CALCULO DE LA PRECIPITACION AREAL PARA CADA MES UTILIZANDO EL METODO DE THIESSEN

EST JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN PROM AREA
Carania 4.04 6.22 12.05 27.69 28.29 68.86 115.25 112.08 118.79 41.34 14.98 4.82 554 370.87
Vilca 0.22 6.48 13.50 41.93 55.60 105.98 159.88 162.95 147.05 51.88 9.86 2.22 758 564.31
Tanta 7.72 11.69 22.31 40.87 54.66 69.82 104.98 110.21 105.57 67.14 21.16 9.68 625 398.08
Yauricocha 17.76 21.35 33.09 73.72 85.97 126.12 157.12 164.89 172.38 102.53 24.79 10.59 990 713.58
Colonia 0.60 0.66 3.08 21.39 19.37 77.77 81.98 109.41 142.14 28.48 4.86 0.30 490 1316.39
Huangascar 0.32 0.31 0.56 2.73 5.64 21.83 61.89 74.75 85.92 7.06 0.67 0.26 262 1628.88
Yauyos 0.41 1.70 5.00 16.27 22.02 47.49 79.69 108.58 99.44 25.24 11.71 0.96 419 572.51
Cañete 1.80 2.47 2.88 1.13 1.22 0.55 0.40 0.92 0.36 0.31 2.11 4.88 19 345.21
3.3 4.9 9.0 24.6 29.2 62.3 91.6 105.5 114.4 35.2 8.8 3.0 492 5909.82
 PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO DE LA CUENCA
METODO DE THIESSEN

A P A*P
(Km2) (mm) (Km2*mm)
TANTA 398.08 625 248718.675694
VILCA 564.31 758 427747.376675
CARANIA 370.87 554 205462.598292
YAURICOCHA 713.58 990 706444.35705
YAUYOS 572.51 419 239883.164313
COLONIA 1316.39 490 645028.836884
HUANGASCAR 1628.88 262 426765.649212
CAÑETE 345.21 19 6565.82243935
5909.82 2906616.48056

Pprom = 492 mm
 PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO DE LA CUENCA
METODO DE ISOYETAS

A P A*P CON TODA LA CUENCA

(Km2) (mm) (Km2*mm)
mas-900 498.59 950 473658.53 498.587931 16.9956355
900-800 331.95 850 282154.44 331.9464 11.3152358
800-700 528.38 750 396283.39 528.377853 18.0111006
700-600 807.30 650 524746.16 807.30179 27.5189311
600-500 630.35 550 346690.04 630.345526 21.4869276
500-400 647.77 450 291494.41 647.76536 22.0807269
400-300 844.91 350 295717.52 844.907209 28.8008073
300-200 961.15 250 240286.28 961.145115 32.7630714
200-100 513.39 150 77007.92 513.386154 17.5000705
100-menos 146.09 50 7304.73 353.213319 12.0401727
5909.86 2935343.44 208.512679
29.3362335
6116.97666
Pprom = 496.69 mm
TODA LA CUENCA

16995635.4600
11315235.8115
18011100.5951
27518931.1013
21486927.5993
22080726.8670
28800807.2953
32763071.4129
17500070.4712
12040172.7407
 AREA= 5909.82 Km2
C= 0.4 p.e. Relacion entre columnas (10) / (2)
C1= -1.36387191
C2= 2.36387191
R= 25 Retencion de cuenca en mm/año

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL CONTRIBUCION DE

MES EFECTIVA GASTO
TOTAL P PE-I PE-II PE bi
Días Acum mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes
1 2 3 4 5 6
JUL 31 122 3.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.372
AGO 31 153 4.9 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.289
SET 30 183 9.0 0.0 1.1 2.5 0.226
OCT 31 214 24.6 0.1 2.5 5.9 0.176
NOV 30 29.2 0.2 3.0 6.9 0.000
DIC 31 62.3 2.1 8.6 17.5 0.000
ENE 31 91.6 6.6 19.7 37.7 0.000
FEB 28 105.5 10.3 27.6 51.3 0.000
MAR 31 114.4 13.4 33.6 61.2 0.000
ABR 30 30 35.2 0.4 3.7 8.2 0.784
MAY 31 61 8.8 0.0 1.0 2.4 0.610
JUN 30 91 3.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.478
AÑO 30.4166667 491.9 33.0 102.3 196.7 2.934

Columna (1):
Temporada seca y dias acumulados 0.84017899
p.e. Es este caso inicia en ABRIL y termina en OCTUBRE 1.23424931
2.16893759
Columna (6): 5.11713892
bi=EXP(-a*t) 5.96265857
a=-0.00252*Ln(AR)+0.03 ( Para nuestro caso) 15.1526344
32.8991157
Columna (7): 45.1386159
Gi=(bi/åbi) * R 54.0908849
7.11724197
Columna (8): 2.12336549
Segun la zona donde se ubica la cuenca VER CUADRO 3.4-2 (Pag.1 0.75377699
 25

CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION CAUDALES

GASTO ABASTECIMIENTO ESCORRENTIA MENSUALES
Gi ai Ai GENERADOS GENERADOS AFORADOS 140
mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes m3/seg m3/seg 120
7 8 9 10 11 12 100
3.2 0.00 0.00 4.1 9.1 15.44 80
2.5 0.00 0.00 3.9 8.5 13.43
60
1.9 0.00 0.00 4.4 10.1 12.61
1.5 0.10 -2.50 4.9 10.8 14.2 40
0.0 0.00 0.00 6.9 15.6 21.83 20
0.0 0.35 -8.75 8.8 19.4 35.29 0
0.0 0.30 -7.50 30.2 66.6 72.15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
0.0 0.20 -5.00 46.3 113.0 108.93
0.0 0.05 -1.25 60.0 132.3 120.41
6.7 0.00 0.00 14.8 33.8 64.85
5.2 0.00 0.00 7.6 16.8 30.06
4.1 0.00 0.00 4.9 11.2 19.39
25.0 1.00 -25.0 196.7 37.3 44.0
 Column
M

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
 MODELO DETERMINISTICO LUTZ SCHOLZ
CALIBRACION DEL MODELO
AREA= 5909.82 Km2
C= 0.4786 p.e. Relacion entre columnas (12) / (2)
C1= -0.89327
C2= 1.893269
R= 40 Retencion de cuenca en mm/año

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION CAUDALES

MES EFECTIVA GASTO ABASTECIMIENTO ESCORRENTIA MENSUALES ESCORRENTIA
TOTAL P PE-II PE-III PE bi Gi ai Ai GENERADOS GENERADOS AFORADOS DE AFOROS
Días Acum mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes m3/seg m3/seg mm/mes COMPARACION ENTRE CAUDALES
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 GENERADOS E AFORADOS

CAUDAL (m3/s)
JUL 31 122 3.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.372 5.1 0.00 0.00 6.3 13.9 15.44 6.9
140
AGO 31 153 4.9 0.6 1.2 1.8 0.289 3.9 0.00 0.00 5.7 12.7 13.43 6.0
GENERADOS
SET 30 183 9.0 1.1 2.2 3.2 0.226 3.1 0.00 0.00 6.3 14.3 12.61 5.6 120
AFORADOS
OCT 31 214 24.6 2.5 5.1 7.4 0.176 2.4 0.05 2.00 7.8 17.3 14.2 6.3
100
NOV 30 29.2 3.0 6.0 8.6 0.000 0.0 0.00 0.00 8.6 19.6 21.83 9.7
DIC 31 62.3 8.6 15.2 21.0 0.000 0.0 0.10 4.00 17.0 37.5 35.29 15.7 80
ENE 31 91.6 19.7 32.9 44.6 0.000 0.0 0.20 8.00 36.6 80.9 72.15 32.2 60
FEB 28 105.5 27.6 45.1 60.8 0.000 0.0 0.30 12.00 48.8 119.2 108.93 48.6
MAR 31 114.4 33.6 54.1 72.4 0.000 0.0 0.35 14.00 58.4 128.8 120.41 53.7 40

ABR 30 30 35.2 3.7 7.1 10.2 0.784 10.7 0.00 0.00 20.9 47.6 64.85 28.9 20
MAY 31 61 8.8 1.0 2.1 3.1 0.610 8.3 0.00 0.00 11.4 25.2 30.06 13.4
JUN 30 91 3.0 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.478 6.5 0.00 0.00 7.6 17.4 19.39 8.6 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
AÑO 491.9 102.3 172.6 235.4 2.934 40.0 1.00 40.0 235.4 44.5 44.0 235.7
MESES

Columna (1):
Temporada seca y dias acumulados
p.e. Es este caso inicia en ABRIL y termina en OCTUBRE

Columna (6):
bi=EXP(-a*t)
a=-0.00252*Ln(AR)+0.03 ( Para nuestro caso)

Columna (7):
Gi=(bi/åbi) * R

Columna (8):
Segun la zona donde se ubica la cuenca VER CUADRO 3.4-2 (Pag.15)

PE P P^2 P^3 P^4 P^5

1.2295 3.3 10.92636 36.11711 119.385 394.6284
1.8042 4.9 24.16353 118.7792 583.876 2870.125
3.1683 9.0 81.65375 737.8434 6667.33 60247.67
7.4193 24.6 602.9323 14804.81 363527 8926300
8.6047 29.2 853.8139 24948.52 728998 21301396
20.977 62.3 3886.883 242327.2 1.5E+07 9.42E+08
44.646 91.6 8391.282 768674.4 7E+07 6.45E+09
60.782 105.5 11124.35 1173307 1.2E+08 1.31E+10
72.372 114.4 13091.4 1497888 1.7E+08 1.96E+10
10.196 35.2 1239.269 43626.32 1535789 54064760
3.1018 8.8 77.88296 687.3274 6065.76 53531.09
1.1035 3.0 8.773442 25.98693 76.9733 227.9948

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficie 1
Coefici 1
R^2 aj 1
Error tí 1.68E-11
Observa 12

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados deSuma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crítico de F
Regresi 5 7006.203 1401.241 5E+24 9.34E-74
Residuo 6 1.7E-21 2.83E-22
Total 11 7006.203

CoeficientesError típicoEstadísticoProbabilidad
t Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
Intercep -0.03425 2.28E-11 -1.5E+09 5.8E-54 -0.034253 -0.03425 -0.034253 -0.0343
Variable0.400479 5.51E-12 7.27E+10 4.6E-64 0.400479 0.40048 0.400479 0.40048
Variable -0.00572 3.2E-13 -1.8E+10 2.1E-60 -0.005717 -0.00572 -0.005717 -0.0057
Variable 6.59E-05 7.15E-15 9.22E+09 1.1E-58 6.59E-05 6.59E-05 6.59E-05 6.6E-05
Variable 3.14E-07 6.77E-17 4.64E+09 6.7E-57 3.14E-07 3.14E-07 3.14E-07 3.1E-07
Variable -2.6E-09 2.29E-19 -1.1E+10 3.1E-59 -2.61E-09 -2.6E-09 -2.61E-09 -3E-09
Escorrentia en mm/mes
GENERACION DE LA ESCORRENTIA

80.0
PE
70.0 Gi
Ai
ESCORRENTIA GENERADOS
60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN
Meses
Precipitación, en mm/mes
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO MENSUAL USANDO THIESSEN

200.00
Carania
180.00
Vilca
Tanta
160.00
Yauricocha
140.00
Colonia
Huangascar
120.00 Yauyos
Cañete
100.00 Row 13

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN
 AREAS Y PRECIPITACION POR ESTACION UTILIZANDO EL
POLIGONO DE THIESSEN
1800

A (Km2)
Area, en Km2

1600
P (mm)
1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0
A CA A A S A R E
NT L NI CH YO NI CA
T
T A VI RA O U L O S AÑE
A
CA RI
C YA CO NG C
AU A
Y HU
 PRECIPITACION MENSUAL PROMEDIO DE LA

Año JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

1964 1965 3.19 4.06 11.48 19.83 20.37 60.11
1965 1966 1.08 4.83 14.69 57.58 39.85 81.62
1966 1967 6.29 2.87 7.68 26.86 10.60 43.25
1967 1968 4.25 6.75 8.55 26.92 19.73 23.91
1968 1969 2.97 3.86 8.65 33.81 62.74 129.26
1969 1970 4.77 0.37 24.91 23.25 20.01 49.25
1970 1971 4.50 1.77 1.97 16.77 14.36 113.12
1971 1972 6.49 4.05 5.87 16.59 29.07 59.21
1972 1973 0.56 0.92 14.16 22.23 37.31 96.23
1973 1974 3.52 9.54 8.24 16.18 35.20 43.49
1974 1975 5.82 10.39 22.26 24.07 41.31 77.24
1975 1976 3.89 8.74 11.10 22.96 4.20 42.41
1976 1977 0.69 4.87 7.57 15.29 57.26 31.88
1977 1978 4.04 1.40 6.91 34.31 35.55 42.30
1978 1979 3.35 0.12 7.76 6.66 6.78 45.72
1979 1980 4.98 3.66 4.58 33.05 22.00 31.27
1980 1981 2.82 6.88 2.85 15.05 28.98 66.03
1981 1982 6.34 2.95 9.50 36.46 64.93 24.78
1982 1983 0.95 6.64 15.17 19.87 16.17 70.97
1983 1984 5.35 6.02 5.59 25.45 49.50 89.13
1984 1985 5.18 4.33 1.96 13.00 12.02 62.74
1985 1986 6.53 16.07 15.35 20.24 27.57 96.83
1986 1987 9.39 4.62 2.12 13.26 25.73 49.64
1987 1988 0.73 3.42 5.22 15.17 28.48 95.41
1988 1989 1.54 8.77 10.97 27.12 23.13 32.24
1989 1990 2.75 5.41 12.11 29.09 32.74 63.66
1990 1991 1.86 4.42 6.97 18.26 17.95 47.84
1991 1992 1.84 3.69 2.72 32.10 21.07 37.74
1992 1993 3.14 3.51 6.22 36.36 48.93 60.91
1993 1994 2.56 5.56 13.16 9.58 24.64 37.14
1994 1995 1.45 0.83 8.78 26.56 33.61 82.60
1995 1996 0.44 6.73 7.60 15.59 16.11 56.30
1996 1997 0.38 11.52 12.12 30.35 40.52 109.29
1997 1998 0.87 2.04 4.57 26.81 30.02 47.59
1998 1999 1.43 1.25 8.65 54.56 29.07 91.06

PROM 3.31 4.94 9.09 24.61 29.36 62.63

STD 2.22 3.44 5.24 10.98 14.72 27.04
MAX 9.39 16.07 24.91 57.58 64.93 129.26
MIN 0.38 0.12 1.96 6.66 4.20 23.91
PRECIPITACION PROMEDIO DE LA CUENCA
METODO DE THIESSEN

A P A*P
(Km2) (mm) (Km2*mm)
CAÑETE 345.21 19 6565.82244
CARANIA 370.87 554 205462.598
COLONIA 1316.39 490 645028.837
HUANGASCA 1628.88 262 426765.649
VILCA 564.31 758 427747.377
TANTA 398.08 625 248718.676
YAURICOCH 713.58 990 706444.357
YAUYOS 572.51 419 239883.164
5909.82

Pprom = #DIV/0! mm
PROMEDIO DE LA CUENCA, en mm

ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN ACUM

81.82 95.53 107.82 36.42 3.17 0.39 444.18
129.45 189.68 131.15 35.54 8.13 1.88 695.50
52.14 76.95 94.94 14.71 3.28 3.15 342.70
48.17 79.57 119.73 38.54 3.85 2.36 382.34
191.29 54.46 86.75 56.39 19.76 0.45 650.39
115.27 117.87 184.54 19.97 4.75 1.27 566.21
104.02 88.89 170.00 57.30 2.41 0.37 575.48
117.05 95.21 153.06 50.94 13.73 0.06 551.33
114.56 105.82 111.72 27.49 5.25 2.71 538.96
61.62 96.61 146.00 34.79 12.01 2.42 469.63
154.31 140.32 126.88 33.68 8.56 5.67 650.50
52.39 181.20 143.81 22.75 6.55 0.15 500.17
85.85 56.16 84.59 48.96 5.15 1.94 400.21
34.18 110.03 163.54 15.12 4.49 1.07 452.95
69.43 44.65 92.76 10.58 5.89 1.66 295.35
102.28 135.24 140.18 45.39 3.21 0.25 526.12
45.16 118.68 79.04 43.78 1.48 0.39 411.13
54.57 70.61 111.45 23.26 7.01 5.35 417.21
130.22 156.53 120.49 56.84 21.92 10.05 625.80
49.72 80.29 51.97 21.78 5.82 8.67 399.30
116.93 155.14 124.51 52.30 46.69 8.03 602.84
132.00 100.50 44.84 14.08 4.73 3.36 482.10
114.91 112.70 106.06 77.81 8.83 1.56 526.63
122.94 133.06 173.08 37.79 6.88 4.19 626.37
77.93 29.79 101.57 37.25 13.98 7.93 372.21
57.19 104.85 124.40 39.22 5.33 7.72 484.47
29.29 20.95 61.78 10.95 3.85 4.77 228.88
79.32 115.07 106.18 49.70 9.16 2.73 461.32
132.64 119.17 104.38 42.58 12.04 6.60 576.49
41.89 43.69 53.38 19.23 7.49 1.92 260.24
118.69 104.65 96.60 29.16 3.74 0.70 507.38
76.90 76.65 61.42 12.90 6.91 1.62 339.19
157.03 157.93 155.28 34.27 0.82 2.12 711.63
63.75 168.94 94.01 60.40 26.41 1.39 526.82
114.13 131.92 119.64 31.88 10.50 0.74 594.83

92.26 104.84 112.79 35.54 8.97 3.02 491.34

39.71 41.65 35.63 16.36 8.62 2.76 120.51
191.29 189.68 184.54 77.81 46.69 10.05 711.63
29.29 20.95 44.84 10.58 0.82 0.06 228.88
 MODELO DETERMINISTICO LUTZ
GENERACION DE CAUDALES MEN
AREA= 5909.82 Km2
C= 0.4786 p.e. Relacion entre columnas (12) / (2)
C1= -0.29421544
C2= 1.29421544
R= 40 Retencion de cuenca en mm/año

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL
MES EFECTIVA
TOTAL P PE-II PE-III PE
Días Acum mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes
1 1 3 4 5
JUL 31 122 4.50471042 0.5 1.1 1.3
AGO 31 153 1.77443275 0.2 0.4 0.5
SET 30 183 1.97228827 0.2 0.5 0.6
OCT 31 214 16.7684653 1.8 3.7 4.3
NOV 30 14.3565596 1.6 3.3 3.7
DIC 31 113.11501 32.7 52.7 58.6
ENE 31 104.017897 26.7 43.8 48.8
FEB 28 88.8946793 18.4 30.8 34.4
MAR 31 170 83.6 102.1 107.5
ABR 30 30 57.2984595 7.4 13.2 14.9
MAY 31 61 2.4098466 0.3 0.6 0.7
JUN 30 91 0.37166896 0.0 0.1 0.1
AÑO 575.5 173.5 252.3 275.4

ESTACION DE PRECIPITACIONES MENSUALES TRANSPUESTO

ESTOS DATOS DE REEMPLAZARAN EN EL CUADRO DE ARRIBA MES A MES PARA GENERAR LOS CAUDALES
El CUADRO ANTES DE USARLO DEBE SER CALIBRADO PARA LA CUENCA
1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971
JUL 3.18820874 1.07961383 6.28569345 4.25020558 2.97367773 4.7653884
AGO 4.0598682 4.82575103 2.86559242 6.74724543 3.85753703 0.36582773
SET 11.4804066 14.6932063 7.68115109 8.55033321 8.64808812 24.9130218
OCT 19.8296212 57.5828917 26.8568673 26.9226052 33.8148873 23.2544443
NOV 20.365581 39.8526126 10.6023641 19.7333913 62.7369407 20.0134023
DIC 60.1100521 81.6245591 43.2464858 23.9140236 129.256649 49.2455206
ENE 81.8198692 129.45425 52.1375257 48.1736951 191.289955 115.265123
FEB 95.5306404 189.680591 76.9467188 79.5697078 54.4609647 117.865346
MAR 107.821035 131.150073 94.9374824 119.72699 86.7533829 184.540153
ABR 36.4195891 35.5438482 14.7117754 38.5426572 56.3872556 19.9670087
MAY 3.16559096 8.12957686 3.28283032 3.85453101 19.7611586 4.75201907
JUN 0.38919265 1.88241645 3.14828079 2.35912627 0.44760495 1.26564745

PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA PARA CADA AÑO

1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971
JUL 1.3 0.3 2.9 1.7 1.3 1.5
AGO 1.6 1.5 1.4 2.7 1.6 0.1
SET 4.2 4.2 3.5 3.3 3.5 6.4
OCT 6.7 16.3 10.1 8.8 11.2 6.0
NOV 6.9 10.1 4.6 6.8 23.9 5.3
DIC 21.2 30.9 15.8 8.0 102.5 12.8
ENE 37.5 82.9 19.8 15.7 76.0 64.7
FEB 52.3 89.5 38.0 35.8 19.2 67.8
MAR 68.0 85.0 58.9 85.6 44.6 99.1
ABR 11.4 9.0 6.1 12.2 20.2 5.3
MAY 1.3 2.5 1.5 1.6 7.1 1.5
JUN 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.4

CAUDALES GENERADOS
1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971
JUL 14.0 11.9 17.5 15.0 14.0 14.5
AGO 12.3 12.1 11.7 14.6 12.3 8.9
SET 16.7 16.6 14.9 14.6 15.0 21.6
OCT 15.7 36.7 23.1 20.3 25.6 14.2
NOV 15.7 23.0 10.5 15.5 54.6 12.2
DIC 38.0 59.5 26.0 8.7 217.3 19.3
ENE 65.2 165.4 26.1 16.9 150.0 125.1
FEB 98.4 189.4 63.4 58.3 17.6 136.4
MAR 119.2 156.6 99.1 157.9 67.5 187.8
ABR 50.3 44.8 38.3 52.1 70.5 36.5
MAY 21.1 23.8 21.7 21.8 34.0 21.6
JUN 15.2 16.2 18.2 17.1 15.2 15.7
O DETERMINISTICO LUTZ SCHOLZ
CION DE CAUDALES MENSUALES

CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION CAUDALES

GASTO ABASTECIMIENTO ESCORRENTIA MENSUALES
bi Gi ai Ai GENERADOSGENERADOS AFORADOS
mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes m3/seg m3/seg
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
0.372 5.1 0.00 0.00 6.4 14.1 15.44
0.289 3.9 0.00 0.00 4.5 9.8 13.43
0.226 3.1 0.00 0.00 3.7 8.4 12.61
0.176 2.4 0.05 2.00 4.7 10.3 14.2
0.000 0.0 0.00 0.00 3.7 8.5 21.83
0.000 0.0 0.10 4.00 54.6 120.6 35.29
0.000 0.0 0.20 8.00 40.8 89.9 72.15
0.000 0.0 0.30 12.00 22.4 54.8 108.93
0.000 0.0 0.35 14.00 93.5 206.4 120.41
0.784 10.7 0.00 0.00 25.5 58.2 64.85
0.610 8.3 0.00 0.00 9.0 19.9 30.06
0.478 6.5 0.00 0.00 6.6 15.0 19.39
2.934 40.0 1.00 40.0 275.4 51.3 44.0

PARA GENERAR LOS CAUDALES

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978

4.50471042 6.48863685 0.56037968 3.52470009 5.82301794 3.89484372 0.69380292
1.77443275 4.05485588 0.91822321 9.53914488 10.3864055 8.74435182 4.87302126
1.97228827 5.86567072 14.1578486 8.24382452 22.2629436 11.1015124 7.56706353
16.7684653 16.590657 22.2280538 16.179521 24.0665967 22.9643511 15.2867049
14.3565596 29.0686121 37.3139569 35.2010165 41.3079094 4.20430563 57.2566125
113.11501 59.2130122 96.2306802 43.4911035 77.2413652 42.4084229 31.8754697
104.017897 117.051736 114.559811 61.6163534 154.306578 52.3894818 85.853251
88.8946793 95.2106702 105.815081 96.610748 140.324461 181.20064 56.1596745
260.635274 153.057395 111.722082 146.003688 126.881436 143.809165 84.5923139
57.2984595 50.9371344 27.4894034 34.793015 33.6789271 22.7536877 48.9617346
2.4098466 13.733299 5.2524394 12.0083515 8.55555132 6.55177057 5.14882689
0.37166896 0.0584123 2.71011375 2.41560522 5.66656279 0.14702234 1.93975462

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978

0.4 2.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 1.1 0.3
0.2 1.3 0.3 3.2 2.6 2.4 2.4
0.2 1.8 4.1 2.8 5.0 3.0 3.6
1.4 4.5 6.0 5.0 5.4 5.6 6.6
 1.2 7.2 9.6 9.8 8.9 1.2 23.6
28.3 16.6 44.8 12.2 24.0 9.9 12.2
23.0 66.3 65.7 19.8 97.5 13.0 49.4
15.7 42.2 55.3 48.3 85.0 102.5 22.9
242.1 105.0 62.2 108.0 70.4 93.2 47.9
6.1 13.2 7.2 9.7 7.2 5.5 19.0
0.2 3.8 1.7 3.9 2.2 1.9 2.5
0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 1.5 0.0 1.0

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978

14.1 15.5 11.5 13.9 14.6 13.7 11.9
9.8 11.5 9.3 15.7 14.5 14.1 13.9
8.4 11.1 16.5 13.4 18.5 13.9 15.2
10.3 10.8 14.2 12.0 12.7 13.2 15.5
8.5 16.5 21.8 22.3 20.4 2.8 53.8
120.6 27.7 90.1 18.1 44.1 13.1 18.1
89.9 128.6 127.2 26.0 197.5 11.1 91.4
54.8 73.7 105.7 88.8 178.3 221.1 26.7
206.4 200.8 106.4 207.5 124.5 174.7 74.9
58.2 54.5 40.8 46.4 40.9 37.0 67.8
19.9 26.8 22.1 26.9 23.2 22.5 23.8
15.0 14.8 16.9 16.8 18.3 14.9 17.0
ESCORRENTIA
DE AFOROS
mm/mes
13
6.9
6.0
5.6
6.3
9.7
15.7
32.2
48.6
53.7
28.9
13.4
8.6
235.7

1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985

4.04346377 3.34737846 4.98486992 2.81584907 6.33974011 0.94883122 5.35346601
1.40372486 0.11832227 3.66255746 6.88094754 2.94703346 6.63739061 6.02091609
6.91177099 7.76481975 4.58346042 2.85014616 9.50187269 15.1708919 5.59042326
34.3089721 6.65546809 33.051855 15.0536968 36.4618627 19.8680191 25.4466666
35.5528584 6.78211042 22.0049326 28.982184 64.9296588 16.167742 49.5016496
42.3028208 45.7175617 31.2743739 66.0257351 24.7836831 70.9689782 89.1342305
34.1767817 69.4275928 102.284151 45.1648259 54.5730644 130.221462 49.716351
110.031292 44.6454558 135.242246 118.6756 70.6098527 156.52551 80.2923132
163.542897 92.7635322 140.176498 79.0357889 111.448882 120.488371 51.9738831
15.1165616 10.5803726 45.3911361 43.7771262 23.2606656 56.8360892 21.7772748
4.49185772 5.89163258 3.2110414 1.47543456 7.00731357 21.9206446 5.8241939
1.06577481 1.65543046 0.2542036 0.38898194 5.34875197 10.0504015 8.66730931

1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985

1.3 1.6 1.4 1.2 2.7 0.3 2.6
0.4 0.0 1.0 2.8 1.3 1.8 2.9
2.1 3.5 1.3 1.2 4.0 3.8 2.7
8.6 3.1 7.5 5.5 12.5 4.7 10.2
 8.9 3.1 5.2 9.5 26.4 4.0 19.4
10.7 17.0 7.1 25.5 8.9 20.9 53.9
8.6 31.6 46.1 14.7 20.1 76.1 19.5
59.0 16.5 82.7 85.4 30.6 101.1 43.3
111.2 56.7 87.9 36.0 79.3 65.0 20.7
4.3 4.7 10.5 14.2 8.5 14.2 8.9
1.4 2.7 0.9 0.6 3.0 5.1 2.8
0.3 0.8 0.0 0.1 2.3 2.6 4.1

1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985

14.0 14.7 14.3 13.8 17.2 11.7 16.9
9.7 8.7 11.0 14.8 11.6 12.7 15.1
11.9 15.1 10.0 9.7 16.1 15.6 13.2
19.9 7.7 17.4 13.1 28.5 11.3 23.3
20.3 7.1 11.9 21.7 60.1 9.1 44.3
14.8 28.7 6.9 47.5 10.9 37.2 110.0
1.2 52.0 84.1 14.9 26.6 150.2 25.5
114.7 11.1 172.6 179.3 45.5 217.6 76.5
214.5 94.2 163.2 48.4 144.1 112.6 14.8
34.1 35.0 48.3 56.8 43.7 56.6 44.7
21.5 24.4 20.4 19.7 25.0 29.6 24.6
15.6 16.7 15.0 15.2 20.2 20.9 24.1
 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
5.18028002 6.52741201 9.39317342 0.72764333 1.53584341 2.74916465 1.86217064
4.32902927 16.0710908 4.61846981 3.41893984 8.77254269 5.40988188 4.42103183
1.96499582 15.3469035 2.1175518 5.22159404 10.9705506 12.1113628 6.97226674
13.0024185 20.2440531 13.2589696 15.1727114 27.1165622 29.0899669 18.2628193
12.0212414 27.5687077 25.7324855 28.4790191 23.1265714 32.7378164 17.9492875
62.7436055 96.8285183 49.6440411 95.4122756 32.2360963 63.6594863 47.8370476
116.926228 131.999178 114.906779 122.937289 77.9337951 57.1883387 29.2867999
155.144192 100.504975 112.701969 133.061354 29.7858211 104.851367 20.9482308
124.514713 44.844082 106.057799 173.083005 101.568273 124.402179 61.7803356
52.3019867 14.0803974 77.8129602 37.7851277 37.2526415 39.2233244 10.9456975
46.68914 4.72830324 8.82752096 6.87599389 13.9846033 5.32788913 3.85327428
8.02519324 3.35619626 1.55805509 4.19057847 7.92643182 7.71518759 4.7650821

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992

1.5 2.1 3.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1
1.2 4.8 1.5 0.9 3.8 2.0 2.5
0.6 4.6 0.7 1.3 4.7 4.2 3.8
3.4 5.8 4.0 3.5 10.0 8.8 8.8
 3.2 7.5 7.0 5.9 8.7 9.8 8.7
17.1 46.8 13.7 36.4 11.6 22.2 21.1
62.4 89.4 67.7 63.7 38.3 18.7 13.0
101.9 50.8 64.9 74.6 10.8 61.3 9.9
71.2 12.1 56.9 102.8 67.1 87.4 30.2
12.8 4.3 29.2 7.7 13.3 11.6 5.7
11.0 1.6 2.8 1.7 5.8 2.0 2.2
2.2 1.1 0.5 1.1 3.5 2.8 2.7

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992

14.4 15.9 17.7 11.6 12.7 13.5 13.5
11.4 19.2 12.1 10.6 17.1 13.2 14.2
8.3 17.5 8.7 10.1 17.7 16.6 15.7
8.4 13.6 9.8 8.5 22.9 20.3 20.3
7.2 17.1 16.0 13.4 19.9 22.3 19.8
28.9 94.4 21.4 71.5 16.7 40.2 37.7
120.1 179.5 131.7 122.9 66.8 23.6 11.0
219.5 94.7 129.3 153.0 -2.9 120.3 -5.2
126.1 -4.2 94.7 195.9 117.1 162.0 35.7
53.6 34.1 90.9 42.0 54.6 50.9 37.4
42.6 21.8 24.6 22.1 31.0 22.7 23.1
19.9 17.4 16.0 17.3 22.8 21.3 20.9
 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
1.83578466 3.14299776 2.55829248 1.45235838 0.44482515 0.38109445 0.86952758
3.6917623 3.50813698 5.55915868 0.82959487 6.73464313 11.5227852 2.04177445
2.71528834 6.21687507 13.161464 8.78075189 7.60120708 12.1231165 4.56726646
32.1035286 36.3580811 9.57589378 26.5555929 15.5930368 30.3494988 26.8125346
21.0743972 48.9335959 24.6369241 33.6137276 16.1087381 40.5217853 30.0240094
37.7393941 60.9147282 37.1378276 82.6039382 56.3049871 109.285289 47.5938777
79.3223096 132.64325 41.8947851 118.690695 76.897621 157.030778 63.7539663
115.073195 119.165872 43.6925877 104.650728 76.6502328 157.925924 168.942545
106.176418 104.381025 53.3838586 96.6046655 61.4243359 155.279014 94.0120775
49.6950482 42.5798759 19.2310549 29.1643604 12.9006129 34.2678823 60.3969475
9.16393419 12.0426734 7.49069197 3.74234044 6.91274055 0.82292082 26.411609
2.72784844 6.60094372 1.91870561 0.69520386 1.6168325 2.12064414 1.39115718

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

0.7 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.3
1.4 1.2 3.2 0.3 3.3 2.4 0.8
1.0 2.0 7.0 2.9 3.7 2.5 1.7
9.5 9.4 5.3 7.5 6.9 5.5 8.1
 6.7 13.2 11.8 9.2 7.1 7.4 8.9
11.1 18.2 16.8 34.0 23.6 44.8 14.3
33.5 88.4 18.9 74.4 40.4 90.6 22.0
74.5 71.8 19.8 56.8 40.1 91.3 119.8
62.7 54.0 25.3 47.7 27.0 89.2 47.7
15.3 11.1 9.6 8.1 5.9 6.2 20.1
3.3 3.6 4.2 1.3 3.4 0.2 8.0
1.0 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.5

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

12.7 13.5 14.5 12.3 11.6 11.3 11.9
11.8 11.2 15.8 9.3 16.0 14.0 10.4
9.4 11.6 23.0 13.7 15.4 12.7 10.9
22.0 21.6 12.6 17.3 16.1 13.0 18.7
15.2 30.0 26.8 21.0 16.2 16.9 20.3
15.8 31.3 28.2 66.2 43.2 90.0 22.7
56.3 177.3 24.1 146.5 71.5 182.2 30.9
152.7 146.0 19.0 109.5 68.7 193.6 263.3
107.5 88.2 24.9 74.3 28.6 166.0 74.3
59.1 49.7 46.3 42.8 37.8 38.5 70.2
25.6 26.3 27.7 21.2 25.8 18.7 35.9
17.2 19.7 17.4 15.4 16.7 15.9 16.0
 2000
1.42860857
1.25070473
8.65279626
54.5611982
29.0683061
91.0631744
114.130859
131.915797
119.64148
31.8777919
10.4999214
0.73998508

2000
0.4 1.2
0.4 1.7
2.5 3.1
14.2 7.3
 7.0 9.1
37.4 24.3
61.5 46.6
82.4 57.8
68.0 70.7
7.7 10.5
3.0 2.9
0.2 1.1

2000
12.1
9.5
12.7
32.3
16.1
73.7
118.0
172.0
119.1
41.8
24.9
15.3
 CAUDALES MENSUALES GENERADOS EN LA ESTACION CAÑETE (SOCSI), en m3/s
MODELO DETERMINISTICO
Año JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN PROM
1965 1966 14.01 12.28 16.70 15.72 15.67 37.95 65.18 98.41 119.23 50.29 21.15 15.15 40.15
1966 1967 11.92 12.08 16.60 36.75 23.00 59.46 165.35 189.39 156.60 44.82 23.84 16.23 63.00
1967 1968 17.53 11.68 14.93 23.13 10.54 25.95 26.06 63.42 99.12 38.33 21.75 18.24 30.89
1968 1969 14.98 14.57 14.58 20.26 15.47 8.72 16.89 58.26 157.90 52.14 21.79 17.05 34.38
1969 1970 13.98 12.31 15.00 25.59 54.57 217.25 149.98 17.65 67.50 70.48 33.99 15.23 57.79
1970 1971 14.46 8.89 21.65 14.22 12.16 19.34 125.15 136.41 187.77 36.50 21.61 15.75 51.16
1971 1972 14.06 9.83 8.35 10.30 8.53 120.57 89.95 54.78 206.36 58.25 19.89 15.05 51.33
1972 1973 15.52 11.47 11.13 10.84 16.51 27.72 128.62 73.70 200.80 54.53 26.82 14.81 49.37
1973 1974 11.54 9.33 16.46 14.18 21.83 90.07 127.21 105.72 106.39 40.81 22.07 16.88 48.54
1974 1975 13.94 15.71 13.40 11.96 22.27 18.08 25.99 88.77 207.48 46.39 26.92 16.81 42.31
1975 1976 14.58 14.46 18.46 12.69 20.40 44.09 197.55 178.29 124.52 40.85 23.19 18.28 58.95
1976 1977 13.69 14.05 13.89 13.16 2.80 13.08 11.08 221.07 174.67 36.95 22.45 14.89 45.98
1977 1978 11.89 13.92 15.19 15.50 53.83 18.13 91.44 26.73 74.87 67.79 23.85 17.04 35.85
1978 1979 14.01 9.67 11.90 19.85 20.29 14.75 1.25 114.75 214.48 34.07 21.47 15.60 41.01
1979 1980 14.70 8.72 15.12 7.67 7.14 28.68 52.00 11.09 94.17 35.02 24.39 16.65 26.28
1980 1981 14.28 11.00 10.00 17.39 11.93 6.85 84.12 172.64 163.17 48.34 20.36 14.96 47.92
1981 1982 13.77 14.79 9.75 13.06 21.73 47.55 14.87 179.26 48.44 56.78 19.68 15.16 37.90
1982 1983 17.23 11.59 16.08 28.54 60.10 10.87 26.59 45.52 144.15 43.68 24.98 20.19 37.46
1983 1984 11.74 12.68 15.62 11.30 9.06 37.24 150.22 217.58 112.64 56.64 29.64 20.86 57.10
1984 1985 16.94 15.12 13.24 23.29 44.32 110.01 25.48 76.49 14.82 44.73 24.57 24.14 36.10
1985 1986 14.44 11.44 8.34 8.39 7.25 28.90 120.13 219.54 126.15 53.63 42.64 19.91 55.06
1986 1987 15.92 19.20 17.49 13.62 17.07 94.35 179.51 94.71 128.80 34.08 21.84 17.45 54.50
1987 1988 17.75 12.10 8.67 9.77 16.01 21.39 131.67 129.33 94.72 90.89 24.55 16.04 47.74
1988 1989 11.56 10.63 10.06 8.50 13.45 71.46 122.87 153.05 195.94 42.03 22.11 17.30 56.58
1989 1990 12.73 17.14 17.69 22.89 19.92 16.72 66.80 119.20 117.09 54.58 31.03 22.82 43.22
1990 1991 13.49 13.16 16.63 20.27 22.25 40.20 23.57 120.33 162.04 50.89 22.74 21.27 43.90
1991 1992 13.51 14.17 15.73 20.34 19.82 37.70 11.04 119.20 35.68 37.39 23.13 20.93 30.72
1992 1993 12.71 11.78 9.40 21.95 15.21 15.75 56.27 152.65 107.53 59.15 25.56 17.22 42.10
1993 1994 13.47 11.24 11.60 21.62 30.02 31.32 177.30 145.98 88.24 49.70 26.33 19.67 52.21
1994 1995 14.53 15.80 22.99 12.58 26.80 28.18 24.10 19.04 24.90 46.26 27.71 17.45 23.36
1995 1996 12.29 9.30 13.66 17.35 20.98 66.15 146.48 109.53 74.28 42.81 21.21 15.37 45.78
1996 1997 11.61 15.96 15.44 16.13 16.19 43.21 71.47 68.73 28.60 37.78 25.79 16.71 30.64
1997 1998 11.32 13.96 12.73 13.04 16.90 89.97 182.24 193.61 166.03 38.49 18.72 15.94 64.41
1998 1999 11.87 10.39 10.92 18.71 20.31 22.74 30.89 263.27 74.33 70.21 35.93 16.03 48.80
1999 2000 12.12 9.51 12.72 32.31 16.07 73.66 118.04 172.05 119.05 41.83 24.87 15.33 53.96

PROM 13.83 12.57 14.06 17.22 20.87 46.80 86.78 120.29 120.53 48.77 24.82 17.38 45.33
STD 1.77 2.53 3.50 6.80 13.21 42.22 60.30 64.77 55.83 12.37 4.88 2.38 10.35
MAX 17.75 19.20 22.99 36.75 60.10 217.25 197.55 263.27 214.48 90.89 42.64 24.14 64.41
MIN 11.32 8.72 8.34 7.67 2.80 6.85 1.25 11.09 14.82 34.07 18.72 14.81 23.36
REGRESION TRIPLE
CAUDAL CAUDAL PE
GENERADO i GENERADO i-1
n x1 x2 x3 x11 x12 x13 x22 x23 x33

1 13.888 17.367 1.229 192.885 241.204 17.075 301.628 21.353 1.512

2 12.671 13.888 1.804 160.547 175.975 22.861 192.885 25.058 3.255
3 14.263 12.671 3.168 203.431 180.722 45.190 160.547 40.145 10.038
4 17.254 14.263 7.419 297.713 246.097 128.015 203.431 105.821 55.046
5 19.619 17.254 8.605 384.898 338.510 168.813 297.713 148.468 74.040
6 37.459 19.619 20.977 1403.168 734.899 785.768 384.898 411.540 440.026
7 80.859 37.459 44.646 6538.207 3028.895 3610.066 1403.168 1672.402 1993.295
8 119.168 80.859 60.782 14200.922 9635.796 7243.195 6538.207 4914.748 3694.399
9 128.797 119.168 72.372 16588.594 15348.398 9321.299 14200.922 8624.421 5237.732
10 47.613 128.797 10.196 2266.968 6132.357 485.481 16588.594 1313.270 103.968
11 25.178 47.613 3.102 633.942 1198.802 78.099 2266.968 147.687 9.621
12 17.367 25.178 1.104 301.628 437.281 19.166 633.942 27.785 1.218

Suma 534.136 534.136 235.405 43172.903 37698.937 21925.026 43172.903 17452.696 11624.150
Promedio 44.511 44.511 19.617

x1 = 44.51132072027
x2 = 44.51132072027
x3 = 19.61705794969

s11 = 19397.81055269
s12 = 13923.84456084
s13 = 11446.85241121
s22 = 19397.81055269
s23 = 6974.522518111
s33 = 7006.202855174

b2 = 0.203033924
b3 = 1.431701014
b1 = 7.388250838
r= 0.995289210359
s= 4.500957215994
 PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA MENSUALES EN LA CUE
MODELO ESTOCASTICO
Año JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

1965 1966 1.2 1.5 3.9 6.2 6.4 19.8

1966 1967 0.4 1.8 4.8 18.5 11.5 34.9
1967 1968 2.3 1.1 2.7 8.0 3.7 12.6
1968 1969 1.6 2.4 3.0 8.0 6.2 7.3
1969 1970 1.1 1.4 3.0 9.8 21.2 92.1
1970 1971 1.8 0.1 7.5 7.1 6.3 14.8
1971 1972 1.7 0.7 0.7 5.4 4.7 70.6
1972 1973 2.3 1.5 2.1 5.4 8.6 19.3
1973 1974 0.2 0.3 4.7 6.8 10.8 49.7
1974 1975 1.3 3.3 2.9 5.2 10.2 12.7
1975 1976 2.1 3.6 6.8 7.3 12.0 31.2
1976 1977 1.4 3.1 3.8 7.0 1.6 12.4
1977 1978 0.2 1.8 2.7 5.0 18.3 9.3
1978 1979 1.5 0.5 2.5 9.9 10.3 12.3
1979 1980 1.2 0.0 2.8 2.4 2.4 13.5
1980 1981 1.8 1.4 1.7 9.6 6.8 9.1
1981 1982 1.0 2.5 1.1 4.9 8.5 23.2
1982 1983 2.3 1.1 3.3 10.6 22.5 7.5
1983 1984 0.3 2.4 5.0 6.2 5.2 26.4
1984 1985 2.0 2.2 2.0 7.6 14.9 42.1
1985 1986 1.9 1.6 0.7 4.4 4.1 21.2
1986 1987 2.4 5.2 5.0 6.3 8.2 50.4
1987 1988 3.3 1.7 0.8 4.4 7.7 14.9
1988 1989 0.3 1.3 1.9 5.0 8.4 48.8
1989 1990 0.6 3.1 3.8 8.1 7.1 9.4
1990 1991 1.0 2.0 4.1 8.6 9.5 21.7
1991 1992 0.7 1.6 2.5 5.8 5.7 14.2
1992 1993 0.7 1.4 1.0 9.4 6.5 10.9
1993 1994 1.2 1.3 2.3 10.5 14.7 20.2
1994 1995 1.0 2.0 4.4 3.3 7.4 10.7
1995 1996 0.5 0.3 3.1 7.9 9.8 35.8
1996 1997 0.1 2.4 2.7 5.1 5.2 17.8
1997 1998 0.1 3.9 4.1 8.9 11.8 65.6
1998 1999 0.3 0.8 1.7 8.0 8.8 14.2
1999 2000 0.5 0.5 3.0 17.0 8.6 44.1

PROM 1.21 1.76 3.09 7.54 9.01 26.31

STD 0.80 1.15 1.59 3.26 4.72 20.29
MAX 3.28 5.22 7.51 18.46 22.49 92.14
MIN 0.12 0.01 0.73 2.40 1.55 7.26

1.20851241 1.74796246 3.06793116 7.32361328 9.08018125 24.3439834

ALES EN LA CUENCA CAÑETE, en mm/mes
ESTOCASTICO
ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN PROM

35.1 48.9 63.8 10.5 1.2 0.1 16.54

92.4 86.1 94.6 10.3 2.9 0.7 29.91
16.0 30.9 48.3 4.8 1.2 1.2 11.06
14.4 33.1 79.5 11.2 1.4 0.9 14.08
81.1 17.0 39.7 17.9 6.2 0.1 24.23
73.5 77.0 99.4 6.2 1.7 0.5 24.65
59.0 41.8 118.6 18.3 0.9 0.1 26.88
75.9 48.6 117.0 15.5 4.6 0.0 25.05
72.6 61.2 68.8 8.2 1.9 1.0 23.85
20.6 50.2 111.4 10.1 4.1 0.9 19.41
117.7 105.6 89.0 9.8 3.0 2.1 32.52
16.1 106.0 109.3 7.0 2.4 0.0 22.50
38.8 17.8 37.6 14.7 1.9 0.7 12.40
9.9 66.6 120.4 5.0 1.7 0.4 20.08
25.4 13.1 45.9 3.6 2.1 0.6 9.42
56.8 99.7 105.4 13.4 1.2 0.1 25.58
13.3 78.1 32.7 12.8 0.5 0.1 14.89
17.0 26.2 68.5 7.1 2.5 2.0 14.20
93.4 118.8 80.5 18.1 6.8 3.5 30.55
15.0 33.7 15.9 6.7 2.1 3.1 12.27
75.7 118.2 85.9 16.0 13.8 2.8 28.86
95.7 54.7 13.2 4.7 1.7 1.2 20.72
73.0 70.1 61.5 31.6 3.1 0.6 22.74
83.8 97.0 116.5 10.9 2.5 1.5 31.48
31.7 8.8 56.0 10.8 4.6 2.8 12.22
18.3 60.0 85.7 11.4 1.9 2.7 18.92
8.6 6.5 20.7 3.8 1.4 1.8 6.11
32.9 73.2 61.7 15.0 3.2 1.0 18.07
96.5 78.7 59.4 12.4 4.1 2.4 25.30
12.2 12.8 16.5 6.1 2.7 0.7 6.65
78.1 59.8 50.1 8.6 1.4 0.2 21.30
30.9 30.7 20.5 4.3 2.5 0.6 10.24
119.0 119.4 118.2 9.9 0.3 0.8 38.51
21.8 119.2 47.2 19.9 7.9 0.5 20.85
72.0 95.6 79.4 9.3 3.6 0.3 27.81

51.26 61.85 69.67 11.02 3.00 1.09 20.57

34.29 35.34 33.61 5.75 2.52 0.98 7.87
119.04 119.38 120.39 31.65 13.83 3.48 38.51
8.62 6.50 13.17 3.64 0.29 0.00 6.11

46.5933355 57.8220603 70.7480529 10.4562264 2.92428318 1.10860982 19.7020627

 CAUDALES MENSUALES GENERADOS EN LA ESTACION CAÑETE (SOCSI), en m3/s
MODELO ESTOCASTICO
Año JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN PROM
0
1965 1966 8.87 11.21 15.60 20.03 20.93 39.70 65.71 91.72 117.25 46.03 17.96 11.59 38.88
1966 1967 10.41 12.33 16.15 37.63 31.72 64.25 152.05 161.74 175.62 58.07 23.90 14.26 63.18
1967 1968 13.20 11.58 14.05 21.58 17.72 29.64 36.40 58.46 88.11 32.73 15.90 12.35 29.31
1968 1969 12.31 13.99 15.02 22.21 20.98 21.91 32.50 61.12 134.00 49.89 19.47 12.98 34.70
1969 1970 11.98 11.79 13.37 23.50 42.95 148.16 153.70 62.93 76.29 48.81 26.03 12.74 52.69
1970 1971 12.77 10.17 20.89 21.49 20.60 32.69 119.19 142.85 178.90 52.76 20.74 12.06 53.76
1971 1972 11.71 10.64 10.61 17.95 17.44 112.16 114.61 90.81 195.53 72.85 23.36 12.31 57.50
1972 1973 13.20 12.74 13.64 18.17 23.83 39.78 124.16 102.35 194.70 69.18 28.07 12.98 54.40
1973 1974 10.76 10.63 16.53 20.03 27.94 83.61 128.53 120.65 130.62 45.01 19.12 12.05 52.12
1974 1975 11.44 14.31 14.39 17.56 24.84 30.21 43.63 87.80 184.59 59.24 25.22 13.76 43.92
1975 1976 12.74 15.03 20.50 21.52 29.16 57.81 187.72 196.43 174.99 56.20 22.93 14.94 67.50
1976 1977 11.97 13.76 15.59 20.15 13.65 27.82 36.18 166.53 198.16 57.31 22.55 12.43 49.68
1977 1978 9.96 12.35 13.99 17.57 37.68 28.26 69.32 47.86 71.46 43.16 18.96 12.64 31.93
1978 1979 12.58 10.20 12.47 24.30 26.90 30.53 28.18 108.19 201.31 56.02 21.00 11.61 45.27
1979 1980 11.32 10.47 13.06 12.69 13.54 29.64 49.29 36.36 80.60 28.82 16.27 12.81 26.24
1980 1981 12.50 11.97 11.58 23.67 21.34 24.90 94.05 168.89 192.49 65.03 22.19 11.95 55.05
1981 1982 11.12 13.49 11.02 16.28 22.22 45.09 35.02 126.33 79.20 42.33 17.18 11.45 35.90
1982 1983 12.90 11.88 15.38 25.51 44.42 28.16 37.58 52.54 116.56 41.25 19.92 14.41 35.04
1983 1984 11.38 12.80 17.65 19.70 18.56 49.60 151.36 208.50 165.45 66.72 30.52 18.77 64.25
1984 1985 13.58 13.22 12.71 21.01 33.04 73.99 43.58 64.50 43.10 26.65 15.75 14.70 31.32
1985 1986 12.84 11.59 11.08 15.87 16.45 41.45 124.89 202.32 171.12 65.18 40.56 19.14 61.04
1986 1987 14.87 18.65 18.57 20.22 23.77 84.25 160.84 118.15 50.29 24.69 13.74 12.34 46.70
1987 1988 15.07 12.44 10.79 16.25 21.88 33.83 118.48 131.71 122.11 77.17 27.88 13.65 50.10
1988 1989 10.52 11.54 12.41 16.86 22.61 81.20 143.81 175.40 209.37 65.55 24.33 14.56 65.68
1989 1990 11.26 14.33 15.64 21.97 22.37 25.20 58.34 30.92 93.42 42.00 23.87 16.90 31.35
1990 1991 12.01 13.08 15.98 23.07 25.85 44.18 42.77 102.93 151.26 54.22 21.46 15.51 43.53
1991 1992 11.07 12.23 13.83 18.91 18.71 31.94 26.21 21.15 41.26 21.45 14.90 12.23 20.32
1992 1993 10.82 11.87 12.27 23.18 21.44 27.10 59.89 123.95 120.74 53.53 22.95 13.82 41.80
1993 1994 11.69 11.24 12.76 25.04 33.74 43.58 154.32 151.09 123.78 49.36 23.58 15.22 54.62
1994 1995 11.04 12.71 16.31 15.93 21.21 27.10 30.51 32.47 38.07 23.88 15.96 11.43 21.39
1995 1996 10.00 9.84 13.10 22.13 26.28 64.36 132.59 119.95 104.36 40.96 17.86 11.39 47.74
1996 1997 9.67 12.76 13.01 17.19 18.38 37.05 59.43 64.35 50.48 24.12 16.01 11.13 27.80
1997 1998 10.11 15.20 15.74 23.03 28.16 108.14 200.16 218.88 221.43 66.79 20.67 13.36 78.47
1998 1999 10.30 10.60 11.10 21.42 24.48 32.58 44.25 187.50 113.46 58.06 30.33 14.47 46.55
1999 2000 11.33 10.88 14.11 35.15 27.19 76.61 125.87 169.78 155.40 52.15 22.25 12.24 59.41

PROM 11.69 12.39 14.31 21.11 24.63 50.18 91.00 114.49 130.44 49.63 21.81 13.43 46.26
STD 1.30 1.76 2.55 4.86 7.21 29.54 52.69 56.61 54.92 15.07 5.36 1.92 14.08
MAX 15.07 18.65 20.89 37.63 44.42 148.16 200.16 218.88 221.43 77.17 40.56 19.14 78.47
MIN 8.87 9.84 10.61 12.69 13.54 21.91 26.21 21.15 38.07 21.45 13.74 11.13 20.32