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2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election

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See also: 2017 United States gubernatorial elections
2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election
← 2013 November 7, 2017 2021 →
Turnout38.5%[1] (Decrease1.1%)
 
Nominee Phil Murphy Kim Guadagno
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Sheila Oliver Carlos Rendo
Popular vote 1,203,110 899,583
Percentage 56.0% 41.9%
Murphy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Guadagno:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Governor before election

Chris Christie
Republican

Elected Governor

Phil Murphy
Democratic

Elections in New Jersey
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Mayoral elections

The 2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2017, to elect a new governor of New Jersey. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Christie was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.[2]

Primary elections took place on June 6, 2017. Kim Guadagno, the incumbent Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey, won the Republican primary for governor and chose Woodcliff Lake Mayor Carlos Rendo as her running mate. Phil Murphy, a banker and former U.S. Ambassador to Germany, won the Democratic primary, and chose former State Assembly Speaker Sheila Oliver as his running mate. Seth Kaper-Dale ran as the Green Party candidate with Lisa Durden, while Pete Rohrman ran as the Libertarian Party candidate with Karrese Laguerre. Matt Riccardi ran as the Constitution Party candidate. There were two other independent candidates on the ballot.

Murphy led throughout the general election, with many analysts expecting a Democratic pickup. When polls closed on Election Day, Murphy was immediately declared the winner, based on exit polling alone. Murphy received 56.0% of the vote to Guadagno's 41.9%. [3] Murphy slightly outperformed Hillary Clinton's 2016 presidential run in the state; Clinton got roughly 55.5% of the vote statewide in that election, mostly due to some of the more middle-class parts of the state then preferring Donald Trump. 38.5% of registered voters cast ballots, marking the lowest turnout on record for any gubernatorial election in New Jersey.[4]

2017 was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election since 1989 in which the Democratic candidate won Somerset County, as well as the first since 2005 in which the Democratic candidate won Burlington County, Middlesex County, Atlantic County, or Gloucester County (Murphy, for the most part, ended up expanding upon the national "suburban revolt" against then-President Donald Trump in parts of those counties, as well as Democratic-trending municipalities statewide, particularly in wealthier areas); the latter two counties have not voted Democratic for governor since. Murphy became the first New Jersey governor since Brendan Byrne in 1973 to win without any prior elected experience, and the first since Charles Edison in 1940 to win without having held any prior public office in the state. This is the first gubernatorial election since 1937 in which the Democratic nominee won without winning Salem County.

Background

Primary elections took place on June 6, 2017.[5] New Jersey utilizes a semi-closed primary system, meaning that only registered party members may vote in primary elections. However, unaffiliated voters can change their party registration and vote in either party primary on election day.[6][7]

The deadline to file petitions to qualify for primary elections was April 3; eleven contenders submitted petitions satisfying the requirement of 1,000 signatures.[8] On April 18, as is required by the New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, the candidates' financial disclosures, showing sources of earned income (e.g. salaries) and unearned income (e.g. investments), were made public.[9]

Gubernatorial primary candidates utilized what is known as the "matching funds" program. Those who raised at least $430,000 qualified to receive two dollars in public money for every dollar raised privately. State law mandates that any primary candidates who qualify for matching funds must participate in at least two primary debates. Candidates who choose not to seek matching funds but commit to raising and spending at least $430,000 can also participate.[10][11] As of May 8, primary candidates had received donations from ten states other than New Jersey.[12]

The first debates were held on May 9, hosted by Stockton University. The Republicans debated first followed by the Democrats. The debates were live-streamed on Facebook, the university's website via Livestream, and on News 12 New Jersey. The live stream was simulcast in Spanish.[13] The second Democratic debate was held on May 11, the second Republican debate on May 18.[14] They were co-hosted by PBS Member network NJTV and NJ Spotlight.[15]

The Republican debates included two of the five candidates: Jack Ciattarelli and Kim Guadagno, who both qualified for matching funds.[10][16] Hirsh Singh filed a lawsuit to enter the debates, claiming to have raised over $900,000 despite missing a deadline to file; his challenge was rejected by the state courts.[17][18]

The Democratic debates included four of the six candidates: Jim Johnson, John Wisniewski (who both qualified for matching funds), Phil Murphy (who opted out of matching funds but had spent enough to qualify), and Raymond Lesniak (who did not raise enough to qualify for matching funds but loaned his campaign enough money to qualify for the debates).[10][16]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 23, 2017
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jack Ciattarelli $1,768,417 $1,731,962 $36,337
Kim Guadagno $3,540,927 $3,451,743 $89,184
Steven Rogers $27,522 $27,522 $0
Joseph Rudy Rullo $13,573 $9,809 $64
Hirsh Singh $1,021,387 $1,016,191 $5,196
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[35]

Endorsements

Jack Ciattarelli
State officials
Newspapers and publications

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jack
Ciattarelli 		Kim
Guadagno 		Steven
Rogers 		Joseph
Rudy Rullo 		Hirsh
Singh 		Other Undecided
Stockton University May 16–23, 2017 389 ± 4.9% 18% 37% 4% 3% 3% 2% 31%
Stockton University April 26 – May 1, 2017 359 – 19% 29% 4% 4% 2% 1% 41%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017 331 ± 5.4% 12% 23% 5% 3% — 1% 51%
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 22–26, 2017 216 ± 6.7% 5% 24% 1% 1% 0% 14%[n 1] 54%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2017 315 ± 5.5% 3% 28% 2% 1% — 19%[n 2] 42%
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 25–29, 2017 275 ± 5.9% 2% 18% 2% 0% — 25%[n 3] 52%
  1. ^ Dana Wefer 2%, "Someone else" 12%
  2. ^ Joe Piscopo 18%, "Someone else" 1%
  3. ^ Joe Piscopo 12%, "Someone else" 13%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jon
Bramnick 		Kim
Guadagno 		Other Undecided
FDU September 1–7, 2014 721 ± 3.7% 4% 12% 11% 74%

Results

Results by county:
  Guadagno
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
  Ciattarelli
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Republican primary results[41][42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kim Guadagno 113,846 46.70%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 75,556 30.99%
Republican Hirsh Singh 23,728 9.73%
Republican Joseph R. Rullo 15,816 6.49%
Republican Steven Rogers 14,187 5.82%
Republican Write-In 638 0.27%
Total votes 243,771 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Paul Binetti, LGBT activist and nightclub manager (did not submit petitions)[49][50][51]
  • Monica Brinson, pharmaceutical sales representative (did not submit petitions)[52][53][54]
  • Bob Hoatson, sexual abuse victims advocate and former Catholic priest[55][56][57]
  • Lisa McCormick, weekly newspaper publisher (did not submit petitions)[52][58][54]
  • Titus Pierce, businessman and Iraq War veteran (did not submit petitions)[52][59][54]

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 23, 2017
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bill Brennan $20,847 $20,847 $0
Jim Johnson $3,256,514 $3,198,226 $58,288
Raymond Lesniak $791,368 $718,619 $64,990
Phil Murphy $21,995,248 $21,735,597 $262,951
John Wisniewski $2,142,139 $2,081,439 $60,795
Mark Zinna $33,498 $32,622 $877
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[35]

Endorsements

Jim Johnson
U.S. Representative
Mayor
Individuals
Raymond Lesniak
Individuals
Lisa McCormick (withdrew)
Individual
John Wisniewski
Organizations
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Elected official

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bill
Brennan 		Jim
Johnson 		Raymond
Lesniak 		Phil
Murphy 		John
Wisniewski 		Mark
Zinna 		Other Undecided
Stockton University May 16–23, 2017 403 ± 4.9% 3% 10% 4% 34% 9% 1% 1% 33%
Stockton University April 26 – May 1, 2017 385 – 2% 6% 5% 37% 8% 0% — 41%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017 519 ± 4.3% 3% 7% 4% 26% 5% 1% 1% 52%
The Mellman Group April 26–30, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 0% 4% 3% 37% 7% 0% — 49%
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 22–26, 2017 386 ± 5% 2% 4% 3% 23% 4% 0% 10%[n 1] 53%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2017 450 ± 4.6% 2% 4% 4% 23% 6% — — 57%
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 25–29, 2017 410 ± 4.8% — 2% 7% 17% 6% — 17% 50%
Lake Research Partners (D-Johnson) November 17–21, 2016 400 ± 4.9% — 8% — 22% 10% — — 59%
  1. ^ Lisa McCormick 2%, Monica Brinson 1%, Bob Hoatson 1%, Titus Pierce 0%, "Someone else" 6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
 Margin of
error 		Richard
Codey 		Steven
Fulop 		Stephen M.
Sweeney 		Other Undecided
FDU September 1–7, 2014 721 ± 3.7% 27% 3% 9% 6% 55%

Results

Results by county:
Murphy
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Wisniewski
  •   <40%
Democratic primary results[41][87]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Phil Murphy 243,643 48.37%
Democratic Jim Johnson 110,250 21.89%
Democratic John Wisniewski 108,532 21.55%
Democratic Raymond J. Lesniak 24,318 4.83%
Democratic William Brennan 11,263 2.24%
Democratic Mark Zinna 5,213 1.03%
Democratic Write-In 463 0.09%
Total votes 503,682 100.00%

Third parties and independents

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Karese Laguerre (Independent), dental hygienist (running for lieutenant governor on the Libertarian ticket)[95][92]
  • Jonathan Lancelot (Independent), computer technician[96]
  • Mike Price (Independent), businessman[97]

Declined

General election

Seven candidates were on the ballot in the November general election, the lowest number in a New Jersey gubernatorial contest since six ran in 1989.[99]

Candidates

Major

The following candidates have qualified to appear in the state-sponsored debates:[100]

Minor

The following third-party or independent candidates qualified for the ballot but did not raise enough money to qualify for state-sponsored debates:

Debates

Dates Location Murphy Guadagno Link
October 10, 2017 Newark, New Jersey Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 18, 2017 Wayne, New Jersey Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Fundraising

General election campaign finance activity through November 24, 2017
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kim Guadagno $5,748,740 $5,616,120 $132,621
Phil Murphy $14,715,173 $14,517,279 $197,895
Pete Rohrman[n 1] $7,765 $6,142 $1,623
Seth Kaper-Dale $104,321 $114,221 –$2,701
Matt Riccardi N/A N/A N/A
Gina Genovese $52,146 $50,558 $0
Vincent Ross <$5,100 <$5,100 <$5,100
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[106]
  1. ^ Campaign finance activity through October 24, 2017 only

Endorsements

Kim Guadagno (R)
Federal politician
State politicians
NJ state legislators
County Freeholders
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
County Republican Party Organizations
Newspapers (primary)
Newspapers (general)
Phil Murphy (D)
Federal politicians
State politicians
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
NJ state legislators
Mayors
Individuals
County Democratic Party organizations
Organizations
Newspapers (primary)
Newspapers (general)
Declined to endorse
Newspapers

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[221] Likely D (flip) October 6, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[222] Safe D (flip) October 13, 2017
Rothenberg Political Report[223] Likely D (flip) October 27, 2017

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kim
Guadagno (R) 		Phil
Murphy (D) 		Other Undecided
Change Research November 1–5, 2017 2,040 ± 2.8% 42% 58% — —
Quinnipiac University Archived November 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 30 – November 5, 2017 662 ± 5.2% 41% 53% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports October 31 – November 1, 2017 800 ± 4% 35% 50% 5% 10%
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2017 611 ± 4% 32% 46% 7%[n 1] 15%
Monmouth University October 27–31, 2017 529 ± 4.3% 39% 53% 2% 7%
Emerson College[permanent dead link‍] October 26–28, 2017 540 ± 4.2% 31% 47% 8% 14%
Suffolk University Archived November 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 25–28, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 33% 49% 6%[n 2] 12%
Quinnipiac University October 19–24, 2017 1,049 ± 4.2% 37% 57% 1% 5%
Stockton University October 18–24, 2017 525 ± 4.3% 37% 51% 4% 7%
FOX News October 14–16, 2017 679 LV ± 3.5% 33% 47% 8% 11%
804 RV ± 3.5% 31% 46% 9% 13%
Fairleigh Dickinson University October 11–15, 2017 658 ± 4.5% 32% 47% 5% 13%
Stockton University October 4–12, 2017 585 ± 4.1% 33% 51% 7% 7%
Monmouth University September 28 – October 1, 2017 452 ± 4.6% 37% 51% 2% 9%
Emerson College Archived 2019-04-13 at the Wayback Machine September 28 – October 1, 2017 300 ± 5.6% 35% 46% 7%[n 3] 12%
Suffolk University Archived January 22, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 19–23, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 25% 44% 6%[n 4] 24%
FOX News September 17–19, 2017 804 ± 3.5% 29% 42% 9%[n 5] 19%
Quinnipiac University September 7–12, 2017 875 ± 4.5% 33% 58% 2% 7%
Marist College July 13–18, 2017 817 ± 3.4% 33% 54% 1% 12%
Monmouth University July 6–9, 2017 758 ± 3.6% 26% 53% 6% 14%
National Research Inc. (R-Guadagno) June 25–27, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 28% 42% 9% 21%
Quinnipiac University June 7–12, 2017 1,103 ± 3.8% 26% 55% 3% 14%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017 1,209 ± 2.8% 25% 50% 1% 21%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2017 1,098 ± 3% 25% 47% 1% 25%
Quinnipiac University January 26–30, 2017 1,240 ± 2.8% 29% 45% 1% 22%
  1. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 4%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 3%
  2. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 2%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 1%, Matt Riccardi (C) 1%, Pete Rohrman (L) 1%, Vincent Ross (I) 1%
  3. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 2%, "Someone else" 5%
  4. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 2%, Pete Rohrman (L) 2%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 1%, Vincent Ross (I) 1%, Matt Riccardi (C) <1%
  5. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 4%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 2%, Pete Rohrman (L) 1%, Other 2%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kim
Guadagno (R) 		Phil
Murphy (D) 		Joe
Piscopo (I) 		Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017 1,209 ± 2.8% 21% 41% 14% 21%

Results

Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
•Blue municipalities won by Murphy
•Red municipalities won by Guadagno
New Jersey gubernatorial election, 2017[224]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Phil Murphy 1,203,110 56.03% Increase17.84
Republican Kim Guadagno 899,583 41.89% Decrease18.41
Independent Gina Genovese 12,294 0.57% N/A
Libertarian Peter J. Rohrman 10,531 0.49% Decrease 0.08
Green Seth Kaper-Dale 10,053 0.47% Increase 0.08
Constitution Matthew Riccardi 6,864 0.32% N/A
Independent Vincent Ross 4,980 0.29% N/A
Total votes 2,147,415 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

Results by county

County Murphy % Murphy votes Guadagno % Guadagno votes Other % Other votes
Atlantic 55.1% 36,952 42.5% 28,456 2.4% 1,607
Bergen 56.7% 129,265 41.6% 94,904 1.6% 3,760
Burlington 56.5% 70,453 41.8% 52,191 1.7% 2,070
Camden 67.2% 81,268 30.7% 37,113 2.1% 2,534
Cape May 44.8% 13,566 53.2% 16,118 2.0% 600
Cumberland 55.3% 15,686 41.8% 11,876 2.9% 828
Essex 79.6% 129,470 18.8% 30,633 1.6% 2,598
Gloucester 55.2% 42,349 42.3% 32,448 2.5% 1,898
Hudson 80.5% 88,271 17.5% 19,236 2.0% 2,170
Hunterdon 39.0% 17,697 58.9% 26,708 2.1% 945
Mercer 64.9% 59,992 33.1% 30,645 2.0% 1,846
Middlesex 57.2% 100,847 40.3% 70,940 2.5% 4,418
Monmouth 43.0% 79,432 55.0% 101,525 1.9% 3,572
Morris 45.1% 65,507 53.1% 77,203 1.8% 2,617
Ocean 35.8% 56,582 62.1% 98,135 2.1% 3,279
Passaic 60.1% 57,415 38.0% 36,230 1.9% 1,810
Salem 45.3% 7,814 50.1% 8,629 4.6% 794
Somerset 49.8% 45,935 47.9% 44,231 2.3% 2,107
Sussex 36.3% 15,431 59.7% 25,401 4.0% 1,717
Union 65.2% 79,113 32.6% 39,552 2.2% 2,594
Warren 35.4% 10,065 61.2% 17,409 3.4% 958

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Murphy won 9 of 12 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.

District Murphy Guandagno Representative
1st 64.5% 33.3% Donald Norcross
2nd 49.7% 47.6% Frank LoBiondo
3rd 46.7% 51.3% Tom MacArthur
4th 42.1% 55.9% Chris Smith
5th 48.2% 48.1% Josh Gottheimer
6th 54.9% 43.0% Frank Pallone
7th 45.5% 52.2% Leonard Lance
8th 81.8% 16.9% Albio Sires
9th 65.6% 31.6% Bill Pascrell
10th 85.1% 13.3% Donald Payne Jr.
11th 49.2% 48.5% Rodney Frelinghuysen
12th 62.9% 35.2% Bonnie Watson Coleman

[225]

See also

References

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  220. ^ "Editorial: When both choices seem dismal, maybe none of the above is the answer". The Trentonian. November 4, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.
  221. ^ "2017-18 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report.
  222. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » New Jersey Democrats: Growing Certainty at the Ballot Box". centerforpolitics.org.
  223. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". www.insideelections.com.
  224. ^ "Official List, Candidates for Governor For GENERAL ELECTION 11/07/2017 Election" (PDF). Secretary of State of New Jersey. November 29, 2017. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 1, 2017. Retrieved November 29, 2017.
  225. ^ Fox, Joey (November 23, 2021). "Ciattarelli won all five of New Jersey's competitive congressional districts". New Jersey Globe. Archived from the original on November 24, 2021. Retrieved November 25, 2021.
Official campaign websites
Former campaign websites
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