Ogp 434-01
Ogp 434-01
Ogp 434-01
Process
release frequencies
International Association of Oil & Gas Producers
ublications
Global experience
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contents
1.0 1.1 1.2 2.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3
3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3
Scope and Definitions 1 Equipment 1 Release types 2 Summary of Recommended Data Guidance on use of data General validity 19 Uncertainties 20 Definition of release types20
Full releases 20 Limited releases 21 Zero pressure releases
19
21
3.4 3.5
3.5.1 3.5.2 3.5.3 3.5.4 3.5.5
Consequence modelling for the largest release size 21 Modification of frequencies for factors specific to plant conditions
General considerations API 581 Approach 22 Safety Management 24 Inter-unit piping 25 Flanges 26 22
22
4.0 4.1
4.1.1 4.1.2 4.1.3 4.1.4 4.1.5
4.2
Recommended data sources for further information References 31 References for Sections 2.0 to 4.0 31 References for other data sources examined
31
32
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Abbreviations:
ANSI American National Standards Institute API American Petroleum Institute DNV Det Norske Veritas ESD Emergency Shutdown HC Hydrocarbon HCRD Hydrocarbon Release Database HSE (UK) Health and Safety Executive LNG Liquefied Natural gas OREDA Offshore Reliability Data OSHA Occupational Safety and Health Administration PSM Process Safety Management QRA Quantitative Risk Assessment (sometimes Analysis) UKCS United Kingdom Continental Shelf
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1.0 1.1
This datasheet presents (Section 2.0) frequencies of releases from the following process equipment types. They are intended to be applied to process equipment on the topsides of offshore installations and on onshore facilities handling hydrocarbons but are not restricted to releases of hydrocarbons. exchangers: 10. Compre 1. Steel process pipes ssors: Shell & Tube, 2. Flanges Reciproc tube side HC ating 3. Manual valves 13. Heat 11. Heat exchangers: 4. Actuated valves Plate exchang 5. Instrument connections ers: 14. Heat 6. Process (pressure) vessels Shell & exchangers: Air-cooled Tube, 7. Pumps: Centrifugal
shell side HC 12. Heat ment types listed in Table 1.1 are also covered by the data given in Section 2.0.
Datasheet or
Section N
Absorbers 6
Clamp connections
Columns Distillation columns
2
6 6
ESD valves
Fin-fan coolers Fittings (small-bore)
4
14 5
Gaskets
Section 3.
Equipment Type
1.2
Release types
According to analysis of historic process release frequency data [2], releases can be split into three different types: Full releases: consistent with flow through the defined hole, beginning at the normal operating pressure, and continuing until controlled by emergency shut-down and blowdown (if present and operable) or inventory exhaustion. This scenario is invariably modelled in any QRA.
1 Limited releases: cases where the pressure is not zero but the quantity released is
much less than from a full release. This may be because the release is isolated locally by human intervention (e.g. closing an inadvertently opened valve), or by a restriction in the flow from the system inventory (e.g. releases of fluid accumulated between pump shaft seals). This scenario may be modelled, depending on the detail of the QRA, but the consequences should reflect the limited release quantities. 2 Zero pressure releases: cases where pressure inside the leaking equipment is virtually zero (0.01 barg or less). This may be because the equipment has a normal operating pressure of zero (e.g. open drains), or because the equipment has been depressurised for maintenance. This scenario is typically excluded from QRA, and is included mainly for consistency with the original HSE data (see Sections 3.3, 4.0). Therefore, the release frequencies are tabulated for each of these release types, as well as the overall frequencies for all release types taken together being tabulated1.
2.0
A datasheet is given below for each of the equipment types listed in Section 1.1. The definitions given of the equipment types are consistent with those used by the UK HSE.
Note that these overall frequencies are not the sum of the frequencies for each release type; they are calculated by a separate mathematical function, as described in Section 4.1.2, fitted to the release data.
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2" DIA (50 mm) 9.0E-05 3.8E-05 2.7E-05 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 1.5E-04
(b) Full piping release frequencies (per metre year) by pipe diameter 6" DIA (150 mm) 2.6E-05 8.5E-06 2.7E-06 6.0E-07 0.0E+00 3.8E-05 12" DIA (300 mm) 2.3E-05 7.6E-06 2.4E-06 3.7E-07 1.7E-07 3.4E-05 18" DIA (450 mm) 2.3E-05 7.5E-06 2.4E-06 3.6E-07 1.7E-07 3.3E-05 24" DIA (600 mm) 2.3E-05 7.4E-06 2.4E-06 3.6E-07 1.6E-07 3.3E-05 36" DIA (900 mm) 2.3E-05 7.4E-06 2.3E-06 3.6E-07 1.6E-07 3.3E-05
2" DIA (50 mm) 5.5E-05 1.8E-05 7.0E-06 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 8.0E-05
(c) Limited piping release frequencies (per metre year) by pipe diameter 6" DIA (150 mm) 9.9E-06 4.9E-06 2.5E-06 3.2E-06 0.0E+00 2.0E-05 12" DIA (300 mm) 8.1E-06 4.0E-06 2.0E-06 5.2E-07 2.4E-06 1.7E-05 18" DIA (450 mm) 7.8E-06 3.8E-06 1.9E-06 5.0E-07 2.4E-06 1.6E-05 24" DIA (600 mm) 7.7E-06 3.8E-06 1.9E-06 4.9E-07 2.4E-06 1.6E-05 36" DIA (900 mm) 7.6E-06 3.7E-06 1.9E-06 4.9E-07 2.4E-06 1.6E-05
2" DIA (50 mm) 3.1E-05 1.5E-05 1.3E-05 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 5.9E-05
(d) Zero pressure piping release frequencies (per metre year) by pipe diameter 6" DIA (150 mm) 3.2E-06 2.3E-06 1.9E-06 3.4E-06 0.0E+00 12" DIA (300 mm) 3.1E-06 2.3E-06 1.8E-06 7.7E-07 2.6E-06 18" DIA (450 mm) 3.1E-06 2.3E-06 1.8E-06 7.6E-07 2.6E-06 24" DIA (600 mm) 3.1E-06 2.3E-06 1.8E-06 7.6E-07 2.6E-06 36" DIA (900 mm) 3.1E-06 2.3E-06 1.8E-06 7.6E-07 2.6E-06
TOTAL
1.24E-05
1.07E-05
1.06E-05
1.05E-05
1.05E-05
1.05E-05
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(b) Full flange release frequencies (per flanged joint year) by flange diameter 36" DIA 6" DIA HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL 2" DIA (50 mm) 2.6E-05 7.6E-06 4.0E-06 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 3.8E-05 (150 mm) 3.7E-05 1.1E-05 3.0E-06 2.0E-06 0.0E+00 5.3E-05 12" DIA (300 mm) 5.9E-05 1.7E-05 4.7E-06 6.1E-07 1.7E-06 8.3E-05 18" DIA (450 mm) 8.3E-05 2.4E-05 6.6E-06 8.7E-07 1.8E-06 1.2E-04 24" DIA (900 (600 mm) mm) 1.1E-04 3.2E-05 8.8E-06 1.1E-06 1.9E-06 1.5E-04 1.7E-04 4.9E-05 1.4E-05 1.8E-06 2.2E-06 2.4E-04
(c) Limited flange release frequencies (per flanged joint year) by flange diameter
36" DIA 6" DIA HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL 2" DIA (50 mm) 1.5E-05 7.9E-06 8.6E-06 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 3.2E-05 (150 mm) 2.3E-05 1.2E-05 6.4E-06 5.4E-06 0.0E+00 4.7E-05 12" DIA (300 mm) 3.1E-05 1.6E-05 8.7E-06 2.4E-06 4.3E-06 6.2E-05 18" DIA (450 mm) 3.8E-05 2.0E-05 1.1E-05 2.9E-06 4.8E-06 7.5E-05 24" DIA (900 (600 mm) mm) 4.4E-05 2.3E-05 1.2E-05 3.4E-06 5.2E-06 8.7E-05 5.4E-05 2.8E-05 1.5E-05 4.1E-06 5.9E-06 1.1E-04
(d) Zero pressure flange release frequencies (per flanged joint year) by flange diameter
36" DIA HOLE DIA 2" DIA 6" DIA (150 12" DIA (300 18" DIA (450 24" DIA (600 (900 mm)
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(b) Full manual valve release frequencies (per valve year) by valve diameter 36" DIA 6" DIA HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL 2" DIA (50 mm) 2.0E-05 7.7E-06 4.9E-06 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 3.2E-05 (150 mm) 3.1E-05 1.2E-05 4.7E-06 2.4E-06 0.0E+00 5.0E-05 12" DIA (300 mm) 4.3E-05 1.7E-05 6.5E-06 1.2E-06 1.7E-06 6.9E-05 18" DIA (450 mm) 5.3E-05 2.1E-05 8.0E-06 1.5E-06 1.9E-06 8.5E-05 24" DIA (900 (600 mm) mm) 6.2E-05 2.4E-05 9.4E-06 1.8E-06 2.1E-06 1.0E-04 7.8E-05 3.0E-05 1.2E-05 2.2E-06 2.3E-06 1.2E-04
(c) Limited manual valve release frequencies (per valve year) by valve diameter 36" DIA 6" DIA HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL 2" DIA (50 mm) 2.4E-05 1.4E-05 1.4E-05 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 5.1E-05 (150 mm) 2.7E-05 1.5E-05 9.5E-06 6.4E-06 0.0E+00 5.8E-05 12" DIA (300 mm) 3.2E-05 1.8E-05 1.1E-05 3.5E-06 4.1E-06 6.9E-05 18" DIA (450 mm) 3.7E-05 2.1E-05 1.3E-05 4.1E-06 4.8E-06 8.1E-05 24" DIA (900 (600 mm) mm) 4.3E-05 2.5E-05 1.5E-05 4.7E-06 5.5E-06 9.3E-05 5.4E-05 3.1E-05 1.9E-05 6.0E-06 7.0E-06 1.2E-04
(d) Zero pressure manual valve release frequencies (per valve year) by valve diameter
36" DIA HOLE DIA 2" DIA 6" DIA (150 12" DIA (300 18" DIA (450 24" DIA (600 (900 mm)
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(b) Full actuated valve release frequencies (per valve year) by valve diameter 36" DIA 6" DIA HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL 2" DIA (50 mm) 2.4E-04 7.3E-05 3.0E-05 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 3.5E-04 (150 mm) 2.2E-04 6.6E-05 1.9E-05 8.6E-06 0.0E+00 3.2E-04 12" DIA (300 mm) 2.1E-04 6.3E-05 1.8E-05 2.4E-06 6.0E-06 3.0E-04 18" DIA (450 mm) 2.0E-04 6.0E-05 1.7E-05 2.3E-06 5.9E-06 2.9E-04 24" DIA (900 (600 mm) mm) 2.0E-04 5.9E-05 1.7E-05 2.2E-06 5.9E-06 2.8E-04 1.9E-04 5.6E-05 1.6E-05 2.2E-06 5.9E-06 2.7E-04
(c) Limited actuated valve release frequencies (per valve year) by valve diameter
36" DIA 6" DIA HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL 2" DIA (50 mm) 1.7E-04 8.8E-05 7.8E-05 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 3.3E-04 (150 mm) 1.3E-04 6.9E-05 3.8E-05 2.3E-05 0.0E+00 2.6E-04 12" DIA (300 mm) 1.1E-04 5.7E-05 3.2E-05 9.0E-06 1.1E-05 2.2E-04 18" DIA (450 mm) 9.7E-05 5.1E-05 2.8E-05 8.0E-06 9.8E-06 1.9E-04 24" DIA (900 (600 mm) mm) 8.9E-05 4.7E-05 2.6E-05 7.3E-06 9.2E-06 1.8E-04 7.7E-05 4.1E-05 2.3E-05 6.4E-06 8.3E-06 1.6E-04
(d) Zero pressure actuated valve release frequencies (per valve year) by valve diameter
36" DIA HOLE DIA 2" DIA 6" DIA (150 12" DIA (300 18" DIA (450 24" DIA (600 (900 mm)
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Pressure vessel release frequencies (per vessel year; connections >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 9.6E-04 5.6E-04 3.5E-04 1.1E-04 1.7E-04 2.2E-03 FULL RELEASES 3.9E-04 2.0E-04 1.0E-04 2.7E-05 2.4E-05 7.4E-04 LIMITED RELEASES 3.5E-04 2.0E-04 1.2E-04 3.7E-05 4.2E-05 7.4E-04 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 1.8E-04 1.4E-04 1.2E-04 5.5E-05 1.4E-04 6.3E-04
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Centrifugal pump release frequencies (per pump year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 5.1E-03 1.8E-03 5.9E-04 9.7E-05 4.8E-05 7.6E-03 FULL RELEASES 3.4E-03 1.0E-03 2.9E-04 3.9E-05 1.5E-05 4.8E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 1.3E-03 5.6E-04 2.4E-04 5.0E-05 3.3E-05 2.2E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 2.4E-04 1.4E-04 9.4E-05 3.1E-05 4.1E-05 5.5E-04
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Reciprocating pump release frequencies (per pump year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 3.3E-03 1.9E-03 1.2E-03 3.7E-04 4.3E-04 7.2E-03 FULL RELEASES 2.1E-03 1.2E-03 7.4E-04 2.3E-04 2.7E-04 4.5E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 8.9E-04 6.2E-04 4.7E-04 1.9E-04 3.4E-04 2.5E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00
10
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Centrifugal compressor release frequencies (per compressor year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 6.7E-03 2.6E-03 1.0E-03 1.9E-04 1.1E-04 1.1E-02 FULL RELEASES 3.4E-03 6.8E-04 1.3E-04 1.0E-05 2.5E-06 4.2E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 2.9E-03 1.4E-03 7.4E-04 1.9E-04 1.6E-04 5.5E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 3.7E-04 2.4E-04 1.8E-04 6.7E-05 1.1E-04 9.6E-04
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11
Reciprocating compressor release frequencies (per compressor year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 4.5E-02 1.7E-02 6.7E-03 1.3E-03 7.3E-04 7.1E-02 FULL RELEASES 2.4E-02 8.0E-03 2.6E-03 4.0E-04 4.8E-04 3.6E-02 LIMITED RELEASES 1.9E-02 9.4E-03 4.7E-03 1.2E-03 1.0E-03 3.6E-02 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00
12
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Equipment Type: (11) Heat exchangers: Shell & Tube, shell side HC
Definition:
Shell & tube type heat exchangers with hydrocarbon in the shell side. The scope includes the heat exchanger itself, but excludes all attached valves, piping, flanges, instruments and fittings beyond the first flange. The first flange itself is also excluded. Heat exchanger release frequencies (per heat exchanger year; inlets 50 to 150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 >50 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 2.2E-03 1.1E-03 5.6E-04 2.6E-04 4.1E-03 FULL RELEASES 1.2E-03 4.1E-04 1.4E-04 3.6E-05 1.8E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 1.2E-03 7.3E-04 4.9E-04 4.0E-04 2.8E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00
Heat exchanger release frequencies (per heat exchanger year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 2.2E-03 1.1E-03 5.6E-04 1.4E-04 1.2E-04 4.1E-03 FULL RELEASES 1.2E-03 4.1E-04 1.4E-04 2.4E-05 1.2E-05 1.8E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 1.2E-03 7.3E-04 4.9E-04 1.7E-04 2.3E-04 2.8E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00
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Equipment Type: (12) Heat exchangers: Shell & Tube, tube side HC
Definition:
Shell & tube type heat exchangers with hydrocarbon in the tube side. The scope includes the heat exchanger itself, but excludes all attached valves, piping, flanges, instruments and fittings beyond the first flange. The first flange itself is also excluded. Heat exchanger release frequencies (per heat exchanger year; inlets 50 to 150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 >50 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 2.0E-03 8.8E-04 4.0E-04 2.0E-04 3.4E-03 FULL RELEASES 8.2E-04 3.8E-04 1.8E-04 7.6E-05 1.5E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 7.9E-04 4.3E-04 2.5E-04 1.9E-04 1.7E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 1.8E-04 7.7E-05 3.4E-05 1.3E-05 3.0E-04
Heat exchanger release frequencies (per heat exchanger year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 2.0E-03 8.8E-04 4.0E-04 9.1E-05 1.1E-04 3.4E-03 FULL RELEASES 8.2E-04 3.8E-04 1.8E-04 4.3E-05 3.3E-05 1.5E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 7.9E-04 4.3E-04 2.5E-04 7.4E-05 1.2E-04 1.7E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 1.8E-04 7.7E-05 3.4E-05 7.7E-06 5.4E-06 3.0E-04
14
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Heat exchanger release frequencies (per heat exchanger year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 5.1E-03 2.8E-03 1.6E-03 4.8E-04 5.1E-04 1.0E-02 FULL RELEASES 3.9E-03 2.0E-03 1.1E-03 3.2E-04 3.1E-04 7.3E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 2.7E-03 1.3E-03 6.7E-04 1.7E-04 1.5E-04 5.0E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00
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Heat exchanger release frequencies (per heat exchanger year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 1.0E-03 4.9E-04 2.4E-04 6.0E-05 4.9E-05 1.0E-03 FULL RELEASES 1.0E-03 4.9E-04 2.4E-04 6.0E-05 4.9E-05 1.0E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.0E+00
16
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Filter release frequencies (per filter year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 2.0E-03 1.0E-03 5.2E-04 1.4E-04 1.2E-04 3.8E-03 FULL RELEASES 1.3E-03 5.1E-04 1.9E-04 3.5E-05 2.0E-05 2.1E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 5.1E-04 3.3E-04 2.3E-04 8.4E-05 1.3E-04 1.3E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 1.3E-04 9.3E-05 7.7E-05 3.3E-05 7.2E-05 4.0E-04
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Pig trap release frequencies (per pig trap year; inlets >150 mm diameter) HOLE DIA RANGE (mm) 1 to 3 3 to 10 10 to 50 50 to 150 >150 TOTAL ALL RELEASES 3.2E-03 1.9E-03 1.2E-03 3.7E-04 4.6E-04 7.0E-03 FULL RELEASES 2.3E-03 7.2E-04 2.2E-04 3.3E-05 1.4E-05 3.3E-03 LIMITED RELEASES 7.4E-04 5.6E-04 4.8E-04 2.1E-04 5.0E-04 2.5E-03 ZERO PRESSURE RELEASES 2.7E-04 2.3E-04 2.3E-04 1.1E-04 4.1E-04 1.3E-03
18
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3.0 3.1
The data presented in Section 2.0 can be used for process equipment on the topsides of offshore installations and for onshore facilities handling hydrocarbons 2, and could also be used as appropriate for subsea completions. DNV [3] have compared failure rate data for LNG facilities with the data presented in Section 2.0. The comparison indicates that LNG failure frequencies may be around 40% to 65% of those given here. However, this has not been verified and the data for LNG installations is relatively sparse. We therefore recommend use of the same frequencies for LNG installations as given in Section 2.0. A 50% reduction could be considered as a sensitivity but decisions based on this would need to be fully justified. The release frequencies given in Section 2.0 are valid for holes of diameter (d) from 1 mm to the diameter of the equipment (D). Frequencies of smaller holes may be estimated by extrapolation of the frequencies to smaller hole sizes, but this is beyond the range of the HSE data (see Section 4.0). The data are not sufficient to determine the frequencies of larger holes (e.g. long splits or guillotine breaks allowing flow from both sides) and this can only be addressed using engineering judgment. The release frequencies are valid for equipment diameters (D) within the normal range of offshore equipment. This is not precisely defined in the available equipment population data. Using judgment based on the trends of the estimated diameter dependence and the average diameters of the available data groups, the following ranges of validity are suggested: Pipes: Flanges: Manual valves: 20 to 1000 mm 10 to 1000 mm 10 to 1000 mm All other equipment: Actuated valves:10 to 1000 mm Instruments: 10 to 100 mm t Pig traps: 100 o mm 40 to 400 mm
100 0
With lesser confidence, the datasheets in Section 2.0 can be used to estimate frequencies over larger ranges, but they should be subject to sensitivity testing. These functions have been checked for mathematical consistency over a range of equipment diameters from 10 to 1000 mm. The frequencies are not recommended for equipment outside this range.
The justification for using offshore data for onshore facilities is two-fold. First, no public domain dataset for onshore facilities is available that is comparable to HCRD, considering both the equipment population and completeness of recording releases. Second, although offshore facilities operate in a more challenging (e.g. more corrosive) environment, this is compensated for in the design, inspection and maintenance. Hence there is no apparent reason why onshore and offshore release frequencies should differ significantly. However, some environmental factors are considered in Section 3.5. The standard of the safety management system is also believed to have a major influence on release frequencies, regardless of operating environment, as also discussed in Section 3.5.
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3.2
Uncertainties
The sources of uncertainties in the estimated release frequencies are discussed in Section 4.1.3. The uncertainty in the release frequencies presented in Section 2.0 tends to be greatest for large hole sizes, for equipment sizes far from the centres of the ranges of validity given in Section 3.1, and for equipment types where fewer releases have been recorded (see Section 4.1.1). No quantitative representations of the uncertainty in the release frequency results have yet been derived. Based on the sensitivity test that have been conducted and on previous analyses of the same dataset, the uncertainly in the results may be a factor or 3 (higher or lower) for frequencies of holes in the region of 1 mm diameter, rising to a factor of 10 (higher or lower) for frequencies of holes in the region of 100 mm diameter. A simple sensitivity test would therefore be to use the frequencies for All releases in place of the Full release frequencies.
3.3
The three release frequency types defined in Section 1.0, and for which frequencies are given separately in Section 2.0, are described in further detail in the following subsections. 3.3.1 Full releases
This scenario is intended to be consistent with QRA models that assume a release through the defined hole, beginning at the normal operating pressure, until controlled by ESD and blowdown, with a small probability of ESD/blowdown failure. Full releases are defined as cases where the outflow is greater than or broadly comparable with that predicted for a release at the operating pressure (since the normal pressure is unknown in HCRD) controlled by the quickest credible ESD (within 1 minute) and blowdown (nominally a 30 mm orifice3). This is subdivided as follows: 1 ESD isolated releases, presumed to be controlled by ESD and blowdown of the leaking system.
2 Late isolated releases, presumed to be cases where there is no effective ESD of the
leaking system, resulting in a greater outflow. Typical use in the QRA: These events should always be included in quantified risk assessments. They have the potential of developing into serious events endangering personnel and critical safety functions. These releases represent approximately 31% of all releases in the HSE HCRD for 19922006.
The actual orifice diameter should be used in QRA modelling, or preferably the orifice diameter that gives blowdown to a specified pressure in the actual time
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3.3.2
Limited releases
This scenario includes all other pressurised releases. They are defined as cases where the equipment is under pressure (over 0.01 barg) but the outflow is less than from a release at the operating pressure controlled by the quickest credible ESD (within 1 minute) and blowdown (through an orifice nominally of 30 mm diameter). This may be because the release is isolated locally by human intervention (e.g. closing an inadvertently opened valve), or by a restriction in the flow from the system inventory (e.g. releases of fluid accumulated between pump shaft seals). Typical use in the QRA: 1) Coarse QRAs. Limited Releases should normally be included in the risk analysis, and treated as Full Releases with regards to the consequence modelling. This is a conservative approach, which normally is in line with the nature of Coarse QRA. 2) Detailed QRAs. Limited Releases could be considered for their expected (realistic) consequences. These events may be of concern for personnel risk, but it is less likely that they develop into any major concern for other safety functions, such as structural integrity, evacuation means, escalation, etc. Any consequence calculations should reflect that these events involve limited release volumes. If the consequences are not specifically assessed, the approach of a) above apply also for detailed QRAs. There are two possible approaches to modelling these releases, depending on whether the limitation is on the duration (through prompt local isolation) or the flow (through a restriction). In the first case (limited duration), flow is likely to be at the same release rate as for a full release but reduced to a short duration (e.g. 30 seconds). In the second case, the release rate will be much lower than for the corresponding full release and the quantity released also smaller. In this case an approach previously suggested [4] has been to model the flow rate as 8% of the full release rate and the duration as 6% of the full release duration. These releases represent approximately 59% of all releases in the HSE HCRD for 19922006. 3.3.3 Zero pressure releases
This scenario includes all releases where the pressure inside the releasing equipment is virtually zero (0.01 barg or less). This may be because the equipment has a normal operating pressure of zero (e.g. open drains), or because the equipment has been depressurised for maintenance. Typical use in the QRA (but not limited to this example): These are events that typically are excluded from QRA assessments. Most likely there are no serious consequences and if so, the contribution to the overall risk level is considered insignificant. These events are mainly included for consistency with the original HSE data.
The event is likely to result in release of a small quantity of hydrocarbon. This could be taken as the inventory of the system hydrocarbon full at atmospheric pressure. These releases represent approximately 10% of all releases in the HSE HCRD for 1992-2006.
3.4
Where the data tables in Section 2.0 show >50 mm or >150 mm for the largest hole diameter range, the consequences of the release should be modelled using the size of the actual pipe/valve/flange or the largest connection to other equipment types.
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3.5
3.5.1
The frequencies tabulated in Section 2.0 are generic frequencies for installations designed and operating to typical European / North American standards. A large number of possible factors may suggest that these generic frequencies ought to be modified to make them specific to the local conditions. These factors include the physical characteristics of the equipment, the operating conditions, and characteristics of the management system in place. Factors related to the physical characteristics and operating conditions could include: Operating Process Design code environment continuity Material of construction Cold or hot weather Stress cycling Fluid inside equipment Equipment age Welds Operating pressure Seismic activity Radiography Operating temperature Integrity status Many of these are addressed in Section 8.3 of API 581 1 st ed. [14], discussed in Section 3.5.2. Some more specific factors relating to inter -unit piping and flanges are presented in Sections 3.5.3 (piping) and 3.5.5 (flanges). The influence of safety management, well recognized as influencing release rates, is discussed in Section 3.5.3. 3.5.2 API 581 Approach 3.5.2.1 1st Edition An equipment modification factor is developed for each equipment item, based on the specific environment in which the item operates. This factor is composed of four subfactors illustrated in Figure 3.1. These subfactors are summarised as follows:
1 The Technical Module Subfactor is the systematic method used to assess the effect
of specific failure mechanisms on the likelihood of failure. The module evaluates:
2 The Universal Subfactor covers conditions that equally affect all equipment items in
the facility: plant condition, cold weather operation, and seismic activity. 3 The Mechanical Subfactor addresses conditions related primarily to the design and fabrication of the equipment item. 4 Conditions that are most influenced by the process and how the facility is operated are included in the Process Subfactor. The API 581 document provides full details of how the four factors can be evaluated individually and combined to obtain the overall equipment modification factor for each equipment item. This can then be applied to the generic frequencies given in Section 2.04.
4
However, it should be noted that Section 8.2 of API 581 includes generic leak frequencies for many of the equipment types covered in this Datasheet. The factors are presumably intended to be used with those frequencies, although there is nothing to suggest that this is obligatory. Hence the equipment modification factor approach set out in API 581 is considered suitable for more detailed analysis based on the generic frequencies presented in this datasheet.
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