Sugga Estions

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May 1, 2003

Rolf Poulsen
AMS, IMF, KU
[email protected]

Topics in Continuous-Time Finance


Suggestions for Final Projects
blah blah blah

American Options
Theoretical angle: Is American option pricing rigorously justified? Specifically, why is it that
A (t) =

sup

r( t)
EQ
Pay-off( )) ?
t (e

stopping time

Can this be supported by an any other price would give arbitrage-statement?


It can. In continuous time its tricky, but a discrete word (a binomial model
for instance) its doable. Work your way trough Section 4.3 in Pliska (1997)
(the book can be found in the Actuarial library).
PDE angle: Solve the PDE for the price numerically. Does naive CrankNicolson loose an order, meaning that its no faster then the binomial method?
What happens when an iterative technique like successive over-relaxation is
used on the linear complementary formulation? Work/implement your way
through Section 4.5 in Seydel (2002).
(Something that has not been mentioned at the lectures) Simulation angle:
Seemingly, it is not feasible to price American options by simulation. But
things are not what they seem. Work trough to first sections of Longstaff &
Schwartz (2001). Implement their method for the base-case American put.
Compare to the binomial model. The ambitious student(s, most likely) will
look at the proofs.

PDEs & Not Plain Vanilla Options

Asian Options
Section in 6.2 Seydel (2002). Jump conditions. Could take a look at Alziary,
Dechamps & Koehl (1997).
2-D Space
Whatever do you do with a 2-D space variable (2 stocks)? Explicit method:
Doable (with more things to keep track of) but usual order and especially
stability problems. Implicit methods: Nasty coefficient matrices. Solution:
Alternating direction implicit method.
Accessible introduction with finance use: Wilmott (1998)[Chapter 48] Testcase: Margrabes exchange option. Interesting case: Pay-off (S1 S2 K)+ .
Numerical literature introduction: Strikwerda (1989)[Section 7.3] or Mitchell
& Griffiths (1980)[Section 2.12]. These are more demanding, but you get to
work on easier test problems. (For instance solving Exercise 7.3.2 in Strikwerda more than suffices for a project.)
A Passport Option
Too tricky . . .?

Plain Vanilla Options, But Not the Black/Scholes World


Stochastic Volatility Models
Read Hestons article. If you are good at complex analysis: Give the details
of the inversion. If (like me) youre not: Implement the formula. Verify the
implemantation through simulation. Possible the smart/mixing simulation
approach from Romano & Touzi/Lewis.
Plot model smiles. Find some option data and compare.
Jump-Diffusion
Hmmm, I dont know. Work your way through Mertons original article?
Local Volatility Models
Get to appreciate Dupires forward equation; demonstrate that it works in
the Black/Scholes-case. Implement for other volatility functions. Dig up option data. Try to back out the volatility function. This reqires considerable
regularization.

Static Hedging
Construct the replicating portfolios by puts and calls. Compare (through
simulation) static hedging to dynamic hedging (as in Project 1). Look at how
Derman, Ergener & Kani (1995) do it.

Interest Rates
The CIR model
See the questions elsewhere on the course homepage. There are (evidently) far
too many questions for one project. Feel free to pick and choose.
Classic short rate models
Implementation-free angle: Read the original article Vasicek (1977) and
answer the questions posted elsewhere on the course homepage.
Empirical angle: Get hold of time series data on observed ZC yield curves.
(There are some Danish curves on the homepage.) Pick out some yield
time series; estimate an Ornstein/Uhlenbeck/Vasicek model on it. Statistics/econometric questions: What are parameter estimates; what are their
standard deviations; how stable are the estimates; how well-specified is the
model?
Finance questions: How well are yield curves explained by the model; possible after risk-premia estimation & inclusion? How well are yield volatilities
explained? Bjork (1998)[Chapter 17] explains how to calibrate the Vasicek
model in theory. Implement that. How do these calibrated models behave
out of sample? Recipe: Rogers & Stummer (2000); read & repeat (on DK
data for instance).
Embedded Interest Rate Options
Option 1: Bermudan option approach to callable mortgage-backed bonds.
Jrgensen, Miltersen & Srensen (1999): Read and repeat. Requires the numerical solution of PDE, but real data are not particularly needed.
Option 2: Work through the pricing algorithm for options on coupon bonds in
one-factor/Vasicek models. Implement it. Test it via i) simulation ii) solutions
for ZCB options. Compare observed prices of embedded Bermudan options
(in realkreditobligationer) to theoretical prices of European options.
Option 3 Find some model where you can price cap-contracts. Work through
the last part of the Mathematical Finance 2001-exam. Get some data &
3

determine the spreads. Take a look at my Capped ARMs-paper (on the


homepage).
LIBOR market models What are they all about?
A Gaussian Two-factor Model Work your way through the first pages of Section 4.2 in Brigo & Mercurio (2001).

References
Alziary, B., Dechamps, J.-P. & Koehl, P.-F. (1997), A p.d.e. approach to
Asian options: Analytical and numerical evidence, Journal of Banking
and Finance 21, 613640.
Bjork, T. (1998), Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time, Oxford.
Brigo, D. & Mercurio, F. (2001), Interest Rate Models Theory and Practice,
Springer.
Derman, E., Ergener, D. & Kani, I. (1995), Static Options Replication, Journal of Derivatives 2, 7895.
Jrgensen, P. L., Miltersen, K. R. & Srensen, C. (1999), A Comparison of
Call Strategies for Callable Annuity Mortgages. Working paper, Odense
University.
Longstaff, F. A. & Schwartz, E. (2001), Valuing american options by simulation: A simple least-squares approach, Review of Financial Studies
14, 113147.
Mitchell, A. R. & Griffiths, D. F. (1980), The Finite Difference Method in
Partial Differential Equations, Wiley.
Pliska, S. (1997), Introduction to Mathematical Finance, 1. edn, Blackwell.
Rogers, L. C. G. & Stummer, W. (2000), Consistent fitting of one-factor models to interest rate data, Insurance: Mathematics & Economics 27, 4563.
Seydel, R. (2002), Tools for Computational Finance, Springer.
Strikwerda, J. (1989), Finite Difference Schemes and Partial Differential
Equations, Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole.
Vasicek, O. (1977), An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure,
Journal of Financial Economics 5, 177188.
Wilmott, P. (1998), Derivatives, Wiley.

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