Draft:338Canada: Difference between revisions
No edit summary |
No edit summary |
||
| Line 7: | Line 7: | ||
| founded = 2017 |
| founded = 2017 |
||
| creator = Philippe J. Fournier |
| creator = Philippe J. Fournier |
||
| url = English: https://338canada.com/ |
| url = English: https://338canada.com/<br>French: https://qc125.com/canada/ |
||
French: https://qc125.com/canada/ |
|||
}} |
}} |
||
| Line 14: | Line 13: | ||
== Methodology == |
== Methodology == |
||
The 338Canada model uses a mostly proportional swing model with regional adjustments. The model also uses demographic data such as languages most spoken at home, age distribution, income, population density and education levels. 338Canada weighs polls by their sample sizes and field dates. |
The 338Canada model uses a mostly proportional swing model with regional adjustments. The model also uses publicly available demographic data from the census, such as languages most spoken at home, age distribution, income, population density and education levels. 338Canada weighs polls by their sample sizes and field dates. Pollsters are also allocated ratings determined by how accurate they have been in predicting outcomes of past elections; the higher their rating, the more weight on the model they are given. |
||
== References == |
== References == |
||
Revision as of 04:12, 16 August 2024
388Canada, along its French-language sister site Qc125, is an independently-owned Canadian website revolved around politics and political projections created by Montreal columnist and professor Philippe J. Fournier in 2017.[1]
Type of site | Political analysis |
|---|---|
| Founded | 2017 |
| Created by | Philippe J. Fournier |
| URL | English: https://338canada.com/ French: https://qc125.com/canada/ |
Similar to FiveThirtyEight, the site gets its name from the 338 seats in the Canadian Parliament after the 2015 federal election and before the upcoming federal election will take place. The site is best known for its projections of federal and provincial Canadian elections, but also has sections dedicated to the presidential elections of the United States and France, alongside sections detailing the mayoral elections of Toronto and Montreal.
Methodology
The 338Canada model uses a mostly proportional swing model with regional adjustments. The model also uses publicly available demographic data from the census, such as languages most spoken at home, age distribution, income, population density and education levels. 338Canada weighs polls by their sample sizes and field dates. Pollsters are also allocated ratings determined by how accurate they have been in predicting outcomes of past elections; the higher their rating, the more weight on the model they are given.
References
- ^ "About 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2024-08-09.