Understanding Risk and Risk Reduction: Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

UNDERSTANDING RISK AND RISK REDUCTION
Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction
APPLYING WHAT WE KNOW INNOVATIVELY AND STRATEGICALLY TO ACHIEVE SOCIETAL SUSTAINABILITY

A FRAMEWORK FOR LIVING WITH THE INSTABILITIES CAUSED BY THE ONSET OF ENVIRONMENTAL EXTREMES
OUR WORLD IS AT RISK

FLOODS SEVERE WINDSTORMS EARTHQUAKES TSUNAMIS DROUGHTS VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS LANDSLIDES WILDFIRES
ANNUAL FREQUENCY
100,000 THUNDERSTORMS 10,000 FLOODS THOUSANDS OF MODERATE TO LARGEVOLUME LANDSLIDES THOUSANDS OF WILDFIRES 100 DAMAGING SIZE EARTHQUAKES SCORES TO HUNDREDS OF SEVERE WINDSTORMS ABOUT TEN VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS, TSUNAMIS, AND DROUGHTS
EVERY COMMUNITY IS AT RISK FROM NATURAL HAZARDS, WHICH CREATES AN URGENT NEED FOR PUBLIC POLICIES AND STRATEGIC PLANS TO PREVENT, MITIGATE, AND PREPARE FOR THE INEVITABLE
RISK ASSESSMENT
HAZARD MAPS INVENTORY VULNERABILITY LOCATION ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

DATA BASES AND INFORMATION COMMUNITY
POLICY OPTIONS
HAZARDS:
GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
PREVENTION-MITIGATION PREPAREDNESS EMERGENCY RESPONSE RECOVERY ADAPTATION
ALL PUBLIC POLICIES SHOULD BE BASED ON AN UNDERSTANDING OF WHAT CAN HAPPEN AND AN IMPLEMENTATION PLAN TO KEEP IT FROM HAPPENING.
THE VISION IS SUSTAINABLE URBAN DEVELOPMENT AND QUALITY OF LIFE IN EVERY COMMUNITY
ELEMENTS OF RISK
HAZARDS
EXPOSURE
RISK
VULNERABILITY
LOCATION
A DISASTER IMPACTS ALL SOCIETAL ELEMENTS
INSTITUTIONALIZATION OF DISASTER REDUCTION

GOAL: TO FIND THE COMMON AGENDA (CA) OF TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS
TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
CA
POLITICAL SOLUTIONS
COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

PREVENTION (CONTROL THE SOURCE) PROTECTION (BUILD TO WITHSTAND) LAND-USE CONTROL (AVOIDANCE)
COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

SITE MODIFICATION ALERT/WARNING/ MAPS/MONITORING RESPONSE TO ALERT/WARNING/ MAPS/MONITORING TO MOVE PEOPLE OUR OF HARMS WAY
MEDITERRANEAN REGIONS HAZARDS

EARTHQUAKES FLOODS DROUGHTS LANDSLIDES TSUNAMIS VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
SUB-SAHARA AFRICAS PROBLEMS AND HAZARDS

POLITICAL INSTABILITY FLOODS DROUGHTS ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS ON AIR, WATER, AND SOIL ENDANGERED SPECIES HEALTH CONCERNS
EUROPES HAZARDS
FLOODS GLOBAL CHANGE SEVERE WINDSTORMS EARTHQUAKES ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
LATIN AMERICA/CARIBBEAN BASINS HAZARDS

HURRICANES EARTHQUAKES/TSUNAMIS FLOODS GLOBAL CHANGE LANDSLIDES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
SOUTH AMERICA/CARIBBEAN BASINS HAZARDS

HURRICANES EARTHQUAKES/TSUNAMIS FLOODS GLOBAL CHANGE LANDSLIDES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
PACIFIC REGIONS HAZARDS

SEVERE WINDSTORMS FLOODS EARTHQUAKES/TSUNAMIS WILDFIRES
ASIAS HAZARDS
FLOODS EARTHQUAKES TSUNAMIS CYCLONES/TYPHOONS VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS LANDSLIDES DROUGHTS ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
INDIAN OCEAN AREAS HAZARDS

FLOODS EARTHQUAKES TSUNAMIS CYCLONES/TYPHOONS VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS LANDSLIDES DROUGHTS ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
INDIAN OCEAN TSUNAMI: 26 DECEMBER 2004
NORTH AMERICAS HAZARDS

FLOODS HURRICANES EARTHQUAKES TORNADOES ICE STORMS VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS LANDSLIDES
EASTERN NORTH AMERICAS HAZARDS

FLOODS HURRICANES EARTHQUAKES TORNADOES ICE STORMS LANDSLIDES
INNOVATION
FUNCTIONAL NETWORKING CHANNELS
GOAL: DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
EDUCATION
ORGANIZATION NETWORKING CHANNELS
INFORMATION NETWORKING CHANNELS
COMMUNITY
STAKEHOLDERS
ACADEMIA
Stratec Consulting
EDUCATION
PERIOD OF INTEGRATION WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION
HEAR
UNDERSTAND
PERSONALIZE
ACT
IDENTIFY
EMERGING KNOWLEDGE AND TECHNOLOGY FOR RISK REDUCTION

TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM REAL-TIME MONITORING REMOTE SENSING AND MEASURMENT TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., GPS) INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., GIS) DISASTER SCENARIOS HAZARD ZONATION ACTIVE AND PASSIVE ENERGY DISSIPATION DEVICES CASE HISTORIES AND BEST PRACTICES
REDUCTION OF COMMUNITY VULERABILTY
RESEARCH
RISK REDUCTION
PREVENTIONMITIGATION PREPAREDNESS
TECHNOLOGY BASE
PREDICTION, WARNING, AND EVACUATION ADAPTATION EMERGENCY RESPONSE
POSTDISASTER INVESTIGATIONS
RECOVERY MONITORING
BENEFIT/COST OF BECOMING DISASTER RESILIENT

PUBLIC AWARENESS
ENABLES ALL SECTORS OF THE PUBLIC TO KNOW THEIR RISKS AND COPE WITH THEM
1 < BENEFIT/COST < 1,000
BENEFIT/COST OF BECOMING DISASTER RESILIENT

EDUCATION AND TRAINING
EXPANDS PROFESSIONAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY

1 < BENEFIT/COST < 100
CAUSES OF RISK BUILDING IN FLOOD PLAIN INUNDATION AND SCOUR INTERACTION WITH HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
FLOODS
CASE HISTORIES
EFFECTS OF WATER ON STRUCTURE & CONTENTS INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR HEALTH PROBLEMS, INJURIES, AND DEATH LOSS OF FUNCTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
VULNERABILITY OF NONSTRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF RISK
WIND AND WATER PENETRATE BUILDING ENVELOPE

UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM FLYING DEBRIS PENETRATES WINDOWS SEVERE WINDSTORMS
CASE HISTORIES
STORM SURGE AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN POOR WORKMANSHIP
IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF RISK INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING SOIL AMPLIFICATION PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SOIL FAILURE AND SURFACE FAULTING ) IRREGULARITIES IN MASS, STRENGTH, AND STIFFNESS
EARTHQUAKES CASE HISTORIES
FLOODING FROM TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP AND SEICHE

POOR DETAILING OF STRUCTURALSYSTEM
IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF RISK HIGH VELOCITY IMPACT OF INCOMING WAVES INLAND DISTANCE OF WAVE RUNUP VERTICAL HEIGHT OF WAVE RUNUP TSUNAMIS
CASE HISTORIES
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE OF BUILDINGS FLOODING NO WARNING, OR INADEQUATE WARNING
PROXIMITY TO SOURCE OF TSUNAMI
CAUSES OF RISK PROXIMITY TO LATERAL BLAST IN PATH OF PYROCLASTIC FLOWS IN PATH OF FLYING DEBRIS (TEPHRA) VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
CASE HISTORIES
IN PATH OF VOLCANIC ASH (AVIATION) IN PATH OF LAVA FLOWS
IN PATH OF LAHARS
IGNORING WARNING TO EVACUATE
CAUSES OF RISK BUILDING ON UNSTABLE SLOPES SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO FALLS SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO TOPPLES LANDSLIDES
CASE HISTORIES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO SPREADS SOIL AND ROCK SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS EXCESSIVE PRECIPITATION OR GROUND SHAKING
BARE, OVERSTEEPENED SLOPES
CAUSES OF RISK PROLONGED LACK OF PRECIPITATION LOSS OF SOIL MOSTURE LOSS OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY DROUGHTS
CASE HISTORIES
DEPLETION/POLLUTION OF GROUND WATER LOSS OF VEGETATION
INSECT INFESTATION
PROGRESSIVE LOSS OF LAND BY DESERTIFICATION
CAUSES OF RISK LIGHTNING STRIKES MANMADE FIRES PROXIMITY OF URBANWILDLANDS INTERFACE WILDFIRES
CASE HISTORIES
WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED DEFORESTATION
DENUDED SLOPES HOT, DRY WEATHER
ACTIONS FOR TSUNAMI-PRONE COUNTRIES

TRANSFER OF TECHNOLOGY TO IMPROVE TSUNAMI WARNING CAPABILITY
EDUCATION FOR A TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM
TOWARD TSUNAMI DISASTER RESILIENCE
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT FOR A TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM
STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS FOR A TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM
ONGOING DIALOGUE ON THE CHALLENGE OF BECOMING TSUNAMI DISASTER RESILIENT

Understanding Risk and Risk Reduction: Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

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Understanding Risk and Risk Reduction: Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

UNDERSTANDING RISK AND RISK REDUCTION

Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

APPLYING WHAT WE KNOW INNOVATIVELY AND STRATEGICALLY TO ACHIEVE SOCIETAL SUSTAINABILITY

OUR WORLD IS AT RISK

DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

PREVENTION-MITIGATION PREPAREDNESS EMERGENCY RESPONSE RECOVERY ADAPTATION

A DISASTER IMPACTS ALL SOCIETAL ELEMENTS

INSTITUTIONALIZATION OF DISASTER REDUCTION

COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

MEDITERRANEAN REGIONS HAZARDS

SUB-SAHARA AFRICAS PROBLEMS AND HAZARDS

LATIN AMERICA/CARIBBEAN BASINS HAZARDS

SOUTH AMERICA/CARIBBEAN BASINS HAZARDS

PACIFIC REGIONS HAZARDS

INDIAN OCEAN AREAS HAZARDS

INDIAN OCEAN TSUNAMI: 26 DECEMBER 2004

NORTH AMERICAS HAZARDS

EASTERN NORTH AMERICAS HAZARDS

GOAL: DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

INFORMATION NETWORKING CHANNELS

EMERGING KNOWLEDGE AND TECHNOLOGY FOR RISK REDUCTION

REDUCTION OF COMMUNITY VULERABILTY

PREDICTION, WARNING, AND EVACUATION ADAPTATION EMERGENCY RESPONSE

BENEFIT/COST OF BECOMING DISASTER RESILIENT

1 < BENEFIT/COST < 1,000

BENEFIT/COST OF BECOMING DISASTER RESILIENT

EXPANDS PROFESSIONAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY

VULNERABILITY OF NONSTRUCTURAL ELEMENTS

WIND AND WATER PENETRATE BUILDING ENVELOPE

IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS

EARTHQUAKES CASE HISTORIES

FLOODING FROM TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP AND SEICHE

IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS

INADEQUATE RESISTANCE OF BUILDINGS FLOODING NO WARNING, OR INADEQUATE WARNING

PROXIMITY TO SOURCE OF TSUNAMI

IN PATH OF VOLCANIC ASH (AVIATION) IN PATH OF LAVA FLOWS

IGNORING WARNING TO EVACUATE

BARE, OVERSTEEPENED SLOPES

DEPLETION/POLLUTION OF GROUND WATER LOSS OF VEGETATION

PROGRESSIVE LOSS OF LAND BY DESERTIFICATION

WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED DEFORESTATION

DENUDED SLOPES HOT, DRY WEATHER

ACTIONS FOR TSUNAMI-PRONE COUNTRIES

EDUCATION FOR A TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM

TOWARD TSUNAMI DISASTER RESILIENCE

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT FOR A TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM

STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS FOR A TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM

ONGOING DIALOGUE ON THE CHALLENGE OF BECOMING TSUNAMI DISASTER RESILIENT

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