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We propose a criterion of IP-coherence2 based on a generalization of Brier score for IP-forecasts that uses 1-sided, lower and upper, probability forecasts.
In this essay, where our central goal is to discuss extensions of coherence2 to Imprecise Probabilities for events, we focus on forecasting events, represented ...
Abstract. We review de Finetti's two coherence criteria for determinate probabilities: coherence1 defined in terms of.
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Forecasting with Imprecise Probabilities. Abstract. We review de Finetti s two coherence criteria for determinate probabilities: coherence1 defined in terms of ...
We propose a criterion of IP-coherence2 based on a generalization of Brier score for IP-forecasts that uses 1-sided, lower and upper, probability forecasts.
We propose a criterion of IP-coherence2 based on a generalization of Brier score for IP-forecasts that uses 1-sided, lower and upper, probability forecasts.
We propose a criterion of IP-coherence2 based on a generalization of Brier score for IP-forecasts that uses 1-sided, lower and upper, probability forecasts.
In this paper we investigate the feasibility of algorithmically deriving precise probability forecasts from imprecise forecasts.
Abstract: Evidence is often insufficient to support the assessment of precise probabilities. Shifting to vaguer measures of uncertainty, such as upper and ...
The aim of this paper is to show that imprecise predictions are undervalued in philosophy of science.
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