Hi Andrew,
I recently went through the exact reasoning, also using Edible Forest Gardens as a guide and I got really hung up about making sure the tree spacings were correct.
I made a Exel file with all the heights and canopy widths of my target trees. If you want that I can post it here I suppose.
Then I had a revelation this fall, while my neighbor was giving me all his pollarding material to chip into mulch.
Instead of mulch, why don't I take a huge amount of cuttings from these? It's kind of what
Mark Shepard/Restoration Agriculture is suggesting to do with seed propagation. You play a game with nature that is a percentages game and you (and nature) always win.
So, I stuck some of the cuttings into the ground, some of them I put into pots, and some I chopped up and put into little pots. I imagine I put away about 500 plants in total, and in my opinion that is far too little. Every year I could/should be putting about 1,000 or more into the ground. That is how nature works.
Next year something will grow leaves. At that point (in the fall) I have a choice. I can either leave it where it is, I can dig it up (not so difficult or traumatic for the plant) and replant it where I want it, or I could just chop and drop it - which is what I will be doing with the winter cuttings that don't make it. In any case I win. Sticking a cutting into the ground or putting it in a pot isn't that hard. You can find cuttings or seeds almost anywhere. If things go wrong you can always cut early without much hassle. The food forest takes shape as you harvest the cuttings you put in the ground and thin things out. You can
sell the cuttings-now-small-trees, by the way.
I'm much less troubled by tree spacing at this point. I'm thinking a cutting can be about 15-20 cm from one another - that just made growing lots of trees in small spaces possible. When I plant it out I'll be a little more selective, but even then I'll tend to crowd them in, you can always cut something out later and potentially get a benefit from that action. It's much harder to fill open spaces.
Monitoring tree spacing attentively would make sense in a few cases:
-you're doing it for a client that wants only 2 year old trees planted.
-you are unable to care for the
land after the planting, or the person who does care for the land can't make the decisions for some reason.
-you have access to high-quality trees that you are very sure will do well where they're planted.
-you have endless amounts of time to study tree spacing.
-you have endless amounts of time to care for trees after they are planted.
-you don't have access to seed or cuttings.
I could probably come up with a few more, but I fall into none of those categories, so mass-cropping then thinning makes much more sense to me. Being meagre with your plants/planting at the beginning, in my opinion, won't lead very quickly to abundance.
Sorry if this doesn't exactly
answer your question.
William