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BUSFIN 1030
Professor Schlingemann
Problem Set 3
SOLUTIONS
Problem 1:
You are deciding among three cars to use as a company car. The garage offers you a lease
deal and two different options for purchasing the car. You are completely indifferent
among these cars except for their costs. Once you have decided which car to take, you
will always take the same car again at the end of its useful life. The pre-tax residual value
(salvage value) for the car at the end of its useful life is equal to (100 / n) % of the
purchase price, where n is equal to the lifetime of the car. All cars are fully depreciated
according to its lifetime on a straight-line basis with no half-year convention. The
discount rate is 7% and the tax rate is 20%. Assume that you pay the price of the car up
front, and the annual costs at the end of the year. The costs of leasing occur at the end of
each period. (For example, if you purchase Car B, you pay $18,000 in year 0 and $1,000
in year 1, year 2, etc. If you lease car A, you pay $4,650 in year1, year 2, etc. ) Note:
consider all relevant cash flows for this problem.
Lease A
Purchase B
Purchase C
Purchase price
--$18,000
$45,000
*
Total annual costs
$4,650
$900
--Lifetime of the car
3 years
5 years
18 years
* Includes all after-tax costs like fuel, wear and tear, maintenance, etc.
Using the Equivalent Annual Cost (EAC) method, which of the cars should you decide to
drive always?
ANSWER:
First find the relevant cash flows associated with each purchase option:
Purchase B:
Depreciation tax shield = 20% $3,600 = $720
After-tax salvage value = $3,600 20% $3,600 = $2,880
PVB = 18,000 +
900 720
1
2,880
1
$16,684.64
5
0.07
1.07
1.075
EACB
EAC B
0.07
1
5
1.07
Purchase C:
Depreciation tax shield = 20% $2,500 = $500
After-tax salvage value = $2,500 20% $2,500 = $2,000
PVC = 45,000 +
EACC
EAC B
0.07
500
1
2,000
1
$39,378.73
18
0.07
1.07
1.0718
1
1.07
18
Purchase C has the lowest cost per year (note that the lease is already in $ per year).
Problem 2:
You are thinking about investing your money in the stock market. You have the following
two stocks in mind: stock A and stock B. You know that the economy can either go in
recession or it will boom. Being an optimistic investor, you believe the likelihood of
observing an economic boom is two times as high as observing an economic depression.
You also know the following about your two stocks:
State of the Economy
Probability
Boom
Recession
RA
10%
6%
RB
2%
40%
What is the variance and standard deviation of the risk free asset?
What is the covariance between stock A and the risk free asset?
What is the expected return on your portfolio?
What is the variance on your portfolio?
What is the standard deviation on your portfolio?
ANSWER
OCF
49,500
49,500
49,500
NCS*)
-89,600
-
Additions NWC
-75,000
-25,000
+50,000
+50,000**)
Cash Flow
-164,600
24,500
99,500
99,500
Return A (RA)
38%
4%
Return B (RB)
6%
12%
method with the formula for the risk of a portfolio (i.e., using the covariance) and the
method of calculating the variance (and standard deviation) from the portfolio returns.
e. Calculate the expected return on a portfolio with equal proportions in the risky assets,
and 30% in a risk-free asset. (Tip: Use your answer in d to find out what the rate of
return is on a risk-free asset).
ANSWER
a) p(boom) = 0.4 and p(recession)=0.6 (Note that probabilities always add up to 1)
E(RA) = 0.4 0.38 + 0.6 -0.04 = 0.128 (-12.8%)
E(RB) = 0.4 0.06 + 0.6 0.12 = 0.096 (9.6%)
b) SD(RA) = [0.4 (0.38-0.128)2 + 0.6 (-0.04-0.128)2]0.5= 0.20576 (20.576%)
SD(RB) = [0.4 (0.06-0.096)2 + 0.6 (0.12-0.096)2]0.5 = 0.02939 (2.939%)
c) COV (RA,RB) =
0.4 (0.38-0.128) (0.06-0.096) + 0.6 (-0.04-0.128) (0.12-0.096) = 0.006048
CORR(RA,RB) = 0.006048 / (0.20576 0.02939) = 1 (Rounding! Remember the
correlation coefficient cannot be less than 1)
d) Portfolio weights: WA=0.125 and WB=0.875:
VAR(RP) = 0.1252 0.205762 + 0.8752 0.029392 + 20.1250.8750.006048 = 0
SD(RP) = 0% (Risk Free Portfolio)
Alternatively,
E(RP|Boom) = 0.125 0.38 + 0.875 0.06 = 0.10 (10%)
E(RP|Recession) = 0.125 -0.04 + 0.875 0.12 = 0.10 (10%)
Now it is much easier to see that this is a risk-free investment.
e) Portfolio weights: WA=0.35 and WB=0.35, and WF=0.3:
E(RP) = 0.35 0.128 + 0.35 0.096 + 0.3 0.10 = 0.1084 (10.84%)
Problem 6:
You are thinking about investing your money in the stock market. You have the following
three stocks in mind: stock A, B, and C. You know that the economy is expected to
behave according to the following table. You believe the likelihood of each scenario is
identical (all states of nature have equal probabilities. You also know the following about
your two stocks:
Depression
Recession
Normal
Boom
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
f.
g.
h.
i.
j.
k.
l.
RA
-20%
10%
30%
50%
RB
5%
20%
-12%
9%
RC
5%
5%
5%
-3%
ANSWER
a) E(RA) = 0.25 -0.20 + 0.25 0.10 + 0.25 0.30 + 0.25 0.50 = 0.175 (17.5%)
E(RB) = 0.25 0.05 + 0.25 0.20 + 0.25 -0.12 + 0.25 0.09 = 0.055 (5.5%)
E(RC) = 0.25 -0.05 + 0.25 0.05 + 0.25 0.05 + 0.25 -0.03 = 0.005 (0.5%)
b) SD(RA) = 0.2586
SD(RB) = 0.115
SD(RC) = 0.0456 (All calculations are similar to the previous problems)
c) CORR(RA,RB)= 0.1639
d) CORR(RB,RC)= 0.1098
e) CORR(RA,RC)= +0.2441
f) Stocks A and B should give you the biggest diversification benefit because their
correlation is the lowest.
g) E(RP(B,C)) = 0.5 0.055 + 0.5 0.005 = 0.03 (3%)
h) First find the returns on the portfolio for each state of nature:
E(RP(B,C)|Depression) = 0.5 0.05 + 0.5 -0.05 = 0.0 (0%)
Using the CAPM (capital asset pricing model) and SML (security market line), what is
the expected rate of return for an investment with a Beta of 1.8, a risk free rate of return
of 4%, and a market rate of return of 10%.
ANSWER
E(Ri) = RF + i (E(RM) - RF)
E(Ri) = 0.04 + 1.8 (0.10 - 0.04) = 0.148 (14.8%)
Problem 8:
You know that an investment with a beta of 1 generates an expected return of 9%, you
also know that another investment, which has a beta of 0, generates a return of 2%. What
return can you expect on an investment with a beta of 0.75?
ANSWER
E(Ri) = RF + i (E(RM) - RF)
E(Ri) = 0.02 0.75 (0.09 - 0.02) = 0.0725 (7.25%)
Problem 9 (NOT GRADED):
You are forming a portfolio, where you put a quarter of your money in small stocks with
a beta of 2.8 and an expected return of 18%. You put half your money in large stocks with
a beta of 1.8 and an expected return of 13%. You invest one eighth of your money in a
well-diversified portfolio like the S&P 500 index with a beta of 1 and an expected return
of 9%, and finally, one eight of your money is invested in risk free T-bills. The expected
return on the T-bills is 4%.
a. What is the expected return on your portfolio?
b. What is the systematic risk (beta) on your portfolio?
ANSWER
a. E(RP) = weighted average of the individual returns
b. P = weighted average of the individual betas.
Problem 10 (NOT GRADED):
What is the Equivalent Annual Cost (EAC) for a 12-year machine, with the following
cash flows: purchase price upfront is $18,000; service costs are $2,000 in year 1 and
growing at 5% per year. The appropriate discount rate is 9%.
a.
b.
c.
d.
$75.54
$3,006.30
$5,037.97
$18,075.54
e. $36,075.54
Problem 11 (NOT GRADED):
Stock A has an expected return of 14.05% and a beta of 2.2. Stock B has an expected
return of 7% and a beta of 1. What must be the expected return on a risk free asset?
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
1%
1.125%
1.25%
1.5%
2%
System A
$80,000
$25,000
$25,000
$25,000
$25,000
System B
$80,000
$25,000
$25,000
$25,000
$25,000
The after-tax salvage values in year 6 for these systems are respectively $115,000 for A
and $30,000 for machine B.
Use the Internal Rate of Return Rule to decide when system A should be selected and
when system B should be selected.
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