Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16

The Hoffman Research Group
A Hoffman
Division
of Gateway
Communications
Inc.
The
Research
Group
The
Hoffman
Research
Group
A Division
of Gateway
Communications
Inc.Inc.
A Division
of Gateway
Communications
FOR
IMMEDIATE
RELEASE
FOR
FORIMMEDIATE
IMMEDIATERELEASE
RELEASE
Obama Maintains Five Point Advantage Over Romney in Oregon
Obama
Maintains
Obama
MaintainsFive
FivePoint
PointAdvantage
AdvantageOver
OverRomney
RomneyininOregon
Oregon
On Wednesday October 24th and Thursday October 25, 2012, The Hoffman
OnOn
Tuesday
April
26th
Wednesday
April 27th,
Theto
Hoffman
Research
Group
th th
Research
Group
surveyed
a and
cross24
section
ofThursday
Oregon
voters
ascertain
voter
preferences
Wednesday
October
and
Thursday
October
25,
2012,
The
Hoffman
On
Wednesday
October
24
and
October
25,
2012,
The
Hoffman
surveyed
aGroup
cross
section
of
Republican
votersvoters
to
ascertain
their voter
preferences
in the
inResearch
the 2012
Presidential
election.
Research
surveyed
aOregon
cross
section
ofof
Oregon
toto
ascertain
preferences
Group
surveyed
a cross
section
Oregon
voters
ascertain
voter
preferences
2016
Presidential
Primary
Election.
inin
the
2012
Presidential
election.
the
2012
Presidential
election.
The resulting data found President Barack Obama currently leading Governor
MittThe
Romney
byisabased
47%
to
42%
margin.
The
resulting
data
President
Barack
Obama
currently
leading
Governor
survey
onfound
landline
and cellphone
interviews
with 555
randomly
chosen
The
resulting
data
found
President
Barack
Obama
currently
leading
Governor
Mitt
Romney
byby
a 47%
toto
42%
margin.
likely
Oregon
Republican
Primary
voters. Attention was given to Oregons rural and urban
Mitt
Romney
a 47%
42%
margin.
When pushed, undecided voters broke toward Mitt Romney almost 2 to 1.
divide within seven geographic regions. The survey also maintained appropriate balances
When
undecided
voters
broke
toward
Mitt
Romney
almost
2 to
1. 1.
When
pushed,
undecided
voters
broke
toward
Mitt
Romney
almost
2 to
with regard
topushed,
age,
gender
vote
propensity.
The random
sampleand
of 615
Oregon
voters surveyed 42% Democrats, 34%
Republicans
and
24%
Unaffiliated
voters.
The
statistical
margin
of
error for34%
this
The
random
sample
ofof
615615
Oregon
voters
surveyed
42%
Democrats,
The
random
sample
Oregon
voters
surveyed
42%
Democrats,
34%survey
The
survey
has
a
margin
of
error
of
plus
or
minus
4.16
at
a
95%
confidence
level.
is Republicans
plus or minus
3.9%.
Attention
was
givenThe
to
Oregons
rural
or urban
divide
and
Republicans
and
24%
Unaffiliated
voters.
statistical
margin
ofof
error
forfor
this
survey
and
24%
Unaffiliated
voters.
The
statistical
margin
error
this
survey
maintained
appropriate
balances
with
regard
to
party,
gender
and
age
within
seven
is is
plus
oror
minus
3.9%.
Attention
was
given
toto
Oregons
rural
oror
urban
divide
and
plus
minus
3.9%.
Attention
was
given
Oregons
rural
urban
divide
and
Headquartered
in Portland,
OR,
The
Hoffman
Research
Group,
a division
of Gateway
geographic
regions.
maintained
appropriate
balances
with
regard
toto
party,
gender
and
age
within
seven
maintained
appropriate
balances
with
regard
party,
gender
and
age
within
seven
Communications
Inc.,
has
conducted
hundreds
of
political
tracking
surveys
and
market
geographic
regions.
geographic
regions.
The
Hoffman
Research
research
projects
since
1984. Group, a division of Gateway Communications Inc. has
been measuring
the views
and Group,
opinions
Oregonians
sinceCommunications
1984.
The
Hoffman
Research
a division
ofof
Gateway
Inc.
has
The
Hoffman
Research
Group,
aofdivision
Gateway
Communications
Inc.
has
been
measuring
the
views
and
opinions
ofof
Oregonians
since
1984.
been
measuring
the
views
and
opinions
Oregonians
since
1984.
For more
pleaseplease
contact
Tim Nashif,
CEO at
of The
Gateway
Communications,
Inc.
For information,
more information,
contact
Tim Nashif
Hoffman
Research
503-257-0100
[email protected]
Group For
directly
at
503-257-0100
or
email
[email protected].
more
information,
please
contact
Tim
Nashif
at at
The
Hoffman
Research
For
more
information,
please
contact
Tim
Nashif
The
Hoffman
Research
Group
directly
at
503-257-0100
or
email
[email protected].
Group directly at 503-257-0100 or email [email protected].
Page 1 of 11
Page
1 of
11 11
Page
1 of

A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
OREGON
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
By The Hoffman Research
Group TRACKING SURVEY
STATEWIDE
Republican, Likely Voters
(n = 555)
CONDUCTED
APRIL 26-27, 2016
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

TOPLINE REPORT
[N=555]
Oregon Statewide Republican Primary Poll

Wednesday October 24 and Thursday October 25, 2012, The Hoffman
ImageOn
Question
Language: Im going to read the names of three public figures
Research Group surveyed a cross section of Oregon voters to ascertain voter preferences
and
ask
youPresidential
to tell me election.
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If
in the
2012
you have no impression or have never heard of the person thats okay, just say so.
th
Mitt Romney by a 47% to 42% margin.
Table 1.
John Kasich Image
The random sample of 615 Oregon voters surveyed 42% Democrats, 34%
Republicans and 24% Unaffiliated voters. The statistical margin of error for this survey
34%
is plus or minus
3.9%.Favorable
Attention was given to Oregons rural or urban divide and
maintained appropriate
balances with regard to party, gender and age within seven
25% Unfavorable
geographic regions.
24% No Impression
The Hoffman
Group,Of
a division of Gateway Communications Inc. has
17% Research
Never Heard
been measuring the views and opinions of Oregonians since 1984.
Table 2.
Ted Cruz Image
For more
information,
please contact Tim Nashif at The Hoffman Research
42%
Favorable
37%
19%
2%
Table 3.
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
Donald Trump Image

49%
40%
11%
0%
Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
Page 1 of 11

Topline Report (Contd)
Table 4.
If the Republican Primary Election for President of the United

States were held today, would you vote for John Kasich, Ted Cruz,
or Donald Trump?
17% John Kasich

26% Ted Cruz
On Wednesday
OctoberTrump
24th and Thursday October 25, 2012, The Hoffman
43% Donald
(Option not read initially)
13% Undecided
in the 2012 Presidential
election.
(IF CANDIDATE
CHOSEN
ON BALLOT
QUESTION
4)
When pushed,
undecided
voters
broke toward
Mitt Romney almost 2 to 1.
Table 5a.
Is there a chance you could change your mind?
is plus or minus 3.9%. Attention was given to Oregons rural or urban divide and
maintained appropriate balances with regard to party, gender and age within seven
Overall
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
geographic regions.
36%The Yes
49% Group,
Yes a division49%
Yes Communications
24% Yes
Hoffman Research
of Gateway
Inc. has
been
measuring
and opinions
64%
No the views51%
No of Oregonians
51% since
No 1984.
76% No
(IF UNDECIDED CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION 4)
For more information, please contact Tim Nashif at The Hoffman Research
Table
5b. If you absolutely had to choose today, would you vote for John
Kasich, Ted Cruz, or Donald Trump? (n=67)
18%
15%
25%
42%
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
(Option not read initially)
Page 1 of 11

Topline Report (Contd)
Demographic Information:
Table 6.
Respondent Age

12%
18-34
38%
35-54
Research Group
surveyed
a cross section of Oregon voters to ascertain voter preferences
election.
50% 55+
Table 7.
Respondent Gender
48% sample
Maleof 615 Oregon voters surveyed 42% Democrats, 34%
The random
52% Female
geographic
Table
8. regions.
Voting History
The Hoffman Research Group, a division of Gateway Communications Inc. has
been measuring1%
the views
Newand opinions of Oregonians since 1984.
6% 1 of 4
16% 2 of 4
29% 3 of 4
4 of 4
Group directly47%
at 503-257-0100
or email [email protected].
Table 9.
Oregon Region
8%
10%
12%
26%
7%
18%
19%
Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
Page 1 of 11

FORCross-Tabulations
IMMEDIATE RELEASE
in the 2012 Presidential election.
geographic regions.
The Hoffman Research Group, a division of Gateway Communications Inc. has

TABLE 1 - JOHN KASICH IMAGE

KASICH IMAGE
Favorable
CRUZ IMAGE
Unfavorable
No
Impression
Never
Heard Of
Total
TOTAL
34%
25%
24%
17%
555
Favorable
44%
17%
23%
16%
230
Unfavorable
30%
44%
21%
5%
205
No Impression
22%
7%
35%
36%
103
Never Heard Of
9%
0%
9%
11
Obama Maintains
Five Point Advantage
Over Romney
in82%
Oregon
Favorable
28%
38%
21%
13%
273
TRUMP IMAGE
Unfavorable
46%
11% 25, 2012,
24%The Hoffman
19%
220
On Wednesday
October 24th and Thursday
October
No
Impression
24%
12%
40%
24%
Research Group surveyed a cross section of Oregon voters to ascertain voter preferences58
Neverelection.
Heard Of
0%
0%
0%
100%
1
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
John Kasich
85%
2%
7%
5%
The resultingTed
data
found President 28%
Barack Obama
leading Governor
Cruz
20% currently
33%
19%
Mitt Romney by a 47%
to
42%
margin.
Donald Trump
21%
41%
24%
14%
Undecided
27%
11%
27%
35%
No (Firm Support)
30%
36%
22%
12%
18-34
28%
25%
25%
23%
When pushed,
undecided voters broke
toward Mitt
Romney
almost 2 to
1.
COULD CHANGE MIND
Yes (Soft Support)
45%
12%
26%
17%
94
146
241
74
171
302
BALLOT LEAN
John Kasich
8%
17%
33%
Republicans and 24%
Unaffiliated voters. 42%
The statistical
margin of
error for this
survey 12
Ted Cruz
40%
10
is plus or minus 3.9%. Attention was given10%
to Oregons0%
rural or urban
divide 50%
and
Donald Trump
29%
18%
29%
24%
17
32%
11%
25%
32%
28
geographic regions. Still Undecided
AGE
65
27%
23%
31%
19%
The Hoffman35-54
Research Group, a division
of Gateway
Communications
Inc. has212
55+
41%
26%
19%
14%
278
GENDER
AGE BY GENDER
Male
34%
29%
24%
12%
266
Female
35%
20%
24%
21%
289
Young Male
26%
42%
19%
13%
31
Young Feml
29%
9%
29%
32%
Older Male
information,
For more
please
The
Older
Feml
35%
22%
VOTING PROPENSITY
28% at
Nashif
25%
Hoffman
34
12%
Research
235
23%
20%
255
1 of 4
22%
28%
39%
11%
36
2 of 4
35%
19%
23%
23%
91
3 of 4
29%
27%
29%
15%
163
4 of 4
40%
25%
19%
16%
261
New
STATE REGION
35%Tim
contact
0%
25%
75%
0%
Multnomah
43%
15%
28%
13%
46
Clackamas
45%
17%
22%
16%
58
Washington
41%
25%
17%
17%
64
Mid
34%
22%
29%
14%
145
Coast
22%
44%
22%
12%
41
Southern
36%
31%
20%
13%
98
Eastern
24%
23%
25%
27%
103
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11

TABLE 2 - TED CRUZ IMAGE

CRUZ IMAGE
Favorable
KASICH IMAGE
Unfavorable
No
Impression
Never
Heard Of
Total
TOTAL
42%
37%
19%
2%
549
Favorable
54%
33%
12%
1%
188
Unfavorable
29%
66%
5%
0%
137
No Impression
39%
33%
27%
1%
132
Never Heard Of
39%
11%
40%
92
Obama Maintains
Over Romney
in10%
Oregon
Favorable
35%
49%
13%
2%
271
TRUMP IMAGE
Unfavorable
53%
25% 25, 2012,
20%The Hoffman
2%
217
On Wednesday
October
No
Impression
33%
26%
38%
3%
Research Group surveyed a cross section of Oregon voters to ascertain voter preferences58
Neverelection.
Heard Of
0%
0%
100%
0%
1
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
John Kasich
27%
46%
24%
2%
The resultingTed
data
found President 87%
Barack Obama
leading Governor
Cruz
3% currently
10%
0%
to
42%
margin.
Donald Trump
20%
61%
17%
2%
Undecided
42%
18%
34%
5%
No (Firm Support)
36%
49%
13%
2%
18-34
43%
35%
17%
5%
When pushed,
toward Mitt
Romney
almost 2 to1%1.
COULD CHANGE MIND
Yes (Soft Support)
54%
25%
20%
91
145
240
73
167
301
BALLOT LEAN
John Kasich
42%
25%
8%
Republicans and 24%
Unaffiliated voters. 25%
The statistical
margin of
error for this
survey 12
Ted Cruz
50%
0%
10
to Oregons0%
rural or urban
divide and
Donald Trump
47%
24%
24%
6%
17
52%
11%
33%
4%
27
AGE
65
41%
38%
19%
2%
The Hoffman35-54
of Gateway
Communications
Inc. has211
55+
42%
37%
19%
1%
273
GENDER
AGE BY GENDER
Male
39%
44%
15%
2%
261
Female
45%
31%
22%
2%
288
Young Male
35%
45%
13%
6%
31
Young Feml
50%
26%
21%
3%
Older Male
information,
For more
please
The
Older
Feml
44%
31%
VOTING PROPENSITY
STATE REGION
39%Tim
contact
44% at
Nashif
15%
Hoffman
1%
Research
34
230
22%
2%
254
1 of 4
33%
44%
19%
3%
36
2 of 4
39%
38%
20%
3%
90
3 of 4
42%
34%
22%
2%
160
4 of 4
44%
39%
16%
2%
259
New
50%
25%
25%
0%
Multnomah
33%
39%
28%
0%
46
Clackamas
52%
31%
16%
2%
58
Washington
28%
38%
31%
3%
64
Mid
52%
34%
13%
1%
141
Coast
32%
52%
12%
2%
40
Southern
45%
42%
11%
1%
97
Eastern
36%
34%
25%
5%
103

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11

TABLE 3 - DONALD TRUMP IMAGE

TRUMP IMAGE
Favorable
KASICH IMAGE
Unfavorable
No
Impression
Never
Heard Of
Total
TOTAL
49%
40%
11%
0%
552
Favorable
40%
53%
7%
0%
191
Unfavorable
76%
18%
5%
0%
136
No Impression
43%
40%
17%
0%
134
Never Heard Of
38%
45%
15%
91
Obama Maintains
Over Romney
in 1%
Oregon
Favorable
42%
50%
8%
0%
229
CRUZ IMAGE
Unfavorable
66%
27% 25, 2012,
7%The Hoffman
0%
204
On Wednesday
October
No
Impression
35%
43%
21%
1%
103
Neverelection.
Heard Of
45%
36%
18%
0%
11
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
John Kasich
6%
86%
8%
0%
The resultingTed
data
found President 17%
Barack Obama
leading Governor
Cruz
68% currently
15%
0%
to
42%
margin.
Donald Trump
90%
3%
7%
0%
Undecided
37%
47%
16%
0%
No (Firm Support)
59%
35%
6%
0%
18-34
40%
51%
9%
0%
When pushed,
toward Mitt
Romney
almost 2 to0%1.
COULD CHANGE MIND
Yes (Soft Support)
38%
46%
15%
93
146
240
73
170
301
BALLOT LEAN
John Kasich
8%
92%
0%
Republicans and 24%
Unaffiliated voters. The
statistical
margin of0%
error for this
survey 12
Ted Cruz
78%
11%
0%
9
to Oregons
rural or urban
divide and
Donald Trump
53%
18%
29%
0%
17
54%
29%
18%
0%
28
AGE
65
48%
37%
15%
0%
The Hoffman35-54
of Gateway
Communications
Inc. has210
55+
53%
39%
8%
0%
277
GENDER
AGE BY GENDER
Male
61%
31%
9%
0%
264
Female
39%
48%
12%
0%
288
Young Male
48%
45%
6%
0%
31
Young Feml
32%
56%
12%
0%
Older Male
information,
For more
please
The
Older
Feml
40%
47%
VOTING PROPENSITY
STATE REGION
62%Tim
contact
29% at
Nashif
9%
Hoffman
0%
Research
34
233
12%
0%
254
1 of 4
58%
19%
22%
0%
36
2 of 4
48%
38%
13%
1%
90
3 of 4
52%
40%
9%
0%
162
4 of 4
47%
43%
9%
0%
260
New
50%
50%
0%
0%
Multnomah
48%
41%
11%
0%
46
Clackamas
34%
53%
12%
0%
58
Washington
38%
52%
9%
2%
64
Mid
42%
48%
10%
0%
145
Coast
60%
30%
10%
0%
40
Southern
62%
30%
8%
0%
97
Eastern
61%
26%
13%
0%
102

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11

TABLE 4 - IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES
WERE HELD TODAY, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR JOHN KASICH, TED CRUZ, OR DONALD TRUMP?

PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
John Kasich
KASICH IMAGE
Ted Cruz
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Total
TOTAL
17%
26%
43%
13%
555
Favorable
42%
21%
26%
10%
191
Unfavorable
1%
21%
72%
6%
137
No Impression
5%
36%
44%
15%
134
Obama Maintains
Five
Point Advantage
in28%
Oregon93
5%
30%Over Romney
37%
Never Heard
Of
CRUZ IMAGE
Favorable
11%
55%
21%
13%
230
TRUMP IMAGE
Favorable
2%
9%
79%
10%
273
12%
38%
29%
21%
On Wednesday
October
25, 2012,
The Hoffman
20%
2%
71%
6%
205
Unfavorable
Research Group surveyed
a
cross
section
of
Oregon
voters
to
ascertain
voter preferences
21%
15%
40%
24%
103
No Impression
election.
18%
0%
45%
36%
11
Never Heard Of
36%
45%
3%
15%
Unfavorable
No Impression
0% toward Mitt
0% Romney
100%
Never
Heard Of
When pushed,
undecided
voters broke
almost 2 to0%
1.
220
58
1
Yes (Soft Support)
26%
41%
33%
0%
171
AGE
18-34
17%
40%
31%
12%
65
GENDER
Male
17%
22%
53%
8%
266
COULD CHANGE MIND
The randomNo
sample
of 615 Oregon16%
voters surveyed
34%0%
25% 42% Democrats,
60%
302
(Firm Support)
and 24%
voters. 0%
The statistical
error for this
0% margin of0%
100%survey 12
JohnUnaffiliated
Kasich
is plus or minus 3.9%.
Attention was given0%to Oregons0%rural or urban
and
0% divide100%
10
Ted Cruz
balances
with
regard
to
party,
gender
and
age
within
seven
0%
0%
0%
100%
17
Donald Trump
0%
0%
0%
100%
28
geographic regions.Still Undecided
Republicans
BALLOT
LEAN
The Hoffman
of Gateway
Communications
Inc. has212
14%
29%
46%
11%
35-54
been measuring the55+views and opinions of
Oregonians
19%
21%since 1984.
45%
15%
278
AGE BY GENDER
Female
17%
30%
34%
18%
289
Young Male
16%
29%
45%
10%
31
Young Feml
18%
50%
18%
15%
For more information,

please contact
Research
17% Tim Nashif
21% at The Hoffman
54%
8%
Older Male
Group directly at 503-257-0100
or email17%
[email protected].
28%
36%
19%
Older Feml
VOTING PROPENSITY
1 of 4
14%
67%
6%
255
36
2 of 4
16%
27%
35%
21%
91
3 of 4
14%
28%
46%
12%
163
4 of 4
20%
26%
41%
13%
261
0%
50%
50%
0%
New
STATE REGION
14%
34
235
Multnomah
22%
24%
43%
11%
46
Clackamas
24%
31%
29%
16%
58
Washington
31%
17%
33%
19%
64
Mid
15%
34%
37%
13%
145
Coast
15%
22%
59%
5%
41
Southern
13%
24%
52%
10%
98
9%
22%
52%
17%
103
Eastern

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11

(IF CANDIDATE CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION)

TABLE 5a - IS THERE A CHANCE YOU COULD CHANGE YOUR MIND?
COULD CHANGE MIND
Yes
KASICH IMAGE
No
Total
TOTAL
36%
64%
473
Favorable
46%
54%
168
Unfavorable
16%
84%
128
41%
59%
111
No Impression
Obama Maintains Five Point
Advantage
Over Romney
in Oregon
44%
56%
66
Never Heard Of
th
46%
54% The Hoffman
199
CRUZ IMAGEOctober 24Favorable
On Wednesday
and Thursday October
25, 2012,
22% to ascertain
78%
189 preferences
Unfavorable
Research Group surveyed a cross section
of Oregon voters
voter
45%
55%
73
No
Impression
Never Heard Of
29%
71%
No Impression
60%
40%
43
0%
The resulting
data found President
27% currently
73% leading
244Governor
TRUMP IMAGE
Favorable Barack Obama
43%
57%
184
Unfavorable
0%
Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL
BALLOT
John Kasich
random
sample
of 615 Oregon
voters
49%
surveyed
51%
92
Democrats,
34%
The
42%
49% margin51%
144 this survey
Cruz The statistical
Republicans and 24% UnaffiliatedTed
voters.
of error for
24%rural or76%
237 and
Donald
Trump
is plus or minus 3.9%. Attention was
given
to Oregons
urban divide
0%age within
0 seven
maintained appropriate balances Undecided
with regard to party,0%
gender and
39%
61%
57
AGE
18-34
geographic regions.
35-54
39%
61%
186
Female
37%
63%
231
Young Male
32%
68%
28
Young Feml
45%
55%
29
Older Male
36%
64%
214
2 of 4
43%
57%
70
3 of 4
35%
65%
142
4 of 4
36%
64%
224
New
25%
75%
Multnomah
30%
70%
40
Clackamas
47%
53%
49
Washington
36%
64%
50
Mid
34%
66%
125
Coast
28%
72%
39
Southern
44%
56%
86
Eastern
32%
68%
84
The Hoffman Research Group,

a division of Gateway
Communications
Inc. has
33%
67%
230
55+
been measuring
the views and opinions
of Oregonians
since 1984.
35%
65%
242
GENDER
Male
AGE BY GENDER
For more information, please

contact Tim Nashif
at The 64%
Hoffman 202
Research
36%
Older Feml
Group directly
at 503-257-0100 or
email [email protected].
33%
67%
33
VOTING PROPENSITY
1 of 4
STATE REGION

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11

(IF UNDECIDED CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION)

TABLE 5b - IF YOU ABSOLUTELY HAD TO CHOOSE TODAY, WOULD YOU
VOTE FOR JOHN KASICH, TED CRUZ, OR DONALD TRUMP?
BALLOT LEAN
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald
Trump
Still
Undecided
Total
TOTAL
18%
15%
25%
42%
67
Unfavorable
14%
0%
43%
43%
Favorable Five Point

25%
5%Over Romney
25%
Obama Maintains
Advantage
in 45%
Oregon 20
KASICH IMAGE
On Wednesday
October 24th and11%
Thursday October
25, 2012,
The Hoffman
No Impression
22%
28%
39%
Research Group surveyed
a
cross
section
of
Oregon
voters
to
ascertain
voter
preferences
Never Heard Of
18%
23%
18%
41%
CRUZ IMAGE
Favorable
10%
17%
27%
47%
Unfavorable
42%Barack Obama
0% currently
33%
25%
The resulting
data found President
leading Governor
Impression
24%
19%
43%
Mitt Romney by aNo
47%
to 42% margin.14%
When
TRUMP IMAGE
Never Heard Of
33%
0%
33%
33%
pushed,
toward 4%
Mitt Romney
almost 2 to58%
1.
Favorable
4%
35%
Unfavorable
38%
24%
10%
28%
No Impression
0%
9%
45%
45%
Republicans and 24%
Unaffiliated voters.
The statistical
margin of
error for this
survey
Never Heard Of
0%
0%
0%
0%
AGE
18-34
25%
0%
62%
balances with regard
to party,
gender and12%
age within seven
35-54
20%
20%
30%
30%
geographic regions.
55+
15%
15%
26%
44%
division of Gateway
Communications
Inc. has
GENDER The Hoffman
MaleResearch Group, a11%
6%
33%
50%
been measuring the
views and opinions20%
of Oregonians
Female
18%since 1984.
22%
39%
AGE BY GENDER
For more
VOTING PROPENSITY
22
30
12
21
3
26
29
11
0
8
20
39
18
49
Young Male
0%
0%
33%
67%
Young Feml
40%
0%
0%
60%
Older Male
13%
7%
33%
47%
15
Older Feml
18%
20%
25%
36%
44
information,
please contact
Research
1 of 4
0% Tim Nashif
0% at The Hoffman
100%
0%
or
email
[email protected].
2 of 4
28%
11%
28%
33%
1
18
3 of 4
15%
20%
15%
50%
20
4 of 4
14%
14%
29%
43%
28
0%
0%
0%
0%
Multnomah
20%
0%
0%
80%
Clackamas
29%
29%
29%
14%
0%
11%
33%
56%
21%
21%
21%
37%
19
0%
0%
50%
50%
New
STATE REGION
18
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
33%
0%
33%
33%
Eastern
12%
19%
25%
44%
16

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11

TABLE 6 - RESPONDENT AGE

AGE
18-34
TOTAL
KASICH IMAGE
35-54
55+
Total
12%
38%
50%
555
9%
30%
60%
191
Unfavorable
12%
36%
53%
137
No Impression
12%
49%
40%
134
Favorable
12%
37%
50%
230
Never Heard Of
27%
36%
36%
11
Favorable
Never Heard
Of Advantage
16%
43% Romney
41% in Oregon
93
Obama Maintains Five
Point
Over
CRUZ IMAGE
On Wednesday October
24th and Thursday
October 25,
2012, The
Hoffman
Unfavorable
11%
39%
50%
205
Research Group surveyed aNo
cross
section
of
Oregon
voters
to
ascertain
voter
preferences
Impression
11%
40%
50%
103
TRUMP
IMAGE
The resulting
Favorable
37%
53% Governor
273
data found
President Barack10%
Obama currently
leading
Unfavorable
15%
35%
50%
220
Mitt Romney by a 47% to 42%
margin.
No Impression
10%
53%
36%
When pushed, undecided

voters
almost
Never Heard
Of broke toward
0% Mitt Romney
0%
100% 2 to 1.
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
58
1
John Kasich
12%
32%
56%
94
No (Firm Support)
12%
38%
51%
302
6%
35%
59%
17
Still Undecided
18%
21%
61%
28
Male
12%
38%
51%
266
Female
12%
39%
49%
289
3 of 4
16%
41%
43%
163
4 of 4
9%
29%
62%
261
New
25%
75%
0%
Multnomah
11%
28%
61%
46
Clackamas
10%
43%
47%
58
Washington
12%
36%
52%
64
Mid
10%
39%
51%
145
Coast
17%
34%
49%
41
Southern
12%
43%
45%
98
Eastern
12%
38%
50%
103
Ted Cruz
18%
42%
40%
Republicans and 24% Unaffiliated
voters. The statistical
margin
of error
for this 146
survey
Donald Trump
8%
40%
51%
241
Undecided
32%
57%
74
maintained appropriate balances
with regard to 11%
party, gender
and age within
seven
COULD regions.
CHANGE MIND
Yes (Soft Support)
13%
42%
45%
171
geographic
The Hoffman
Research
of Gateway33%
Communications
Inc.
BALLOT
LEAN
JohnGroup,
Kasich a division 17%
50%
12 has
been measuring the views and
opinions of Oregonians
since
1984.
Ted Cruz
0%
40%
60%
10
Donald Trump
GENDER
For more
information,
contact Tim 3%
Nashif at 67%
The Hoffman
VOTING
PROPENSITY
1 of please
4
31%Research
36
or
email
[email protected].
2 of 4
15%
47%
37%
91
STATE REGION

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11

TABLE 7 - RESPONDENT GENDER

GENDER
Male
KASICH IMAGE
Female
Total
TOTAL
48%
52%
555
Favorable
48%
52%
191
Unfavorable
57%
43%
137
No Impression
49%
51%
134
93
ObamaCRUZ
Maintains
Five
Point
Advantage
Over
Romney
in
Oregon
IMAGE
Favorable
44%
56%
230
Never Heard Of
34%
66%
th
Unfavorable
57% 25, 2012,
43%The Hoffman
205
On Wednesday October 24
and Thursday October
Impression
38% to ascertain
62% voter103
Research Group surveyed a crossNosection
of Oregon voters
preferences
Never
Heard
Of
45%
55%
11
TRUMP IMAGE
Favorable
59%
41%
273
The resulting data found Unfavorable

President Barack Obama
leading Governor
37% currently
63%
220
No Impression
40%
60%
58
Heard Of
0%
100%
When pushed, undecidedNever
voters
broke toward Mitt
Romney
almost 2 to1 1.
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
John Kasich
48%
52%
94
The random sample of 615

Oregon
voters surveyed
34%
Ted
Cruz
40% 42% Democrats,
60%
146
Republicans and 24% Unaffiliated
voters.
The
statistical
margin
of
error
for
this survey
Donald Trump
59%
41%
241
is plus or minus 3.9%. AttentionUndecided
was given to Oregons
rural or urban
and
28%
72% divide74
maintained
appropriate
balances
with
regard
to
party,
gender
and
age
within
seven
COULD CHANGE MIND
Yes (Soft Support)
50%
50%
171
geographic regions.
No (Firm Support)
52%
48%
302
LEAN
John Kasich
17%
83%
12
TheBALLOT
Hoffman
Research Group,
a division of Gateway
Communications
Inc. has
Ted Cruz
10%
90%
10
AGE
Donald Trump
35%
65%
17
Still Undecided
32%
68%
28
18-34
48%
52%
65
35-54
47%
53%
212
55+ contact Tim Nashif

49%at The Hoffman
51%
278
For more information, please
Research
VOTING
of 4email [email protected].
61%
39%
36
Group directly
atPROPENSITY
503-257-01001 or
STATE REGION
2 of 4
43%
57%
91
3 of 4
50%
50%
163
4 of 4
46%
54%
261
New
75%
25%
Multnomah
46%
54%
46
Clackamas
48%
52%
58
Washington
48%
52%
64
Mid
45%
55%
145
Coast
51%
49%
41
Southern
52%
48%
98
Eastern
48%
52%
103

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11

TABLE 8 - VOTING PROPENSITY

VOTING PROPENSITY
1 of 4
KASICH IMAGE
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
Total
TOTAL
6%
16%
29%
47%
1%
555
Favorable
4%
17%
25%
54%
0%
191
Unfavorable
7%
12%
32%
47%
1%
137
10%
16%
35%
37%
2%
134
Never Heard Of
4%
23%
27%
46%
0%
93
Unfavorable
8%
17%
26%
49%
0%
205
No Impression
Maintains
Advantage
Over
CRUZObama
IMAGE
Favorable Five Point5%
15%
29% Romney
50% in Oregon
1%
230
No Impression
7%
17%
35%
40%
1%
Never Heard Of
9%
27%
27%
36%
0%
TRUMP IMAGE
Favorable
Unfavorable
resulting
data found
8%
The
Impression
Mitt Romney by a No
47%
to 42% margin.14%
16%
3% Barack15%
President
Obama
31%
29%
currently
45%
51%
leading
1%
1%
Governor
0%
58
Never Heard Of
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Ted Cruz
3%
17%
31%
47%
1%
146
John Kasich
Still Undecided
0%
42%
25%
33%
0%
0%
21%
36%
43%
0%
94
241
74
171
302
12
10
17
28
18-34
2%
22%
40%
35%
2%
65
35-54
11%
20%
32%
35%
1%
212
4%
12%
25%
59%
0%
278
55+
For more information,

please contact
Tim15%
Nashif at30%
The Hoffman
GENDER
Male
8%
45% Research
1%
or email
Female
5%[email protected].
18%
28%
48%
0%
STATE REGION
220
41%
The Hoffman
Group, a 0%
division of
Gateway40%
Communications
Inc.
Ted Research
Cruz
20%
40%
0% has
been measuring the
views
and opinions6%
of Oregonians
since
1984. 47%
Donald
Trump
29%
18%
0%
AGE BY GENDER
273
24%
Donald Trump
10%
13%
31%
45%
Republicans and 24%
Unaffiliated voters.
The statistical
margin
of error
for this 1%
survey
Undecided
3%
26%
27%
45%
0%
COULD CHANGE MIND
Yes (Soft Support)
6%
18%
29%
1%
balances with regard
to party,
gender
and age47%
within seven
No (Firm Support)
7%
13%
31%
48%
1%
geographic regions.
AGE
11
21%
When
pushed,
undecided voters 5%
broke toward
almost
PRESIDENTIAL
BALLOT
John Kasich
16% Mitt Romney
24%
54% 2 to 1.0%
BALLOT LEAN
103
266
289
Young Male
3%
16%
45%
35%
0%
31
Young Feml
0%
26%
35%
35%
3%
34
Older Male
9%
14%
29%
47%
1%
235
Older Feml
5%
17%
27%
50%
0%
255
Multnomah
2%
11%
35%
52%
0%
46
Clackamas
3%
24%
29%
41%
2%
58
Washington
2%
12%
31%
55%
0%
64
Mid
3%
19%
28%
49%
1%
145
Coast
10%
15%
37%
39%
0%
41
Southern
20%
18%
26%
35%
1%
98
4%
13%
28%
55%
0%
103
Eastern

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11


TABLE 9 - OREGON STATE REGION
STATE REGION
TOTAL
KASICH IMAGE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
8%
10%
12%
Mid
26%
Coast
7%
Southern
18%
Eastern
19%
555
10%
14%
14%
26%
5%
18%
13%
191
5%
7%
12%
23%
13%
22%
18%
137
10%
10%
8%
31%
7%
15%
19%
134
19%
Hoffman
16%
Obama Maintains
Five6%Point 10%
Advantage
Over
Romney
in
Oregon
Never Heard Of
12%
23%
5%
14%
30%
No Impression
Favorable
Wednesday
On
Unfavorable
9%
9%
23%
10%
17%
Research Group
surveyed a cross
section of
Oregon12%
voters to
ascertain
voter20%
preferences
No Impression
13%
9%
19%
18%
5%
11%
25%
CRUZ IMAGE
Never Heard Of
October 7%
24th
0%
and 13%
Thursday
8%
32%
October
25,
9%
18%
9%
2012, 6%
The
9%
9%
Total
93
230
205
103
45%
11
Favorable
9%
22%
9%
22%
23%
The resulting
data found8%
President7%
Barack Obama
currently
leading
Governor
Unfavorable
9%
14%
15%
31%
5%
13%
12%
220
TRUMP IMAGE
No Impression
9%
12%
10%
26%
7%
14%

Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
John Kasich
22%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
11%
15%
21%
23%
6%
14%
10%
94
0%
20%
10%
40%
0%
0%
30%
The Hoffman
a division
of18%
Gateway24%
Communications
Donald TrumpResearch Group,
0%
12%
6%
18% Inc. has
24%
been measuring
the views and 14%
opinions of
1984. 4%
Still Undecided
4%Oregonians
18% since
25%
11%
25%
AGE
74
171
302
12
10
17
28
8%
9%
12%
23%
11%
18%
18%
65
35-54
6%
12%
11%
26%
7%
20%
18%
212
10%
10%
12%
27%
7%
16%
19%
278
Male
8%
11%
12%
24%
8%
19%
18%
266
Female
9%
10%
11%
28%
7%
16%
19%
289
19%
31
For more
information, please
contact
Tim Nashif
at 23%
The Hoffman
Research
AGE BY GENDER
Young Male
13%
6%
10%
3%
26%
Group directly
at 503-257-01003%or email12%
[email protected].
Young Feml
15%
24%
18%
12%
VOTING PROPENSITY
146
241
18-34
55+
GENDER
58
0%
Ted Cruz
8%
8%
34%
6%
16%
16%
The random
sample of 615
Oregon12%
voters surveyed
42%
Democrats,
34%
Donald Trump
8%
7%
9%
22%
10%
21%
22%
Undecided
7%
12%
16%
26%
3%
14%
23%
is plus or minus
3.9%. Attention
was given
to Oregons
rural
or urban
divide22%
and 16%
COULD CHANGE MIND
Yes (Soft Support)
7%
13%
11%
25%
6%
maintainedNo
appropriate
balances
with regard
to party,
gender
and age
within
seven 19%
(Firm Support)
9%
9%
11%
27%
9%
16%
geographic regions.
BALLOT LEAN
John Kasich
8%
17%
0%
33%
0%
25%
17%
Ted Cruz
273
18%
34
18%
235
Older Male
7%
11%
12%
Older Feml
9%
10%
11%
28%
5%
17%
19%
255
1 of 4
3%
6%
3%
11%
11%
56%
11%
36
2 of 4
5%
15%
9%
30%
7%
20%
14%
91
3 of 4
10%
10%
12%
25%
9%
15%
18%
163
4 of 4
9%
9%
13%
27%
6%
13%
22%
261
New
0%
25%
0%
50%
0%
25%
0%

State of Oregon
Page 1 of 11
25%
9%
18%

Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16

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Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16

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The Hoffman Research Group

The Hoffman Research Group

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Oregon Statewide Republican Primary Poll

Obama Maintains Five Point Advantage Over Romney in Oregon

John Kasich Image

been measuring the views and opinions of Oregonians since 1984.

Ted Cruz Image

Donald Trump Image

The Hoffman Research Group

Topline Report (Contd)

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

If the Republican Primary Election for President of the United

17% John Kasich

Obama Maintains Five Point Advantage Over Romney in Oregon

Is there a chance you could change your mind?

(IF UNDECIDED CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION 4)

(Option not read initially)

The Hoffman Research Group

Topline Report (Contd)

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Obama Maintains Five Point Advantage Over Romney in Oregon

When pushed, undecided voters broke toward Mitt Romney almost 2 to 1.

The Hoffman Research Group

The Hoffman Research Group

TABLE 1 - JOHN KASICH IMAGE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.

The Hoffman Research Group

TABLE 2 - TED CRUZ IMAGE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.

The Hoffman Research Group

TABLE 3 - DONALD TRUMP IMAGE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.

The Hoffman Research Group

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Yes (Soft Support)

COULD CHANGE MIND

For more information,

HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.

The Hoffman Research Group

(IF CANDIDATE CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION)

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

The Hoffman Research Group,

For more information, please

HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.

The Hoffman Research Group

(IF UNDECIDED CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION)

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Favorable Five Point

HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.

The Hoffman Research Group

TABLE 6 - RESPONDENT AGE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

When pushed, undecided

HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.

The Hoffman Research Group

TABLE 7 - RESPONDENT GENDER