In conclusion, LDHE is an integral construct that offers a multi-dimensional view of leadership in higher education. As Cyprus navigates the complexities of incorporating AI into its educational sector, a comprehensive understanding of LDHE, enriched by the variables of AI literacy and the ongoing impacts of COVID-19, becomes increasingly vital.
2.4. Hypotheses Development
Based on these theories, the following hypotheses are developed:
H1: University Presidents will have a positive relationship with transformative LDHE.
The central argument underpinning Hypothesis 1 (H1) is rooted in the notion that different leadership positions within higher education institutions wield varying degrees of influence over LDHE. This term encapsulates a style of leadership that not only manages and maintains existing institutional systems but also envisions and enacts substantial changes that serve to improve those systems fundamentally Farrukh et al., (2022)[
14]; Floyd, (2022)[
15]; Hersey & Blanchard, (1977)[
31]; Kosonen & Ikonen, (2022)[
21]; Mukaram et al., (2021)[
22]; Mukerji & Tripathi, (2020)[
16]; Nguyen et al., (2023)[
24]; Ren et al., (2021)[
17]; Tsai et al.,( 2019)[
19]. In simple terms, transformative LDHE is about making big moves—decisions and policies that shape the future direction of the educational institution. According to scholarly research, including a seminal study by Alyahyan and Düştegör (2020)[
34]; García-Morales et al. (2021)[
9]; Mukaram et al. (2021)[
22]; Mukerji and Tripathi (2020)[
16]; Shen et al. (2020)[
27], leadership roles at the level of university presidents are uniquely positioned to enable transformative LDHE.
These are the individuals at the helm of the ship, steering not just the staff but the institution itself. They are equipped with positional power, unparalleled access to institutional resources, and a vantage point that allows a macroscopic view of the educational landscape. These privileges are not just ceremonial; they are operational assets that can be leveraged to effect sweeping changes. Furthermore, University Presidents often come into their roles with a wealth of experience, not just in academics but in management and governance Anwar et al., (2020)[
35]; Mylona, (2022)[
6]; Ruan et al., (2023)[
26]. They are typically seasoned professionals who have witnessed firsthand the shortcomings and strengths of various leadership styles and institutional frameworks. This experience makes them more likely to be change agents, willing to enact transformative policies that lesser positions might shy away from due to institutional or systemic constraints. By examining this hypothesis, we aim not just to confirm or refute an academic claim but to understand the intricate dynamics that define leadership in higher education—a quest that has never been more relevant.
H2: Female leaders in higher education are more likely to contribute positively to transformative LDHE.
This hypothesis builds on research by Jamali et al. (2022)[
23]; Nguyen et al. (2023)[
24] which suggests that female leaders are generally more transformational in their leadership styles, compared to their male counterparts. Transformational leadership is often associated with vision, inspiration, and the capacity to motivate team members to transcend their own self-interest for the good of the group, which are all important qualities in the constantly changing landscape of higher education Bakker et al., (2022)[
5]; Farrukh et al., (2022)[
14]; Siangchokyoo et al., (2020)[
36].
In the context of higher education, transformational leadership could manifest in various ways, such as inspiring faculty to adopt innovative teaching methods, engaging in new research collaborations, or enhancing student services to better meet the needs of a diverse student body. Female leaders could play a pivotal role in these transformations Islam et al., (2021)[
37]; Kwan, (2020)[
38]; Parveen & Adeinat, (2019)[
39]. They may be more adept at recognizing the need for change, identifying opportunities for innovation, and rallying support among various stakeholders to implement those changes successfully.
Furthermore, several studies have found that female leaders are more empathetic, a quality that enables them to understand and relate to the needs and concerns of students, faculty, and administrative staff more effectively Farrukh et al., (2022)[
14]; Kwan, (2020)[
38]; Siangchokyoo et al., (2020)[
36]. This empathetic leadership style can facilitate a more cooperative and inclusive atmosphere, which is conducive for transformative changes.
Moreover, women leaders may offer unique perspectives that could lead to more holistic and nuanced solutions to the problems facing higher education. These perspectives could be particularly relevant in areas such as curriculum development, faculty retention, or student mental health services, where a transformative approach could significantly improve outcomes.
However, it is important to note that this hypothesis does not suggest that male leaders are not capable of transformative leadership. Instead, it aims to investigate whether the qualities commonly associated with female leaders, as noted in existing literature, manifest in transformative changes in higher education settings. Therefore, the hypothesis seeks to contribute to the broader debate on gender and leadership by focusing on the specific context of higher education and LDHE.
In sum, the hypothesis suggests that female leaders could be critical agents of transformative change in higher education. By employing transformational leadership styles characterized by vision, motivation, and empathy, female leaders may be better equipped to navigate the complex challenges facing higher education institutions today. Given the critical role that higher education plays in shaping future generations, understanding how different leadership styles affect transformative changes could provide valuable insights for educational policy and practice.
H3: HEIs with centralized governing bodies will have less adaptive LDHE.
A centralized governing body often operates through a top-down management approach, where key decisions are made by a small group of senior administrators Islam et al.,( 2021)[
37]; Kwan, (2020)[
38]; Parveen & Adeinat, (2019)[
39]. While this model may have its merits, such as consistency in policy implementation and decision-making, it often comes at the expense of adaptability. Such a structure usually involves a longer bureaucratic process, which can slow down the rate at which changes are implemented. In a rapidly evolving educational landscape—where responsiveness to new educational methods, technologies, and student needs is crucial—this could prove detrimental.
Additionally, a centralized governance system can curtail the autonomy of individual leaders within the institution Kim et al.,(2023)[
40]; Wang, (2023)[
10]. For instance, department heads or program directors may find their hands tied when it comes to implementing innovative changes in curriculum design or research focus because they have to adhere to the broad policies set by the central governing body Barsoum, (2020)[
41]; Mekvabishvili, (2023)[
42]. This limitation on the decision-making authority of leaders at various levels can hamper the institution's ability to adapt to new challenges and opportunities, thereby affecting the quality of LDHE.
Moreover, centralized governance often leads to a culture of compliance rather than creativity. Leaders may find it safer to follow the established norms and guidelines strictly, rather than taking risks and championing new initiatives Mekvabishvili, (2023)[
42]. This culture can permeate all levels of the institution, stifling innovation and limiting the institution's ability to adapt to external changes such as technological advancements, demographic shifts, or changes in government funding Kim et al.,(2023)[
40]; Wang, (2023)[
10].
It's important to consider, however, that centralized governance isn't universally 'bad.' In some cases, particularly in large institutions where uniformity is essential for efficient functioning, centralized governance can be beneficial. Yet, the hypothesis posits that in the context of LDHE, a centralized structure is more likely to restrict rather than enable transformative leadership.
In summary, the hypothesis aims to investigate the often-overlooked aspect of how governance structures impact the dynamism of leadership within higher education settings. It serves as a critical reminder that while individual leaders play a significant role in shaping LDHE, the systems and structures within which they operate can either facilitate or impede their efforts. As such, understanding the nuances of how centralized governance affects LDHE can offer valuable insights into the development of more effective governance models in higher education.
H4: The use of AI in decision-making will positively impact LDHE.
This hypothesis draws on the Technology Acceptance Model's (TAM) construct of perceived usefulness and Turner et al.'s (2020)[
30]. research, suggesting that the effective incorporation of AI can significantly enhance decision-making processes, thereby positively influencing LDHE.
The adoption of AI in decision-making processes within Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) has the potential to revolutionize how educational leadership operates. AI technologies can sift through vast datasets, analyze complex patterns, and provide evidence-based recommendations, all within a fraction of the time it would take a human. This speed and accuracy can arm educational leaders with the information they need to make quick, yet well-informed decisions. Whether it's in academic programming, student retention, faculty development, or budget allocation, AI tools can provide valuable insights that can guide effective decision-making.
Importantly, AI's role is not just about data crunching. AI's potential to positively impact LDHE extends to offering predictive analytics that can inform strategic planning. For instance, AI algorithms can analyze current and past enrollment data, along with economic trends, to predict future enrollment figures. These forecasts can inform leaders about necessary adjustments to resource allocation, thus aligning institutional strategies more closely with anticipated needs and challenges.
Yet, the adoption of AI in decision-making is not just about the technology itself, but also about the readiness and willingness of leaders to incorporate it into their workflow. Here, the TAM's concept of perceived usefulness becomes particularly relevant. For AI to have a meaningful impact on LDHE, leaders must perceive it as a useful tool that can aid in achieving their objectives. This ties back to the concept of AI literacy, as leaders who understand the capabilities and limitations of AI are better positioned to leverage its benefits effectively.
Furthermore, while AI has the potential to make leadership more agile, it's critical to note that the technology is a tool, not a replacement for human intuition, creativity, and ethical decision-making. Leadership in higher education encompasses a range of responsibilities that go beyond mere administrative duties; it involves shaping an institution's culture, ethos, and intellectual character. While AI can provide data-driven insights, the onus remains on human leaders to make decisions that are not just efficient but also ethically sound and aligned with the institution's mission and values.
In summary, the hypothesis posits a largely unexplored yet crucial dimension to the discourse on leadership in higher education. It contends that the judicious application of AI in decision-making processes can have a transformative impact on LDHE, making educational governance more agile, responsive, and effective. Understanding the complexities and opportunities inherent in this relationship will be pivotal as HEIs worldwide increasingly look to technological solutions to address the challenges and opportunities of the 21st century.
H5: Higher AI literacy will strengthen the positive impact of AI in decision-making on LDHE.
Drawing from both the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) and Leadership Effectiveness and Adaptability Description (LEAD) theories, this hypothesis argues that a higher degree of AI literacy among leaders enhances their capacity to effectively employ AI tools in decision-making processes, thereby positively affecting LDHE.
To understand the intricacies of this hypothesis, it's imperative to dissect the components of AI literacy. AI literacy isn't simply about understanding the technical aspects of AI. It involves a nuanced understanding of the capabilities and limitations of AI technologies, the ethical implications of employing AI, and a strategic perspective on how AI can best be integrated into existing leadership structures and processes Long & Magerko,(2020)[
43]; Ng et al.,(2021)[
44]; Su et al.,(2023)[
45]. Leaders who possess a high degree of AI literacy are therefore better equipped not just to use AI tools but to integrate them effectively into their decision-making frameworks, enhancing the agility, effectiveness, and adaptability of their leadership styles.
The Technology Acceptance Model's construct of 'perceived usefulness' directly correlates with AI literacy. Leaders who are more AI literate are more likely to perceive AI technologies as useful. This perceived usefulness is critical in shaping attitudes toward technology adoption, thereby accelerating the integration of AI into administrative and educational paradigms Kuziemski & Misuraca,(2020)[
25]; Nemorin et al.,(2023)[
46]; Oke et al., (2023)[
47]; Pan et al.,(2018)[
48]; Pashang & Weber, (2023)[
49]; Revathi et al., (2022)[
50]; Sharma et al., (2022)[
51]. When AI is perceived as useful and the leader understands how to use it, there's a higher likelihood of the technology being adopted and leveraged effectively Long & Magerko,(2020)[
43]; Ng et al.,(2021)[
44]; Su et al., (2023)[
45]. This leads to more data-driven and agile decision-making, directly impacting the dynamics of leadership in higher education in a positive manner.
On the other hand, the LEAD theory emphasizes the importance of adaptability in effective leadership. Leaders with high AI literacy have a broader and more versatile toolkit at their disposal, enabling them to adapt their leadership styles according to the situation. For example, AI-powered analytics can provide insights into student performance, allowing academic leaders to tailor educational programs more effectively. Similarly, AI can assist in resource allocation, helping financial leaders make more informed decisions. These are just a few instances where AI literacy can add a layer of adaptability and effectiveness to leadership, underpinned by data-driven insights Aravindaraj & Rajan Chinna, (2022)[
4]; Cachón-Rodríguez et al., (2022)[
8]; Chen et al.,(2022)[
2]; Kosonen & Ikonen, (2022)[
21]; Mukaram et al.,(2021)[
22]; Nemorin et al., (2023)[
46]; Ng et al.,(2021)[
44]; Ruan et al.,(2023)[
26]; Su et al.,(2023)[
45]; Tsai et al.,(2019)[
19]; Wang et al.,(2023)[
10]; Xia et al., (2022)[
10].
Moreover, leaders with high AI literacy are also likely to be more forward-thinking and open to innovation, qualities that are increasingly vital in the ever-evolving landscape of higher education. They are more equipped to foster a culture of continuous learning and adaptation within their organizations, encouraging not just the adoption of new technologies but also a mindset of continual improvement and agility.
In summary, the hypothesis positions AI literacy as a crucial skill set that amplifies the benefits of AI adoption in leadership decision-making within higher education settings. The leaders who understand how to navigate the complexities of AI are not just improving their decision-making processes; they are setting the stage for more adaptive, agile, and effective leadership dynamics in higher education, thereby positively impacting LDHE. Given the rapid advancements in AI and its growing importance in various sectors, this hypothesis brings a timely and crucial dimension to the discourse on educational leadership.