Dividend Policy
Dividend Policy
i) Traditional Model
ii) Walter’s Model
iii) Gordon’s Dividend Capitalisation Model
iv) Bird-in-hand Theory
v) Dividend Signalling Theory
vi) Agency Cost Theory
WALTER’S MODEL
Walter put forth the following model for valuation of shares
P0 = D + (E – D) rlk
k
P0 = market price per share
D = Dividend per share
E = Earnings per share
E – D = Retained earnings per share
r = Firm’s average rate of return
k = firm’s cost o capital
From the model it is clear that the market price per share is the sum
of two consumptions:
i. The first component Dlk is the present value of an infinite stream of cash flows in the form of
dividends.
ii. The second component (E – D)rlk is the present value of an infinite stream of returns k
► retained earnings.
GORDON’S DIVIDEND CAPITALISATION
MODEL
Assumptions : Firm is all-equity, RE are used to finance projects, r
and k are constant, there are no taxes, b once decided is constant.
Gordon put forward the following valuation model:
P0 = E1 + (1 – b)
k - br
where,
P0 = Price per share at the end of the year 0
E1 = Earnings per share at the end of year 1
(1 – b) = Fraction of earnings the firm distributes by way of earnings
b = Fraction of earnings the firms ploughs back
k = Rate of return required by the shareholders
r = Rate of return earned on investments made by the firm
br = Growth rate of earnings and dividends
Optimal Dividend Policy
Proponents believe that there is a dividend
policy that strikes a balance between
current dividends and future growth that
maximizes the firm's stock price.
PRACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS IN THE
FORMULATION OF DIVIDEND POLICY
Profitability and Liquidity
Legal Constraints
Contractual Constraints
Growth Prospects
Owner Considerations
Market Considerations
Industry Practice
Shareholders Expectations
Lots of research and economic logic
suggests that dividend policy is irrelevant
(in theory).