Growth of Service Industry
Growth of Service Industry
Growth of Service Industry
At its meeting in May 2003, the Ministerial Council asked the OECD to analyse the
contribution made by the services sector to employment growth, productivity and
innovation, and to identify factors, institutions and policies that could enhance the
growth prospects of this sector. In response to this request, the OECD launched a study
involving the Economics Department (Economic Policy Committee), the Directorate for
Science, Technology and Industry (Committees for Information, Computer and
Communications Policy, Scientific and Technological Policy, Industry and Business
Environment), and the Trade Directorate (Trade Committee). The Center for Tax Policy
and Administration, the Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, the
Directorate for Public Governance and Territorial Development, and the Directorate for
Education also made helpful contributions to the study.
This report draws the main policy conclusions from the project. It complements
the OECD report on Trade and Structural Adjustment, which provides policy
directions on how OECD countries can adjust to international trade. Together, these
reports present a concrete policy agenda on how to strengthen growth performance
and address globalisation, structural change and the shift to services. The findings
and policy implications of the work are summarised below.
Executive Summary
T he services sector now accounts for over 70% of total employment and value added in OECD
economies. It also accounts for almost all employment growth in the OECD area. But despite its
growing weight, productivity growth in services has been slow in many OECD countries and the
share of the working-age population employed in services remains low in many countries. If
policy makers wish to strengthen economic growth and improve the foundations for the future
performance of OECD economies, the services sector will need to do better. But strengthening
growth performance is not the only challenge facing policy makers; OECD countries are also
confronted with the growing globalisation of services and manufacturing and with rapid
technological change. This has raised doubts about the capacity of OECD economies to create
new jobs, while at the same time offering new opportunities for international trade and
investment. Addressing these challenges and strengthening the potential of services to foster
employment, productivity and innovation will need to build on sound macroeconomic
fundamentals and involve a combination of structural policies. The OECD report on services
encourages policy makers to take action in the following areas:
● Open domestic services markets to create new job opportunities and foster innovation and
productivity. Further regulatory reform of services markets will create fresh opportunities for
firms to develop new services, meet emerging global demands and increase employment. It
will also increase the incentives for companies to innovate and improve productivity growth.
While much progress has been made in opening services markets, further steps are needed,
e.g. in reducing the degree of public ownership in competitive industries such as air
transport, in addressing anti-competitive practices in professional services, and in reducing
barriers to entrepreneurship.
● Take unilateral and multilateral steps to open international markets to trade and investment in
services. OECD work shows that the benefits of international trade and investment in
services are highly significant, for both OECD economies and developing countries. Policy
makers can take unilateral steps to open markets to international competition, for instance
by reducing barriers to foreign direct investment. At the same time, multilateral action is
needed to ensure a broad opening of markets and a wide distribution of the benefits. OECD
members should therefore seize the opportunities offered by the ongoing WTO Doha
negotiations to open their services markets.
● Reform labour markets to enable employment creation and adjustment to a growing services
economy. Effective labour and social policies are essential to help OECD economies adjust to
globalisation, structural change and the shift to services. To strengthen employment
creation in services, policy makers should address high labour taxes that affect the job
prospects for low-skilled workers and the development of personal services in OECD
to generating more rapid innovation and productivity growth in the services sector. In all these areas, it
will also be important to account for the large diversity of the services sector and the resulting variety in
policy challenges and growth prospects.
Introduction
The need for a stronger and more dynamic services sector arises The services sector
primarily from the growing weight of services in OECD economies. If policy is the key to stronger
makers wish to increase labour utilisation and productivity growth, the growth and employment
services sector will need to make a larger contribution than is currently the performance
case. The experience of several OECD countries shows that this is feasible; in
Australia, Canada, Luxembourg, the Slovak Republic and the United States,
the services sector has made a large contribution to both employment and
productivity growth over the past decade. Many of the jobs that have been
created involved high-skilled workers, in particular in finance, business
services, education and health. However, in several other OECD countries,
such as Italy, Korea, Poland and Spain, the contribution of the services sector
to employment rates remains limited (Figure 1), whereas in others, such as
France, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain, their contribution to productivity
growth has been low (Figure 2).
Figure 1. The services sector accounts for most of the variation in employment rates
across OECD countries
Share of the working-age population employed in goods and services,1 2002, percentages
% Services Goods
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potential for growth and innovation that has become increasingly apparent
in the services sector. Unleashing this potential, by a combination of
structural policies, can help create more employment, enhance productivity
and increase aggregate incomes.
But strengthening growth performance is not the only challenge. OECD
countries are also confronted with a growing globalisation of services and
rapid technological change, which has raised doubts about the capacity of
economies to create new jobs (Box 1). Addressing the globalisation challenge,
which is now affecting a large and growing part of the economy, raises new
questions about the ability of OECD economies to adjust to structural change,
an issue which is also addressed in the MCM paper on Trade and Structural
Adjustment.
Many services sectors The rapid employment growth in the services sector of several OECD
have experienced rapid countries over the past decade results primarily from the strong performance
employment growth, of certain market services, notably telecommunications, transport,
though only some have wholesale and retail trade, finance, insurance and business services. Over the
also experienced rapid past decade, these services accounted for around 60% of all employment
productivity growth created in the OECD area. Moreover, they are characterised by a growing use
of productivity-enhancing technologies, such as ICT, and accounted for the
bulk of labour productivity growth in Australia, Japan and the United States
over the past decade (Figure 2). Some of these services, notably
telecommunications and business services, have also been characterised by
a high level of business dynamics, as demonstrated by high rates of new firm
Figure A1. The share of occupations potentially affected by offshoring in total employment
EU-15, United States, Canada, and Australia 1995-2003/4,1 percentages
19.5
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1. Includes OECD estimates. Due to differences in classifications, levels are not directly comparable.
Source: OECD estimates based on EU Labour Force Survey, US Current Population Survey, Statistics Canada and Australian Bureau
of Statistics.
All services can benefit The challenges and growth prospects for the services sector therefore
from a more dynamic differ across activities. They depend on the structural characteristics of
business environment and different services markets, including their potential for technological change
effective innovation and productivity growth, their current degree of regulation and inherent
policies scope for domestic and international competition, as well as the relative
roles of the public and private sectors in each activity. This diversity is
compounded by a large variation in the development of the services sector
across OECD countries, which is partly linked to differences in the demand
for services. Despite this diversity, two broad policy challenges can be
identified that are the key to fostering growth in services:
● How to foster a more dynamic and competitive business environment that
encourages services firms to enhance productivity, offer new services and
create new employment.
● How to complement such structural reforms with effective innovation and
technology diffusion policies that can overcome barriers to innovation and
technological change in the services sector.
In developing policies for the services sector, policy makers will also
need to consider carefully the rationale and efficiency of their efforts in these
two areas.
Competitive pressures on The strong growth of services in certain OECD countries results from a
services firms have combination of factors. Among the most important is the growth in
increased, spurring competitive pressure that has occurred over the past decades. Regulatory
greater uptake of reform of markets for transport, communication, finance and certain
technology, as well as business services, combined with a reduction in international barriers to
productivity and trade and investment in services, as well as the growing scope for
employment growth competition and international cross-border trade thanks to technological
change and the growing tradability of services, have opened up service
markets that were previously sheltered from competition. This has increased
Much progress has been made over the past decade in reducing the Differences in the state
degree of regulation in OECD services sectors. However, despite such of regulation across OECD
progress, high levels of product market regulation continue to stifle growth countries point to an
and innovation, notably in many European countries (Figure 3). Further unfinished reform agenda
regulatory reform should be complemented by strong competition policy, as
this can help ensure that effective competition develops in liberalised sectors
of the economy. Moreover, further regulatory changes need to be supported
by institutional reforms, to ensure that the regulatory system is effective in
making markets work. This includes better use of alternatives to regulation,
impact analysis, stakeholder consultation, and well-designed and
adequately supported institutions and regulatory bodies.
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Fostering entrepreneurship and the creation and growth of new firms Policy can help foster
are also important for employment creation. Moreover, innovation and new firm creation
growth of services often requires that firms can experiment in the market and entrepreneurship
with new products, processes and business models. Allowing scope for
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Governments can make a Several important services, such as health, education and social
direct contribution to services, are often provided in a non-market environment, although with
better services sector considerable variation across countries. The absence of a price mechanism
performance by improving implies that it is difficult for the – often non-profit – providers of these
public services services to gauge demand, which is sometimes reinforced by the absence of
competition between providers and reliance on public funding. As a result of
this environment, producers may have difficulties in responding adequately
to evolving users needs, such as the growing demand for long-term health
care. Suitable policy measures, which could be explored in several public
services, include the opening up of markets to private providers, the
introduction of user choice, linking public funding more closely to
performance as well as user payments. While such measures may not be
suitable for all public services, for example, because they conflict with
fundamental equity objectives, such policy changes may contribute to better
and more targeted services in several areas, and may help enhance efficiency
while also achieving key public policy objectives.
However, while the potential for trade in services has grown Barriers to trade
substantially, notably in certain business services, the trade to value added in services persist
ratio of the services sector remains quite low compared to that of the goods-
producing sector (Figure 5), and services trade accounts for only about 20% of
total OECD trade. This is not only because services are still more difficult to
trade internationally than goods, but also results from the policy
environment for trade in services, which has not kept pace with the growing
potential for such trade.
Trade in services can occur in several ways, and the General Agreement
on Trade in Services (GATS) distinguishes four different modes of services
delivery; cross-border trade, consumption abroad, commercial presence and
movement of natural persons. Each of these modes of trade is affected by
rules and regulations. For example, market access through cross-border trade
may be restricted through rules stipulating that commercial presence or
residency in the country is required. Regulations in services markets, as
discussed above, may also limit international trade, in particular when they
discriminate between domestic and foreign firms. Most OECD countries also
have specific restrictions on foreign direct investment, such as limits on the
amount of foreign equity or screening and approval rules. Services trade
involving the temporary movement of natural persons to provide a service in
another country is also affected by rules, e.g. limitations on the number of
persons that may be temporarily employed in a particular sector.
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1. Average of exports and imports of goods and services as a share of value added in the goods- and services-producing sectors. The
goods-producing sector includes agriculture, mining, manufacturing, electricity, gas and water; the services-producing sector covers
all other industries.
2. Includes intra-EU trade; EU-19 refers to all EU countries that are also members of the OECD.
Source: IMF, Balance of Payments Statistics, OECD, STAN database and Annual National Accounts database.
Countries should take For many of these measures affecting trade in services, countries can
unilateral and multilateral take unilateral steps to change the rules and open their economy to
action to draw greater international trade. OECD work demonstrates that autonomous liberalisation
benefits from trade in in many services markets can be highly beneficial to the country taking such
services steps, in both OECD and developing economies, and generally exceeds the
benefits from reform in agriculture or manufacturing. The potential gains
may be particularly large in sectors such as distribution and business
services, where trade barriers typically tend to drive up costs, but are also
important in sectors such as banking and telecommunications. Countries
should therefore not feel obliged to wait for progress in multilateral forums;
they can take action immediately.
Certain measures affecting trade in services, e.g. those related to
occupational licensing, may require co-operation between countries, however.
Multilateral action can also ensure a broadening of the opening of services
markets across countries, sectors and modes, resulting in a wider distribution
of the benefits. By ensuring that measures taken by partner countries are
binding and reciprocal, multilateral action can assist in providing the
transparency and predictability sought by globally mobile service companies.
Progress in international trade negotiations is therefore also needed. OECD
Members should seize the opportunity provided by the ongoing WTO Doha
negotiations to open their services markets. They should submit initial and
revised GATS offers by the agreed deadline and intensify their efforts to
conclude parallel negotiations on rule-making under the GATS.
Policies and institutional arrangements linked to the labour market may Inappropriate labour
also hold back the creation of new services. OECD work shows that there is a and social policies may
strong relationship between services sector employment and overall hold back the adjustment
employment rates (Figure 2). Moreover, countries with a high share of the of OECD countries
population employed in services tend to have the highest participation of to a services economy
women in the labour market (Figure 6). The growth of services is the key to
enhancing labour force participation, notably by providing the kind of jobs
that are needed to attract new worker groups (e.g. part-time, evening, night as
well as low-skilled workers). At the same time, high labour force participation
may give an impetus to the development of the services sector.
Figure 6. High employment in services goes hand-in-hand with high employment for women
Employment/population ratios in services and for women, 2002, percentages
Overly strict employment Labour market institutions may also directly affect the services sector.
protection legislation may For example, overly strict employment protection legislation (EPL) may limit
slow down adjustment the development of services sector activities that are subject to large
and affect certain services variations in demand, such as tourism and certain producer services, which
can slow down the shift to services. Overly strict EPL may also have adverse
effects on labour mobility and productivity growth by reducing the capacity
of firms’ to reorganise, experiment with new ideas or implement new
technologies. This could reduce the growth of new jobs, thus hampering the
re-integration of displaced workers. An easing of EPL has been recommended
for several countries in OECD peer reviews, with the aim of finding an
appropriate balance between worker’s need for protection and economies’
capacity to adjust and create new jobs.
High labour taxes may Developments in services sectors may also be obstructed by high labour
limit the expansion of taxes or by indirect taxes. Labour taxes create a wedge between private and
personal services social returns on work and between do-it-yourself or informal work and
market-based deliveries. High labour taxes may thus lower labour supply and
encourage in-house or informal production. The personal services sector is
likely to be most effected by high tax rates, as it relies disproportionately on
workers with elastic labour supply (e.g. low-skilled workers and second
income earners). Moreover, in-house or informal production of these services
is often a viable alternative.
Addressing the tax burden may provide more jobs for low-skilled
workers and would thus help facilitate labour market participation. Policy
makers have several options; they can, for instance, lower labour taxes or
reduce taxes on specific income groups that are particularly affected, such as
low incomes or second income earners. They may also consider employment
subsidies or other make-work-pay policies, which have proven effective in
certain cases. Several countries have recently also introduced tax credits or
subsidies for households employing domestic workers. Family-friendly
policies, e.g. better access to child-care facilities or more flexible working
time arrangements, are also important; they can help enhance labour force
participation in the services sector, notably of women, and may have the
additional effect of creating new services to help reconcile work and family
life, e.g. in child care centres. The OECD peer reviews have provided
recommendations to several OECD countries in these areas. The budgetary
costs and possible distortionary effects of these policies must be
acknowledged, however, and traded off against their potential benefits in
enhancing labour market participation.
The shift towards a service economy may also require changes to human The services economy will
resource and educational policies, as service firms may require skills that are require changing worker
currently in short supply, e.g. those required for specific trades or sectors, skills and organisational
such as tourism, or for specific needs, such as ICT or innovation. Human structures
resources are of great importance to services, as services delivery typically
requires close interaction with customers. Many services sectors, for
example, heavily rely on both ICT specialists and qualified ICT users.
Moreover, services firms regard training as a key element of their innovation
efforts. Having a good supply of qualified personnel is important, since many
services sectors require highly-skilled workers, but education policies need
to be supplemented with actions and co-financing by firms, workers and
governments to foster life-long learning. Best policy practices to foster new
(services) skills need to be developed, e.g. on improving the incentives for
private financing of life-long learning and on ensuring equitable access to
both formal and on-the-job learning. The development of quality certificates
(e.g. of professional qualifications) and skills accreditation mechanisms are
also important.
Stronger performance of services companies also often requires
organisational change, as shown in Box 2. While organisational change is
primarily a task for firms, governments can help reduce obstacles to
workplace changes, e.g. by diffusing information on good practices widely.
This may also require greater employee involvement in workplace change
and ensuring that working time legislation and employment regulations
support organisational innovation.
Governments will also need to re-examine potential tax barriers to cross Cross-border trade
border services and intangibles. A recent OECD survey shows that the in services raises difficult
interaction of EU and non-EU VAT systems and sales taxes may lead to issues for tax policy
unintentional double taxation. This is partially because there is no OECD-wide
agreement on the application of basic consumption tax concepts that apply to
the service sector (e.g. place of consumption of services) and no generally
agreed principles to guide governments. The OECD has recently launched a
study to examine how greater coherence can be achieved in this area.
A significant number of cross border services are provided by one part of a
multinational group to another part. This raises difficult issues as to how the tax
base associated with the services should be allocated between the countries in
which the group operates. The OECD 1995 Transfer Pricing Guidelines provide
guidance for governments and business on how to resolve these issues.
Despite the guidance provided in the OECD Model Tax Convention, tax
disputes will arise between countries as to how to allocate the income
associated with cross border services and intangibles. Such disputes are
currently dealt with under the Mutual Agreement Procedures (MAP) of the
OECD Model Convention. However, the number and complexity of cases
giving rise to tax disputes is increasing, which can act as a barrier to the
development of the service sector. OECD has recently launched a project to
Improving the business While a more dynamic business environment for services firms,
environment may not be including greater openness to international competition, should do much to
enough to stimulate encourage greater uptake of advanced technologies and foster innovative
services-sector innovation activities, additional efforts may also be needed. As shown in recent OECD
work on benchmarking, innovation in knowledge-based economies
increasingly depends on the combination of entrepreneurship, ICT,
innovation and human capital. ICT is particularly important for services
sector innovation, as it is enabling firms in a wide variety of services
industries to engage in process innovations throughout the value chain,
develop new applications, and raise productivity. However, despite a high
degree of innovation in the services sector, notably in financial and business
services, innovation policies have thus far focused primarily on the
manufacturing sector. Services firms face several barriers to innovation,
however, some of which may be susceptible to policy action (Figure 7). While
%
35
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Lack of Innovation Economic Lack of Lack of Org. Lack of Regulatory Lack of
financing costs risks personnel market info. rigidities tech. info. constraints response
Public R&D should more The financing of innovation remains an important barrier for services
explicitly address services firms, perhaps more so than for manufacturing firms. This is partly because
sector needs firms in certain service industries, such as business services, are quite small,
which typically implies more restricted access to private financing.
Intellectual property rights are of limited but growing importance to IPR plays a limited,
innovation in services – especially in knowledge intensive business services but growing role
like software, computing, R&D services and communications. Services firms
typically do not regard weak protection of intellectual property as a major
barrier to innovation; they rely more on secrecy and lead time to protect their
competitive advantage. Nevertheless, IPR could become more important as
competition increases and market fragmentation declines; already the
number of patents filed by innovative services firms has grown. In some
OECD countries, patent protection has been extended to service-related
inventions, such as software and business methods, creating differences in
the international treatment of such inventions and leading to concerns about
the balance between innovation and technology diffusion. Greater
harmonisation could reduce uncertainty for patent holders, but policy
Further efforts are needed Governments can also help firms in seizing greater benefits from ICT.
to seize the benefits of OECD work has shown that much of the services sector is being transformed
information and by ICT. ICT-related changes are closely integrated with other factors
communications identified in the OECD work on benchmarking, e.g. entrepreneurship,
technology in the services innovation, human capital and organisational change. ICT can help services
sector firms to introduce new business models, develop new applications, improve
and re-invent business processes, enhance customer services and raise
efficiency throughout the value chain. However, despite increased ICT use,
the uptake and integration of more sophisticated electronic business
applications remains relatively limited (Figure 8). While a sophisticated use
of ICT may not be required in all firms, inappropriate rules and regulations
may also contribute to the lack of integration.
Figure 8. High business connectivity but low e-commerce adoption, 2003 or most recent year
Percentage of all firms
While ICT has already spread widely in many OECD countries, the
development of efficient, low-cost and broadly diffused networks remains a
high priority. This will require continued efforts to improve competitive
conditions for telecommunication services. Broadband networks are
particularly important, as they offer new opportunities for many services,
including health, education and government. As set out in the OECD Council
Recommendation on Broadband Development, government policy needs to
encourage effective competition and continued lib eralisation in
infrastructure, network services and applications to foster broadband
networks. It also needs to maintain transparent, technologically neutral and
non-discriminatory market policies that encourage R&D and investment in
new technological infrastructure, content and applications.
Further efforts will also be required to develop regulatory frameworks Regulatory barriers
and technological solutions (e.g. certification, authentication) that can enable impede electronic business
electronic business and the digital delivery of services, e.g. health, financial and digital delivery
services, tourism, distribution or logistics, and that foster a “culture of of services
security”. In many OECD countries, surveys show that privacy and security
concerns remain among the key barriers to ICT use. Much work is currently
underway at the OECD and elsewhere to develop and adopt information
security strategies to ensure that users have sufficient trust in using network
services and applications. An important challenge is to ensure the adherence
to regulatory frameworks and the effective enforcement of privacy and
consumer protection. Achieving these goals will require strong cross-border
co-operation between all stakeholders.
Regulations and administrative rules, often dating from a time that
electronic business and digital delivery were not yet an option, may also
affect the ability of firms to develop ICT services or deliver services through
digital means. For example, the regulatory treatment of physical and non-
physical products often differs, and insurance and payment schemes are
often ill adapted to the digital delivery of healthcare. Similar regulatory
barriers exist in many other services where electronic business and digital
delivery have become possible.
The development of digital content and services, thanks to the diffusion Further consideration
of high-speed broadband, also raises new challenges. Policies in this field should be given to policies
should ideally focus on removing obstacles for firms entering this market that can foster electronic
and addressing regulatory challenges in the field of intellectual property, content
digital rights management and inter-operability. The development of content
and related services will require regulatory frameworks that carefully
balance the interests of suppliers and users, e.g. as regards the protection of
intellectual property and the management of digital rights. Such regulatory
frameworks should be sufficiently flexible and not disadvantage innovative
business models.
Governments can also take action themselves. Developing public
services and digital content, e.g. providing public information, collecting
taxes or procuring goods and services on line, fostering e-health and
Conclusions
A well-functioning services sector is key to the overall economic
performance of OECD countries and to the welfare of its citizens. Reform of
services sector policies provides an important opportunity for policy makers
to strengthen employment, productivity and innovation. It will also help in
strengthening the capacity of OECD economies to adjust to economic
globalisation in services and to the growing importance of services for the
future growth of OECD economies. The policies outlined in this report can
contribute to such reform and are mutually reinforcing. This is important
since seizing the new growth opportunities in the services sector will be
possible only through a comprehensive strategy based on a policy mix that is
suited to each country or circumstance.
Several OECD countries have already undertaken reforms and have
achieved stronger growth performance in services. This has resulted in more
jobs, stronger productivity growth and higher incomes. Moreover, a more
productive services sector also underpins better performance of other
sectors, notably the manufacturing sector, as this increasingly relies on
support and inputs from efficient and cost-effective producer services. While
not all services sectors have expanded and some have declined in size, the
overall impacts of reform have been very positive.
E nha nc ing the per forma nc e of ser vices will require fur th er
consideration by policy makers. In areas where best policy practices are still
being developed, it is important that governments tread carefully and avoid
actions that could harm service sector growth. Moreover, further
improvements in the knowledge and statistics about the drivers of
performance in different services sectors would help in developing,
monitoring and evaluating suitable policies for the services sector.