How To Use Multiple Time Frames To Find Trades With The Highest Probabilities of Success

30
TRADING SECRET NO. 4
How to use multiple time

frames to find trades with the
highest probabilities of success
ow we see the market move depends on which time frame we are

viewing on the price chart. Here is an essential technique
whether
you are watching the market every minute or once a month. Figure
4.1is actually a chart of September 04 Treasury Bonds. But, there are
no price bars, only Stochastics. The upper portion of the chart shows
the Stochastics from a daily chart of T-Bonds. The lower right frame
contains the Stochastics from a weekly chart. The lower left frame holds
Stochastics from a monthly chart.
Notice that the fast-moving daily Stochastics has many up and down
oscillations. The slower-moving weekly Stochastics has far fewer
Fig.4.1 Daily, Weekly and Monthly Stochastics
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oscillations over the same time span. And, the monthly stochastics,
which is the slowest of all, has even fewer still.
Remember how I told you earlier that Stochastics mimics the swing
of the market? Well, thats true on every time frame.
THE OBJECT IS TO FIND THOSE POINTS IN TIME WHEN
THE SWING IS MOVING IN THE SAME DIRECTION ON ALL
THREE TIME FRAMES.
Figure 4.2 below is another view of the T-Bond Stochastics chart.
You will see a solid vertical cursor line in each of the three frames. The
line runs through March 26, 2004 on the daily frame. In the weekly and
monthly frames the line is in the same relative position time-wise.
On the daily time frame, the cursor intersects the Stochastic lines
around the middle of its 100-point scale. The Stochastic lines are
moving down with thin %K below thick %D. In other words, the daily
Fig. 4.2 March 26, 2004
swing is down. On the weekly portion of the chart (lower right), the
cursor crosses the Stochastic lines much higher on the scale. And again,
we find thin %K below thick %K. So, the weekly swing is also down.
31
32
Finally, on the monthly time frame (lower left), the cursor meets the
Stochastic lines before thin %K has actually crossed thick %K. But,
we can see that %K has a definite bearish bend in the direction of
%D. The upward monthly swing has halted, and the downward monthly
swing is about to begin. Without even seeing the price bars, we have
found simultaneous downward movement on the daily, weekly and
monthly time frames. This TRIPLE ALIGNMENT of the price
energy gives us the highest possible probability
of continued movement in the indicated direction.
Now lets add the price bars, and see whats really happening.
On Friday, March 26th, the price broke below a short upsloping
cluster of price bars. By itself, that downside breakout is mildly bearish.
But, when combined with the TRIPLE ALIGNMENT, its an engraved
invitation to a high probability short trade.
Lets say we go short at the open on Monday, March 29th. We
would have been filled around 112 16. By the way, in T-Bonds that
price means 112 and 16/32nds basis points. Each point is worth $1,000.
Each 1/32nd is worth $31.25. Observe how the Stochastics evolve as
this trade unfolds. In the chart above, the cursor is now on April 22nd.
Notice that the daily Stochastics is moving up with thin %K above thick
Fig. 4.3 March 26, 2004 with price bars
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%D. Without more, this daily bullish crossover would suggest that the
downtrend is over. But notice that the weekly and monthly Stochastics
are both still showing bearish crossovers. In other words, the score is 2
to 1 in favor of the BEARS. So although the daily Stochastics is rising,
the price just edges sideways.
Now the cursor is on May 4th, two weeks later. We are back to a
TRIPLE ALIGNMENT again. The score is 3 to 0 in favor of the bears.
But notice, the weekly Stochastic (lower right) is very low on its scale,
and bending bullishly. That means the price may drop a bit lower, but
the downward energy is definitely waning.
Now its May 14th. While the slow-moving monthly Stochastics is
still solidly bearish, we can see bullish crossovers on both the daily and
weekly. The score is now 2 to 1 in favor of the BULLS! Its time to
tighten up our stop to protect profit.
Fig. 4.4 April 22, 2004
Using my Money Management Protocols, we would have been

stopped out the next trading day, Monday May 17th, at about 103
11. We were in this trade for less than two months, and our gross
profit before transaction costs is over $9,100.00. Not bad.
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Are you thinking that
TRIPLE ALIGNMENTS
only come along once in
a Blue Moon? No way!
They happen all the time.
Check out these trades.
Are you thinking

that TRIPLE
ALIGNMENTS only
come along once in a
Blue Moon? No way!
They happen all the
time.
Look at the Coffee

chart below. The dotted
lines mark bullish
Stochastics crossovers on
all three time frames. The
score is 3 to 0 BULLS!
And notice, all three
crossovers are low on
their respective scales
indicating that there is
plenty of room for the
price to move higher.
Two months later,
the vertical solid
line marks bearish
crossovers on the
daily and weekly time
frames. The score is
now 2 to 1 BEARS!
Time to exit with a
gross profit of over
$3,000.00.
Fig. 4.5 Coffee
This simple technique is incredibly powerful. If you learn nothing

else, learn this! In my powerful new FORTUNE FORECASTER
Trading Course, created with beginners in mind, I will also show you:
u Which time frame is the most critical to a successful trade.
u How to adapt this technique for day trading.
u A check list to guide you through your analysis of any market
in just seconds.
u How to spot TRIPLE ALIGNMENTS when watching the
markets only once a week.
u How to simultaneously view multiple time frames when using
free charting web sites.

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30

TRADING SECRET NO. 4

How to use multiple time

ow we see the market move depends on which time frame we are

Fig.4.1 Daily, Weekly and Monthly Stochastics

Call 1-888-233-1431 to get the complete Fortune Forecaster Trading Course

Fig. 4.2 March 26, 2004

Fig. 4.3 March 26, 2004 with price bars

Call 1-888-233-1431 to get the complete Fortune Forecaster Trading Course

Fig. 4.4 April 22, 2004

Using my Money Management Protocols, we would have been

Are you thinking

Look at the Coffee

Fig. 4.5 Coffee

This simple technique is incredibly powerful. If you learn nothing

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