Too Early, Too Late, Now What?

Too Early, Too Late, now what?

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Table of Contents

2019 A Foreward on Then and Now

2019-Environmental Deterioration, Evolving

2019-The Researcher, Questioning

Acknowledgments: Family, Friends, Colleagues

Preface

Conclusions, 2019

1979 - The Dissertation Thesis

Chapter 1: Relations

1.1 Human Nature

1.2 Deterioration, resulting from Humans wanting to be Artificial

1.3 Entropy and Man’s Future: Ignore, Deny or Defy

1.4 Deterioration, Beyond the Entropic

1.5 In Search of the Artificial

1.6 Can Humans Access the 4th Dimension?

1.7 To Manage the Human Project in Five Dimensions

Chapter 2: Regulations

2.1 Humans Regulating Humans

2.2 Perceptual Environments leading to the Conceptual

2.3 Attempts at Regulating Humans

2.4 Regulation Options: A) To manage the bad or B) To seek the good

Chapter 3: Changelessness and Change

3.1 Changelessness, a Human Preference, against Natural Change

3.2 A Prognosis for Human Deterioration

3.3 The Problem Area

Chapter 4: Regulation of Relations and Change

4.1 Regulation of Relationships

4.2 Type I: Regulation of Man to Nature (Technology’s Domain)

4.3 Type II: Regulation of Man to the Man-Made (Technique Domain)

4.4 Type III: Regulation of Man to Man (The Social Domain)

4.5 Type IV: Regulation of Man to Self (Psychological Doman)

4.6 Rethinking Regulation, To Encourage Business as Unusual

Chapter 5: Introduction to the Theory

5.1 Complexity and its Regulation

5.2 Formal and Informal Problem Solving

5.3 Definitions

5.4 Postulates

5.5 Hypotheses

5.6 Evaluation

5.7 Contextual Comparison of Regulation Modes

5.8 Comparisons of Municipal Treatment of Sewage

5.9 Industrial Pollution Sources

Chapter 6: Researching Environmental Protection Regulation

6.1 The Research Project

6.2 Research Method

6.3 Data Collection and Major Participants

6.4 The Research Domain

6.5 The Research Sponsor

Chapter 7: The Research Report

7.1 Summary of the Research

7.2 Conclusions from the Report

7.3 Evidence from the Research: Specific Cases

7.4 Issues that can be Generalized

Chapter 8: Regulation as Integrative

8.1 Integration and Disintegration Processes

8.2 Dialectical Concepts

8.3 Integration as a Dialectical Concept

8.4 Adaptation

8.5 Social Regulation Towards Integration

Chapter 9: Towards Business as Unusual

9.1 A New Idea(l) of Regulation

9.2 Legalism

9.3 Anarchism

9.4 Seeking a Better Way Forward

9.5 Summary – Appreciative or Legalistic Mode

9.6 Conclusions

References

2019 A Foreward on Then and Now

Then was 1979. Now is 2019. In what follows much comes from then, with a touch from now, and a concern for those who must occupy tomorrow. Normally, with a forty-year gap in an endeavor, the back-then serves as a baseline. Success can thus be measured in managing the initial concern. From this we can propose measures for improving success. Such will not be found herein.

There has been no success in applying findings of very concerned company and government people forty years ago. They saw an urgent need to control environmental deterioration resulting from human activities. They helped recommend a new model for regulation. The situation was fluid, not fixed, and in need of ideas for business as unusual in both private and public organizations. Back then it was shown how deterioration was expanding and efforts to regulate and limit such were turning bad into worse.

The situation of environmental deterioration can no longer be addressed via expanded research, invention of new technologies or in modifications in meeting humans needs and wants in adjustments to the current neo-classical economic model. We have moved beyond those somewhat understood traditional responses. We now face the consequences of greatly expanded environmental deterioration. It is now culminating in very dire phenomena such as the one only briefly mentioned in the 1977 study called climate change. The best information now suggests humans must move from their business as usual responses to meeting the very real human bio-needs while completely rethinking the holographic domain of human psycho-wants.

Humans need to find responses of a different logical type. The tradition of reductionistic, analytically managed processes in search of cause-effect conclusions, that we have long been so proud of as human science and development are not helpful when dealing with systems. Our relying on such to distinguish humans from nature probably needs to be left behind. For example, turning to tougher legislation applied by sterner governance based on causal logic will lead to little success. Such seems to move success further away, as the study documented forty years ago. Therein deterioration grew as one of the effects of punishment via threats. It seems timely to turn away from that stream of business as usual, and not emphasize its value. Elsewhere, there are signs of optimism, such as in reintroducing longer-term values. Via Consequential Managers replacing MBA managers we could manage to humans to manage industrialization with models to address the longer-term deterioration harm in decision points from short-term economic valuation.

A human future awaits a serious concern for living systems on our planet, not its further degradation. We need to find a way to better judge the seeming need for relying on 2-dimensional regulations, as based on 1-dimensional thoughts and ideologies arising from pointless wants for individual power. We need, urgently, to look for differences that can make a difference. While aspects of what follows can be said to be complex, we might keep in mind how accusing something of being complicated has long been the best excuse for retaining business as usual. We need to urgently seek business as unusual.

The research discussed herein originating fifty years ago. It came from obvious signs of environmental deterioration beginning to have consequential impacts for humans. The actions of humans leading to deterioration had been undertaken in the name of improving human lifestyles. The research showed that humans were not very concerned about the consequences of this choice. They did not want to leave economic development based on economic development based on the eternal Faustian Bargain, and its shadow known as the Faustian Tragedy. The logical conclusion of this kind of bargaining with the human future was central to the work of Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen as best represented in his 1971 thesis that current economic models are entropic aids, and end in additional deterioration.

A modified thesis then emerged after several years of research begun in 1975 at the Stockholm School of Economics. It found there to be no viable way to fix neo-classical economics, nor improve traditional governance to slow deterioration of the natural environment. We, my friend Gunnar Hedlund and I, then proposed a move to business as unusual based on developing a non-Faustian economics model. Attempts were made to test this in economic and social development, all in line with expanded appreciation of life’s context – nature. The model was to show examples of rejecting human subservient to the ideal of the artificial. To date, the success in this effort has been minimal. Gunnar’s 1996 death from a chemically initiated brain tumor was then treated with radiation to fix the problem. After his death the surgeon published a paper on how radiation fixed the cancer problem. Unfortunately, it fixed the patient as well. The world of the artificial and its expansion continued.

The central issue forty years ago was with the deterioration consequences from an economic model that made dollars, but little sense. The model politically justified a model of production and consumption activities, one that made even less sense to life’s continuance then its economic end. The model focused on expansion of the idea of industrialization production and then product use; all presuming eventual regulation of its harmful to life consequences.

The study began with concern for industrialized consequences to nature in light of a nineteen-sixties acceptance that environmental deterioration was the price of life. Those in the study were looking for more effective ways of regulation, to manage the undesirable from producing the desired. Economists in the study argued that the contemporary model would adjust to resolve the problem. A group now known as ecological economists argued for going much further with regulation via price manipulations.

A friend and mentor, Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen, argued against that title, pointing out ecology would consume economics. I agreed with him, yet ecological economy greatly expanded in the next thirty years. So too has environmental deterioration. Perhaps something deeper is at work; something that relates to nature, each other and us? Just now I’m much less optimistic about finding a way out from the prognosis of our decline. Ecological economics seems more like another pacifier, in the same class as the pattern of purposeful recycling. We take our trash to the curb. It goes away from our view. It is not seen again, except in trash dumbs or floating in the oceans. We seem to invest little in experimenting with radical recipes of business as unusual, a location where schools and enterprises need to go.

Late in the study, with the deep collaboration of major Petro-chemical leaders, the notion that a phenomenon called climate change was emerging emerged. This would take humans far faster and further towards a fateful end then the deterioration effects known in prior science. It seemed to pose as a determinant of the human fate. Climate change would be the consequence of continuation of business as usual. Since that time, evidence for the effects of climate change consequences has greatly expanded. The obvious question becomes: how far have we come in developing innovative alternatives to business as usual in four decades? What should business as unusual have come to look like? How can we encourage more of it, but what is it? Business as usual and the consequences from it seen in production and consumption, then deterioration, is clear, then seen as clearly a threat.

It is important to step back and remind ourselves that we have long had an underlying dilemma behind our ideal of human prosperity. Any projection of industrial consequences from economic thinking, via business as usual, seems bleak. Research from forty years ago suggested that the consequences were sufficiently dire and that usual ideas of problem regulation were becoming insufficient. Since then, that fear has become reality. A new model of regulation is now needed or a new definition of social civilization. The argument about shortfalls in regulation of environmental deterioration is informative to our current challenge. If nothing else, it seems to serve as a benchmark of man-nature relations, to see what progress has been made in appreciating that relation, or not. Comparing the conversations from now to the research then allows some understanding the conditions of life, and their prospects.

More now sense the human situation as becoming dire. Some progress has been made to improve understanding the situation, but not in improving it. If worsening, do we at least understand why and what needs to be done? For four decades did we at least come to learn the role of humans in being problematic, and what they need to change? Can we respond to what now?

That seventies study found that tradition regulation was not working, and possibly could never work. It did find small signs of hope in non-hierarchical management of the network form. With some humor this came to be known in the project as a more anarchistic¹ version of human regulation. It somehow operated to bring out more innovative, more non-rational, repairs to a situation via what came to be a negotiated order. It was far more interesting and much more successful then reliance of the false success in the rationality of legal order methods. Thus, it seems important that we review ideas from the research of 1975-1977 to better regulate environmental deterioration.

The strength of negotiated order was seen in the appreciation it required. The weakness of the legal order was seen in the hollow threats it depended upon but could seldom deliver. Now that social organizations are shifting to a network form of management, via internet, IT and AI, it seems timely to shift this model to how humans relate to nature, and each other. Why do we not do so? We still concentrate on seeking more effective means of threating via tougher legal orders.

Much of this book was submitted to the Systems Sciences Program, Wharton School of Business, University of Pennsylvania as a dissertation. Back then, it was controversial. It is presented again to see if the controversy continues. Most university-based scientists saw it as speculation on the hopeless. They argued that there were economic measures to quickly correct the problem of deterioration, if indeed there was a problem. Some went deeper to point out that if the environment deteriorated to the extent projected, beyond economics, then society could shift to tougher and more threatening regulations via collective political will. Now, as the deterioration situation arrives, political leaders mostly go into hiding beneath it.

The 1979 work showed how more and tougher legislation would not solve problems of deterioration. They were systemic and not to be understood in analysis. Perhaps there is now hope for change as there is greater appreciation of the systemic over the analytic and more evidence of the urgency for change. Against this is the considerable evidence that the reasons for hopelessness are omnipresent. Many humans still portray nature as irrelevant to their life, or its enemy. The disrespect for nature and others is now more clearly seen as disrespect of self, and dilemmas of the selfish.

The research attitude shortcoming in relating to self was found to stand in the way of human concern for what was called environmental deterioration. In 1979 the concern was seen to be beyond the capability of environmental protection regulation. In 2019 the concern is seen to be beyond management capabilities of science, technology and industry.

Mentioning concern for climate change from environmental deterioration in 1979 often halted a conversation. Back then the Head of the US EPA, Douglas Costle, sent me a letter with all copies of my reports he could locate writing: We have no further use of these reports, your research, or you. I will ensure no government funding ever supports your further research.

Today, the subject often starts conversations but usually turns to much acrimony on all sides of the concern. Some, mostly scientists, fear there will be no human future on the planet. Others, mostly consultants to business, become angry at any call for radical changes to business as usual due to projected disasters. The second group quote from many sources, including the Bible, to argue why nature is a resource to be used at human will. Some argue how business as usual practices, with masculine leadership, are sacrosanct to human life. Others become very angry about any arguments of moving to business as unusual. They see it as a door to anarchy, with anarchy defined as a bad as the French and Americans so defined it. This differs from the rest of the world, including the Greeks that defined the idea. As such, concepts of how humans relate to each other, and themselves, seals the problem for how they relate to nature. Our hope in 2019 is that some of the world’s leading businesspeople² are already operating well into the world of business as unusual.

¹ This was of the Kropotkin, i.e., Socratic and Lao Tzu, form of anarchism as self-governance of human-generated problems that mattered most. These tended to be too much a part of being human to be handled via legal order from legal analysis leading to targeted threaten.

² These would include the leaders of such firms as IKEA, China State Construction, and a few IT companies.

2019-Environmental Deterioration, Evolving

In 1979, the dean of the Wharton School was upset with the project described herein. He did not see environmental deterioration as a concern for business. He thought students should concentrate on learning business as usual before going off and speculating on Hawk’s business as unusual. He also became concerned about research into issues like anarchy, which Hawk had called self-governance in organizations of the network form. Reviewers of the time did note that environmental deterioration did seem to be better addressed via expanded innovation encouraged in the network form. This dean’s appraisal was not his fault. He was speaking for his Wharton business leadership council of mostly Americans. They were firmly in and from business as usual. They seemed determined to protect that legacy.

1979 business leadership closely aligned itself with the Catholic tradition of management control and responsibility via fixed hierarchies. For them, the emergence of Information Technology was mostly more of the same, of science fiction humor, that could eventually help them firm up the hierarchy of control. Within the research, as described later into environmental deterioration from factor operations, hierarchies were valuable, but mostly for cataloguing the bad, not for encouraging ventures of the good. With a Herbert Simon hierarchy, workers would go home after commenting, It’s not my problem. Within an Eric Trist type autonomous workgroup, the more likely response was We need to fix this, any ideas?

Many in the study expressed concern about the meaning of life beyond the fight of man versus nature. They asked if there were approaches to life that could avoid the war against nature they were involved in, and that resulting in environmental deterioration? Perhaps humans cannot manage such change? In attempting to bring humility to being human, Stephen Hawking points out:

The human race is just a chemical scum on a moderate-sized planet, orbiting around a very average star in the outer suburb of one among a hundred billion galaxies. And that I can’t believe the whole universe exists for our benefit. That would be like saying that you would disappear if I closed my eyes. ³

The dominant purpose herein is to redevelop the idea of regulation in a way that can enhance the opportunities for the desirable potentials of mankind to emerge, not threaten what is seen as undesirable. Current modes of social regulation predominantly attempt to restrict the undesirable characteristics of mankind. Several modes of social regulation are outlined and investigated in this dissertation with respect to their ability to control complex societal problem issues.

The focus for the dissertation is environmental deterioration. The environment is conceptually analyzed in terms of man’s relations to nature, the man-made environment, other men and himself, (no disrespect is intended towards women as the term men is used as an abbreviation of mankind in general). This conceptual scheme is narrowed down with an empirical research focus on the specific domain of attempts to regulate pollution from industrial production facilities.

As there is a final report from the research project which this dissertation is based on, the empirical evidence is only outlined in this document. The research report is titled Environmental Protection: Analytical Solutions in Search of Synthetic Problems, 1977. The report is available from the Institute of International Business at the Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm, Sweden. The author is the same as of this dissertation.

The dissertation is the conceptual realization of a thesis derived from the research data. The reporting pointed to difficulties in the current operation of environmental protection. This dissertation places those difficulties within a context. Many of the difficulties relate to the extensive use of the mode of regulation I shall call Legalism, which is inappropriate for describing complexity. An alternative mode of regulation is formulated and proposed within the dissertation which offers a more desirable response to complexity. The alternative mode I have called Appreciation.

This document can stand alone conceptually, but if you need the empirical basis you need to look into the three original research reports done at the Institute of International Business, Stockholm, Sweden. It chronicles economic motivations leading to industrialization practices that end in deterioration of the environment, the environment humans depend on. Each practice is seen to have strong economic argumentation, when see in bi-polar studies. Business as unusual would instead make use of the both plus more attitude and model of synthesis. In business as usual evidence is used to ensure facts showing how one side is right, usually the side that pays for the study. With business as unusual, the management function looks beyond the hoped-for results and includes the longer-term consequences as part of the price. The process begins in can it be true, then is it true for me, then what can we do about it? Humans seem unready to avoid the consequences of their values in actions that will deteriorate.

Clearly, human activities on earth have led to deterioration of its environment in terms of loss of biodiversity, pollution, depletion of natural resources, massive landscape conversion to artificial uses, defaunation, and a warming climate.⁴ Business as usual practices will soon lead to no business between humans and nature. What is most difficult to appreciate about all this is that as the consequences of some actions become clearer, we humans seem to expand them and emphasize doing the wrong things more efficiently, not exploring what innovation of the alternative can achieve. It’s Too Late, is used in a special way in this book. This point will be examined in more detail later, but somehow human hope springs from feeling a threat is so omnipresent as to define hopelessness in its too late. Once its perceived to be too late in a human setting leadership goes into hiding, or falls back, thus giving the opportunity to experiment with business as unusual.

Can someone instead prepare to write a different book, one that picks of the pieces of the past that are not linked to deterioration, and that allows for a tunnel of hope out of this mess and towards a new future? In theory it could all have been different, yet why was in not different? The United Nations’ Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem panel report concluded that about 10% of the 8.7 million living organisms will soon go extinct due to activities set up to serve humans.⁵ From that scary beginning, the rate of demise is to expand.

³ Hawking, Stephen, Reality on the Rocks TV series (AP), aired, March 6,2016.

⁴ E. Stokstad, Science 364, p. 517-518, 2019.

⁵ J. Tollefson, Nature 569, p. 171, 2019.

2019-The Researcher, Questioning

I have seen little change in the attitude of human predominance over all things since I was working in the family garden on the family farm at the age of four. I could not understand why humans needed to be so artificial while opposed to the natural. Back then, I remember asking why is it this way? My family thought I was funny.

- Later, when I was thirteen, I was banned from attendance in my local church for related questions.

- When I was fifteen, I was elected president of my 4H chapter. My first act was to close it. I argued that the members treated their animals very badly and should not hide that behavior under the shadow of 4H.

- When I was seventeen, I became president of my local Future Farmers of America Chapter. I had campaigned to halt a high school program set up to make the world a better place. The program assigned points to students who brought in bags of animal and bird parts, including heads, to school on Monday mornings. School employees would then inspect such and assign points. This had been set up to help extinguish the local pests and varmints. Such was thought to help in a better way of life. On closer inspection the Monday morning evidence revealed how the occasional cat or dog could be defined as a pest while some argued that such can be pesky as well. Administration halted the program but only for a bit, and with anger towards any who appeared to disrespect their authority in having and managing such a program. As punishment, I was not allowed admission to college preparatory math or English during high school.

- When I was eighteen, I was given the Isaac Walton award for writing an article in the local newspaper that kept local government from removing a large bird-filled tree from a stream. Government officials had argued how life would be improved and safer for humans if the storm water ran away faster.

- Ten years later, as an architect, I had the responsibility for doing an Environmental Impact Statement Review for a proposed ten-thousand-person housing development in Florida. After the review process, with Federal and State approval, I recommended a design which proposed the retention of swamps and minimal human impacts to the nature on the site. When I presented the approval document to the developer, he threw it and the proposed design into his trash can. His expression was: Now we can get to work. He thus returned to his ideas of business as usual, clearing and leveling the property.

- Two years later I entered the Wharton School PhD program in systems sciences. The work described here was carried out and written up while in that program. I avoided science steeped in cause-effect charting from analytical thinking after segmenting, reducing and redacting problems. Consistent with systems sciences, the work herein looks at problems in terms of relationships, in a context, not effects from causes, where the causes are to be regulated and governed without appreciation of context.

Regardless of news reports I see little change in human thinking and behavior since I was four. Perhaps there is now greater anger at many things, including the environment and each other. The research discussed herein includes that as a major departure from business as usual.

After the concern for environmental deterioration seen herein was presented to faculty of the Wharton School, it was found acceptable a year later by seven professors at the University. Five ended up being drawn from schools outside of business. Seven questions were raised by that group during its review. They reveal much about the research topic, and its context then and now.

1) Why would a student in the Wharton Business School attempt research into the prognosis of human continuance relative to growing environmental deterioration from economic activities? I responded at the time that it appeared as a good doorway into problems in business and humans that mattered.

2) Why would business school faculty advisors allow such? My advisors — Russell Ackoff, Hasan Ozbekhan, and Eric Trist – strongly supported what I believed I should work on. All three were unusual humans. Based on their stature in the university the concern against my work was dropped.

3) Why did the research need to be moved to Sweden, and not be based in the USA? I asked the committee to reference any similar research projects they could find based in US institutions. They found none on the subject as framed, with such enthusiastic governmental and corporate involvement, especially not at US business schools.

4) Why did the review committee of 1978 need to be expanded from three to five professors from several departments, and then again expanded to seven? I was only told it was because of the range of disciplines involved in the study.

5) Why did it then take one year of review to gain approval of the evidence for the thesis? The normal review is a few weeks. Meeting notes seen afterwards showed committee concern that humans were the cause of human, then environmental troubles. They felt speculation on things like climate change should be dropped. It was kept.

6) Why did Wharton’s Dean refuse to sign off on the approved document? He commented: I do not see what environmental deterioration has to do with business. I responded to him agreeing with his statement. He clearly did not see the connection.

7) Why did only one of the four approved volumes get sent to the University of Pennsylvania Library archives, and none were ever forwarded to the University of Michigan PhD Abstracts?

These questions were then addressed twenty years later in a European Conference held to discuss environmental concerns. After an additional twenty years many say the area of study is obviously worthwhile, yet the answers await discovery. Some say the answers are obvious, but there is disagreement about the nature of obvious. A few now say the only question that now confronts humans is to decide on: Which scientist, representing which discipline, will write the most humanly significant book ever