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2010 Philippine presidential election

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Philippine presidential election, 2010

← 2004 May 10, 2010 2016 →
 
Nominee Benigno Aquino III Joseph Estrada Manny Villar
Party Liberal PMP Nacionalista
Running mate Mar Roxas Jejomar Binay Loren Legarda
Popular vote 15,208,678 9,487,837 5,573,835
Percentage 42.08% 26.25% 15.42%

Result according to the final congressional canvass.

President before election

Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo
Lakas–Kampi

Elected President

Noynoy Aquino
Liberal

Winning presidential and vice presidential candidates per province/city in the elections. Note that the two positions are voted separately and voters can split their votes.

The Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections of 2010 were held on Monday, May 10, 2010. The incumbent President, Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, is barred from seeking re-election pursuant to the constitution. Thus, the elected president will become the 15th President of the Philippines.

Incumbent Vice-President Noli de Castro was allowed to seek re-election though he could have possibly sought the presidency. As he is not standing for any election, his successor will be the 15th Vice President of the Philippines. Although most presidential candidates have running mates, the president and vice president are elected separately, and the winning candidates may be of different political parties.

This election was also the first time that the Commission of Elections (Comelec) implemented full automation of elections, pursuant to Republic Act 9369, “An act authorizing the Commission on Elections to use an Automated Election System in the May 11, 1998 National or Local Elections and in subsequent National And Local Electoral Exercises”.[1]

The results of the congressional canvassing showed that Senator Noynoy Aquino of the Liberal Party won by a plurality, although it is the largest margin in the history of presidential elections in the Fifth Republic, percentage-wise.

Meanwhile, in the election for the vice-presidency, Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay of the Partido Demokratiko Pilipino-Lakas ng Bayan (PDP-Laban) defeated Senator Mar Roxas of the Liberal Party in the narrowest margin in the history of vice presidential elections in the Fifth Republic. Roxas is considering of filing an electoral protest to the Presidential Electoral Tribunal (PET; the Supreme Court). Aquino and Binay were proclaimed in a joint session of Congress on June 9, and will take their oaths on June 30, 2010.

Timeline

2008

  • August 26 - Bayani Fernando announces bid for presidency.[2]
  • September 4 - Manny Villar announces bid for presidency.[3]
  • November 12 - Jojo Binay announces bid for presidency[4]
  • November 26 - Mar Roxas is elected as party president of the Liberal Party and is nominated as the standard-bearer.[5]

2009

  • March 12 - Gibo Teodoro announces bid for presidency[6]
  • April 25 - Dick Gordon announces bid for presidency[7]
  • May 12 - Ping Lacson announces bid for presidency[8]
  • June 6 - Lacson withdraws[9]
  • June 17 - Environmentalist Nicanor Perlas announces bid for presidency.[10]
  • July 14 - Loren Legarda announces bid for presidency[11]
  • July 22 - SWS 2Q polls: Villar (33%) lead narrows [12]
  • July 31 - Jamby Madrigal announces bid for presidency[13]
  • August 21 - Eddie Villanueva announces bid for presidency[14]
  • August 30 - Ang Kapatiran names JC delos Reyes as its standard-bearer[15]
  • September 1 - Mar Roxas withdraws, supports Noynoy Aquino;[16] Binay withdraws, supports Joseph Estrada[17]
  • September 4 - Ed Panlilio withdraws, supports Aquino[18]
  • September 9 - Aquino announces bid for presidency[19]
  • September 21 - LP completes tandem: Roxas accepts VP offer of Aquino.[20]
  • September 26 - Estrada announces bid for presidency[21]
  • October 14 - SWS 3Q polls: Aquino (60%) overtakes Villar, catapults to first place [22]
  • October 23 - Ronnie Puno withdraws VP bid [23]
  • October 24 - Legarda slides to VP[24]
  • October 28 - Escudero leaves NPC [25]
  • November 13 - Lakas-Kampi-CMD completes tandem: Edu Manzano to run for VP with Teodoro.[26]
  • November 16 - NP completes tandem: Villar picks Legarda for VP.[27]
  • November 19 - Lakas-Kampi-CMD National Convention nominates Teodoro and Manzano[28]
  • November 22 - GMA Presidential Forum (Part 1)
  • November 23 - delos Reyes and Chipeco (Ang Kapatiran) file certificates of candidacy.[29]
  • November 24 - Chiz Escudero withdraws [30]
  • November 26 - Supreme Court allows "early campaigning".[31]
  • November 28 - Aquino and Roxas (LP) file certificates of candidacy.[32]
  • November 29 - Nicanor Perlas files certificate of candidacy.[33]; GMA Presidential Forum (Part 2): Aquino absent.
  • November 30 - Villar and Legarda (NP);[34] Estrada and Binay(PMP);[35] Villanueva and Yasay (Bangon Pilipinas)[36] file certificates of candidacy. Hermogenes Ebdane withdraws presidential bid [37]
  • December 1 - Teodoro and Manzano (Lakas-Kampi-CMD);[38] Madrigal (Ind.);[39] Gordon and Fernando (Bagumbayan);[40] Sonza [41] file certificates of candidacy.
  • December 2 - ANC Presidential Forum: Analysts and viewers say Aquino gave "strong performance" and sounded "credible" (42%). Teodoro close second (37%); flip-flops on RH Bill position. Villar absent. [42]
  • December 11 - Noli De Castro endorses Roxas for vice president[43]
  • December 15 - Comelec releases list of 16 approved candidates for president and vice-president. [44]
  • December 21 - Perlas protests disqualification at COMELEC.[45]
  • December 28 - COMELEC hears appeal and petition of disqualified candidates.[46]
  • December 21-22 - Dec '09 polls: Aquino solidifies lead in Pulse Asia (45%)[47] and BW-SWS (46%)[48] presidential surveys. Legarda (37%) and Roxas (39%) are statistically tied in first place for the Pulse Asia vice-presidency survey.[47]

2010

  • January 10 - Dec '09 SWS-Zamora commissioned survey: Villar (33%) cuts Aquino (44%) lead.[49]
  • January 14 - Perlas reinstated by COMELEC. Relatively unknown Vetellano Acosta (KBL) is also reinstated as a candidate.[50][51]
  • January 14 - GMA Vice-Presidential Forum[52]
  • January 20 - Estrada is allowed to run after the COMELEC threw out all three disqualification cases against him.[53]
  • January 29 - DLSU and ANC 2010 Presidential Youth Forum Youth 2010: Audience members say Aquino, Gordon, Teodoro "made a favorable impression". Madrigal attends for the first time. Estrada absent.[54]
  • February 8 - The Inquirer 1

Template:collapse is not available for use in articles (see MOS:COLLAPSE). Edition Presidential Debate with all candidates attending except Acosta and Estrada, with the latter citing "bias" against him.[1]

  • February 9 - Official election campaign starts with campaign kickoff rallies at Antipolo (Lakas-Kampi-CMD), Calamba (NP), Imus (B-VNP), Olongapo (AK), Quiapo (PMP), Rizal Park Manila (BPP), and Tarlac (LP).[2]
  • March 4 - COMELEC disqualifies Acosta.[3] His name, however, would remain in the ballot although votes that would be cast for him will be considered invalid.[4]
  • March 21 - ABS-CBN and ANC Vice-Presidential Debate: Analysts and viewers say that Roxas is seen as "most credible candidate" (54%) with Binay, Fernando tie in second (13%) and Yasay (11%); Legarda fared poorly (4%). Absent was Chipeco and Manzano whose absence drew comments on social-networking sites. [5] Analysts point out also not "to belittle" the underdogs and are praised are Binay, Yasay and Sonza. [6]
  • March 28 - A number of Lakas-Kampi-CMD stalwarts leave party, support Villar. LP says these defections are "completing the Villarroyo [Villar-Arroyo] puzzle". Malacañang downplays defections and denies alliance with Villar.[7]
  • March 30 - Teodoro resigns as Lakas-Kampi-CMD chair to focus on campaign.[8] Party president Miguel Dominguez and secretary-general Francis Manglapus follows in less than 24 hours. Malacañang denies speculations that the resignations have something to do with rumors that Pres. Arroyo has decided to support another presidential candidate.[9]
  • April 6 - Mar. '10 Pulse Asia polls: Villar (25%) falls 4 points as Aquino (37%) widens lead.[10] This came at the heels of talks that Villar is the "secret candidate" of Pres. Arroyo, a charge the he denies.[11]
  • April 10 – May 10 – Overseas absentee voting begins and will continue until May 10 (Election day), two polling precincts encountered technical problems in Hong Kong.[12]
  • April 28 – 30 – Local absentee voting for government officials, teachers performing election duties outside of their precincts, members of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) and operatives of the Philippine National Police (PNP) starts.[13]
  • April 26 – 29 SWS, Manila Standard Today and Pulse Asia polls: Aquino leads in the presidential race as Estrada leads over Villar. Roxas leads in VP race with Binay overtaking Legarda.[14][15][16]
  • April 29 – COMELEC rejects proposals of a parallel manual count aside from the official tabulation.[17]
  • May 2 – Kingdom of Jesus Christ leader Pastor Apollo Quiboloy finally endorses Gilbert Teodoro for President.[18] and Mar Roxas for vice president
  • May 3 - Manila Standard Today Presidential Survey: Aquino leads with Estrada overtaking Villar [19]
  • May 5 - Iglesia ni Cristo endorses the tandem of Noynoy Aquino and Mar Roxas. Voting as a block, the INC has an estimated command votes of 5-8 million. [20]
  • May 8 – The Supreme Court junks petitions to postpone the elections.[21]
  • May 10 — Election Day
  • May 10 – COMELEC extends the voting hours until 7 pm.[22]
  • May 11 – After initial election results, Delos Reyes, Gordon, Teodoro, Villar and Villanueva conceded defeat to Aquino in the presidential race while Estrada says he won't concede and will wait for the congressional canvass. Chipeco, Legarda, Manzano and Yasay conceded defeat in the VP race.[23][24][25][26]
  • May 25 – Congress approves the rules for the canvassing of the Certificates of Canvass for the Presidential and Vice-Presidential positions.[27]
  • May 26 – The National Board of Canvassers through the Joint Canvassing Committee composed of evenly of both the Senate and the House of Representatives convene.[28]
  • May 28 – Canvassing finally starts with the first certificate of canvass (COC) from Laos to be opened.[29]
  • June 8 – Canvassing ends with Aquino (15,208,678) and Binay (14,645,574) winning the Presidential and Vice Presidential elections.[30]
  • June 9 – Congress proclaims Aquino as President-elect and Binay as Vice President-elect of the Republic of the Philippines. Estrada concedes and promises to support Aquino.[31]


Opinion polls

The Philippines has two primary opinion polling companies: Social Weather Stations (SWS) and Pulse Asia. The following are the last released surveys prior to the election by SWS and Pulse Asia:

President

#FE0000 #f0e68c #003C74 #ffa500 #EB0304 #DCDCDC #DCDCDC #B0E0E6 #3F9727 #98fb98
Poll source Date(s) conducted Sample
size
Margin of
error
Acosta Aquino De los Reyes Estrada Gordon Madrigal Perlas Teodoro Villanueva Villar Other/
Undecided
SWS[32] May 2–3 2,400 ±2% 0 42 0.3 20 2 0.2 0.1 9 3 19 6
Pulse Asia[16] Apr. 23–25 1,800 ±2% 39 0.2 20 2 0.1 0.3 7 3 20 9

Vice President

#ffd700 #003C74 #EB0304 #4AA02C #B0E0E6 #f0e68c #FE0000 #3F9727
Poll source Date(s) conducted Sample
size
Margin of
error
Binay Chipeco Fernando Legarda Manzano Roxas Sonza Yasay Other Undecided
SWS[33] May 2–3 2,400 ±2% 37.2 0.2 4 12 3 37 0.3 1 6
Pulse Asia[16] Apr. 23–25 1,800 ±2% 28 0.05 3 20 3 37 0.03 1 9

Results

The candidate in each position with the highest amount of votes is declared the winner; there is no runoff. Congress shall canvass the votes in joint public session.

When there are two or more candidates who have an equal and highest amount of votes, Congress, voting separately via majority vote, will choose among the candidates who have an equal and highest amount of votes to be the president.

The Supreme Court shall "be the sole judge of all contests relating to the election, returns, and qualifications of the President or Vice President".

There are several parallel tallies, with the Congressional canvass the official tally. The COMELEC used the election returns from the polling precincts; the Congress as the national board of canvassers will base their official tally from the certificates of canvass from the provinces and cities, which were derived from the election returns. The accredited citizen's arm, the Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting (PPCRV) also used the election returns from the polling precincts. In theory, all tallies must be identitcal.

Official Congressional canvass

Presidential election results per province and city.
Vice presidential Election results per province and city. Loren Legarda and Bayani Fernando, despite having more votes than Edu Manzano, failed to win in any province or city where COCs had been canvassed by Congress.

Congress in joint session as the National Board of Canvassers convened in the Batasang Pambansa in Quezon City, the home of the House of Representatives. Only a committee canvassed the votes, with the same number of members from both the Senate and the House of Representatives.

On June 8, Congress finished canvassing all of the votes, with the final canvass showing that Aquino and Binay had won. Aquino and Binay were proclaimed as president-elect and vice president-elect in a joint session on June 9. The president-elect and vice president-elect will be inaugurated on June 30.[30]

CandidatePartyVotes%
Benigno Aquino IIILiberal Party15,208,67842.08
Joseph EstradaPwersa ng Masang Pilipino9,487,83726.25
Manny VillarNacionalista Party5,573,83515.42
Gilbert TeodoroLakas Kampi CMD4,095,83911.33
Eddie VillanuevaBangon Pilipinas1,125,8783.12
Dick GordonBagumbayan–VNP501,7271.39
Nicanor PerlasIndependent54,5750.15
Jamby MadrigalIndependent46,4890.13
John Carlos de los ReyesAng Kapatiran44,2440.12
Total36,139,102100.00
Valid votes36,139,10294.73
Invalid/blank votes[a]2,010,2695.27
Total votes38,149,371100.00
Registered voters/turnout51,317,07374.34
Source: COMELEC
  1. ^ Includes 181,985 votes for Vetellano Acosta (Kilusang Bagong Lipunan) who was disqualified after the ballots were printed.
CandidatePartyVotes%
Jejomar Binay[a]PDP–Laban14,645,57441.65
Mar RoxasLiberal Party13,918,49039.58
Loren Legarda[b]Nationalist People's Coalition4,294,66412.21
Bayani FernandoBagumbayan–VNP1,017,6312.89
Edu ManzanoLakas Kampi CMD807,7282.30
Perfecto Yasay Jr.Bangon Pilipinas364,6521.04
Jay Sonza[c]Kilusang Bagong Lipunan64,2300.18
Dominador Chipeco Jr.Ang Kapatiran52,5620.15
Total35,165,531100.00
Valid votes35,165,53192.18
Invalid/blank votes2,983,8407.82
Total votes38,149,371
Registered voters/turnout51,317,07374.34
Source: COMELEC
  1. ^ Running mate of Joseph Estrada (Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino)
  2. ^ Running mate of Manny Villar (Nacionalista Party)
  3. ^ Running mate of Vetellano Acosta (Kilusang Bagong Lipunan) who was disqualified

Close Provinces or cities

Results of provincial canvasses for the presidential election

Aquino

Estrada

Villar

Teodoro
Results of provincial canvasses for the vice presidential election

Binay

Roxas

Legarda

Margin of victory is less than 5% for the presidential election:

  1. Lanao del Norte: 0.31% (Liberal win)
  2. Nueva Vizcaya: 1.20% (PMP win)
  3. San Juan City: 1.53%(Liberal win)
  4. Abra: 1.99% (PMP win)
  5. Sulu: 3.33% (Liberal win)
  6. Palawan: 3.35% (PMP win)
  7. Cagayan: 3.78% (PMP win)
  8. Agusan del Sur: 4.85% (Liberal win)

Margin of victory is less than 5% for the vice presidential election:

  1. Ilocos Sur: 0.48% (Liberal win)
  2. Absentee voters: 0.64% (Liberal win)
  3. Marinduque: 2.07% (Liberal win)
  4. Palawan: 2:30% (PDP-Laban)
  5. South Cotabato: 3.36% (PDP-Laban win)
  6. Zamboanga del Norte: 3.82% (Liberal win)
  7. Albay: 4.07% (Liberal win)
  8. Agusan del Norte: 4.44% (Liberal win)
  9. Quezon: 4.54% (PDP-Laban win)
  10. Zamboanga City: 4.62% (PDP-Laban win)
  11. Camarines Norte: 4.72% (PDP-Laban win)

Unofficial tallies

COMELEC

The COMELEC originally released results for president and vice president based from election returns but stopped in order not to preempt Congress. The COMELEC held their tally at the Philippine International Convention Center at Pasay.

2010 Philippine presidential election, COMELEC tally
Candidate Party Results
Votes %
Noynoy Aquino Liberal 12,233,002 42.16%
Joseph Estrada PMP 7,749,597 26.71%
Manny Villar Nacionalista 4,329,215 14.92%
Gilbert Teodoro Lakas Kampi CMD 3,243,688 11.18%
Eddie Villanueva Bangon Pilipinas 916,543 3.16%
Richard Gordon Bagumbayan-VNP 431,954 1.49%
Nicanor Perlas Independent 42,205 0.15%
Jamby Madrigal Independent 37,119 0.13%
John Carlos de los Reyes Ang Kapatiran 34,833 0.12%
Total valid votes cast 29,018,156 56.57%
Registered voters 51,292,465 100.00%
Clustered precincts reporting 59,965 78.41%
2010 Philippine vice presidential election, COMELEC tally
Candidate Party Results
Votes %
Jejomar Binay PDP-Laban 12,025,429 42.45%
Mar Roxas Liberal 11,213,563 39.59%
Loren Legarda NPC 3,808,944 11.51%
Bayani Fernando Bagumbayan-VNP 847,100 2.99%
Edu Manzano Lakas Kampi CMD 593,653 2.10%
Perfecto Yasay Bangon Pilipinas 295,558 1.04%
Jay Sonza KBL 50,722 0.18%
Dominador Chipeco, Jr. Ang Kapatiran 40,335 0.14%
Total valid votes cast 28,326,323 55.23%
Registered voters 51,292,465 55.84%
Clustered precincts reporting 59,965 78.41%

PPCRV

The PPCRV held their tally at the Pope Pius Center in Manila.

2010 Philippine presidential election, PPCRV-KBP count
Candidate Party Results
Votes %
Noynoy Aquino Liberal 14,012,761 42.10%
Joseph Estrada PMP 8,860,076 26.62%
Manny Villar Nacionalista 5,073,824 15.24%
Gilbert Teodoro Lakas Kampi CMD 3,709,681 11.14%
Eddie Villanueva Bangon Pilipinas 1,029,406 3.09%
Richard Gordon Bagumbayan-VNP 470,131 1.41%
Nicanor Perlas Independent 49,362 0.15%
Jamby Madrigal Independent 42,657 0.13%
John Carlos de los Reyes Ang Kapatiran 40,430 0.12%
Total valid votes cast 33,288,328 64.90%
Registered voters 51,292,465 100.00%
Clustered precincts reporting 69,001 90.23%
2010 Philippine vice presidential election, PPCRV-KBP count
Candidate Party Results
Votes %
Jejomar Binay PDP-Laban 13,653,873 42.11%
Mar Roxas Liberal 12,823,404 39.55%
Loren Legarda NPC 3,856,989 11.89%
Bayani Fernando Bagumbayan-VNP 944,584 2.91%
Edu Manzano Lakas Kampi CMD 712,996 2.20%
Perfecto Yasay Bangon Pilipinas 327,501 1.01%
Jay Sonza KBL 58,202 0.18%
Dominador Chipeco, Jr. Ang Kapatiran 47,799 0.15%
Total valid votes cast 32,455,348 63.28%
Registered voters 51,292,465 100.00%
Clustered precincts reporting 69,001 90.23%

References

  1. ^ "8 presidential bets show up for Inquirer debate". Philippine Daily Inquirer.
  2. ^ "Comelec sets rules as campaign period starts". abs-cbnNEWS.com.
  3. ^ "Comelec disqualifies KBL presidential bet". abs-cbnNEWS.com.
  4. ^ "Acosta out but name stays on ballot but votes will be [[:Template:Stray votes]]". Philippine Daily Inquirer. {{cite web}}: URL–wikilink conflict (help)
  5. ^ "VP bets renew rivalries in TV debate". abs-cbnNEWS.com.
  6. ^ "Analysts on VP debate: Don't belittle survey underdogs". abs-cbnNEWS.com.
  7. ^ "Villar-Arroyo alliance seen in Chavit's defection from Lakas". GMANews.TV.
  8. ^ "Gibo quits as Lakas-Kampi chair to focus on campaign". GMANews.TV.
  9. ^ "Lakas-Kampi-CMD in limbo as party president quits post". GMANews.TV.
  10. ^ "Pulse Asia's Ulat ng Bayan March 2010 Survey for National Elective Positions".
  11. ^ "Stop 'Villarroyo' talk, Arroyo orders party". Inquirer.net.
  12. ^ "Glitch mars absentee vote in 2 HK precincts". abs-cbnNEWS.com.
  13. ^ "Local absentee voting starts today". Sun Star.
  14. ^ "Noynoy leads by double digits over Villar in new SWS survey".
  15. ^ "Villar continues to slip as Estrada nibbles at margin".
  16. ^ a b c "Erap catches up with Villar in Pulse Asia's latest survey". Cite error: The named reference "Pulse Asia April 29, 2010" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  17. ^ "Local absentee voting starts today". Philippine Daily Inquirer.
  18. ^ "Quiboloy endorses Gibo, says admin bet chosen by 'Father'". GMA News.
  19. ^ "Estrada overtakes Villar; negative attacks take toll". Manila Standard Today.
  20. ^ "Iglesia Ni Cristo endorses Noynoy Aquino, Mar Roxas". GMA News.
  21. ^ Pazzibugan, Dona (2010-05-08). "SC: It's all systems go; Court junks petitions to postpone polls". Philippine Daily Inquirer. Retrieved 2010-05-08.
  22. ^ "Comelec extends voting hours until 7 p.m." GMA News.
  23. ^ Fernandez, Lira D. (2010-05-11). "4 presidential bets concede defeat". Philippine Daily Inquirer. Retrieved 2010-05-11.
  24. ^ "Bro. Eddie, Edu Manzano concede defeat". ABS-CBN. 2010-05-11. Retrieved 2010-05-11.
  25. ^ "Erap won't concede, waits for official canvass". ABS-CBN. 2010-05-11. Retrieved 2010-05-11.
  26. ^ "Ang Kapatiran's Chipeco concedes to Binay". GMA. 2010-05-11. Retrieved 2010-05-11.
  27. ^ Dalangin-Fernandez, Lira (2010-05-25). "Congress okays canvassing rules". INQUIRER.net. Retrieved 2010-05-27.
  28. ^ "Computer error, '2 sets' of CoCs bared". Philippine Daily Inquirer. 2010-05-26. Retrieved 2010-05-27. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |coauthors= ignored (|author= suggested) (help)
  29. ^ Lopez, JP. "Canvass finally gets going". Malaya-Business Insight. Retrieved 2010-05-28.
  30. ^ a b Dalangin-Fernandez, Lira. "Now it's final: Aquino, Binay win in May 10 polls". INQUIRER.net. Retrieved 2010-06-08.
  31. ^ SISANTE, JAM. "Congress proclaims Aquino as president, Binay as VP". GMAnews.tv. Retrieved 2010-06-09.
  32. ^ "Aquino pads poll lead".
  33. ^ "Businessworld: Down to the wire VP race as Binay, Roxas share lead". Business World. 2010-05-07. {{cite news}}: Text "accessdate-2010-05-07" ignored (help)
Official Congressional Results
Partial and Unofficial Results
NGOs
Media websites