Economies: Determinants of Sino-ASEAN Banking Efficiency: How Do Countries Differ?
Economies: Determinants of Sino-ASEAN Banking Efficiency: How Do Countries Differ?
Economies: Determinants of Sino-ASEAN Banking Efficiency: How Do Countries Differ?
Article
Determinants of Sino-ASEAN Banking Efficiency:
How Do Countries Differ?
Hasanul Banna 1,2, * , Syed Karim Bux Shah 3 , Abu Hanifa Md Noman 4,5 , Rubi Ahmad 4 and
Muhammad Mehedi Masud 6
1 Ungku Aziz Centre for Development Studies, Faculty of Economics and Administration,
University of Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
2 Putra Business School, University Putra Malaysia (UPM), 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia
3 Institute of Business Administration, University of Sindh, Jamshoro 76080, Pakistan;
[email protected]
4 Department of Finance and Banking, Faculty of Business and Accountancy, University of Malaya,
50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; [email protected] (A.H.M.N.); [email protected] (R.A.)
5 Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Business Studies, International Islamic University
Chittagong, 4318 Kumira, Bangladesh
6 Department of Development Studies, Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya,
50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; [email protected]
* Correspondence: [email protected] or [email protected]; Tel.: +6-03-7967-3602
Received: 12 September 2018; Accepted: 30 January 2019; Published: 20 February 2019
Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to assess the importance of geographical location in the banking
sector efficiency of the Sino-ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) region, and how the
location was affected before, during and after the financial crisis. Using a panel of data from 407 banks
from China, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam from 2000–2013,
this study applies data envelopment analysis, Tobit regression, bootstrapping, and Simar and Wilson
double bootstrapping regression. The empirical evidence suggests that the banking market has an
important and significant role in the efficiency of the banking sector in the Sino-ASEAN region.
The significant country’s coefficients suggest that during the pre-crisis period, banks belonging to
China and Indonesia were more likely to be efficient due to the geographical location effect. The study
finds the same tendency among Chinese banks in the crisis period as in the period before the crisis.
Overall, the results suggest that Chinese banks outperform banks from the ASEAN countries in terms
of efficiency. This study raises some significant policy implications for improving bank efficiency.
Keywords: Efficiency; DEA; China; ASEAN; banking; financial crisis; geographical location
1. Introduction
The banking sectors of the East Asian countries are homogenous for at least three reasons: Firstly,
the commercial banks are predominant sources of financial assets, holding more than 80 percent
of the region’s financial assets (Chan et al. 2015). Secondly, the governments promote banking
sector consolidation in the region through mergers/acquisitions to boost banking sector stability
(Soedarmono et al. 2013). Thirdly, the countries have liberalized their entry barriers for regional banks
to promote regional banking integration through the adoption of regional integration frameworks,
such as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Banking Integration Framework (ABIF)
in March 2015, the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (FTA) in January 2010 and the ASEAN Plus Three
cooperation in December 1997. The ASEAN Plus Three cooperation includes China, Japan and South
Korea (Chan et al. 2015; Noman et al. 2018). The banking sector liberalization and regional banking
integration frameworks were initiated in order to promote competition and encourage banks to
increase their operational efficiency (Noman et al. 2017). In a competitive market, banks need to be
efficient in order to enjoy competitive advantages over inefficient banks (Schaeck and Cihák 2014).
In addition, Kwack (2000) and Molyneux et al. (2013) indicated that operational inefficiency was among
the leading causes of bank failure during the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) and the global financial
crisis (GFC). Consequently, the determination of East Asian banks’ operational efficiency has gained
considerable attention from academics and policy-makers. Additionally, the GFC in both advanced and
transition economies and the associated fiscal cost of crisis resolution (Honohan and Klingebiel 2003)
has generated a new wave of interest among researchers to re-examine bank efficiency.
Bank efficiency has already gained a considerable amount attention in banking literature,
however, most studies focus on the United States and other developed Western countries (such
as Athanasoglou et al. 2008; Fries and Taci 2005; Heffernan and Fu 2010; Nurboja and Košak 2017;
Qin and Pastory 2012, among others). In recent years, several studies have been undertaken on different
issues relating to the efficiency of East Asian banks, but most of them have been focused on a single country.
Dacanay (2007) and Manlagñit (2011) in the Philippines, Sufian (2009) in Malaysia and Margono et al. (2010)
in Indonesia focused on the effect of the AFC on bank efficiency. Another group of studies by
Berger et al. (2009) in China, Parinduri and Riyanto (2014), Margono et al. (2010), Hadad et al. (2011a)
and Hadad et al. (2011b) in Indonesia, Matthews and Ismail (2006) in Malaysia, and Vu and Nahm (2013)
in Vietnam focused on the effect of ownership structure on efficiency. Zhang and Matthews (2012) focused
on post-AFC efficiency convergence in Indonesia, and Chen et al. (2005) investigated the effect of Chinese
banking reform on efficiency, while Dong et al. (2014) estimated cost efficiency in China. In addition,
Sufian and Habibullah (2009) investigated the effect of mergers and acquisitions on the efficiency of banks
in Malaysia. In another study, Sufian and Habibullah (2010) investigated the determinants of efficiency in
banks in Thailand.
Cross-country bank efficiency studies in East Asian countries are still scarce in the literature.
Abd Karim (2001) made the first attempt in determining the bank efficiency of four East Asian countries:
Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand. In another study, Williams and Nguyen (2005)
investigated financial liberalization and profit efficiency in AFC-affected countries, such as Indonesia,
Malaysia, the Republic of Korea and the Philippines. In addition, Thoraneenitiyan and Avkiran (2009)
investigated the role of consolidation and liberalization on efficiency in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines,
Thailand and Korea, while Sufian (2010) investigated the effect of the AFC on technical efficiency in
Malaysia and Thailand. Most recently, Chan et al. (2015) investigated the effect of market structure and
institutional quality on efficiency in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand.
The present study aims to determine the efficiency of banks and the determinants of said efficiency
across East Asian countries, especially ASEAN-61 countries and China (hereafter Sino-ASEAN). This is
due to the fact that the cross-country comparison of bank efficiency enables us to answer fundamentally
essential research questions, such as: Do countries differ in terms of their banking efficiency? This
study goes beyond the scope of previous cross-country studies in East Asia, incorporating China into the
cross-country study. The findings of this study would be interesting for investors and policymakers in the
region, particularly in the context of the full execution of the ASEAN-China FTA and the ASEAN Plus
Three cooperation. In addition, cross-country efficiency information in the region is crucial for regional
banks in order to move across the region by establishing foreign branches in other countries within the
region. The ASEAN banking integration framework, the ASEAN-China FTA and the ASEAN Plus Three
cooperation will intensify both regional banking integration and banking market competition in the region.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB, ASEAN 2013) identified that diversity is the main characteristic of
East Asian banks which is different in the form of the size of economy, industrial structure and stage of
economic development. Economic diversity may influence large regional banks from relatively developed
countries with comparatively low profit margins to move to comparatively less developed countries with
a relatively high profit margin (Noman et al. 2017). This study further estimates the effect of the GFC on
the efficiency of commercial banks in China and ASEAN countries. This is important to identify whether a
given bank suffered from the GFC due to inefficiencies in the region.
This study contributes to banking literature in a number of ways. The study enhances the literature
on estimating and comparing the technical efficiency of Sino-ASEAN banks, especially during the GFC
period. Firstly, this study estimates the efficiency of Sino-ASEAN countries using a non-parametric
data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach. Secondly, it uses second step analysis by estimating
the bank specific and country specific determinants on bank efficiency using Tobit regression and
Simar and Wilson (2007) double bootstrapping regression. Thirdly, it incorporates the geographical
location effect to investigate the role of location on efficiency in the region. Fourthly, it examines the
effect of the GFC on efficiency. The study finds that Chinese banks dominate the Sino-ASEAN efficiency
frontier regardless of the period, suggesting that Chinese banks outperform ASEAN countries’ banks
in terms of efficiency, though the efficiency of Chinese banks has sharply declined over the GFC period.
Our results also support the hypothesis that location or the banking market has an important and
significant role in explaining banking sector efficiency in the Sino-ASEAN region. The significantly
positive location coefficients in our model suggest that during the pre-crisis period, banks belonging to
China and Indonesia were more likely to be efficient due to the location effect. We found the same
tendency among Chinese banks in the crisis period as in the period before the crisis.
The rest of the paper comprises the following sections: Section 2 discusses the data and
methods, Section 3 presents the results and discussion, and the final section deals with our conclusion
and recommendation.
2. Methodology
Table 3. Descriptive statistics of input and output variables used in data envelopment analysis
(DEA) estimation.
Table 5. Country- and year-wise contribution of efficient banks in the Sino-ASEAN frontier (in %).
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
China 24 60 59 51 50 53 61 75 64 74 62 69 63 60
Indonesia 24 20 13 15 16 3 0 3 0 0 0 3 5 2
Malaysia 17 5 16 12 16 8 7 8 12 6 13 13 10 9
Philippines 0 5 0 0 6 3 2 0 2 0 2 0 3 2
Singapore 7 5 3 5 6 18 15 10 12 11 15 8 13 13
Thailand 14 0 6 10 0 13 2 3 7 0 2 3 0 0
Vietnam 14 5 3 7 6 5 12 3 2 9 6 5 8 13
All 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
2.2. Methods
Following Banna et al. (2017), this study uses an input-oriented (cost minimization) approach of
data envelopment analysis (DEA) to measure efficiency. In input-orientated models, the DEA method is
used to classify technical inefficiency as a relative decline in input usage as well as to quantity technical
inefficiency as a proportional increase in output or production. These two measures provide the same
value under a constant return scale (CRS), but different values under a variable return scale (VRS).
This has both theoretical and practical implications, for example, in businesses where the importance
is placed on cost-control, the choice would be an input orientation (Ferrier and Valdmanis 1996).
Besides, the choice of a VRS over a CRS is justified, such that all banks are not operating at an optimal
scale due to imperfect competition and financial constraints (Barry et al. 2010).
A few issues have been raised by researchers while using non-parametric methods.
However, the “two-step procedure” developed by Grosskopf (1996) and Lovell et al. (1995) is used
to overcome this problem. This approach treats the efficiency score as regressand and the regression
explains the variation of these efficiency scores. Casu and Molyneux (2003) argued that two-stage analysis
is important, because in the first stage, only traditional inputs and outputs are involved, while in the
second stage one can easily evaluate the direction, influence and strength of the relationship. They also
claimed that a Tobit regression model (Tobin 1958) could be used, as it can explain the truncated data.
Another issue with using non-parametric methods is the dependency problem. The dependency
problem exists because the DEA efficiency score is a relative and not absolute efficiency index
(Xue and Harker 1999). To overcome this problem, the bootstrap method that was introduced by
Efron (1979) is used. The advantages of the bootstrap method are that it gives an empirical distribution of
efficiency scores for each observation in the sample (Atkinson and Wilson 1995) and that it evaluates the
sensitivity of efficiency scores to the sampling deviations of the estimated frontier (Simar and Wilson 1998).
Although, we used bootstrapping Tobit regression in this study to minimize biased estimation
and misspecification in the second stage. However, Simar and Wilson (2011) and Daraio et al. (2018)
criticized the use of Tobit regression in the second stage, as it produces biased estimates and
miss-specification. They argued that, in Tobit regression, explanatory variables are correlated with
the disturbance term, hence the regression assumption of the disturbance term is independent
of the explanatory variables and becomes invalid (separability issue). In this study, we also
used a Simar and Wilson (2007) double bootstrap approach for the robustness of the study.
Economies 2019, 7, 13 6 of 23
The double bootstrap approach, in particular, helps to limit the problems arising both from the
endogeneity of outreach measures, with respect to the efficiency of microfinance institutions (MFIs),
and from the autocorrelation of the non-observable components of efficiency (Mia et al. 2018).
This two-stage approach constitutes a methodological cornerstone in the literature for identifying
the determinants of efficiency of financial institutions (Fukuyama and Matousek 2011). While using
the Simar and Wilson (2007) bootstrapped procedure, we assumed that the “separability” assumption
holds in the analysis.
2 We estimated numerous variations of Equation (1), including more and less aggregated inputs, combining the output
measures and dropping individual inputs. The inferences of the study remain unchanged across the different
DEA specifications.
Economies 2019, 7, 13 7 of 23
where:
Figure
Figure 1. Country-year
1. Country-year wise
wise meanefficiency
mean efficiency score.
score. CN,
CN,ID,
ID,MY,
MY,PH,
PH,SG, THTH
SG, andand
VN VN
referrefer
to China,
to China,
Indonesia,
Indonesia, Malaysia,
Malaysia, Philippines,
Philippines, Singapore,Thailand
Singapore, Thailand and
andVietnam,
Vietnam,respectively.
respectively.
Further,
Further, the the period-wise
period-wise breakupininTable
breakup Table 66 shows
shows most
mostofofthetheefficient banks
efficient belong
banks to China,
belong to China,
followed by Indonesia and Malaysia, during the pre-crisis period. However,
followed by Indonesia and Malaysia, during the pre-crisis period. However, during the crisisduring the crisis period,
period,
the contribution of Indonesian banks declined significantly, while Malaysian and Chinese banks
the contribution of Indonesian banks declined significantly, while Malaysian and Chinese banks remained
remained stable. During the crisis period, the share of Indonesian banks declined drastically to 1% from
stable. During the crisis period, the share of Indonesian banks declined drastically to 1% from 13% in
13% in the pre-crisis period. The share of Singaporean banks on the other hand increased noticeably
the pre-crisis
during the period. The share
crisis period. of Singaporean
We observe banks frombanks on thehave
Singapore otheranhand increased
increasing noticeably
contribution during
to the
the crisis period. We observe banks from Singapore have an increasing contribution to the efficiency
efficiency frontier, especially during the crisis and post-crisis period. In short, our analysis indicates the
frontier, especially
highly during the of
stable contribution crisis and banks
Chinese post-crisis
in theperiod. In frontier,
efficiency short, our analysisofindicates
regardless theThe
the period. highly
sharestable
contribution of Chinese
of Chinese banks
banks rose in 70%
above the efficiency
during thefrontier, regardless
crisis period, mainlyof owing
the period.
to theThe share
decline of of Chineseinbanks
efficiency
other banking
rose above 70% duringmarkets.
the crisis period, mainly owing to the decline of efficiency in other banking markets.
Table 7 summarizes the mean efficiency scores based on constant returns to scale (CRS) and variable
returns to scale (VRS) for the three periods (i.e., pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis) for the sampled countries.
The Kruskal–Wallis (KW) test that was performed indicated significant differences between the mean
Economies 2019, 7, 13 9 of 23
scores for each period. The region was more efficient before the crisis period, whereas the lowest efficiency
was observed during the post-crisis period, suggesting a slower pace of recovery after the GFC.
Efficiency Bank Size ROAA CAR NIM GDP Growth Inflation Real Interest
Trend chi2 1294.00 * 918.86 * 2001.28 1699.02 * 1351.58 * 1344.99 * 1620.44 * 1554.90 *
Drift chi2 1787.84 * 1253.71 * 2181.22 * 1735.76 * 1821.95 * 1956.16 * 2449.30 * 2359.75 *
None chi2 1992.05 * 1544.02 * 2911.95 * 2275.53 * 1848.21 * 1944.25 * 2196.38 * 2014.99 *
* Significant at 1% level of confidence. Fisher test for panel unit root using an augmented Dickey-Fuller test (0 lags).
Table 9 reports the univariate correlation between DEA efficiency scores and various determinants
of bank efficiency. Correlation analysis is essential to understand the direction and strength of the
two variables (Banna et al. 2018). It is also helpful as a pre-regression diagnosis for multicollinearity
between the studied variables. The results show that most of our selected proxies for various firm
characteristics are significantly correlated with the efficiency scores. However, none of them are too
highly correlated to cause the multicollinearity problem. We found that size, profitability, capitalization
and GDP had a positive correlation with bank efficiency, while interest, inflation and the net interest
margin (NIM), on the other hand, had a negative correlation.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Bank efficiency (1) 1
Bank size (2) 0.2514 * 1
ROAA (3) 0.0307 −0.0177 1
CAR (4) 0.0329 −0.5071 * 0.1037 * 1
NIM (5) −0.2276 * −0.2523 * 0.1448 * 0.2055 * 1
GDP (6) 0.2985 * 0.1945 * −0.0334 −0.1349 * −0.1335 * 1
Inflation (7) −0.3526 * −0.2277 * 0.0361 0.0189 0.1615 * −0.1831 * 1
Interest (8) −0.0968 * −0.0624 * 0.0147 0.0657 * 0.0583 * −0.3562 * −0.3151 * 1
* Significant at 1% level of confidence.
Economies 2019, 7, 13 10 of 23
As expected, this confirms the detrimental effect of economic instability on the efficiency of the banking
sector. Our results thus support Tajgardoon et al. (2012).
We extended our analysis of the location effect on banking sector efficiency by including the effect
of the global financial crisis (see Tables 11–13). In order to achieve this objective, we divided our sample
into three sub-periods (pre-crisis, 2000–2006; crisis, 2007–2009; post-crisis, 2010–2013) and performed
the regression analysis for each period. The significantly positive country dummy coefficients in our
model suggested that during the pre-crisis period, banks belonging to China and Indonesia were
more likely to be efficient due to the geographical location effect. No other country dummy returned
as positive, suggesting that banks in these nations experienced relatively low efficiency during this
period, which could be attributed to the geographical location effect.
The results during the crisis period further bolster the evidence of the geographical location effect
on the efficiency scores of banks. We observed that unlike in the pre-crisis period, the Indonesian
dummy returned as negative and significant, whereas Malaysia returned as significantly positive.
These results suggest that Indonesian banks were no longer able to capitalize on the positive effect as
they had before. We found the same tendency among Chinese banks in the crisis period as in the period
before the crisis. Finally, evidence for geographical location effect was also found when we found
a significantly negative coefficient for the Chinese dummy, which was consistently positive during
the previous periods. The decline in banking performance, especially the efficiency of the banks in
China, may be due to non-performing loans and special mention loans (Jiang et al. 2007). On the other
hand, Singapore and Thailand returned as significantly positive in the model, which were showing a
negative effect during the earlier periods. The changing signs of the country dummies were statistically
significant during the different periods of our location effect analysis, clearly indicating the importance
of the geographical location effect in terms of banking sector efficiency in the Sino-ASEAN region.
3 To complete this exercise, the balanced sample on a pooled Sino-ASEAN basis (220 observations) was considered.
Economies 2019, 7, 13 12 of 23
Table 10. Determinants of bank efficiency (Tobit regression) with the geographical location effect.
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
0.031 *** 0.032 *** 0.034 *** 0.032 *** 0.032 *** 0.033 *** 0.033 *** 0.031 *** 0.021 ***
Size +/−
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.007 *** 0.007 *** 0.007 *** 0.008 0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.008 ***
ROAA +
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.007 *** 0.006 *** 0.005 ***
CAR +
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
−0.016 *** −0.016 *** −0.016 *** −0.015 *** −0.015 *** −0.016 *** −0.018 *** −0.016 *** −0.012 ***
NIM +/−
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
0.016 *** 0.021 *** 0.023 *** 0.019 *** 0.022 *** 0.022 *** 0.021 *** 0.016 *** 0.019 ***
GDP +
(0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003)
−0.021 *** −0.021 *** −0.021 *** −0.023 *** −0.022 *** −0.022 *** −0.020 *** −0.021 *** −0.011 ***
IF −
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
−0.010 *** −0.009 *** −0.009 *** −0.010 *** −0.010 *** −0.010 *** −0.010 *** −0.010 *** −0.005 **
RI −
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
0.050 ***
CN
(0.017)
−0.034 ** −0.133 ***
ID
(0.015) (0.022)
0.054 *** 0.015
MY
(0.019) (0.023)
−0.106 *** −0.170 ***
PH
(0.020) (0.024)
0.182 *** 0.144 ***
SG
(0.029) (0.031)
0.038 * −0.001
TH
(0.020) (0.024)
−0.070 *** −0.161 ***
VN
(0.018) (0.024)
−0.050 ***
ASEAN
(0.017)
−0.042 *** −0.040 *** −0.039 *** −0.039 *** −0.039 *** −0.040 *** −0.039 *** −0.041 *** −0.041 ***
Time trend
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
0.389 *** 0.371 *** 0.324 *** 0.383 *** 0.354 *** 0.348 *** 0.364 *** 0.439 *** 0.452 ***
Constant
(0.040) (0.039) (0.040) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.048) (0.047)
Economies 2019, 7, 13 13 of 23
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
Pseudo R2 0.3571 0.3558 0.3569 0.3652 0.3698 0.3551 0.3596 0.3571 0.4088
Adjusted R2 (OLS) 0.2606 0.2602 0.2608 0.2665 0.2653 0.2610 0.2630 0.2606 0.2956
LR chi2 869.07 865.76 868.61 888.81 899.99 864.13 875.15 869.07 994.96
Prob > chi2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Log likelihood −782.25 −783.91 −782.48 −772.38 −766.79 −784.72 −779.21 −782.25 −719.31
Obs. 2870 2870 2870 2870 2870 2870 2870 2870 2870
Dependent variable = DEA score, ***, **, and * represent significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels of confidence. ROAA, CAR, NIM, IF, RI, CN, ID, MY, PH, SG, TH and VN refer to return on
average assets, capital adequacy ratio, net interest margin, inflation, real interest rate, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, respectively. All other
variables are defined in Table 1.
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
0.038 *** 0.044 *** 0.038 *** 0.037 *** 0.038 *** 0.046 *** 0.035 *** 0.038 *** 0.046 ***
Size +/−
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
0.012 *** 0.006 0.008 * 0.006 0.009 * 0.007 0.009 ** 0.012 *** 0.006
ROAA +
(0.004) (0.004) (0.005) (0.003) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.004) (0.004)
0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.007 *** 0.007 *** 0.007 *** 0.008 *** 0.007 *** 0.008 *** 0.009 ***
CAR +
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
−0.019 *** −0.023 *** −0.019 *** −0.017 *** −0.020 *** −0.020 *** −0.020 *** −0.019 *** −0.018 ***
NIM +/−
(0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
−0.021 *** 0.031 *** 0.027 *** 0.025 *** 0.028 *** 0.021 *** 0.028 *** −0.021 *** −0.025 ***
GDP +
(0.006) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.006) (0.006)
−0.023 *** −0.039 *** −0.027 *** −0.028 *** −0.027 *** −0.030 *** −0.027 *** −0.023 *** −0.031 ***
IF −
(0.002) (0.003) (0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.003)
0.004 * 0.008 *** 0.010 *** 0.010 *** 0.010 *** 0.010 *** 0.009 *** 0.004 * 0.004 *
RI −
(0.002) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.002) (0.002)
0.394 ***
CN
(0.038)
0.169 *** −0.311 ***
ID
(0.028) (0.052)
−0.002 −0.376 ***
MY
(0.028) (0.045)
−0.181 *** −0.519 ***
PH
(0.030) (0.050)
Economies 2019, 7, 13 14 of 23
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
−0.036 −0.306 ***
SG
(0.049) (0.051)
−0.145 *** −0.489 ***
TH
(0.029) (0.047)
−0.079 −0.350 ***
VN
(0.029) (0.044)
−0.394 ***
ASEAN
(0.038)
−0.038 *** −0.042 *** −0.048 *** −0.042 *** −0.047 *** −0.045 *** −0.047 *** −0.038 *** −0.031 ***
Time trend
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
0.611 *** 0.333 *** 0.390 *** 0.422 *** 0.387 *** 0.408 *** 0.418 *** 1.005 *** 0.988 ***
Constant
(0.060) (0.059) (0.062) (0.058) (0.060) (0.059) (0.060) (0.081) (0.085)
Pseudo R2 0.7052 0.6194 0.5726 0.6164 0.5733 0.6040 0.5820 0.7052 0.7812
Adjusted R2 0.4502 0.4253 0.4021 0.4301 0.4032 0.4123 0.4066 0.4502 0.4825
LR chi2 556.06 488.39 451.51 486.06 452.05 476.27 458.94 556.06 615.95
Prob > chi2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Log likelihood −116.22 −150.06 −168.50 −151.22 −168.23 −156.12 −164.78 −116.22 −86.28
Obs. 874 874 874 874 874 874 874 874 874
Dependent variable = DEA score, ***, **, and * represent significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels of confidence. ROAA, CAR, NIM, IF, RI, CN, ID, MY, PH, SG, TH and VN refer to return on
average assets, capital adequacy ratio, net interest margin, inflation, real interest rate, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, respectively. All other
variables are defined in Table 1.
Table 12. Determinants of bank efficiency (Tobit regression) during the crisis.
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
0.073 *** 0.070 *** 0.080 *** 0.079 *** 0.078 *** 0.078 *** 0.079 *** 0.073 *** 0.061 ***
Size +/−
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
−0.000 −0.002 −0.001 −0.001 −0.001 −0.000 −0.000 −0.000 −0.001
ROAA +
(0.003) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.002)
0.012 *** 0.011 *** 0.012 *** 0.012 *** 0.012 *** 0.012 *** 0.012 *** 0.012 *** 0.010 ***
CAR +
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
−0.010 *** −0.004 −0.010 *** −0.011 *** −0.011 *** −0.012 *** −0.012 *** −0.010 *** −0.002
NIM +/−
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
0.003 0.016 *** 0.021 *** 0.017 *** 0.019 *** 0.019 *** 0.018 *** 0.003 0.013 ***
GDP +
(0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003)
Economies 2019, 7, 13 15 of 23
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
−0.016 *** −0.020 *** −0.019 *** −0.021 *** −0.020 *** −0.020 *** −0.020 *** −0.016 *** −0.006 **
IF −
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.002) (0.003)
−0.018 *** −0.018 *** −0.017 *** −0.019 *** −0.018 *** −0.018 *** −0.018 *** −0.018 *** −0.009 ***
RI −
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
0.165 ***
CN
(0.029)
−0.162 *** −0.259 ***
ID
(0.019) (0.028)
0.143 *** 0.031
MY
(0.029) (0.036)
−0.017 −0.164 ***
PH
(0.028) (0.035)
0.082 ** 0.012
SG
(0.038) (0.041)
0.044 −0.035
TH
(0.032) (0.039)
−0.025 −0.207 ***
VN
(0.029) (0.036)
−0.165 ***
ASEAN
(0.029)
−0.091 *** −0.021 *** −0.011 −0.021 * −0.016 −0.016 −0.018 * −0.091 *** −0.055 ***
Time trend
(0.013) (0.010) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.013) (0.015)
0.020 *** 0.053 −0.108 * −0.040 −0.048 −0.051 −0.044 0.185 ** 0.113 *
Constant
(0.062) (0.060) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.072) (0.067)
Pseudo R2 1.2049 1.2840 1.1862 1.1359 1.1453 1.1392 1.1367 1.2049 1.4195
Adjusted R2 0.5216 0.5551 0.5146 0.4976 0.5003 0.5015 0.4978 0.5216 0.5972
LR chi2 551.76 587.97 543.15 520.12 524.43 521.65 520.51 551.76 650.01
Prob > chi2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Log likelihood 46.92 65.03 42.62 31.11 33.26 31.87 31.30 46.92 96.05
Obs. 721 721 721 721 721 721 721 721 721
Dependent variable = DEA score, ***, **, and * represent significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels of confidence. ROAA, CAR, NIM, IF, RI, CN, ID, MY, PH, SG, TH and VN refer to return on
average assets, capital adequacy ratio, net interest margin, inflation, real interest rate, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, respectively. All other
variables are defined in Table 1.
Economies 2019, 7, 13 16 of 23
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
0.064 *** 0.061 *** 0.062 *** 0.059 *** 0.058 *** 0.060 *** 0.062 *** 0.064 *** 0.055 ***
Size +/−
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
0.021 *** 0.022 *** 0.022 *** 0.026 *** 0.022 *** 0.023 *** 0.022 *** 0.021 *** 0.026 ***
ROAA +
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.007 *** 0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.008 *** 0.007 ***
CAR +
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
−0.009 *** −0.009 *** −0.009 *** −0.008 *** −0.007 *** −0.009 *** −0.009 *** −0.009 *** −0.005 *
NIM +/−
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
0.019 *** 0.015 *** 0.015 *** 0.013 *** 0.014 *** 0.017 *** 0.015 *** 0.019 *** 0.019 ***
GDP +
(0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.005) (0.005)
−0.027 *** −0.025 *** −0.025 *** −0.027 *** −0.026 *** −0.024 *** −0.025 *** −0.027 *** −0.028 ***
IF −
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.004) (0.003) (0.005)
−0.027 *** −0.024 *** −0.025 *** −0.027 *** −0.029 *** −0.025 *** −0.025 *** −0.027 *** −0.029 ***
RI −
(0.003) (0.004) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.005)
−0.038 *
CN
(0.023)
−0.017 0.009
ID
(0.024) (0.034)
0.009 0.030
MY
(0.029) (0.031)
−0.121 *** −0.101 ***
PH
(0.030) (0.033)
0.327 *** 0.344 ***
SG
(0.044) (0.046)
0.052 * 0.079 **
TH
(0.031) (0.035)
−0.001 0.030
VN
(0.034) (0.044)
0.038 *
ASEAN
(0.023)
−0.026 ** −0.037 *** −0.026 *** −0.026 *** −0.018 ** −0.024 *** −0.026 *** −0.026 ** −0.026 **
Time trend
(0.010) (0.010) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.010) (0.012)
0.019 0.038 0.029 0.090 0.069 0.019 0.037 −0.019 0.064
Constant
(0.067) (0.066) (0.071) (0.067) (0.066) (0.067) (0.067) (0.074) (0.077)
Pseudo R2 0.4937 0.4913 0.4909 0.5081 0.5503 0.4937 0.4908 0.4937 0.5735
Adjusted R2 0.3247 0.3236 0.3233 0.3330 0.3486 0.3267 0.3233 0.3247 0.3602
Economies 2019, 7, 13 17 of 23
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
LR chi2 477.96 475.60 475.22 491.83 532.75 477.93 475.12 477.96 555.15
Prob > chi2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Log likelihood −245.05 −246.24 −246.43 −238.12 −217.66 −245.07 −246.48 −245.05 −206.46
Obs. 1275 1275 1275 1275 1275 1275 1275 1275 1275
Dependent variable = DEA score, ***, **, and * represent significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels of confidence. ROAA, CAR, NIM, IF, RI, CN, ID, MY, PH, SG, TH and VN refer to return on
average assets, capital adequacy ratio, net interest margin, inflation, real interest rate, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, respectively. All other
variables are defined in Table 1.
Table 14. Determinants of bank efficiency (bootstrap (1000 replication) Tobit regression) with the geographical location effect.
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
0.031 *** 0.032 *** 0.034 *** 0.032 *** 0.032 *** 0.033 *** 0.033 *** 0.031 *** 0.021 ***
Size +/−
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
0.008 * 0.008 * 0.007 * 0.007 * 0.007 * 0.008 * 0.008 * 0.008 * 0.008 *
ROAA +
(0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.005) (0.004) (0.005) (0.005)
0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.006 *** 0.007 *** 0.006 *** 0.005 ***
CAR +
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
−0.016 *** −0.016 *** −0.016 *** −0.015 *** −0.015 *** −0.016 *** −0.018 *** −0.016 *** −0.012 ***
NIM +/−
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
0.016 *** 0.021 *** 0.023 *** 0.019 *** 0.022 *** 0.022 *** 0.021 *** 0.016 *** 0.019 ***
GDP +
(0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003)
−0.021 *** −0.021 *** −0.021 *** −0.023 *** −0.022 *** −0.022 *** −0.020 *** −0.021 *** −0.011 ***
IF −
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
−0.010 *** −0.009 *** −0.009 *** −0.010 *** −0.010 *** −0.010 *** −0.010 *** −0.010 *** −0.005 **
RI −
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
0.050 ***
CN
(0.018)
−0.034 ** −0.133 ***
ID
(0.015) (0.024)
0.054 *** 0.015
MY
(0.019) (0.025)
−0.106 *** −0.170 ***
PH
(0.016) (0.023)
0.182 *** 0.144 ***
SG
(0.036) (0.040)
Economies 2019, 7, 13 18 of 23
Exp. Sign Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9
0.038 ** −0.001
TH
(0.019) (0.025)
−0.070 *** −0.161 ***
VN
(0.019) (0.027)
−0.050 ***
ASEAN
(0.019)
−0.042 *** −0.040 *** −0.039 *** −0.039 *** −0.039 *** −0.040 *** −0.039 *** −0.041 *** −0.041 ***
Time trend
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
0.389 *** 0.371 *** 0.324 *** 0.383 *** 0.354 *** 0.348 *** 0.364 *** 0.439 *** 0.452 ***
Constant
(0.044) (0.042) (0.043) (0.042) (0.041) (0.041) (0.042) (0.051) (0.050)
Pseudo R2 0.3571 0.3558 0.3569 0.3652 0.3698 0.3551 0.3596 0.3571 0.4088
LR chi2 883.59 956.98 875.51 942.65 963.31 925.59 796.69 936.89 1163.0
Prob > chi2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Log likelihood −782.25 −783.91 −782.48 −772.38 −766.79 −784.72 −779.21 −782.25 −719.31
Obs. 2860 2860 2860 2860 2860 2860 2860 2860 2860
Dependent variable = DEA score, ***, **, and * represent significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels of confidence. ROAA, CAR, NIM, IF, RI, CN, ID, MY, PH, SG, TH and VN refer to return on
average assets, capital adequacy ratio, net interest margin, inflation, real interest rate, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, respectively. All other
variables are defined in Table 1.
Economies 2019, 7, 13 19 of 23
The results of the double bootstrap regression model suggest that Chinese banks outperform
ASEAN banks in terms of efficiency and that the GFC had a significant impact on bank efficiency
in Sino-ASEAN countries. These results are similar to our earlier findings. Likewise, all the results
for the control variables were similar to our previous direct Tobit regression and bootstrapping Tobit
regression models. Overall, these findings suggest that although direct Tobit regression may yield
misleading results, however, in the case of this study, the results are reliable, as verified by the
bootstrapping and double bootstrapping regression models.
Table 15. Determinants of bank efficiency (bootstrap (2000 replication) Simar and Wilson
2007 regression) with geographical location effect.
regression for the pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis periods suggests that the geographical location
effect was a significant determinant of banking sector efficiency throughout the period of our analysis.
The results indicate that much of the variation in the efficiency of banking markets in the Sino-ASEAN
region are due to the geographical location and country-specific factors. Similar to the findings of earlier
studies in Europe (Pastor et al. 1997), our study confirms the role of country-specific factors as the
major determinants of banking efficiency level across the Sino-ASEAN region. Xue and Harker (1999)
identified the dependency problem in DEA based scores, which contradicts with the basic regression
model. The presence of a dependency problem thus may lead to unverifiable results. Following the
authors’ suggestion, bootstrapping and double bootstrapping were used to overcome this problem.
The results, however, were consistent with the direct Tobit regression.
Policymakers, regulators and investors should closely monitor the performance of banking
in the Sino-ASEAN region. Although China and Singapore are performing better as compared
to other countries in the region, policymakers and regulators should be more vigilant while
following the strategic policies of liberalization, regulation and consolidation in these two countries.
Policymakers might place emphasis on mitigating non-performing loans and special mention loans that
may potentially reduce the efficiency level of Chinese banks. In the ASEAN region, which consists of
countries with different stages of economic and financial development, there also exists a big problem
in the harmonization of regulations, in terms of which criterion should be based. To accommodate
the various risks entailed in the harmonization process, it will be necessary to allow some room for
flexibility to member states. For instance, when the entry criteria of foreign banks may be too liberal to
some of the member states, there will be a risk that foreign banks with loose risk management will be
allowed to enter into such countries, destabilizing the financial system of them. In such a case, it may
become necessary for them to take some discriminatory treatments (from domestic banks), depending
on the risk management capacity of the entering banks. On the other hand, in the case of a country
with a less developed financial market, there is a risk that its domestic market will be dominated by
foreign banks. In this case, there will be a need to allow the country to put off the entry liberalization
schedule or put a ceiling on the share of foreign banks in the domestic market. This research can
be extended further by analyzing the dynamic relationship of the regulatory framework, ownership
structure and bank efficiency in the Sino-ASEAN region, as well as other Asian countries.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, H.B. and A.H.M.N.; Formal analysis, S.K.B.S. and H.B.; Investigation,
H.B., S.K.B.S. and A.H.M.N.; Methodology, H.B.; Resources, H.B.; Software, H.B.; Writing—original draft, H.B.;
Writing—review & editing, H.B., S.K.B.S., A.H.M.N., R.A., and M.M.M.
Funding: This research was funded by Centre for Poverty and Development Studies (CPDS)/Ungku Aziz
Centre for Development Studies, Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya, grant
number: PD004-2018.
Acknowledgments: Authors would like to thank Koh Hsieng Yang Eric, Chan Sok Gee, Aslam Mia, Md Sohel
Rana and Centre for Poverty and Development Studies (CPDS) for their critical review, precious comments and
technical support.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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