2015.05.06 Wells Fargo Frank
2015.05.06 Wells Fargo Frank
2015.05.06 Wells Fargo Frank
MICHAEL J. FRANK
Vice President, Global Commercial
May 6, 2015
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this presentation are "forward-looking statements," such as statements concerning the
company's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance, regulatory approvals, business and
financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are based on current expectations and currently
available information. However, since these statements are based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the
company's actual performance and results may differ materially from those described or implied by such forwardlooking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continued
competition in seeds, traits and agricultural chemicals; the company's exposure to various contingencies, including
those related to intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are
received, and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and development
activities; the outcomes of major lawsuits and the previously announced SEC investigation; developments related to
foreign currencies and economies; successful operation of recent acquisitions; fluctuations in commodity prices;
compliance with regulations affecting the companys manufacturing; the accuracy of the company's estimates related to
distribution inventory levels; the recent increases in and expected higher levels of indebtedness; the company's ability
to obtain payment for the products that it sells; the effect of weather conditions, natural disasters and accidents on the
agriculture business or the company's facilities; and other risks and factors detailed in the company's most recent
periodic report to the SEC. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements, which are current
only as of the date of this presentation. The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any
forward-looking statements or any of the factors that may affect actual results.
Trademarks
Trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this presentation. All other
trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
This presentation may use the non-GAAP financial measures of free cash flow, earnings per share (EPS) on an
ongoing basis, EBIT and EBITDA on an ongoing basis, EBITDA on an as reported basis, and net debt. We define free
cash flow as the total of cash flows from operating activities and investing activities. A non-GAAP EPS financial
measure, which we refer to as ongoing EPS, excludes certain after-tax items that we do not consider part of ongoing
operations, which are identified in the reconciliation. EBIT is defined as earnings (loss) before interest and taxes,
ongoing EBITDA is defined as earnings (loss) before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization and excludes certain
after-tax items that we do not consider part of ongoing operations, as defined in the reconciliation, and as reported
EBITDA is defined as earnings (loss) before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Earnings (loss) is intended
to mean net income (loss) attributable to Monsanto Company as presented in the Statements of Consolidated
Operations under GAAP. Net debt is defined as the sum of both short-term debt and long-term debt, less cash and
cash equivalents. Our presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is intended to supplement investors
understanding of our operating performance, not replace net income (loss) attributable to Monsanto Company, cash
flows, financial position, or comprehensive income (loss), as determined in accordance with GAAP. Furthermore, these
non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies. The non-GAAP
financial measures used in this presentation are reconciled to the most directly comparable financial measures
calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.
FISCAL YEAR:
References to year, or to fiscal year, are on a fiscal year basis and refer to the 12-month period ending August 31.
INNOVATION
CORN DEMAND
(IN BILLION BUSHELS)
DEMAND
Actual
40
Forecast
37
34
31
28
2007
2010
2013
2016
CROP PROTECTION
INTEGRATED
YIELD
PIPELINE
BIOTECHNOLOGY
MICROBIALS
BREEDING
VALUE CAPTURE
Track record of strong earnings growth and conversion to
free cash flow
Commitment to returning value to shareowners through a
balanced capital allocation with a Net Debt to EBITDA
target ratio of 1.5
1. USDA historical data, future forecast and projections represent Monsanto internal estimates
2019
BUSINESS
GROWTH
RETURN VALUE
TO SHAREOWNERS
LONG-TERM GROWTH:
FY2014-FY2019F
$10.00
ONGOING EPS
$8.00
$6.00
$4.00
$2.00
$0.00
FY2010-FY2014
During first half of
decade Monsanto
delivered strong midteens-plus ongoing
EPS CAGR growth
Monsanto growth
strategy provides
opportunity to
at least double ongoing
EPS over 5-year period
2X
$5.23
$2.39
FY2010
FY2014
FY2019F
U.S.
~80-90M ACRES
GROWER
VALUE
BREEDING
CURRENT
Yield
Disease
GOSSS WILT
GRAY LEAF SPOT
BREEDING/BIOTECH
COMBINATION
Drought
SMARTSTAX PRO
Weed Control
Insect Control
SOUTH AMERICA
BREEDING
~40M ACRES
SHARE: ~40-50%+
Weed Control
Insect Control
EUROPE
~55M ACRES
Yield
BIOTECH
DROUGHTGARD EXPANSION1
BIOTECH
SHARE: MID-30S%
Creating a step change by pairing temperate with tropical material for Brazil
NEW
VT DOUBLE PRO
VT TRIPLE PRO
Launched in Brazil summer season
SMARTSTAX PRO
3RD GEN ABOVE-GROUND
INSECT PROTECTION
Yield
Silage Benefits
SHARE: MID-TEENSTO-20+%
1. Part of the Monsanto-BASF R&D Collaboration.
Q2 PERFORMANCE UPDATE
GLOBAL HIGHLIGHTS
U.S.
Position: #1
Share: Mid-30s%
Brazil
Position: #1
Share: >40%
LAS
Position: #1
Share: >50%
Eastern
Europe
Position: #1
Share: >20%
Monsantos global corn performance advantage
enables expected positive full year germplasm price
mix, exclusive of currency effects
Western
Europe
Position: #2
Share: Mid-teens
GROWER
VALUE
NORTH
AMERICA
>80M
ACRES
BRAZIL
WEED
CONTROL
YIELD
WEED
CONTROL
>70M
ACRES
INSECT
CONTROL
YIELD
ARGENTINA
Record ~15M
Acres Across S.
America in 2015
WEED
CONTROL
YIELD
2ND
GENERATION
INSECT
PROTECTION
2nd GENERATION
INSECT
PROTECTION
INSECT
CONTROL
>50M
ACRES
Record ~15M
Acres Across S.
America in 2015
2nd GENERATION
INSECT PROTECTION
2nd GENERATION
INSECT PROTECTION
KEY MILESTONES
60
55
50
45
40
35
30M
ACRE
TARGET
53
43
32
30
25
20
15
15
10
5
1.5
17
MARKET
OPPORTUNITY:
0
1
Year
TRAIT PENETRATION STARTING WITH PRODUCT LAUNCH
>100M ACRES
UPDATE
BRAZIL SECOND-YEAR
COMMERCIAL YIELD DATA1
>4
BUSHELS/ACRE
60
58.7
BU/AC
YIELD
ADVANTAGE
55
54.4
50
Roundup Ready
Soybeans
WITH INSECTICIDE
TREATMENT
COMPARISONS:
PERCENT HARVESTED:
1,923
89%
2015 PERFORMANCE
INTACTA RR2 PRO
1. Yield data based on approximately 89 percent of harvest data in commercial field strip trials across 187 locations comparing top RR1 varieties for each region managed with
insecticides as needed to untreated Intacta varieties.
10
CURRENT STATUS
OPPORTUNITY:
COMMERCIAL
LICENSES:
REGULATORY
STATUS:
NEW
UNTREATED CONTROL
LAUNCH
PLANS:
TARGETING SEED
COMPANIES WITH >90%
OF U.S. SOYBEAN ACRES
ON TRACK FOR 2016
LAUNCH1
EU IMPORT APPROVAL
RECEIVED
EXPECT >3M ACRE
LAUNCH WITH >60
VARIETIES COVERING
ALL MATURITY GROUPS
Greater Flexibility,
Weed Control and Yield Potential
11
SYSTEM BENEFITS
Bollgard II XtendFlex Cotton is the industrys first 3-way
stack of herbicide tolerant technologies in cotton,
including Bollgard II with Roundup Ready FLEX cotton
stacked with dicamba1-and-glufosinate-tolerant cotton;
designed to be the most effective weed management
system available
Glyphosate application window
Glufosinate application window
UPDATE
Limited introduction for 2015 season now estimated to be on more than 700,000 acres, above target of 500,000 acres
With 100% of current supply on order in the U.S., we are in a sold-out position and now expect Deltapine to take over as the
#1 planted cotton brand this season due to high demand for new herbicide tools and new varieties
Glyphosate and glufosinate approved for in-crop use; in-crop use of dicamba pending regulatory approval
$6/acre price premium; fully rebated in 2015 as an introductory XtendFlex Chemistry discount
Five Deltapine varieties available in 2015, in maturities that fit across the entire upland cotton belt
Trained more than 1,600 growers and stakeholders on the weed management system since January 1st
1. Pending final regulatory approvals. In-crop use of Dicamba pending regulatory approvals; not authorized for in-crop use in 2015.
12
MONSANTO AG BIOLOGICALS
PLATFORM
FACTORS:
PLATFORM HIGHLIGHTS:
BIODIRECT
TECHNOLOGY:
THE BIOAG
ALLIANCE:
ESTABLISHED MICROBIAL
LEADERSHIP
Microbials
WEED
Weed
CONTROL
Control
BioYield
CONTROL
WEED
Disease
CONTROL
Control
BioControl
WEED
Insect
CONTROL
Control
MICROBIALS
New approaches to yield and protection
in seed treatments - increasingly new
technologies like seed treatments provide
an added layer of protection and
enhancement for the seed itself
WEED
Bee
CONTROL
Health
BIODIRECT TECHNOLOGY
New topically-applied RNAi-based tools
would provide new ways to target
weeds, bugs, and disease
13
INVESTMENT MILESTONES:
STEP UP INVESTMENT TO
LEVERAGE HEAD START
+50%
Increase active
acres1
by 50%
ENROLLMENT MILESTONES:
75M ACRES
NITROGEN
FIELD HEALTH
3M ACRES
1. Active acres are defined as the acre base by a Climate BASIC user averaging more than one visit per week during the season
14
INNOVATION
CORN DEMAND
(IN BILLION BUSHELS)
DEMAND
Actual
40
Forecast
37
34
31
28
2007
2010
2013
2016
CROP PROTECTION
INTEGRATED
YIELD
PIPELINE
BIOTECHNOLOGY
MICROBIALS
BREEDING
VALUE CAPTURE
Track record of strong earnings growth and conversion to
free cash flow
Commitment to returning value to shareowners through a
balanced capital allocation with a Net Debt to EBITDA
target ratio of 1.5
1. USDA historical data, future forecast and projections represent Monsanto internal estimates
2019
BUSINESS
GROWTH
RETURN VALUE
TO SHAREOWNERS
15
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP
Financial Measures
RECONCILIATION OF ONGOING EPS
Fiscal Year
2014
2010
$5.22
1.99
--
$0.41
$(0.03)
$(0.01)
$0.04
--
$5.23
$2.39
$ Per share
Diluted Earnings per Share
Restructuring Charges, Net
16