Division of Makin

Makin Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of Makin in South Australia, as of the 2016 federal election.
Created	1984
MP	Tony Zappia
Party	Labor
Namesake	Norman Makin
Electors	107,108 (2016)
Area	130 km2 (50.2 sq mi)
Demographic	Outer Metropolitan

The Division of Makin is an electoral division for the Australian House of Representatives located in the northeastern suburbs of Adelaide. The 130 km² seat covers an area from Little Para River and Gould Creek in the north-east to Grand Junction Road in the south and Port Wakefield Road in the west, including the suburbs of Banksia Park, Fairview Park, Golden Grove, Greenwith, Gulfview Heights, Ingle Farm, Mawson Lakes, Modbury, Para Hills, Para Vista, Pooraka, Redwood Park, Ridgehaven, Salisbury East, Salisbury Heights, St Agnes, Surrey Downs, Tea Tree Gully, Valley View, Vista, Walkley Heights, Wynn Vale, Yatala Vale, and parts of Gepps Cross and Hope Valley.

Established in the South Australian redistribution of 3 September 1984 and named after Norman Makin, a former MP and diplomat. It is known as a marginal mortgage belt seat, with a large proportion of the population in the area paying off home loans. In the 2006 census, over 42 percent of the seat's electors had a home mortgage; ranking it 19th highest in Australia's 150 seats.

From Makin's creation ahead of the 1984 election, the seat was always marginal and held by the party of government, often typical of mortgage belt seats. However, Labor's Tony Zappia won the seat at the 2007 election with a fairly safe 57.7 percent two-party vote against Liberal candidate Bob Day from an 8.6 percent two-party swing as Labor won government, the largest two-party vote and swing of any party in Makin's history at the time, and was also the first time a Makin candidate won a majority of the primary vote. At the 2010 election, Zappia technically made it a safe Labor seat with a 62.2 percent two-party vote, again becoming the largest of any party in Makin's history. Even though Mawson Lakes was added to the seat, Zappia held the seat at the 2013 election with a reduced marginal 55.1 percent two-party vote even as Labor lost government, albeit still the largest two-party vote, aside from 2010 and 2007, of any party in Makin's history. No longer a bellwether for the first time, Zappia became the first opposition member in Makin's history.

Ahead of the 2016 federal election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed Makin in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates. Makin is the only bellwether outside of New South Wales and Queensland.

Members

Member		Party	Term
Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor|	Peter Duncan	Labor	1984–1996
Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal|	Trish Draper	Liberal	1996–2007
Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor|	Tony Zappia	Labor	2007–present

Election results

Main article: Electoral results for the Division of Makin

Australian federal election, 2016: Makin

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Tony Zappia	34,483	42.23	−3.33
	Liberal	Graham Reynolds	23,506	28.79	−8.41
	Xenophon	Craig Bossie	13,421	16.44	+16.44
	Family First	Paul Coombe	3,637	4.45	−1.96
	Greens	Keiran Snape	3,585	4.39	−1.52
	Independent	Mark Aldridge	1,789	2.19	+2.19
	Animal Justice	Zarina Greenberg	1,232	1.51	+1.51
Total formal votes			81,653	95.71	+0.59
Informal votes			3,660	4.29	−0.59
Turnout			85,313
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Tony Zappia	48,716	59.66	+4.60
	Liberal	Graham Reynolds	32,937	40.34	−4.60
	Labor hold		Swing	+4.60

See also

• Australian federal election, 2016

References

• ABC profile for Makin: 2016
• Poll Bludger profile for Makin: 2016
• AEC profile for Makin: 2016

External links

• SA boundary map, 2001: AEC
• SA boundary map, 1984: Atlas SA