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Luigi Toda1,4 ∙ Justine Ravi Orduña1,5 ∙ Rodel Lasco1,2 ∙ Carlos Tito Santos1,3
1
Oscar M. Lopez Center for Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management Foundation, Inc.
2
World Agroforestry Centre
3
Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon
4
Australian National University
5
University of the Philippines Diliman
Received: 16 April 2015 / Accepted: 20 November 2015 / Published online: 29 December 2015
Abstract
The destruction left by Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines highlighted not only the exposure of the country
but also the underlying vulnerability of barangays (villages) to climate-related hazards. This study used
geographic information system (GIS) tools to characterize social vulnerability to climate-related hazards
of barangays of Tacloban City and Ormoc City using a modified social vulnerability index (SoVI). The
SoVI used socioeconomic data mainly drawn from census and was computed from 11 indicators influencing
sensitivity, adaptive capacity, and exposure. Social vulnerability varies spatially across the study areas,
where Barangay 88, said to be the worst-hit barangay in Tacloban, and Barangay Naungan in Ormoc,
recorded the highest vulnerability scores. Demographic and socioeconomic shifts are likely in both cities,
given the population growth and increasing density of settlements already concentrated in hazard-prone
barangays. Measures to reduce vulnerability should be a local priority and would require political will
for community-based climate action, disaster risk reduction and management, and risk-sensitive land use
development. This study provides an approach for assessing social vulnerability using available census and
climate-related hazard data to determine areas for intervention at the barangay level.
Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.18783/cddj.v001.i01.a04
Corresponding Author:
Luigi Toda
Oscar M. Lopez Center for Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management Foundation, Inc.
Australian National University
[email protected]
Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
1:25,000 for storm surge maps. However, a careful Table 1. List of vulnerability components, indicators and
recognition of the complexity of integrating hazard sub-indicators used for computing barangay SoVI.
datasets of varying scales used to calculate areas per Indicators Major Sub-indicators and Unit Functional Source
component/ classification/ranking relationship
level of hazard susceptibility with socioeconomic data is Factor to vulnera-
required in the use and interpretation of the vulnerability bility
maps. In addition, the vulnerability maps do not represent Unemployment Sensitivity Proportion of % NSCB
unemployed
the absolute and actual vulnerability of barangays due persons in the
labor force
to scarcity of other important indicators available at the (15 y.o. and
barangay level. However, the measurement of relative above)
vulnerability among barangays allows for informed Population Sensitivity Population pop/ha NSCB
at risk density
interventions aimed at reducing vulnerability. Sensitivity Proportion of % NSCB
elders
(>65 y.o.)
Moreover, there may be discrepancies on the barangay Sensitivity Proportion of % NSCB
children (0-5
boundaries between the maps generated by the study and y.o.) - 0-17
the boundaries Tacloban City currently uses. During the Sensitivity Proportion of
persons with
% CBMS
are still based on them. Climate induced Exposure Landslide Very high ha
hazards susceptibility landslide
suscepti-
Construction of Social Vulnerability Index bility
High ha
(SoVI) landslide
suscepti- UP
bility DREAM
The first step in measuring the social vulnerability of Moderate
landslide
ha YoRInfo
Center
barangays was to identify relevant indicators from suscepti-
bility
existing knowledge and literature on social vulnerability. Low ha
All dimensions of vulnerability were assessed using GIS landslide
suscepti-
with respect to the susceptibility of the barangays to bility
Exposure Flood Very high ha
climate-related hazards, such as landslide, storm surge, susceptibility flood
and flood (Figure 2), to classify the level of vulnerability suscepti-
bility
of barangays. High ha
flood UP
suscepti- DREAM
Secondary data used included National Statistical bility
Moderate ha
YoRInfo
Center
Coordination Board (NSCB) 2010 demographic and flood
suscepti-
employment data, GIS vector climate-related hazard bility
datasets from the Yolanda Rehabilitation Scientific Low
flood
ha
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
Table 2. Categorization, description, and sources of selected (AC) and exposure (E). The maximum and minimum
sub-indicators (mostly adopted from [Cutter et al., 2003]). values of the barangays were used to convert the indicator
Indicators Sub-indicators Concept and Sources to a normalized index so it could be incorporated into
(Major description the components of the SoVI. For units such as the
Components)
‘proportion of unemployed persons in the labor force
Unemployment Unemployed Employment loss Mileti, 1999
(Sensitivity) persons in the (15 years old and above)’, the minimum value and the
labor force maximum value were set at 0 to 100, respectively, which
Population at risk Population density Population growth/ H. John Heinz III represent percentage, and were standardized in a scale
(Sensitivity) density Center for Science, from 0 to 1.
Economics, and the
Environment, 2000;
Age spectrum Cutter, Mitchell, The scores of the components were then multiplied
extremes & Scott, 2000;
Special needs Morrow, 1999; and equally by 0.33 and added altogether for the SoVI which
populations Puente, 1999 ranges from 0 to 1, and classified into three classes using
Cutter et al., 2000;
Elders children O’Brien & Mileti,
natural breaks (Jenks) method in GIS. Features are divided
1992; Hewitt, 1997; into classes whose boundaries are adjusted where there
and (Ngo, 2001 are relatively huge differences in the data values, such
Morrow, 1999 and
Tobin & that high values for the index imply high vulnerability,
Ollenburger, 1992 moderate values imply moderate vulnerability and
Persons with Special needs H. John Heinz III low values imply low vulnerability. The indicators
disability populations Center for Science, were normalized using the methodology employed
Economics, and the
Informal settlers Renters/informal Environment, 2000
to calculate the Human Development Index (United
settlers and Platt, 1991 Nations Development Programme [UNDP], 2014).
Poverty (Adaptive Poverty incidence Socioeconomic H. John Heinz III Because all indicators have functional relationship with
capacity) status Center for Science, vulnerability, normalization was calculated as follows:
Economics, and the
Environment, 2000;
Burton, Kates, I i = X i – MinX i (1)
& White, 1993;
Wisner et al., 2003;
MaxX i - MinX i
Peacock, Gladwin,
& Morrow, 1997; where X i is the actual value, MinX i is the minimum value,
Hewitt, 1997;
Puente, 1999; and and MaxX i is the maximum value of the indicator.
Platt, 1991
Climate induced Flood Susceptibility Balica, Wright, The ranks of certain indicators and sub-indicators
hazards (Exposure Storm surge to floods, storm & Meulen, 2012;
Landslide surges and Cannon, 1994; and (e.g.,‘area of level of hazard susceptibility’) were
landslides Hammill, Bizikova, assigned to values arranged in ordinal numbers which
Dekens, &
McCandless, 2013
correspond to weights that add up to 1 (100%). The area
per level of susceptibility of each hazard was calculated
Housing materials Households living Housing and the Bolin & Bolton,
(Exposure) in makeshift built environment 1986; Bolin & using calculate geometry function of ArcGIS 10.2.
houses Stanford, 1991;
Godschalk, Brower,
& Beatley, 1989; Table 3. Ranking and assignment of ordinal weights for storm
Mitchell, Abdel- surge vulnerability.
Ghaffar, Gentry,
Leatherman, & Storm surge Rank relative to Ordinal weight
Sparks, 1986; and susceptibility vulnerability
White & Haas,
1975 High susceptibility 1 0.5
Moderate susceptibility 2 0.33
The indicators used and prescribed by Cutter et al. (2009)
in their study were modified in this study based on the Low susceptibility 3 0.167
context of the study areas and the availability of data. A Total 1
SoVI was constructed with the same indicators as that of
Cutter’s but the sub-indicators were redeveloped to fit Ordinal weight is computed as:
the situations and conditions in the study areas. These
sub-indicators were chosen to ensure that the units and
sources of data are consistent for standardization (Figure (2)
2).
where r is the rank, n is the number of ranks, and k is 1.
Indicators were normalized to a value between 0 and 1, SoVI was then calculated as follows:
multiplied by the assigned relative weights to generate
the normalized indicator scores (I i). These normalized SoVIb = WbSb+ WbACb+ WbEb (3)
indicator scores (I i) were combined to generate the
normalized scores of sensitivity (S), adaptive capacity, where b is the barangay, S is sensitivity, AC is adaptive
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
capacity, and E is exposure; such that barangay b equals geographically more exposed to hazards than Tacloban
the equally weighted values of S, AC, and E. The weight City. A number of barangays in Ormoc are located along
of each major component (W Ci), where C is one of the the shore and a number of those are prone to riverine
major components, indexed by i, is measured by 1 over flooding. Furthermore, the remaining parts of Ormoc
the number (n C) of the major components, which is 0.33 are the rural areas whose populations are dependent to
(Table 3). fishing and planting—livelihoods at risk to disasters.
Thus, all barangays are almost equally vulnerable to
W Ci = 1/ n C (4) disasters.
The same approach was used to calculate the weights Tacloban City
(W Sc) of the sub-indicators (Table 3).
Based on the computed vulnerability, Barangay 88
W Sc= 1/ n Si (5) is consistently highest in all factors of vulnerability,
recording a large differential vulnerability value relative
Table 4. Weights of sub-indicators. to other barangays. The overall social vulnerability of
Major Weight of major No. of indicators Weight of sub- every barangay is determined by its respective sensitivity,
Components components (nsi) indicators (Wsi) exposure, and adaptive capacity indices. The values were
(WCi) classified into the clusters of low, moderate, and high
Sensitivity 0.33 6 0.17 (Table 5). Tacloban yielded a value of 6.52%, or 9 of its
Adaptive 0.33 1 0.33 barangays with high vulnerability index. Among these
Capacity barangays, Barangay 88 got the highest index of 0.66792
Exposure 0.33 4 0.25 (Table 6), almost twice as high as the second highest,
Barangay 99 (Diit), with the next highest vulnerability
S = f(U, PAR) (6) index of 0.39874. Barangay 88 consistently got the
highest index for all the indicators whereas Barangay 99
where U is unemployment and PAR is population at risk consistently got high indices.
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
Among the 51 barangays with moderate vulnerabilities, Table 6. Barangay in Tacloban City with the highest values
only Barangay 71 (Naga-Naga) has high sensitivity and for sensitivity, adaptive capacity, exposure, and overall social
exposure, while the rest merely have high indices on vulnerability.
exposure. Barangay 71 is a densely populated coastal Barangay Score
community near Anibong District where Barangays 68, Sensitivity Barangay 88 0.20234
69, and 70 are located. The latter barangays also have
Adaptive capacity Barangay 88 0.33000
moderate vulnerabilities computed from their high
exposure indices and moderate sensitivity and adaptive Exposure Barangay 88 0.13558
capacity indices. Anibong District has several coastal Social vulnerability Barangay 88 0.66792
communities with a high number of houses on stilts over
the waters. It was also where the 8 cargo vessels were
swept inland by the storm surges brought by Typhoon
Haiyan.
Sensitivity
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
Adaptive Capacity
Figure 4. Number of barangays in Tacloban City per degree of Barangay 88, having 54.37% of its households earning
sensitivity, adaptive capacity, and exposure. Lightest to darkest below the poverty threshold, scored an adaptive capacity
color denotes low to high index.
index of 0.33, recording a large differential value
About 50 barangays have moderate sensitivity to climate- compared to the 9 other barangays with high adaptive
related hazards (Figure 4). Several of these barangays capacity index. Barangay 103 got the next highest
are along the coast with many informal settlements. The index with 0.16435, almost half of that of Barangay 88.
remaining 75 barangays have relatively low sensitivity. These barangays were spatially scattered showing that
These are mainly the upland barangays whose land poverty in the city is not concentrated in certain areas.
areas are mostly occupied by the mountains rather than The index for moderate exposure is within 0.04012 to
communities. The barangay with the least sensitivity 0.10784, with 43 barangays falling within the range. The
is Barangay 15, located in the highly commercialized remaining 86 barangays whose index is low have the
downtown area. lowest proportions of households with income below the
poverty threshold. The barangays with the lowest indices
Exposure are Barangays 109-A, 77, 80, 109, 17, 62-B, and 16. The
land uses among these barangays are mostly commercial
Due to their natural and built environments, 21 barangays and institutional, with only a few residential areas.
were highly exposed to climate-related hazards (Figure
5). These barangays scored between 0.05833 to 0.13559, Ormoc City
with Barangay 88 scoring the upper limit. This could be
attributed to the high susceptibility of these barangays Typhoon Haiyan did not directly hit Ormoc but still
to particular hazards and to the structure of their houses brought strong winds that caused damage and deaths.
which could not provide protection during disasters. Ormoc is generally vulnerable to disasters due to its
Similarly, 50 barangays were moderately exposed. These exposure to natural hazards, not to mention that the
are the barangays adjacent to those that were identified livelihoods of many residents are dependent on the
to have high exposure score. The remaining 67 barangays environment. Although Ormoc (Figure 6) has a higher
have low exposure; mostly in the downtown area with proportion of barangays (8.18%) with high social
Barangay 16 having the lowest exposure score. Tacloban vulnerability score (Figure 7), its barangays have lower
downtown is a highly built-up, commercialized area and social vulnerability scores compared to those in Tacloban
most of Barangay 16 is in the heart of it. Prior to Haiyan, (Table 7). The highest is that of Naungan with 0.32726
building codes across all development zones and building and the differential value between the index of Naungan
types were not enforced and standard designs for houses and that of the second highest (Cogon Combado) is not
and public infrastructure could only withstand winds of very significant (Table 8). Those with high overall social
200 kph. Most public infrastructure and critical facilities vulnerability are those with high sensitivity indices,
used as evacuation centers such as the Astrodome are indicating that population at risk is the main factor
located in hazard-prone areas. contributing to their vulnerability. Bagong Buhay is the
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
While Tacloban City and Ormoc City are examples Barangay Vulnera- Vulnera- Highly No. of Deaths
of a looming and varying social vulnerability across bility bility Exposed to due to Hai-
barangays, it is important not only to consider short- Level Index yan*
term structural mitigation measures but also to adopt Barangay low 0.05439 riverine 0
sustainable and long-term strategies addressing the 15 (Pob.) flooding
underlying factors of vulnerability targeted at the Barangay low 0.03704 riverine 0
community level. This matter will also require basic 16 (Pob.) flooding
social services to be more accessible in barangays Barangay low 0.02823 riverine 0
who score moderate to high vulnerability. Measures to 17 (Pob.) flooding
reduce vulnerability should be a local priority and would Barangay low 0.01361 riverine 0
require political will for community-based climate 18 (Pob.) flooding
action, disaster risk reduction and management, and Barangay low 0.01684 riverine 0
risk-sensitive land use development. 19 (Pob.) flooding
Barangay low 0.02637 riverine 0
This study provides an approach for assessing social 2 (Pob.) flooding
vulnerability using available census and climate-related Barangay low 0.03240 riverine 0
hazard data to determine areas for intervention targeted 20 (Pob.) flooding
at the barangay level. Future related research should
Barangay low 0.04844 riverine 0
consider other key indicators available at the barangay 21 (Pob.) flooding
level to capture a more precise vulnerability index.
Barangay low 0.05057 riverine 0
22 (Pob.) flooding
Annexes
Barangay low 0.05257 riverine 0
23 (Pob.) flooding
Annex 1: Comparisons of vulnerability level, index,
exposure and number of deaths per barangay for Ormoc Barangay low 0.04885 riverine 0
City. 24 (Pob.) flooding
Barangay low 0.05947 riverine 0
Barangay Vulnera- Vulnera- Highly No. of Deaths 25 (Pob.) flooding
bility bility Exposed to due to Hai- Barangay moderate 0.07102 riverine 1
Level Index yan* 26 (Pob.) flooding
Airport moderate 0.08785 riverine 2 Barangay low 0.03519 riverine 0
flooding 27 (Pob.) flooding
Alegria moderate 0.06788 storm 0 Barangay moderate 0.07474 riverine 0
surge & 28 (Pob.) flooding
riverine Barangay moderate 0.13147 riverine 0
flooding 29 (Pob.) flooding
Alta moderate 0.09294 riverine 1 Barangay low 0.00463 riverine 0
Vista flooding 3 (Pob.) flooding
Bagong moderate 0.15142 landslide 2 Barangay low 0.02466 riverine 0
Buhay & flash- 4 (Pob.) flooding
flood
Barangay low 0.00393 riverine 0
Bagong moderate 0.07628 landslide 1 5 (Pob.) flooding
& flash-
Barangay low 0.00735 riverine 0
flood
6 (Pob.) flooding
Bantigue moderate 0.15385 storm 0
Barangay low 0.00839 riverine 0
surge
7 (Pob.) flooding
Barangay low 0.01386 riverine 0
Barangay low 0.00609 riverine 0
1 (Pob.) flooding
8 (Pob.) flooding
Barangay low 0.1971 riverine 0
Barangay low 0.00811 riverine 0
10 (Pob.) flooding
9 (Pob.) flooding
Barangay moderate 0.07361 riverine 0
Batuan low 0.02924 riverine 0
11 (Pob.) flooding
flooding
Barangay low 0.02257 riverine 0
Bayog low 0.05176 riverine 0
12 (Pob.) flooding
flooding
Barangay low 0.04069 riverine 0
Biliboy low 0.05367 flooding 0
13 (Pob.) flooding
Barangay low 0.02251 riverine 0
14 (Pob.) flooding
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
Barangay Vulnera- Vulnera- Highly No. of Deaths Barangay Vulnera- Vulnera- Highly No. of Deaths
bility bility Exposed to due to Hai- bility bility Exposed to due to Hai-
Level Index yan* Level Index yan*
Boroc moderate 0.12073 1 Esper- low 0.01924 landslide 0
(Don anza
Carlos Gaas low 0.02217 landslide 0
Rivilla) & flash-
Ca- low 0.04164 landsline 0 flood
baon-an & flash- Green low 0.05977 riverine 1
flood Valley flooding
Cabintan moderate 0.08457 landslide 0 Guin- moderate 0.09171 riverine 0
Cabuli- moderate 0.08533 landslide 0 tigui-an flooding
han & riverine Hibun- low 0.04108 landslide 0
flooding awon & flash-
Cagbu- moderate 0.08473 landslide 0 flood
hangin & riverine Hugpa low 0.02699 NA 0
flooding
Ipil high 0.24413 storm 0
Camp moderate 0.08473 landslide 0 surge
Downes & riverine
flooding Juaton moderate 0.07426 riverine 0
flooding
Can-adi- moderate 0.10348 riverine 0
eng flooding Kadao- moderate 0.09428 landslide 0
han & riverine
Catmon low 0.09086 landslide 0 flooding
& riverine
flooding Labrador moderate 0.08146 riverine 0
(Balion) flooding
Cogon high 0.03343 riverine 0
Combado flooding Lao high 0.18155 storm 0
surge
Concep- moderate 0.28843 riverine 0
cion flooding Leondoni low 0.04938 riverine 0
flooding
Curva moderate 0.07210 riverine 10
flooding Libertad high 0.18857 storm 1
surge
Danao low 0.13312 riverine 0
flooding Liberty low 0.03215 landslide 0
& flash-
Danhug moderate 0.08139 storm 0 flood
surge &
riverine Licuma moderate 0.07499 riverine 0
flooding flooding
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
Barangay Vulnera- Vulnera- Highly No. of Deaths Barangay Vulnera- Vulnera- Highly No. of Deaths
bility bility Exposed to due to Hai- bility bility Exposdd to due to Hai-
Level Index yan* Level Index yan*
Manlil- moderate 0.07316 landslide 0 San low 0.04400 landslide 0
inao Vicenter
Margen moderate 0.12990 landslide 1 Santo moderate 0.09484 riverine 0
& riverine Niño flooding
flooding Su- moderate 0.08423 riverine 0
Mas-in moderate 0.06948 landslide 0 mangga flooding
Matica-a moderate 0.12063 landslide 1 Tambul- low 0.28127 storm 2
& riverine ilid surge &
flooding riverine
Milagro low 0.06632 landslide 0 flooding
& flash- Tongo- moderate 0.07163 landslide 0
flood nan
Monter- low 0.03772 landslide 0 Valencia moderate 0.16252 riverine 0
ico flooding
Nasuno- low 0.05052 riverine 1
gan flooding City Health Office-Health Emergency Management Staff (CHO-
a
San Jose moderate 0.15853 landslide 0 Barangay 108 moderate 0.1134 moderate
& riverine Barangay 109 moderate 0.11885 low
flooding Barangay moderate 0.19379 moderate
San Juan moderate 0.07650 storm 0 109-A
surge & Barangay 110 high 0.29659 moderate
riverine
Barangay 12 moderate 0.14724 moderate
flooding
Barangay 13 low 0.04870 moderate
San moderate 0.13378 riverine 0
Pablo flooding Barangay 14 low 0.02080 low
(Siman- Barangay 15 low 0.01010 low
gan)
Barangay 16 low 0.00749 low
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
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Climate, Disaster and Development Journal Volume 1 Issue 1 January 2016
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