An Appreciation: Say's Law of Markets: Austrian
An Appreciation: Say's Law of Markets: Austrian
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School, and Hutt's work will be central to the discussion below. However.
because Hutt's book was written at the outset of the modern Austrian revival,
there is much that can be added to his analysis from developments within the
Austrian school in the intervening decades.
That task can be accomplished by bringing together insights from recent
work in Austrian economics with the recent revisionist work on Say's Law by
Sowell (1972) and Hutt (1974). More specifically, I wish to explore the
meaning of Say's Law from an Austrian perspective for both microeconomics
and macroeconomics. Say's Law, at least as Say himself described it, is about
an unfolding market discovery process, not an equilibrium condition, as it is
often presented. As such, it bears a strong resemblance to the Austrian
emphasis on markets as discovery processes. Austrian microeconomic
insights can shed light on Say's discussion. From the perspective of Austrian
macroeconomics, Say's Law fits very nicely with recent work on monetary
equilibrium and the loanable funds theory of the interest rate. For Austrians.
monetary exchange is the common element in micro and macroeconomics,
and interpreting Say's Law through the lens of monetary exchange enables us
to see its Austrian elements.
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What enables us to be able to sell that which we have brought to the market'?
Say's answer is 'the ability of others to purchase our goods,' and that the
ability to purchase must have come from some previous sale. All purchasers
must first be producers, as only production can generate the power to
purchase. One implication of this argument is that where there are more
sellers, there will be more buyers. Where producers are numerous, there is
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more demand for other products. This first cut at Say's Law might best be
summarised as 'production is the source of demand.'
Say (1 34) expands upon this point on the next page by arguing that 'a
supply of commodities or services . . . will universally find the most extensive
demand in those places where the most of values are produced; because in no
other places are the sole means of purchase created, that is, values.' He later
provides an example to support this argument. He (137) asks, rhetorically, in
which situation would an entrepreneur rather be: a monopolist in a small town
in a remote part of the world, or in competition in one of the great cities of the
world such as Paris or Amsterdam? The answer, he suggests, is obvious: the
latter. The reason we prefer the latter is that although we must compete with
numerous other sellers, many of those sellers are potential buyers of what we
are offering. The small-town monopolist may be the only seller of his
particular good, but his market is limited by the small number other sellers in
the town. The path to riches is to be where those who can purchase are, and
purchasers will be where there are numerous sellers. He further notes (137)
that this process will only work where the source is 'real production alone' as
someone who 'lives upon the production of other people, originates no
demand for those productions; he merely puts himself in the place of the
producer.' Thus, as he later concludes, 'the encouragement of mere
consumption is no benefit to commerce; for the difficulty lies in supplying the
means, not in stimulating the desire of consumption; and we have seen that
production alone, furnishes those means' (1 39).
In his excellent book on Say's Law, Hutt (1974: 27) offers a restatement of
the law as: 'All power to demand is derived from production and supply . . .
The process of supplying - i.e., the production and appropriate pricing of
services or assets for replacement or growth - keeps the flow of demands
flowing steadily or expanding.' In a later book Hutt (1979: 160) provides a
more exact definition: 'the demand for any commodity is a function of the
supply of noncompeting commodities.' The addition of the modifier
'noncompeting' is important. For a computer technician, it is presumed that
her demands that result from her production will be for goods and services
other than computer technician or similar services. The goods or services
competing with those that she sells can always be obtained by applying her
labour directly, so she is unlikely to demand them. That is. she will only
demand non-computer repair-related goods and services. The demand for her
services as a computer technician is a result of the supplying activities of
everyone but computer technicians.
What is clear from this brief look at what Say said is that he was
describing a principle by which economies worked, not an equilibrium
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condition of aggregate suppl:/ and demand. Say's Law is probably misnamed.
It is not a law at all, rather it is an explanatory principle. It is a piece of theory
that helps us render the word around us intelligible, and enables us to give
good advice to policymakers and others who might be pondering various sorts
of efforts to stimulate an economy. As Say noted, one must first be concerned
with the conditions of production if one wishes to eventually increase
people's well-being via c o n s ~ m ~ t i o n . ~
That brief reference is the only one, however. Even in Hayek's shorter
more popular pieces on Keynes that he wrote in the 1960s, there is not a
mention of Say's Law.
Since the mid-1970s, and the revival of Austrian economics, there has
been more discussion of Say's Law in the Austrian, or closely related,
literature.?he key publication of that era was William H. Hutt's (1974) A
Relzabilitation of Say's Law. Hutt's book attempted to understand what Say's
Law means (rather than what Say meant by Say's Law) and to then
demonstrate the validity of the law when it is put up against some rival
theories of the time. Hutt's argument is quite Austrian, and he makes
reference to several Austriian writers in the process. Hutt's argument in that
book, as well as the similalr if somewhat more nuanced version that appears in
his 1979 book The Keynesian Episode, form the core of the exposition in the
next section. Although Hutt is not always considered an Austrian, nor did he
always define himself that way, his work certainly rests in that tradition and
his own contributions have enriched it in turn.
A less well-known, but equally valuable Austrian take on Say's Law, is
Tyler Cowen's (1982) paper 'Say's Law and Keynesian Economics.'
Cowen's paper is partially a very careful exegesis of Say's own description of
the law, and partially an at.tempt to explain the flaws in Keynesian economics
revealed when Say's Law iis linked up with Austrian and supply-side insights.
Coming a few years after Hutt's work, Cowen is able to continue the Austrian
dialogue with neoclassicaU thinkers such as Clower and Leijonhufvud who
were also interested in questions surrounding Say's Law. Cowen's paper is
largely backward looking, as it tries to find roots in Say for insights already
being deployed by Austrians and others. Other than Cowen and a brief
mention in Selgin's Theory of Free Banking (1988: 56). Say's Law remained
fairly invisible in the Austrian literature of the 1980s.
The last 10 years have seen more in-depth treatments of Say's Law by
Austrian economists. The first of these was in Larry Sechrest's (1993) book
on free banking theory. H e devotes an entire chapter to Say's Law, beginning
with a short look at the l~icroeconomicsbehind it, then integrating the Law
into discussions of Austrian macroeconomics, from the business cycle to the
market for loanable funds and more. In addition, he provides a brief
comparative overview of Austrians, Monetarists, and Keynesians from the
perspective he develops there. One of the important issues Sechrest mentions
is that the implication of Say's Law that excess demands or supplies of goods
must mean that there are corresponding excess supplies or demands of money
(often known as Walras' Law) is of relevance for the relationship between
Austrian treatments of inflation and monetarist treatments of deflation. The
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unemployment of people and machines that results from excess demands for
money and the misallocation and eventual unemployment of people and
machines that result from excess supplies of money can both be understood
by a proper understanding of the role money plays in the process described by
Say's Law. This insight allows for a more in-depth integration of Austrian and
monetarist (particularly monetary disequilibrium) theory.
In a series of papers (1996, 19972, 1997b) and then as part of a book
(2000). my own work has attempted to articulate further the relationship
between Say's Law and Austrian economics.' Say's Law is seen as vital to a
'post-Wicksellian' macroeconomics that takes seriously both a realistic
conception of money and conception of capital that recognises its
heterogeneity and embeddedness in time and history. More specifically, this
work further integrates Say's Law and monetary equilibrium theory by
exploring more completely how the Law can help to understand inflationary
two contributions (1997b and
and deflationary monetary disequilibria."n
2000) I also revive Hutt's work (only briefly mentioned by Sechrest) and
explore the relationship between his understanding of Say's Law and the
Austrian view of the microeconomic process. I also look at how the issues
that concerned Hutt can be synthesised with the monetary disequilibrium
concerns of the Austrians and authors such as Leland Yeager. The revival of
Austrian economics in the last quarter of the twentieth century has brought
with it a renewal of interest in Say's Law and the ideas surrounding it. A
continued re-examination of these issues by Austrians would be a healthy
development. The next two sections explore the ways in which Say's Law can
be seen as integral to Austrian micro and macroeconon~ics.
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the demand for real money balances. If prices are (nearly) perfectly flexible,
then the 'first' sellers' inability to sell will lead them to immediately cut
prices, making it more likely that potential buyers will have enough real
purchasing power to make the purchase. In this case, Say's Law also helps
explain the recovery process by showing that the sales spurred by the fall in
prices mean income for the sellers, which in turn means purchases from noncompeting sellers, and so forth. The flexibility of prices cuts short the
destructive cycle started by the excess demand for money. Both the
downward momentum and the recovery process can be understood with Say's
Law.
However, the assumption of near-perfect price flexibility is empircally
questionable. Real world markets are characterised by a certain degree of
price stickiness." As a result. Say's Law takes on an even more important role
in showing how the imperfect flexibility of prices will cause a severe
downward turn in the face of an excess demand for money. When prices find
it difficult to fall in such a circumstances, the inability of sellers to sell, and
thus buy, builds upon itself, resulting in what Wicksell termed the 'cumulative
rot.' Falling demand with sticky prices means that quantities will bear the
burden of adjustment, and fewer exchanges of both goods and labour will
take place, leading to gluts of both. In addition, the recipe for recovery is that
prices need to fall to re-ignite the spending process. Shah (1997) offers
several reasons why prices will eventually give way, and when they do Say's
Law can help explain the recovery. As prices fall, some sales take place.
which in turn enable another round of purchases. These increase income to
those sellers, who can now purchase, and so forth.
In a world of imperfectly flexible prices, Say's Law is even more relevant
for policy considerations. The insight that production is the source of demand
explains why it is so important that prices are able to move in ways that
facilitate sales by those with assets that others deem valuable. Although prices
can never be perfectly flexible, policy makers should avoid actions that
reduce that flexibility any further, particularly during a downturn.
This section's discussion can serve as a rebuttal to those who argue that
Say's Law is violated by historical episodes of recession or general gluts (see
Uchitelle 2001, for example). Say's Law does not say that general gluts or
shortages can never occur. Rather it explains a principle by which markets
operate. Whether the effects of that principle will be beneficial or not depends
on the institutions that frame the markets in question. Just as Smith's invisible
hand would still operate, but produce undesirable consequences. where
property rights are not protected from public or private predation, so too will
Say's Law not produce desirable outcomes when certain institutional
prerequisites are not in place. This section's discussion suggests two crucial
institutional prerequesites: the maximum flexibility of prices possible give11
that a certain level of 'stickiness' is inevitable, and the maintenance of
monetary equilibrium. If those two are met, then Say's Law implies that
general gluts and shortages are not possible. If they are absent, then the
process Say's Law identifies will still operate, however it will not produce the
benign results it would under the right institutions. Where prices are
excessively sticky and/or where monetary disequilibrium is present, general
gluts and shortages are possible, and their existence is a confirmation, not a
refutation, of the principle expounded in Say's Law.
CONCLUSION
With respect to both Austrian microeconomics and macroeconomics, Say's
Law is a natural fit. When we move beyond the colloquial 'supply creates its
own demand' version of the Law, and attempt to understand it in all of its
complexity, we see how Say's Law is an explanatory principle of the
spontaneous order of the market, and one that crucially extends Smith's
insight about the extent of the market limiting the division of labour. As such,
it becomes part of the microfoundations of macroeconomics, particularly in
an Austrian view that emphasises monetary exchange as the central act of an
economic order. No understanding of the effect money (and, by implication,
time) has on the market can be complete without coming to grips with the
issues raised by Say's Law. The Austrian emphasis on the microeconomics of
monetary exchange and the macroeconomics of monetary equilibrium makes
for a framework well-suited to explore and integrate one of the oldest and
most important insights of the discipline. As other schools of macroeconomic
thought continue to pursue strategies that render them evermore esoteric and
useless to policymakers, the Austrians and others will, one hopes, continue to
explore the issues raised in this chapter and communicate them as widely as
possible. Rather than new wine in old bottles, this re-examination of Say's
Law might provide us with some old, and very drinkable, wine in some new
bottles.
NOTES
1. For example, see Machovec's (1995) study of the history of competition theory. Kirzner's
(1996) work on capital might be another example. Honvitz (2000) and Gan-ison (2001)
offer such work on macroeconomics.
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2. Honvitz (1996) also discusses Say's Law, but that discussion is a preview of the one in
2000. Honvitz (l997a) is a briefer discussion designed for a non-academic audience.
3, In this sense, modem-day 'supply-side' economists are simply reinventing Say. Thc
argument that production is the source of demand is the foundation of any sort of supplyside economics, particularly in the way that it sets itself against the 'demand-side'
economics of Keynes, which clearly was focused on the direct stimulation of consumption.
4. I exclude Tom Sowell's (1971) very good book on the subject as neither he nor it makes
any pretensions at all to be in the Austrian tradition.
5. In the interests of historical accuracy, both Sechrest and I stumbled across many of the same
insights independently. His chapter drew heavily on the manuscript version of the 1996
Journal of the Hisrov of Economic 7'hought paper of mine noted in the text.
6. The details of these explanations follow later in this chaptel-.
7. This distinction can be found in the earliest of Austrian work. See Menger's (1 985 [I 8831)
use of 'organic' and 'compositive' social institutions.
8. Complex phenomena can be found in both society and nature. Hayek uses the example of
the organisation of iron filings in response to a magnet as a natural world example.
9. Econometric estimates of demand elasticities are historical data at best and bear no
assurance of predictive value.
10. For example, setting a minimum wage will not assure that everyone currently working will
now receive a higher wage.
I I. Honvitz (1997b and 2000: Ch. 6) explores these issues in more details.
12. Gan-ison argues that the frontier is not an absolute limit to economic activity, rather a range
of production possibilities that is sustainable over any run but the very shortest. In the
shortest of runs, economies can move beyond the frontier. However, the position they then
occupy is not sustainable for any real length of time.
13. As the discussion below shall demonstrate, when Austrians talk of price 'stickiness.' they
are not using it in quite the same way as many Keynesians and New Keynesians do. For
these groups, the stickiness of prices is a normative proposition. That is, the fact that prices
are sticky is a 'bad' thing, particularly in comparison to the perfectly flexible prices
assumed by general equilibrium theory. The flexibility of those prices is crucial to the
welfare outcomes of the markets supposedly described by the theory. If prices are less than
perfectly flexible, the welfare benefits of perfect competition are dramatically reduced. For
Austrians. 'stickiness' is just a fact of the world, and there is no implicit or explicit
comparison to a world of perfectly flexible prices invoked. The best discussion of these
issues can be found in Shah (1997).
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(1979). The Keynesian Episode, Indianapolis: Liberty Press.
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(1992), 'The Meaning of Market Process,' in The Meaning of Market Process, New
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Say's law is one of those profound, subtle, and often misunderstood doctrines
in economics, like David Ricardo's comparative advantage and Bernard
Mandeville's fable of the bees. When I ask students at the beginning of class
which statement they prefer, 'supply creates its own demand' (the common
version of Say's law) and 'demand creates its own supply' (Keynes's law),
the majority of student side with Keynes. Say's law seems counterintuitive.
After all, as one student told the class, a crazy inventor can produce an
unlimited supply of widgets, but if consumers won't buy (demand) his
product, his brilliant scheme is all in vain. I point out, on the other hand, that
there is demand for a transportation system to get us from San Francisco to
New York in an hour, but so far no one has supplied this desirable good.
Clearly, the simplified versions of Say's and Keynes's laws often fail to
reflect reality, so it behoves us to go back to the original meaning of the
authors.