Chapter 3 Supply and Demand • What a competitive market is and how it is described by the supply and demand model • What the demand curve and supply curve are • The difference between movements along a curve and shifts of a curve • How the supply and demand curves determine a market’s equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity • In the case of a shortage or surplus, how price moves the market back to equilibrium 1 Supply and Demand A competitive market: Many buyers and sellers Same good or service The supply and demand model is a model of how a competitive market works. Five key elements: Demand curve Supply curve Demand and supply curve shifts Market equilibrium Changes in the market equilibrium 2 Demand Schedule A demand schedule shows how much of a good or service consumers will want to buy at different prices. The idea reflects the willingness to pay and how it changes with price. always catches their attention. For example, iPhones and iPods. Demand Schedule for Cotton Price of cotton (per pound) Quantity of cotton demanded (billions of pounds) $2.00 7.1 1.75 7.5 1.50 8.1 1.25 8.9 1.00 10.0 0.75 11.5 0.50 14.2 Demand Curve Price of cotton (per pound) A demand curve is the graphical representation of the demand schedule. It shows how much of a good or service consumers want to buy at any given price. $2.00 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 0 As price rises, the quantity demanded falls 7 9 Demand curve, D 11 13 15 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) 4 GLOBAL COMPARISON: Pay More, Pump Less… Because of high taxes, gasoline and diesel fuel are more than twice as expensive in most European countries as in the United States. Price of gasoline (per gallon) Germany $8 According to the Law of Demand, Europeans should buy less gasoline than Americans, and they do. 7 Europeans consume less than half as much fuel as Americans, mainly because they drive smaller cars with better mileage. 4 6 United Kingdom Italy France Spain Japan 5 Canada 3 0 United States 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 Consumption of gasoline (gallons per day per capita) 5 An Increase in Demand An increase in population and other factors generate an increase in demand. a rise in the quantity demanded at any given price This is represented by the two demand schedules—one showing demand in 2007, before the rise in population, the other showing demand in 2010, after the rise in population. Demand Schedules for Cotton Price of cotton (per pound) Quantity of cotton demanded (billions of pounds) in 2007 in 2010 $2.00 1.75 7.1 8.5 7.5 9.0 1.50 8.1 9.7 1.25 8.9 10.0 10.7 12.0 11.5 13.8 14.2 17.0 1.00 0.75 0.50 An Increase in Demand Price of cotton (per pound) $2.00 Increase in population more cotton clothing users 1.75 Demand curve in 2010 1.50 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 0 Demand curve in 2007 7 9 D 11 13 1 15 D 2 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) A shift of the demand curve is a change in the quantity demanded at any given price, represented by the change of the original demand curve to a new position, denoted by a new demand curve. 7 Movement Along the Demand Curve A movement along the demand curve is a change in the quantity demanded of a good that is the result of a change in that good’s price. Price of cotton (per pound) A shift of the demand curve… $2.00 1.75 A 1.50 … is not the same thing as a movement along the demand curve C 1.25 B 1.00 0.75 0.50 0 D 7 8.1 9.7 10 13 1 15 D 2 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) 8 Shifts of the Demand Curve Price Increase in demand A “decrease in demand” An “increase in demand” means a leftward shift of means a rightward shift of the demand curve: the demand curve: at any given price, at any given price, consumers demand a consumers demand a larger smaller quantity than quantity than before. before. (D1D2) (D1D3) Decrease in demand D 3 D 1 D 2 Quantity 9 What Causes a Demand Curve to Shift? Changes in the Prices of Related Goods Substitutes: Two goods are substitutes if a fall in the price of one of the goods makes consumers less willing to buy the other good. Complements: Two goods are complements if a fall in the price of one good makes people more willing to buy the other good. Changes in Income Normal Goods: When a rise in income increases the demand for a good — the normal case — we say that the good is a normal good. Inferior Goods: When a rise in income decreases the demand for a good, it is an inferior good. Changes in Tastes Changes in Expectations 10 Individual Demand Curve and the Market Demand Curve The market demand curve is the horizontal sum of the individual demand curves of all consumers in that market. (a) Darla’s Individual Demand Curve (c) Market Demand Curve (b) Dino’s Individual Demand Curve Price of blue jeans (per pair) Price of blue jeans (per pair) Price of blue jeans (per pair) $30 $30 $30 D Market 1 1 1 DDarla 0 3 4 Quantity of blue jeans (pounds) D Dino 0 2 3 Quantity of blue jeans (pounds) 0 5 6 7 Quantity of blue jeans (pounds) 11 ECONOMICS IN ACTION Beating the Traffic If we think of an auto trip to the city center as a good that people consume, we can use the economics of demand to analyze anti-traffic policies. One common strategy is to reduce the demand for auto trips by lowering the prices of substitutes. Many metropolitan areas subsidize bus and rail service, hoping to lure commuters out of their cars. An alternative is to raise the price of complements: several major U.S. cities impose high taxes on commercial parking garages and impose short time limits on parking meters, both to raise revenue and to discourage people from driving into the city. 12 ECONOMICS IN ACTION Beating the Traffic A few major cities—including Singapore, London, Oslo, Stockholm, and Milan— have been willing to adopt a direct and politically controversial approach: reducing congestion by raising the price of driving. Under “congestion pricing” (or “congestion charging” in the United Kingdom), a charge is imposed on cars entering the city center during business hours. The current daily cost of driving in London ranges from £9 to £12. And drivers who are caught not paying are issued a fine of £120 for each transgression. • Studies have shown that after the implementation of congestion pricing, traffic does indeed decrease. The introduction of its congestion charge in 2003 immediately reduced traffic in the London city center by about 15%, with overall traffic falling by 21% between 2002 and 2006. And there was increased use of substitutes, such as public transportation, bicycles, motorbikes, and ride-sharing. 13 Supply Schedule A supply schedule shows how much of a good or service would be supplied at different prices. Supply Schedule for Cotton Price of cotton (per pound) Quantity of cotton supplied (billions of pounds) $2.00 11.6 1.75 11.5 1.50 11.2 1.25 10.7 1.00 10.0 0.75 9.1 0.50 8.0 Supply Curve Price of cotton (per pound) A supply curve shows graphically how much of a good or service people are willing to sell at any given price. Supply curve, S $2.00 1.75 1.50 As price rises, the quantity supplied rises. 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 0 7 9 11 13 15 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) 15 An Increase in Supply The adoption of improved cottongrowing technology generated an increase in supply — a rise in the quantity supplied at any given price. This event is represented by the two supply schedules — and their corresponding supply curves one showing supply before the new technology was adopted the other showing supply after the new technology was adopted Supply Schedule for Cotton Price of cotton (per pound) Quantity of cotton supplied (billions of pounds) Before new technology After new technology $2.00 11.6 13.9 1.75 11.5 13.8 1.50 11.2 13.4 1.25 10.7 12.8 1.00 10.0 12.0 0.75 9.1 10.9 0.50 8.0 9.6 An Increase in Supply Price of cotton (per pound) S $2.00 Technology adoption in cotton-growing business more cotton producers 1 S 2 Supply curve before new technology 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 Supply curve after new technology 0.75 0.50 0 7 9 11 13 15 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) A shift of the supply curve is a change in the quantity supplied of a good at any given price. 17 Movement Along the Supply Curve Price of cotton (per pound) A movement along the supply curve… $2.00 S 2 S 1 1.75 1.50 B 1.25 A 1.00 C … is not the same thing as a shift of the supply curve 0.75 0.50 0 7 10 11.2 12 15 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) A movement along the supply curve is a change in the quantity supplied of a good that is the result of a change in that good’s price. 18 Shifts of the Supply Curve Price S 3 S 1 S 2 Increase in supply Any Any “decrease “increase in supply” means a rightward leftward shift shiftof ofthe the supply curve: at any at any given given price, price, there there is an increase is a decrease in thein the quantity quantity supplied. supplied. (S1 (S1 SS2) 3) Decrease in supply Quantity 19 What Causes a Supply Curve to Shift? Changes in input prices An input is a good that is used to produce another good. Changes in the prices of related goods and services Changes in technology Changes in expectations Changes in the number of producers 20 Individual Supply Curve and the Market Supply Curve The market supply curve is the horizontal sum of the individual supply curves of all firms in that market. (b) Mr. Liu’s Individual Supply Curve (a) Mr. Silva’s Individual Supply Curve Price of cotton (per pound) Price of cotton (per pound) SSilva $2 1 0 Price of cotton (per pound) SLiu $2 2 3 Quantity of cotton (thousands of pounds) 0 SMarket $2 1 1 (c) Market Supply Curve 1 1 2 Quantity of cotton (thousands of pounds) 0 1 2 3 4 5 Quantity of cotton (thousands of pounds) 21 Supply, Demand and Equilibrium Equilibrium in a competitive market: when the quantity demanded of a good equals the quantity supplied of that good The price at which this takes place is the equilibrium price (or market-clearing price) Every buyer finds a seller and vice versa. The quantity of the good bought and sold at that price is the equilibrium quantity. 22 Market Equilibrium Price of cotton (per pound) Supply $2.00 1.75 Market equilibrium occurs at point E, where the supply curve and the demand curve intersect. 1.50 1.25 Equilibrium 1.00 price E Equilibrium 0.75 0.50 0 Demand 7 10 Equilibrium quantity 13 15 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) 23 Surplus Price of cotton (per pound) There is a surplus of a good when the quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded. Surpluses occur when the price is above its equilibrium level. Supply $2.00 1.75 Surplus 1.50 1.25 E 1.00 0.75 0.50 0 Demand 7 8.1 Quantity demanded 10 11.2 Quantity supplied 13 15 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) 24 Shortage Price of cotton (per pound) There is a shortage of a good when the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied. Shortages occur when the price is below its equilibrium level. Supply $2.00 1.75 1.50 1.25 E 1.00 0.75 Shortage 0.50 0 7 9.1 10 Quantity supplied 11.5 Quantity demanded Demand 13 15 17 Quantity of cotton (billions of pounds) 25 ECONOMICS IN ACTION The Price of Admission Compare the box office price for a recent Justin Timberlake concert in Miami, Florida, to the StubHub.com price for seats in the same location: $88.50 versus $155. • Why is there such a big difference in prices? For major events, buying tickets from the box office means waiting in very long lines. Some ticket buyers who use Internet resellers have decided that the opportunity cost of their time is too high to spend waiting in line. For the major events, when box offices sell tickets at face value, tickets often sell out within minutes. In this case, some people who want to go to the concert badly, but missed out on the opportunity to buy cheaper tickets from the box office, are willing to pay the higher Internet reseller price. 26 Equilibrium and Shifts of the Demand Curve Price of cotton An increase in demand… E P Price rises … leads to a movement along the supply curve due to a higher equilibrium price and higher equilibrium quantity. 2 2 E P Supply 1 1 D 2 D1 Q 1 Q 2 Quantity of cotton Quantity rises 27 Equilibrium and Shifts of the Supply Curve Price of cotton S 2 P S 1 E2 2 Price rises P A decrease in supply… … leads to a movement along the demand curve due to a higher equilibrium price and lower equilibrium quantity. E1 1 Demand Q 2 Q 1 Quantity falls Quantity of cotton 28 Technology Shifts of the Supply Curve An increase in supply … Price S1 S2 E1 Price falls P1 E2 P2 … leads to a movement along the demand curve to a lower equilibrium price and higher equilibrium quantity. Technological innovation: In the early 1970s, engineers learned how to put microscopic electronic components onto a silicon chip; progress in the technique has allowed ever more components to be put on each chip. Demand Q1 Q2 Quantity Quantity increases 29 Simultaneous Shifts of Supply and Demand (a) One Possible Outcome: Price Rises, Quantity Rises Small decrease in supply Price of cotton E P 2 S 1 2 The increase in demand Two opposing forces dominates the in determining thedecrease equilibrium supply. quantity. 2 E P S 1 1 D D Q 1 1 Q2 2 Large increase in demand Quantity of cotton 30 Simultaneous Shifts of Supply and Demand (b) Another Possible Outcome: Price Rises, Quantity Falls Price of cotton Large decrease in supply S 2 S E P 2 2 E P D D Q Two opposing The decrease in forces supply determining the in dominates the increase equilibrium quantity. demand. Small increase in demand 1 1 Q 2 1 1 2 1 Quantity of cotton 31 Simultaneous Shifts of Supply and Demand We can make the following predictions about the outcome when the supply and demand curves shift simultaneously: Simultaneous Shifts of Supply and Demand Supply Increases Supply Decreases Demand Increases Price: ambiguous Quantity: up Price: up Quantity: ambiguous Demand Decreases Price: down Quantity: ambiguous Price: ambiguous Quantity: down 32 ECONOMICS IN ACTION The Rice Run of 2008 The factors that lay behind the surge in rice prices were both demand-related and supply-related: growing incomes in China and India, traditionally large consumers of rice; drought in Australia; and pest infestation in Vietnam. But it was hoarding by farmers, panic buying by consumers, and an export ban by India, one of the largest exporters of rice, that explained the breathtaking speed of the rise in price. In much of Asia, governments are major buyers of rice. They buy rice from their rice farmers, who are paid a government-set price, and then sell it to the poor at subsidized prices (prices lower than the market equilibrium price). Now, even farmers in rural areas of Asia have access to the Internet and can see the price quotes on global rice exchanges. 33 ECONOMICS IN ACTION 34 ECONOMICS IN ACTION The Rice Run of 2008 And as rice prices rose in response to changes in demand and supply, farmers grew dissatisfied with the government price and instead hoarded their rice in the belief that they would eventually get higher prices. This was a self-fulfilling belief, as the hoarding shifted the supply curve leftward and raised the price of rice even further. 35 VIDEO TED TALK—Shaffi Mather: A new way to fight corruption: http://www.ted.com/talks/shaffi_mather_a_new_way_to_fig ht_corruption.html 36