We show that a simple diffusion model provides a good description of the overall probability distribu- tion of electoral college votes, while an even simpler ...

Jun 10, 2008 · Prediction markets now cover many important political events. The 2004 presidential election featured an active online prediction market at ...

Prediction markets now cover many important political events. The 2004 presidential election featured an active online prediction market at Intrade.com, ...

Oct 22, 2024 · PDF | Prediction markets now cover many important political events. The 2004 presi- dential election featured an active prediction market at ...

Downloadable! Prediction markets now cover many important political events. The 2004 presidential election featured an active online prediction market at ...

Oct 29, 2024 · With the election just over a week away, many people are closely monitoring the upcoming presidential election polls.

Nov 5, 2024 · The Economist's statistical forecast of American presidential elections has returned for its second contest in 2024.

Oct 31, 2024 · One reason forecasting U.S. elections is so challenging is that the presidency isn't determined by popular vote but by state-based electoral ...

We used as many as 60 biographical variables to create an index model for forecasting U.S. Presidential Elections. For each candidate, we simply counted the ...

Sep 1, 2024 · The Virtual Tout employs a top-down approach to forecasting Electoral College votes in the 2024 presidential election.