Annex Thesis
Annex Thesis
Annex Thesis
Dear Respondent
I have been writing thesis on Importance and Prospects of Bond Market Growth in Nepal in
partial fulfillment of the requirements of Masters of Business Studies (MBS). I have some
questions regarding bonds market hoping your timely response. Your cooperation has great value
for me.
Thanking you,
Instructions: please tick () in an appropriate place and put your view in open end question.
1. Do you think existing legal provisions regarding debt securities market is:
a. Sufficient ( )
b. Insufficient ( )
Growth Trend of Government Debt Securities Fitted in Curvilinear Model (In Million)
X= Y=
(year- Amount of
Yea 1986/87 govt.
r ) Securities xy x2 x3 x4 x2y
x2 x3 x4 x2y
Tota X=23 y=1,731,91 xy=32,802,3 =6,20 =123,20 =2,610,62 =688,329,60
l 1 5 89 1 1 1 4
N=26
Y= a+bx+cx21
y= Na + b x+c x2&&&&&&&&2
Xy= a x + b x2+cx3&&&&&&&.3
X2y= ax2+bx3+cx4&&&&&&.4
Where,
y=1,731,915
X=231
x2 =6,201
xy=32,802,389
x3 =123,201
x2y =688,329,604
x4 =2,610,621
1,731,915=26a+231b+6,201c.5
32,802,389=231a+6,201b+123,201c6
688,329,604=6,201a+123,201b+2,610,621c..7
we get
6006a+53361b+1432431c = 400072365
6006a+161226b+3203226c = 852862114
- - -
-107865b-1770759c = -452789749
107865b+1770759c = 4527897498
we get
1432431a+38452401b+763969401c = 203407614189
- - -
999270b+160915950c = 44403475665.9
we get
1077891703050b+176951475600120c=4524714378064530
1077891703050b+17357198946750c=4789580902605220
- - -
159594276653370c= -264866504540690
c = -264866504540690/159594276653370
c = -1.66
107865b+1770759c=452789749..8
107865b+1770759*-1.66= 452789749
107865b =952907438+2939459.94
b = 455729208.90/107865
b = 4224.99
1731915=26a+23b+6201c.5
26a+231*4224.99+6201*-1.66 = 1731915
a = 766235.97/26
a = 29470.61
b = 4224.99
c = -1.66
Now, substituting the value of a, b and c in the equation (1), the curvilinear model will be,
y = 29470.61+4224.99x-1.66x2
For,
Year 2013, x = 23
Year 2014, x = 24
Year 2015, x = 25
Year 2016, x = 26
Year 2017, x = 27
= 29470.61+4224.99x-1.66x2
=29470.61+ 4224.99*23-1.66*529
= 29470.61+4224.99x-1.66x2
=29470.61+ 4224.99*24-1.66*576
= 29470.61+4224.99x-1.66x2
==29470.61+ 4224.99*25-1.66*625
=29470.61+ 4224.99*26-1.66*676
= 29470.61+4224.99x-1.66x2
=29470.61+ 4224.27*24-1.66*729
Tet of hyposthesis
Hyothesis 1
In 100 random samples of respondents it, contains the following distribution, which was noted
the basis of related fields. The test is t draw the factors due to which Nepalese bond market
cannot smoothly.
Table 15
Hypothesis Test Regarding Factor Dominating the Growth of Nepal Bonds Market.
Hyothesis Testing :
Null Hypothesis (H0): There is significant relationship between observed and expected opinion
regarding the drawbacks of band market of Nepal.
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): There is significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the drawbacks of bond market of Nepal.
Test Statistic: under H0, the test statistics is 2 = (0-E)/E
Calculation of 2
Interpretation: As per table no. 15, it can be clearly seen that the calculated value of x2 at 5%
level of significance for d5 d.f is 0.793302 and tabulated value of x2 is 9.49. Since tabulated
value of x2 at 5% level of significance for 4 d.f is greater than the calculated value (i.e.
9.49>0.793302), null hypothesis is accepted i.e. there is no significant relationship between
observed and expected opinion regarding the drawback of bond market of Nepal.
Hypothesis 2
In 100 random smaples of respondent it, contains the following distribution, which was noted the
basis of related fields. The test is to draw the choice of securities by Nepalese investors.
Table 16
Debenture 10 5 8 6 29
Common Stock 20 7 16 8 51
Preference 3 2 4 1 10
Mutual fund 2 1 2 5 10
Total 35 15 30 20 100
Hypothesis Testing:
Null Hypothesis (Ho): There is no significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the choice of securities by Nepalese investors.
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): There is significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the choice of securities by Nepalese investors.
Calculation of 2
Interpretation: As per table 16, it can be clearly seen that the calculated value of 2 at 5% level
of significance for 2 d.f. is 0.98329 and tabulated value of 2 is 5.99: Since tabulated value of 2
at 5% level of significance for 2 d.f. is greater than the calculated value ( i.e. 5.99>0.98329) , the
null hypothesis is accepted i.e. there is no significant relationship between observed and
expected opinion regarding the choice of securities by Nepalese investors.
Hypothesis 3
In 100 random samples of respondents it, contains the following distribution, which was noted
the basis of related fields. The test is to draw the choice of various sectors bonds
Table 17
Banking 21 9 15 14 59
Manufacturing 3 3 4 2 12
Hotel Sector 5 2 6 2 15
Others 6 1 5 2 14
Total 35 15 30 20 100
Hypothesis Testing:
Null Hypothesis (Ho): There is no significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the choice of various sectors bond.
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): There is significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the choice of various sectors bond.
Test Statistic: under H0, the test statistics is 2 = (0-E)/E
Calculation of 2
Hypothesis 4
In 100 random samples of respondents it, contains the following distribution, which was noted
the basis of related fields. The test is to draw the reasons that the investors are influenced to
purchase debt securities.
Table - 18
Survey Results on Regarding to the Reason for Influencing to Purchase Debt Securities
Broker
Listed Individual Other
Market Total
Companies Investors Experts
Makers
Liquid Assets 12 8 11 10 41
Lack of investment
opportunity 8 4 9 5 26
Declining interest
rate of deposit 10 1 8 3 22
Other 5 2 2 2 11
Total 35 15 30 20 100
Hypothesis Testing:
Null Hypothesis (Ho): There is no significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the reasons influencing to investors for purchasing debt securities.
Calculation of 2
Interpretation: As per table 18, it can be clearly seen that the calculated value of 2 at 5% level
of significance for 3 d.f. is 1.743098 and tabulated value of 2 is 3.841. Since tabulated value of
2 at 5% level of significance for 3 d.f. is greater than the calculated value ( i.e. 3.841>1.743098)
, the null hypothesis is accepted i.e. there is no significant relationship between observed and
expected opinion regarding the reasons influenced to investors for purchasing debt.
Hypothesis 5
In 100 random samples of respondents it, contains the following distribution, which was noted
the basis of related fields. The test is to draw the importance of bonds in investment.
Table 19
Tax advantage 7 7 14 13 41
Total 35 15 30 20 100
Hypothesis Testing:
Null Hypothesis (Ho): There is no significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the importance of bond in investment.
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): There is significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the importance of bond in investment.
Test Statistics: Under H0, the test statistics is 2 = 2 = (0-E)2/E
Calculation of 2
Interpretation: As per Table.19, it can be clearly seen that the calculated value of 2 at 5% level
of significance for 2 d.f. is 11.74039 and tabulated value of 2 is 5.99 Since tabulated value of 2
at 5% level of significance for 2 d.f. is less than the calculated value ( i.e. 5.99 < 11.74039), the
alternative hypothesis is accepted i.e. there is significant relationship between observed and
expected opinion regarding the importance of bond in investment
Hypothesis 6
In 100 random samples of respondents it, contains the following distribution, which was noted
the basis of related fields. The test is to draw the use of bank loan instead of issuing debenture or
bonds.
Table 20
Issuing debenture is
difficult process 7 6 8 5 26
Other 3 1 2 3 9
Total 35 15 30 20 100
Hypothesis Testing:
Null Hypothesis (Ho): There is no significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding to the use of bank loan or issuing of debenture.
Calculation of expected frequencies
Calculation of 2
Interpretation: As per Table 20, it can be clearly seen that the calculated value of 2 at 5% level
of significance for 4 d.f. is 1.887616 and tabulated value of 2 is 9.49. Since tabulated value of
2 at 5% level of significance for 4 d.f. is greater than the calculated value ( i.e. 9.49> 1.887616)
, the null hypothesis is accepted i.e. there is no significant relationship between observed and
expected opinion regarding to the use of bank loan or issuing of debenture.
Hypothesis 7
In 100 random samples of respondents it, contains the following distribution, which was noted
the basis of related fields. The test is to draw the preference given by the Nepalese investor
between Government bonds and corporate bonds.
Table 21
Broker
Listed Market Individual Other
Companies Makers Investors Experts Total
Government bonds 15 8 21 12 56
Corporate bonds 20 7 9 8 44
Total 35 15 30 20 100
Hypothesis Testing:
Null Hypothesis (Ho): There is no significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the choice between government bonds and corporate bonds.
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): There is significant relationship between observed and expected
opinion regarding the choice between government bonds and corporate bonds.
Calculation of 2
Interpretation: As per Table 21, it can be clearly seen that the calculated value of 2 at 5% level
of significance for 5 d.f. is 5.013412 and tabulated value of 2 is 11.070. Since tabulated value of
2 at 5% level of significance for 5 d.f. is greater than the calculated value ( i.e. 11.070>
5.013142) , the null hypothesis is accepted i.e. there is no significant relationship between
observed and expected opinion regarding the choice between and corporate bonds.
ANNEX 5
S.N Issuance Coupon Rate (K) Maturity Period Market Int. Rate
Company (Y) (K)
1 Shree Ram Sugar 14% 4 years 10.69%
Mills Limited
2 Himalayan Bank 8.50% 7 Years 5.50%
Limited
3 Nepal 6% 7 Years 5.06%
Investment Bank
Limited
4 Everest Bank 6% 7 Years 4.89%
Limited
5 Bank of 6% 7 Years 4.89%
Kathmandu
Limited
For SRSM:
= 70*6.3740+ 1000*.6593
= Rs. 1105.49
For HBL:
= 42.5*11.49+ 1000*.6840
= Rs. 1172.33
For NIBL:
= 37.5*11.67+ 1000*.7048
= Rs. 1142.43
For EBL:
= 30*11.74 + 1000*.7121
= Rs. 1064.29
For BOK:
= 30*11.74 + 1000*.7121
= Rs. 1064.29
ANNEX 6
Calculation of Duration
S.N Issuance Coupon Rate (K) Maturity Period Market Int. Rate
Company (Y) (K)
1 Shree Ram Sugar 14% 4 years 10.69%
Mills Limited
2 Himalayan Bank 8.50% 7 Years 5.50%
Limited
3 Nepal 6% 7 Years 5.06%
Investment Bank
Limited
4 Everest Bank 6% 7 Years 4.89%
Limited
5 Bank of 6% 7 Years 4.89%
Kathmandu
Limited
For SRSM:
For HBL:
For NIBL:
For EBL:
For BOK: