Understanding Urban Transportation Systems Gid Mar11
Understanding Urban Transportation Systems Gid Mar11
Understanding Urban Transportation Systems Gid Mar11
FOR RESEARCH
& INNOVATION
Understanding Urban
Transportation Systems
An Action Guide for City Leaders
Understanding Urban
Transportation Systems
An Action Guide for City Leaders
Terry Moore
Julia Pulidindi
Table of Contents
Introduction
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Introduction
The many economic, social and environmental problems worldwide are also primarily urban problems:
cities are where the people are. This leads to a logical prescription: cities should deal with these problems in an integrated way, with coordination across geography, issues, disciplines and agencies. The
terms quality of life and livability are now commonly used not just in environmental and land-use
planning, but also in planning for economic development and infrastructure.
A key piece of that infrastructure is the urban surface transportation system.1 Despite huge public and
private investments, urban congestion is worsening, and most transit is not attracting enough riders to
pay even a third of its operating cost, much less its capital cost. Adding more transportation capacity
either highway or transit does not
always reduce congestion, and the benefits
The terms quality of life and livability are now commonly used
of policies that reduce motor-vehicle trips
not just in environmental and land-use planning, but also in planning for
(and, thus, emissions that contribute to
economic development and infrastructure.
global climate change) is politically difficult and technically debated.
This guide limits its discussion of urban transportation issues to its biggest and most debated component: urban surface transportation.2 Its purpose is to provide a broad overview of the causes of urban
transportation problems, and of the implications for finding good solutions. It addresses five big issues:
The role of the public sector in urban surface transportation;
Characteristics of the existing urban transportation system;
How the urban transportation system is likely to change in the future;
Characteristics of the process through which transportation policy is made; and
Actions city leaders might take.
1 If public and private expenditures on infrastructure are a measure of importance, then transportation is the most important single element of the physical infrastructure in urban areas.
2 This guide uses the shorthand transportation system to mean the facilities (e.g., roads and rails), programs and policies that the public sector contributes to the design, development and
operation of urban surface transportation. This refers to roads and pathways for motor vehicles, bikes, and pedestrians; all types of intracity transit; but not seaports or airports.
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Efficient. Efficiency means bang for the buck: a high ratio of benefits for costs. The
cost of a transportation investment can be measured in dollars.3 Benefits may be desired
effects like safe and quick trips or positive effects on economic development, or the
reduction of undesired effects, like air pollution or sprawling land-use patterns.
Fair. One can measure the distribution of benefits and costs, but whether such a distribution is viewed as fair depends on ones perspective: it is a value judgment. A typical
standard applied to public policy decisions is that people should benefit in proportion
to the contributions they make and pay in proportion to the costs they impose. Public
policy relieves the burden on some populations based on merit or need (e.g., based on age
or income). But no general principle can definitively resolve the dozens of different arguments about fairness that accompany significant transportation investments or policies.
Making any system efficient and fair (in other words, making it work well) starts with an understanding of causes and effects of the key characteristics of the existing urban transportation system and
factors that are likely to cause it to change in the future.
3M
ore precisely, it is the present discounted value of the estimated lifecycle costs of the planning, design, construction, operation, maintenance and decommissioning of transportation
facilities.
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Travelers aim for value. Most urban trips do not occur because people enjoy the travel.
They occur because people want to enjoy the benefits of being in different places, engaging in different activities and having choices available to get the best value. In that sense,
travel is a means to other ends: the real consumer demand is for jobs (the better the
transportation, the greater the opportunities and potential economic rewards), shopping
(more choices and lower prices), entertainment, recreation, education, social interaction
and so on.
Travelers consider the benefits. The main benefits that travelers consider are safety,
speed, reliability, convenience and comfort. Other characteristics can be more important
to some travelers than others: for example, environmental sensitivity.
Travelers consider the costs. The main costs that dominate travelers decision-making
are the ones that affect them directly: out-of-pocket costs for vehicles, fuel, maintenance,
parking, tolls and travel time. Some travelers may also give some consideration to costs
to society (e.g., the costs of vehicle emissions, which contribute to health hazards and to
greenhouse gases).
Thus, the congestion we observe in urban areas is not the result of uninformed decisions. It is, to a close
approximation, the best that travelers can do, given the benefits and costs they personally expect from
trips and the value they place on those benefits and costs.
Congestion costs to others. People consider the costs to them of driving at congested
places and times, but they do not consider the costs they impose on hundreds of other
travelers. Collectively, those external costs add up to considerably larger costs.
Environmental and other costs. The impacts of any single drivers tailpipe emissions are
mainly impacts on others. Transportation projects can affect water quality directly, and
can indirectly affect many aspects of urban living through their impacts on land development and attendant public facilities and services.
Diminishing returns to investment. In the United States, the surface transportation
system (primarily, the road system) is mainly built. Almost all of the important links are
in place. In that situation it is likely that (1) the benefits per dollar of new capacity will
decline, and (2) the per unit real costs of adding that capacity will be higher, because
(a) construction costs are higher, (b) requirements for highway projects are greater (e.g.,
more environmental protection, safety features, access for alternative modes) and (c)
more construction is taking place in developed areas, where land, disruption and relocation costs are high.
Funding scarcity. The U.S. is currently in one of its worst recessions, and recovery will
take a number of years. Peoples willingness to pay taxes and trust government to build
and operate facilities has declined. Past federal, state and local government practices
on both the revenue side (how they charge for transport facilities and services) and the
expenditure side (e.g., failing to fully invest in efficient lifecycle maintenance so that
limited funds can be used for new capacity) solve short-run budget dilemmas by pushing evermore expensive maintenance problems into the future. Pressure for new highway
and transit system components is high. In short, securing funds is more difficult, and the
need for funding is as great as it ever was.
Increased knowledge about and value placed on the impacts of transportation
projects. Twenty years ago, only a small number of scientists and interest groups were
talking about greenhouse gas emissions and climate change. Now it is a topic of global
debate and action. As peoples understanding of direction and magnitude of these effects
increases, so do the values they place on public policy choices. Those values are also influenced by economic circumstances, which may also change substantially.
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Funding;
Maintenance;
Demand management;
Access and connectivity;
Alternative modes
Effect on public objectives; and
Performance measurement.
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1. Funding
Securing funding for urban transportation projects will continue to be a challenge, probably an increasing one, because of:
The increasing backlog of maintenance and deferred modernization;
The inability of federal and state Highway Trust Funds (funded by fuel taxes) to keep up
with revenue requirements;
Potential slower economic growth, and ongoing difficulties in convincing travelers and
policymakers to increase the fees and taxes for transportation; and
Reliance on public-private partnerships will not make enough difference in the cost of
construction, operation, and maintenance to overcome these funding problems.4
Making what they have last longer. For all modes, there will be a shift in the percentage
of investment from new capacity toward maintenance.
Making what they have deliver more mobility or access. Cities will pay more attention to
operational improvements on existing facilities and, in collaboration with state and federal transportation departments, new technologies (Intelligent Transportation Systems).
Technologies exist that could substantially increase the throughput of vehicles for any
lane mile, but getting them implemented in any significant way will take time.
3. Demand management
Local leaders must place more attention on pricing and other types of policies that change the incentives that people have to be traveling in a certain place at a certain time, because of diminishing returns
to new capacity, and because any such capacity will be used inefficiently if it is not properly priced.
Road pricing might start as the priced use of high-occupancy-vehicle lanes (existing ones, or ones to
be built). Changing parking pricing can also approximate some of the benefits of road pricing. Expect
calls for regulatory policies to decrease single-occupant automobile trips (e.g., commute-trip reduction
ordinances), based on desires to reduce both congestion and emissions.5
4. Access and connectivity
Most transportation planners now stress that transportation decision-making is more about what travelers can get to (access) than about how fast they can move (mobility). In practice, the two are interdependent; travelers care about what they can get to in a given amount of time. Nonetheless, attention
placed on access increases the desirability of density in urban centers and more investment in alternative modes that facilitate shorter trips.6 Connectivity can provide both access and mobility by creating
4 B ecause of their potential to improve construction and operational efficiency, and to infuse capital into the system, efforts to craft public-private partnerships will continue and grow.
5 B e careful of these policies if they are based solely on assumption that car travel is bad and needs to be reduced. The technical rationale should be that external costs are not being counted
and that the transportation system can be used more efficiently if policies directly or indirectly cause travelers to respond to prices that are more in line with true costs.
6 T hough the distinction between access and mobility is commonly made in the literature of transportation planning, it is not a clean one. It is hard to separate access from some notion of
travel time (mobility): the number of activities one can get to in, say, 20 minutes is a function both of their proximity and the speed of travel.
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routes that shorten distances and travel times between origins and destinations, an advantage especially
important for increasing trips on alternative modes.
5. Alternative modes: transit, bike, and walk
Highways and streets will remain the workhorse for urban transportation in all metropolitan areas
and will continue to get the biggest share of revenue, but they will incrementally get a smaller share of
total transportation budget. That change will mean relatively larger increases in funding for alternative
modes of travel.
Alternative modes will be a growing share of all trips in
most urban areas, but they will remain a relatively small
share of all trips in all but the biggest metropolitan areas.
Growth of metropolitan areas is likely to result in greater
trip density in their centers of activity. Unless pricing
policies are adopted, more highway congestion in metropolitan areas is likely. Improvements in alternative
modes of travel will not, without pricing, be able to stop
the increase in congestion and in travel time per trip.
6. Performance measurement
The idea is not a new one, but it gets increased attention when funding is tight. The basic question is: of
the transportation investment options before us, which options provide (1) the most benefits relative to
costs, and (2) the best distribution of net benefits (social equity). These measures will certainly address
the performance of the transportation system (safety, speed, access, reliability and so on) and will
increasingly address the effects of transportation facilities and programs on other non-transportation
objectives. While local leaders should have the primary role in judging which transportation projects
and programs work for them, expect new top-down requirements for performance measurement and
slow changes in current state and local systems for evaluating and selecting transportation investments.
7. Transportations effects on other public objectives
Transportation is a means to an end: a way of getting to places that have activities that matter to people.
Citizens everywhere want to achieve many goals at the same time. Cities should be striving for policies
that efficiently and fairly improve quality of life and livability, now and in the future (which means they
should also want sustainability).
Good transportation can contribute to that quality of life, of course, but so can economic prosperity, health, education, urban design, a clean environment and so on. Within transportation planning,
effects on these attributes are often viewed as secondary to the primary effects on transportation
performance. But those attributes are primary in their own right: viewed from their perspective, transportation is a secondary consideration. The National League of Cities and its members share this larger
view: transportation is part of what makes cities livable,
but it is an intermediate goal of urban policies aimed
... transportation is part of what makes cities
at creating more livable urban areas, where livability is
livable, but it is an intermediate goal of urban policies
multi-dimensional.
aimed at creating more livable urban areas, where
livability is multi-dimensional
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Many of these goals are wrapped into the principles of smart growth, whose key ideas include a
greater emphasis on the relationships between land use and transportation, and supporting land-use
patterns that are more likely to yield lower auto trip rates, lower energy consumption and reduced
greenhouse gas emissions. Recent federal policy (in U.S. Departments of Housing and Urban Development, Transportation, and the Environmental Protection Agency) embraces the ideas of smart growth,
livability, sustainability and multidisciplinary regional planning. Among the concepts gaining support
in transportation planning is complete streets: the idea that streets have multiple uses that go beyond
the transport of people and goods in motor vehicles, including not only transportation by alternative
modes, but also social interaction, utility rights of way and more.
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The Transportation
Decision-Making Process
The basic objective is easily stated: invest in transportation projects and programs that make urban areas
better (more livable), and do so in ways that are efficient (cost effective) and fair. But there is no limit
to the variations and problems, as different cities pursue that objective in different ways.
many transportation questions; rather, these answers rely on economics and value. Just within the purview of transportation, people have multiple and conflicting objectives and values.
That is true in general, and true in its specifics. Different communities have different situations and
may differ in how they value the attributes and impacts of transportation projects. Transportation planning is starting to acknowledge this point by calling for context-sensitive design: in other words, it
depends.
These arguments support a conclusion that a technical analysis or a black-box model will never be able
to find a single, best solution to any complicated urban transportation problem. That is not to say that
technical evaluation, including performance measurement, cannot help it certainly can. But even
with well-conceived and well-calibrated performance measures, those multiple measurements cannot
combine themselves into a single, overarching measure of net benefits. Models cannot do that unless
someone determines how to value the multiple performance measures, and the technicians building
those models usually have no special data or authority for setting those values.
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What? What are local objectives (economic, sustainability, mobility, access, etc.)? What
are the market and policy factors, including transportation projects and programs, that
affect those objectives (what are causes and effects)?
How? Given the objectives and causal chains, how should local governments prioritize
projects to meet those objectives? How will they measure success? How does the public
get involved?
Where? Where do certain projects and policies work best? Where will funding come
from: federal, state or local sources; public-private partnerships?
Who? Who gets the benefits? Who pays the costs? Who are the players that help inform
decision-making process?
Measurement can and often does have an impact on decisions and outcomes. Just the decision to measure something can be a signal that it will be important in the final weighting of outcomes.
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Acknowledge the complexity of the urban transportation system and its connections with and
impacts on other aspects of urban livability.
Require a framework for evaluation that acknowledges this system complexity: one that address not
just new facilities, but maintenance of existing ones; not just roads and cars, but other
modes of travel; not just transportation performance, but impacts on other factors that
contribute to urban livability; not just short-run impacts, but long-run ones.
Encourage technical analysis that evaluates tradeoffs among alternatives in intuitively
sensible ways. Measures of performance that relate to goals related to categories of desired
outcomes (e.g., transportation performance, economic development, environmental
quality, social services and amenities, social justice) will help, but they are only inputs to
a political discussion about potential impacts and tradeoffs. No technical model is going
to provide a unique and acceptable answer that can be adopted without such discussion.
Pay more attention to differences among reasonable alternatives, and worry less about
getting the absolute impacts right.
Though a jurisdiction may not be ready for full-scale road pricing, a simple and important question that transportation evaluation can address is: What might users of the
facility be willing to pay for its use (if, hypothetically, we were to charge for that use),
and how does the collective amount they might pay compare to the present value of
the lifecycle costs of the facility? That simple analysis gets the discussion focused on the
right questions: (1) If travels dont find the value (the benefits) of a project great enough
to be willing to pay for it, then why are we building it? and (2) Even if no project has
an estimate of potential user benefits or payments that are greater than lifecycle costs,
which ones come closest to covering those costs? Consistent with discussion elsewhere
in this guide, answers to this question, by itself, are not sufficient for project selection:
other criteria may suggest selecting a project that is not the top performer here. But
answering these questions in a consistent way, even approximately, across transportation
investment and program options under consideration, would improve discussion and
decision making.
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