Managerial Decision Modeling With Spreadsheets (Answer Key) P2-14-1

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Problem 2-14

PAYOFFS Outcomes (a) Maximax (b) Maximin (c) Equally Likely


Alternatives Good Average Poor Maximum Choice Minimum Choice Average Choice
Expand $76,000 $30,000 -$17,000 $76,000 -$17,000 $29,667
Move $90,000 $41,000 -$28,000 $90,000 Best -$28,000 $34,333 Best
No change $40,000 $15,000 $4,000 $40,000 $4,000 Best $19,667

REGRET Outcomes (e) Minimax


Alternatives Good Average Poor Maximum Choice
Expand $14,000 $11,000 $21,000 $21,000 Best
Move $0 $0 $32,000 $32,000
No change $50,000 $26,000 $0 $50,000
(d) Hurwicz
Realism Choice
$20,200 Best
$19,200
$18,400
a= 0.4

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