BRM Project
BRM Project
BRM Project
Introduction
• Problem studied……………………………………..
• Background information…………………………….
• Research goals……………………………………...
Preliminary details
• Literature survey……………………………………
• Theoretical framework……………………………..
• Hypothesis formulation…………………………….
Research design
• Type and nature of study………………………….
• Sampling technique………………………………..
• Data collection methods…………………………..
Conclusion
Recommendations
Limitations of study
Acknowledgments
References
1
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The results of our survey were reassuring in some respects and surprising in
others. With respect to capital budgeting, most companies follow academic
theory and use discounted cash flow (DCF) and net present value (NPV)
techniques to evaluate new projects. But when it comes to making capital
structure decisions, corporations appear to pay less attention to finance
theory and rely instead on practical, informal rules of thumb. In order to
remain profitable in a global market raising producers are developing
alternative production systems.
2
INTRODUCTION
Since the early l950s, the academic community has tried to convince
corporate managers that there are sophisticated techniques that can improve
the capital budgeting decision-making process. Over the years, many studies
including Klammer (1972), Gitman and Forrester (1977), Kim and Farragher
(1981), Bierman (1993), and Farragher, Kleiman and Sahu (1999) have
documented a trend toward increasing business use of such sophisticated
capital budgeting techniques. However, there is no clear evidence whether
better performing companies are more likely to employ sophisticated capital
budgeting processes than are lower performing companies.
3
PROBLEM AREA
“Which variable firm performance, growth, profitability has more impact on
capital budgeting techniques?”
Our research area is Finance and in making financing decisions some firms
do not use capital budgeting techniques, which ultimately affect their firm
performance and size.
OBJECTIVE OF RESEARCH
Our objective is to study that how the Capital budgeting techniques have
influence on firm size and [particularly its performance.
LITERATURE SURVEY
4
such as payback. A recent study by author indicates that the use of preferred
techniques has increased. Here the main focus is on relationship of
performance and capital budgeting procedures because firm’s future is
dependant of today’s investment decisions .To focus on whether capital
budgeting techniques are related to performance, the operating rate of return,
as defined in this journal, was adopted. Hypothesis testing shows that the
operating rate of return reduces variations from known true rates of return
caused by variability of following:
Size of firm
Capital intensity
Risk of firm
Risk of project
5
More sophisticated planning and budgeting techniques such as capital
budgeting will improve the effectiveness and efficiency of agricultural co-
operatives in meeting their members’ marketing and production needs.
1. Durable and specific assets: The durable assets are useful for many
years economically. While the specific assets produce only specific type of
products. They contribute to long term economic benefit to the manufacturer.
2. Demand fluctuations: In demand fluctuations there is quoted- price
system and specific and durable assets which lead to idle capacity and is
considered as a desirable situation.
3. Plant or equipment of each technology has a certain practical capacity, that
is, an operating rate that minimizes total costs per unit. A manager can run
the plant or equipment beyond its capacity, to a degree, but only by paying an
overload or overtime premium.
In last of this journal I would suggest that company should use all alternatives
of investment, technologies available and after tax discounted cash flows and
the manager should start with one technology and do incremental after-tax
cash flow analysis to find the level of investment that yields the highest NPV.
6
Brick and Weaver (1984) argued:
Mutually exclusive investment proposals like the choice of NPV and IRR for
selecting among identical costs has received wide attention in the financial
literature it received enormous study more than twenty years relating to
capital budgeting. Neither the NPV nor IRR criteria make any assumption
about the reinvestment of cash flows the selection of an optimal criterion must
be accompanied by explicit reinvestment rate.
7
the point where marginal revenue is equal to marginal cost and that the
appropriate reinvestment rate must be the firm's marginal cost of capital.
Suggests that for the treatment of the risk in capital budgeting in most
of the books at least three general methods exists whish are as follows:
Among this risk adjusted discount method and the certainty equivalent
method none of them is being adopted as an ideal for the evaluation of the
investment proposals. Therefore the third approach has merged which is
being called as the single certainty equivalent method. This 3rd method/
approach is based upon the techniques which are first being introduced by
HILLIER but this approach also includes many variations.
Single Certainty Equivalent Method:
Theoretical Deficiency of SCE Method:
Practical Deficiencies of SCE Method:
8
Issues are that the errors made by the SCE method on the capital budgeting
proposal is quiet large.
The major purpose of this SEC method is to assess the probability
distribution of the specific project in the capital budgeting techniques. Its major
fault is that it misstates the value of typical cash flow related to the previous
one due to which the market discount rates becomes higher for that specific
project than the riskiness of the specific project. The error is inherited in this
method and cannot be removed therefore it creates a quiet large problem.
Therefore RAD and CE methods are being given preference over SCE
method because they both don’t possess this deficiency therefore they can be
used quiet easily as compare to the SCE method.
The three of them gave presentations about the capital budgeting process. In
which they proposed various things he works in a company named DuPont
which ranks ninth among the 500 companies which makes commodities. Their
principle methodology currently is IRR. Their capital is estimated periodically
by a variety of methods, all of which lead to about the same answer. Many
years ago, appropriation requests tended to be thought of almost in isolation.
So, business plans will be drawn up to look ahead one, two, five, and ten
years into the future for each major business segment, and this plan may or
may not involve major capital investment. If it does, the capital investment will
be studied and preliminary numbers will be drawn up of the type learned
about in a beginning finance class, and then the process will move forward.
THEORATICAL FRAMEWORK
INDEPENDANT VARIABLES
9
CAPITAL BUDGETING:
This study is an attempt to measure the relationship between capital
budgeting sophistication and business performance.
According to investopedia
“The process in which a business determines whether projects such as
building a new plant or investing in a long-term venture are worth
pursuing. Oftentimes, a prospective project's lifetime cash inflows and
outflows are assessed in order to determine whether the returns
generated meet a sufficient target benchmark. It’s the process for
determining the profitability of a capital investment”.
10
Internal rate of return (IRR)
Modified internal rate of return (MIRR)
Discounted payback
“Length of time required to recover the initial cash outflow from the
discounted future cash inflows. This is the approach where the present values
of cash inflows are cumulated until they equal the initial investment”.
Previous findings:
Bhandari, Shyam B. argued that among all of the capital budgeting techniques
NPV ensures profitability but not liquidity, but PP ensures liquidity not
profitability, but DPP ensures both criterions. A project’s useful life is exposed
to risk due to changes in political, technological, regulatory factors and
change in consumer taste. In such scenario the use of the NPV, the IRR, the
PI (which all assume a fixed life) as decision making criterion become less
desirable than the DPP.
“Present value of an investment's future net cash flows minus the initial
investment. If positive, the investment should be made (unless an even better
investment exists), otherwise it should not”.
"The IRR for an investment is the discount rate for which the total
present value of future cash flows equals the cost of the investment. It is the
interest rate that produces a 0 NPV”.
11
Previous findings of NPV and IRR:
Ray Martin after conducting the research on capital budgeting techniques has
concluded his finding that has shown the utility of internal rate of return and
net present value. According to him, practically speaking and properly viewed,
IRR yields the same decision as does NPV except under some extreme
circumstances that present few limitations in practice. When IRR is
incalculable, NPV is suspect. No attempt has been made to suggest that IRR
is superior to NPV. They are best used together. NPV and IRR give consistent
answers if handled and viewed properly. Together they give an indication of
risk as well as return. IRR is not affected by the size of the cash flows. Finally,
IRR is useful alone in virtually all time-value of-money problems.
.
Previous findings:
Cary and Dunn argued While rates of return methods, in general, and the
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) method in particular, have been found to be
privileged by a majority of researchers (Gitman & Forrester, 1997), it has also
been shown that the IRR method can lead to erroneous rankings of mutually
exclusive projects when compared to the Net Present Value (NPV) method of
capital budgeting (Fisher, 1930). The differences in rankings may be caused
by the implied reinvestment rate assumption of the IRR method (Fisher,
1930), or by differences in the size of the projects, the scale problem, or in the
life of the projects, the time span problem. Differences in the risk classes of
the projects and capital rationing can also cause ranking differences. This
paper will assume that all projects are in the same risk class as the firm and
that capital rationing does not exist. The Modified Internal Rate of Return
(MIRR) method of capital budgeting, or similarly the Financial Management
Rate of Return method (Findlay & Messner, 1973), was developed to
overcome the problem of the implied reinvestment rate assumption (Bierman
& Smidt, 1984, Hirshleifer, 1970, Solomon, 1956).
However, when scale or time span differences exist, the MIRR method
may still give rankings of mutually exclusive projects that are different than
NPV (Brigham & Gapenski, 1988). This paper presents an adjustment to the
MIRR method that will give rankings that are consistent with NPV for scale
12
differences and for non-repeatable projects, for time span differences. In
addition, a simplified method of calculating MIRR is developed.
DEPENDANT VARIABLES
Firm’s performance:
Firm’s size:
Previous findings:
Klammer (1973) concluded that the mere adoption of various analytical
tools for capital budgeting was not sufficient to bring about superior operating
performance. In contrast, Kim [1975, 1982] found that firms which used more
sophisticated methods for selecting capital projects tended to have higher
operating rates of return and higher earnings per share. There are several
other factors which may vitiate the improvement of firm performance after a
switch from inexperienced to sophisticated capital budgeting selection
techniques. These factors may have affected the analyses and as such
represent limitations to our work.
Over the years, many studies have documented a trend toward
increasing business use of such sophisticated capital budgeting techniques.
However, there is no clear evidence whether better performing companies are
more likely to employ sophisticated capital budgeting processes than are
lower performing companies.
Since the early 1950s, the academic community has tried to convince
business that there are sophisticated techniques that can improve the capital
budgeting decision-making process. Over the years, many studies including
Klammer (1972), Gitman and Forrester (1977), Kim and Farragher (1981),
13
Bierman (1993), and Farragher, Kleiman and Sahu (1999) have documented
a trend toward increasing corporate use of such sophisticated capital
budgeting techniques.
Performance is measured by an operating rate of return measure
similar to what is used by Klammer. After controlling for company size,
operating and financial risks, Kim and Farragher find a significant positive
relationship between the degree of capital budgeting sophistication and
performance better performing companies are more likely to employ
sophisticated capital budgeting processes than are poorer performing
companies. The Kim and Farragher study is incomplete for two reasons. First,
their capital budgeting sophistication metric is not fully comprehensive. It does
not include whether or not a company's capital budgeting process
incorporates strategic analysis, company-wide return/risk goals, and cash flow
forecasting. And second, the explanatory variables in their regression
equation are not industry-adjusted.
Pike (1984) analyzes the relationship between capital budgeting
sophistication and performance for large, United Kingdom corporations. Like
Kim and Farragher, he employs a single capital budgeting sophistication
metric. The metric incorporates twelve procedural activities (planning,
administration, and control) and sixteen quantitative techniques (evaluation
measures, risk analysis processes, and management science techniques).
After adjusting for company size, capital intensity, operating risk, and industry,
Pike finds a significant negative relationship between capital budgeting
sophistication and performance.
DIAGRAM
14
Net present
value
Firm’s
performance
Discounted
payback
Internal rate
Firms
Size
of return
Modified
internal rate
of return
HYPOTHESIS
Null hypothesis:
15
There is no relationship between sophisticated capital budgeting techniques
and firm’s size and performance. These techniques can’t improve the
performance of firm.
Alternate hypothesis:
RESEARCH DESIGN
PURPOSE OF STUDY:
This study is hypothesis testing because we have both independent and
dependent variables in this study and study which has both dependent and
independent variables is known as hypothesis testing.
NATURE OF STUDY:
As our purpose of study is hypothesis testing so our nature of study will be
quantitative because any study whose purpose of study is hypothesis
testing its nature of study is quantitative.
TYPE OF VARIABLE: The type of variables is independent and
dependent variables. Firm size and firm performance are dependent
variables while capital budgeting techniques are independent variable.
NATURE OF EACH VARIABLE: firm performance and firm size are
categorical in nature because a firm performance can be good bad or
average and firm size can be small or large while capital budgeting
techniques are quantitative in nature because these can be used for
calculating firm performance and other things.
TYPE OF INVESTIGATION: The type of investigation is measure of
association and in that it is correlation because we have multiple
independency and 2 dependent variables.
16
STATISTICAL TECHNIQUE: The statistical technique being used in this
study is multiple regressions because when we have correlation study
the sampling technique which is used is multiple regressions.
TIME HORIZON: Time horizon is longitudinal because we are not
collecting data at one point of time so our study would be longitudinal.
UNIT OF ANALYSIS: our unit of analysis is organization because we are
measuring the influence of capital budgeting techniques on firm
performance and firm size.
TANGIBILITY
Correlations
2. Fixed
assets after
deducting 4. Total
accumulated assets
depreciation (B4+C2)
2. Fixed assets after Pearson
1 .960(**)
deducting accumulated Correlation
depreciation Sig. (2-tailed) .000
N 3399 3399
4. Total assets Pearson
.960(**) 1
(B4+C2) Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed) .000
N 3399 3407
Model Summary
Mode R R Adjusted Std. Error
l Square R Square of the Change Statistics
Estimate R F df1 df2 Sig. F
Square Change Change
17
Change
1 40344.5
.960(a) .922 .922 1850.7085 .922 1 3397 .000
66
Coefficients
Unstandardized Standardized
Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) 2275.215 246.883 9.216 .000
3. Gross
2.997 .087 .515 34.516 .000
profit
PROFITABILILTY
Correlations
7. Net
profit 4. Total
before tax assets
(D5-D6) (B4+C2)
7. Net profit before tax Pearson
1 .578(**)
(D5-D6) Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed) .000
N 3397 3397
4. Total assets Pearson
.578(**) 1
(B4+C2) Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed) .000
N 3397 3407
Coefficients
Unstandardized Standardized
Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) 2275.215 246.883 9.216 .000
18
3. Gross
2.997 .087 .515 34.516 .000
profit
Model Summary
Change Statistics
Std. Error R
Mode R Adjusted of the Square F Sig. F
l R Square R Square Estimate Change Change df1 df2 Change
1 40344.5
.960(a) .922 .922 1850.7085 .922 1 3397 .000
66
GROWTH
Correlations
3. Gross 1. Gross
profit sales
3. Gross profit Pearson
1 .515(**)
Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed) .000
N 3329 3303
1. Gross sales Pearson
.515(**) 1
Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed) .000
N 3303 3307
Coefficients
Unstandardized Standardized
Coefficients Coefficients
Model Summary
19
Change Statistics
Adjusted Std. Error R
Mod R R of the Square F Sig. F
el R Square Square Estimate Change Change df1 df2 Change
1 1703.10
.578(a) .334 .334 1610.4182 .334 1 3395 .000
8
CONCLUSION
20
adoption of various analytical tools is not sufficient to bring about superior
performance. The use of sophisticated capital budgeting techniques was not
found to be closely related to performance, this finding should not be
interpreted to mean that the sophisticated techniques are not preferable.
These techniques can help in decision making but no one has proved it
LIMITATIONS
• Time for conducting research was very less and we were not able to
study the factors in depth.
• Missing values are excluded from the analysis and this makes the
sample size for some of the time periods smaller than others.
Therefore it is possible that some values show up to be significant in
some time periods but not in others due to the sample size.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
21
Great is ALLAH and great is HIS mercy. Who taught by the pen, taught men
what he knew not. It is through his boundless grace and infinite mercy that we
have been able to bring out this.
All our prayers and gratitude’s for them who prayed, helped and
encouraged us to achieve our goal.
REFERENCES:
22
1. Bierman, H., (1992). Capital budgeting analysis. Journal of Financial
Management, 57(4), 21- 24.
2. Capon, N., Farley, J. & Hoenig S., (1990). Determination of financial
performance. Journal of Management Science, 21 (5), 1143-1159.
3. Denis, D.J., &. Denis, D.K., (1984). Agency problems, equity
ownership, and corporate diversification. Journal of Finance, 5(2), 91-
97.
5. John, B., Morgan, P., & Linda S. (1997). The adoption of capital
budgeting techniques by agricultural. Journal of Business and
Economics, 99 (4), 128–132.
11. Weaver, S., Cason, R., &Daleiden, J., (1989). Panel discussion/capital
budgeting. Journal of Financial Management, 18 (1), 10-17.
23