Mission Concepts and Timelines
Mission Concepts and Timelines
Mission Concepts and Timelines
Its surface
conditions and the presence of water on Mars make it arguably the most hospitable of the
planets in the Solar System, other than Earth. Mars requires less energy per unit mass (delta-v)
to reach from Earth than any planet except Venus.
Permanent human habitation on a planetary body other than the Earth is one of science fiction's
most prevalent themes. As technology has advanced, and concerns about the future of humanity
on Earthhave increased, the argument that space colonization is an achievable and worthwhile
goal has gained momentum.[1][2] Other reasons for colonizing space include economic interests,
long-term scientific research best carried out by humans as opposed to robotic probes, and sheer
curiosity.
One of Elon Musk's stated goals through his company SpaceX is to make such colonization
possible by providing transport, and to "help humanity establish a permanent, self-sustaining
colony on Mars within the next 50 to 100 years".[3]
Contents
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SpaceX (colonization)[edit]
2022- As of October 2017, owner Elon Musk is planning for a manned Mars landing in
2022.[8] Concept video published October 2017[9]
Earth is similar to Venus in bulk composition, size and surface gravity, but Mars's similarities to
Earth are more compelling when considering colonization. These include:
The Martian day (or sol) is very close in duration to Earth's. A solar day on Mars is 24 hours,
39 minutes and 35.244 seconds.[15]
Mars has a surface area that is 28.4% of Earth's, only slightly less than the amount of dry
land on Earth (which is 29.2% of Earth's surface). Mars has half the radius of Earth and only
one-tenth the mass. This means that it has a smaller volume (~15%) and lower average
density than Earth.
Mars has an axial tilt of 25.19, similar to Earth's 23.44. As a result, Mars has seasons much
like Earth, though they last nearly twice as long because the Martian year is about 1.88 Earth
years. The Martian north pole currently points at Cygnus, not Ursa Minor like Earth's.
Recent observations by NASA's Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, ESA's Mars Express and
NASA's Phoenix Lander confirm the presence of water ice on Mars.
Location Pressure
Terraforming[edit]
An artist's conception of a terraformed Mars (2009)
Radiation[edit]
Further information: Health threat from cosmic rays and Effect of spaceflight on the human body
Mars has no global magnetosphere as Earth does. Combined with a thin atmosphere, this
permits a significant amount of ionizing radiation to reach the Martian surface. The Mars
Odyssey spacecraft carries an instrument, the Mars Radiation Environment Experiment (MARIE),
to measure the radiation. MARIE found that radiation levels in orbit above Mars are 2.5 times
higher than at the International Space Station. The average daily dose was about 220 Gy
(22 mrad) equivalent to 0.08 Gy per year.[50] A three-year exposure to such levels would be
close to the safety limits currently adopted by NASA.[citation needed] Levels at the Martian surface would
be somewhat lower and might vary significantly at different locations depending on altitude and
local magnetic fields. Building living quarters underground (possibly in Martian lava tubes which
are already present) would significantly lower the colonists' exposure to radiation.
Occasional solar proton events (SPEs) produce much higher doses.
Comparison of radiation doses includes the amount detected on the trip from Earth to Mars by
the RAD on the MSL (20112013).[51][52][53]
Much remains to be learned about space radiation. In 2003, NASA's Lyndon B. Johnson Space
Center opened a facility, the NASA Space Radiation Laboratory, at Brookhaven National
Laboratory, that employs particle accelerators to simulate space radiation. The facility studies its
effects on living organisms, as well as experimenting with shielding techniques.[54]Initially, there
was some evidence that this kind of low level, chronic radiation is not quite as dangerous as once
thought; and that radiation hormesis occurs.[55] However, results from a 2006 study indicated that
protons from cosmic radiation may cause twice as much serious damage to DNA as previously
estimated, exposing astronauts to greater risk of cancer and other diseases.[56] As a result of the
higher radiation in the Martian environment, the summary report of the Review of U.S. Human
Space Flight Plans Committee released in 2009 reported that "Mars is not an easy place to visit
with existing technology and without a substantial investment of resources."[56] NASA is exploring
a variety of alternative techniques and technologies such as deflector shields of plasma to protect
astronauts and spacecraft from radiation.[56]
In September 2017, NASA reported radiation levels on the surface of the planet Mars were
temporarily doubled, and were associated with an aurora 25-times brighter than any observed
earlier, due to a massive, and unexpected, solar storm in the middle of the month.[57]
Transportation[edit]
Interplanetary spaceflight[edit]
Mars requires less energy per unit mass (delta V) to reach from Earth than any planet
except Venus. Using a Hohmann transfer orbit, a trip to Mars requires approximately nine months
in space.[58] Modified transfer trajectories that cut the travel time down to four to seven months in
space are possible with incrementally higher amounts of energy and fuel compared to a
Hohmann transfer orbit, and are in standard use for robotic Mars missions. Shortening the travel
time below about six months requires higher delta-v and an exponentially[clarification needed][an exponential function
of what?]
increasing amount of fuel, and is difficult with chemical rockets. It could be feasible with
advanced spacecraft propulsion technologies, some of which have already been tested to varying
levels, such as Variable Specific Impulse Magnetoplasma Rocket,[59] and nuclear rockets. In the
former case, a trip time of forty days could be attainable,[60] and in the latter, a trip time down to
about two weeks.[4] In 2016, a University of California scientist said they could further reduce
travel time for an unmanned probe to Mars down to "as little as 72 hours" with the use of a
"photonic propulsion" system instead of the fuel-based rocket propulsion system.[61]
During the journey the astronauts would be subject to radiation, which would require a means to
protect them. Cosmic radiation and solar wind cause DNA damage, which increases the risk of
cancer significantly. The effect of long-term travel in interplanetary space is unknown, but
scientists estimate an added risk of between 1% and 19% (one estimate is 3.4%) for men to die
of cancer because of the radiation during the journey to Mars and back to Earth. For women the
probability is higher due to their larger glandular tissues.[62]
Landing on Mars[edit]
Mars has a surface gravity 0.38 times that of Earth, and the density of its atmosphere is about
0.6% of that on Earth.[63] The relatively strong gravity and the presence of aerodynamic effects
make it difficult to land heavy, crewed spacecraft with thrusters only, as was done with the Apollo
Moon landings, yet the atmosphere is too thin for aerodynamic effects to be of much help
in aerobraking and landing a large vehicle. Landing piloted missions on Mars would require
braking and landing systems different from anything used to land crewed spacecraft on the Moon
or robotic missions on Mars.[64]
If one assumes carbon nanotube construction material will be available with a strength of 130
GPa then a space elevator could be built to land people and material on Mars.[65] A space elevator
on Phobos has also been proposed.[66]