International Economics
International Economics
International Economics
popular investment destinations in the world, attracting Foreign Direct Investments (FDI)
at a most astonishing rate. This inevitably has created a myriad of questions regarding
this phenomenon, to which this paper attempts to answer, with regards to how China
actively liberalized FDI ,the characteristics of FDI in China, the challenges of investing
in China, which will be amply illustrated through case studies, the impact of this large
inflow of FDI, and lastly, how we think China can do to rectify some of its existing
Since late 1978, China has carried out massive economic reforms in an effort to
restructure their economy to be more market-oriented, with FDI being one of the pillars
of this reform. The government has gradually liberalized its restrictions on FDI in order
to reap to reap the benefits of foreign investments, such as technology transfer, modern
management skills, and foreign exchange. The results of these reforms have been
China, brining with them billion of dollars in FDI (Appendix A). By the 1990s, China has
China revised their laws and regulations in order to allow FDI and to entice MNCs to
invest. China’s first move to open up its economy to FDI was taken with the
implementation of the Sino-Foreign Equity Joint Venture Law. This allowed the legal
entry of FDIs into China and provided a statutory basis for the establishment of joint
ventures with China. Foreign companies seeking investments in China will have to set up
a “joint venture” with a local Chinese partner, in which the profit and risk sharing of
equity joint ventures is proportionate to the equity of each partner. An equity joint venture
is usually structured as a limited liability company with the foreign partner contributing a
minimum of 25% of the registered capital, subjected to the approval of the Chinese
Zones (SEZs). These SEZs were located in Guangdong Province, Fujian Province,
Hainan Province, Hunchun and the Pudong Development Zone (Shanghai). The benefits
of investing in a SEZ come mainly by tax incentives. A typical example of the tax
• The first year that your company makes a profit starts the "Tax Clock" and is year
one
• The first and second year after the tax clock starts, there is no tax.
• For years three and four, there is 1/2 of the normal tax rate.
• In the fifth year, the company pays the full normal tax rate.
Hong Kong and Taiwan remain are the two main sources of FDI to China (Appendix B).
MNCs from Europe, Japan and the United States entered China. However, these 2
economies still account for almost half of FDI in China. In terms of sectoral distribution
60% of FDI, followed by real estate with 24 %. Within the manufacturing sector, almost
half of it is directed towards labor-intensive manufacturing, suggesting foreign
Foreign firms who are weighing a decision to invest in China, as well as those who
already have engaged in FDI, face a number of potential problems. The challenges listed
in this paper are by no means exhaustive. The complex bureaucratic structure of China’s
makes it difficult for companies to assess rates of returns due to the questionable nature
with the complex governmental structure from village level all the way to the national
level, collating data is highly inefficient and inaccurate. Moreover, local authorities tend
to exaggerate their achievements and conceal their losses in a bid to impress their
superiors. The many layers of government also gives birth to a lot of red tape, among
which is a rather complicated application process for new investments, which hinders
prospective investors. Also, China, being a large country with a population of 1.3 billion
people, has a very diverse culture. Commonly, people often cite Chinese as emphasizing
that there are many different interpretations to that among all the different provinces, due
to differences in lifestyle, upbringing and circumstance. Investors must take note of these
is also a lack of infrastructure and industrial tradition in some areas, which, inevitably,
leads to problems in the daily running of the business, such as, lack of utilities (water,
electricity). These disruptions in basic amenities can be costly as the productivity lost can
be significant. Corruption, for example bribery, is also an obstacle that potential investors
have to grapple with. China was ranked 59 out of 150 countries in the World Democracy
Audit for 2003. A high perception of widespread corruption will scare away potential
investors, and hinder businesses already in operation there. The cases below further
For many years, China has been the main breeding grounds for many models of
automobiles. These companies formed lucrative partnerships with foreign companies who
set up plants in China and tapped on the cheap labor resources there.
However, after serving as apprentice to foreign automobile makers for the past decade or
so, some big state-owned Chinese car companies are trying to expand their diminutive
The years of service to the big names in automobile business have taught the Chinese
invaluable experience and path a more smooth-sailing way forward for them. From
technology behind the assembly plants to management of the different sectors, Chinese
companies have learnt their lesson well and are now venturing into their own hands-on
session.
The sole aim of the companies is to build their brands overseas and help China claim
more than a few familiar brands to foreigners. After all, being a country that has enjoyed
two decades of near-double-digit growth, China’s policy makers are eager to take the step
in this highly competitive world and source for their own share in the market.
One company, Shanghai Automobile Industry Corp, has made bold plans to make 50,000
of its own brand of vehicles and clench a seat in the world’s top 10 auto makers by 2010.
This may not be a dream come true for the company as they have been gained deep
pockets by selling the brands of VW and GM. A spokesperson from SAIC also mentioned
the likelihood of acquiring Ssangyang Motor which has the licensed car technology from
Mercedes. All such actions points directly to the company’s goals to build up its own
Unfortunately, such series of actions could alarmingly disturb the intricate balance of
relationships built up between Chinese auto companies and their foreign counterparts.
The course of actions could upset the lucrative partnerships and ending several years of
marriage in divorce. In actual sense, foreign companies are breeding their own
competitors in this automobile chase. Needless to say, if the Chinese automobile makers
inched their way into the global market, we would expect much fiercer competition
VISA has been one of the world’s preferred credit card companies when traveling and not
wanting to carry large amounts of cash. This Athens 2004, officials from the Bank of
China were invited to take a tour of the historic city and witness for themselves, not the
beauty of the architecture and landscaping, but rather the convenience and popularity of
VISA cards when purchasing items. This is an act to try to encourage Chinese banks to
get local restaurants and stores wired to their cards. China has 3 million VISA cards that
are allowed to be used abroad and VISA is hoping that the number would increase to 50
million by 2008. However, with only about 10% of merchants utilizing this mode of
payment now, VISA has a long great wall to climb to its target.
This year, China’s surging power shortage problem in summer has forced restaurants,
shops and even hotels to survive the long and dreadful sauna-like temperatures without
24 hour air cons and even blackouts during peak periods. Many restaurants have to turn
away the lunch-time crowd as they lack the electricity to produce food catered for the
needs of the consumers. Even factories have to delay productions or change to production
The same luxury is not applicable to retail businesses that cannot shift their businesses to
opening at night. Many customers have to turn away from shops that have been
suspended electricity due to high consumption. Sometimes, customers are not even able
China’s economy is controlled by the ruling party who in turn allocates about half of the
fixed-asset investment. Generally, the Chinese business cycle tracks the country’s
political cycle closely. The Communist party convenes its national congress every five
years and each congress determines leadership changes at both at the top and at the
provincial level. The parties derive legitimacy from economic performance and
demonstrate their ability by securing jobs and promoting growth. However, data has
shown that the growth rate in the year when a party congress is convened is significantly
higher than in the preceding year. In 1992, the growth rate was 14.2%-5% higher than the
have the access to bank credit and other forms of capital. Although the state owns 4
dominant commercial banks, it is the provincial leaders who dictate their lending
positions. Thus, the provincial leaders have the final say in the pet projects and even the
future of the managers in the provincial branches. Few people would dare deny credit to
The typical solution adopted by the Central government is to tighten the reins on these
leaders first without serious warnings. If things continue its spread this way, a few pin
pricks like canceling a project would server as a warning to the leaders. Only when such
tinkering efforts fail does Beijing announce a full procedure to punish the leaders like
stripping them of their titles or even freezing strict limits on investments. These measures
only goes to show that China still has a long way to go before genuinely becoming a free
market as it has to resort to administrative measures and not market forces to slow down
its economy.
As suggested by the title, although China has moved forward and tried to clear away the
worry of corruption and path a brighter way for investors, when it comes to high-level
connections, little has changed since the 1980s. Conventionally, one would expect China
not to follow in the type of cronyism similar to Suharto’s footsteps with the opening up of
the market and the more robust roles the media have taken upon. However, a closer look
at the Chinese economy would surprise many people at how much the tie of crony has
instance, besides from getting a university degree from the America like a lot of other
aspiring Chinese youths, Jiang has something else which none can compare-his father is
Jiang Zemin, the former president and Communist Party chief who still heads the
Due to this very delicate relationship, the projects that he has been involved in have been
enjoying a record of good relations with the authorities. This family tie has made him one
of the most popular people to work with among foreign investors. Citigroup formed an
insurance venture in June with one of Mr. Jiang’s IT companies-the Shanghai Alliance
Investment; Finnish mobile technology firm Nokia sold a 30% stake in its telecoms
factory in Suzhou to Mr. Jiang’s Alliance. IBM has sent a delegation of senior executives
to meet Mr. Jiang in Beijing in February and even Intel has teamed up with Mr. Jiang’s
Although these giant names have not commented on the family ties that Mr. Jiang has, it
is quite likely that ‘brands’ are being recognized here and favored when choosing an
investment partner in China. Other examples include the current Party Chief and State
President Hu Jintao’s son Hu Haifeng heading the Qinghua University’s Nutech, an x-ray
technology company that has been granted major deals for China’s customs checks and
immigration security. His daughter Hu Haiqing married Daniel Mao last year who is the
founder and director of China’s biggest Internet portal Sina.com, which faces an
increasingly competitive and regulated Internet and mobile services industry in China.
Premier Wen Jiabao’s son Winston Wen Yunsong is a founder of mainland IT services
company Unihub, which has a joint venture in China with Hong Kong telecoms giant
PCCW.
Impacts
The influx of FDI due to the market reforms has bought about a plethora of changes into
the Chinese society, many of which is good, and some of which is bad. Here we shall
China has grown very rapidly since the late 1970s (when market reforms were carried out
to allow and attract FDI) and statistics proves it. The average annual GDP growth from
1998 to 2002 is 9.5%, while per capita GDP rose from $300 in 1980 to $1000 in 2002.
FDI has contributed to GDP in various ways. FDI contributes to GDP by adding to capital
formation. This effect is estimated to have contributed as much as 0.4% to average annual
GDP growth in the 1990s. The direct contribution of FDI to GDP is the highest in
provinces such as Guangdong (which is a SEZ) as they attracted the most FDI. FDI has
also contributed to GDP through its positive effect on Total Factor Productivity (TFP).
TFP is the measurement of how well an organization utilizes all of its resources, such as
capital, labor, materials, or energy, to produce its outputs. Empirical research has
suggested that FDI has raised TFP growth by 2.5% annually in the 1990s. FDI has also
of Foreign Funded Enterprises (FFEs). Employment in the FFEs in the urban areas
quadrupled between 1991 and 1999 to a total of 6 million, accounting for 3% of urban
employment. In the coastal provinces of Guangdong and Shanghai, FFEs account for a
much as 10% of urban employment. This spurt in growth in GDP has bought about a
reduction in poverty in China. An estimated 200-400 million people were lifted out of
poverty from 1980 to 2002, and according to the World Bank, much of the reduction in
global poverty during the last 2 decades was accounted for by China. Thus we see
However, due to fact that FDI has been concentrated on the coastal regions and this hs
because it can retard efforts to reduce poverty, and also inhibit economic growth. Also,
large income disparity leads to social problems such as a higher incidence of crime and
political instability.
Analysis
As discussed above, there are some teething problems which have resulted from the
influx of FDI in China, and we shall attempt to provide solutions to these problems.
Income Disparity
The income disparity between the coastal and inland regions is an urgent problem which
has to be dealt with. As the disparity is largely due to the attractiveness of the SEZs in
attracting FDI than the inland regions, we propose that China open up those other areas
too, by providing support for infrastructure and amending the law to allow for FDI to
operate in those regions. Basic infrastructure as such the transport and communication
system should be developed such that businesses can operate there with efficiency.
Empirical studies confirm that provinces in china with more superior infrastructure and transport
links to external markets tend to receive more FDI. Similarly, China can provide tax incentives
for investments in the inland regions too, as this is mostly the main appeal for
Over-reliance on FDI
As above, manufacturing makes up the bulk of China’s FDI, and this underscores China’s
heavy reliance on this sector. Thus, if this sector is to undergo a recession, China’s
economy could be adversely affected. Thus, China should not rely heavily upon the
manufacturing sector for its prosperity forever. It should diversify its efforts to other
sectors such as R&D and agriculture. China’s competitive advantage is its abundant
supply of natural resources. China is one of the world’s biggest fishery and farming
countries, with its aquatic products accounting for 70% of the world ones. The
agricultural sector deals with providing staple foods for people and thus is able to
command a high profit if it were to export extensively overseas. However, its agricultural
export in the year 2002 was merely . If China were able to step up its production
capacity, it would have been able to earn a lucrative profit from the recent Bird Flu crisis.
Thus, China should make full of this competitive advantage and design methods to
further improve on the agricultural sector. Our group foresees the great potential in
expanding the product export with its first place position in China's agricultural product
exports presently. It might even become the world’s leader in agricultural supply in the
future.
So what is hindering China from speeding up its export volume? We believe that the lack
of advanced technology may be one of the reasons. Instead of its productivity increasing,
it has been showing a downward trend in recent years. Such trend might be owed to the
decreasing number of labor working in this industry. Internal migration of labors from
rural to urban regions has been accelerating ever since the accession to WTO. Thus,
China is now attempting to substitute advanced technology for labor to boost productivity
in this sector. The main tasks are to have a great increase in high-quality breeding and its
product processing, to have an effective control in aquatic and animal diseases and to
the importance to the three key sectors including product quality and safety, breeding and
fine processing. According to the commitments after China's accession to the WTO, the
average tariff level of China's agricultural products will also be reduced from the present
China’s over-reliance in FDI might affect the economy negatively if the investors decide
to pull their investments out of the market overnight. Singapore is a good example of this.
Neighboring countries such as India which shares with China many of the structural
factors that have been important determinants of FDI- market size, abundant labor, and a
large Indian Diaspora might become an attractive destination for FDI in the next 10 years
if the Indian government decides to impose a vision for the path of development and
growth of the country. To avoid such crisis from realizing in the future, our group feels
that China could encourage existing high performing Chinese companies to switch their
focus overseas. A recent case would be the Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp., the
invisible spouse for two of the world’s biggest car makers, Volkswagen AG and General
Motors Corp. It has moved its global expansion into high gear. It has entered talks to
partner with Britain’s MG Rover Group Ltd., the sports-car maker. This month, it
announced aims to acquire Ssangyong Motor Co., South Korea’s fourth-biggest car
maker, potentially making it the first Chinese auto maker to take over a foreign
counterpart.
In addition, China could also encourage entrepreneurship among the Chinese citizens.
With the market dominated by mainly the Chinese enterprises, it would not have much
Presently, many countries such as the United States of America and Japan are
outsourcing their production to China. This creates a great opportunity for the Chinese to
expose to the foreign management styles as well as the standard of quality set by the
foreign companies. Thus, by integrating the valuable knowledge acquired from the
foreign companies into their own expertise, it might create a competitive advantage for
them.
technical standards. According to the report, as a world leader for manufacturing and
consumption of high-tech products, China has a strong influence over domestic and
global market standards. As Chinese standards become more widely accepted, Chinese
enterprises will see a rise in standing in the global technological sector. Yan Louyou,
Chinese Chief of the service group for DTT Technologies, Media and
Telecommunications, argues that global technology and telecom firms need to valuate
conjunction with Chinese enterprises. The report predicts Chinese manufacturers will first
build up a strong business support team in China and then export their technologies to
emerging markets in Southeast Asia and Middle East. China’s formulation of global
companies. This paves a smoother path for future emerging Chinese corporations to
Conclusion
China has made great strides in its reforms to open up its market for foreign direct
investment. Among developing countries, China is now the largest recipient of foreign
capital. Foreign direct investment is still concentrated in the southeast and the coastal
areas, even though we see a slow process of diffusion. Foreign-invested firms have
remains many challenges to investing in China to which it must tackle in order for it
remain an attractive destination for FDIs. FDIs has also resulted in problems to which
• http://www.qis.net/chinalaw/prclaw11.htm
• http://chinaunique.com/business/sez.htm
• http://www.worldaudit.org/corruption.htm
• http://www.fdi.gov.cn/lteconomy/index.jsp?app=00000000000000000005&language=en
&category=¤tPage=1
• Sizing up FDI in China and India, Shan-Jin Wei, Stanford University, December 2000
• Wall Street Journal, 24th August 2004, front page & page A7, Column 1
• www.WSJ.com
• http://www.weforum.org/site/knowledgenavigator.nsf/Content/Is%20China%20a%20For
eign%20Investment%20Goldmine%20or%20Minefield%3F_2004?the
• http://www.wider.unu.edu/publications/pb4.pdf
Appendix A:
Appendix B:
1979- %
Country/Region 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
1989 Change
Hong Kong* 20,879 3,833 7,215 40,044 73,939 46,971 40,996 28,002 18,220 -35%
Japan 2,855 457 812 2,173 2,960 4,440 7,592 5,131 3,400 -34%
USA 4,057 358 548 3,121 6,813 6,010 7,471 6,916 4,940 -29%
Taiwan** 1,100 1,000 3,430 5,543 9,965 5,395 5,849 5,141 2,810 -45%
Others 4,569 1,948 3,405 7,241 17,759 19,864 29,374 28,086 22,410 -20%
Total Contracted
32,360 7,596 11,980 58,122 111,436 82,680 91,282 73,276 51,780 -29%
Investment
Graphical Representation:
7%
Appendix C: