pp=32–34, 41–45}} Before he was appointed chairman of the Federal Reserve, from 1955 to 1987, Greenspan was chairman and president of Townsend-Greenspan & Co., Inc., an economics consulting firm in New York City. His 32-year stint there was interrupted only from 1974 to 1977, when he served as chairman of the [[Council of Economic Advisers]], under President [[Gerald Ford]].<ref>{{cite web |title=Alan Greenspan |url=https://www.federalreservehistory.org/people/alan-greenspan |website=federalreservehistory.org |access-date=April 12, 2022}}</ref> |
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==Greenspan and Objectivism== |
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Greenspan was initially a [[logical positivist]], but was converted to [[Objectivism (Ayn Rand)|Objectivism]] by [[Ayn Rand]]. During the 1950s and '60s Greenspan was a proponent of her philosophy, writing articles for Objectivist newsletters and contributing several essays for Rand's 1966 book ''[[Capitalism: the Unknown Ideal]]'' including an essay supporting the [[gold standard]].<ref>{{cite web | url = http://www.usagold.com/gildedopinion/Greenspan.html | last = Greenspan | first = Alan | title = Gold and Economic Freedom | accessdate = 2007-07-25}}</ref> During the 1950s, Greenspan was one of the members of Ayn Rand's inner circle, [[the Ayn Rand Collective]], who read [[Atlas Shrugged]] while it was being written. Although Greenspan continues to advocate [[laissez-faire]] capitalism,<ref>{{cite web | title = Alan Greenspan speech: full text | date = 2005-11-12 | accessdate = 2007-07-25 | url = http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/economics/article577864.ece}}</ref> some Objectivists find his support for a gold standard somewhat ironic given the Federal Reserve's role in America's [[fiat money]] system and endogenous [[inflation]]. He has come under criticism by [[Harry Binswanger]],<ref>{{cite web | url = http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?id=1825 | accessdate = 2007-07-25 | title = Greenspan on "Infectious Greed" }}</ref> who believes his actions while at work for the Federal Reserve and his publicly expressed opinions on other issues show abandonment of Objectivist and free market principles. However, when questioned in relation to this, he has said that in a democratic society individuals have to make compromises with each other over conflicting ideas of how money should be handled. He said he himself had to make such compromises, because he actually believes that "we did extremely well" without a central bank and with a gold standard.<ref>Alan Greenspan on FOX Business Network 10/15/07 [http://youtube.com/watch?v=ZjMQG3qUFKo]</ref> |
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In mid-1968, Greenspan agreed to serve as Richard Nixon's coordinator on domestic policy in the nomination campaign.<ref>{{cite book |first=Stephen |last=Ambrose |author-link=Stephen Ambrose |title=Nixon |publisher=[[Simon & Schuster]] |location=New York |year=1987 |page=[https://archive.org/details/nixon00ambr_0/page/158 158] |isbn=978-0-671-52837-9 |oclc=14414031 |url=https://archive.org/details/nixon00ambr_0/page/158 }}</ref> Greenspan has also served as a corporate director for [[Alcoa|Aluminum Company of America]] (Alcoa); [[Automatic Data Processing]]; [[American Broadcasting Company|Capital Cities/ABC, Inc.]]; [[General Foods]]; [[J.P. Morgan & Co.]]; [[Morgan Guaranty Trust Company]]; [[Mobil|Mobil Corporation]]; and the [[Pittston Company]].<ref>{{cite press release |title=Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Board of Governors of Federal Reserve, Receives Dean's Medal at Wharton School MBA Commencement |publisher=[[Wharton School]] |date=April 19, 2005 |url= http://www.wharton.upenn.edu/whartonfacts/news_and_events/newsreleases/2005/p_2005_4_332.html |access-date=October 17, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090727195705/http://www.wharton.upenn.edu/whartonfacts/news_and_events/newsreleases/2005/p_2005_4_332.html |archive-date=July 27, 2009 |url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=U.S. Senate Panel Votes for 4th Term for Fed Chairman Greenspan |agency =Bloomberg News |work=[[Deseret News]] |url=http://www.deseretnews.com/article/809511/US-Senate-Panel-Votes-for-4th-Term-for-Fed-Chairman-Greenspan.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121023203407/http://www.deseretnews.com/article/809511/US-Senate-Panel-Votes-for-4th-Term-for-Fed-Chairman-Greenspan.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=October 23, 2012 |date=February 1, 2000}}</ref> He was a director of the [[Council on Foreign Relations]] foreign policy organization between 1982 and 1988.<ref>{{cite book |last=Grose |first=Peter |title=Continuing the inquiry: the Council on Foreign Relations from 1921 to 1996 |publisher=[[Council on Foreign Relations]] |location=New York |year=1996 |isbn=978-0-87609-192-0 |oclc=35280546 |chapter=Historical Roster of Directors and Officers |chapter-url=http://www.cfr.org/about/history/cfr/appendix.html |url-access=registration |url=https://archive.org/details/continuinginquir0000gros }}</ref> He also served as a member of the influential Washington-based financial advisory body, the [[Group of Thirty]] in 1984.{{citation needed|date=May 2020}} |
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When Greenspan was sworn in as chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers in 1974, Ayn Rand attended the ceremony. Greenspan attended Rand's funeral in 1982. |
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==Chairman of the Federal Reserve== |
===Chairman of the Federal Reserve=== |
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On [[June 2]], [[1987]] President Reagan nominated Dr. Greenspan as a successor to [[Paul Volcker]] as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, and the [[United States Senate|Senate]] confirmed him on [[August 11]], [[1987]]. After the nomination, bond markets experienced their biggest one-day drop in 5 years. Just two months after his confirmation he was faced with his first crisis -- the [[Black Monday (1987)|1987 stock market crash]]. His terse statement, "the Fed stands ready to provide all necessary liquidity" {{Fact|date=July 2007}} is seen as having been effective in controlling the damage from that crash. (Others believe that his statement "...that the dollar would be devalued..." just days before was a primary factor in the crash.) Another famous example of the effect of his closely parsed comments was his [[December 5]] [[1996]] remark about "[[irrational exuberance]] and unduly escalating stock prices" that led Japanese stocks to fall 3.2%.<ref>http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/economy/december96/greenspan_12-6.html</ref> |
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|style="text-align: left;"|What I've learned at the Federal Reserve is a new language which is called "[[Fedspeak|Fed-speak]]". You soon learn to mumble with great incoherence. |
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|style="text-align: left;"|— Alan Greenspan<ref name="BessettePitney2010">{{cite book |last1=Bessette |first1=Joseph M. |last2=Pitney |first2=John J. Jr. |title=American Government and Politics: Deliberation, Democracy and Citizenship |year=2011 |location=Boston |publisher=Cengage Learning |isbn=978-0-534-53684-8 |page=[https://books.google.com/books?id=8uu8cevL2iUC&pg=PA578 578]}}</ref> |
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[[File:Mvc-017x.jpg|left|thumb|Alan Greenspan in 2005]] |
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On June 2, 1987, President [[Ronald Reagan]] nominated Greenspan as a successor to [[Paul Volcker]], as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, and the [[United States Senate|Senate]] confirmed him on August 11, 1987.<ref>{{cite book |author=United States Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs |title=Nomination of Alan Greenspan: Hearing Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, United States Senate, One Hundredth Congress, First Session, July 21, 1987 |date=July 21, 1987 |publisher=US Government Printing Office |url=https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/279}}</ref> Investor, author and commentator [[Jim Rogers]] has said that Greenspan lobbied to get this chairmanship.<ref>{{cite book |first=Jim |last=Rogers |author-link=Jim Rogers |title=Adventure Capitalist: The Ultimate Road Trip |location=New York |publisher=Random House |year=2004 |isbn=978-0-375-50912-4 |url=https://archive.org/details/ultimateinvestor00jimr}}</ref> |
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Two months after his confirmation, Greenspan said immediately following the [[Black Monday (1987)|1987 stock market crash]] that the Fed "affirmed today its readiness to serve as a source of liquidity to support the economic and financial system".<ref>{{cite report |url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/Pubs/feds/2007/200713/200713pap.pdf |title=A Brief History of the 1987 Stock Market Crash with a Discussion of the Federal Reserve Response |first=Mark |last=Carlson |location=Washington, D.C. |publisher=[[Federal Reserve Board]] |date=November 2006}}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine |url=https://www.forbes.com/2008/07/01/fed-bernanke-greenspan-oped-cx_jt_0702dollar.html |title=In 2008, Shades of October 1987 |first=John |last=Tamny |magazine=Forbes |date=July 2, 2008 |access-date=June 22, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090611231632/http://www.forbes.com/2008/07/01/fed-bernanke-greenspan-oped-cx_jt_0702dollar.html |archive-date=June 11, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/1538304.stm |title=Central Banks Promise Support |work=[[BBC News]] |date=September 12, 2001 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> Although the Federal Reserve followed its announcement with monetary policy actions, which became known as the [[Greenspan put]], [[George H. W. Bush]] attributed his re-election loss to a sluggish response. Democratic president [[Bill Clinton]] reappointed Greenspan, and consulted him on economic matters. Greenspan lent support to Clinton's 1993 deficit reduction program.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/01/26/AR2006012602123_3.html |title=Chairman Moved a Nation |newspaper=The Washington Post |first=Nell |last=Henderson |date=January 27, 2006}}</ref> Greenspan was fundamentally a [[monetarist]] and [[Austrian Economist]] in orientation on the economy,<ref>{{cite book |last= Maybury|first=Richard|author-link= Richard J. Maybury|title= Whatever Happened to Penny Candy?|year=2004 |url= |location= |publisher= Bluestocking Press|page= 15|isbn=0-942617-52-5|edition= 5th}}</ref> and his monetary policy decisions largely followed standard [[Taylor rule]] prescriptions (see Taylor 1993 and 1999). Greenspan also played a key role in organizing the U.S. bailout of Mexico during the 1994–1995 [[Mexican peso crisis]].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://conversationswithbillkristol.org/video/larry-summers/ |title=Larry Summers on Conversations with Bill Kristol |website=Conversations with Bill Kristol |access-date=September 9, 2019}}</ref> |
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[[Image:Alan Greenspan color photo portrait.jpg|thumb|left|Earlier image of Alan Greenspan]] |
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In 2000, Greenspan raised interest rates several times; these actions were believed by many to have caused the bursting of the [[dot-com bubble]]. According to [[Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences|Nobel laureate]] [[Paul Krugman]], however, "he didn't raise interest rates to curb the market's enthusiasm; he didn't even seek to impose margin requirements on stock market investors. Instead, he waited until the bubble burst, as it did in 2000, then tried to clean up the mess afterward".<ref>{{cite book |first=Paul |last=Krugman |author-link=Paul Krugman |title=The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008 |url=https://archive.org/details/returnofdepressi00krug |url-access=registration |publisher=W.W. Norton |year=2009 |isbn=978-0-393-33780-8 |page=[https://archive.org/details/returnofdepressi00krug/page/142 142]}}</ref> E. Ray Canterbery agrees with Krugman's criticism.<ref>{{cite book |first=E. Ray |last=Canterbery |title=The Global Great Recession |publisher=World Scientific |year=2013 |isbn=978-981-4322-76-8 |pages=123–135}}</ref> |
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Greenspan was famous for his ability to give technical and confusing speeches. ''[[U.S. News & World Report]]'' reported that, "Few can confuse Wall Street as thoroughly as Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan can."<ref>{{cite news | title=So What Did Greenspan Say? | author=Paul J. Lim | url=http://www.usnews.com/usnews/biztech/buzz/archive/buzz051213a.htm}}</ref> Greenspan was sometimes so hard to understand that the [[Motley Fool]] radio show included a game called "What Did the Fed Chief Say?", where contestants were challenged to interpret snippets of Greenspan's speeches.<ref> {{cite news | url = http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5009255 | title = Game: What Did the Fed Chief Say? | format = HTTP | work = NPR Program Guide: Fun & Games | publisher = [[National Public Radio]] | date = January 27, 2006}}</ref> Greenspan mocked his own speaking style in 1988 when he said, "I guess I should warn you, if I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I said." To a central banker, being unclear is often an advantage since it grants more flexibility: if he is too predictable, markets are more willing to speculate in his future actions, and any move he makes will already be potentially priced into the economy. During his period at the Fed, Greenspan never publicly commented what algorithms or inflation and unemployment targets the Fed used in setting the interest rate. Despite this, over the years he built credibility in the financial markets that he was willing to fight inflation. The flexibility permitted him to affect the economy by, say, lowering interest rates in order to fight a recession while his credibility made it possible to do this without shocking the bond market. |
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In January 2001, Greenspan, in support of President Bush's proposed tax decrease, stated that the federal surplus could accommodate a significant tax cut while paying down the national debt.<ref>{{cite news |first=Richard W. |last=Stevenson |work=The New York Times |title=Down Into the Fray |date=January 27, 2001 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2001/01/27/business/down-into-the-fray.html |access-date=January 7, 2013}}</ref> |
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On [[May 18]], [[2004]], Greenspan was nominated by President [[George W. Bush]] to serve for an unprecedented fifth term as chairman of the Federal Reserve. He was previously appointed to the post by Presidents [[Ronald Reagan]], [[George H. W. Bush]] and [[Bill Clinton]]. Greenspan was awarded the [[Presidential Medal of Freedom]], the highest civilian award in the United States, by President George W. Bush in November 2005.<ref>[http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2005/11/20051109-10.html 2005 Presidential Medal of Freedom recipients]</ref> His honorary titles include [[Order of the British Empire|Knight Commander of the British Empire]], bestowed in 2002 and Commander of the [[Légion d'honneur]] ([[Legion of Honor]]). |
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In autumn 2001, as a decisive reaction to the [[September 11 attacks]] and various corporate scandals which undermined the economy, the Greenspan-led Federal Reserve initiated a series of interest cuts that brought down the [[federal funds rate]] to 1% in 2004. While presenting the [[Monetary Policy Report to the Congress|Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Report]] in July 2002, he said that "It is not that humans have become any more greedy than in generations past. It is that the avenues to express greed had grown so enormously", and suggested that financial markets need to be more regulated.<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/2002/july/testimony.htm |title=Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan |publisher= Federal Reserve Board | date=July 16, 2002 | access-date=July 13, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110607103641/http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/2002/july/testimony.htm |archive-date=June 7, 2011 |url-status=live}}</ref> His critics, led by [[Steve Forbes]], attributed the rapid rise in [[commodity]] prices and [[Gold as an investment|gold]] to Greenspan's loose monetary policy, which Forbes believed had caused excessive asset inflation and a weak dollar. By late 2004, the price of gold was higher than its 12-year moving average. |
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Greenspan's term as a member of the Board ended on [[January 31]], [[2006]], and [[Ben Bernanke]] was confirmed as his successor. Bernanke is a former chairman of the U.S. President's [[Council of Economic Advisers]], and his appointment is seen in part as a move to effect a smooth transition. He does disagree with Greenspan on the question of "[[inflation targeting]]," a practice in which the Fed makes public a projected inflation rate, effecting a greater transparency in likely Fed moves to raise or lower short-term interest rates. Inflation targeting arguably reduces certain forms of economic volatility.<ref>http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/05_45/b3958607.htm</ref> Bernanke is for a targeted minimum level of inflation, Greenspan against. |
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Greenspan advised senior members of the George W. Bush administration to depose [[Saddam Hussein]] for the sake of the oil markets.<ref name="The Wall Street Journal">{{cite news |url=https://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2007/09/17/qa-greenspan-on-bubbles-saddam-cheney-and-bernanke/ |title=Q&A: Greenspan on Bubbles, Saddam, Cheney and Bernanke |newspaper=The Wall Street Journal |date=September 17, 2007 |access-date=June 13, 2016}}</ref> He believed that even a moderate disruption to the flow of oil could translate into high oil prices,<ref name="The Washington Post">{{cite news |url = https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/09/16/AR2007091601287.html |title = Greenspan: Ouster Of Hussein Crucial For Oil Security|first1= Bob |last1=Woodward|newspaper=The Washington Post |date=September 17, 2007 |access-date= June 8, 2016}}</ref> which could lead to "chaos" in the global economy and bring the industrial world "to its knees".<ref name="Guardian US">{{cite news |last1=Adams |first1=Richard |title=Invasion of Iraq was driven by oil, says Greenspan |url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/sep/17/iraq.oil |access-date=June 14, 2022 |work=Guardian US |publisher=Scott Trust Limited |date=September 16, 2007 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130901002625/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/sep/17/iraq.oil |archive-date=September 1, 2013 |location=New York |quote=Mr Greenspan said it was clear to him that Saddam Hussein had wanted to control the Straits of Hormuz and so control Middle East oil shipments through the vital route out of the Gulf. He said that had Saddam been able to do that it would have been "devastating to the west"}}</ref><ref name="The Irish Times">{{cite news |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/greenspan-says-invasion-and-war-largely-about-oil-1.962612 |title=Greenspan Says Invasion and War 'Largely about Oil' |last = Adams | first = Richard |agency = Guardian Services |
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==Greenspan and the housing bubble== |
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|newspaper=The Irish Times |date=September 17, 2007 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20160625163129/https://www.irishtimes.com/news/greenspan-says-invasion-and-war-largely-about-oil-1.962612 | archive-date = June 25, 2016 |access-date= June 14, 2022}}</ref> He feared that Saddam could seize control of the Straits of Hormuz and restrict the transport of oil through them. In a 2007 interview, he said, "people do not realize in this country, for example, how tenuous our ties to international energy are. That is, we on a daily basis require continuous flow. If that flow is shut off, it causes catastrophic effects in the industrial world. And it's that which made him [Saddam] far more important to get out than bin Laden."<ref name="The Huffington Post">{{cite news |url=http://new.www.huffingtonpost.com/david-fiderer/the-simple-arithmetic-of_b_100021.html |title=The Simple Arithmetic of John McCain's Bogus Claims of Energy Independence|work=The Huffington Post |date=May 5, 2008 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20160914234852/http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-fiderer/the-simple-arithmetic-of_b_100021.html | archive-date = September 14, 2016 |format = Blog |last = Fiderer | first = David | quote = My friends, I will have an energy policy that we will be talking about, which will eliminate our dependence on oil from the Middle East that will prevent us from having ever to send our young men and women into conflict again in the Middle East |access-date=June 14, 2022}}</ref> |
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Greenspan admitted that the [[United States housing bubble|housing bubble]] was “fundamentally engendered by the decline in real long-term interest rates”;<ref name="Greenspan interest rates FT">{{cite news | last=Greenspan | first=Alan | title=A global outlook | publisher=[[Financial Times]]|date=16 September [[2007]] | url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/976b7442-6486-11dc-90ea-0000779fd2ac.html }}</ref> he also admitted that there was a [[economic bubble|bubble]] in the [[United States housing bubble|US housing market]]<ref name="Greenspan admits bubble FT">{{cite news | title=Greenspan alert on US house prices | date=17 September [[2007]] | publisher=[[Financial Times]] | url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31207860-647f-11dc-90ea-0000779fd2ac.html }}</ref> and said in the wake of the [[United States housing bubble#Subprime mortgage industry collapse|subprime mortgage and credit crisis]] in [[2007]], “I really didn't get it until very late in [[2005]] and [[2006]].”<ref name="Greenspan didn't get it">{{cite news | title=Greenspan says didn't see subprime storm brewing | date=13 September [[2007]] | publisher=[[Reuters]] | url=http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/070913/usa_economy_greenspan.html?.v=4 }}</ref> In [[2007]], Greenspan warned of "large double digit declines" in home values "larger than most people expect."<ref name="Greenspan admits bubble FT"/> |
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On May 18, 2004, Greenspan was nominated by President [[George W. Bush]] to serve for an unprecedented fifth term as chairman of the Federal Reserve. He was previously appointed to the post by Presidents Reagan, George H. W. Bush, and Bill Clinton. |
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Following the attacks on [[September 11, 2001]], the Federal Open Market Committee voted to reduce the federal funds rate from 3.5% to 3.0%.<ref>http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/2002/February/FullReport.txt</ref> Then, after the [[accounting scandals]] of 2002, the Fed dropped the federal funds rate from the current 1.25% to 1.00%.<ref>http://www.house.gov/jec/hearings/11-13-02.pdf</ref> Greenspan acknowledged that this drop in rates would have the effect of leading to a surge in home sales and refinancing. |
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:''"Besides sustaining the demand for new construction, mortgage markets have also been a powerful stabilizing force over the past two years of economic distress by facilitating the extraction of some of the equity that homeowners have built up over the years."''<ref>http://www.house.gov/jec/hearings/11-13-02.pdf</ref> |
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However, Greenspan's policies of adjusting interest rates to historic lows contributed to a [[United States housing bubble|housing bubble in the US]]. The [[Federal Reserve]] acknowledges the connection between lower interest rates, higher home values, and the increased liquidity the higher home values bring to the overall economy. |
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:''"Like other asset prices, house prices are influenced by interest rates, and in some countries, the housing market is a key channel of monetary policy transmission."'' —Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, September [[2005]].<ref>http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/2005/841/ifdp841.pdf</ref> |
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Furthermore, in a speech on February 23, 2004, Greenspan suggested that lenders should offer to home purchasers a greater variety of "mortgage product alternatives" other than traditional fixed-rate mortgages.<ref>http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2004/20040223/default.htm</ref> Greenspan also praised the rise of the subprime mortgage industry and the tools with which it uses to assess credit-worthiness in an April 2005 speech: |
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:''"Innovation has brought about a multitude of new products, such as subprime loans and niche credit programs for immigrants. Such developments are representative of the market responses that have driven the financial services industry throughout the history of our country … With these advances in technology, lenders have taken advantage of credit-scoring models and other techniques for efficiently extending credit to a broader spectrum of consumers. … Where once more-marginal applicants would simply have been denied credit, lenders are now able to quite efficiently judge the risk posed by individual applicants and to price that risk appropriately. These improvements have led to rapid growth in subprime mortgage lending; indeed, today subprime mortgages account for roughly 10 percent of the number of all mortgages outstanding, up from just 1 or 2 percent in the early 1990s."''<ref>"Innovation has brought about a multitude of new products, such as subprime loans and niche credit programs for immigrants. Such developments are representative of the market responses that have driven the financial services industry throughout the history of our country … <br/> With these advances in technology, lenders have taken advantage of credit-scoring models and other techniques for efficiently extending credit to a broader spectrum of consumers. The widespread adoption of these models has reduced the costs of evaluating the creditworthiness of borrowers, and in competitive markets cost reductions tend to be passed through to borrowers. Where once more-marginal applicants would simply have been denied credit, lenders are now able to quite efficiently judge the risk posed by individual applicants and to price that risk appropriately. These improvements have led to rapid growth in subprime mortgage lending; indeed, today subprime mortgages account for roughly 10 percent of the number of all mortgages outstanding, up from just 1 or 2 percent in the early 1990s." {{cite news |title=Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan, Consumer Finance At the Federal Reserve System’s Fourth Annual Community Affairs Research Conference, Washington, D.C. | author=Alan Greenspan | publisher=[[Federal Reserve Board]] | date=4 April [[2005]] | url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/BoardDocs/speeches/2005/20050408/default.htm }}</ref> |
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The [[subprime lending|subprime]] mortgage industry [[Subprime meltdown|collapsed]] in March [[2007]], with many of the largest lenders filing for bankruptcy protection in the face of spiraling foreclosure rates. For these reasons, Greenspan has been criticized for his role in the rise of the housing bubble and the subsequent problems in the mortgage industry,<ref>"In early 2004, he urged homeowners to shift from fixed to floating rate mortgages, and in early 2005, he extolled the virtues of sub-prime borrowing—the extension of credit to unworthy borrowers. Far from the heartless central banker that is supposed to “take the punchbowl away just when the party is getting good,” Alan Greenspan turned into an unabashed cheerleader for the excesses of an increasingly asset-dependent U.S. economy. I fear history will not judge the Maestro's legacy kindly." {{cite news |title=The Great Unraveling | author=[[Stephen Roach]] | publisher=[[Morgan Stanley]] | date=16 March [[2007]] | url=http://www.morganstanley.com/views/gef/archive/2007/20070316-Fri.html }}</ref><ref>"Greenspan allowed the tech bubble to fester by first warning about irrational exuberance and then doing nothing about via either monetary policy or, better, proper regulation of the financial system while at the same time becoming the “cheerleader of the new economy”. And Greenspan/Bernanke allowed the housing bubble to develop in three ways of increasing importance: first, easy Fed Funds policy (but this was a minor role); second, being asleep at the wheel (together with all the banking regulators) in regulating housing lending; third, by becoming the cheerleaders of the monstrosities that were going under the name of “financial innovations” of housing finance. Specifically, Greenspan explicitly supported in public speeches the development and growth of the risky option ARMs and other exotic mortgage innovations that allowed the subprime and near-prime toxic waste to mushroom." {{cite news |title=Who is to Blame for the Mortgage Carnage and Coming Financial Disaster? Unregulated Free Market Fundamentalism Zealotry | author=[[Nouriel Roubini]] | publisher=[[RGE Monitor]] | date=19 March [[2007]] | url=http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/184125 }}</ref> as well as "engineering" the housing bubble itself: |
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:"It was the Federal Reserve-engineered decline in rates that inflated the housing bubble … the most troublesome aspect of the price runup is that many recent buyers are squeezing into houses that they can barely afford by taking advantage of the lower rates available from adjustable-rate mortgages. That leaves them fully exposed to rising rates." —''[[BusinessWeek]]'', July 19, [[2004]], Is A Housing Bubble About To Burst?<ref>http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_29/b3892064_mz011.htm</ref> |
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In a May 2005 speech, Greenspan stated: "Two years ago at this conference I argued that the growing array of [[Derivative (finance)|derivatives]] and the related application of more-sophisticated methods for measuring and managing risks had been key factors underlying the remarkable resilience of the banking system, which had recently shrugged off severe shocks to the economy and the financial system. At the same time, I indicated some concerns about the risks associated with derivatives, including the risks posed by concentration in certain derivatives markets, notably the [[Over-the-counter (finance)|over-the-counter]] (OTC) markets for U.S. dollar interest rate options."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2005/20050505/default.htm |title=Risk Transfer and Financial Stability | format =Remarks to the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's Forty-first Annual Conference on Bank Structure via satellite | location = Washington DC |last = Greenspan | first = Alan |publisher= Federal Reserve Board| date=May 5, 2005 |access-date=May 24, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100530104529/http://federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2005/20050505/default.htm |archive-date=May 30, 2010 |url-status=live}}</ref> |
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==Charges of politicization== |
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Greenspan opposed [[China–United States relations#Economic relations|tariffs against the People's Republic of China]] for its refusal to [[Renminbi currency value|let the yuan rise]],<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.foxnews.com/story/greenspan-warns-against-anti-china-protectionism |title=Greenspan Warns Against Anti-China Protectionism | agency = Reuters and the Associated Press contributed to this report. |work=[[Fox News]] |date=June 23, 2005 |access-date=January 7, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140118142631/http://www.foxnews.com/story/2005/06/23/greenspan-warns-against-anti-china-protectionism/ | location = Washington DC |archive-date=January 18, 2014 |url-status=live}}</ref> suggesting instead that any American workers displaced by [[Chinese trade]] could be compensated through unemployment insurance and retraining programs.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aJPievhWVrmY |title=Greenspan Says Tariffs on China Would Hurt U.S. Economy, Jobs | first1 =Craig | last1 =Torres | author-link =Craig Torres |first2=Alison |last2=Kodjak|author2-link=Alison Kodjak |work=[[Bloomberg News]] |date=June 23, 2005 |access-date=January 7, 2013 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140107234243/http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aJPievhWVrmY |archive-date=January 7, 2014}}</ref> |
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Greenspan describes himself as a "lifelong [[libertarian]] [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]]<ref>http://online.wsj.com/article/SB118978549183327730.html</ref>". On [[March 3]], [[2005]], Democratic Senate Minority Leader [[Harry Reid]] attacked Greenspan as "one of the biggest political hacks we have here in Washington"<ref>http://www.washtimes.com/national/20050304-102717-1490r.htm</ref> and criticized him for supporting Bush's 2001 tax cut plan. Greenspan was also received criticized by Democratic Congressman [[Barney Frank]] and others for his support of Bush's plan to phase out [[Social Security]] in favor of private accounts.<ref>http://www.truthout.org/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi/38/9097</ref><ref>http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,147972,00.html</ref><ref>http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A5396-2005Mar3.html</ref> |
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Greenspan had said Bush's model has "the seeds of developing full funding by its very nature. As I've said before, I've always supported moves to full funding in the context of a private account."<ref>http://seniorjournal.com/NEWS/SocialSecurity/5-02-16GreenspanSays.htm</ref> |
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Greenspan's term as a member of the board ended on January 31, 2006, and [[Ben Bernanke]] was confirmed as his successor. |
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Economist [[Paul Krugman]], a frequent Greenspan critic, wrote in the ''New York Times'' that Greenspan was a "three-card maestro" with a "lack of sincerity" who, "by repeatedly shilling for whatever the Bush administration wants, has betrayed the trust placed in the Fed chairman...."<ref>http://usliberals.about.com/od/peopleinthenews/a/Greenspan1.htm</ref> |
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As chairman of the board, Greenspan did not give any broadcast interviews from 1987 through 2005.<ref name="Davies">{{cite news |url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4562488.stm |work=BBC News |title=Deficits Could Harm Greenspan's Legacy |last=Davies |first=Sir Howard |author-link=Howard Davies (economist) |date=December 29, 2005 |access-date=May 17, 2011}}</ref> |
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Charges that Greenspan was veering beyond the Fed's purview of monetary policy into fiscal and political matters traditionally left to lawmakers became more prevalent, coming for example from sources such as Republican Senator [[Jim Bunning]] who voted against reconfirming him.<ref>http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087&sid=aRR5whQ7nGvE&refer=top_world_news</ref> Then-Democratic House Minority Leader [[Nancy Pelosi]] stated in 2005 there were serious questions about the Fed's independence as a result of Greenspan's public statements.<ref>http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,149556,00.html</ref> But others like Republican Senator [[Mitch McConnell]] disagreed, stating that Greenspan "has been an independent player at the Fed for a long time under both parties and made an enormous positive contribution."<ref>http://www.truthout.org/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi/37/9453</ref> Furthermore, Greenspan had used his position as Fed Chairman to comment upon fiscal policy as early as [[1993]], when he supported [[Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993|President Clinton's deficit reduction plan]], which included tax hikes and budget cuts ([[Bob Woodward]]'s book Maestro, page 110). |
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===After the Federal Reserve=== |
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==Later career== |
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Immediately after leaving the Fed, Greenspan formed an [[economic consulting]] firm, Greenspan Associates LLC.<ref name= "Unconcerned">{{cite news| url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/06/AR2006110600588.html |first=Nell |last=Henderson |title=Greenspan Unconcerned About Housing |newspaper= The Washington Post |date=November 7, 2006 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080808114519/https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/06/AR2006110600588.html | archive-date = August 8, 2008 | access-date= June 14, 2022}}</ref> He also accepted an honorary (unpaid) position at [[HM Treasury]] in the United Kingdom. |
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On February 26, 2007, Greenspan forecast a possible [[recession]] in the United States before or in early 2008.<ref>{{cite news |agency=[[Associated Press]] |title=Greenspan Warns of U.S. Recession Risk |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna17343814 |work=NBC News |date=February 26, 2007 |access-date=October 17, 2008}}</ref> Stabilizing corporate profits are said to have influenced his comments. The following day, the [[Dow Jones Industrial Average]] decreased by 416 points, losing 3.3% of its value.<ref>{{cite news| url=https://money.cnn.com/2007/02/27/markets/markets_0405/index.htm | work=CNN | first=Alexandra | last=Twin | title=Brutal day on Wall Street | date=February 27, 2007}}</ref> |
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Greenspan now works as a private advisor making speeches and providing consulting for firms through his company, Greenspan Associates LLC. On May 16th 2007, Greenspan was hired as a special consultant by PIMCO and he will participate in Pimco’s quarterly economic forums and speak privately with the bond manager about Fed interest rate policy.<ref>http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18703142/</ref> He has written his [[memoir]],<ref>http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/06/AR2006110600588.html</ref> titled [[The Age of Turbulence]]. |
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In May 2007, Greenspan was hired as a special consultant by [[Pacific Investment Management Company]] (PIMCO) to participate in their quarterly economic forums and speak privately with the bond managers about Fed interest rate policy.<ref>{{cite news |url= https://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSN1546703720070516 |title =Pimco Hires Greenspan as Consultant: Report |work=Reuters |date=May 16, 2007 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> |
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Directly following his retirement as Fed chairman, Greenspan accepted an honorary (unpaid) position at [[HM Treasury]] in the [[United Kingdom]]. |
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In August 2007, [[Deutsche Bank]] announced that it would be retaining Greenspan as a senior advisor to its [[investment banking]] team and clients.<ref>{{cite press release |title=Alan Greeenspan to consult for Deutsche Bank Corporate and Investment Bank |publisher=[[Deutsche Bank]] |date=August 13, 2007 |url=http://www.db.com/presse/en/content/press_releases_2007_3606.htm |access-date=October 17, 2008}}</ref> |
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On February 26, 2007, Greenspan forecast a possible recession in the U.S. before or in early 2008.<ref>http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17343814/</ref> Stabilizing corporate profits are said to have influenced his comments. The following day, the [[Dow Jones Industrial Average]] closed at 12,216.24 dropping by 416 points and losing 3.3% of its value, the worst one day loss since September 17, 2001, when the Dow Jones lost 684 points (7.1%) after reopening in the wake of the [[9/11]] terrorist attacks. This drop is not thought to be entirely due to Greenspan's recent comment, whose opinion is nonetheless substantially influential. |
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In mid-January 2008, [[hedge fund]] [[Paulson & Co.]] hired Greenspan as an adviser. According to the terms of their agreement, he was not to advise any other hedge fund while working for Paulson. In 2007, Paulson had foreseen the collapse of the sub-prime housing market and hired [[Goldman Sachs]] to package their sub-prime holdings into derivatives and sell them. Some economic commentators blamed this collapse on Greenspan's policies while at the Fed.<ref>{{cite news |last=Willard |first=Cody |date=April 16, 2010 |url=http://blogs.marketwatch.com/cody/2010/04/16/tangled-webs-greenspan-paulson-goldman-the-sec-and-cc-music-factory/ |publisher=Marketwatch.com |title=Tangled Webs: Greenspan, Paulson, Goldman, the SEC and C&C Music Factory |access-date=January 15, 2011 |archive-date=July 14, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110714035248/http://blogs.marketwatch.com/cody/2010/04/16/tangled-webs-greenspan-paulson-goldman-the-sec-and-cc-music-factory/ |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref name=telegraph>{{cite news |last=Monaghan |first=Angela |url = https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/2782593/Greenspan-joins-hedge-fund-Paulson.html |title=Greenspan joins hedge fund Paulson |work=Daily Telegraph |date=January 15, 2008 |access-date=June 22, 2009 |location=London}}</ref> |
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On August 13, 2007, [[Deutsche Bank]] announced that it would be retaining Dr. Greenspan as a Senior Advisor to its investment banking team and clients. <ref>http://www.db.com/presse/en/content/press_releases_2007_3606.htm</ref> |
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On April 30, 2009, Greenspan offered a defense of the [[H-1B visa]] program, telling a U.S. Senate subcommittee that the visa quota is "far too small to meet the need" and saying that it protects U.S. workers from global competition, creating a "privileged elite". Testifying on immigration reform before the Subcommittee on Immigration, Border Security and Citizenship, he said more skilled immigration was needed "as the economy copes with the forthcoming retirement wave of skilled baby boomers".<ref>{{cite news |title=Greenspan: H-1B Cap Would Make U.S. Workers 'Privileged Elite{{'-}} |url=http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9132438/Greenspan_H_1B_cap_would_make_U.S._workers_privileged_elite_ |date=April 30, 2009|first=Patrick |last=Thibodeau |work=[[Computerworld]] |access-date=April 16, 2011}}</ref> |
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In ''[[The Age of Turbulence|The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World]]'', published September 17, 2007, Greenspan rails against President George W. Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney, and the Republican-controlled Congress for abandoning the Republican Party's principles on spending and deficits. Greenspan's criticisms of President Bush include his refusal to veto spending bills, sending the country into increasingly deep deficits, and for putting political imperatives ahead of sound economic policies.<ref> http://www.reuters.com/article/wtMostRead/idUKN1420623220070915 </ref> Greenspan writes, "They swapped principle for power. They ended up with neither. They deserved to lose” the 2006 election.<ref> http://online.wsj.com/article/SB118978549183327730.html </ref> Of all the presidents with whom he worked, he praises Bill Clinton above all others, saying that Clinton maintained “a consistent, disciplined focus on long-term economic growth.” Although he respected what he saw as Richard Nixon's immense intelligence, Greenspan found him to be the most profane, bigoted, and disturbed president to work with. He found Gerald Ford to be the most ethical.<ref> http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/15/business/15greenspan.html </ref> Greenspan also offers his opinion that the [[Iraq War]] is about oil, writing, "I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil". <ref>Graham Paterson, [http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article2461214.ece "Alan Greenspan claims Iraq war was really for oil"] September 16, 2007 ''[[The Sunday Times]]''</ref> Greenspan has since clarified these remarks in an interview. In the interview, Greenspan stated, "I was not saying that that's the administration's motive. I'm just saying that if somebody asked me, 'Are we fortunate in taking out Saddam?' I would say it was essential". <ref>Bob Woodward, [http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/09/16/AR2007091601287_pf.html "Greenspan: Ouster Of Hussein Crucial For Oil Security"] September 17, 2007 ''[[Washington Post]]''</ref> |
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===Memoir=== |
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Greenspan wrote a memoir titled ''[[The Age of Turbulence|The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World]]'', published September 17, 2007.{{Sfn|Mallaby|2016|p=654}} Greenspan says that he wrote the book in longhand mostly while soaking in the bathtub, a habit he regularly employs since injuring his back in 1971.{{Sfn|Greenspan|2007|p=73}} Greenspan discusses in his book, among other things, his history in government and economics, capitalism and other economic systems, current issues in the global economy, and future issues that face the global economy. In the book, Greenspan criticizes President George W. Bush, Vice President [[Dick Cheney]], and the Republican-controlled Congress for abandoning the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican Party]]'s principles on spending and deficits. Greenspan's criticisms of President Bush include his refusal to veto spending bills, sending the country into increasingly deep deficits, and for "putting political imperatives ahead of sound economic policies".<ref name="TurbReuters">{{cite news |url = https://www.reuters.com/article/wtMostRead/idUKN1420623220070915 |title = Greenspan Criticizes Bush Policies in Memoir |first=Mark |last=Felsenthal |work=Reuters |date=September 15, 2007 |access-date= November 9, 2007 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071012194036/https://www.reuters.com/article/wtMostRead/idUKN1420623220070915 |archive-date=October 12, 2007 |url-status=live}}</ref> Greenspan writes, "They swapped principle for power. They ended up with neither. They deserved to lose [the [[United States elections, 2006|2006 election]]]".<ref name="TurbUSAToday">{{cite news| url=https://www.usatoday.com/money/books/2007-09-17-greenspan-cover_N.htm |title=Greenspan takes center stage in 'Age of Turbulence' |first=Barbara |last=Hagenbaugh |work=USA Today |date=September 17, 2007 |access-date=November 9, 2007}}</ref><ref name="TurbWSJ">{{cite news |first1=Greg |last1=Ip |first2=Emily |last2=Steel |url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB118978549183327730 |title=Greenspan Book Criticizes Bush And Republicans |work=Wall Street Journal |date=September 15, 2007 |page=A1}}</ref> He praised Bill Clinton above all the other presidents for whom he'd worked for his "consistent, disciplined focus on long-term economic growth".<ref name="GreenAttacks">{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/15/business/15greenspan.html |title= Former Fed Chief Attacks Bush on Fiscal Role |first1= Edmund L. |last1=Andrews |first2=David E. |last2=Sanger |work=The New York Times |date=September 15, 2007 |access-date=November 8, 2007 |name-list-style=amp}}</ref> Although he respected what he saw as [[Richard Nixon]]'s immense intelligence, Greenspan found him to be "sadly paranoid, misanthropic and cynical". He said of [[Gerald Ford]] that he "was as close to normal as you get in a president, but he was never elected".<ref name="TurbWSJ" /> Regarding future U.S. economic policy, Greenspan recommends improving the U.S. primary and secondary education systems. He asserts this would narrow the inequality between the minority of high-income earners and most workers whose wages have not grown in proportion with [[globalization]] and the nation's GDP growth.{{Sfn|Greenspan|2007|pp=392–408}} |
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==Objectivism== |
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{{obj}} |
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In the early 1950s, Greenspan began an association with novelist and [[Objectivism|Objectivist]] philosopher [[Ayn Rand]].<ref name="TurbRevKinsley">{{cite news |url= https://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/14/books/review/Kinsley-t.html |title =Greenspan Shrugged |first=Michael |last=Kinsley |author-link=Michael Kinsley |work=The New York Times |date=October 14, 2007 |access-date=November 8, 2007 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130124033522/http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/14/books/review/Kinsley-t.html |archive-date=January 24, 2013 |url-status=live}}</ref> Greenspan was introduced to Rand by his first wife, Joan Mitchell. Rand nicknamed Greenspan "the undertaker" because of his penchant for dark clothing and reserved demeanor. Although Greenspan was initially a [[logical positivist]],{{Sfn|Greenspan|2007|p=41}} he was converted to Rand's philosophy of [[Objectivism]] by her associate [[Nathaniel Branden]]. He became one of the members of Rand's inner circle, [[the Ayn Rand Collective]], who read ''[[Atlas Shrugged]]'' while it was being written. During the 1950s and 1960s Greenspan was a proponent of Objectivism, writing articles for Objectivist newsletters and contributing several essays for Rand's 1966 book ''[[Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal]]'' including an essay supporting the [[gold standard]].<ref>{{cite journal |last=Greenspan |first=Alan |date=July 1966 |title=Gold and Economic Freedom |journal=[[The Objectivist]] |volume=5 |issue=7 |url=http://www.constitution.org/mon/greenspan_gold.htm |access-date=October 16, 2008 |archive-date=September 25, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100925231456/http://constitution.org/mon/greenspan_gold.htm |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |first=Harriet |last=Rubin |title= Ayn Rand's Literature of Capitalism |url= https://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/15/business/15atlas.html |work=The New York Times |date=September 15, 2007 |access-date=January 5, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080316181158/http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/15/business/15atlas.html |archive-date=March 16, 2008 |url-status=live}}</ref> During the 1960s Greenspan offered a ten-lecture course, "The Economics of a Free Society", under the auspices of the [[Nathaniel Branden Institute]]. The course highlighted the causes of prosperity and depression, the consequences of government intervention, and the fallacies of collectivist economics.<ref>{{Cite book |title=[[My Years with Ayn Rand]] |last=Branden |first=Nathaniel |location=San Francisco |publisher=Jossey Bass |year=1999 |isbn=0-7879-4513-7 |oclc=39391081}}</ref> Rand stood beside him at his 1974 swearing-in as chairman of the [[Council of Economic Advisers]].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Dowd |first1=Maureen |title=Where 'Atlas Shrugged' is still read - forthrightly |work=The New York Times |date=September 13, 1987 |ref=Gale Document Number: GALE A176079182 |location=[[Gale]] General OneFile |quote=Miss Rand first persuaded Mr. Greenspan to go into Government, as an economic adviser to President Nixon. She said he could help curb spending and move government 'toward reason as a last resort.' 'When I met Ayn Rand, I was a free enterpriser in the Adam Smith sense - impressed with the theoretical structure and efficiency of markets,' Mr. Greenspan said in 1974. 'What she did - through long discussions and lots of arguments into the night - was to make me think why capitalism is not only efficient and practical, but also moral.'}}</ref> Greenspan and Rand remained friends until her death in 1982.<ref name="TurbRevKinsley" /> |
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Greenspan has come under criticism from [[Harry Binswanger]],<ref>{{cite news |first=Harry |last=Binswanger |author-link=Harry Binswanger |title=Greenspan on 'Infectious Greed' |url=http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?id=1825 |work= Capitalism Magazine |date=August 30, 2002 |access-date=October 17, 2008}}</ref> who believes his actions while at work for the Federal Reserve and his publicly expressed opinions on other issues show abandonment of Objectivist and [[free market]] principles. When questioned in relation to this, however, he has said that in a democratic society individuals have to make compromises with each other over conflicting ideas of how money should be handled. He said he himself had to make such compromises, because he believes that "we did extremely well" without a central bank and with a [[gold standard]].<ref>{{cite video |date=October 15, 2007 |title=Alan Greenspan on FOX Business Network |url= https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZjMQG3qUFKo |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/varchive/youtube/20211211/ZjMQG3qUFKo| archive-date=December 11, 2021 |url-status=live|publisher=[[Fox Business Network]], YouTube |access-date=June 22, 2009}}{{cbignore}}</ref> In a congressional hearing on October 23, 2008, Greenspan admitted that his free-market ideology shunning certain regulations was flawed.<ref>{{cite news| url = https://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ah5qh9Up4rIg|title= Greenspan Concedes to 'Flaw' in His Market Ideology |first1=Scott |last1 =Lanman |first2=Steve |last2=Matthews |publisher=Bloomberg |date=October 23, 2008 |access-date=June 22, 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090930221027/https://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ah5qh9Up4rIg|archive-date=September 30, 2009}}</ref> When asked about free markets and Rand's ideas, however, Greenspan clarified his stance on ''[[laissez faire]]'' capitalism and asserted that in a democratic society there could be no better alternative. He stated that the errors that were made stemmed not from the principle, but from the application of competitive markets in "assuming what the nature of risks would be".<ref>{{cite video |date=April 4, 2010 |title= Interview with Alan Greenspan |url= https://abcnews.go.com/ThisWeek/video/interview-alan-greenspan-10281612 |publisher=[[ABC News (United States)|ABC News]] |access-date=April 4, 2010 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20100409012115/https://abcnews.go.com/ThisWeek/video/interview-alan-greenspan-10281612 |archive-date=April 9, 2010 |url-status=live}}</ref> |
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E. Ray Canterbery has chronicled Greenspan's relationship with Rand, and has concluded that the influence has had pernicious effects on Greenspan's monetary policy.<ref>{{cite book |title=Alan Greenspan: The Oracle Behind the Curtain |url=https://archive.org/details/alangreenspanora0000cant |url-access=registration |last=Canterbery |first=E. Ray |location=Singapore |publisher=[[World Scientific]] |year=2006|isbn=9789812566065 }}</ref> |
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==Reception== |
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===Housing bubble=== |
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In the wake of the [[Subprime mortgage crisis|subprime mortgage and credit crisis]] in 2007, Greenspan stated that there was a [[economic bubble|bubble]] in the U.S. housing market, warning in 2007 of "large double digit declines" in home values "larger than most people expect".<ref name="Greenspan admits bubble FT">{{cite news |first=Krishna |last=Guha |title= Greenspan Alert on US House Prices |date=September 17, 2007 |work=Financial Times |url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31207860-647f-11dc-90ea-0000779fd2ac.html |access-date=October 17, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070921031032/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31207860-647f-11dc-90ea-0000779fd2ac.html |archive-date=September 21, 2007 |url-status=live}}</ref> Greenspan also noted, however, "I really didn't get it until very late in 2005 and 2006."<ref>{{cite news|first=Mark |last= Felsenthal |title= Greenspan Says Didn't See Subprime Storm Brewing |date=September 13, 2007 |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSWBT00756820070913 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> |
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Greenspan stated that the housing bubble was "fundamentally engendered by the decline in real long-term interest rates",<ref name="Greenspan interest rates FT">{{cite news |first=Krishna |last=Guha |title=A Global Outlook |work=Financial Times |date=September 16, 2007 |url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/976b7442-6486-11dc-90ea-0000779fd2ac.html |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20221210/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/976b7442-6486-11dc-90ea-0000779fd2ac.html |archive-date=December 10, 2022 |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |access-date=October 17, 2008}}</ref> though he also claims that long-term interest rates are beyond the control of central banks because "the market value of global long-term securities is approaching $100 trillion" and thus these and other asset markets are large enough that they "now swamp the resources of central banks".<ref name="Greenspan mortgage crisis roots WSJ">{{cite web |last=Greenspan |first=Alan |title=The Roots of the Mortgage Crisis |work=Wall Street Journal |date=December 12, 2007 |url=http://opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110010981 |access-date=June 22, 2009 |ref=none}}</ref> |
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After the [[September 11, 2001 attacks]], the [[Federal Open Market Committee]] voted to reduce the [[federal funds rate]] from 3.5% to 3.0%.<ref>{{cite news | url = http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/2002/February/FullReport.txt |title = Monetary Policy Report to the Congress |date=February 27, 2002 |access-date=June 17, 2009 |archive-url =https://web.archive.org/web/20090511163423/http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/2002/February/FullReport.txt |archive-date=May 11, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref> Then, after the [[accounting scandals]] of 2002, the Fed dropped the federal funds rate from then current 1.25% to 1.00%.<ref name=hearing>{{cite web |url=http://www.house.gov/jec/hearings/11-13-02.pdf |title=Economic Outlook Hearing before the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States |date=November 13, 2002 |publisher=U.S. Government Printing Office |access-date=June 17, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090629181728/http://www.house.gov/jec/hearings/11-13-02.pdf |archive-date=June 29, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref> Greenspan stated that this drop in rates would have the effect of leading to a surge in home sales and refinancing, adding that "Besides sustaining the demand for new construction, mortgage markets have also been a powerful stabilizing force over the past two years of economic distress by facilitating the extraction of some of the equity that homeowners have built up over the years".<ref name=hearing/> |
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According to some, however, Greenspan's policies of adjusting interest rates to historic lows contributed to a housing bubble in the United States.<ref>{{cite book |last=Ritholtz |first=Barry |title=Bailout Nation |url=https://archive.org/details/bailoutnationhow0000rith |url-access=registration |location=New York |publisher=Wiley |year=2009 |isbn=978-0-470-52038-3}}</ref> The [[Federal Reserve]] acknowledged the connection between lower interest rates, higher home values, and the increased liquidity the higher home values bring to the overall economy: "Like other asset prices, house prices are influenced by interest rates, and in some countries, the housing market is a key channel of monetary policy transmission."<ref>{{cite report |url= http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/2005/841/ifdp841.pdf |title= House Prices and Monetary Policy: A Cross-Country Study |first1= Alan G. |last1=Ahearne |first2=John |last2= Ammer |first3=Brian M. |last3=Doyle |first4=Linda S. |last4=Kole |first5=Robert F. |last5=Martin |date=September 2005 |publisher=Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System |name-list-style=amp}}</ref> |
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In a February 23, 2004, speech,<ref name="debt">{{cite conference |url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2004/20040223/ |title=Understanding household debt obligations |conference= Credit Union National Association 2004 Governmental Affairs Conference |publisher=[[Federal Reserve Board]] |last=Greenspan |first=Alan |date=February 23, 2004 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> Greenspan suggested that more homeowners should consider taking out [[adjustable-rate mortgage]]s (ARMs) where the interest rate adjusts itself to the current interest in the market.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/fed/2004-02-23-greenspan-debt_x.htm |title= Greenspan Says ARMs Might Be Better Deal |work=USA Today |first1=Sue |last1=Kirchhoff |first2=Barbara |last2=Hagenbaugh |date= February 23, 2004 |access-date=June 17, 2009}}</ref> The Fed's own funds rate was at a then all-time-low of 1%. A few months after his recommendation, Greenspan began raising interest rates, in a series of rate hikes that would bring the funds rate to 5.25% about two years later.<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.atlanticfreepress.com/content/view/768/81/ |title=Connect the Dots |last=Martenson |first=Chris |date=January 23, 2007 |publisher=Atlantic Free Press |access-date=June 17, 2009 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://archive.today/20120718195427/http://www.atlanticfreepress.com/content/view/768/81/ |archive-date=July 18, 2012}}</ref> A triggering factor in the [[2007 subprime mortgage financial crisis]] is believed to be the many subprime ARMs that reset at much higher interest rates than what the borrower paid during the first few years of the mortgage. |
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In 2008, Greenspan expressed great frustration that the February 23 speech was used to criticize him on ARMs and the [[subprime mortgage crisis]], and stated that he had made countervailing comments eight days after it that praised traditional fixed-rate mortgages.<ref>{{cite news|last=Ip |first=Greg |title=His Legacy Tarnished, Greenspan Goes on Defensive |pages=A1 |work=Wall Street Journal |url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB120760341392296107 |access-date=April 8, 2008 |date=April 8, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080411225037/http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120760341392296107.html |archive-date=April 11, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref> In that speech, Greenspan had suggested that lenders should offer to home purchasers a greater variety of "mortgage product alternatives" other than traditional fixed-rate mortgages.<ref name="debt" /> Greenspan also praised the rise of the subprime mortgage industry and its tools for assessing credit-worthiness: |
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{{blockquote|text=Innovation has brought about a multitude of new products, such as subprime loans and niche credit programs for immigrants. Such developments are representative of the market responses that have driven the financial services industry throughout the history of our country ... With these advances in technology, lenders have taken advantage of credit-scoring models and other techniques for efficiently extending credit to a broader spectrum of consumers. ... Where once more-marginal applicants would simply have been denied credit, lenders are now able to quite efficiently judge the risk posed by individual applicants and to price that risk appropriately. These improvements have led to rapid growth in subprime mortgage lending; indeed, today subprime mortgages account for roughly 10 percent of the number of all mortgages outstanding, up from just 1 or 2 percent in the early 1990s.<ref>{{cite conference |title=Consumer Finance |first=Alan |last=Greenspan |conference=Federal Reserve System's Fourth Annual Community Affairs Research Conference |publisher=[[Federal Reserve Board]] |date=April 8, 2005 |url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/BoardDocs/speeches/2005/20050408/default.htm |access-date=June 22, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090616124302/http://www.federalreserve.gov/BoardDocs/speeches/2005/20050408/default.htm |archive-date=June 16, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref>}} |
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The [[subprime lending|subprime]] mortgage industry collapsed in March 2007, with many of the largest lenders filing for bankruptcy protection in the face of spiraling foreclosure rates. For these reasons, Greenspan has been criticized for his role in the rise of the housing bubble and the subsequent problems in the mortgage industry,<ref>{{cite news |title=The Great Unraveling |author= Roach, Stephen S. |publisher=[[Morgan Stanley]] |date=March 16, 2007 |url=http://www.morganstanley.com/views/gef/archive/2007/20070316-Fri.html | access-date = June 14, 2022 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20070705213834/http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/184125 | archive-date = July 5, 2007 |author-link= Stephen S. Roach }}</ref><ref>{{cite news|title=Who is to Blame for the Mortgage Carnage and Coming Financial Disaster? Unregulated Free Market Fundamentalism Zealotry |author= Roubini, Nouriel | work = RGE Monitor |date=March 19, 2007 |url=http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/184125 | format = Blog |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070705213834/http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/184125 |archive-date=July 5, 2007 |author-link=Nouriel Roubini }}</ref> as well as "engineering" the housing bubble itself. |
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In 2004, ''[[Businessweek]]'' magazine analysts argued: "It was the Federal Reserve-engineered decline in rates that inflated the housing bubble ... the most troublesome aspect of the price runup is that many recent buyers are squeezing into houses that they can barely afford by taking advantage of the lower rates available from adjustable-rate mortgages. That leaves them fully exposed to rising rates."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_29/b3892064_mz011.htm |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20040714033738/http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_29/b3892064_mz011.htm |url-status=dead |archive-date=July 14, 2004 |work= BusinessWeek |date=July 19, 2004 |title=Is A Housing Bubble About To Burst? |author=Coy, Peter |access-date=June 22, 2009|display-authors=etal}}</ref> |
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In September 2008, [[Joseph Stiglitz]] stated that Greenspan "didn't really believe in regulation; when the excesses of the financial system were noted, (he and others) called for self-regulation—an [[oxymoron]]".<ref>{{cite news|first=Joseph |last=Stiglitz |title=How to Prevent the Next Wall Street Crisis |url= http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/17/stiglitz.crisis/ |work=CNN |date=September 17, 2008}}</ref> Greenspan, according to ''The New York Times'', says he himself is blameless.<ref>{{cite news |first=Jackie |last=Calmes |title=In Washington, Financial Furor Is a First-Rate Chance to Assess Blame |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/18/business/18cong.html |work=The New York Times |date=September 17, 2008 }}</ref> On April 6, 2005, Greenspan called for a substantial increase in the regulation of [[Fannie Mae]] and [[Freddie Mac]]: "Appearing before the [[United States Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs|Senate Banking Committee]], the Fed chairman, Alan Greenspan, said the enormous portfolios of the companies—nearly a quarter of the home-mortgage market—posed significant risks to the nation's financial system should either company face significant problems."<ref>{{cite news| url = https://www.nytimes.com/2005/04/07/business/07fannie.html |work=The New York Times |title=Limits Urged in Mortgage Portfolios |date=April 7, 2005 |first=Stephen |last=Labaton |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> Despite this, Greenspan still claims to be a firm believer in free markets, although in his 2007 biography he wrote, "History has not dealt kindly with the aftermath of protracted periods of low [[risk premium]]s" as seen before the credit crisis of 2008. |
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In 2009, [[Robert Reich]] wrote that "Greenspan's worst move was to contribute to the giant housing bubble and the worst worldwide crash since the [[Great Depression]]. In 2004 he lowered interest rates to 1%, enabling banks to borrow money for free, adjusted for inflation. Naturally, the banks wanted to borrow as much as they possibly could, then lend it out, earning nice profits. The situation screamed for government oversight of lending institutions, lest the banks lend to unfit borrowers. He refused, trusting the market to weed out bad credit risks. It did not."<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2009/jan/17/george-bush-alan-greenspan |title= Alan Greenspan by Robert Reich |first=Robert |last=Reich |date=January 17, 2009 |newspaper=[[The Guardian]] |access-date=April 2, 2012 |location=London}}</ref> |
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In congressional testimony on October 23, 2008, Greenspan finally conceded error on regulation. ''The New York Times'' wrote, "a humbled Mr. Greenspan admitted that he had put too much faith in the self-correcting power of free markets and had failed to anticipate the self-destructive power of wanton mortgage lending ... Mr. Greenspan refused to accept blame for the crisis but acknowledged that his belief in deregulation had been shaken". Although many [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] lawmakers tried to blame the housing bubble on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Greenspan placed far more blame on Wall Street for bundling subprime mortgages into securities.<ref>{{cite news |url = https://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/24/business/economy/24panel.html |work=The New York Times |date=October 23, 2008 |title=Greenspan Concedes Error on Regulation |last=Andrews |first=Edmund L. |access-date=February 16, 2010 |archive-url =https://web.archive.org/web/20090410151942/http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/24/business/economy/24panel.html |archive-date=April 10, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref> |
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===2007–2008 financial crisis and the Great Recession=== |
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In March 2008, Greenspan wrote an article for the ''[[Financial Times]]''{{'}} Economists' Forum in which he said that the [[2007–2008 financial crisis]] in the United States is likely to be judged as the most wrenching since the end of [[World War II]]. In it he argued: "We will never be able to anticipate all discontinuities in financial markets." He concluded: "It is important, indeed crucial, that any reforms in, and adjustments to, the structure of markets and regulation not inhibit our most reliable and effective safeguards against cumulative economic failure: market flexibility and open competition." The article attracted a number of critical responses from forum contributors, who, finding causation between Greenspan's policies and the discontinuities in financial markets that followed, criticized Greenspan mainly for what many believed to be his unbalanced and immovable ideological suppositions about global capitalism and free competitive markets. Notable critics included [[J. Bradford DeLong]], [[Paul Krugman]], [[Alice Rivlin]], [[Michael Hudson (economist)|Michael Hudson]], and [[Willem Buiter]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://blogs.ft.com/wolfforum/2008/03/we-will-never-have-a-perfect-model-of-risk/ |title=We will never have a perfect model of risk |work=Financial Times|last=Greenspan |first=Alan |date=March 17, 2008 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> |
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Greenspan responded to his critics in a follow-up article in which he defended his ideology as applied to his conceptual and policy framework, which, among other things, prohibited him from exerting real pressure against the burgeoning housing bubble or, in his words, "leaning against the wind". Greenspan argued, "My view of the range of dispersion of outcomes has been shaken, but not my judgment that free competitive markets are by far the unrivaled way to organize economies". He concluded: "We have tried regulation ranging from heavy to central planning. None meaningfully worked. Do we wish to retest the evidence?"<ref>{{cite web|url=http://blogs.ft.com/wolfforum/2008/04/alan-greenspan-a-response-to-my-critics |title=A response to my critics |work= Financial Times|last=Greenspan |first=Alan |date=April 6, 2008 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> ''Financial Times'' associate editor and chief economics commentator [[Martin Wolf]] defended Greenspan primarily as a scapegoat for the market turmoil. Several notable contributors in defense of Greenspan included [[Stephen S. Roach]], [[Allan Meltzer]], and Robert Brusca.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/6c50fef0-056a-11dd-a9e0-0000779fd2ac.html |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20221210/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/6c50fef0-056a-11dd-a9e0-0000779fd2ac.html |archive-date=December 10, 2022 |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |first=Martin |last=Wolf |title=Why Greenspan Does Not Bear Most of the Blame |work=Financial Times |date=April 8, 2008 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> |
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However, an October 15, 2008, article in ''[[The Washington Post]]'' analyzing the origins of the economic crisis claims that Greenspan vehemently opposed any regulation of [[Derivative (finance)|derivatives]], and actively sought to undermine the office of the [[Commodity Futures Trading Commission]] when the commission sought to initiate regulation of derivatives. Meanwhile, Greenspan recommended improving mark-to-market regulations to avoid having derivatives or other complex assets marked to a distressed or illiquid market during times of material adverse conditions seen during the late 2000s credit crisis.<ref>{{cite news |title=What Went Wrong |first1=Anthony |last1=Faiola |first2=Ellen |last2=Nakashima |first3=Jill |last3=Drew |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/14/AR2008101403343.html |date=October 15, 2008 |newspaper=The Washington Post |page=A01 |name-list-style=amp}}</ref> |
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Greenspan was not alone in his opposition to derivatives regulation. In a 1999 government report that was a key driver in the passage of the [[Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000]]—legislation that clarified that most [[Over-the-counter (finance)|over-the-counter]] derivatives were outside the regulatory authority of any government agency—Greenspan was joined by Treasury Secretary [[Lawrence Summers]], [[U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission|Securities and Exchange Commission]] Chairman [[Arthur Levitt]], and Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman William Ranier in concluding that "under many circumstances, the trading of financial derivatives by eligible swap participants should be excluded from the CEA" ([[Commodity Exchange Act]]). Other government agencies also supported that view.<ref name=PWG>{{cite report |first1=Lawrence |last1=Summers |first2=Alan |last2=Greenspan |first3=Arthur |last3=Levitt |first4=William |last4=Ranier |title= Over-the-Counter Derivatives Markets and the Commodity Exchange Act: Report of The President's Working Group on Financial Markets |date=November 1999 |url= http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/reports/otcact.pdf |access-date=August 15, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090825004934/http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/reports/otcact.pdf |archive-date=August 25, 2009 |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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In Congressional testimony on October 23, 2008, Greenspan acknowledged that he was "partially" wrong in opposing regulation and stated "Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholder's equity—myself especially—are in a state of shocked disbelief."<ref>{{cite news |last1=Felsenthal |first1=Mark |title=Greenspan "shocked" at credit breakdown |url=https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-financial-greenspan-idUKTRE49M5SJ20081023 |access-date=June 14, 2022 |work=Reuters |publisher=Thomson Reuters |date=October 23, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220614182437/https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-financial-greenspan-idUKTRE49M5SJ20081023 |archive-date=June 14, 2022 |location=[[City of London]] |format=Report on meeting of Committee on Oversight and Government Reform |quote=said he was "partially" wrong to resist regulation of some securities}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.abc.net.au/news/2008-10-24/greenspan-admits-some-guilt-over-financial-crisis/551992|title=Greenspan admits some guilt over financial crisis|work=[[ABC News (Australia)|ABC News]]|date=October 24, 2008|access-date=December 10, 2017}}</ref> Referring to his free-market ideology, Greenspan said: "I have found a flaw. I don't know how significant or permanent it is. But I have been very distressed by that fact." When Representative [[Henry Waxman]] (D-CA) pressed him to clarify his words. "In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right, it was not working," Waxman said. "Absolutely, precisely", Greenspan replied. "You know, that's precisely the reason I was shocked, because I have been going for 40 years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well."<ref name="NYT">{{cite news |url= https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/23/greenspans-mea-culpa/|title=Greenspan's Mea Culpa |work=The New York Times |first= David |last= Leonhardt |date=October 23, 2008 |access-date=June 22, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090621063537/https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/23/greenspans-mea-culpa/ |archive-date=June 21, 2009 |url-status=live|author-link=David Leonhardt }}</ref> Greenspan admitted fault<ref name="The Monthly">{{cite web |url=http://themonthly.com.au/node/1785/page/1 |title=Comment: The Corporate Fallacy |work= The Monthly |first=Noel |last=Pearson |date=July 2009}}</ref> in opposing regulation of derivatives and acknowledged that financial institutions didn't protect shareholders and investments as well as he expected. |
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[[Matt Taibbi]] described the [[Greenspan put]] and its bad consequences saying: "every time the banks blew up a speculative bubble, they could go back to the Fed and borrow money at zero or one or two percent, and then start the game all over", thereby making it "almost impossible" for the banks to lose money.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.democracynow.org/blog/2011/2/22/matt_taibbi_why_isnt_wall_street_in_jail|title=Matt Taibbi: "Why Isn't Wall Street in Jail?" (Complete Interview) |date=February 22, 2011 |work=[[Democracy Now!]] |access-date=May 20, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110518172718/http://www.democracynow.org/blog/2011/2/22/matt_taibbi_why_isnt_wall_street_in_jail |archive-date=May 18, 2011 |url-status=live}}</ref> He also called Greenspan a "classic [[Confidence trick|con man]]" who, through political savvy, "flattered and bullshitted his way up the [[Matterhorn]] of American power and ... jacked himself off to the attention of Wall Street for 20 consecutive years".<ref name="taibbi">{{cite book |first=Matt |last=Taibbi |author-link=Matt Taibbi |title=Griftopia: Bubble Machines, Vampire Squids, and the Long Con That Is Breaking America |publisher=[[Spiegel & Grau]] |year=2010 |pages=[https://archive.org/details/griftopiabubblem0000taib/page/35 35–36] |isbn=978-0-385-52995-2 |title-link=Griftopia: Bubble Machines, Vampire Squids, and the Long Con That Is Breaking America }}</ref> |
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In the documentary film ''[[Inside Job (2010 film)|Inside Job]]'', Greenspan is cited as one of the persons responsible for the [[2007–2008 financial crisis]]. He is also named in [[Time (magazine)|''Time'' magazine]] as one of the "25 People to Blame for the Financial Crisis".<ref>{{cite magazine |url=http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/completelist/0,29569,1877351,00.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090414072623/http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/completelist/0,29569,1877351,00.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=April 14, 2009 |magazine=[[Time (magazine)|Time]] |title=Complete List – 25 People to Blame for the Financial Crisis |access-date=May 1, 2013}}</ref> |
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===Political views and alleged politicization of office=== |
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Greenspan describes himself as a "lifelong [[libertarian Republican]]".<ref name="TurbWSJ" /> |
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In March 2005, in reaction to Greenspan's support of President [[George W. Bush]]'s plan to [[Social Security debate (United States)|partially privatize]] [[Social Security (United States)|Social Security]], then-Democratic Senate Minority Leader [[Harry Reid]] attacked Greenspan as "one of the biggest political hacks we have in Washington"<ref name="Inside"/><ref name="washtime"/> and criticized him for supporting Bush's 2001 tax cut plan.<ref name="Andrews"/> Then-Democratic House Minority Leader [[Nancy Pelosi]] added that there were serious questions about the Fed's independence as a result of Greenspan's public statements.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.foxnews.com/story/transcript-nancy-pelosi-on-fox-news-sunday |title=Transcript: Nancy Pelosi on 'FOX News Sunday' |work=Fox News |date=March 6, 2005 |access-date=June 22, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090727180040/http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,149556,00.html |archive-date=July 27, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref> Greenspan also received criticism from Democratic Congressman [[Barney Frank]] and others for supporting Bush's Social Security plans favoring private accounts.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.foxnews.com/story/greenspan-supports-ownership-concept-in-social-security |title=Greenspan Supports 'Ownership' Concept in Social Security |work=Fox News |date=February 17, 2005 |access-date=June 22, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090728051810/http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,147972,00.html |archive-date=July 28, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A5396-2005Mar3.html |title=Senate Democratic Leader Blasts Greenspan |newspaper= The Washington Post |first=Dan |last=Balz |date=March 4, 2005 |page=A06 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url=http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/10/barney-frank-sa.html |title=Barney Frank Says Race a Factor in Subprime Blame Game |work=Political Punch |first=Jake |last=Tapper |date=October 7, 2008 |publisher=ABC News |access-date=June 22, 2009 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091108150044/http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/10/barney-frank-sa.html |archive-date=November 8, 2009}}</ref> Greenspan had said Bush's model has "the seeds of developing full funding by its very nature. As I've said before, I've always supported moves to full funding in the context of a private account".<ref>{{cite news |url=http://seniorjournal.com/NEWS/SocialSecurity/5-02-16GreenspanSays.htm |title=Greenspan Likes Social Security Private Accounts, But Urges Caution |publisher=Senior Journal |date=February 17, 2005 |access-date=June 22, 2009 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090727000810/http://seniorjournal.com/NEWS/SocialSecurity/5-02-16GreenspanSays.htm |archive-date=July 27, 2009}}</ref> |
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Others, like Republican Senator [[Mitch McConnell]], disagreed that Greenspan was too deferential to Bush, stating that Greenspan "has been an independent player at the Fed for a long time under both parties and made an enormous positive contribution".<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna7108135 |work=Meet the Press |title=Transcript for March 6 |publisher=NBC News |date=March 6, 2005 |access-date=June 22, 2009}}</ref> |
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Economist Paul Krugman wrote that Greenspan was a "three-card maestro" with a "lack of sincerity" who, "by repeatedly shilling for whatever the Bush administration wants, has betrayed the trust placed in the Fed chairman".<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2005/02/18/opinion/18krugman.html |title=Three-card Maestro |first=Paul |last=Krugman |work=The New York Times |date=February 18, 2005 |access-date=November 10, 2007}}</ref> |
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Republican Senator [[Jim Bunning]], who opposed Greenspan's fifth reconfirmation, charged that Greenspan should comment only on monetary policy, not fiscal policy.<ref name="bloom">{{cite news |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087&sid=aRR5whQ7nGvE&refer=top_world_news |title=Greenspan Says U.S. Must Adjust Retirement Programs (Update1) |date=August 27, 2004 |publisher=Bloomberg L.P. |access-date=October 26, 2008 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20050921152916/http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087 |archive-date=September 21, 2005}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title='Stark' budget choices |url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-xpm-2004-08-28-0408280145-story.html |access-date=June 14, 2022 |work=Chicago Tribune |agency=[[Bloomberg News]] |publisher=Tribune Publishing |date=August 28, 2004 |quote=If we have promised more than our economy has the ability to deliver to retirees without unduly diminishing real income gains of workers, as I fear we may have, we must recalibrate our public programs so that pending retirees have time to adjust through other channels...}}</ref> Greenspan had used his position as Fed chairman to comment upon fiscal policy as early as 1993, however, when he supported [[Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993|President Clinton's deficit reduction plan]], which included tax increases and budget cuts.{{Sfn|Woodward|2000|p=110}} |
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In an October 2011 lecture addressing the [[Occupy movement]],<ref>{{cite book |last=Chomsky |first=Noam |title=Occupy |year=2012 |location=London |isbn=978-0-241-96401-9 |pages=33–34 |publisher=Penguin |author-link=Noam Chomsky}}</ref> [[Noam Chomsky]] characterized portions of Greenspan's February 1997 testimony to the U.S. Senate as an example of the self-serving attitudes of the so-called 1%. In that testimony, Greenspan had stated that growing worker insecurity is a significant factor keeping inflation and inflation expectation low, thereby promoting long-term investment.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/1997/february/testimony.htm|title=FRB: Testimony, Greenspan – Humphrey-Hawkins – February 26, 1997|website=www.federalreserve.gov|access-date=January 25, 2017}}</ref> |
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==Personal life== |
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[[File:Alan Greenspan and Andrea Mitchell.jpg|thumb|Greenspan and wife Andrea Mitchell in 2000]] |
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Greenspan has married twice. His first marriage was to Canadian artist Joan Mitchell in October 1952;{{Sfn|Mallaby|2016|p=62}} the marriage ended in [[annullment]] 10 months later.{{Sfn|Martin|2000|p=[https://archive.org/details/greenspanmanbehi00mart/page/34 34]}} He dated newswoman [[Barbara Walters]] in the late 1970s.{{Sfn|Martin|2000|p=[https://archive.org/details/greenspanmanbehi00mart/page/129 129]}} In December 1984, Greenspan began dating journalist [[Andrea Mitchell]].{{Sfn|Mallaby|2016|p=305}} Greenspan at the time was 58 and Mitchell was 38. In April 1997, they were married by Supreme Court Justice [[Ruth Bader Ginsburg]].{{Sfn|Martin|2000|pp=[https://archive.org/details/greenspanmanbehi00mart/page/217 217–218]}} |
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==Honors== |
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[[File:Greenspan, Alan (Whitehouse).jpg|thumb|right|President [[George W. Bush]] presents the [[Presidential Medal of Freedom]] to Alan Greenspan, on November 9, 2005, in the [[East Room]] of the [[White House]].]] |
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*[[File:Presidential Medal of Freedom (ribbon).svg|60px]] [[Presidential Medal of Freedom]] The highest civilian award in the United States, by President George W. Bush in November 2005.<ref>{{cite press release |title=Citations for Recipients of the 2005 Presidential Medal of Freedom |publisher=[[White House Press Secretary]] |date=September 9, 2005 |url=https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2005/11/20051109-10.html |access-date=October 17, 2008}}</ref> |
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*[[File:US DoD Distinguished Public Service Award BAR.svg|60px]] [[Department of Defense Medal for Distinguished Public Service]] January 23, 2006.<ref>{{cite press release |title=Alan Greenspan Receives Defense Department Distinguished Public Service Award |publisher=[[United States Department of Defense]] |date=January 23, 2006 |url=http://www.defenselink.mil/releases/release.aspx?releaseid=9252 |access-date=December 29, 2008| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090114025721/http://www.defenselink.mil/releases/release.aspx?releaseid=9252 |archive-date=January 14, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Greenspan receives Dept of Defense medal |url=https://www.centralbanking.com/central-banking/news/1430161/greenspan-receives-dept-defense-medal |website=Central Banking |date=January 27, 2006 |access-date=September 11, 2021 |language=en}}</ref> |
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*[[File:Legion Honneur Commandeur ribbon.svg|60px]] [[Legion of Honour|Commander of the Legion of Honour]] (France) 2000. |
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*[[File:Order of the British Empire (Civil) Ribbon.png|60px]] [[Knight Commander of the Order of the British Empire]] (United Kingdom) 2002.<ref>Batra, Ravi (2005); ''Greenspan's Fraud: How Two Decades of His Policies Have Undermined the Global Economy''. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. {{ISBN|1-4039-6859-4}}. {{OCLC|57169884}}. See [https://books.google.com/books?id=rhs28P_LGLYC&dq=Legion+of+Honor+alan+greenspan&pg=PA3 p.3].</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2002/aug/07/davidteather |title=Greenspan to get honorary knighthood |last=Teather |first=David |date=August 7, 2002 |website=The Guardian |publisher= |access-date=September 11, 2021 |quote=}}</ref> |
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In 1976, Greenspan received the U.S. Senator John Heinz Award for Greatest Public Service by an Elected or Appointed Official, an award given out annually by [[Jefferson Awards for Public Service|Jefferson Awards]].<ref>[http://www.jeffersonawards.org/about-historic-highlights "Historic highlights page with picture of 1976 winner Alan Greenspan"] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130921225746/http://www.jeffersonawards.org/about-historic-highlights |date=September 21, 2013 }}, Jefferson Awards web site. Retrieved July 31, 2013.</ref> |
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In 1989, Greenspan was elected as a [[fellow of the American Statistical Association]].<ref>[http://www.amstat.org/awards/fellowslist.cfm View/Search Fellows of the ASA] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160616161612/http://www.amstat.org/awards/fellowslist.cfm |date=June 16, 2016 }}, accessed November 19, 2016.</ref> |
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Greenspan was elected to the [[American Philosophical Society]] in 2000.<ref>{{Cite web|title=APS Member History|url=https://search.amphilsoc.org/memhist/search?creator=Alan+Greenspan&title=&subject=&subdiv=&mem=&year=&year-max=&dead=&keyword=&smode=advanced|access-date=July 15, 2021|website=search.amphilsoc.org}}</ref> |
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On September 26, 2002, Greenspan received an honorary knighthood from Queen Elizabeth II.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/knighted-but-not-sir-alan/ |title=Knighted, But Not 'Sir Alan' |date=September 26, 2002 |publisher=CBS News |agency=Associated Press}}</ref> |
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In 2004, Greenspan received the Dwight D. Eisenhower Medal for Leadership and Service, from Eisenhower Fellowships. In 2005, he became the first recipient of the Harry S. Truman Medal for Economic Policy, presented by the Harry S. Truman Library Institute. In 2007, Greenspan was the recipient of the inaugural Thomas Jefferson Foundation Medal in Citizen Leadership, presented by the [[University of Virginia]]. |
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On April 19, 2012, Greenspan received the [[Eugene J. Keogh]] Award for Distinguished Public Service from NYU.<ref>{{cite news |url = http://alumni.nyu.edu/s/1068/2col.aspx?sid=1068&gid=1&pgid=631 |title=NYU Alumni Association Awards Past Recipients |publisher=New York University |access-date=January 7, 2013}}</ref> |
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===Scholastic=== |
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; Honorary Degrees |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%;" |
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! style="width:20%;"| Location |
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! style="width:20%;"| Date |
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! style="width:40%;"| School |
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! style="width:20%;"| Degree |
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! style="width:20%;"| Gave Commencement Address |
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|- |
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| {{Flagu|Indiana}} || '''May 21, 1995''' || [[University of Notre Dame]] || [[Doctor of Laws]] (LL.D)<ref>{{cite web |title=University of Notre Dame Honorary Degree Recipients 1844- 2019 |url=https://commencement.nd.edu/assets/408572/honorary_degrees_archive_by_date.pdf |website=University of Notre Dame |access-date=September 11, 2021 |language=en}}</ref> || |
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|- |
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| {{Flagu|Pennsylvania}} || '''1998''' || [[University of Pennsylvania]] || Doctor of Laws (LL.D)<ref>{{cite web |title=Chronological Listing of Honorary Degree Recipients of the University of Pennsylvania |url=https://secretary.upenn.edu/sites/default/files/Chronological-Penn-HDR-Listing_0.pdf |website=University of Pennsylvania |access-date=September 11, 2021 |language=en |archive-date=June 29, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190629122212/https://secretary.upenn.edu/sites/default/files/Chronological-Penn-HDR-Listing_0.pdf |url-status=dead }}</ref> || |
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|- |
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| {{Flagu|Massachusetts}} || '''June 10, 1999''' || [[Harvard University]] || Doctor of Laws (LL.D)<ref>{{cite web |title=Harvard University Honorary Degree Recipients 1994-2019 |
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|url=https://commencement.harvard.edu/files/commencement/files/1994-2019_honorary_degree_recipients.pdf?m=1605796366 |website=Harvard University |access-date=September 11, 2021 |language=en}}</ref> || Yes<ref>{{cite web |title=Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan Commencement address Harvard University |url=https://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/1999/199906102.htm |website=The Federal Reserve |access-date=September 11, 2021 |language=en}}</ref> |
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|- |
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| {{Flagu|Connecticut}} || '''1999''' || [[Yale University]] || [[Doctor of Humane Letters]] (DHL)<ref>{{cite web |title=Yale University Honorary Degrees Since 1702 |
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|url=https://secretary.yale.edu/programs-services/honorary-degrees/since-1702?field_degrees_value=All&field_year_value=All&keys=Greenspan |website=Yale University |access-date=September 11, 2021 |language=en}}</ref> || |
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|- |
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| {{Flagu|Scotland}} || '''2005''' || [[University of Edinburgh]] || Doctorate<ref>{{cite web |title=University of Edinburgh Honorary Degree Recipients Database |url=http://www.scripts.sasg.ed.ac.uk/registry/Graduations/Honorary_Graduates.cfm |website=University of Edinburgh |access-date=September 11, 2021 |language=en |archive-date=September 1, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150901034227/http://www.scripts.sasg.ed.ac.uk/registry/Graduations/Honorary_Graduates.cfm |url-status=dead }}</ref> || |
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|- |
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| {{Flagu|New York}} || '''December 14, 2005''' || [[New York University]] || Doctor of Commercial Science<ref>{{cite web |title=Alan Greenspan and Gordon Brown Receive Honorary Degrees From NYU, December 14, 2005 |url=https://www.nyu.edu/about/news-publications/news/2005/december/alan_greenspan_and_gordon.html |website=New York University |access-date=September 11, 2021 |language=en}}</ref> || |
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|- |
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|} |
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{{Incomplete list|date=September 2021}} |
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==Books== |
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*''1993 Monetary Policy Objectives: midyear review of the Federal Reserve Board'' (1993) |
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*''William Taylor Memorial Lectures 3: Global Risk Management'' (1996) |
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*''The Quotations of Chairman Greenspan: Words from the Man Who Can Shake the World'' (2000) |
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*''[[The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World]]'' (2007) |
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*''Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Sources and Uses of Equity Extracted from Homes'' (2013) |
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*''Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Estimates of Home Mortgage Originations, Repayments, and Debt on One-to-Four-Family Residences'' (2013) |
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*''[[The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting]]'' (2013) |
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*''[[The Map and the Territory 2.0: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting]]'' (2014) |
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*''Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Motor Vehicle Stocks, Scrappage, and Sales'' (2015) |
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*''[[Capitalism in America: A History]]'' (2018)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nyjournalofbooks.com/book-review/capitalism-america-history | title = A book review | first = Craig R. |last = Roach |work=New York Journal of Books |date=October 16, 2018 |archive-date = July 25, 2020 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20200725023802/https://www.nyjournalofbooks.com/book-review/capitalism-america-history |access-date=June 14, 2022}}</ref> |
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==See also== |
==See also== |
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* [[List of United States political appointments across party lines]] |
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* [[Greenspan put]] |
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* [[Fedspeak]] |
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* [[Irrational exuberance]] |
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* [[Greenspan Commission]] |
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==References== |
==References== |
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{{Clear}} |
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*{{cite book | author=[[Bob Woodward]] | title=Maestro: Alan Greenspan and the American Boom | publisher=Simon & Schuster | year=2001 | id=ISBN 0-7432-0412-3 }} |
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{{Reflist|colwidth=30em}} |
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*{{cite book | author=Jerome Tuccille | title=Alan Shrugged: Alan Greenspan, the World's Most Powerful Banker | publisher=Wiley | year=2002 | id=ISBN 0-471-39906-X }} |
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*''The Economist'' (October 15-21, 2005 issue) page 29, "After Alan" |
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*http://www.db.com/presse/en/content/press_releases_2007_3606.htm |
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<!-- Dead note "GreenspanTimeline": [http://www.noblesoul.com/orc/bio/greenspan-time.html ''The Alan Greenspan Timeline''] at [http://www.noblesoul.com/orc/index.html Objectivism Reference Center] --> |
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<div class="references" "reflist4" style="height: 220px; overflow: auto; padding: 3px;"> |
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{{reflist}} |
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</div> |
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===Works cited=== |
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== Further reading == |
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*''{{Cite book |title=The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World |last=Greenspan |first=Alan |author-link=Alan Greenspan |location=New York |publisher=Penguin Press |year=2007 |isbn=978-1-59420-131-8 |oclc=122973403 |title-link=The Age of Turbulence}} |
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*{{cite book| last =Martin| first =J| authorlink =| coauthors =| title =Greenspan: The Man behind Money| publisher =Perseus | date =2000| location =Cambridge, Mass| pages =| url =| doi =| id =[http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/45188865&referer=brief_results OCLC: 45188865 ]| isbn =0738202754 }} |
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*{{Cite book |last=Mallaby |first=Sebastian |title=The Man Who Knew: The Life and Times of Alan Greenspan |location=New York |publisher=Penguin Press |year=2016 |isbn=9781594204845}} |
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*{{cite book| last =Batra| first =R| authorlink =Ravi Batra| coauthors =| title =Greenspan's Fraud: How Two Decades of His Policies Have Undermined the Global Economy| publisher =Palgrave Macmillan| date =2005| location =New York| pages =| url =| doi =| id =[http://worldcat.org/isbn/1403968594 OCLC: 57169884]| isbn = 1403968594}} |
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*{{Cite book |last=Martin |first=Justin |title=Greenspan: The Man behind Money |publisher=[[Basic Books]] |year=2000 |oclc=45188865 |isbn=978-0738202754 |url=https://archive.org/details/greenspanmanbehi00mart }} |
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*{{cite news | last =Baxter| first =S| coauthors =| title =Sarah Baxter meets Alan Greenspan| work =US & Americas News| pages =| language =| publisher =The Sunday Times| date =[[2007-09-23]]| url =http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article2510761.ece| accessdate =2007-09-25 }} |
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*{{Cite book |last=Woodward |first=Bob |author-link=Bob Woodward |title=Maestro: Greenspan's Fed and the American Boom |location=New York |publisher=Simon & Schuster |year=2000 |isbn=0-7432-0412-3 |url-access=registration |url=https://archive.org/details/maestrogreenspan00wood}} |
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==Further reading== |
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*{{Cite news |title=After Alan |newspaper=[[The Economist]] |page=29 |date=October 13, 2005 |url=https://www.economist.com/node/5025627 |access-date=January 7, 2013}} |
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*{{Cite book |last=Fleckenstein |first=William |title=Greenspan's Bubbles: The Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve |location=New York |publisher=McGraw-Hill |year=2008 |isbn=978-0-07-159158-4 |url-access=registration |url=https://archive.org/details/greenspansbubble0000flec }} |
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*{{Cite news |first1=Steven |last1=Gjerstad |first2=Vernon L. |last2=Smith |title=From Bubble to Depression? Why the Housing Bubble Crashed the Financial System but the Dot-com Bubble Did Not |url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB123897612802791281 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150213021712/https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB123897612802791281 | archive-date=February 13, 2015|work=Wall Street Journal |page=A15 |date=April 6, 2009 |name-list-style=amp}} |
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*{{Cite journal |last1=Blinder |first1=Alan S. |first2=Ricardo |last2=Reis |title=Understanding the Greenspan Standard |journal=Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Proceedings |date=August 2005 |issue=Aug |pages=11–96 |url=https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedkpr/y2005iaugp11-96.html}} |
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*{{Cite book |last=Tuccille |first=Jerome |title=Alan Shrugged: The Life and Times of Alan Greenspan, the World's Most Powerful Banker |location=Hoboken, New Jersey |publisher=Wiley |year=2002 |isbn=0-471-39906-X |url=https://archive.org/details/alanshruggedlife00tucc }} |
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*{{cite book|last=Meltzer|first=Allan H.|author-link=Allan H. Meltzer|title=A History of the Federal Reserve – Volume 2, Book 2: 1970–1986|year=2009|publisher=[[University of Chicago Press]]|place=Chicago|pages=886–1255|isbn=978-0226213514}} |
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==External links== |
==External links== |
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{{wikiquote}} |
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{{Commons}} |
{{Commons}} |
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{{Wikiquote}} |
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*[http://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDDOCS/SPEECHES/19961205.htm 1996 speech by Greenspan about the challenges of central banking] |
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*{{cite web |last1=Rivlin |first1=Alice |last2=Mallory |first2=Sebastian |title=After Words |url=https://www.c-span.org/video/?416867-1%2Fafter-words-sebastian-mallaby |website=C-SPAN |access-date=July 18, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220718225559/https://www.c-span.org/video/?416867-1%2Fafter-words-sebastian-mallaby |archive-date=July 18, 2022 |format=Video of conversation about ''The Man Who Knew'' |date=October 17, 2016 |url-status=bot: unknown }} |
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*[http://www.federalreserve.gov/BoardDocs/speeches/2003/20030404/default.htm 2003 speech by Greenspan about "Market Economies and Rule of Law"] |
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*{{C-SPAN|177}} |
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*[http://goldmau.com/alangreenspan_goldandeconomicfreedom.php Gold and Economic Freedom, by Alan Greenspan 1967] |
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*{{Charlie Rose view|6171}} |
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*[http://www.stocksandnews.com/searchresults.asp?Id=435 Educate Yourself-Greenspan --The Chairman...through the years] |
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*{{IMDb name|2325162}} |
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*[http://www.newsmeat.com/washington_political_donations/Alan_Greenspan.php Alan Greenspan's political donations] |
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*{{Guardian topic}} |
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*[http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4188716.stm Greenspan Warns on Protectionism, BBC News, 26 August 2005] |
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*{{NYTtopic|people/g/alan_greenspan}} |
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*[http://www.321gold.com/fed/greenspan/1966.html Gold and Economic Freedom, a 1966 essay by Alan Greenspan] |
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*[https://lccn.loc.gov/mm2014085936 Alan Greenspan papers] at the [[Library of Congress]] |
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*[http://www.polyconomics.com/searchbase/06-12-98.html Criticism of Antitrust] |
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* See [http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1663840,00.html analysis of Greenspan] featured on Time.com |
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*Sept 24 2007 - Greenspan and [[Naomi Klein]] on [[Democracy Now]]: [http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=07/09/24/1412226 on the Iraq War, Tax Cuts, Economic Populism] |
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*Oct 17 2007 - economist [[Paul Krugman]] [http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=07/10/17/1352236 responds] to the Sept 24 Democracy Now interview |
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{{s-start}} |
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===Interviews=== |
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{{s-off}} |
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{{s-bef|before=[[Herbert Stein]]}} |
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*[http://www.charlierose.com/shows/2007/09/20/1/a-conversation-with-alan-greenspan Alan Greenspan interview on Charlie Rose Show - 53 mins video] |
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{{s-ttl|title=Chairman of the [[Council of Economic Advisers]]|years=1974–1977}} |
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{{s-aft|after=[[Charles Schultze]]}} |
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===Criticism=== |
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{{s-break}} |
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*[[Stephen S. Roach]] ([[2005]]). [http://www.morganstanley.com/GEFdata/digests/20050425-mon.html Morgan Stanley Global Economic Forum: Original Sin]. See also [[James Wolcott]]'s [http://jameswolcott.com/archives/2005/04/bubble_trouble.php comments]. |
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{{s-bef|rows=2|before=[[Paul Volcker]]}} |
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*[http://www.fleckensteincapital.com/old_raps/friend_or_foe.htm Fleck on Greenspan] |
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{{s-ttl|title=Member of the [[Federal Reserve Board of Governors]]|years=1987–2006}} |
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*[http://www.mises.org/econsense/ch83.asp Making Economic Sense - Chapter 83] |
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{{s-aft|rows=2|after=[[Ben Bernanke]]}} |
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*From Objectivists: [http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?id=1821], [http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?id=289], [http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?id=1825], [http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?id=856], [http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?id=283], [http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?id=19] |
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{{s-break}} |
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*From [[Richard Salsman]] - [http://www.intermarketforecasting.com/Greenspans%20Track%20Record%201.31.pdf Greenspan's Record: Better Than Predecessors, Not As Good as Gold] |
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{{s-ttl|title=[[Chair of the Federal Reserve|Chairman of the Federal Reserve]]|years=1987–2006}} |
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*Doug Noland. [http://www.safehaven.com/article-3684.htm The Greenspan Era: Lessons to be Learned], August 27, 2005. |
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{{s-end}} |
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*[http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0227-09.htm Alan Greenspan Has Got to Go] |
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*[http://www.barefootsworld.net/fs_m_biog.html Secrets of the Federal Reserve] |
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[[Category:American economists]] |
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[[Category:American businesspeople]] |
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[[Category:Former Objectivists]] |
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Latest revision as of 16:38, 13 November 2024
Alan Greenspan | |
---|---|
13th Chairman of the Federal Reserve | |
In office August 11, 1987 – January 31, 2006 | |
President | |
Deputy | |
Preceded by | Paul Volcker |
Succeeded by | Ben Bernanke |
Member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors | |
In office August 11, 1987 – January 31, 2006 | |
President |
|
Preceded by | Paul Volcker |
Succeeded by | Ben Bernanke |
10th Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers | |
In office September 4, 1974 – January 20, 1977 | |
President | Gerald Ford |
Preceded by | Herbert Stein |
Succeeded by | Charles Schultze |
Personal details | |
Born | New York City, U.S. | March 6, 1926
Political party | Republican |
Spouses | |
Education | |
Alan Greenspan (born March 6, 1926) is an American economist who served as the 13th chairman of the Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006. He worked as a private adviser and provided consulting for firms through his company, Greenspan Associates LLC.
First nominated to the Federal Reserve by President Ronald Reagan in August 1987, Greenspan was reappointed at successive four-year intervals until retiring on January 31, 2006, after the second-longest tenure in the position, behind only William McChesney Martin.[1] President George W. Bush appointed Ben Bernanke as his successor. Greenspan came to the Federal Reserve Board from a consulting career. Although he was subdued in his public appearances, favorable media coverage raised his profile to a point that several observers likened him to a "rock star".[2][3][4] Democratic leaders of Congress criticized him for politicizing his office because of his support for Social Security privatization[5][6] and tax cuts.[7]
Many have argued that the "easy-money" policies of the Fed during Greenspan's tenure, including the practice known as the "Greenspan put", were a leading cause of the dot-com bubble and subprime mortgage crisis (the latter occurring within a year of his leaving the Fed), which, said The Wall Street Journal, "tarnished his reputation".[8][9] Yale economist Robert Shiller argues that "once stocks fell, real estate became the primary outlet for the speculative frenzy that the stock market had unleashed".[10] Greenspan argues that the housing bubble was not a result of low-interest short-term rates but rather a worldwide phenomenon caused by the progressive decline in long-term interest rates – a direct consequence of the relationship between high savings rates in the developing world and its inverse in the developed world.
Early life and education
[edit]Greenspan was born in the Washington Heights area of New York City. His father, Herbert Greenspan, was of Romanian Jewish descent, and his mother, Rose Goldsmith, was of Hungarian Jewish descent.[11] After his parents divorced, Greenspan grew up with his mother in the household of his maternal grandparents who were born in Russia.[12] His father worked as a stockbroker and consultant in New York City.[13]
Greenspan attended George Washington High School from 1940 until he graduated in June 1943, where one of his classmates was John Kemeny.[14] He played clarinet and saxophone along with Stan Getz. He further studied clarinet at the Juilliard School from 1943 to 1944.[15] Among his bandmates in the Woody Herman band[16][17] was Leonard Garment, Richard Nixon's special counsel.[18] In 1945, Greenspan attended New York University's Stern School of Business, where he earned a B.A. degree in economics summa cum laude in 1948[19] and an M.A. degree in economics in 1950.[20] At Columbia University, he pursued advanced economic studies under Arthur Burns but withdrew because of his increasing work demand at Townsend-Greenspan & Company.[21]
In 1977, Greenspan obtained a Ph.D. in economics from New York University. His dissertation is not available from the university[22] since it was removed at Greenspan's request in 1987, when he became chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. In April 2008, however, Barron's obtained a copy and notes that it includes "a discussion of soaring housing prices and their effect on consumer spending; it even anticipates a bursting housing bubble".[23]
Career
[edit]Before the Federal Reserve
[edit]During his economics studies at New York University, Greenspan worked under Eugene Banks, a managing director at the Wall Street investment bank Brown Brothers Harriman, in the firm's equity research department.[24] From 1948 to 1953, Greenspan worked as an analyst at the National Industrial Conference Board (currently known as the Conference Board), a business- and industry-oriented think tank in New York City.[25] Before he was appointed chairman of the Federal Reserve, from 1955 to 1987, Greenspan was chairman and president of Townsend-Greenspan & Co., Inc., an economics consulting firm in New York City. His 32-year stint there was interrupted only from 1974 to 1977, when he served as chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, under President Gerald Ford.[26]
In mid-1968, Greenspan agreed to serve as Richard Nixon's coordinator on domestic policy in the nomination campaign.[27] Greenspan has also served as a corporate director for Aluminum Company of America (Alcoa); Automatic Data Processing; Capital Cities/ABC, Inc.; General Foods; J.P. Morgan & Co.; Morgan Guaranty Trust Company; Mobil Corporation; and the Pittston Company.[28][29] He was a director of the Council on Foreign Relations foreign policy organization between 1982 and 1988.[30] He also served as a member of the influential Washington-based financial advisory body, the Group of Thirty in 1984.[citation needed]
Chairman of the Federal Reserve
[edit]What I've learned at the Federal Reserve is a new language which is called "Fed-speak". You soon learn to mumble with great incoherence. |
— Alan Greenspan[31] |
On June 2, 1987, President Ronald Reagan nominated Greenspan as a successor to Paul Volcker, as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, and the Senate confirmed him on August 11, 1987.[32] Investor, author and commentator Jim Rogers has said that Greenspan lobbied to get this chairmanship.[33]
Two months after his confirmation, Greenspan said immediately following the 1987 stock market crash that the Fed "affirmed today its readiness to serve as a source of liquidity to support the economic and financial system".[34][35][36] Although the Federal Reserve followed its announcement with monetary policy actions, which became known as the Greenspan put, George H. W. Bush attributed his re-election loss to a sluggish response. Democratic president Bill Clinton reappointed Greenspan, and consulted him on economic matters. Greenspan lent support to Clinton's 1993 deficit reduction program.[37] Greenspan was fundamentally a monetarist and Austrian Economist in orientation on the economy,[38] and his monetary policy decisions largely followed standard Taylor rule prescriptions (see Taylor 1993 and 1999). Greenspan also played a key role in organizing the U.S. bailout of Mexico during the 1994–1995 Mexican peso crisis.[39]
In 2000, Greenspan raised interest rates several times; these actions were believed by many to have caused the bursting of the dot-com bubble. According to Nobel laureate Paul Krugman, however, "he didn't raise interest rates to curb the market's enthusiasm; he didn't even seek to impose margin requirements on stock market investors. Instead, he waited until the bubble burst, as it did in 2000, then tried to clean up the mess afterward".[40] E. Ray Canterbery agrees with Krugman's criticism.[41]
In January 2001, Greenspan, in support of President Bush's proposed tax decrease, stated that the federal surplus could accommodate a significant tax cut while paying down the national debt.[42]
In autumn 2001, as a decisive reaction to the September 11 attacks and various corporate scandals which undermined the economy, the Greenspan-led Federal Reserve initiated a series of interest cuts that brought down the federal funds rate to 1% in 2004. While presenting the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Report in July 2002, he said that "It is not that humans have become any more greedy than in generations past. It is that the avenues to express greed had grown so enormously", and suggested that financial markets need to be more regulated.[43] His critics, led by Steve Forbes, attributed the rapid rise in commodity prices and gold to Greenspan's loose monetary policy, which Forbes believed had caused excessive asset inflation and a weak dollar. By late 2004, the price of gold was higher than its 12-year moving average.
Greenspan advised senior members of the George W. Bush administration to depose Saddam Hussein for the sake of the oil markets.[44] He believed that even a moderate disruption to the flow of oil could translate into high oil prices,[45] which could lead to "chaos" in the global economy and bring the industrial world "to its knees".[46][47] He feared that Saddam could seize control of the Straits of Hormuz and restrict the transport of oil through them. In a 2007 interview, he said, "people do not realize in this country, for example, how tenuous our ties to international energy are. That is, we on a daily basis require continuous flow. If that flow is shut off, it causes catastrophic effects in the industrial world. And it's that which made him [Saddam] far more important to get out than bin Laden."[48]
On May 18, 2004, Greenspan was nominated by President George W. Bush to serve for an unprecedented fifth term as chairman of the Federal Reserve. He was previously appointed to the post by Presidents Reagan, George H. W. Bush, and Bill Clinton.
In a May 2005 speech, Greenspan stated: "Two years ago at this conference I argued that the growing array of derivatives and the related application of more-sophisticated methods for measuring and managing risks had been key factors underlying the remarkable resilience of the banking system, which had recently shrugged off severe shocks to the economy and the financial system. At the same time, I indicated some concerns about the risks associated with derivatives, including the risks posed by concentration in certain derivatives markets, notably the over-the-counter (OTC) markets for U.S. dollar interest rate options."[49]
Greenspan opposed tariffs against the People's Republic of China for its refusal to let the yuan rise,[50] suggesting instead that any American workers displaced by Chinese trade could be compensated through unemployment insurance and retraining programs.[51]
Greenspan's term as a member of the board ended on January 31, 2006, and Ben Bernanke was confirmed as his successor.
As chairman of the board, Greenspan did not give any broadcast interviews from 1987 through 2005.[52]
After the Federal Reserve
[edit]Immediately after leaving the Fed, Greenspan formed an economic consulting firm, Greenspan Associates LLC.[53] He also accepted an honorary (unpaid) position at HM Treasury in the United Kingdom.
On February 26, 2007, Greenspan forecast a possible recession in the United States before or in early 2008.[54] Stabilizing corporate profits are said to have influenced his comments. The following day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 416 points, losing 3.3% of its value.[55]
In May 2007, Greenspan was hired as a special consultant by Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) to participate in their quarterly economic forums and speak privately with the bond managers about Fed interest rate policy.[56]
In August 2007, Deutsche Bank announced that it would be retaining Greenspan as a senior advisor to its investment banking team and clients.[57]
In mid-January 2008, hedge fund Paulson & Co. hired Greenspan as an adviser. According to the terms of their agreement, he was not to advise any other hedge fund while working for Paulson. In 2007, Paulson had foreseen the collapse of the sub-prime housing market and hired Goldman Sachs to package their sub-prime holdings into derivatives and sell them. Some economic commentators blamed this collapse on Greenspan's policies while at the Fed.[58][59]
On April 30, 2009, Greenspan offered a defense of the H-1B visa program, telling a U.S. Senate subcommittee that the visa quota is "far too small to meet the need" and saying that it protects U.S. workers from global competition, creating a "privileged elite". Testifying on immigration reform before the Subcommittee on Immigration, Border Security and Citizenship, he said more skilled immigration was needed "as the economy copes with the forthcoming retirement wave of skilled baby boomers".[60]
Memoir
[edit]Greenspan wrote a memoir titled The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World, published September 17, 2007.[61] Greenspan says that he wrote the book in longhand mostly while soaking in the bathtub, a habit he regularly employs since injuring his back in 1971.[62] Greenspan discusses in his book, among other things, his history in government and economics, capitalism and other economic systems, current issues in the global economy, and future issues that face the global economy. In the book, Greenspan criticizes President George W. Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney, and the Republican-controlled Congress for abandoning the Republican Party's principles on spending and deficits. Greenspan's criticisms of President Bush include his refusal to veto spending bills, sending the country into increasingly deep deficits, and for "putting political imperatives ahead of sound economic policies".[63] Greenspan writes, "They swapped principle for power. They ended up with neither. They deserved to lose [the 2006 election]".[64][65] He praised Bill Clinton above all the other presidents for whom he'd worked for his "consistent, disciplined focus on long-term economic growth".[66] Although he respected what he saw as Richard Nixon's immense intelligence, Greenspan found him to be "sadly paranoid, misanthropic and cynical". He said of Gerald Ford that he "was as close to normal as you get in a president, but he was never elected".[65] Regarding future U.S. economic policy, Greenspan recommends improving the U.S. primary and secondary education systems. He asserts this would narrow the inequality between the minority of high-income earners and most workers whose wages have not grown in proportion with globalization and the nation's GDP growth.[67]
Objectivism
[edit]Objectivist movement |
---|
In the early 1950s, Greenspan began an association with novelist and Objectivist philosopher Ayn Rand.[68] Greenspan was introduced to Rand by his first wife, Joan Mitchell. Rand nicknamed Greenspan "the undertaker" because of his penchant for dark clothing and reserved demeanor. Although Greenspan was initially a logical positivist,[69] he was converted to Rand's philosophy of Objectivism by her associate Nathaniel Branden. He became one of the members of Rand's inner circle, the Ayn Rand Collective, who read Atlas Shrugged while it was being written. During the 1950s and 1960s Greenspan was a proponent of Objectivism, writing articles for Objectivist newsletters and contributing several essays for Rand's 1966 book Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal including an essay supporting the gold standard.[70][71] During the 1960s Greenspan offered a ten-lecture course, "The Economics of a Free Society", under the auspices of the Nathaniel Branden Institute. The course highlighted the causes of prosperity and depression, the consequences of government intervention, and the fallacies of collectivist economics.[72] Rand stood beside him at his 1974 swearing-in as chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers.[73] Greenspan and Rand remained friends until her death in 1982.[68]
Greenspan has come under criticism from Harry Binswanger,[74] who believes his actions while at work for the Federal Reserve and his publicly expressed opinions on other issues show abandonment of Objectivist and free market principles. When questioned in relation to this, however, he has said that in a democratic society individuals have to make compromises with each other over conflicting ideas of how money should be handled. He said he himself had to make such compromises, because he believes that "we did extremely well" without a central bank and with a gold standard.[75] In a congressional hearing on October 23, 2008, Greenspan admitted that his free-market ideology shunning certain regulations was flawed.[76] When asked about free markets and Rand's ideas, however, Greenspan clarified his stance on laissez faire capitalism and asserted that in a democratic society there could be no better alternative. He stated that the errors that were made stemmed not from the principle, but from the application of competitive markets in "assuming what the nature of risks would be".[77]
E. Ray Canterbery has chronicled Greenspan's relationship with Rand, and has concluded that the influence has had pernicious effects on Greenspan's monetary policy.[78]
Reception
[edit]Housing bubble
[edit]In the wake of the subprime mortgage and credit crisis in 2007, Greenspan stated that there was a bubble in the U.S. housing market, warning in 2007 of "large double digit declines" in home values "larger than most people expect".[79] Greenspan also noted, however, "I really didn't get it until very late in 2005 and 2006."[80]
Greenspan stated that the housing bubble was "fundamentally engendered by the decline in real long-term interest rates",[81] though he also claims that long-term interest rates are beyond the control of central banks because "the market value of global long-term securities is approaching $100 trillion" and thus these and other asset markets are large enough that they "now swamp the resources of central banks".[82]
After the September 11, 2001 attacks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to reduce the federal funds rate from 3.5% to 3.0%.[83] Then, after the accounting scandals of 2002, the Fed dropped the federal funds rate from then current 1.25% to 1.00%.[84] Greenspan stated that this drop in rates would have the effect of leading to a surge in home sales and refinancing, adding that "Besides sustaining the demand for new construction, mortgage markets have also been a powerful stabilizing force over the past two years of economic distress by facilitating the extraction of some of the equity that homeowners have built up over the years".[84]
According to some, however, Greenspan's policies of adjusting interest rates to historic lows contributed to a housing bubble in the United States.[85] The Federal Reserve acknowledged the connection between lower interest rates, higher home values, and the increased liquidity the higher home values bring to the overall economy: "Like other asset prices, house prices are influenced by interest rates, and in some countries, the housing market is a key channel of monetary policy transmission."[86]
In a February 23, 2004, speech,[87] Greenspan suggested that more homeowners should consider taking out adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) where the interest rate adjusts itself to the current interest in the market.[88] The Fed's own funds rate was at a then all-time-low of 1%. A few months after his recommendation, Greenspan began raising interest rates, in a series of rate hikes that would bring the funds rate to 5.25% about two years later.[89] A triggering factor in the 2007 subprime mortgage financial crisis is believed to be the many subprime ARMs that reset at much higher interest rates than what the borrower paid during the first few years of the mortgage.
In 2008, Greenspan expressed great frustration that the February 23 speech was used to criticize him on ARMs and the subprime mortgage crisis, and stated that he had made countervailing comments eight days after it that praised traditional fixed-rate mortgages.[90] In that speech, Greenspan had suggested that lenders should offer to home purchasers a greater variety of "mortgage product alternatives" other than traditional fixed-rate mortgages.[87] Greenspan also praised the rise of the subprime mortgage industry and its tools for assessing credit-worthiness:
Innovation has brought about a multitude of new products, such as subprime loans and niche credit programs for immigrants. Such developments are representative of the market responses that have driven the financial services industry throughout the history of our country ... With these advances in technology, lenders have taken advantage of credit-scoring models and other techniques for efficiently extending credit to a broader spectrum of consumers. ... Where once more-marginal applicants would simply have been denied credit, lenders are now able to quite efficiently judge the risk posed by individual applicants and to price that risk appropriately. These improvements have led to rapid growth in subprime mortgage lending; indeed, today subprime mortgages account for roughly 10 percent of the number of all mortgages outstanding, up from just 1 or 2 percent in the early 1990s.[91]
The subprime mortgage industry collapsed in March 2007, with many of the largest lenders filing for bankruptcy protection in the face of spiraling foreclosure rates. For these reasons, Greenspan has been criticized for his role in the rise of the housing bubble and the subsequent problems in the mortgage industry,[92][93] as well as "engineering" the housing bubble itself.
In 2004, Businessweek magazine analysts argued: "It was the Federal Reserve-engineered decline in rates that inflated the housing bubble ... the most troublesome aspect of the price runup is that many recent buyers are squeezing into houses that they can barely afford by taking advantage of the lower rates available from adjustable-rate mortgages. That leaves them fully exposed to rising rates."[94]
In September 2008, Joseph Stiglitz stated that Greenspan "didn't really believe in regulation; when the excesses of the financial system were noted, (he and others) called for self-regulation—an oxymoron".[95] Greenspan, according to The New York Times, says he himself is blameless.[96] On April 6, 2005, Greenspan called for a substantial increase in the regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: "Appearing before the Senate Banking Committee, the Fed chairman, Alan Greenspan, said the enormous portfolios of the companies—nearly a quarter of the home-mortgage market—posed significant risks to the nation's financial system should either company face significant problems."[97] Despite this, Greenspan still claims to be a firm believer in free markets, although in his 2007 biography he wrote, "History has not dealt kindly with the aftermath of protracted periods of low risk premiums" as seen before the credit crisis of 2008.
In 2009, Robert Reich wrote that "Greenspan's worst move was to contribute to the giant housing bubble and the worst worldwide crash since the Great Depression. In 2004 he lowered interest rates to 1%, enabling banks to borrow money for free, adjusted for inflation. Naturally, the banks wanted to borrow as much as they possibly could, then lend it out, earning nice profits. The situation screamed for government oversight of lending institutions, lest the banks lend to unfit borrowers. He refused, trusting the market to weed out bad credit risks. It did not."[98]
In congressional testimony on October 23, 2008, Greenspan finally conceded error on regulation. The New York Times wrote, "a humbled Mr. Greenspan admitted that he had put too much faith in the self-correcting power of free markets and had failed to anticipate the self-destructive power of wanton mortgage lending ... Mr. Greenspan refused to accept blame for the crisis but acknowledged that his belief in deregulation had been shaken". Although many Republican lawmakers tried to blame the housing bubble on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Greenspan placed far more blame on Wall Street for bundling subprime mortgages into securities.[99]
2007–2008 financial crisis and the Great Recession
[edit]In March 2008, Greenspan wrote an article for the Financial Times' Economists' Forum in which he said that the 2007–2008 financial crisis in the United States is likely to be judged as the most wrenching since the end of World War II. In it he argued: "We will never be able to anticipate all discontinuities in financial markets." He concluded: "It is important, indeed crucial, that any reforms in, and adjustments to, the structure of markets and regulation not inhibit our most reliable and effective safeguards against cumulative economic failure: market flexibility and open competition." The article attracted a number of critical responses from forum contributors, who, finding causation between Greenspan's policies and the discontinuities in financial markets that followed, criticized Greenspan mainly for what many believed to be his unbalanced and immovable ideological suppositions about global capitalism and free competitive markets. Notable critics included J. Bradford DeLong, Paul Krugman, Alice Rivlin, Michael Hudson, and Willem Buiter.[100]
Greenspan responded to his critics in a follow-up article in which he defended his ideology as applied to his conceptual and policy framework, which, among other things, prohibited him from exerting real pressure against the burgeoning housing bubble or, in his words, "leaning against the wind". Greenspan argued, "My view of the range of dispersion of outcomes has been shaken, but not my judgment that free competitive markets are by far the unrivaled way to organize economies". He concluded: "We have tried regulation ranging from heavy to central planning. None meaningfully worked. Do we wish to retest the evidence?"[101] Financial Times associate editor and chief economics commentator Martin Wolf defended Greenspan primarily as a scapegoat for the market turmoil. Several notable contributors in defense of Greenspan included Stephen S. Roach, Allan Meltzer, and Robert Brusca.[102]
However, an October 15, 2008, article in The Washington Post analyzing the origins of the economic crisis claims that Greenspan vehemently opposed any regulation of derivatives, and actively sought to undermine the office of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission when the commission sought to initiate regulation of derivatives. Meanwhile, Greenspan recommended improving mark-to-market regulations to avoid having derivatives or other complex assets marked to a distressed or illiquid market during times of material adverse conditions seen during the late 2000s credit crisis.[103]
Greenspan was not alone in his opposition to derivatives regulation. In a 1999 government report that was a key driver in the passage of the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000—legislation that clarified that most over-the-counter derivatives were outside the regulatory authority of any government agency—Greenspan was joined by Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Arthur Levitt, and Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman William Ranier in concluding that "under many circumstances, the trading of financial derivatives by eligible swap participants should be excluded from the CEA" (Commodity Exchange Act). Other government agencies also supported that view.[104]
In Congressional testimony on October 23, 2008, Greenspan acknowledged that he was "partially" wrong in opposing regulation and stated "Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholder's equity—myself especially—are in a state of shocked disbelief."[105][106] Referring to his free-market ideology, Greenspan said: "I have found a flaw. I don't know how significant or permanent it is. But I have been very distressed by that fact." When Representative Henry Waxman (D-CA) pressed him to clarify his words. "In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right, it was not working," Waxman said. "Absolutely, precisely", Greenspan replied. "You know, that's precisely the reason I was shocked, because I have been going for 40 years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well."[107] Greenspan admitted fault[108] in opposing regulation of derivatives and acknowledged that financial institutions didn't protect shareholders and investments as well as he expected.
Matt Taibbi described the Greenspan put and its bad consequences saying: "every time the banks blew up a speculative bubble, they could go back to the Fed and borrow money at zero or one or two percent, and then start the game all over", thereby making it "almost impossible" for the banks to lose money.[109] He also called Greenspan a "classic con man" who, through political savvy, "flattered and bullshitted his way up the Matterhorn of American power and ... jacked himself off to the attention of Wall Street for 20 consecutive years".[110]
In the documentary film Inside Job, Greenspan is cited as one of the persons responsible for the 2007–2008 financial crisis. He is also named in Time magazine as one of the "25 People to Blame for the Financial Crisis".[111]
Political views and alleged politicization of office
[edit]Greenspan describes himself as a "lifelong libertarian Republican".[65]
In March 2005, in reaction to Greenspan's support of President George W. Bush's plan to partially privatize Social Security, then-Democratic Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid attacked Greenspan as "one of the biggest political hacks we have in Washington"[5][6] and criticized him for supporting Bush's 2001 tax cut plan.[7] Then-Democratic House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi added that there were serious questions about the Fed's independence as a result of Greenspan's public statements.[112] Greenspan also received criticism from Democratic Congressman Barney Frank and others for supporting Bush's Social Security plans favoring private accounts.[113][114][115] Greenspan had said Bush's model has "the seeds of developing full funding by its very nature. As I've said before, I've always supported moves to full funding in the context of a private account".[116]
Others, like Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, disagreed that Greenspan was too deferential to Bush, stating that Greenspan "has been an independent player at the Fed for a long time under both parties and made an enormous positive contribution".[117]
Economist Paul Krugman wrote that Greenspan was a "three-card maestro" with a "lack of sincerity" who, "by repeatedly shilling for whatever the Bush administration wants, has betrayed the trust placed in the Fed chairman".[118]
Republican Senator Jim Bunning, who opposed Greenspan's fifth reconfirmation, charged that Greenspan should comment only on monetary policy, not fiscal policy.[119][120] Greenspan had used his position as Fed chairman to comment upon fiscal policy as early as 1993, however, when he supported President Clinton's deficit reduction plan, which included tax increases and budget cuts.[121]
In an October 2011 lecture addressing the Occupy movement,[122] Noam Chomsky characterized portions of Greenspan's February 1997 testimony to the U.S. Senate as an example of the self-serving attitudes of the so-called 1%. In that testimony, Greenspan had stated that growing worker insecurity is a significant factor keeping inflation and inflation expectation low, thereby promoting long-term investment.[123]
Personal life
[edit]Greenspan has married twice. His first marriage was to Canadian artist Joan Mitchell in October 1952;[124] the marriage ended in annullment 10 months later.[125] He dated newswoman Barbara Walters in the late 1970s.[126] In December 1984, Greenspan began dating journalist Andrea Mitchell.[127] Greenspan at the time was 58 and Mitchell was 38. In April 1997, they were married by Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.[128]
Honors
[edit]- Presidential Medal of Freedom The highest civilian award in the United States, by President George W. Bush in November 2005.[129]
- Department of Defense Medal for Distinguished Public Service January 23, 2006.[130][131]
- Commander of the Legion of Honour (France) 2000.
- Knight Commander of the Order of the British Empire (United Kingdom) 2002.[132][133]
In 1976, Greenspan received the U.S. Senator John Heinz Award for Greatest Public Service by an Elected or Appointed Official, an award given out annually by Jefferson Awards.[134]
In 1989, Greenspan was elected as a fellow of the American Statistical Association.[135]
Greenspan was elected to the American Philosophical Society in 2000.[136]
On September 26, 2002, Greenspan received an honorary knighthood from Queen Elizabeth II.[137]
In 2004, Greenspan received the Dwight D. Eisenhower Medal for Leadership and Service, from Eisenhower Fellowships. In 2005, he became the first recipient of the Harry S. Truman Medal for Economic Policy, presented by the Harry S. Truman Library Institute. In 2007, Greenspan was the recipient of the inaugural Thomas Jefferson Foundation Medal in Citizen Leadership, presented by the University of Virginia.
On April 19, 2012, Greenspan received the Eugene J. Keogh Award for Distinguished Public Service from NYU.[138]
Scholastic
[edit]- Honorary Degrees
Location | Date | School | Degree | Gave Commencement Address |
---|---|---|---|---|
Indiana | May 21, 1995 | University of Notre Dame | Doctor of Laws (LL.D)[139] | |
Pennsylvania | 1998 | University of Pennsylvania | Doctor of Laws (LL.D)[140] | |
Massachusetts | June 10, 1999 | Harvard University | Doctor of Laws (LL.D)[141] | Yes[142] |
Connecticut | 1999 | Yale University | Doctor of Humane Letters (DHL)[143] | |
Scotland | 2005 | University of Edinburgh | Doctorate[144] | |
New York | December 14, 2005 | New York University | Doctor of Commercial Science[145] |
Books
[edit]- 1993 Monetary Policy Objectives: midyear review of the Federal Reserve Board (1993)
- William Taylor Memorial Lectures 3: Global Risk Management (1996)
- The Quotations of Chairman Greenspan: Words from the Man Who Can Shake the World (2000)
- The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World (2007)
- Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Sources and Uses of Equity Extracted from Homes (2013)
- Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Estimates of Home Mortgage Originations, Repayments, and Debt on One-to-Four-Family Residences (2013)
- The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting (2013)
- The Map and the Territory 2.0: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting (2014)
- Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Motor Vehicle Stocks, Scrappage, and Sales (2015)
- Capitalism in America: A History (2018)[146]
See also
[edit]- List of United States political appointments across party lines
- Fedspeak
- Irrational exuberance
- Greenspan Commission
References
[edit]- ^ Friedman, Benjamin M. (March 20, 2008). "Chairman Greenspan's Legacy". New York Review of Books. Vol. 55, no. 4. Archived from the original on March 5, 2016.
- ^ Aversa, Jeannine (March 5, 2005). "Alan Greenspan Enjoys Rock Star Renown". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved December 7, 2011.
- ^ Evans-Pritchard, Ambrose (September 17, 2007). "Greenspan Was More a Rock Star than a Feared Fed Sage". The Daily Telegraph. London. Archived from the original on January 12, 2022. Retrieved December 7, 2011.
- ^ Stahl, Leslie (February 11, 2009). "Greenspan Defends Low Interest Rates". CBS News. Retrieved December 7, 2011.
- ^ a b Woodruff, Judy; Reid, Harry (March 3, 2005). "Inside Politics". Washington DC: CNN. Archived from the original (Transcript of interview) on July 10, 2017. Retrieved June 14, 2022.
Judy, you understand, I hope, that I'm not a big Greenspan fan -- Alan Greenspan fan. I voted against him the last two times. I think he's one of the biggest political hacks we have in Washington. The fact of the matter is, he told us when we were in power and Clinton was president the biggest problem facing the American people was the deficit. And we did something about it. We, during the Clinton years, paid down the debt by about a half a trillion dollars. Why doesn't he respond to the Republicans and tell them the big problem here is the debt that this administration is created?
- ^ a b "Reid Sticks by Greenspan Comments". The Washington Times. March 5, 2005. Archived from the original on December 5, 2008. Retrieved October 24, 2008.
- ^ a b Andrews, Edmund L. (March 3, 2005). "Greenspan says Federal Budget Deficits are 'Unsustainable'". The New York Times. Retrieved June 22, 2009.
- ^ Hilsenrath, Jon; Di Leo, Luca & Derby, Michael S. (January 13, 2012). "Little Alarm Shown at Fed At Dawn of Housing Bust". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved January 24, 2012.
- ^ Teeter, Preston; Sandberg, Jorgen (2017). "Cracking the enigma of asset bubbles with narratives". Strategic Organization. 15 (1): 91–99. doi:10.1177/1476127016629880. S2CID 156163200.
- ^ Shiller, Robert (June 20, 2005). "The Bubble's New Home". Barron's.
Once stocks fell, real estate became the primary outlet for the speculative frenzy that the stock market had unleashed. Where else could plungers apply their newly acquired trading talents? The materialistic display of the big house also has become a salve to bruised egos of disappointed stock investors. These days, the only thing that comes close to real estate as a national obsession is poker.
- ^ Greenspan 2007, p. 19.
- ^ Mallaby 2016, p. 13.
- ^ Martin 2000, p. 54.
- ^ Greenspan 2007, p. 24.
- ^ Martin 2000, pp. 11–13.
- ^ "Leonard Garment". www.arts.gov. Retrieved September 3, 2024.
- ^ "Johnny Mandel Biography". www.musicianguide.com. Retrieved September 3, 2024.
- ^ Leonard Garment (2001). Crazy rhythm. Internet Archive. Da Capo Press. ISBN 978-0-306-81082-4.
- ^ Martin 2000, p. 27.
- ^ Greenspan 2007, p. 33.
- ^ Martin 2000, pp. 27–31.
- ^ McTague, Jim (March 31, 2008). "Dr. Greenspan's Amazing Invisible Thesis". Barron's. Archived from the original on April 6, 2013. Retrieved October 17, 2008.
- ^ McTague, Jim (April 28, 2008). "Looking at Greenspan's Long-Lost Thesis". Barron's. Archived from the original on February 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2009.
- ^ Greenspan 2007, p. 31.
- ^ Greenspan 2007, pp. 32–34, 41–45.
- ^ "Alan Greenspan". federalreservehistory.org. Retrieved April 12, 2022.
- ^ Ambrose, Stephen (1987). Nixon. New York: Simon & Schuster. p. 158. ISBN 978-0-671-52837-9. OCLC 14414031.
- ^ "Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Board of Governors of Federal Reserve, Receives Dean's Medal at Wharton School MBA Commencement" (Press release). Wharton School. April 19, 2005. Archived from the original on July 27, 2009. Retrieved October 17, 2008.
- ^ "U.S. Senate Panel Votes for 4th Term for Fed Chairman Greenspan". Deseret News. Bloomberg News. February 1, 2000. Archived from the original on October 23, 2012.
- ^ Grose, Peter (1996). "Historical Roster of Directors and Officers". Continuing the inquiry: the Council on Foreign Relations from 1921 to 1996. New York: Council on Foreign Relations. ISBN 978-0-87609-192-0. OCLC 35280546.
- ^ Bessette, Joseph M.; Pitney, John J. Jr. (2011). American Government and Politics: Deliberation, Democracy and Citizenship. Boston: Cengage Learning. p. 578. ISBN 978-0-534-53684-8.
- ^ United States Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs (July 21, 1987). Nomination of Alan Greenspan: Hearing Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, United States Senate, One Hundredth Congress, First Session, July 21, 1987. US Government Printing Office.
{{cite book}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ Rogers, Jim (2004). Adventure Capitalist: The Ultimate Road Trip. New York: Random House. ISBN 978-0-375-50912-4.
- ^ Carlson, Mark (November 2006). A Brief History of the 1987 Stock Market Crash with a Discussion of the Federal Reserve Response (PDF) (Report). Washington, D.C.: Federal Reserve Board.
- ^ Tamny, John (July 2, 2008). "In 2008, Shades of October 1987". Forbes. Archived from the original on June 11, 2009. Retrieved June 22, 2009.
- ^ "Central Banks Promise Support". BBC News. September 12, 2001. Retrieved June 22, 2009.
- ^ Henderson, Nell (January 27, 2006). "Chairman Moved a Nation". The Washington Post.
- ^ Maybury, Richard (2004). Whatever Happened to Penny Candy? (5th ed.). Bluestocking Press. p. 15. ISBN 0-942617-52-5.
- ^ "Larry Summers on Conversations with Bill Kristol". Conversations with Bill Kristol. Retrieved September 9, 2019.
- ^ Krugman, Paul (2009). The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008. W.W. Norton. p. 142. ISBN 978-0-393-33780-8.
- ^ Canterbery, E. Ray (2013). The Global Great Recession. World Scientific. pp. 123–135. ISBN 978-981-4322-76-8.
- ^ Stevenson, Richard W. (January 27, 2001). "Down Into the Fray". The New York Times. Retrieved January 7, 2013.
- ^ "Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan". Federal Reserve Board. July 16, 2002. Archived from the original on June 7, 2011. Retrieved July 13, 2011.
- ^ "Q&A: Greenspan on Bubbles, Saddam, Cheney and Bernanke". The Wall Street Journal. September 17, 2007. Retrieved June 13, 2016.
- ^ Woodward, Bob (September 17, 2007). "Greenspan: Ouster Of Hussein Crucial For Oil Security". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 8, 2016.
- ^ Adams, Richard (September 16, 2007). "Invasion of Iraq was driven by oil, says Greenspan". Guardian US. New York: Scott Trust Limited. Archived from the original on September 1, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2022.
Mr Greenspan said it was clear to him that Saddam Hussein had wanted to control the Straits of Hormuz and so control Middle East oil shipments through the vital route out of the Gulf. He said that had Saddam been able to do that it would have been "devastating to the west"
- ^ Adams, Richard (September 17, 2007). "Greenspan Says Invasion and War 'Largely about Oil'". The Irish Times. Guardian Services. Archived from the original on June 25, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2022.
- ^ Fiderer, David (May 5, 2008). "The Simple Arithmetic of John McCain's Bogus Claims of Energy Independence". The Huffington Post. Archived from the original (Blog) on September 14, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2022.
My friends, I will have an energy policy that we will be talking about, which will eliminate our dependence on oil from the Middle East that will prevent us from having ever to send our young men and women into conflict again in the Middle East
- ^ Greenspan, Alan (May 5, 2005). "Risk Transfer and Financial Stability" (Remarks to the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's Forty-first Annual Conference on Bank Structure via satellite). Washington DC: Federal Reserve Board. Archived from the original on May 30, 2010. Retrieved May 24, 2010.
- ^ "Greenspan Warns Against Anti-China Protectionism". Fox News. Washington DC. Reuters and the Associated Press contributed to this report. June 23, 2005. Archived from the original on January 18, 2014. Retrieved January 7, 2013.
- ^ Torres, Craig; Kodjak, Alison (June 23, 2005). "Greenspan Says Tariffs on China Would Hurt U.S. Economy, Jobs". Bloomberg News. Archived from the original on January 7, 2014. Retrieved January 7, 2013.
- ^ Davies, Sir Howard (December 29, 2005). "Deficits Could Harm Greenspan's Legacy". BBC News. Retrieved May 17, 2011.
- ^ Henderson, Nell (November 7, 2006). "Greenspan Unconcerned About Housing". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on August 8, 2008. Retrieved June 14, 2022.
- ^ "Greenspan Warns of U.S. Recession Risk". NBC News. Associated Press. February 26, 2007. Retrieved October 17, 2008.
- ^ Twin, Alexandra (February 27, 2007). "Brutal day on Wall Street". CNN.
- ^ "Pimco Hires Greenspan as Consultant: Report". Reuters. May 16, 2007. Retrieved June 22, 2009.
- ^ "Alan Greeenspan to consult for Deutsche Bank Corporate and Investment Bank" (Press release). Deutsche Bank. August 13, 2007. Retrieved October 17, 2008.
- ^ Willard, Cody (April 16, 2010). "Tangled Webs: Greenspan, Paulson, Goldman, the SEC and C&C Music Factory". Marketwatch.com. Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved January 15, 2011.
- ^ Monaghan, Angela (January 15, 2008). "Greenspan joins hedge fund Paulson". Daily Telegraph. London. Retrieved June 22, 2009.
- ^ Thibodeau, Patrick (April 30, 2009). "Greenspan: H-1B Cap Would Make U.S. Workers 'Privileged Elite'". Computerworld. Retrieved April 16, 2011.
- ^ Mallaby 2016, p. 654.
- ^ Greenspan 2007, p. 73.
- ^ Felsenthal, Mark (September 15, 2007). "Greenspan Criticizes Bush Policies in Memoir". Reuters. Archived from the original on October 12, 2007. Retrieved November 9, 2007.
- ^ Hagenbaugh, Barbara (September 17, 2007). "Greenspan takes center stage in 'Age of Turbulence'". USA Today. Retrieved November 9, 2007.
- ^ a b c Ip, Greg; Steel, Emily (September 15, 2007). "Greenspan Book Criticizes Bush And Republicans". Wall Street Journal. p. A1.
- ^ Andrews, Edmund L. & Sanger, David E. (September 15, 2007). "Former Fed Chief Attacks Bush on Fiscal Role". The New York Times. Retrieved November 8, 2007.
- ^ Greenspan 2007, pp. 392–408.
- ^ a b Kinsley, Michael (October 14, 2007). "Greenspan Shrugged". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 24, 2013. Retrieved November 8, 2007.
- ^ Greenspan 2007, p. 41.
- ^ Greenspan, Alan (July 1966). "Gold and Economic Freedom". The Objectivist. 5 (7). Archived from the original on September 25, 2010. Retrieved October 16, 2008.
- ^ Rubin, Harriet (September 15, 2007). "Ayn Rand's Literature of Capitalism". The New York Times. Archived from the original on March 16, 2008. Retrieved January 5, 2008.
- ^ Branden, Nathaniel (1999). My Years with Ayn Rand. San Francisco: Jossey Bass. ISBN 0-7879-4513-7. OCLC 39391081.
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Miss Rand first persuaded Mr. Greenspan to go into Government, as an economic adviser to President Nixon. She said he could help curb spending and move government 'toward reason as a last resort.' 'When I met Ayn Rand, I was a free enterpriser in the Adam Smith sense - impressed with the theoretical structure and efficiency of markets,' Mr. Greenspan said in 1974. 'What she did - through long discussions and lots of arguments into the night - was to make me think why capitalism is not only efficient and practical, but also moral.'
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said he was "partially" wrong to resist regulation of some securities
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Works cited
[edit]- Greenspan, Alan (2007). The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World. New York: Penguin Press. ISBN 978-1-59420-131-8. OCLC 122973403.
- Mallaby, Sebastian (2016). The Man Who Knew: The Life and Times of Alan Greenspan. New York: Penguin Press. ISBN 9781594204845.
- Martin, Justin (2000). Greenspan: The Man behind Money. Basic Books. ISBN 978-0738202754. OCLC 45188865.
- Woodward, Bob (2000). Maestro: Greenspan's Fed and the American Boom. New York: Simon & Schuster. ISBN 0-7432-0412-3.
Further reading
[edit]- "After Alan". The Economist. October 13, 2005. p. 29. Retrieved January 7, 2013.
- Fleckenstein, William (2008). Greenspan's Bubbles: The Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve. New York: McGraw-Hill. ISBN 978-0-07-159158-4.
- Gjerstad, Steven & Smith, Vernon L. (April 6, 2009). "From Bubble to Depression? Why the Housing Bubble Crashed the Financial System but the Dot-com Bubble Did Not". Wall Street Journal. p. A15. Archived from the original on February 13, 2015.
- Blinder, Alan S.; Reis, Ricardo (August 2005). "Understanding the Greenspan Standard". Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Proceedings (Aug): 11–96.
- Tuccille, Jerome (2002). Alan Shrugged: The Life and Times of Alan Greenspan, the World's Most Powerful Banker. Hoboken, New Jersey: Wiley. ISBN 0-471-39906-X.
- Meltzer, Allan H. (2009). A History of the Federal Reserve – Volume 2, Book 2: 1970–1986. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. pp. 886–1255. ISBN 978-0226213514.
External links
[edit]- Rivlin, Alice; Mallory, Sebastian (October 17, 2016). "After Words". C-SPAN. Archived from the original on July 18, 2022. Retrieved July 18, 2022.
{{cite web}}
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