The performance of integer-forcing equalization for communication over the compound multiple-input multiple-output channel is investigated. An upper bound on the resulting outage probability as a function of the gap to capacity has been derived previously, assuming a random precoding matrix drawn from the circular unitary ensemble is applied prior to transmission. In the present work a simple and explicit lower bound on the worst-case outage probability is derived for the case of a system with two transmit antennas and two or more receive antennas, leveraging the properties of the Jacobi ensemble. The derived lower bound is also extended to random space-time precoding, and may serve as a useful benchmark for assessing the relative merits of various algebraic space-time precoding schemes.