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m →‎Dream argument: This is a false analogy: Descartes says that if something is skeptical of the world, then there needs to be something. The possibility that the skepticism is justified does not follow
→‎Dream argument: Removed sections containing WP:NOR. If one wants to mention parsimony by Lorenzo Pieri, one should also mention how this can be turned into an argument against the simulation hypothesis, since the world that we observe is complex (cf. youngness paradox at Measure problem (cosmology) or https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/blog/2016/08/22/maybe-we-do-not-live-in-a-simulation-the-resolution-conundrum/ )
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Both the dream argument and the [[simulation hypothesis]] can be regarded as [[skeptical hypothesis|skeptical hypotheses]]. Another state of mind in which some argue an individual's perceptions have no physical basis in the real world is [[psychosis]], though psychosis may have a physical basis in the real world and explanations vary.
Both the dream argument and the [[simulation hypothesis]] can be regarded as [[skeptical hypothesis|skeptical hypotheses]]. Another state of mind in which some argue an individual's perceptions have no physical basis in the real world is [[psychosis]], though psychosis may have a physical basis in the real world and explanations vary.


In [[On Certainty]], the philosopher [[Ludwig Wittgenstein]] has argued that such skeptical hypothesis are ''unsinnig'' (i.e. non-sensical), as they doubt knowledge that is required in order to make sense of the hypotheses themselves.<ref>Alva H. Katsoulis: The Limit of Knowledge, Wittgenstein's certain defeat of skepticism. Uppsala University, 2021. Available online at https://uu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1631134/FULLTEXT01.pdf</ref>
The dream hypothesis is also used to develop other philosophical concepts, such as Valberg's [[personal horizon]]: what this world would be internal to if ''this'' were all a dream.<ref>{{cite book|last=Valberg|first=J.J.|title=Dream, Death, and the Self|year=2007|publisher=Princeton University Press|isbn=9780691128597|url=http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8416.html}}</ref> A recent paper discussed the notion of a self-simulation hypothesis, which considered the analogy between dreams and the universe as a self-simulation.<ref>{{cite journal|title = The Self-Simulation Hypothesis Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics|year=2020|url=https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/2/247|first1=K.|last1=Irwin|first2=M.|last2=Amaral|first3=D.|last3=Chester|journal=Entropy|volume=22|number=2}}</ref>


The dream hypothesis is also used to develop other philosophical concepts, such as Valberg's [[personal horizon]]: what this world would be internal to if ''this'' were all a dream.<ref>{{cite book|last=Valberg|first=J.J.|title=Dream, Death, and the Self|year=2007|publisher=Princeton University Press|isbn=9780691128597|url=http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8416.html}}</ref>
In recent years of dream research, the argument of characterizing dreaming as a simulation has become widely accepted, as well as creating theories about the purpose and functions of dreaming. In fact, dream researcher Tore A. Nielsen wrote in his 2010 paper "Dream analysis and classification: The reality simulation perspective" that the idea that dreaming is a complex simulation of the world in consciousness during sleep may be a conception of dreaming and simulated reality that many dream researchers would have a hard time coming to accept. As well, dreams place us in this virtually simulated reality that places many characters and people in our lives in the dream. If dreaming was to be a simulated reality, the question arises whether that can be used to describe to social reality that the dream allows us to be in too.<ref>{{Cite web|title=The Avatars in the Machine: Dreaming as a Simulation of Social Reality |last1=Revonsuo |first1=A. |last2=Tuominen |first2=J. & |last3=Valli |first3=K. |year=2015 |url=https://d-nb.info/1123734135/34|url-status=live}}</ref>

Dream researcher Tore A. Nielsen wrote in his 2010 paper "Dream analysis and classification: The reality simulation perspective" that the idea that dreaming is a complex simulation of the world in consciousness during sleep may be a conception of dreaming and simulated reality that many dream researchers would have a hard time coming to accept. During dreams, characters and people from our real lives may be present.<ref>{{Cite web|title=The Avatars in the Machine: Dreaming as a Simulation of Social Reality |last1=Revonsuo |first1=A. |last2=Tuominen |first2=J. & |last3=Valli |first3=K. |year=2015 |url=https://d-nb.info/1123734135/34|url-status=live}}</ref>


Lucid dreaming is characterized as an idea where the elements of dreaming and waking are combined to a point where the user knows they are dreaming, or waking perhaps.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Hobson|first=Allan|title=The Neurobiology of Consciousness: Lucid Dreaming Wakes Up|url=http://www.geekopolis.ca/psy120.3/hobson_lucid_dreaming.pdf |journal=International Journal of Dream Research |volume=2 |number=2 |year=2009 |url-status=live}}</ref>
Lucid dreaming is characterized as an idea where the elements of dreaming and waking are combined to a point where the user knows they are dreaming, or waking perhaps.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Hobson|first=Allan|title=The Neurobiology of Consciousness: Lucid Dreaming Wakes Up|url=http://www.geekopolis.ca/psy120.3/hobson_lucid_dreaming.pdf |journal=International Journal of Dream Research |volume=2 |number=2 |year=2009 |url-status=live}}</ref>

===Modern philosophy===
===Modern philosophy===
A version of the simulation hypothesis was theorized as a part of a philosophical argument on the part of [[René Descartes]], by [[George Berkeley]] (1685–1753) with his "immaterialism" (later referred to as [[subjective idealism]] by others){{citation needed|date=March 2013}}, and later by [[Hans Moravec]].<ref name="frc.ri.cmu.edu2">{{Cite web |last=Moravec |first=Hans |year=1998 |url=http://www.frc.ri.cmu.edu/~hpm/project.archive/general.articles/1998/SimConEx.98.html |title=Simulation, Consciousness, Existence}}</ref><ref>{{Cite magazine |first=Charles |last=Platt |url=https://www.wired.com/1995/10/moravec/ |url-status=live |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/19991011101907/http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/3.10/moravec_pr.html |archivedate=1999-10-11 |title=Superhumanism |date=October 1995 |volume=3 |issue=10 |magazine=[[Wired_(magazine)|Wired]]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Moravec |first=Hans |url=http://www.frc.ri.cmu.edu/~hpm/project.archive/general.articles/1992/CyberPigs.html |title=Pigs in Cyberspace |year=1992}}</ref>
A version of the simulation hypothesis was theorized as a part of a philosophical argument on the part of [[René Descartes]], by [[George Berkeley]] (1685–1753) with his "immaterialism" (later referred to as [[subjective idealism]] by others){{citation needed|date=March 2013}}, and later by [[Hans Moravec]].<ref name="frc.ri.cmu.edu2">{{Cite web |last=Moravec |first=Hans |year=1998 |url=http://www.frc.ri.cmu.edu/~hpm/project.archive/general.articles/1998/SimConEx.98.html |title=Simulation, Consciousness, Existence}}</ref><ref>{{Cite magazine |first=Charles |last=Platt |url=https://www.wired.com/1995/10/moravec/ |url-status=live |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/19991011101907/http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/3.10/moravec_pr.html |archivedate=1999-10-11 |title=Superhumanism |date=October 1995 |volume=3 |issue=10 |magazine=[[Wired_(magazine)|Wired]]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Moravec |first=Hans |url=http://www.frc.ri.cmu.edu/~hpm/project.archive/general.articles/1992/CyberPigs.html |title=Pigs in Cyberspace |year=1992}}</ref>
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*[[Nietzsche]], in ''[[Beyond Good and Evil]]'' chastised philosophers for seeking to find the true world behind the deceptive world of appearances.
*[[Nietzsche]], in ''[[Beyond Good and Evil]]'' chastised philosophers for seeking to find the true world behind the deceptive world of appearances.
<blockquote>It is nothing more than a moral prejudice that truth is worth more than semblance; it is, in fact, the worst proved supposition in the world.... Why might not the world <em>which concerns us⁠</em>—be a fiction?<ref>Friedrich Nietzsche ''Beyond Good and Evil'' (1886) II.34, Helen Zimmern translation (1906)</ref></blockquote>
<blockquote>It is nothing more than a moral prejudice that truth is worth more than semblance; it is, in fact, the worst proved supposition in the world.... Why might not the world <em>which concerns us⁠</em>—be a fiction?<ref>Friedrich Nietzsche ''Beyond Good and Evil'' (1886) II.34, Helen Zimmern translation (1906)</ref></blockquote>

===Brain in a vat and parsimony===
[[Philosophical skepticism|Skeptical arguments]] have historically played a role in the evolution of philosophical discussion, particularly in the fields of [[ontology]], [[metaphysics]], the [[Epistemology|theory of knowledge]] and the [[philosophy of science]]. The fallibility of perception, knowledge and thought have been made obvious employing several arguments.<ref name="SEP Skepticism">{{Cite web |title=Skepticism |url=https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/skepticism/ |access-date=June 6, 2021 |website=Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy}}</ref> [[Solipsism|Solipsist scenarios]], a common ground of debate in these fields, are extreme cases prompting these dilemmas for further discussion.

In virtue of [[Computational complexity|computational simplicity]], achieving this last kind of simulations with equal resolution seems much more undemanding than assembling a super simulator that runs a complete reality, including multiple participants. If humanity was being simulated, as noted by Lorenzo Pieri, it is more "likely to be one of such Brain-in-a-Vat or «solo players», as it is much easier to simulate the inputs to the brain than the full-blown reality".<ref name="simplicity">{{Cite journal |last=Pieri |first=L. |year=2021 |title=The Simplicity Assumption and Some Implications of the Simulation Argument for our Civilization |url=https://osf.io/ca8se/ |journal=OSF Preprints |doi=10.31219/osf.io/ca8se |s2cid=240660433 |access-date=June 6, 2021}}</ref>

This [[Probability theory|probabilistic argument]] deferring to [[Occam's razor|parsimony]], is based on the idea that "if we randomly select the simulation (...) the likelihood of picking a given simulation is inversely correlated to the computational complexity of the simulation".<ref name= simplicity />


==In popular culture==
==In popular culture==

Revision as of 13:42, 11 June 2023

The simulation hypothesis proposes that all of our existence is a simulated reality, such as a computer simulation.[1][2][3] This simulation could contain conscious minds that may or may not know that they live inside a simulation. This is quite different from the current, technologically achievable concept of virtual reality, which is easily distinguished from the experience of actuality. Simulated reality, by contrast, would be hard or impossible to separate from "true" reality. There has been much debate over this topic, ranging from philosophical discourse to practical applications in computing.

The simulation hypothesis, which was popularized in its current form by Nick Bostrom,[4] bears a close resemblance to various other skeptical scenarios from throughout the history of philosophy.

The suggestion that such a hypothesis is compatible with all human perceptual experiences is thought to have significant epistemological consequences in the form of philosophical skepticism. Versions of the hypothesis have also been featured in science fiction, appearing as a central plot device in many stories and films.[5]

The hypothesis popularized by Bostrom is very disputed, with, for example, theoretical physicist Sabine Hossenfelder, who called it pseudoscience[6] and cosmologist George F. R. Ellis, who stated that "[the hypothesis] is totally impracticable from a technical viewpoint" and that "protagonists seem to have confused science fiction with science. Late-night pub discussion is not a viable theory."[7]

Origins

There is a long philosophical and scientific history to the underlying thesis that reality is an illusion. This skeptical hypothesis can be traced back to antiquity; for example, to the "Butterfly Dream" of Zhuangzi,[8] or the Indian philosophy of Maya, or in Ancient Greek philosophy Anaxarchus and Monimus likened existing things to a scene-painting and supposed them to resemble the impressions experienced in sleep or madness.[9]

Aztec philosophical texts theorized that the world was a painting or book written by the Teotl.[10]

Nietzsche, in his 1886 book Beyond Good and Evil, chastised philosophers for seeking to find the true world behind the deceptive world of appearances.

It is nothing more than a moral prejudice that truth is worth more than semblance; it is, in fact, the worst proved supposition in the world.... Why might not the world which concerns us⁠—be a fiction?[11]

In philosophy

Nick Bostrom in 2014

Nick Bostrom's premise:

Many works of science fiction as well as some forecasts by serious technologists and futurologists predict that enormous amounts of computing power will be available in the future. Let us suppose for a moment that these predictions are correct. One thing that later generations might do with their super-powerful computers is run detailed simulations of their forebears or of people like their forebears. Because their computers would be so powerful, they could run a great many such simulations. Suppose that these simulated people are conscious (as they would be if the simulations were sufficiently fine-grained and if a certain quite widely accepted position in the philosophy of mind is correct). Then it could be the case that the vast majority of minds like ours do not belong to the original race but rather to people simulated by the advanced descendants of an original race.

Nick Bostrom's conclusion:

It is then possible to argue that, if this were the case, we would be rational to think that we are likely among the simulated minds rather than among the original biological ones.
Therefore, if we don't think that we are currently living in a computer simulation, we are not entitled to believe that we will have descendants who will run lots of such simulations of their forebears.

— Nick Bostrom, Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?, 2003[12]

The simulation argument

The philosopher Nick Bostrom developed an expanded argument examining the probability of our reality being a simulation.[13] His argument states that at least one of the following statements is very likely to be true:

  1. Human civilization or a comparable civilization is unlikely to reach a level of technological maturity capable of producing simulated realities or such simulations are physically impossible to construct.[13]
  2. A comparable civilization reaching aforementioned technological status will likely not produce a significant number of simulated realities (one that might push the probable existence of digital entities beyond the probable number of "real" entities in a Universe) for any of a number of reasons, such as diversion of computational processing power for other tasks, ethical considerations of holding entities captive in simulated realities, etc.[13]
  3. Any entities with our general set of experiences are almost certainly living in a simulation.[13]
  4. We are living in a reality in which post-humans have not developed yet and we are actually living in reality.[13]
  5. We will have no way of knowing that we live in a simulation because we will never reach the technological capacity to realize the marks of a simulated reality.[14]

Bostrom's argument rests on the premises that given sufficiently advanced technology, it is possible to represent the populated surface of the Earth without recourse to digital physics; that the qualia experienced by a simulated consciousness are comparable or equivalent to those of a naturally occurring human consciousness, and that one or more levels of simulation within simulations would be feasible given only a modest expenditure of computational resources in the real world.[13]

First, if one assumes that humans will not be destroyed nor destroy themselves before developing such a technology, and that human descendants will have no overriding legal restrictions or moral compunctions against simulating biospheres or their own historical biosphere, then, Bostrom argues it would be unreasonable to count ourselves among the small minority of genuine organisms who, sooner or later, will be vastly outnumbered by artificial simulations.[13]

Epistemologically, it is not impossible to tell whether we are living in a simulation. For example, Bostrom suggests that a window could pop up saying: "You are living in a simulation. Click here for more information." However, imperfections in a simulated environment might be difficult for the native inhabitants to identify and for purposes of authenticity, even the simulated memory of a blatant revelation might be purged programmatically. Nonetheless, should any evidence come to light, either for or against the skeptical hypothesis, it would radically alter the aforementioned probability.[13]

In 2003, philosopher Nick Bostrom proposed a trilemma that he called "the simulation argument". Despite the name, Bostrom's "simulation argument" does not directly argue that humans live in a simulation; instead, Bostrom's trilemma argues that one of three unlikely-seeming propositions is almost certainly true:

  1. "The fraction of human-level civilizations that reach a posthuman stage (that is, one capable of running high-fidelity ancestor simulations) is very close to zero", or
  2. "The fraction of posthuman civilizations that are interested in running simulations of their evolutionary history, or variations thereof, is very close to zero", or
  3. "The fraction of all people with our kind of experiences that are living in a simulation is very close to one."

The trilemma points out that a technologically mature "posthuman" civilization would have enormous computing power; if even a tiny percentage of them were to run "ancestor simulations" (that is, "high-fidelity" simulations of ancestral life that would be indistinguishable from reality to the simulated ancestor), the total number of simulated ancestors, or "Sims", in the universe (or multiverse, if it exists) would greatly exceed the total number of actual ancestors.

Bostrom goes on to use a type of anthropic reasoning to claim that, if the third proposition is the one of those three that is true, and almost all people live in simulations, then humans are almost certainly living in a simulation.

Bostrom claims his argument goes beyond the classical ancient "skeptical hypothesis", claiming that "...we have interesting empirical reasons to believe that a certain disjunctive claim about the world is true", the third of the three disjunctive propositions being that we are almost certainly living in a simulation. Thus, Bostrom, and writers in agreement with Bostrom such as David Chalmers, argue there might be empirical reasons for the "simulation hypothesis", and that therefore the simulation hypothesis is not a skeptical hypothesis but rather a "metaphysical hypothesis". Bostrom states he personally sees no strong argument as to which of the three trilemma propositions is the true one: "If (1) is true, then we will almost certainly go extinct before reaching posthumanity. If (2) is true, then there must be a strong convergence among the courses of advanced civilizations so that virtually none contains any individuals who desire to run ancestor-simulations and are free to do so. If (3) is true, then we almost certainly live in a simulation. In the dark forest of our current ignorance, it seems sensible to apportion one's credence roughly evenly between (1), (2), and (3)... I note that people who hear about the simulation argument often react by saying, 'Yes, I accept the argument, and it is obvious that it is possibility #n that obtains.' But different people pick a different n. Some think it obvious that (1) is true, others that (2) is true, yet others that (3) is true."

As a corollary to the trilemma, Bostrom states that "Unless we are now living in a simulation, our descendants will almost certainly never run an ancestor-simulation."[12][15][16][17]

Criticism of Bostrom's anthropic reasoning

Bostrom argues that if "the fraction of all people with our kind of experiences that are living in a simulation is very close to one", then it follows that humans probably live in a simulation. Some philosophers disagree, proposing that perhaps "Sims" do not have conscious experiences the same way that unsimulated humans do, or that it can otherwise be self-evident to a human that they are a human rather than a Sim.[15][18] Philosopher Barry Dainton modifies Bostrom's trilemma by substituting "neural ancestor simulations" (ranging from literal brains in a vat, to far-future humans with induced high-fidelity hallucinations that they are their own distant ancestors) for Bostrom's "ancestor simulations", on the grounds that every philosophical school of thought can agree that sufficiently high-tech neural ancestor simulation experiences would be indistinguishable from non-simulated experiences. Even if high-fidelity computer Sims are never conscious, Dainton's reasoning leads to the following conclusion: either the fraction of human-level civilizations that reach a posthuman stage and are able and willing to run large numbers of neural ancestor simulations is close to zero, or some kind of (possibly neural) ancestor simulation exists.[19]

Some scholars categorically reject—or are uninterested in—anthropic reasoning, dismissing it as "merely philosophical", unfalsifiable, or inherently unscientific.[15]

Some critics propose that the simulation could be in the first generation, and all the simulated people that will one day be created do not yet exist.[15]

The cosmologist Sean M. Carroll argues that the simulation hypothesis leads to a contradiction: if humans are typical, as it is assumed, and not capable of performing simulations, this contradicts the arguer's assumption that it is easy for us to foresee that other civilizations can most likely perform simulations.[20]

Physicist Frank Wilczek raises an empirical objection, saying that the laws of the universe have hidden complexity which is "not used for anything" and the laws are constrained by time and location – all of this being unnecessary and extraneous in a simulation. He further argues that the simulation argument amounts to "begging the question," due to the "embarrassing question" of the nature of the underlying reality in which this universe is simulated. "Okay if this is a simulated world, what is the thing in which it is simulated made out of? What are the laws for that?"[21]

It has been argued that humans cannot be the ones being simulated, since the simulation argument uses its descendants as the ones running the simulations.[22] In other words, it has been argued that the probability that humans live in a simulated universe is not independent of the prior probability that is assigned to the existence of other universes.

Arguments, within the trilemma, against the simulation hypothesis

Simulation down to molecular level of very small sample of matter

Some scholars accept the trilemma, and argue that the first or second of the propositions are true, and that the third proposition (the proposition that humans live in a simulation) is false. Physicist Paul Davies uses Bostrom's trilemma as part of one possible argument against a near-infinite multiverse. This argument runs as follows: if there were a near-infinite multiverse, there would be posthuman civilizations running ancestor simulations, which would lead to the untenable and scientifically self-defeating conclusion that humans live in a simulation; therefore, by reductio ad absurdum, existing multiverse theories are likely false. (Unlike Bostrom and Chalmers, Davies (among others) considers the simulation hypothesis to be self-defeating.)[15][23]

Some point out that there is currently no proof of technology that would facilitate the existence of sufficiently high-fidelity ancestor simulation. Additionally, there is no proof that it is physically possible or feasible for a posthuman civilization to create such a simulation, and therefore for the present, the first proposition must be taken to be true.[15] Additionally there are limits of computation.[12][24]

Physicist Marcelo Gleiser objects to the notion that posthumans would have a reason to run simulated universes: "...being so advanced they would have collected enough knowledge about their past to have little interest in this kind of simulation. ...They may have virtual-reality museums, where they could go and experience the lives and tribulations of their ancestors. But a full-fledged, resource-consuming simulation of an entire universe? Sounds like a colossal waste of time." Gleiser also points out that there is no plausible reason to stop at one level of simulation, so that the simulated ancestors might also be simulating their ancestors, and so on, creating an infinite regress akin to the "problem of the First Cause."[25]

In 2019, philosopher Preston Greene suggested that it may be best not to find out if we're living in a simulation since, if it were found to be true, such knowing might end the simulation.[26][27]

Greene's suggestion is similar to Douglas Adams' humorous idea presented in his 1979 novel The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy: that if anyone in the Universe should actually work out 'The Meaning of Life, the Universe and Everything', it would instantly disappear and be immediately replaced with something "even more complex and inexplicable".

Economist Robin Hanson argues that a self-interested occupant of a high-fidelity simulation should strive to be entertaining and praiseworthy in order to avoid being turned off or being shunted into a non-conscious low-fidelity part of the simulation. Hanson additionally speculates that someone who is aware that he might be in a simulation might care less about others and live more for today: "your motivation to save for retirement, or to help the poor in Ethiopia, might be muted by realizing that in your simulation, you will never retire and there is no Ethiopia."[28]

Besides attempting to assess whether the simulation hypothesis is true or false, philosophers have also used it to illustrate other philosophical problems, especially in metaphysics and epistemology. David Chalmers has argued that simulated beings might wonder whether their mental lives are governed by the physics of their environment, when in fact these mental lives are simulated separately (and are thus, in fact, not governed by the simulated physics).[29] Chalmers claims that they might eventually find that their thoughts fail to be physically caused, and argues that this means that Cartesian dualism is not necessarily as problematic of a philosophical view as is commonly supposed, though he does not endorse it.[30] Similar arguments have been made for philosophical views about personal identity that say that an individual could have been another human being in the past, as well as views about qualia that say that colors could have appeared differently than they do (the inverted spectrum scenario). In both cases, the claim is that all this would require is hooking up the mental lives to the simulated physics in a different way.[31]

Computationalism

Computationalism is a philosophy of mind theory stating that cognition is a form of computation. It is relevant to the simulation hypothesis in that it illustrates how a simulation could contain conscious subjects, as required by a "virtual people" simulation. For example, it is well known that physical systems can be simulated to some degree of accuracy. If computationalism is correct and if there is no problem in generating artificial consciousness or cognition, it would establish the theoretical possibility of a simulated reality. Nevertheless, the relationship between cognition and phenomenal qualia of consciousness is disputed. It is possible that consciousness requires a vital substrate that a computer cannot provide and that simulated people, while behaving appropriately, would be philosophical zombies. This would undermine Nick Bostrom's simulation argument; we cannot be a simulated consciousness, if consciousness, as we know it, cannot be simulated. The skeptical hypothesis remains intact, however, and we could still be vatted brains, existing as conscious beings within a simulated environment, even if consciousness cannot be simulated. It has been suggested that whereas virtual reality would enable a participant to experience only three senses (sight, sound and optionally smell), simulated reality would enable all five (including taste and touch).[citation needed]

Some theorists[32][33] have argued that if the "consciousness-is-computation" version of computationalism and mathematical realism (or radical mathematical Platonism)[34] are true then consciousnesses is computation, which in principle is platform independent and thus admits of simulation. This argument states that a "Platonic realm" or ultimate ensemble would contain every algorithm, including those that implement consciousness. Hans Moravec has explored the simulation hypothesis and has argued for a kind of mathematical Platonism according to which every object (including, for example, a stone) can be regarded as implementing every possible computation.[35]

In physics

In physics, the view of the universe and its workings as the ebb and flow of information was first observed by Wheeler.[36] Consequently, two views of the world emerged: the first one proposes that the universe is a quantum computer,[37] while the other one proposes that the system performing the simulation is distinct from its simulation (the universe).[38] Of the former view, quantum-computing specialist Dave Bacon wrote,

In many respects this point of view may be nothing more than a result of the fact that the notion of computation is the disease of our age—everywhere we look today we see examples of computers, computation, and information theory and thus we extrapolate this to our laws of physics. Indeed, thinking about computing as arising from faulty components, it seems as if the abstraction that uses perfectly operating computers is unlikely to exist as anything but a platonic ideal. Another critique of such a point of view is that there is no evidence for the kind of digitization that characterizes computers nor are there any predictions made by those who advocate such a view that have been experimentally confirmed.[39]

Testing the hypothesis physically

A method to test one type of simulation hypothesis was proposed in 2012 in a joint paper by physicists Silas R. Beane from the University of Bonn (now at the University of Washington, Seattle), and Zohreh Davoudi and Martin J. Savage from the University of Washington, Seattle.[40] Under the assumption of finite computational resources, the simulation of the universe would be performed by dividing the continuum space-time into a discrete set of points, which may result in observable effects. In analogy with the mini-simulations that lattice-gauge theorists run today to build up nuclei from the underlying theory of strong interactions (known as quantum chromodynamics), several observational consequences of a grid-like space-time have been studied in their work. Among proposed signatures is an anisotropy in the distribution of ultra-high-energy cosmic rays that, if observed, would be consistent with the simulation hypothesis according to these physicists.[41] In 2017, Campbell et al. proposed several experiments aimed at testing the simulation hypothesis in their paper "On Testing the Simulation Theory".[42]

Existence of simulated reality unprovable in any concrete sense

Known as the idea of Nested Simulations: the existence of simulated reality is seen to be unprovable (and also unfalsifiable) in any concrete sense as there is an infinite regress problem with the argument: any evidence that is directly observed could be another simulation itself.

Even if we are a simulated reality, there is no way to be sure the beings running the simulation are not themselves a simulation and the operators of that simulation are not a simulation.[43]

"Recursive simulation involves a simulation or an entity in the simulation, creating another instance of the same simulation, running it and using its results" (Pooch and Sullivan 2000).[44]

Advocates

Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, firmly believes in the simulation hypothesis.[45] In a podcast with Joe Rogan, Musk said "If you assume any rate of improvement at all, games will eventually be indistinguishable from reality" before concluding "that it's most likely we're in a simulation."[46] Musk has also speculated that the odds of us living in a simulated reality or computer made by others is about a 99.9% chance at various other press conferences and events, and stated in a 2016 interview that he believes "there's a one in billion chance we're in base reality."[45] [47]

Another high-profile proponent of the hypothesis is astrophysicist Neil Degrasse Tyson, who said in an NBC News interview that the hypothesis is correct, giving "better than 50-50 odds" and adding, "I wish I could summon a strong argument against it, but I can find none."[48] However, in a subsequent interview with Chuck Nice on a YouTube episode of StarTalk, Tyson shares that his friend J. Richard Gott, a professor of astrophysical sciences at Princeton University, made him aware of a strong objection to the simulation hypothesis. The objection points out that the common trait that all hypothetical high-fidelity simulated universes possess is the ability to produce high-fidelity simulated universes. And being that our current world does not possess this ability, it would mean that either we are the real universe, and therefore simulated universes have not yet been created, or we are the last in a very long chain of simulated universes, an observation that makes the simulation hypothesis seem less probable. Regarding this objection, Tyson remarked "that changes my life".[49]

Other uses in philosophy

Dream argument

There is a long philosophical and scientific history to the underlying thesis that reality is an illusion. This skeptical hypothesis can be traced back to antiquity; for example, to the "Butterfly Dream" of Zhuangzi,[50] or the Indian philosophy of Maya, or in Ancient Greek philosophy Anaxarchus and Monimus likened existing things to a scene-painting and supposed them to resemble the impressions experienced in sleep or madness.[51]

A dream could be considered a type of simulation capable of fooling someone who is asleep. As a result, the "dream hypothesis" cannot be ruled out, although it has been argued that common sense and considerations of simplicity rule against it.[52] One of the first philosophers to question the distinction between reality and dreams was Zhuangzi, a Chinese philosopher of the 4th century BC. He phrased the problem as the well-known "Butterfly Dream," which went as follows:

Once Zhuangzi dreamt he was a butterfly, a butterfly flitting and fluttering around, happy with himself and doing as he pleased. He didn't know he was Zhuangzi. Suddenly he woke up and there he was, solid and unmistakable Zhuangzi. But he didn't know if he was Zhuangzi who had dreamt he was a butterfly or a butterfly dreaming he was Zhuangzi. Between Zhuangzi and a butterfly there must be some distinction! This is called the Transformation of Things. (2, tr. Burton Watson 1968:49)

The philosophical underpinnings of this argument are also brought up by Descartes, who was one of the first Western philosophers to do so. In Meditations on First Philosophy, he states "... there are no certain indications by which we may clearly distinguish wakefulness from sleep",[53] and goes on to conclude that "It is possible that I am dreaming right now and that all of my perceptions are false".[53]

Chalmers (2003) discusses the dream hypothesis and notes that this comes in two distinct forms:

  • that he is currently dreaming, in which case many of his beliefs about the world are incorrect;
  • that he has always been dreaming, in which case the objects he perceives actually exist, albeit in his imagination.[54]

Both the dream argument and the simulation hypothesis can be regarded as skeptical hypotheses. Another state of mind in which some argue an individual's perceptions have no physical basis in the real world is psychosis, though psychosis may have a physical basis in the real world and explanations vary.

In On Certainty, the philosopher Ludwig Wittgenstein has argued that such skeptical hypothesis are unsinnig (i.e. non-sensical), as they doubt knowledge that is required in order to make sense of the hypotheses themselves.[55]

The dream hypothesis is also used to develop other philosophical concepts, such as Valberg's personal horizon: what this world would be internal to if this were all a dream.[56]

Dream researcher Tore A. Nielsen wrote in his 2010 paper "Dream analysis and classification: The reality simulation perspective" that the idea that dreaming is a complex simulation of the world in consciousness during sleep may be a conception of dreaming and simulated reality that many dream researchers would have a hard time coming to accept. During dreams, characters and people from our real lives may be present.[57]

Lucid dreaming is characterized as an idea where the elements of dreaming and waking are combined to a point where the user knows they are dreaming, or waking perhaps.[58]

Modern philosophy

A version of the simulation hypothesis was theorized as a part of a philosophical argument on the part of René Descartes, by George Berkeley (1685–1753) with his "immaterialism" (later referred to as subjective idealism by others)[citation needed], and later by Hans Moravec.[35][59][60]

It is nothing more than a moral prejudice that truth is worth more than semblance; it is, in fact, the worst proved supposition in the world.... Why might not the world which concerns us⁠—be a fiction?[63]

Science fiction has highlighted themes such as virtual reality, artificial intelligence and computer gaming for more than fifty years.[64]

Jokester (1956) by Isaac Asimov explores the idea that humor is actually a psychological study tool imposed from without by extraterrestrials studying mankind, similarly to how humans study mice. Simulacron-3 (1964) by Daniel F. Galouye (alternative title: Counterfeit World) tells the story of a virtual city developed as a computer simulation for market research purposes, in which the simulated inhabitants possess consciousness; all but one of the inhabitants are unaware of the true nature of their world. The book was made into a German made-for-TV film called World on a Wire (1973) directed by Rainer Werner Fassbinder. The film The Thirteenth Floor (1999) was also loosely based on this book. "We Can Remember It for You Wholesale" is a short story by American writer Philip K. Dick, first published in The Magazine of Fantasy & Science Fiction in April 1966, and was the basis for the 1990 film Total Recall and its 2012 remake. In Overdrawn at the Memory Bank, a 1983 television film, the main character pays to have his mind connected to a simulation.[citation needed]

The same theme was repeated in the 1999 film The Matrix, which depicted a world in which artificially intelligent robots enslaved humanity within a simulation set in the contemporary world. The 2012 play World of Wires was partially inspired by the Bostrom essay on the simulation hypothesis.[65]

The 2014 episode of the animated sitcom Rick and Morty , "M. Night Shaym-Aliens!", demonstrates a low-quality simulation that attempts to trap the two titular protagonists, but because the operation is less "realistic" than typically operated "reality", it becomes obvious.

The 2022 Netflix epic period mystery-science fiction 1899 created by Jantje Friese and Baran bo Odar tells the unfinished story of a simulation scenario in which multiple persons find themselves in a circumstance of multiplicities and simultaneities. The storyline involves an amnesia, seemingly to protect the integrity of the simulation, as suggested would be necessary by the philosopher Preston Green.[26]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Manjoo, Farhad (2022-01-26). "Opinion | We Might Be in a Simulation. How Much Should That Worry Us?". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2022-02-10.
  2. ^ Paul Sutter (2022-01-21). "Do we live in a simulation? The problem with this mind-bending hypothesis". Space.com. Retrieved 2022-02-10.
  3. ^ Vopson, Melvin M. (22 November 2022). "Expert Proposes a Method For Telling if We All Live in a Computer Program". ScienceAlert. Retrieved 22 November 2022.
  4. ^ Overbye, Dennis (17 January 2023). "Are We Living in a Computer Simulation, and Can We Hack It? - A popular cosmological theory holds that the cosmos runs on quantum codes. So how hard could it be to tweak the supreme algorithm?". The New York Times. Retrieved 17 January 2023.
  5. ^ "The Matrix: Are we living in a simulation?". BBC Science Focus Magazine. Retrieved 2022-02-10.
  6. ^ Hossenfelder, Sabine (February 13, 2021). "The Simulation Hypothesis is Pseudoscience". BackReAction. Retrieved April 18, 2021.
  7. ^ Ellis, George (2012). "The multiverse: conjecture, proof, and science" (PDF). Retrieved April 18, 2021.
  8. ^ Grabianowski, Ed (7 May 2011). "You're living in a computer simulation, and the math proves it". Gizmodo. Retrieved 29 October 2016.
  9. ^ Sextus Empiricus Against the Logicians 1.88
  10. ^ Maffie, James. "Aztec Philosophy". Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy. Retrieved 19 April 2021.
  11. ^ Friedrich Nietzsche Beyond Good and Evil (1886) II.34, Helen Zimmern translation (1906)
  12. ^ a b c Bostrom, Nick (2003). "Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?". Philosophical Quarterly. 53 (211): 243–255. doi:10.1111/1467-9213.00309.
  13. ^ a b c d e f g h Bostrom, Nick (2003). "Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?". Philosophical Quarterly. 53 (211): 243–255. doi:10.1111/1467-9213.00309.
  14. ^ Thomas, Mike (July 22, 2022). "What is Simulation Theory and Why Does it Matter?". Built In. Retrieved 2020-12-05.
  15. ^ a b c d e f "The Simulation Argument Website FAQ".
  16. ^ Bostrom, Nick (2003). "The Simulation Argument: Why the Probability that You Are Living in a Matrix is Quite High".
  17. ^ Chalmers, Davis J. "The Matrix as Metaphysics".
  18. ^ Weatherson, Brian (2003). "Are You a Sim?". The Philosophical Quarterly. 53 (212): 425–431. doi:10.1111/1467-9213.00323. JSTOR 3543127. S2CID 170568464.
  19. ^ Dainton, Barry (2012). "On singularities and simulations". Journal of Consciousness Studies. 19 (1): 42. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.374.7434.
  20. ^ Carroll, Sean (22 August 2016). "Maybe We Do Not Live in a Simulation: The Resolution Conundrum". PreposterousUniverse.com.
  21. ^ Sean Carroll (January 18, 2021). "SEAN CARROLL'S MINDSCAPE". Preposterousuniverse.com (Podcast). Sean Carroll. Event occurs at 0:53.37. The laws that we observe just don't look like a competently programmed simulation... They have a lot of hidden complexity. So when you dig deeper you find that there's a hidden structure that's not used for anything. Why would you do that, if you're simulating a world? Also, the laws are very constrained. They are local; they don't change in time; they don't change in place. In a programmed environment, there's no reason to obey any of those constraints... And then there's the embarrassing question of, okay if this is a simulated world, what is the thing in which it is simulated made out of? What are the laws for that? So it begs the question.
  22. ^ Eggleston, Brian. "Bostrom Review". stanford.edu. Retrieved April 18, 2021.
  23. ^ Davies, P. C. W. (2004). "Multiverse Cosmological Models". Modern Physics Letters A. 19 (10): 727–743. arXiv:astro-ph/0403047. Bibcode:2004MPLA...19..727D. doi:10.1142/S021773230401357X.
  24. ^ Jaeger, Gregg (2018). "Clockwork Rebooted: Is the Universe a Computer?". Quantum Foundations, Probability and Information. STEAM-H: Science, Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Mathematics & Health: 71–91. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-74971-6_8. ISBN 978-3-319-74970-9.
  25. ^ Gleiser, Marcelo (March 9, 2017). "Why Reality Is Not a Video Game — and Why It Matters". Opinion. 13.7 Cosmos & Culture. NPR. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  26. ^ a b Greene, Preston (10 August 2019). "Are We Living in a Computer Simulation? Let's Not Find Out - Experimental findings will be either boring or extremely dangerous". The New York Times. Retrieved 25 December 2022.
  27. ^ Greene, Preston (10 August 2019). "Are We Living in a Computer Simulation? Let's Not Find Out - Experimental findings will be either boring or extremely dangerous". The New York Times. Retrieved 11 August 2019.
  28. ^ Hanson, Robin (2001). "How to live in a simulation" (PDF). Journal of Evolution and Technology. 7.
  29. ^ Chalmers, David (January 1990). "How Cartesian Dualism Might Have Been True".
  30. ^ "Reality+ by David J Chalmers review – are we living in a simulation?". The Guardian. 2022-01-19. Retrieved 2022-02-10.
  31. ^ Conitzer, Vincent (2019). "A Puzzle about Further Facts". Erkenntnis. 84 (3): 727–739. arXiv:1802.01161. doi:10.1007/s10670-018-9979-6. S2CID 36796226.
  32. ^ Bruno Marchal
  33. ^ Russel Standish
  34. ^ Hut, P.; Alford, M.; Tegmark, M. (2006). "On Math, Matter and Mind". Foundations of Physics. 36 (6): 765–794. arXiv:physics/0510188. Bibcode:2006FoPh...36..765H. doi:10.1007/s10701-006-9048-x. S2CID 17559900.
  35. ^ a b Moravec, Hans (1998). "Simulation, Consciousness, Existence".
  36. ^ Wheeler, J.A. (1990) Information, Physics, Quantum. In: Zurek, W.H., Ed., Complexity, Entropy, and the Physics of Information, Addison-Wesley, Boston, 354-368.
  37. ^ Lloyd, Seth (2011-10-24). Zenil, Hector (ed.). The Universe as Quantum Computer. World Scientific. pp. 567–581. arXiv:1312.4455. doi:10.1142/9789814374309_0029. ISBN 978-981-4374-29-3. Retrieved 2021-04-13. {{cite encyclopedia}}: |work= ignored (help)
  38. ^ Campbell, T., Owhadi, H., Sauvageau, J. and Watkinson, D. (2017) On Testing the Simulation Theory.
  39. ^ Bacon, Dave (December 2010). "Ubiquity symposium 'What is computation?': Computation and Fundamental Physics". Ubiquity. 2010 (December): 1895419.1920826. doi:10.1145/1895419.1920826. ISSN 1530-2180. S2CID 14337268.
  40. ^ Beane, Silas R.; Davoudi, Zohreh; J. Savage, Martin (2014). "Constraints on the universe as a numerical simulation". The European Physical Journal A. 50 (9): 148. arXiv:1210.1847. Bibcode:2014EPJA...50..148B. doi:10.1140/epja/i2014-14148-0. ISSN 1434-6001. S2CID 4236209.
  41. ^ Moskowitz, Clara (7 April 2016). "Are We Living in a Computer Simulation?". Scientific American.
  42. ^ Campbell, Tom; Owhadi, Houman; Sauvageau, Joe; Watkinson, David (June 17, 2017). "On Testing the Simulation Theory". International Journal of Quantum Foundations. 3 (3): 78–99.
  43. ^ Bostrom, Nick (2009). "The Simulation Argument: Some Explanations" (PDF). If each first-level ancestor-simulation run by the non-Sims requires more resources (because they contain within themselves additional second-level ancestor-simulations run by the Sims), the non-Sims might well respond by producing fewer first-level ancestor-simulations. Conversely, the cheaper it is for the non-Sims to run a simulation, the more simulations they may run. It is therefore unclear whether the total number of ancestor-simulations would be greater if Sims run ancestor-simulations than if they do not.
  44. ^ Pooch, U.W.; Sullivan, F.J. (2000). Recursive simulation to aid models of decisionmaking. Vol. 1 (Winter ed.). p. 958. doi:10.1109/WSC.2000.899898. ISBN 978-0-7803-6579-7. S2CID 15364401. {{cite book}}: |journal= ignored (help)
  45. ^ a b "Elon Musk Says There's a 'One in Billions' Chance Reality Is Not a Simulation - VICE". www.vice.com.
  46. ^ "Joe Rogan & Elon Musk - Are We in a Simulated Reality?". Archived from the original on 2021-12-15 – via www.youtube.com.
  47. ^ Ananthaswamy, Anil (October 13, 2020). "Do We Live in a Simulation? Chances Are about 50–50". Scientific American.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  48. ^ Powell, Corey S. "Elon Musk says we may live in a simulation. Here's how we might tell if he's right". www.nbcnews.com.
  49. ^ "Neil deGrasse Tyson Explains the Simulation Hypothesis". YouTube. Archived from the original on 2021-12-15.
  50. ^ Grabianowski, Ed (7 May 2011). "You're living in a computer simulation, and the math proves it". Gizmodo. Retrieved 29 October 2016.
  51. ^ Sextus Empiricus Against the Logicians 1.88
  52. ^ "There is no logical impossibility in the supposition that the whole of life is a dream, in which we ourselves create all the objects that come before us. But although this is not logically impossible, there is no reason whatever to suppose that it is true; and it is, in fact, a less simple hypothesis, viewed as a means of accounting for the facts of our own life, than the common-sense hypothesis that there really are objects independent of us, whose action on us causes our sensations." Bertrand Russell, The Problems of Philosophy
  53. ^ a b René Descartes, Meditations on the First Philosophy, from Descartes, The Philosophical Works of Descartes, trans. Elizabeth S. Haldane and G.R.T. Ross (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1911 – reprinted with corrections 1931), Volume I, 145-46.
  54. ^ Chalmers, J., The Matrix as Metaphysics, Department of Philosophy, University of Arizona
  55. ^ Alva H. Katsoulis: The Limit of Knowledge, Wittgenstein's certain defeat of skepticism. Uppsala University, 2021. Available online at https://uu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1631134/FULLTEXT01.pdf
  56. ^ Valberg, J.J. (2007). Dream, Death, and the Self. Princeton University Press. ISBN 9780691128597.
  57. ^ Revonsuo, A.; Tuominen, J. &; Valli, K. (2015). "The Avatars in the Machine: Dreaming as a Simulation of Social Reality".{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  58. ^ Hobson, Allan (2009). "The Neurobiology of Consciousness: Lucid Dreaming Wakes Up" (PDF). International Journal of Dream Research. 2 (2).{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  59. ^ Platt, Charles (October 1995). "Superhumanism". Wired. Vol. 3, no. 10. Archived from the original on 1999-10-11.
  60. ^ Moravec, Hans (1992). "Pigs in Cyberspace".
  61. ^ Chalmers, David (2005). "The Matrix as Metaphysics". In C. Grau (ed.). Philosophers Explore the Matrix. Oxford University Press. pp. 157–158. ISBN 9780195181067. LCCN 2004059977. Evil Genius Hypothesis: I have a disembodied mind and an evil genius is feeding me sensory inputs to give the appearance of an external world. This is René Descartes's classical skeptical hypothesis... Dream Hypothesis: I am now and have always been dreaming. Descartes raised the question: how do you know that you are not currently dreaming? Morpheus raises a similar question: 'Have you ever had a dream, Neo, that you were so sure was real. What if you were unable to wake from that dream? How would you know the difference between the dream world and the real world?'... I think this case is analogous to the Evil Genius Hypothesis: it's just that the role of the "evil genius" is played by a part of my own cognitive system! If my dream-generating system simulates all of space-time, we have something like the original Matrix Hypothesis. p.22
  62. ^ Maffie, James. "Aztec Philosophy". Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy. Retrieved 19 April 2021.
  63. ^ Friedrich Nietzsche Beyond Good and Evil (1886) II.34, Helen Zimmern translation (1906)
  64. ^ Guan, Chong; Mou, Jian; Jiang, Zhiying (2020-12-01). "Artificial intelligence innovation in education: A twenty-year data-driven historical analysis". International Journal of Innovation Studies. 4 (4): 134–147. doi:10.1016/j.ijis.2020.09.001. ISSN 2096-2487. S2CID 224921744.
  65. ^ Brantley, Ben (January 16, 2012). "'World of Wires' at the Kitchen — Review". The New York Times.

References

Further reading

  • "Are We Living in a Simulation?" BBC Focus magazine, March 2013, pages 43–45. Interview with physicist Silas Beane of the University of Bonn discussing a proposed test for simulated reality evidence. Three pages, three photos, including one of Beane and a computer-generated scene from the film The Matrix. Publisher: Immediate Media Company, Bristol, UK.
  • Conitzer, Vincent. "A Puzzle About Further Facts". Open access version of article in Erkenntnis.
  • Campbell, Tom; Houman Owhadi, Joe Sauvageau, David Watkinson: "On testing the simulation theory". arXiv:1703.00058.
  • Lev, Gid'on. Life in the Matrix. Haaretz Magazine, April 25, 2019, page 6.
  • Merali, Zeeya. "Do We Live in the Matrix?" Discover, December 2013, pages 24–25. Subtitle: "Physicists have proposed tests to reveal whether we are part of a giant computer simulation."