Mapping the envelope of social simulation trajectories

O Terán, B Edmonds, S Wallis - … Workshop on Multi-Agent Systems and …, 2000 - Springer
O Terán, B Edmonds, S Wallis
International Workshop on Multi-Agent Systems and Agent-Based Simulation, 2000Springer
In this paper we present a methodology aimed at systematically exploring the shape of the
'envelope'of simulation trajectories and the implicit theory that a simulation represents. Thus
it complements methods like Monte Carlo analysis, the inspection of single scenarios and
syntactical proof. We propose a method for searching for tendencies and proving their
necessity relative to a range of parameterisations of the model and agents' choices, and to
the logic of the simulation language. This will allow us to dig up conclusions about …
Abstract
In this paper we present a methodology aimed at systematically exploring the shape of the ‘envelope’ of simulation trajectories and the implicit theory that a simulation represents. Thus it complements methods like Monte Carlo analysis, the inspection of single scenarios and syntactical proof. We propose a method for searching for tendencies and proving their necessity relative to a range of parameterisations of the model and agents’ choices, and to the logic of the simulation language. This will allow us to dig up conclusions about tendencies for that fragment of the simulation theory given by the explored subspace of trajectories. Additionally, we propose and exemplifies a computational procedure that helps implement this exploration by translating the MAS simulation into a constraint-based search over possible trajectories by ‘compiling’ the simulation rules into a more specific form.
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