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FIFA Men's World Ranking

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Top 25 Rankings as of August 2008[1]
Rank Team Points Confederation
1  Spain 1557 UEFA
2  Germany 1343 UEFA
3  Italy 1320 UEFA
4  Netherlands 1299 UEFA
5  Croatia 1282 UEFA
6  Brazil 1242 CONMEBOL
7  Argentina 1219 CONMEBOL
8  Czech Republic 1146 UEFA
9  Portugal 1122 UEFA
10  Russia 1023 UEFA
11  Romania 1021 UEFA
12  France 1012 UEFA
13  Turkey 1010 UEFA
14  England 1003 UEFA
15  Cameroon 994 CAF
16  Scotland 988 UEFA
17  Bulgaria 930 UEFA
18  Greece 896 UEFA
19  Ghana 892 CAF
20  Israel 876 UEFA
21  Egypt 851 CAF
22  Paraguay 820 CONMEBOL
23  Colombia 816 CONMEBOL
24  Uruguay 813 CONMEBOL
25  Ivory Coast 802 CAF

The FIFA World Rankings is a ranking system for men's national teams in Association football, currently led by Spain. The teams of the member nations of FIFA (Fédération Internationale de Football Association), football's world governing body, are ranked based on their game results with the most successful teams being ranked highest. A point system is used, with points being awarded based on the results of FIFA-recognized international matches. Under the existing system, rankings are based on a team's performance over the last four years, with more recent results and more significant matches being more heavily weighted to help reflect the current competitive state of a team. The ranking system was most recently revamped after the 2006 World Cup, with the first edition of the new series of rankings issued on July 12, 2006. The most significant change is that the rankings are now based on results over the previous four years instead of the previous eight years. The change is perceived to respond to criticisms that the rankings do not effectively reflect the relative strengths of the national teams. (See section Criticism).

Alternative systems have been devised, such as the World Football Elo Ratings, based on the Elo rating system used in chess, ranking teams on an all time basis. The UFWC (Unofficial Football World Championships) ranks teams on the number of times they have defended the Unofficial Football World Championship, an award devised solely for that purpose.

scotland are number 1, england are last in the whole world because they cant even beat macedonia and scotland beat france home and away


VICTORY IS MINE!!!!!!

scotland are first england are last

Criticism

Since their introduction in 1993, the FIFA World Rankings have been the matter of much debate, particularly regarding the calculation procedure and the resulting disparity between generally perceived quality and world ranking of some teams. For example Norway was ranked second in October 1993 and July-August 1995,[2] and the United States reached fourth in 2006, to the surprise of even their own players.[3]

One of the main criticisms[4] prior to July 2006 was that the rankings considered the performances of teams over an eight year period, and that teams' ranking positions did not correlate to their recent performances.[2] This criticism has lessened somewhat with the introduction of a new formula, reflecting results over a four year period, introduced in July 2006.

The perceived flaws in the FIFA system have led to the creation of a number of alternative rankings from football statisticians[2] including the World Football Elo Ratings and the rec.sport.soccer Statistics Foundation rankings.

Current calculation method

After the 2006 FIFA World Cup, a revised calculation procedure for the FIFA rankings was introduced; it is a significantly simplified procedure. The new rankings were compiled in response to criticism from the media.[5] Meetings were attended by FIFA staff and external experts and a large amount of research was conducted by this group, resulting in the new ranking system.[5] The new system was confirmed in Leipzig on 7 December 2005 by a committee of FIFA executives. Notable changes include the dropping of the home or away advantage and number of goals from the calculation, and the simplification of many aspects of the system.

The system, like the previous ones, is extremely similar to that of a league, though with changes made to ensure that it is still representative of the teams' performance despite playing differing numbers of matches per annum, and the differing strength of opposition that teams have to face. The factors taken into account are as follows:

  • Match result
  • Match status
  • Opposition strength
  • Regional strength

Teams' actual scores are a result of the average points gained over each calendar year; matches from the previous four years are considered, with more weight being given to recent ones. Teams must have played at least 5 matches within the last twelve months to gain ranking points.

Win, draw or defeat

In previous years a complicated system of points allocation was used, depending on how strong the opponent was, and how large the loss margin, which allowed weaker losing teams to gain points when playing a much stronger opposition, if they managed to put up a decent match. With the new system, the points allocation is simpler: three points for a win, one point for a draw, and zero points for a loss, in line with most league systems around the world.

In the event of a match being decided by a penalty shootout, the winning team receives two points, and the losing team one point.

Result Points
Win (no penalty shootout) 3
Win (penalty shootout) 2
Draw 1
Loss (penalty shootout) 1
Loss (no penalty shootout) 0

Match status

Different matches have different importance to teams, and FIFA has tried to respect this by using a weighting system, where the most significant matches are in the World Cup finals,[6] and the lowest weighted are friendly matches. FIFA states that it wishes to recognise that friendlies are still important, since they make up half of the competitive matches counted in the rankings.[7] FIFA also stated, however, that it did not plan to make any adjustment for teams that qualify directly for major tournaments.[8][9]

The match status multipliers are as follows:

Match status Multiplier
Friendly match x 1.0
FIFA World Cup and Continental cup qualifiers x 2.5
Continental cup and Confederations Cup finals x 3.0
World Cup finals match x 4.0

Opponent strength

Obviously, a win against a very highly ranked opponent is a considerably greater achievement than a win against a low-rated opponent, so the strength of the opposing team is a factor.

The new system uses an opposition strength factor based on team rankings. The previous system was based on points difference.

The formula used is:

with the exceptions that the team ranked #1 is given a multiplier of 2.00, and teams ranked 150th and below are assigned the minimum multiplier of 0.50.

  • Example 1: the opposition team is currently ranked 8th in the world:

so the opposition strength multiplier is 1.92
  • Example 2: the opposition team is currently ranked 125th in the world:

so the opposition strength multiplier is 0.75
  • Example 3: the opposition team is currently ranked 188th in the world:

Below 150th, so the opposition strength multiplier is the minimum 0.50

The rankings published before July 2006 are purely historical and are not used for the new ranking calculation. Instead, FIFA went back as far as 1996 to apply the new formula and is using those new rankings for the current calculations.[10]

See the detailed break-down of point totals for teams from the top 20 in the October 2007 rankings.[11]

Regional strength

In addition to the opposition strength multiplier, FIFA considers the relative strength of entire confederations in the calculation. Each confederation is assigned a weighting between 0.85 and 1.0, based on the relative performance of the confederations in qualifying for the last three World Cups. Their values are as follows:[12]

Confederation After 2006 World Cup Up to and including 2006 World Cup
UEFA (Europe) 1.00 1.00
CONMEBOL (South America) 0.98 0.99
CONCACAF (North and Central America and Caribbean) 0.85 0.88
AFC (Asia) 0.85 0.85
CAF (Africa) 0.85 0.85
OFC (Oceania) 0.85 0.85

The multiplier used in the calculation is the average of the regional strength weighting of the two teams:

Assessment period

Matches played over the last four years (48 months) are included in the calculation, but there is a weighting to put more emphasis on recent results. Previously an eight year period was used. The date weighting is as follows:

Date of match Multiplier
Within the last 12 months x 1.0
12-24 months ago x 0.5
24-36 months ago x 0.3
36-48 months ago x 0.2

São Tomé and Príncipe were eliminated from the rankings list in December 2007 having exceeded four years without playing a match.

Ranking formula

The final ranking points figure for a single match is multiplied by 100 and rounded to the nearest whole number.

Results for all matches played in the year are averaged together (assuming at least five matches have been played). The average ranking points for the four previous years, weighted by their multiplier mentioned above, are added together to arrive at the final ranking points.

Examples

The following examples use these hypothetical teams and confederations, and assume the games are played within the last 12 months:

  • Amplistan is currently ranked 2nd in the world and is a member of confederation XYZ (weighting 1.0);
  • Bestrudia is currently ranked 188th in the world and is a member of confederation ABC (weighting 0.88);
  • Conesto is currently ranked 39th in the world and is a member of confederation QRS (weighting 0.98);
  • Delphiz is currently ranked 30th in the world and is a member of confederation HIJ (weighting 0.94).

A friendly match is played between Amplistan and Bestrudia. Amplistan wins 2-1.

Match Team Result points Match status Opposition strength Regional strength Ranking points
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (friendly)
Result: 2-1
Amplistan
Bestrudia
3
0
1.0
1.0
0.50
1.98
0.94
0.94
141
0

Bestrudia gets no ranking points because it lost the game, so all factors are multiplied by zero.

Amplistan's 141 ranking points are calculated like this:

  • 3 points for the win;
  • multiplied by 1.0 for match status (friendly match);
  • multiplied by 0.50 for opposition strength (Bestrudia is ranked 188th, so it has the minimum 0.50 weighting);
  • multiplied by 0.94 for regional strength (the average of the weightings for the two teams' confederations);
  • multiplied by 100.

More examples:

Match Team Result points Match status Opposition strength Regional strength Ranking points
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (friendly)
Result: 1-2
Amplistan
Bestrudia
0
3
1.0
1.0
0.50
1.98
0.94
0.94
0
558
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (friendly)
Result: 1-1
Amplistan
Bestrudia
1
1
1.0
1.0
0.50
1.98
0.94
0.94
47
186
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (World Cup finals)
Result: 2-1
Amplistan
Bestrudia
3
0
4.0
4.0
0.50
1.98
0.94
0.94
564
0
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (World Cup finals)
Result: 1-1 (Bestrudia wins on penalties)
Amplistan
Bestrudia
1
2
4.0
4.0
0.50
1.98
0.94
0.94
188
1488
Amplistan vs. Conesto (friendly)
Result: 1-2
Amplistan
Conesto
0
3
1.0
1.0
1.61
1.98
0.99
0.99
0
588
Conesto vs. Delphiz (Continental cup qualifiers)
Result: 4-0
Conesto
Delphiz
3
0
2.5
2.5
1.70
1.61
0.96
0.96
1224
0
Conesto vs. Delphiz (Continental cup qualifiers)
Result: 0-1
Conesto
Delphiz
0
3
2.5
2.5
1.70
1.61
0.96
0.96
0
1159
Conesto vs. Amplistan (World Cup finals)
Result: 0-0 (Amplistan wins on penalties)
Conesto
Amplistan
1
2
4.0
4.0
1.98
1.61
0.99
0.99
784
1275

Conesto gets more points than Bestrudia for defeating the same team (Amplistan) because of the higher weighting of its confederation.

1999-2006 calculation method

In 1999 FIFA introduced a revised system of ranking calculation, incorporating many changes in response to criticism of inappropriate rankings. For the ranking all matches, their scores and importance were all recorded, and were used in the calculation procedure. Only matches for the senior men's national team were included. Separate ranking systems were used for other representative national sides such as women's and junior teams, for example the FIFA Women's World Rankings. The women's rankings were, and still are, based on a procedure which is a simplified version of the Football Elo Ratings.[13]

1993-1999 calculation method

The ranking formula used from 1993-1999 was very simplistic and quickly became noticed for its lack of supporting factors. Teams received 3 points for a win and 1 point for a draw.

Awards

Each year FIFA hands out two awards to its member nations, based on their performance in the rankings. They are;

Team of the Year

Team of the Year is awarded to the team whose best seven matches of the year received the greatest number of points overall. The table below shows the 3 best teams of each year.[14]

Year First place Second place Third place
2007  Argentina  Brazil  Italy
2006  Brazil  Italy  Argentina
2005  Brazil  Czech Republic  Netherlands
2004  Brazil  France  Argentina
2003  Brazil  France  Spain
2002  Brazil  France  Spain
2001  Honduras  Colombia  Costa Rica
2000  Netherlands  Honduras  Italy
1999  Brazil  Czech Republic  France
1998  Brazil  France  Germany
1997  Brazil  Germany  Czech Republic
1996  Brazil  Germany  France
1995  Brazil  Germany  Italy
1994  Brazil  Spain  Sweden
1993  Germany  Italy  Brazil

Best Mover of the Year

Best Mover of the Year is awarded to the team who has made the best progress up the rankings over the course of the year. In the FIFA rankings, this is not simply the team that has risen the most places, but a calculation is performed in order to account for the fact that it becomes progressively harder to earn more points the higher up the rankings a team is.[5] The calculation used is the number of points the team has at the end of the year (z) multiplied by the number of points it earned during the year (y). The team with the highest index on this calculation receives the award. The table below shows the top 3 best movers from each year.[15]

Year First place Second place Third place
2007  Mozambique  Norway New Caledonia New Caledonia
2006  Italy  Germany  France
2005  Ghana  Ethiopia   Switzerland
2004  China  Uzbekistan  Ivory Coast
2003  Bahrain  Oman  Turkmenistan
2002  Senegal  Wales  Brazil
2001  Costa Rica  Australia  Honduras
2000  Nigeria  Honduras  Cameroon
1999  Slovenia  Cuba  Uzbekistan
1998  Croatia  France  Argentina
1997  FR Yugoslavia  Bosnia and Herzegovina  Iran
1996  South Africa  Paraguay  Canada
1995  Jamaica  Trinidad and Tobago  Czech Republic
1994  Croatia  Brazil  Uzbekistan
1993  Colombia  Portugal  Morocco

Ranking schedule

Rankings are published monthly, usually on a Wednesday. The deadline for the matches to be considered is the Thursday prior to the release date.

Rankings Schedule
2008
Month Release Date
September 3
October 8
November 12
December 22

See also

References

  1. ^ FIFA current ranking
  2. ^ a b c "The world rankings riddle". BBC Sport. 2000-12-21.
  3. ^ "FIFA adapting new world rankings". Associated Press. 2006-06-02.
  4. ^ "FIFA Rankings". Travour.com. 2006-06-01.
  5. ^ a b c Cite error: The named reference FIFAcoke was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  6. ^ Finals is used in this sense to mean the 'final tournament' (as opposed to the qualifying tournament)
  7. ^ "FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking: In focus" (PDF). FIFA.com. 2006-07-07. Retrieved 2007-06-21.
  8. ^ "2006 revision of the FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking: Frequently Asked Questions About the FIFA World Ranking" (PDF). FIFA. Retrieved 2007-06-21.
  9. ^ However, 2010 FIFA World Cup hosts South Africa will compete in CAF qualifying despite automatically qualifying for the World Cup; this is because CAF has chosen to combine the 2010 World Cup qualifying tournament with the qualifiers for the 2010 African Cup of Nations, an event for which South Africa must separately qualify.
  10. ^ FIFA miscalculated the rankings... or did they?
  11. ^ Calculation FIFA Coca-Cola world ranking October 2007
  12. ^ How are points calculated in the FIFA World Ranking?
  13. ^ "Women's World Ranking Procedure". FIFA.com. Retrieved 2008-03-28.
  14. ^ Team of the Year Award on the FIFA website
  15. ^ Best Mover of the Year on the FIFA website

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