A flexible infinite HMM model for accurate characterization and segmentation of RTT timeseries

M Mouchet, S Vaton, T Chonavel - IEEE INFOCOM 2019-IEEE …, 2019 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
M Mouchet, S Vaton, T Chonavel
IEEE INFOCOM 2019-IEEE Conference on Computer Communications …, 2019ieeexplore.ieee.org
The study of round-trip time (RTT) measurements on the Internet is of particular importance
for improving realtime applications, enforcing QoS with traffic engineering, or detecting
unexpected network conditions. On large timescales, from 1 hour to several days, RTT
measurements exhibit characteristic patterns due to inter and intra-AS routing changes and
traffic engineering, in addition to link congestion. We propose the use of a nonparametric
Bayesian method to fully estimate HMM parameters from delay observations, including the …
The study of round-trip time (RTT) measurements on the Internet is of particular importance for improving realtime applications, enforcing QoS with traffic engineering, or detecting unexpected network conditions. On large timescales, from 1 hour to several days, RTT measurements exhibit characteristic patterns due to inter and intra-AS routing changes and traffic engineering, in addition to link congestion. We propose the use of a nonparametric Bayesian method to fully estimate HMM parameters from delay observations, including the number of states. We validate the model through three applications: the clustering of RIPE Atlas measurements, the detection of significant delay changes, and the reduction of the monitoring cost in routing overlays using Markov decision processes.
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