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1. Prognoa productiel unui produs ehimie PROGNOZA PRODUCTIEI UNUI PRODUS CHIMIC 1.1. Cadrul general al problemei Exercitarea utributului de prevedere, primul atribut al conducerii impune, in domeniul realizirii la scari industrialé a produselor chimice, cunoasterea evolujici probabile a nivelului productiei. Prognoza producfiei unui produs chimic este necesara indeosebi pentru fundamentarea deciziilor privind crearea de noi capacitiji de productie gi pentru comercializarea produselor. Din punct de vedere al modului de evolujie a nivelului productici Produsele chimice se impart in dowd mari grupe: ~ produse cu spectru larg de intrebuingari, avind o evolufie continu’ a nivelului de productic. in aceast’ grupi se incadreazi produscle industriei chimice de bazi, utilizate in multe ramuri economice, care se ealizeazA la scard industrial de mult vreme si pentru care nu se intrevede o iesire din uz: acizi organici, produse clorosodice, monomeri vinilici, ciment 5.a,; rts chnt eh lc aot eT mts cn aoe, ‘Mrs gre = eer ck In nag caveat pgm fa ma eset isl Fel oe Sapper dpe! me pri cue (9 ne tea Fog ne Sa tn pl et a “Seta cana» feo spn eX ei “yo i ora ts re ai nha ete west eg Ftc cance cfr pnd mate neler era co he ‘Srrpotr pit ae ae 1. ‘Modele matematice uizate fn prognoza produselor ch ery cel du pape de rine hin ies ert tide ms nematic. care inn eam enim vene cr se po oli ve roduc deren profise cme Secveat “folate gf resete scherate i fguile119i P pot ot + elimi dese » Noeasm ay mode pro: mw cal prods cu spect de Tabane mode el ma ie doa exp ol is Fig.l. Mole de evoaic a ini rd ek Timi de straie tbeeet (12) Innserte te aay od kg: dvs” secs enn de fetanpie cru Se dtc 13h ‘Pkatnee rod pe pit, ‘Sctrieall deo ete ent odor gus mel seket al Sener 1 “impor pedal pe pith strep ca produ, D dela rouse (kde api produced determi de inpunre hat 2 St eae eS Eamets ee nats ww din ee matin ne: K as Ne eile te a elie (11). seine: ele prot aii dependent [Raju at aepencena he-soehet maser TEE Set mai oval a pode esta a pepe proline ery pee ot ten dar vel hy Pi ico, ed acetal ep: ye leeks [3 [Ears dsr see palo fos 7 [ices abuse oer |» 1 [Acetone eoniiyeiecoos |u| E [2 9 | start poe pew fs Te gu 2 presnsgatcl Gant a acest rel labora at ta scat ing sl Se ona heres rent 78 ae evar, Ee [Posh we docrmine pe gra foment eae Inepe ence actte ik ‘ul ers De exemls atria Fete eserlr Ge xe eee {nada deldecknjres es Unerr, cp sives mort cn ‘ce locwe eran ce aca ep noi iin oe ta ea ogous sl feck om pain const eh Taree {tee mar oar scene 17 ma 200. [re 2 Garin GANTT renee 1 Metodebarate pe teria graf Ses us comes damit PROLECT sau FROGAM se roih_potctn GRAF sou GRAM RETEA ‘ond ACTIVITAT. EXESIMENTE oe comeraa in 2 Kedinies tea aor st apt fn EN Se ‘erate rep pe ‘esp rete pot eset. 122. Exempla de gat 2rd evenimete AH ati ‘narra in tod ESSN sd mk mr dct al eno syle te rnin pei» mi le ‘Se mameye DRUM i gt scene de active pase i Shcwct entay revenge ogee 2 em anne Reo some at maa feck snl gu fees tcmatin 1 Fier ol lun acti crater in ec! pain ©) Gieegnteonjoc doah aad apt eN (Pte marca spate We ae 8 mama eps de Y tl fl ie eae iyi ait mein a ee tt es oa Ronnnurstatatstncisen = o ittiannpegatimayett at euscnsn Saat rane cugue on stiffs mora all ati mae Sic [3] ] ‘Goins retina no Te ver pope ps tala anna de Soa He pros PTS ‘enna deme Ge ora ee Seems: Stccominc ri ola 5 Seca ear ipl cir ‘Slices rma enue pote arco fe panne + Pomona nares scar ick 2 Rot ~ ‘enumires sti fe wt Seda nat meres ea [sors ore oe Tran] Am [ Be) |" | rar tote! [= [See engeraomameeeer| RTT 7] hac eaierepnadememars| pas onints acme [|]? [faeces Corea eraser | P| ® | TTS 5 [commie one i a ve 7 | ce ani acti 7] bones = Ppa sss © [Nene ep lee E{ (6 [stn exo pdi ae) 7 [evr ae of. 7 [leer moore [Rew ANC Hempeineseenea |W [+ 1 [ Eseanr mawe dcall aa 5 [cw condesni gate |_1 | [rears ee djpne 10) Meer rde [ [EH [stron = lita 7 Fang nti epi — = = : 12 | Montarea gi racondarea maginilor la reeaun 13 | Neva ta acocral_ | M|* eon evlests 14 | Monsares conductclor delegated SN [KM TS | Spaiaren mapinilorsiswingereapuabuntor| wt | = | 3 [41S Is | Pec ene open 14 [Deserts meee wh Teta 16 Reeres nor apD ete [is emer Pefuatstrpe| "So Fores oe lan SOE ANH poe | LS [Ree ea ei pelste + Se yor prope pein aaliza nab ai Scone: 1.Sise contin gf nal uci ‘Su motel el dd csi 2 Sisesublewes merle stor 5. Stse alr resenele Stine ecivie. Seca: 1/Shse consid graf eal ci 2. Shae slenel emene nei. 4 Staeclelere reset dein ae acti. {Stoel oma ce alse acer ee 4 Shue soled cumal eta! lyse marchez pe 2 Prema seamaemnet tie ea {eto ea 25. Cae ee pater sane notre es J SON Wy se mea (bis 23) metas oe ee sn eM Peco, | ieee AMEX Determine peda consi ao obi % co cerantackeas sien Sonoma a : : eee! h 4 1 pat i, at at le 2 | = satan Sana = 2 a aenaercumatin aie menyee f Ig{ aR ae] ee ee elas 5 a ons oye ote ae | 8 Se 2 eee So : =a # Se eee g SeeRttesereecentecieypeme om Busocs Pion fe, Pang, Tea C985). 3 CALCULUL COSTULUI UNITAR ‘AL PRODUSELOR CHIMICE cent pa na nc im srimaieatcens Se ain mt to | oceans amram Sra 1. Mater prime g mater rect AP: 1 Matra (AY Che de tansporesprovionare (CTA: WY. Gea 'V. Recap (R650; Vi Sst dete SDF. VIL Coma sigs soci ae tne aferete sari dice spy, Vir Chel ese ae sexe (CCS), TX. Chet gone ale repindr(CGD- rin nsumares chelicilorgrapateconfoem aestor ato de clel se determin cost de teprndre a reds 32.C —__., ul cesar pent ele cet proletare Savio gms mt corer, asmaemeeeiee! smu pci mo vi ate dec mae Yue sien pele ease smear a de une pe ee sion et pot Sani a seca eins TESA ‘oli me 1 soln rode. xpi uit ature, sell epi ‘S rodipet ances “ere venient tcp near de ee ie ‘dd rrr pe pine n ce ete cheltullitoraferenearticleordecaculatie 212, Cael ehetuitlor materi dst ey cite proving de a mae pine, ue ani 1 recupr ele! conn tmes come eco) de eas lr otitis et ce pee BSS ey cn Bia nee pe as Met ee Foes ae me nC eet oe ee Fe es ne re Seas echt aeony irene ‘Sie nc ioe aia: crneiaossarnnreMay, [li] G2) 1.2.2, Coe ht ped muni eect prot Colt site rete ce svn pe unites, d pods com y Intel el eee oul oli so=fs ~Suce'Seaoe 2, eit] a Fda aller de, Fs eter rin mien mamta mec det pac Ney, coral med nr a muncorerde ‘tac nla soi, Sgn p12 hal nanan, Dp 9 ‘Gaertn ki 22) woul ree hati emer Ta well ‘Spade peace Cex ep nt, elizalde neecreaspeurourechelt anja sige sce desta 30% 3% 40 dn sie [einen con iccoek 4 oi ave ese: nse de, ‘se et od ll om 3 ‘coon fond deste salt ° dep ait ieae = Poe ci od pl ee tnd at “ yom ISD MM ww AsTSD, fe] aH 2.3. Calea cheater coma eet Acs chi ne chic dip mame once ince ics gr ite i ‘Chit din cu ong tei a 2) tu in conse pe rset ale lr le ee ‘deuce ie eli beac ase eo ie ‘ere: min sett news pase sl ‘noc col yp mae Se Soop enlace {ri inven Epedicc tte ese care ‘Sako mete ude seine os Acid scent col env 13 tin vals th oo ia pis mpi I nape sea stir wir Proven din st on Magnet Ia crite cuanto TG gece see He pre Seat oes ee dram t snefass as} oil tage see i MIP TESA LO gy ena nace i on | ©) ca peel Sse See Mee SH fi] 99 4 de memenea, tye cart sir dete, conti 8 ais | SCRE Smtr llr de sei eet) rss-woarastsaasss, [lt] 6.10 ) etc c pota mol dein incon de res, ‘Sfcing cat pind he sper dee: PrekiS0. bru elo04saso) [et] tthe Prin imma eso cin cpr de cel sein chile carne ale see Ces em eSSeTSS+PM, [lit] GRY Retji(.12) oe vais cn sei se bei sag pods: Dk ae are in vee rninaescncomtnh sh ltr pode 3S ino dari vlunl na chico cue le xis ete Stepan dp nares (6 exemplpoprial ch fare ‘Sti dee frp Bre rods, 3.24, Chel geer ae intrepid Inco a de ce ind ke csi dinar 8 ‘ea ron cor cant inept oat ae poe it ‘conpantimentce anetionae, presses fri de muned, ee, “ Ardara lates neh een rere pnb eo lei cmd pce evr pein in CGI tera pm see oan pene Spl he ‘sie or ed Clee AU ESDOTSDD, Kaaefass 04} fo] 1) 8.3. Formula «Cosa unite al predanai™ mente ce cpa rae ea pet peers cue ne Qcnad col i # ST rove earned ae Fela Cotta rt Ta er SET secs see, ere pn Ut | 1st oo oe fot w o Moda de competi maa v coneeizat a ain Manges Dab 1 anon ase age ae de ne | , Ar i a nT et ey ta tp font co are a -ntencaoet nde rodet_| a5 — eso TESA | Sa Apteatie Teo : i Dal pin ete eile ce se cate cli ene ecm deen bia ay | RET Gaga gamete | uw [mao | wigan Tan nr pote 0 va = “Since etnnc ma for ene © [a [egstereimemom fo] a | eran execs de pub 108 — 5 3 | kaisotan tote] Seton te SRSA ane te moe eet 2 mile. Adaehitie Snares ag ae mo vont Py [Sea eres rm at es aah 3 D4 | Stree t | tine | tons Geer ce eo mace 9 pri conser 75% rpesy |] | Teno geo fe | som | ‘som: 09 8 © 16 | betes | M8 | whom 1) Ne de or emp seri pos wise me nee a nin sori pene ase 33 | alata ee re Gender mec ee resect 0; a | Eepewmc teat | 550 | boon. 10 ‘Sea cheer perc ale ent ve eos de 30%, respec —— Keri, Conte as0_| som 02 scum pec, tte d tira, copie peice 2 “evar sme nub. | Tanta | Steins dr de seis normate Remar potent et hema desl it ee ct ie 59 Re] __Denenivscereritdrmifaretee | eau 3 Chet de vary sponsor mt cas pcs z rn CTA =1.16.7348 000636184) =1757 It LSPs a cm "Titi se ipa 3 sande 08 : [At demarcate 8 [Nias dct 3 rA~016-05128+18837)-89.06 54 Uns scat» u so i “ ype | Minne ibs an re os cunt cnt iad tnt TAMURA DE Sear Ae oa Eom [= war > [s ===] F kaon hr aa Sian Ee) al a seers [sa [e iT 237.600 Tae * — sin Paes oe fires | 18] Less ee, le ie a feces |e [| a ; ata een esas | ee Fesace [ov os | Sogsl ge Seaae [eos | en | se | Saw Lae oe ie 4000 | - 10.000 vk + + Fee bee [sol te eee als easel tet THsi8. Toaty 6.55 a ee sata Ee 8 fe a fous |) Pr fees oe | & [ES a ie | a ae | aia | Toa it Fisass_ | Foust vit as — Sie pee be—tear Ta TOTAL COST DEINTRERNDERE osm [_— rorac cosroeisrneranone Ta ‘ ae ee # Mempet nbad i ewsimanemcerat ty tl “ae aah ct anrl perte cine sora slips de setwtteu = al de ec li 95 = slit drei 55 25:160000» 12-2240 12 iste Top masses + conti mig sce ste we a Sonn ge Nett Pe ate we store ror nic, stn dl SUA: / spe B05 agp 0 , . “00 TSS OST MIM HesMDHen IDE ese mei (Dp ster Bet, 4 dg PM =n08-17.siE= 132451196051 ~ ere lt moe ont emg | T = Sd serdar 1 ston 13085 25458 om tote howe Se ead fable 3.6537. 7 19058 ‘Tsp 057-171st8= 9793668 2 ent celle geal le isp we bine, api eli en cehliccamneslenciivendeerniny Ptutnereé [| 0.13) once (G1 =03-(1.6760004171 818497936) = 583726 t= + cotati de sna et ones : Conta de tern dtr pa rei (31) ee west it Jefe Aine din abel 3.69137: . = vlan de arin in 8: a ae ol ert ye ae an ail ede tae ASE spe 1170 sn de sete ios clot a he SAg 37 Be ee ‘Seip pods peels or nee ‘itn cotinae lle nrc on = 11368000 aga fafa 3.1 eterna rt pacer acs nar sland soi Emfsind a, e pascal nel ior ‘alr det eee cen 91 dn Cy, Eide pcp bere {ceca eso ee ea ten ol er male + Inte era eli Se hyn cnn einem ae, In 075.211588-1seesoein=794 84 * rate Meme hae s ix ridin pac lt od tre pot he [31 Strecselee hte di ea PC cnr ¢ capncitatea de peodacie: $0.000 ven; ‘ $ mead e000) 4 cine neice ype {claps pence oe 1 Sinn geese epi 25% {Sit eos e000 ee 4 en ii yt pena econ ba 37 ‘os nl an de PUC lad pode cbr msn ete 132 Sedu unt de dee grace rin dot vr de Prosseooge (ea ube 38, 1. Ste cles cont ni tne ot et eee din ais aetna. 2. She resins gfe rca proce x cos eit pst Seca om varinl dce. 2 Caer eden ce? hese Tae Dt vind nti de PVC Gatton tne | Hea Darden erste | ant | germ nea at aa + ns Seinatapcie 3 : ie : it ar i a Cotzradperonat | Nrpereene | SRT TD Tw ono sar Fy ito TESA i Save Menge trial ——_—_ - ee eaanscne rene : Tehetyy | | Ceti nga dpe as pe er tay Nor sal 930000 | 31-1:900.00| 7 bra beers ame] cae > CaLcuLe mmiviso nets CAPACITATEA DE PRODUCTIE, ae : a, fo a ~ ei. Feacooncey |t, seam |" ae “4.1, Cadtrul general al probleme! sod (N24) oo = seo el a | -catalizatorhidrogenare Me od haa 10D Capacarntoa de wraducte @ wnisiiior indusrate chiice veprecinth producti = rere ne Sone lum | an |. ay, | a Sieesesiastccanpranionecr same a wo | itn | Sle |S Serie ets er aot i a | Se | a ean ras a en, [| Be | dt [fe petrrare scatman re soos, |r | fe | Se | 9 pamvert bene oeranaaiirs Ses P| | we | A cone mone hse Stepan a ne sie rr 4 pereiorarstehcair defi “Treen ahr rsp asses imei nn se chime str rose “Fact ein epee oan ae pote 1) slr i rare st xine nei any pesoand ype on xpi UM * plist Manageme ra * 4.2, Factort care detrinan marten capt i de produetic r Je wet Ace at sar 1. Nene tie ase eri ones 2 tan ae ee 3 tm de ta exh | 421, Verge de prate ‘Una. grape de je ine de osetia sztie ‘are paticn remit areas pce cmt eed proc; ‘Ved pic ne steamer deni Serene netan ose ree wo cate sre 0 valour Ge inenlar prior estore se nome weg conductor Tell. ered vet coductowre resin east de otitc Frode] Vern condarsnare | Fementopecineam [ON] | Sale Sofa de conact —— [Wott de eau [a arbre esau Ceinan de earn ‘pa tener —[ | {Sopetele Teton dso, Cab eter Ihearn Reso dale Aisin forse [Co Gora deve [Esgbemet es lis — oti exe Ni dena me] f se pose ia «fe Cigacdeadae [Wate ar] «ier aime | Map de rms — [Nad ani hs a a) a Se ~ & sn et Ean xb 4.2.2. tnesot dewaeluess Sefer la pee ps ding pe nian dle peciicel vig Sees se f “y wee ot mri pel liv ou in cn fo i stivmcr cena pe coe i ise de md x pame Uaer nine i ai cs et anual ome ee eeon oS inact ome mess SS bon eterna pn ara imio ma et imine tine enn Tee ee na sn Perec 4 cate pntnnn Peet ce ae anne de ud farce 7 ite eta m (4 2A instr dee ‘Sere ein be fnconte sverige rede Fon de ng fut cee capeciler & proce ete tiny dsr pen liege veg de producti ere i atl eT AT), unde Tet an ne To tinp dent Timp i mr vir eer temp deo fel st near enn funn a te ciao (on cca er bn ne shintren a exec arate Festimeaendrtith a lu). 7 inp emespunrailr select pe am simbe ii 9 ‘Shoe pot occ tine opt cum se ober enn clu nT ead maple 43. Modul de exprimare a eapacitatt de protic Scie tt cient th ate ta e Ca pap dep ‘Ate rob de expres ~ ind din acc ele prin pr ite teu moe mnie & pode ssi £8 ‘trocar vv 'n oti Yo ‘cpr Heal acini exp neal fe aed ‘sites Se ire de mater pind oo no ni de esti “ind Insane sa nese obfine 0 gunk wrt de foment, ce pot eae pes un oer pects Ge roar se exind In prade hated oe Se ‘melope de prod elec coment pert prods a gel de onc eee comp dinean mare mie de sete, pst sas dimen (oe ox calor frelon) wor sid pei oli iste Hp Cucina depodage nexpin valor 44, Caleual capacitor de productle 441 teterlanen nr capac de protectc 1 Pentre vege de race I ae 1 put Wc wn element = percent Re fino ee ‘A pont psn 4 Uy pnt ie isa heat: aa. (2) pont nije ic: com a Cate tts tree ora ae ete nS wo 1 gems cok te a tens pe durata une re coli 7 un peau el sn a pi eR Since tn roe sone de pnt cmd tam mpg ome se esate 1. prt nt = as 2. penta n teenie Can a9 2 pentun tne ite 10) Incanin cae reinstate orient eet ea cSans aufer, a {ld inl apn ct roduc Ai oe ‘ct nitogeameteretere | | aay Ee onc ty em eg po ‘i any Suga sit ein inp 45. alana cupacitiior de product eum som ino iz ee sce mat oe eile de mb nis 5 erg tne solr b produce ee ee ab Comrie Stacia mee mt, 9 etc extent capaci, evr eal dures coool de rie ‘fxn cle pte de pote. 451.Capncatea med anes ‘Se detemind ia sail fs cw exit mab mate capac pores "laren unl pods Se cle eb wi Meson Indo 6 m4 Caliper | h an eee Bet eects cpt aml iene wt 0 Say ae este nl SRSA cin tne sa oe ene a a enone € & mse po 452. beterminaes leer ngs na eb ‘Sethe sien els (4.12). De exe eres ons » etc cece veg poe ecrotree $30 wih pt been ion peti, 300 1500 it ito pati, S00 Hot ‘sao 1 setae ae sg 1900 tenn Cobain bea ube aed seminars octane de bol Varga ae ceca Comparare cae proce Ta | Vara | condetion Reewe——[Wonsatin isa zs At sain — [I = deco [soln 10359" 552 nN sagen [14500 50. Has snl oan =r 11007 AS10852; 1052-10005; $52 1 45=H800, 2) 1400x101 500-5667;965-10000~333,- 3941500105010" 7 lo ei ee tol gh vi contact Art ea Fie. Renerenat grafico ele gr lair guste fa ihm calc sph ti te 2c os niga 31 soe ae ‘onan ert ASA, Renervele potentiate de productie et ~ tee serpent Ry = Ei} mT 16 at) wn «meri Manet in! 4 ° cabot ar spe ‘etna cet is mrt Pian yea re mr dine eae soa cain etl wtp de mate ee Ts een wae ifn Tied edie yam 46. Aplicate se canoe ace pnt nb 3. dee fate de bier» ‘Sur devia lend ‘abe 3. trod rd rt inti dco de vi Prodan i ‘Opa id Tie | seen |_efetve “0 n i 5 "1, z 0. 0 0 10 50. a uo. si 0 7b 0 oa ca pd np dt ed sa wii de I tin cle cae dept el FaID cee eee 7 a one li envres poeme okies rdilanr de ieiters ac] u resent tale prvi capri dep i erelcian T wate ee [ea Seon Der P| ‘eu caelt peta mits a mre abt Cenc gest aie EI. vrcouit ns ah $556 te uid ca weal tiaiet te Teac Stee com iene webie cvs Maeno Ib! ET akin tat 4.7. Probleme propose (ptaje de seid tne fo ea St ear 38 eee wort Seve, rome Peal as ean note in sage SS a ute ott (am rege ena, Sama cearitie Sie case caste Seater de 2 Shs dn Ing ftp See ee feoccine fie ain SWasomter a oie foevweete » Seti ga ttane 3 Sau ee robe ection Se patie ‘Sigua eaetaote 4 Shoe eae pda ces lcs isso coe lid ok nice worms wee Freer oe lon % Gin rele pose rota Nn whe oe ue pst cea, Tmmaer is | one m Da ‘a [uae [var [Sno | vanes) [Som [UA Bee reat de one wa meres nine de nis ere scl ol Stareleicre 1. Cipctte de poe. sad de liar » asia 9 ze ules de pode sales pce 1. sia ce obj al er in ta ee Fcc ies ed ml orn a an cet rote de IW. eae on i aa vitor ts wn rad wi amide 8% Nav evil pnen I up ‘ene de cpa pod Seuss acs NOTA: Se coveted ae 35, Die priv cone intl aii fies g a. Apes oan Teint . Product oo pri ceive aed | 0 Moa neti “lend pre ere 48, Bibliogeati ortenttiva a Nome maine m3 rie Goi . 2, Mata CSc Monge nit BREN, seminars capt de Norm mc orm HEM T2S0974, BACH, Boca 1999 Pe ivr deni poi eth pl de ccd ‘ltr ccommee nue postr lee ne she Forind de acne cmc a comple nase cond mdoids gcoilewac in aeneh ae tae fom inp ore cr et ales toe ele, ‘donee maemael piensa Tn cal any eenomce ce mar pre Sa couplet td ll rt eget aba, 5.1, Modeha matematie a metodel matrerale de stabiiee a je dor te nani mnie case i ipecct su fo a > = an leh ewe te rea pr

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