Wikipedia:Five-million pool: Difference between revisions
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Revision as of 21:26, 30 May 2006
This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 5,000,000 (five million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,891,054.
This pool will be closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reaches 2,500,000, so be sure to place your guess before then. This pool opened on March 21, 2005, shortly after the 500,000th article was created.
Other milestone pools that are still open include the following: Wikipedia:Ten-million pool, Wikipedia:Billion pool, Wikipedia:Eleventy-billion pool and Wikipedia:Trillion pool.
For non-serious topical pools, see Wikipedia:Millionth topic pool and Wikipedia:Two-millionth topic pool.
It is currently 2024 October 4 (UTC). Guesses for prior dates will still be eligible to win if a later guess isn't closer to the actual date than the earlier date. Please be aware, however, that attempts at guessing a prior date may be seen by some as a humor entry.
Never
- It is not possible, The sum of all knowlegde < 5,000,000 articles --Clawed 05:12, 24 Apr 2005 (UTC)
- Shortly after the heat death of the sun. ALKIVAR™ 01:40, 23 Mar 2005 (UTC)
- After pi is found to be a rational number. Sango123 23:07, May 22, 2005 (UTC)
- When Romania denies having ever had yellow in their flag when it has yellow now. Barely There 12:07, 5 Jun 2005 (UTC)
- When boys start being named Sarah. HellRaiser 04:43, 15 Jun 2005 (UTC)
- After blindness is found to be just a state of mind. Jesus Lover 05:27, 15 Jun 2005 (UTC)
- When a vandal named User:Willy on Wheels ON WHEELS!!!!!haha takes complete control of Wikipedia, and uses it to destroy every Internet connection in France, creating 5,000,000 articles in the process. --Mark J 19:09, 17 July 2005 (UTC)
- When Essex becomes a independent country. --Weirdguy 06:42, 19 July 2005 (UTC)
- At this rate, it will be after 2012. Gogo December 21, 2012. - RPharazon 03:56, August 12, 2005 (UTC)
- When the Wikimedia Foundation takes over every company in the world, creating 4,595,151 articles in the process.--207.200.116.136 20:27, 25 December 2005 (UTC)
- Not if the mergists have a say :) Deckiller 01:18, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- Isopropyl 05:57, 2 May 2006 (UTC)
- Delete. Not notable. ;-) DarthVader 08:44, 18 May 2006 (UTC)
- Never, Everytime Wikipedia gets 5 million Articles, Andrea Yates appears puts all 5 Million articles in her bathtub until they drown, and Wikipedia has to star all over again 12.183.203.184 08:48, 29 May 2006 (UTC)
Today
- Whenever it happens, there will be a huge announcement: "Wikipedia Hit 5,000,000 Mark Today" What do I win? CrazyLegsKC 01:00, 4 August 2005 (UTC)
- I win too. Rentastrawberry 03:49, 18 September 2005 (UTC)
- 2024 - October - 4 I win too. --antilived T | C 05:02, 31 December 2005 (UTC)
- I win three ! The Procrastinator 00:10, 11 January 2006 (UTC)
- What do you win for ?--Neverland 17:39, 5 May 2006 (UTC)
1970
- January 1, midnight precisely. I mean, hey, there's at least a one-in-a-billion chance that something will reset the server's ctime just before the five-millionth article, right? So I have a very small probability of getting it right down to the second instead of a slightly larger probability of getting it to within a year tops. —Simetrical (talk • contribs) 05:20, 7 May 2006 (UTC)
1991
I win!! :) Sango123 July 5, 2005 17:02 (UTC)
1999
August 1 - The digital world screws everything else up, so why not? birdboy2000 22:11, 17 December 2005 (UTC)
2005
2006
- Febuary 19th Devnill 22:41, 1 March 2006 (EST)
- February 27th Oliver Keenan 10:23, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- July 25th,My birthday.Toonmon2005 22:13, 16 December 2005 (UTC)
- August 8th DesiVideoGamer 20:35, 1 March 2006 (EST)
- November 1st Tanker 17:55, 1 March 2006 (PST)
2007
- January 25 No particular reason -- Hindleyite 21:08, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
- February 29 - it's going to be a busy day -- Joolz 21:10, 23 May 2005 (UTC)
- March 14 - Pi Day '07! ~Linuxerist L / T 03:15, 15 March 2006 (UTC)
- May 8 - two years after the creation of Wikisolutions, witch led to WikiHowTo -- Moa3333 01:16, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 8 June nocternaloxide 16:20, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- June 20 -- As good as date as any. Wikipedia is one of the most phenomenal projects of this century... I could see it at five million. Of course, this is just a total guess. michaelb 21:00, 5 April 2006 (UTC)
- July 1. --JuntungWu 11:16, 29 December 2005 (UTC)
- July 2nd. --Gamingboy 17:27, 12 March 2006 (UTC)
- July 4 - My Birthday! :) Michael Furdyk (and America's!--IAMTHEEGGMAN (talk) 21:16, 4 March 2006 (UTC))
- September 1. --bainer (talk) 23:29, 1 March 2006 (UTC)
- November 18. →Iñgōlemo← talk 20:33, 2005 Mar 23 (UTC)
- September 19 24.54.208.177 18:25, 11 September 2005 (UTC)
- September 25 (The end of the world!) --IAMTHEEGGMAN (talk) 21:16, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
- September 29 CCMichalZ 22:16, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- August 4 - My Birthday. -DesPeaux
- October 13. --TBC??? ??? ??? 16:15, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- October 23 Gflores Talk 21:39, 27 February 2006 (UTC)
- November 29th AlexR 01:02, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
- December 10 - Who in their right mind would want to be sane? Cyner 23:07, 01 March 2006 (UTC)
- December 19, Kostja 17:05, 2005 May 15 (UTC)
- December 25, Joseph Solis 03:14 UTC, April 8, 2006
2008
- January 6 Runtime April 16, 2006
- 18 January SpirckleM 18:18, 1 Mar 2006 (PST)
- 25 January - Tazza 10:32, 02 March 2006 (Australian WST)
- 6 February - when I turn 20. zanzer7 09:36, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 10 February - according to a very questionable neural network model. +-7 months with 95% confidence, or so it claims. --Denoir 21:27, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 13 February - Sage Tuvitor 04:35, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 17 February - gausie 00:09, 15 May 2006 (GMT)
- February 27, 2008 16:27 and 12 seconds and 43 milliseconds EST ToldYouSo
- 28 February - claiming by 27th b'day. Alba 16:47, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 15 March Ral315 (talk) 18:27, 12 May 2006 (UTC)
- 16 March. Schutz 17:45, 2 April 2006 (UTC)
- 18 March I'm predicting a biographical entry. ~Kylu (u|t) 01:11, 22 April 2006 (UTC)
- March 25 Kevin Baastalk 00:00, 20 February 2006 (UTC)
- April 1 rfernand
- 3 April, when I turn 50. Communism is Stupid 08:36, 10 August 2005 (UTC)
- April 6 I had to do the regression by hand! TJ0513 15:37, 7 May 2006 (UTC)
- 11 April --Stoopideggs2 04:41, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 24 April — This will be my 20. birthday ;) FBali 19:00, 20 March 2006 (UTC)
- 1st May--GwydionM 18:13, 25 February 2006 (UTC)
- 5th May--JD 06:05, 02 March 2006 (UTC)
- 10 May -- 124.168.67.249 09:09, 21 May 2006 (UTC)
- 19 May -- Chris Ccool2ax contrib. 15:28, 21 May 2006 (UTC)
- 23 May --TechnoGuyRob 23:46, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 3 June --JAHall 04:21, 4 May 2006 (EST)
- 8 June nocternaloxide 16:20, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 12 June User: Gwidion 16:49, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 14 June so9q 14:30, 14 March 2006 (UTC) YES! will probably be adjusted before closure.
- 15 June don't ask why - but i will change this @2,400,900 --Zayani 15:23, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
- 19 June --Amir E. Aharoni 08:14, 30 April 2006 (UTC)
- June 22 --HurricaneJeanne 07:31, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- July 1 Canada Day!!! --Canuck85 07:25, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 12 July, my 20th birthday. --Ilovedanieljackson 16:28, 2 March 2006
- 14 July gadfium 18:59, 6 January 2006 (UTC)
- 17 July Rhall4Happy 30th bday me.
- August 1 --Carnildo 04:05, 25 February 2006 (UTC)
- August 4th - [Multimiedia Fairyland] - Acerperi 03:40, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- August 10, Leithp 13:02, 29 October 2005 (UTC)
- August 13 --Gerrit CUTEDH 11:35, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- August 20 - Miyu 09:42, 2 March 2006 (CAT)
- August 25, --Snagglepuss 14:06, 3 March 2006 (EST)
- August 26, - Nils 14:42, 2 March 2006 (CET)
- 30 August, --lightdarkness (talk) 02:17, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- August 31 - Nzd (talk) 23:01, 6 March 2006 (UTC)
- 1 September --Neo3DGfx 06:55, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- September 28 David | Talk 17:36, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
- September 31 -- American champagne 21:26, 30 May 2006 (UTC)
- 1 October 23:09 (UTC) -Scottwiki 08:07, 18 April 2006 (UTC)
- 4 October Nrohan 06:55 PM, 2nd March 2006 IST
- 5 October PKtm 04:02, 29 September 2005 (UTC)
- 15 October - Crystallina 21:51, 25 March 2006 (UTC)
- 22 October Yeah, Its gonna happen then Jetteleigh 23:44 March 1 2006 (EST)
- 23 October - Mole Day! -- FlocciNonFacio 00:44, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
- 11 November Jmstylr 16:01, 12 November 2005 (UTC)
- 17 November Terence Ong (恭喜发财) 06:58, 31 January 2006 (UTC)
- December 1 --May the Force be with you! Shreshth91($ |-| ŗ 3 $ |-| ţ |-|) 11:28, 11 May 2006 (UTC)
- 11 Dec guess User: Septa
- December 17 I know I'm right. EamonnPKeane 17:56, 5 March 2006 (UTC)
- December 24 14:24 ddrager 10:42, 1 Mar 2006 (EST)
- December 31 2000 hrs UTC \Mikez 08:57, 1 Apr 2005 (UTC)
- December 12 Hot water heater 15:06, 3 April 2006 (UTC)
- December 26 Nationalparks 02:08, 6 May 2006 (UTC)
2009
- January 1, 2009. Don Proctor March 1, 2006 (UTC)
- January 12 - Amphytrite 02:23, 13 March 2006 (UTC)
- January 25, 2009 Don Gray March 1,2006 (UTC)
- February 2--T. Anthony 15:27, 26 September 2005 (UTC)
- February 11 - --131.251.0.7 16:48, 15 January 2006 (UTC)
- February 13--Pkrzic 20:44, 5 May 2006 (UTC)
- February 22 Juppiter 05:02, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- February 24 - JustPhil 10:58, 7 April 2006 (UTC) (my 20th birthday!)
- February 26 - Jpo 17:36, 1 May 2006 (UTC)
- March 1 TraxPlayer 11:05, 2 March 2006 (GMT+1)
- March 14, 3:14:59 Smartech 06:50, 24 Mar 2005 (UTC)
- March 20, Stormscape 01:04, 3 March 2006 (UTC) (My 20th birthday yay!)
- April 6 — Sarge Baldy 01:25, Apr 20, 2005 (UTC)
- April 9 TheCoffee 20:28, 9 July 2005 (UTC)
- April 16 My birthday, plus coming off an election year there will be a lot of new articles--Seventy-one 07:20, 14 May 2006 (UTC)
- April 26 — Michael J 01:05, 3 May 2006 (UTC) (My 50th birthday!)
- May 11 - Denjak 8:29, 03 March 2006
- May 12 — Sintonak.X 14:51, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- May 21 - Mailer Diablo 17:48, 22 May 2006 (UTC)
- May 25 - Lesgles (talk) 23:30, 7 May 2006 (UTC) (graduation)
- June 1 bnlacava 11:28, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- June 29 Howard the Duck 07:06, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- July 27 - RitaE 8:29, 03 March 2006
- August 9 ...Scott5114 02:53, 20 May 2006 (UTC)
- August 17, at about half-past ten. Matt Yeager 07:12, 6 November 2005 (UTC)
- August 23, 2009 John William Whitaker March 2,2006 (UTC)
- August 31, Marcos Juárez 04:33, 28 February 2006 (UTC)
- September 1, --NerdEF 16:51, 2 April 2006 (UTC)
- October 12, Cimon avaro; on a pogostick. 08:11, 6 March 2006 (UTC)
- November 4 - Trevor Andersen 05:10, 28 January 2006 (UTC)
- November 14 - Eivindt@c 07:50, 6 April 2006 (UTC)
- May 12 - User:WiseDRGN 7:41, 01 March 2006
- Auguest 7 - User:khanrizwan 7:41, 01 March 2006
- October 10 - LoweySon 11:10, 02 March 2006
- December 15 - Mikker (...) 03:10, 4 April 2006 (UTC)
2010
- January 15, on wikipedia day --Cfcrule1 22:19, 11 April 2006 (UTC)
- February 2010, during the 2010 Winter Olympics. Scott Gall 07:56, 2005 Mar 26 (UTC)
- March 18, 20:47:12 UTC. JIP | Talk 09:24, 6 March 2006 (UTC)
- May 1 -- Warofdreams talk 01:58, 29 May 2006 (UTC)
- July 17 - cybersaga 02:54, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- July 19 - TeckWiz 19:18, 27 March 2006 (UTC)
- August 3--Devahn58 16:48, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
- September 6, 04:38 UTC -- Jonny 07:20, 5 February 2006 (UTC)
- September 22 - Dvandetta March 1, 2006, 6:05pm PST
- August 17 -- FeldBum 01:56, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- September 12 -- Raguiar 08:39, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
- October 10 -- Clayto 08:01, 2 March 2006 (EST)
- November 2010 - it should be a surprise for my 30th birthday. [[User:NazismIsntCool|Nazism isn't cool]] 07:48, 30 Apr 2005 (UTC)
- December 28 -- Duozmo 10:54, 5 March 2006 (UTC)
- December 31 -- Car salesman 20:07, 14 April 2006 (UTC)
2011
- January 27, RyanGerbil10 20:38, 25 December 2005 (UTC)
- February 4, owlny 01:34, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- February 14, how romantic. -Ambuj Saxena (talk) 18:05, 2 May 2006 (UTC)
- March 18, my 30th birthday, Renatta 00:07, 6 March 2006 (UTC)
- April 12, 2011, judging by the rate Wikipedia is growing I'm probably not far off here... --Mark J 20:32, 22 May 2005 (UTC)
- April 14 - the day I can register to vote! Johnleemk | Talk 07:26, 7 January 2006 (UTC)
- April 17, 2011 - my 20th birthday =) --antilived trash vandal results 11:15, 22 October 2005 (UTC)
- June 17 - nobody
- July 9 - Average Earthman 04:45, 4 April 2006 (UTC)
- August 12, 2011, Llamadog903 11:18, 2 march 2006 (UTC)
- September 10, Let's hope the internet still has freedom Jeremyh 13:27, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- October 2 --Thorsen 08:00, 21 February 2006 (UTC)
- November 13, 2011, 12.30 UTC. SqueakBox 18:50, 21 September 2005 (UTC)
- September 1, it'll be then! 12:37, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- November 29 ez lesz a dátum, ha nyerek értesítsetek 2006 március 4.
2012
- January 1 - another New Year and an even bigger wiki. Wikipikarefulgenschu 01:39, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
- January 23 at 1:37 PM (13:37!) --Minoru 20:23, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- March 20, 2012, at 3:32 P.M.; of course, by 2012, the U.S. will have finally started using 24 hour clocks. Deltabeignet 06:40, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- March 24, 2012 --Pozsy 23:21, 1 May 2006 (UTC)
- April 1, 2012, that'd be a neat birthday present for me! Matt0401 22:23, 1 March, 2006 (EST)
- April 18 at 3:26 a.m. UTC for no reason at all --Ravi12346 03:32, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
- May 12, 2012. user 24.171.36.233
- July 21, of course - Cassan 22:42, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
- September 17, 2012This is the date i think it'll hit 5 million articles! meekzzz 23:00, 1 March, 2006 (EST)
- October 14 is my guess Homestarmy 16:04, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- December 5, My Birthday! The ed17 19:38, 24 April 2006 (UTC) (talk)
- December 21, 2012, because something has to happen that day. Anomaly1 02:06, 10 December 2005 (UTC)
- December 30 My 35 Birthday. I guessed 5 years earlier for the Wikipedia:Two-million pool --Reflex Reaction (talk)• 18:41, 10 May 2006 (UTC)
2013
- June 22 -- Earl Andrew - talk 06:21, 24 Apr 2005 (UTC)
- 13 Smarch, after it's decided that all individual humans are notable, and they simultaneously reach forth from their nano cybercores to insert entries on themselves, causing the biggest meganet crash since 2008. Radiant_>|< 12:41, Jun 10, 2005 (UTC)
- 18 July -ReuvenkT C E 02:16, 29 May 2006 (UTC)
- August 22nd 01:33 GMT David 14:19, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
- September 25 Jet Engines 18:05, 3 April 2006 (UTC)
- December 7. Because it's my birthday --Monsterxxl 17:18, 9 March 2006 (UTC)
- December 31 Peak groth will be at 2.500.000 articles around June 2008 HenkvD 19:10, 21 February 2006 (UTC)
2014
- 25 January --Neo 11:04, 25 Mar 2005 (UTC)
- 14 July Yrithinnd 01:51, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 26 September -My 31st Birthday (yikes!)-Captain Bob 07:40, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- January 18, 2014 – b_jonas 16:16, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- 4 December Niffweed17, Destroyer of Chickens 03:08, 16 March 2006 (UTC)
2015
- January 24 - My 30th birthday, why not? Pax 05:55, Apr 20, 2005 (UTC)
- March 26 - No particular reason, but it's the first date that came to mind for me. FreakyFlyBry 05:19, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
- June 24 - this is reasonable. — Sverdrup 00:28, 24 Jun 2005 (UTC)
2016
October 19 Bennity 11:28, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
December 9 G Clark 02:42, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
April 14!!! I'm betting five bucks on this one. -- Mac Davis ☢ ญƛ. 08:59, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
2017
- 28 December -- Grunt 🇪🇺 02:35, 2005 Mar 23 (UTC)
2018
22 - 02 - 18 (Roy van Rijn) --217.195.241.2 09:07, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
2019
The fifty-seventh day of 2019. --Berney 21:37, 16 December 2005 (UTC)
April 3rd, 2019. --Nomader 00:02, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
2020-2021
May 15th, 2021. 23:59 hrs UTC - If I'm right, I'll probably be dead before this day comes. :( Ryan 07:17, July 27, 2005 (UTC)
August 17, 2020, whereupon Wikipedia will receive perfect vision (and subsequently receive an asolute barrage of new articles, as I've also predicted that this is the date where Wikipedia will receive its eleventy-billionth post). Matt Yeager 06:14, 30 December 2005 (UTC)
October 10 2021, when the police snipers finally take me down. Proto 12:51, 10 Jun 2005 (UTC)
2022-2023
Better than Human AI achieve consciousness and names him self Tay The Procrastinator 00:13, 11 January 2006 (UTC)
July 14, 2022 Dang that's far away...I'll be 34. Zarxos 03:14, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
2024/2025
July 10, 2025. Give or take 2 years, 3 months and 27 days. - Ghelaetalkcontribs 15:56, 25 February 2006 (UTC)
March 2 or March 10, 2025. Think about it, you know it makes sense. Daesumnor 01:59, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
2026-2027
May 2nd, 2027 - [[1]] (it will be my 40th birthday !)
May 12th, 2027 on my 40th birthday (oops I will be 50 haha, oh I am an old fart!). By then Wikipedia will do datadumps to our brains every third millisecond.--Adam (talk) 02:49, 16 April 2006 (UTC)
2028-2029
- Just before Skynet declares martial law over the Internet and sends his T-800s after us.- JustPhil 21:07, 8 October 2005 (UTC)
2030-2034
- September 16, 2031 --Astrowob 20:00, 15 Apr 2005 (UTC)
- September 17.33333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333... 20:27, 18 May 2005 (UTC)
2035-2039
2038
January 2038
- January 18, 2038 - the day before civilization collapses along with unix time. -- Cyrius|✎
2040-2044
4 october 2040 it will be the 23rd article published that day and it will be the 5 millionth ever. (----)
2045-2049
2050 or later
- Exactly 1 year after the moment we land a person on Mars. (please move this vote when we've landed on Mars :)) -- BRIAN0918 15:14, 22 Mar 2005 (UTC)
- Does "we" mean Americans or mankind?? (it may will be two different landing events)
- "We" refers to the squirrel population in Antarctica, of course. Sango123 July 5, 2005 17:00 (UTC)
- Does "we" mean Americans or mankind?? (it may will be two different landing events)
- Does a monkey still count? :) Smartech 02:53, 15 July 2005 (UTC)
- Since people are technically just a breed of monkeys, yes. --86.130.24.206 15:12, 28 August 2005 (UTC)
- No - technically people are a breed of ape, not monkeys. Both though a part of the primate group. David Ruben Talk 01:57, 21 April 2006 (UTC)
- Since people are technically just a breed of monkeys, yes. --86.130.24.206 15:12, 28 August 2005 (UTC)
- Does a monkey still count? :) Smartech 02:53, 15 July 2005 (UTC)
- March 14, [2]159 2:65:35.89793238 UTC. — Ilγαηερ (Tαlκ) 04:09, 20 July 2005 (UTC)