Block 1 MEC 001 Unit 1
Block 1 MEC 001 Unit 1
Block 1 MEC 001 Unit 1
THEORY
Structure
3.0 Objectives
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Recent Developments in Demand Analysis: Linear Expenditure Systems
3.3 Theory of Consumer Surplus
3.4 Theory of Inter-Temporal Consumption
3.5 Elementary Theory of Price Formation: Demand-Supply Analysis
3.6 Cobweb Model
3.7 Lagged Adjustment in Interrelated Markets
3.8 Let Us Sum Up
3.9 Key Words
3.10 Some Useful Books
3.11 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
3.0 OBJECTIVES
In this unit, we will discuss some of the recent development in demand
analysis. First, we will look at an important implication of utility
maximisation exercise viz., linear expenditure system. Then we move on to
another important theory in consumer behaviour called consumer surplus,
where we introduce three different types of definition with their graphical
interpretation. In the next section, we introduce a more advance theory of
consumer behaviour where consumers present decision depend on her future
concerns. The price determination in the market is covered next. Then we
move on to explaining a dynamic model called Cobweb model, which will
explain the dynamic stability property of the equilibrium of Demand-Supply
analysis. Finally, we will discuss a model related to lagged adjustment in
interrelated markets.
This unit will enable you to:
• Determine the optimum choice of a consumer under linear expenditure
system;
• Evaluate consumer surplus in different markets;
• Decide the optimum choice under two period analysis of consumer
behaviour;
• Determine price under Demand-Supply analysis;
• Find the nature of equilibrium under Demand-Supply analysis; and
• Assess the equilibrium under lagged adjustment in interrelated markets.
3.1 INTRODUCTION
The basic theory of consumer behaviour discussed in the previous unit can be
extended in many directions, and can be applied to cover optimal behaviour 41
Consumer Behaviour for a variety of specific types of utility functions. Some of these extensions
and specific applications are discussed here. In the market, prices of all goods
are given to the consumers. They can’t influence the price by changing their
own decisions. Some times prices are also given to the individual firm i.e., in
some cases, firms also are not able to charge prices that they want and have to
settle with the price prevailing in the market. There ware considerable interest
therefore among the economist to explain the price formation in different
types of markets. The Demand-Supply analysis is the most important among
them. Once the equilibrium is achieved the second most important question
came to mind is the question of stability of that equilibrium. There are many
approaches to determine the stability property of equilibrium. Among them
Cobweb model is simplest and quite elegant in nature.
∂Z β1
= − λ p1 = 0
∂q1 q1 − γ 1
42
∂Z β2 Recent Development of
= − λ p2 = 0 Demand Theory
∂q 2 q 2 − γ 2
∂Z
= y − p1q1 − p 2 q 2 = 0
∂λ
It can be easily verified that the second order condition for the maximisation
is satisfied. By evaluating the above three equation one can also find out that
the marginal utility of income is decreasing.
Solving the above equations for optimal quantities gives the demand
functions,
β1
q1 = γ 1 + ( y − p1γ 1 − p 2γ 2)
p1
β2
and q 2 = γ 2 + ( y − p1γ 1 − p 2γ 2)
p2
Multiplying the first equation of the above two demand functions by p1 and
the second by p2 we get the expenditure functions
and p 2 q 2 = p 2γ 2 + β 2( y − p1γ 1 − p 2γ 2)
which are linear in income and prices, and thus suitable for linear regression
analysis.
1) Consider the utility function U = q1δ 1.q 2δ 2 . Find out the linear
expenditure function.
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44
Recent Development of
Demand Theory
It can be shown that c ≥ s ≥ e . The strict inequalities hold for the case pictured
in Figure 3.3.1 as a consequence of the income effect. If the consumer were to
pay more to consume the good, her demand would decline because of her
lower effective income, and the area under the demand curve would exceed
the amount that she would pay rather than forego consumption of the good.
Figure 3.3.2 depicts a case in which the income effect is zero throughout. A
perpendicular such as the line through D and E connects points with the same
marginal rate of substitution. The indifference curves are “parallel” with a
constant vertical distance between a pair of indifference curves. In this case
AB=AC and the three measures of consumer’s surplus are the same.
Wealth, W, in the present, is defined as the present value of current and future
income. The consumer’s budget constraint is that she cannot spend more than
her wealth, i.e.,
x2 x20
x1 + = x10 + =W ----------------- (a)
1+ r 1+ r
46
( x 2 0 − x 2) Recent Development of
L = U ( x1, x 2) + λ[( x10 − x1) + ] ----------- (b) Demand Theory
(1 + r )
∂L U ( x1, x 2)
= −λ = 0 ---------------------- (b.1)
∂x1 ∂x1
∂L U ( x1, x 2) λ
= − = 0 ------------------ (b.2)
∂x 2 ∂x 2 (i + r )
∂L x2 x 20
= x1 + = x10 + = 0 --------------- (b.3)
∂λ 1+ r 1+ r
U ( x1, x 2)
∂x1 = (1 + r ) --------------------- (c)
U ( x1, x 2)
∂x 2
Equation (c) says that the consumer’s marginal value of present consumption,
U ( x1, x 2) U ( x1, x 2)
U1/U2 (where U1 = and U2 = ), equals the opportunity cost
∂x1 ∂x 2
of present consumption, in terms of future consumption forgone. It will
1
simplify the algebra if we let p = , the price of future consumption.
(1 + r )
Assuming the sufficient second-order conditions hold, the first-order
conditions can be solved for the Marshallian demand functions
x1 = x1M ( p, x10 , x 20 )
and, x 2 = x 2 M ( p, x10 , x 2 0 )
We can gain greater insight into the model by deriving the Slutsky equation,
separating out the substitution effect and the wealth (income) effect.
47
Consumer Behaviour Assuming the first and sufficient second-order conditions hold, the implied
first-order equations can be solved for the Hicksian demands
x1 = x1U ( p, U 0 )
and x 2 = x 2U ( p, U 0 )
Substituting these demands into the objective function produces a minimum
“expenditure” type of function
x1* ( p, U 0 ) = x1U + p ( x 2U − x 2 0 )
The fundamental identity linking between the Marshallian and Hicksian
demands is therefore
xiU ( p, U 0 ) ≡ xi M ( p, x1* ( p, U 0 ), x 2 0 ) for i = 1, 2,
producing the famous Slutsky equation
dxi M ∂xiU ∂xi M
≡ + ( x 2 0 − x 2U )( 0 )
dp ∂p ∂xi
Clearly, at the point of intersection between market demand and supply curve,
exchange will take place between consumers and producers, as both of them
simultaneously fulfilled their optimising behaviour. Corresponding price and
aggregate quantity are short run equilibrium price (say p0) and aggregate
quantity (say q0) respectively, which is shown in Figure 3.5.1.
It is assumed that for any excess demand (or excess supply) prices will
increase (or decrease). According to this behaviour of the market, price
adjustment in disequilibrium will take place by a mechanism, which is known
as auctioneer mechanism.
49
Consumer Behaviour Suppose there is an invisible referee who controls the market price according
to the above behavioural assumptions. Producers supply their quantity on the
basis of existing market price. Suppose, the referee initially specifies a
particular price on the basis of which producers and consumers specify their
supply and demand respectively. Then suppose the referee observed that
supply quantity is larger than the demand quantity i.e., we have excess supply
of the commodity.
If producers fail to supply their entire supply quantity at the existing price,
then according to the behavioural assumption, the referee specifies a lower
price of that commodity. Producers will be discouraged and will supply lower
quantity and consumers will be encouraged and will demand higher quantity.
Thus, in both ways excess supply of the commodity decreases. Suppose it is
observed that demand quantity is larger than the supply quantity in aggregate.
We have excess demand for that commodity. The referee again specifies a
larger price level. Hence, producers will increase their supply and consumers
will decrease their demand. Thus, in both ways excess demand for that
commodity goes down. This process will continue till the referee specifies a
particular price at which corresponding demand and supply quantities are
equal. That means supply quantity offered by the producer is demanded by the
consumer at the corresponding price. So, both consumer and producer fulfilled
their optimising behaviour simultaneously. The exchange of commodity will
take place at this price and quantity. These price and quantity are the
equilibrium price and quantity in the market respectively.
But demand quantity at any time, t, depends on the price at that time
Dt = a + b Pt ----------------- (ii)
Since demand and supply functions are linear, a, b, c and d are constant. On
the basis of these we now analyse dynamic equilibrium and stability.
a+ b Pe = c + d Pe
(a − c)
or, Pe =
( d − b)
Dt = S t
or, a + b Pt = c + d Pt-1
d (c − a )
or, Pt − Pt − 1 = ---------------------- (iv)
p b
Pt = Pp + Pc ---------------- (v)
To find out Pp we put Pt = Pt-1 = P (say) into the equation (iv), and have
51
Consumer Behaviour d c−a
P (1 − ) =
b b
b−d c−a
or, P( )=
b b
a−c
or, P= = Pe
d −b
d t −1
xt − x =0
b
xt d xt −1
or, − =0
xt −1 b xt −1
d
or, x= ,
b
Pt = Pe + m xt ----------------- (vi)
P 0 = P e + m x0
or, P0 = P e + m
or, m = P0 – Pe,
d
Pt = Pe + (P0 - Pe)( )t ------------------- (vii)
b
Here P0, Pe, d and b all are known and for each level of time price can be
determined from equation (vii).
52
(since then only Pt → Pe as t → ∞ where P0 – Pe is constant and does not Recent Development of
Demand Theory
d
change over time). Now ( )t → 0 as t → ∞ only when
b
d
| |< 1
b
1 1
or, | |<| | ----------------- (viii)
b d
This is the condition for dynamic stability (as in this case we have
convergence to equilibrium from any disequilibrium over time). That means
dPt 1
absolute slope of the demand curve | |=| | should be lower than the
dDt b
dPt 1
absolute slope of the supply curve | |=| | , i.e., demand curve should be
dSt d
flatter than supply curve for dynamic stability.
d
When | |> 1 then we have divergence from equilibrium over time (from
b
equation (vii)) we have dynamically unstable equilibrium, and at that situation
1 1
| |>| | i.e., demand curve is steeper than supply curve.
b d
d
When | |= 1 , we have neither convergence to equilibrium nor divergence
b
from equilibrium (from equation (vii)). So it is also dynamically unstable.At
1 1
that situation | |=| | i.e., slope of the demand curve is equal to the slope of
b d
the supply curve in absolute sense.
d
If ( ) > 0 , then we have monotonic time path of price from equation (vii). If
b
d
( ) < 0 , then we have cyclical time path of price from equation (vii).
b
1 1
Case A: If | |<| | , then we have cyclical convergence to equilibrium. It’s a
b d
dynamically stable equilibrium.
1 1
Case B: If | |=| | , then we have regular cycle around equilibrium. It’s a
b d
dynamically unstable equilibrium.
1 1
Case C: If | |>| | , then we have cyclical divergence from equilibrium. It’s
b d
a dynamically unstable equilibrium.
53
Consumer Behaviour Case 2: Suppose demand curve and supply curve are upward sloping i.e., d>0
d
and b>0 hence ( ) > 0 .
b
1 1
Case D: If | |<| | then we have monotonic convergence to equilibrium. It’s
b d
a dynamically stable equilibrium.
1 1
Case E: If | |=| | then demand and supply curve are coincide if their
b d
intercepts are also same then we have infinite number of equilibrium and there
is no need for dynamic stability analysis or demand and supply curve are
parallel to each other (when intercepts are not equal) then equilibrium does
not exist. Hence, there is no need for stability analysis in this case.
1 1
Case F: If | |>| | then we have monotonic divergence from equilibrium. It’s
b d
a dynamically unstable equilibrium.
1 1
Case G: If | |<| | then we have monotonic convergence to equilibrium. It’s
b d
a dynamically stable equilibrium.
1 1
Case H: If | |=| | then demand and supply curve are coincide if their
b d
intercepts are also same then we have infinite number of equilibrium and there
is no need for dynamic stability analysis or demand and supply curve are
parallel to each other (when intercepts are not equal) then equilibrium does
not exist. Hence, there is no need for stability analysis in this case.
1 1
Case I: If | |>| | then we have monotonic divergence from equilibrium. It’s
b d
a dynamically unstable equilibrium.
Note that (iv) is the excess demand at time (t-1) and K>0. For simplicity, K is
taken as a constant and it represents the speed of adjustment of price.
[Note: At time (t-1) if E (Pt-1)>0, then price should increase in the next period
according to the behavioural assumption i.e., Pt>Pt-1 i.e., (Pt – Pt-1)>0 which is
captured by equation (iii) with the restriction that K>0]
The time path of price is represented by the first order linear non-
homogeneous difference equation since by assumption a, b, c, d and K are
constants. Solution of the time path of price (Pt) consists of a particular
solution (Pp) and a complementary solution (Pc). Thus,
Pt = Pp + Pc ------------- (vi)
55
Consumer Behaviour To find out Pp, we put, Pt = Pt-1 = P’ (say), into the difference equation of price
and get
P’ [1 – {1 + K (b-d)}] = K (a-c)
(a − c)
or, P’ = Pe = > 0 since Pe>0.
( d − b)
[Note: In fact, here the inter-temporal price is equal to static equilibrium price
where equilibrium does not change over time].
To find out Pc, we put Pt = xt, into the homogeneous part of the difference
equation of price and get
xt − xt −1[1 + K (b − d )] = 0
xt x t −1
− [1 + K (b − d )] = 0
xt −1 x t −1
x = [1 + K (b − d )]
Pt = Pp + m xt ------------ (vii),
P 0 = P e + m x0
or, m = P0 – P e
When both demand and supply curves are upward sloping, the Walrashian
1 1 1 1
dynamic stability requires b<d or, ( ) > ( ) . That means | |>| | [since d>0
b d b d
and b>0 and price is measured in vertical axis]. So, the supply curve is flatter
than the demand curve. Otherwise, it would be dynamically unstable.
When both demand and supply curves are downward sloping, the Walrashian
1 1 1 1
dynamic stability requires b<d or ( ) > ( ) . That means | |<| | [since d<0
b d b d
and b<0]. Hence, the demand curve should be flatter than the supply curve.
Otherwise, it is dynamically unstable.
Varian, Hal (1992), Microeconomic Analysis, W.W. Norton & Company, Inc.,
New York.
58
Check Your Progress 2 Recent Development of
Demand Theory
1) Hint: The Lagrange function of the problem is
L = x10.5 x20.5+λ[(1000-x1)-(1/1.5)x2].
The first-order conditions are
0.5x1-0.5x20.5-λ=0 – (a)
0.5x10.5x2-0.5-(1/1.5)λ=0 – (b)
1000-x1=(1/1.5)x2 – (c)
Dividing equation (a) by (b) we get
x2/x1 = 1.5 – (d)
Solving equation (c) and (d) we get the optimum consumption
x1*=500 and x2*=750
Check Your Progress 3
1) See Section 3.5
Check Your Progress 4
1) See Section 3.6 Case 1
2) See Section 3.6 Case 3
3) See Section 3.6 Case 2
Check Your Progress 5
1) See Section 3.7
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