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2025 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress (Part 12)

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  • Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2020
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    #1206053111

    Demi won’t be nominated imo. The role is too out there and frankly, she didn’t have any Oscar moment in the movie. Demi’s reward is the GG nom.

    Lmao Demi is killing it so far, hasn’t missed anything AND her movie is overperforming too. She’s top 3.

    Joined:
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    #1206053119

    We’re in a post-EEAAO world now. If Demi runs the play that daring roles like this don’t come around for actresses this stage in their career (indirectly reminding everyone of her long career), which by all accounts she is, she will win. Academy voters aren’t going to give this to Madison or Gascon who most of them are just seeing them for the first time over someone they’ve been at dinners with for 40 years.

    That is really not how Best Actress has ever worked. For Best Actor, yeah, you generally need to have been around for a while; they’re fine with recognizing fresh younger talent in Best Actress.

    Her chances of a win make or break on her winning the Globe. If she loses that to Madison she’s done even if SAG look the other direction because the SAG telecast won’t happen until after Oscar voting is done this year.

    That doesn’t really make sense. If Moore were to win SAG, she clearly has significant guild support. Everyone doesn’t just decide based on what happens at the Golden Globes.

    Joined:
    Nov 4th, 2010
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    #1206053121

    Apparently Maria has become a streaming hit.

    Pardon? A Larrain film being a hit? Not for your average pleeb (not we gders of course)

    The Sunne in Splendour.
    I prefer my roses white

    "I want you to know, I will love you as long as I breathe"
    Paul Atreides

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    Apr 8th, 2023
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    #1206053140

    Everyone doesn’t just decide based on what happens at the Golden Globes.

    Of course. But awads races are built on momentum and just last year we saw SAG have limited influence on the race due to their telecast occurring deep into voting (whilst BAFTA happened as soon as it started). A SAG win would give Moore a much-needed boost in the race if the final round of Oscar voting was still open but given it won’t be this year it might wind up being too late. On the flip side of that if she were to win the Globe over Madison — and then CC — she would be looking at being the strongest contender in her category going into both the nominations and winners round of voting. Even a potential BAFTA loss wouldn’t be something I would neccessarily hold too strongly against her in that scenario because they’re taking place during the final stretches of Oscar voting like SAG was last year (although I suppose one could argue that gives them more relevance than any winter precursor because they’ll be the most significant industry body to announce winners before voting ends).

    TV FYC: Kevin Kline ("Disclaimer), Bridget Everett ("Somebody Somewhere"), Severance in all categories

    Give Meg Ryan the Oscar vehicle she deserves!

    Joined:
    Oct 3rd, 2024
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    #1206053147

    Apparently Maria has become a streaming hit. Pardon? A Larrain film being a hit? Not for your average pleeb (not we gders of course)

    It’s been a day, so streaming hit is a big word lol But it debuted #4 on Netflix US, honestly pretty great for that type of movie. I didn’t even think it would enter the top 10 like Emilia Perez failed to do, so color me surprised

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    Jun 25th, 2023
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    #1206053157

    Didn’t blonde do good numbers? Ana is less famous than jolie

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    Oct 3rd, 2024
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    #1206053168

    Blonde was about Marilyn Monroe just one of the biggest celebrities ever. And there was a huge buzz/controversy surrounding the movie. So two different situations here

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