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Cumulative Distribution Function & Expectation: Muhammed Haris

This document discusses cumulative distribution functions and expectations in modeling real-world phenomena. It defines a cumulative distribution function as measuring the probability that a random variable assumes a value less than or equal to x. It also defines expectation as the average or mean value of a random variable. The document reviews properties of cumulative distribution functions and expectations, such as a cdf being a non-decreasing function and the variance measuring the expected squared difference from the mean.

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VinayKumarSingh
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140 views12 pages

Cumulative Distribution Function & Expectation: Muhammed Haris

This document discusses cumulative distribution functions and expectations in modeling real-world phenomena. It defines a cumulative distribution function as measuring the probability that a random variable assumes a value less than or equal to x. It also defines expectation as the average or mean value of a random variable. The document reviews properties of cumulative distribution functions and expectations, such as a cdf being a non-decreasing function and the variance measuring the expected squared difference from the mean.

Uploaded by

VinayKumarSingh
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as PPT or read online on Scribd
Download as ppt
Download as ppt
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Cumulative distribution

function &
Expectation

Muhammed
Haris

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 In modeling real-world phenomena there
are few situations where the actions of
the entities within the system under
study can be completely predicted in
advance.

 The world the model builder sees is


probabilistic rather than deterministic

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 An appropriate model can be developed by
sampling the phenomenon of interest.

 Then, through educated guesses the


model builder would select a known
distribution form, make an estimate of the
parameter of this distribution, and then test
to see how good a fit has been obtained.

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Review of terminology &
concepts
 Discrete random variables.
 Continuous random variables.
 Cumulative distribution function
 Expectation

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Cumulative Distribution
Function

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 The cumulative distribution function (cdf),
denoted by F(x), measures the probability
that the random variable X assumes a
value less than or equal to x,
that is,
F(x)=P(X<=x).

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Properties of the cdf

 F is a non-decreasing function, If a<b,


then F(a)<=F(b).

 Lim x->-∞ F(x)=0.

 Lim x->∞ F(x)=1.

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Expectation

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 An important concept in probability theory
is that of the expectation of a random
variable.

 if x is a random variable, the expected


value of X, is denoted by E(X).

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 The expected value E(X) of a random variable
X is also referred to as the mean, or the first
moment of X.

 The variance of a random variable, X, is


denoted by V(X) of var(X), is defined as
V(X)=E[(X-E[X])²]

 And also
V(X)=E(X²)-[E(X)]²

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 The mean E(X) is a measure of the central
tendency of a random variable.

 The variance of X measures the expected value


of the squared difference between the random
variable and its mean.

 Thus the variance, V(X), is a measure of the


spread or variation of the possible values of X
around the mean E(X).

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