Risk Library
Risk Library
I-
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3.1)
3.2)
3.2.1)
3.2.2)
3.2.3)
3.2.4)
3.2.5)
3.2.6)
3.2.7)
3.3.1)
3.3.2)
3.3.3)
3.3.4)
3.3.5)
3.3.6)
3.3.7)
3.3.8)
3.3.9)
3.3)
Environment Risk
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Environment risk arises when there are external forces that could significantly change the fundamentals that drive Group's overall
objectives and strategies and, in the extreme, put any segment of the Group out of business.
Type of Risk
Definition/s
Environment risk
arises from failure to understand customer wants, failure to anticipate or react to actions of competitors, overdependence on vulnerable sources of income or funds etc. Management's assumptions about the business
environment provide a critical starting point for formulating and evaluating business strategies. If key managers
do not have a common understanding of the key environment risks, the Group's strategic objectives will not be
focused. Because the high stakes of strategic error, management must have assurance that the key
environmental assumptions on which its strategy is based are consistent with reality.
Competitor Risk
Technological
Innovation Risk
The Group is not leveraging advancements in technology in its business model to achieve or sustain competitive
advantage or exposed to the action of competitors or substitutes that leverage technology to attain superior
quality, cost and /or time performance in their products, services and processes.
Sensitivity Risk
Over-commitment of resources and expected future cash flows threatens Group's capacity to withstand changes
in environment (e.g., interest rates, market demand, changes in regulations, etc.) forces beyond its control.
For example:
Unfavorable changes in competitor capabilities, interest rates, currency rates, inflation, capital markets,
international trade and other economic conditions that are closely tied to the business cycle can
adversely affect and threaten competitive advantage of the Group.
The Group's strategy to grow rapidly, expand geographically and invest in significant high risk lines of
business can increase its sensitivity exposure to unexpected economic, regulatory and market
developments.
Systemic risk for financial institutions is a form of sensitivity risk. It is the risk that financial difficulties in
one financial institution or a major market disruption will cause uncontrollable financial harm to other
institutions or prevent the effective operation of the financial system generally.
Sensitivity risk also results when the Group is too inflexible to change in response to changes in the
environment. If the Group's business processes cannot be aligned to satisfy customer wants and meet the
challenges of changing technological advances, unexpected competitor actions or other external environmental
changes, its ability to compete will be significantly affected.
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Type of Risk
Definition/s
Sovereign/Politic
al Risk
Adverse political actions in a country in which the Group has invested significantly or has entered into a
significant agreement with counterparty subject to the laws of that country threaten the Group's resources and
future cash flows.
For example, possible nationalization, expropriation of assets without compensation, currency blockage or other
restrictions could result in significant losses to the Group.
Sovereign risk is a reflection of a country's financial standing in the world community and, to some degree, a
function of the country's political stability and historical performance in meeting its international financial
obligations. The greater the probability a government may impose foreign exchange controls, thus making it
impossible for a counterparty or foreign subsidiary to honor its commitments, the greater is the sovereign risk.
For example:
Legal Risk
Changing laws (local and foreign in countries which Group has operations threaten the Group's capacity to
consummate important transactions, enforce contractual agreements or implement specific strategies and
activities.
Changes in laws and litigation claims and assessments can also result in increased
competitive pressures
and significantly affect the Group's ability to efficiently conduct business. For example, uncontrolled litigation,
and punitive damages (i.e. lender liability) can cause tremendous uncertainty in decision making and create
potentially unacceptable liabilities for businesses.
Regulatory Risk
Changing regulations (local and foreign countries in which the Group has operations) threaten the Group's
competitive position and its capacity to efficiently conduct business. This can result in increased competitive
pressures and significantly affect the Group's ability to efficiently conduct business. For example, regulators can
significantly change the rules of the marketplace and thrust entire industries into a vastly different competitive
environment (e.g., the ability of universal brokers to offer full range of specified financial services).
Industry Risk
Changes in opportunities and threats, capabilities of competitors, and other conditions affecting the financial
services industry threaten the attractiveness of the entire industry.
There are also other risks that can be broadly categorized under "industry risk" because they tend to affect
different industries in different ways:
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Type of Risk
Definition/s
Demographic Risk - The risks that demographic trends will affect the industry's customer base .and work
force.
Social/Cultural Risk - The way people live, work and behave as consumers can affect the industry's
products and services. For example, society's acclimatization to the internet will impact the delivery of
competitive products and services, etc.
Natural Disaster Risk - Severe weather, flooding, earthquakes and other natural disasters affect most
industries, some more directly than others. For example, weather affects market demand for gas and
electricity. Inclement weather that is out-of-season also adversely affects the citrus industry. This could
significantly impact the ability of the borrowers to pay their obligations.
Finally, there is the risk that an entire industry's public image will be tarnished or damaged due to negative
publicity. Factors that can affect the image include industry consolidation, failures, large derivative losses, etc.
Financial
Markets Risk
Exposure to changes in the earnings capacity or economic value as a result of changes in financial market
variables which affect income, expense or balance sheet values. For example:
Financial market exposures can result in substantial losses if the exposures are unhedged or imperfectly hedged.
Financial markets risk can be incurred in a number of different ways. For example:
Yield Risk - Exposure to changes in earnings as a result of fluctuations of market factors (e.g., interest
rate changes, currency fluctuations, etc.) which affect income 'from unhedged assets or the cost of
unhedged liabilities (including executory contracts and other contingent exposures).
Price Risk - Exposure to changes in, earnings or net worth as a result of price level changes.
Credit Risk - The exposure to actual loss or opportunity losses as a result of deterioration in the ability of
a counterparty to honor its obligations and/or deterioration in the collateral value.
Liquidity Risk - Exposure to loss resulting from the inability to convert assets (e.g., investment
securities, receivables, inventories) to an equivalent cash value, or to raise unsecured funding, in a
timely and cost-effective manner.
Systemic Risk - Exposure to loss as a result of a major market disruption which adversely affects all
participants in that market (e.g., the inability to repatriate funds held in a foreign country due to the
failure of its financial markets and/or banking system).
Complexity Risk - Exposure to loss resulting from entering into complex transactions, the structure and pricing of
which are not completely understood.
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Type of Risk
Catastrophic
Loss Risk
Definition/s
A major disaster threatens the Group's or business unit's ability to sustain operations, provide essential products
and services or recover operating costs.
The inability to recover from such events in a world class manner could damage the Group's reputation, ability
to obtain capital, and investor relationships. There are two sources of catastrophic losses:
Uncontrollable - Disasters from war, terrorism, fire, earthquake, severe weather and flooding and other
similar events are completely beyond the control of the Group. However, their effects on the Group's
assets and operations can be managed.
Controllable - Environmental disasters, pervasive health and safety violations, incredibly high
litigation costs, huge losses from derivatives, massive business fraud, and significant losses in market
share because of failure to abandon strategies that no longer work can be as catastrophic in their effects
on a business as an uncontrollable disaster; however, the business activities that contribute to these
losses are within the control of the Group.
Breakdowns in any of these areas can threaten the very survival of the business. The risk of catastrophic losses
occurring overlaps with other business risks that relate more specifically to the potential for adverse events, i.e.,
Product/Service Delivery, Environmental, Health and Safety, and Derivative Risks.
PROCESS RISK
Process risk is the risk that business processes:
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The interdependencies of processes within a business/function/entity and with customers and suppliers are a contributing factor to
process risk. Deficient outputs from one business process are deficient inputs to another. Process risk includes:
Type of Risks
OPERATIONS
RISK
Definition
Operations risk is the risk that operations are inefficient and-ineffective in satisfying customers and achieving
Group's quality, cost and time objectives.
Customer
Satisfaction Risk
Human
Resources Risk
Product
Development
Risk
Inadequate product development threatens the Group's ability to (1) meet or exceed
customers' needs and wants consistently over the long-term; and/or (2) the product
profitability does not meet the minimum requirement of the management or the product is
not profitable. The Group's product development process creates products that:
The productivity of the product development process is significantly less than that of the
more innovative competitors who are able to achieve higher productivity through a stronger
customer focus, focused marketing, faster cycle time and longer product life.
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Type of Risks
Definition
Capacity Risk
Insufficient capacity threatens the Group's ability to meet customer demands, or excess
capacity threatens the Group's ability to generate competitive profit margins.
Capacity risk has several dimensions:
The effective productive capacity of the delivery channel is not fully utilized,
resulting in fixed costs spreading over fewer units and creating higher unit costs and
lower unit margins.
The effective productive capacity of the delivery channel is not adequate to fulfill
customer needs and demands, resulting in lost business.
Unnecessary activities also threaten the Group's capacity to produce and deliver goods or
services on a timely basis.
Compliance Risk
Performance Gap
Risk
Inability to perform at world class levels in terms of quality, costs and/or cycle time due to
sub-par operating practices compared to that of the: competitors or recognized
standards/benchmarks threatens the demand for Group's products or services.
A business process does not perform at a world class level because the practices designed
into the process are not optimal. When compared to that of the competitors or best of class
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Type of Risks
Definition
performers, there is an unfavorable performance gap because of lower quality, higher costs,
or longer cycle times. When customers discover the alternatives provided by superior
performing competitors, they cease to purchase/acquire the Group's products/services.
One reason for the gap can be due to the elapsed time between the start and completion of
a business process (or activity within a process) which is too long because of redundant,
unnecessary and irrelevant steps. Cycle time can be measured for all operations, e.g.,
application, credit processing, funding and .monitoring, etc. Cycle time risk has many forms.
For example, Competitors using time as a strategic weapon can pose a formidable threat if
they significantly alter the cost structure of the value chain to the end user. Total cycle time
reduces the need to tie up cash, liberating funds for growth opportunities. For example:
Providing mortgage loans over the phone with electronic credit scoring:
Pre-approve retail
Pre-approve retail credit facilities for retail customers with access within 24
hour notification;
The use of technology to deliver products and services. For example, the use of
electronic home banking providing customer access to all accounts;
Providing no hassle, new transaction account set up. The ability to eliminate barriers
to establishing new relationships will provide institutions with a competitive
advantage.
Regulatory
Compliance Risk
Regulatory compliance risk arises from non-conformance with laws and regulations at the
international, country, state and local levels that apply to Group or any of its business units
and its business processes.
This risk also arises in situations where the laws or regulations governing certain products or
activities of the Group's clients may be ambiguous or untested. Regulatory compliance risk
exposes the Group to sanctions, fines and penalties and can lead to a diminished reputation,
reduced brand name value, limited business opportunities and lessened expansion
potential.
Business
Interruption Risk
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Type of Risks
Definition
dependent on availability of certain information technologies, skilled human (different from
the Human Resources risk that impedes the capability to-perform, the human related
Business Interruption Risk here is more detrimental. to the extent interrupting the business)
and other resources. If facilities, people with the requisite experience and skills and other
critical resources were not available or if critical information systems went down, the Group
would experience difficulty in continuing operations in the desired manner. Advanced
disaster recovery planning and testing is essential.
Business interruption can arise from accidents, weather, work stoppages, sabotage and
crisis, and results in dissatisfied customers and loss of revenue, profits and competitive
position. Business interruption attributable to a loss of critical information systems
is
described as "Availability Risk" under "Information Processing/Technology Risk".
Product /Service
Delivery Risk
Health
Safety Risk
Failure to provide a safe working environment for its personnel exposes the Group to
compensation liabilities, loss of business reputation and other costs.
and
Personnel health and safety risks are significant if not controlled because they expose the
Group to potentially significant workers' compensation liabilities. Workers' compensation
laws, which vary from country to country, can result in severe financial losses if respective
operations do not strictly comply with them.
Costs associated with on site operating facility accidents have risen dramatically since the
1970s and have a far reaching impact on the employee, his or her family and friends, and
fellow employees. The negative publicity from highly visible human and other costs
associated with health and safety issues also can create reputation loss for bank Group. The
Group and their respective managers could find themselves criminally liable for failure to
monitor and provide a safe working environment for their employees.
Brand
Name
Erosion Gap Risk
Erosion of the brand name over time threatens the demand for the Group's products or
services. It is a risk that the brand name will lose its value over time to a business in
building and retaining demand for its products and services.
A brand name is a word, symbol or device - or any combination of these that identifies a
product or service and distinguishes that product or service from the products or services of
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Type of Risks
Definition
other financial services institutions. The risk can arise because of the occurrence of other
risks, e.g. Product/Services Delivery Risk, or the social appearance Group compared to other
competitors in the eyes of the community, or a combination of them,
Partnering Risk
EMPOWERMENT
RISK
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Choosing the wrong partner, potentially causing reputation risk and failure to
achieve objectives.
Executing
poorly with
a viable partner,
due to
cultural differences,
communications failures, etc.
Taking more than what is given, and losing a valuable partner relationship because
mutuality of interest is lost.
Failing to take advantage of an obvious opportunity to partner.
Type of Risks
Definition
Leadership Risk
The Group's or any of its business unit's people are not being effectively led to do the right
things, which may result in a lack of direction customer focus, motivation to perform,
management credibility and trust throughout the organization.
Consequences of poor leadership include:
Authority/Limit
Risk
Ineffective lines of authority may cause managers or employees to do things they should
not do or fail to do things they should.
Failure to establish limits on personnel actions may cause managers or employees to
commit unauthorized or unethical acts, or to assume unauthorized or unacceptable
business risks.
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Type of Risks
Definition
For example, senior management and the Board either (1) does not approve a transaction
or decision or (2) does not specify the process and criteria by which the transaction or
decision is to be approved:
In defining the responsibilities and authorities of key employees, management does not
clarify the terms or boundaries of those responsibilities and authorities, e.g., what they
can not or should not do. Clear boundaries and limits, defined in accordance with a
business risk management strategy or prudent business policy, are important because
they create focus, restrict or preclude non-controllable business activities, place caps on
unacceptable risk taking and losses in high risk areas, clarify management's
authorization criteria, and define parameters for corporate conduct.
With respect to areas in which significant risks are taken or significant assets are
entrusted to a few specialists (e.g., derivatives and eBusiness), management does not
understand who is doing what, how often and why, and the extent and magnitude of the
risks the-experts assume on the Group's behalf.
Managers and employees are given responsibilities that are inconsistent with the
Group's objectives, strategy and ' prudent business risk management practice.
Managers and employees do not believe they are empowered to act, so they do not act
when action is clearly warranted. In these circumstances, fear and distrust may even be
widespread in the organization.
Outsourcing Risk
Outsourcing activities to third parties may result in the third parties not acting within the
intended limits of their authority or not performing in a manner consistent with the
organization's strategies, objectives and desired results. There are two elements of
outsourcing risk. First, there is the risk that outside not within their defined limits of
authority and do not perform in a manner consistent with the values, strategies and
objectives Group). Second, there is the risk that strategic business processes outsourced
ultimately create competition for the outsourcing business units. For example:
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TPAs may settle or negotiate claims, provide information technology services or other
services outside the limits established by the Group. There may be a risk that
transactions outside of the TPA's authority are consummated but not documented or
that limits on the service provider's authority have not been properly defined in the first
place.
The motivation and activities of a TPA may not be consistent with the strategic goals of
the Group. Emphasis or lack of emphasis on particular products, services or qualities of
the Group may limit the effectiveness of the TPA or minimize the Group's success.
If the Group contracts with the TPA without focusing upon the ultimate customer's value
Type of Risks
Definition
Performance
Incentives Risk
chain, the risk of the TPA competing for business increases significantly. For example,
outsourcing the mortgage origination and servicing function could allow the third party
processor to compete on similar products and service offerings.
The TPA and its staff are not held to the same conduct and behavioral standards as are
the employees of the Group. Employees of the TPA do not understand or are not
committed to same values, mission and strategies of the Group.
Change
Readiness Risk
The people within the Group are unable to implement process and product/service
improvements quickly enough to keep pace with changes in the marketplace. This may be
due to lack of skill sets, knowledge or a dynamic corporate culture.
Communications
Risk
Ineffective communication channels may result in messages that are inconsistent with
authorized responsibilities or established performance measures. Communications vertically
(top-down and bottom-up) or horizontally (cross-functional) within the Group are ineffective
and result in messages that are inconsistent with authorized responsibilities or established
measures. As a result, managers and employees:
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Are confused as to what the Group or business unit's mission, objectives and
strategies are.
Do not communicate upwards what senior managers need to know to stay in touch
with what is really happening in the business.
Do not receive timely direction/update or counsel from senior management so that
they feel they are unsupported and isolated.
Do not have or will not use an employee response program, such as a Hotline,
Helpline or Advice Line, to obtain advice and guidance from a responsible company
official before they act.
Type of Risks
Definition
INFORMATION
PROCESSING/
TECHONOLOGY
RISK
Information processing/technology risk is the risk that the information technologies used in the
business are not efficiently and effectively supporting the current and future needs of the business,
are not operating as intended, are compromising the integrity and reliability of data and information,
are exposing significant assets to potential loss or misuse, or threaten the Group or business unit's
ability to sustain the operation of critical business processes.
Relevance Risk
Integrity Risk
Loss of integrity in the management of the information system infrastructure may result in
unauthorized access to data, irrelevant data or untimely delivery of data, or loss of integrity
in the application systems that support the Group business processes may result in
unauthorized, incomplete or inaccurate processing of transactions. This risk encompasses
all of the risks associated with the authorization, completeness, and accuracy of
transactions as they are entered into processed by summarized by and reported on by the
various application systems deployed by the Group, or business unit. These risks
pervasively apply to each and every aspect of an application system used to support a
business process, and are present in multiple places and at multiple times throughout the
application systems, however they principally manifest themselves in the following
components of an application system:
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User Interface - Risks in this area generally relate to whether there are adequate
restrictions over which individuals are authorized to perform business/system functions
based on their job requirement and the need to enforce a reasonable segregation of
duties. Other risks in this area relate to the adequacy of preventive and/or detective
controls that ensure that only valid data can be entered into a system and that the data
is complete.
Processing - Risks in this area ..generally relate to whether there are adequate
preventive or detective balancing and reconciliation controls to ensure that data
processing has been complete and timely. This risk also encompasses risks associated
Type of Risks
Definition
with the accuracy and integrity of reports (whether or not they are printed) used to
summarize results and/or make business decisions.
Error Processing - Risks in this area generally relate to whether there are adequate
processes and other system methods to ensure that any data entry/processing
exceptions that are captured are adequately corrected and reprocessed accurately,
completely and on a timely basis.
Interface - Risks in this area generally relate to whether there are adequate preventive or
detective controls to ensure that data that has been processed and/or summarized is
adequately and completely transmitted to and processed by another application system
to which it feeds data/information.
Change Management - Risks in this area may be generally considered part, of
Infrastructure Risk, but they significantly impact application systems. These risks are
associated with inadequate change management processes including user involvement
and training as well as the process by which changes to any aspect of an application
system is both communicated and implemented.
Data - Risks in this area may also may be generally rooted from and considered part of
Infrastructure and/or Access Risks but they significantly impact application systems.
These risks are associated with inadequate data management controls including both
the security/integrity of processed data and the effective management of databases and
data structures.
Integrity can be lost because of programming errors (e.g.. good data is processed by
incorrect programs), processing errors (e.g., transactions are incorrectly processed more
than once against the same master file), or management/process errors (e.g., poor
management of the system maintenance process).
Access Risk
Access risk focuses on the risks associated with inappropriate access to systems, data or
information. It encompasses the risks of improper segregation of duties, risks associated
with. The integrity of data and databases, and risks associated with information
confidentiality, etc. Access risk can occur at any, or all, of the following five levels:
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Type of Risks
Definition
Network - The mechanism used to connect users within a processing environment. The
access risk in this area is driven by the risk of inappropriate access to the network itself.
Processing Environment - The host computer system where application systems and
related data are 'stored and processed from. The access risk in this area is driven by the
risk of inappropriate access to a processing environment and the program or data that
are stored in that environment.
Application System - The programs that are used by users to process information that is
relevant to their business processes. The access risk in this area is associated with
inappropriate segregation of duties that might occur if access to systems was granted to
person with no clear business need. For example, few people in a business unit should
require access to wire transfer authorization system.
Functional Access (within an application).
Field Level Access (within a function).
Existence of Access Risk relating to "failure to adequately restrict access" would mean the
existence of Integrity Risk but not the Access Risk relating to "overly restricting access". If
the Access Risk is rooted from the system infrastructure (i.e. logical security and security
administration), its existence would mean the existence of Infrastructure Risk. Because of its
pervasive and specific nature, and the given wider scope definition, it warrants itself a
separate risk category in the risk dictionary.
Availability Risk
Unavailability of important information when needed threatens the continuity of the Group's
critical operations and processes.
Includes risks such as loss of communications (e.g., cut cables, telephone system outage,
satellite loss), loss of basic processing capability (e.g., fire, flood, electrical outage) and
operational difficulties (e.g., disk drive breakdown, operator errors).
Availability risk focuses on three different levels of risk:
Risks that can be avoided by monitoring performance and proactively addressing
systems issues before a problem occur.
Risks associated with short-term disruptions to systems where restore/recovery
techniques can be used to minimize the extent of a disruption.
Risks associated with disasters that cause longer term disruptions in information
processing and which focus on controls such as backups and contingency planning.
The Group's capability to continue critical operations and processes may be highly
dependent on availability of certain information systems. If critical or important systems
went down for an unacceptable period, the Group would experience difficulty in continuing
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Type of Risks
Definition
operations. Critical and important information systems that are not available to sustain
operations can result in: loss of revenue, cash flow and profits; loss of competitive
advantage: dissatisfied customers and loss of market share; increased costs; loss of
employee morale; and even fines and sanctions.
Infrastructure
Risk
The risk that the Group does not have an effective information technology Infrastructure
(e.g., hardware, networks, software, people and processes) to effectively support the
current and future needs of the business in an efficient, cost-effective and well-controlled
fashion.
These risks are associated with the series of Information Technology (IT) processes used to
define, develop, maintain and operate an information processing environment (e.g.,
computer hardware, networks, etc.) and the associated application systems (e.g., loans,
deposits , etc.). The risks are generally considered within the context of the following core IT
processes:
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Logical security and security administration - The risk that inappropriate access is gained
Type of Risks
Definition
Lack of effective and well-controlled business processes in each of these areas are usually
the root cause of Access. Relevance, and Availability risks (see other information
processing/technology risks) and application systems process integrity risks (see Integrity
Risk).
ORGANISATIONA
L INTEGRITY
RISK
Organizational Integrity risk is the risk of management fraud, employee fraud, and illegal and unauthorized acts,
any or all of which could lead to reputation degradation in the marketplace or even financial loss. Its root cause is
different from the Integrity Risk under the Information Processing/Technology Risk as it is originated from human
or organizational behavior.
Management
Fraud Risk
Employee
Risk
Fraud
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Type of Risks
Definition
agency, with a specified class of customer or for a specified group of products), lost profits,
loss of customers and damage to reputation.
This risk will exist together with Compliance Risk if the illegal act in question is explicitly
prohibited by the internal policies/guidelines or external regulations/law provisions.
Unauthorized
Use Risk
Physical and financial assets are used for unauthorized or unethical purposes by
employees or others.
Information and proprietary assets (e.g., designs, processes, customer lists,
information and knowledge, formulas, pricing strategies and other trade secrets,
etc.) are compromised by industrial espionage, resulting in loss of competitive
advantage.
The existence of this risk may be rooted from the existence of Access Risk.
Reputation Risk
Damage to the Group's reputation exposes it to loss of customers, profits, employees and
the ability to compete, due to perceptions that it does not:
Loss of customers means the loss of future revenue streams. Loss of employees means the
loss of the talent, skills and expertise needed to run the business. Loss of ability to compete
may mean ultimately going out of business.
The existence of this risk may be due to the existence of other risks e.g. Customer
Satisfaction Risk, Business Interruption Risk and Integrity Risk
FINANCIAL RISK
Process risk in a financial context arises when operating policies and procedures do not adequately control
exposure to the financial markets. Process risk may result in outright losses or in opportunity costs because
financial operations do not support the objectives of the business in a cost-effective way.
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Market Risk
Type of Risks
Definition
Liquidity Risk
Credit Risk
MARKET RISK
Market risk is the exposure of earnings or net worth to changes in market factors (e.g.
interest rates, currency rates, indices) which affect income, expense or balance sheet
values.
Unauthorized use of the Group's physical, financial or information assets by employees or
others expose the organization to unnecessary waste of resources, and financial loss, i.e.:
Physical and financial assets are used for unauthorized or unethical purposes by
employees or others.
n general, risk increases as volatility increases. For example, short term interest rates are
typically more volatile than long term rates, while some currencies are substantially more
volatile than others.
Duration - The weighted average maturity of a set of cash flows (principal and all
interest payments), and an estimate of the sensitivity of those cash flows to
changes in market prices. Duration is typically used as a tool for assessing the risk
associated with the different economic lives of assets (revenues) and liabilities
(expenses). For example, duration can be used to estimate the potential
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Type of Risks
Definition
impact on net worth of funding long term assets with short or intermediate term
debt.
In general, financial risk increases with duration, i.e., the further in the future a bond
is paid out, the more volatile is its value. Market risk management needs to be
sensitive to:
Market risk management needs to be sensitive to:
Derivative
Risk
Modeling
Risk
Interest
Rate Risk
Currency
Risk
The income risk that a future spot interest rate will deviate from an
expected value, resulting in:
o lower-than-expected investment yields, or
o higher-than-expected borrowing or deposit costs.
The valuation risk associated with holding a fixed-yield financial
instrument (e.g., hire purchase loans, zero coupon bonds) when market
yields change. Interest rate risk can result in reduced earnings in absolute
terms, or in a deterioration of the Group's competitive position in the
industry. There are different forms of interest rate risk (e.g., basis risk,
yield curve risk, spread risk, etc.) which are categorized and discussed
below under "Financial Instrument Risk". Because of the nature of its
business, changes in interest rates can adversely affect the cash flow.
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Type of Risks
Definition
Volatility in foreign exchange rates exposes the Group to economic and
accounting losses.
Currency risk is the exposure to fluctuations in exchange rates, and may
arise as a result of:
Business activities or operations in foreign markets.
Investment in securities issued by overseas entities.
Investment in securities which are denominated in a foreign currency.
Exposure to currency risk means that the Group or business unit is in a
position to experience an economic or accounting benefit if exchange rates
move in one direction or suffer an economic or accounting loss if exchange
rates move in the other.
Foreign currency risks are generally classified as economic, transaction and
translation risks:
Economic
Risk -
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Type of Risks
Definition
exposures may have tax consequences in
the foreign country, as well as cash flow
consequences if assets or liabilities are
converted into the local currency.
Transaction
Risks
Translation
Risk
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Budget Risk
Type of Risks
Definition
Equity Risk
Equity risk is the exposure to fluctuations in the income stream from and/or
value of equity ownership in an incorporated entity as a result of investment
in shares of publicly traded entities, private placements, etc. It may arise as
a result of:
Commodit
y Risk
Financial market risk can vary depending on the particular segment of the
market to which the holder of a financial instrument is exposed, or the way in
which the exposure is structured. These risks include:
Anticipated
Exposure Risk
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Type of Risks
Definition
exchange .rate fluctuations on cash flows which are highly
certain, but for which no contractual commitments are in
place (e.g., profits from a business unit operating in a
foreign country). Typical exposures arise in conjunction with
interest rates associated with future borrowings or
investments.
Yield
Curve
Risk/Yield
Shape Risk
Basis
or
Spread Risk
Option Risk
(also referred
to is
Contingent or
At-Bid Risk)
Time Lag Risk
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Type of Risks
Definition
Reinvestment
/Refinancing
Risk
Rollover Risk
Derivative
Risk
Liquidity
Liquidity risk is the exposure to loss as a result of the inability to meet cash flow
obligations in a timely and cost-effective manner.
Liquidity risk often arises as a result of an investment portfolio with a cash flow and/or
maturity profile which differs from the underlying cash flows dictated by the Group's or the
Page 27 of 37
Type of Risks
Definition
business unit's operating requirements and other obligations. Operating requirements,
debt service, capital expenditures and other cash outflows can require premature liquidation
of assets, which can lead to reduced yields and/or unplanned realized gains or losses.
Cash
Risk
Flow
Opportunity
Cost Risk
The use of funds in a manner that leads to the loss of economic value,
including time value losses, transaction costs and other causes of loss of
value, including:
Concentratio
n Risk
The risk of loss resulting from the inability to liquidate financial market
exposures a "thin" market. For example:
Use of financial products in which the Group or business unit has dominant
position (e.g., an excessive share of the open interest in financial futures
or commodity contract in a given month), so that exposure cannot be
liquidated without moving the market.
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Type of Risks
Definition
Credit Risk
Credit risk describes the exposure to actual loss or opportunity cost as a result of the default
or other failure to perform) by an economic or legal entity (the debtor Or obligor) with which
the Group does business.
Credit risk is the risk of toss arising because counterparties fail to perform according to their
contractual obligations. This is accentuated by position concentration with group of
counterparties and increases in importance with the sophistication and diversity of market
players.
Credit risk management is typically driven by requirements for control over the quality of
customer base. The Group's credit management and collection policy should appropriately
balance the trade-off between (a) maximizing service/loan volume and (b) minimizing loss
from uncollectible accounts. If this process for evaluating credit risk; does not work
effectively, it can constrain business growth or create unacceptable credit risks, including
excessive write-offs and collection costs.
Default Risk
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Issuer Risk-
Type of Risks
Definition
bankruptcy.
Counterpar
ty
or
Market
Risk
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Type of Risks
Definition
However, a crisis at a major dealer could trigger a market
disruption which would adversely affect all participants in
the market. See also Systematic Risk under Financial
Market Risk.
Concentration
Risk
Settlement
Risk
Different settlement times between the capital markets of the group and
its counterparties expose the group to a short term risk of counterparty
default on obligations.
In a financial context, settlement risk - also called "delivery risk" - arises
when financial counterparties effect their payments to each other at
different times or in different locations. The first paying party is exposed
to the risk that the later paying party will fail to perform, due to delay,
system failure or default. In essence, one party performs its obligations
under the contract, but has not yet received value from its counterparty.
Settlement risk is typically short-term (less than 24 hours). For example,
(Hong Kong capital markets close for the day before the U.S. markets
open, resulting in delivery risk to the U.S. counterparty on a swap at the
time of the principal exchange. Settlement risk becomes default risk if a
counterparty defaults during the settlement cycle.
COLATERAL
RISK
This is the risk that the value of an asset provided as collateral for a
loan, lease or commitment may be partially or totally lost. For example:
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Significant declines in
real estate or equipment values and
economic activity in areas where the Group or business unit has
concentrated its loan portfolio can pose significant risks.
Collateral provided for a loan
declines in value or is lost
because unauthorized divestiture or use.
Collateral held by a third party declines in value or is lost
because the party goes out of business.
Collateral provided by a counterparty on the net amount by
which a swap with another party is out of the money.
Change in the legal status of borrowers (e.g. bankruptcy.)
Definition
PROCESS/
OPERATIONAL
DECISION MAKING
RISK
Operational information for decision making risk is the risk that information used to support operational
decisions is not relevant or reliable.
Product Pricing
Risk
Lack of relevant and/or reliable information supporting pricing decisions may result in prices or
rates that customers are unwilling to pay, do not cover development and other cost or do not
cover risk exposures assumed by the group or business unit.
There are many forms of pricing risk:
The Group's or business unit's price is more than that the customers willing to pay
because the Group's or business unit's pricing strategies not based on market research or
other systematically obtained customer driven information.
Products are priced in relation to market forces but are not profitable due to competitive
funding differences.
The Group's or business unit's pricing for certain products does not cover their production
and distribution costs because of inadequate product and distribution cost information.
The Group or business unit takes on foreign customers, maintains price lists or signs long-term
contracts and is exposed to currency risks because sales managers do not understand such risks
when making pricing decisions.
Contract
Commitment
Risk
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Type of Risks
Definition
makers.
Commitments embedded in contractual agreements include currency risk sharing arrangements.
Swaps, options, futures and other derivatives also create contractual commitment risk. If the risks
associated with these commitments are not understood and managed on an aggregate basis,
decision makers will be making operating decisions in isolation that may not be in the best
interest of the Group as a whole (i.e. they may accept risks they should reject or reject risks they
should accept).
Performance
Measurement
Risk
Process performance measures do not provide a reliable portrayal of business performance and
do not accurately reflect reality (i.e., they are not reliable information about reality because they
do not "tell the story" as to what is really happening within the processes of the business). The
measures do not provide relevant information for decision making because they are not:
Informative (e.g., they do not tell decision makers what is really happening and how
processes are performing).
Understandable.
Actionable (e.g., they are not controllable; there is nothing a decision maker
can do to change the process to influence the behavior of the measures).
FINANCIAL
AND
BUSINESS
DECISION MAKING
RISK
Page 33 of 37
The objectives and performance measures of the Group's business processes are not aligned with
its overall business objectives and strategies. The objectives and measures do not focus people
on the right things and lead to conflicting uncoordinated activities.
Business reporting information for decision making risk is the risk that Information used to support
business decision is not relevant or reliable.
Budget
and
Planning Risk
Non existent, unrealistic, irrelevant or unreliable budget and planning information May cause
inappropriate financial and business conclusions and decisions. Budgets and business plans are
not:
Realistic.
Type of Risks
Definition
Accounting
Information
Risk
Over-emphasis on financial accounting and/or actuarial information to manage the business may
result in the manipulation of outcomes to achieve financial targets at the expense of not meeting
customer satisfaction, quality and efficiency objectives.
Financial accounting information is used to manage business processes and is not properly
integrated with non-financial information focused on customer satisfaction, measuring quality,
customer/product profitability and increasing efficiency. The result is a myopic, short-term
fixation on manipulating the outputs of business processes to achieve financial targets, rather
than fulfilling customer expectations by controlling and improving processes and products.
Financial
Reporting
Evaluation Risk
Taxation Risk
Failure to accumulate relevant and reliable external and internal information to assess whether
adjustment to disclosure in financial statements are required may result in the issuance of
misleading financial reports to external stakeholders.
Financial reports issued to existing and prospective investors and lenders include material
misstatements or omit material facts, making them misleading. Financial reporting evaluation
risk usually results from failure to obtain relevant business information from external and internal
sources and assess whether adjustments to or disclosures in the financial statements are
required to fairly present financial position, results of operations and sources and uses of cash.
Failure to accumulate and consider relevant tax information may result in non-compliance with
tax regulations or adverse tax consequences that could have been avoided had transactions
been structured differently.
Taxation risk has two key elements:
Taxation risk has the element of Compliance Risk under Process-Operations Risk. However, due
to the peculiar nature of taxation-related risks, they are classified under Taxation Risk that can
include:
Compensation
and
Benefit
Page 34 of 37
Risk in relation to the deficiency or insufficient within the Group's internal processes in
collating relevant information for taxation purposes.
Failure to consider/use the information for tax compliance and tax benefit maximum
purposes
Allocation of assets to fund compensation and benefit obligations (i.e. pension plans, deferred
compensation plans, retiree medical plans) are insufficient to satisfy the obligations. The
Type of Risks
Definition
Risk
consequences of compensation and benefits risk include reputation risk, loss of morale, work
stoppages, litigation, and additional funding required of the group.
Investment
Evaluation Risk
Lack of relevant and/or reliable information supporting investment decisions and linking the
financial risks accepted to the capital at risk, may result in poor short or long-term investments.
Management does not have sufficient financial information to make informed short and long-term
investment decisions and link the risks accepted to the capital at Risk and the liquidity need of
the group or business unit.
Regulatory
Reporting Risk
Environment/strategic information for decision making risk are the risk that information used to support
strategic decisions is not relevant, timely or reliable.
Environmental
Scan Risk
The Group does not have an effective process to obtain relevant information about the
external environment.
Key assumptions about the external environment are inconsistent with reality or are not
being monitored by the Group.
Failure to monitor and stay in touch with a rapidly changing environment will result in obsolete
business strategies.
Business
Portfolio Risk
Lack of relevant and reliable information that enables management to effectively prioritize its
products or balance its businesses in a strategic context may preclude a diversified organization
from maximizing its overall performance
For the diversified Group having multiple products and/or business units, there is an added
dimension to strategic information for decision making risk. Business portfolio risk is the .risk
that the Group will not maximize business performance by effectively prioritizing its products or
balancing its businesses in a strategic context.
This risk applies to evaluating both owned businesses (e.g., to decide whether to invest/grow,
maintain/harvest, or divest/liquidate) and prospective businesses (e.g., acquire, Joint venture, or
strategically align). Current trends in meeting customer residential lending needs are a good
Page 35 of 37
Type of Risks
Definition
example.
Valuation Risk
Lack of relevant and reliable valuation information may preclude owners or prospective owners
from making informed assessments of the value of the Group or any of its significant segments in
a strategic context.
Management and key decision makers are unable to reliably measure the value of specific
business or any of its significant segments in a strategic context. This risk affects the evaluation
of both owned businesses (e.g., to decide whether to invest/grow, maintain/harvest, or
divest/liquidate) and prospective businesses (e.g. acquire, joint venture, or strategically align).
Performance
Measurement
Risk
Organization
Structure Risk
Management lacks the information needed to assess the effectiveness of the Group's or business
units organizational structure, which threatens its capacity to Change or achieve its long-term
strategies.
The Group's or business unit's organizational structure does not support change the Group's or
business unit's primary business strategies. The Group's values and culture, its infrastructure and
how it defines responsibility, authorities and boundaries and limits have a significant effect on its
ability to govern and achieve its objectives. These risks are strategic because they affect the
Groups
Page 36 of 37
Resource
Allocation Risk
The Group's resource allocation process does not establish and sustain competitive advantage or
maximize returns for shareholders.
Planning Risk
Driven by creative and intuitive input, e.g., it is primarily a result of a formal time
Type of Risks
Definition
Product
Cycle Risk
Life
Lack of relevant and reliable information that enables management to manage the movement of
its product lines and the evolution of its industry along the life cycle threatens the Group's
capacity to remain competitive. The Group's approach to managing the movement of its product
lines and evolution of its industry along the life cycle (e.g., start-up, growth, maturity and
decline) has a significant effect on the ultimate success or failure of its business strategies. For
example, management can adopt:
Page 37 of 37
consuming process weighted down by hard data, extrapolation of past results, "number
crunching" and lengthy reports.
Based on current assumptions about the external environment, resulting in strategies
that are out-of-date and unfocused. Unrealistic assumptions about the industry and the
Group's own relative position can lead to ' strategic error. For example:
o Overestimating industry potential can lead to overbuilding capacity.
o Overrating the company's core capabilities can trigger a costly battle to gain
share against superior performing competitors.
Effectively programmed in the form of written plans, schedules, budgets, etc.
Communicated consistently and often throughout the Group.
Responsive to environmental change and organizational learning.