Operations and Supply Chain Management
Operations and Supply Chain Management
Operations and Supply Chain Management
Class Notes
Operations and Supply Chain Management:
← What is Operations:
←
Operations can be strategic, tactical, and operational
o 1. Strategic (CEO, CFO, etc)
Long-term, how is this operation going to work
Where is the factory going to be, etc
o 2. Tactical (middle managers)
Short-term (6 months to a year)
Design, store goods (warehouse), move goods, production
scheduling, monitoring quality
o 3. Operational (lower level managers and workers)
Day-to-day
Staffing, shifts, etc
o Internal to the organization
Easy to duplicate and copy a product, but difficult to copy a supply chain
o Ex: iPhone and Samsung vs. Wal-mart and K-mart
Vision execution
o Operations and supply chain management work between vision and
execution
Operations and supply chain management: transformation process making an input
into an output
Key is to add value
← Inputs:
1. Transformed
o Raw material (steel, plastic, metal, etc)
o Customer (ex: sick customer goes to hospital and comes out healthy –
transformed)
o Finished good
2. Transforming
o Information (do this for that to happen, get this before that, etc)
o Staff
o Facilities
o Capital (money, equipment, etc)
o The transformed and transforming inputs work together to make an output
← Outputs:
1. Good (tangible – easier to see it happen)
2. Service (intangible – harder to see the output effects)
← What is Supply Chain:
←
Flow of the products and services from raw material manufacturers to the
customers
External to the organization
o Operations (internal): design, scheduling, factory
o Supply Chain (external): purchasing, storage, movement to floor, warehouse,
distribution, customer
The supply chain can also be internal
Supply chain is sequencing the facilities, function, and activities
Concern the with the flow of the goods (internal and external)
o In the transformation process
← Operations and Supply Chain Process:
1. Planning
2. Sourcing
3. Making
4. Delivering
5. Returning
←
Ideal for a company to balance the supply and demand to be successful
Demand comes from marketing and sales
←
Systems approach: looking at everything inside and outside the company and seeing
how there are dependant and reliant on each other
← Competitive Dimensions:
1. Cost
o Ex: dollar store
o Reduce internal, operational costs in order to succeed
o Reduce labour, automation (ex: self-checkout, computer inventory)
2. Quality
o 3 types of quality:
Process quality – product quality, making something good
Design quality – BMW vs. Honda Civic
Use quality inspection point during manufacturing (costs money –
labour and time)
Customer service
3. Delivery speed
o How fast is the product/service available
o Need inventory on hand, people wages (this is why delivery speed is more
costly)
4. Delivery reliability
o Infrastructure costs (computer systems, production schedules)
o More costly
5. Coping with changes in demand
o Need to have an efficient operations and supply chain strategy,
communication system (internal and external), forecasting system (sales,
marketing)
6. New product introduction and innovation
o Need new technology, good supplier relationship, invest in equipment
(equipment dedicated to certain individual functions), skilled workers
← Operations and Supply Chain Management Goals:
1. Improve efficiencies
o Doing things right (what you say you're going to do, do it right and once)
2. Effectiveness
o Doing the right things
3. Value
o As perceived by the customer
These three goals are not a strategy, they are the means to achieve a strategy
← Level Of Success Of A Company Depend On:
Quality
Design
Price
Customer service
Availability
← Two Types of Supply Chain Strategies:
1. Horizontal
o Strategy across the entire company
o Unified understanding of what we want to be
2. Vertical
o Where we look at the external to the organization
o Where the supply chain comes in
o The organization and the supplier need to have the same goals and
objectives in creating a product in order to succeed
o Idea in supply chain management that all suppliers and the organization are
an interconnected web of communication – all need the same objective
←
← Process Fundamentals and Capacity:
← Competitive Dimensions:
1. Cost or price
2. Quality
3. Delivery speed
4. Delivery reliability
5. Coping with changes in demand
6. New product introduction/innovation
← Transformation Process:
←
← Process Analysis:
What you have
How you do it
How to improve
These three questions are all interrelated
← Process Map:
←
← Process Mapping:
Describes the process
Tasks/transformation process (blue rectangle)
Flow of material or information (black arrow)
Storage: RM, WIP, FG (green triangle)
← Measuring the Process:
Capacity: how much can be produced within a specific amount of time
o Measured as units/time
o Ex: pieces/hour
Cycle time: average time for a product to be completed
o 1. Per task/activity/operation
o 2. Per entire process
o Measured as time/ unit
o Determines capacity
← Measuring the Process:
← Rush Orders:
3 orders in the system
1st one is 5 minutes into the bottleneck (paint – 15 minutes)
Safety margin – 2 minutes
4 orders x bottleneck (15 minutes) – 5 minutes (already in prod.) + 2 minutes (safety
margin)
o = 55 minutes + 2 minutes
←
← Quality Management:
When pressure is put on your system to make more than you can optimally make
(demand > supply), quality of your product decreases
“You cants manage what you don’t measure”
Cost of Quality:
Appraisal Costs:
o 1. Incoming inspection
o 2. In-process inspection
o 3. Calibration of tools
o 4. Dock audits
Prevention Costs:
o 1. Maintaining equipment
o 2. Quality planning
o 3. Supplier capabilities
o 4. Corrective actions
o 5. Training
o 6. Team meeting
External factors are huge and detrimental to a company
Focus should be on prevention (and appraisal) which makes your company better
o Rather than on internal and external because that is just fighting fire
← Six Σ Concepts:
1. Critical to quality: attributes most important to the customers
o Ex: pizza in 30 minutes or free
2. Defect: failing to deliver what the customer wants
3. Process capability: what your process can deliver
4. Variation: what the customer sees and feels
o Variation is bad (inconsistency)
5. Stable operation: consistent and predictable process to improve what the
customer sees and feels
o Take out any variation
6. Design for Six Σ: designing to meet customer needs and process capability
o Design you system to achieve all of these things
← DPMO: Defect Per Million Opportunities:
Used when an item can have more than one defect
o Defect: anything outside of a customer’s specifications
o Opportunity: total quantity of chances for a defect
o Σ: standard deviation of the process (variation from average)
Six Σ goal = 3.4 defects per million opportunities
DPMO = total defects observed / total opportunities X 1,000,000
←
← Statistical Process Control:
Process: set of people, equipment, procedures, and conditions that work together to
produce a result
Control chart: a graph of the performance of a process over time, arranged to
emphasize process variation
P-charts: charts items that are “good” or “bad”
← SPC: P Charts:
1. Used in Yes or No decisions
2. Assumed that the inspection process is consistent between samples
3. Make defects visible
←
←
← Demand Management and Forecasting:
← Characteristics of Demand:
1. Independent and dependant demand
2. Sources of demand
3. Demand patterns
← Independent Versus Dependent Demand:
Independent:
o Basis for demand planning
o What the customer orders and is forecasted
o Not related to the demand for any other product
Dependent:
o Demand that is related to the demand for another product
o It is calculated
Ex: making a car
o Predictable
o Ex: reading week flight prices increase
Cyclical
Stable = consistent
o Called a functional product
o Ex: Campbell’s soup
Dynamic = fluctuate
o Called an innovative product
o Ex: technology – when a new product is introduced, no one knows what
demand will be like
Mitigating forecast errors – collaborative planning, forecasting, and replenishment
o 1. Customer’s production schedule and future demand requirements are
shared
Big problem is people don’t trust each other
o 2. Inventory strategies are mutually agreed upon
o 3. Complete transparency
Everyone knows what’s going on – no secrets, no waiting
Share software to see what’s happening online
o 4. Customer/supplier objectives are the same
o 5. Based on high levels of trust
o 6. Companies become strategically aligned
Going to do this for the loyal customers who are worth it
←
← Aggregate Production Planning:
Back orders and lost sales – how do you calculate how much is costs to expedite to a
customer, lose a sale, etc
Costs of hiring and firing
← Example of How an Aggregate Production Planning Schedule:
Neither of these are optimal
o Care about the cumulative amount of products we are making
o Cumulative forecast for 3 months added and divided by three for an average
inventory for 3 month periods
Company Policy:
1. Are shortages okay?
o If someone doesn’t get the product, will they come back and get it
2. Are we going to be doing subcontracting?
o Outsourcing
3. What is our maximum overtime?
o Maximum we are going to have our employees work
4. Inventory policy
o How long are we allowing ourselves to sit on inventory? How are we going to
store it?
5. Are the people available?
o Are there always going to be the people there to make the product we want?
Are there always going to be people there to save us in times of need?
←
← Materials Requirement Planning:
← Master Production Schedule:
←
← Goals:
1. Manage resources
o How are you going to manage employees and equipment
2. Inventory
o Match projected inventory in aggregate plan
3. Customer service levels
← Independent Demand:
1. Demand unrelated to the demand for other products
2. Determined via forecast or actual orders
3. Production strategy determines lot sizes
o Level = constant production
o Chase = production for what’s needed
← Dependent Demand:
1. Demand directly related to demand for some other product
o “I don’t know how much steel to order until I know how many bikes are
going to sell”
2. Requirements derived from delivery schedule for end items
3. Use MRP to plan and control inventories of these products
← Input: Bill of Materials:
Ex: to make a table
o 1 top = independent item (making this item)
o 3 boards, 20 nails = dependent item (buying these parts)
Level 0 = top line independent item
Level 1 = parts going into level 0
Level 2 = parts going into level 1, and so on
← Input: Inventory Record File:
1. Accurate current data on inventory status
2. Computerized (item master file)
3. Lead times (order lead times and manufacturing lead times)
4. Inventory transactions (issue, receipt, order placement)
← Lead Times:
Release lead time receive
← MRP Logic:
1. Inputs
2. Part explosion
3. Netting of requirements
4. Offset requirements according to lead times
5. Lot sizing for production or purchasing
←
← Managing Inventory:
← The Supply Chain:
A group of internal functions, external suppliers, and customers
Extends from ultimate customer back to mother earth
← Supply Chain Networks:
← Supply Chain Management:
Definition: “A systems approach to managing the entire flow of information,
materials, and services from raw materials suppliers through factories and
warehouses to the end-customer”
← Supply Chain Management Goals:
1. Lower cost
2. Increased customer value and satisfaction
o Have to know what your customer wants
o Where the value will be added
o Different across countries and cultures
3. Competitive advantage
o Companies compete on their supply chains
o Ex: automobile industry
← Supply Chain Planning (depends on the company, its objectives, and its products):
1. Balancing supply and demand
o Very important – based on inventory
o Surpluses and shortages
o Affects your sales (if you don’t have the inventory in stock, customers will go
elsewhere)
2. Coordinating a company’s assets to optimize the delivery of goods, services, and
information from supplier to customer
o Assets:
Inventory (RM, WIP, FG)
Warehouses (management of warehouses and location)
Production facilities
Equipment
← Where is the Inventory in the Supply Chain:
Ex: 1 company with 4 suppliers and 4 customers
o All are holding onto inventory
Inventory accounts for the dominant cost within a supply chain
Bullwhip effect:
o ManufacturerWholesalerDistributorCustomer
Customer usually orders 1, but due to a flood, customers are ordering
tons
Distributor usually orders 10 for inventory, but because of the
customers ordering more, distributor is ordering 20
Carrying costs
o Costs to store goods
o Handling the goods (forklift, moving, more room for damage the more its
moved)
o Obsolete (if the goods sit long enough, they become obsolete to customers
and design changes)
o Depreciation (value of the goods are going down, not worth the same
money)
o Opportunity (the money spent on storing goods could have been used for
something else)
Cash conversion schedule - from the time you place the order until
the money is received from the customer which is a long time (money
is spent where you could have spent somewhere else)
o Perishability (rust, go bad)
← Forms of Inventory:
Raw Materials:
o Requires further processing
o Used in the finished product
Work in Process (WIP)
o Ex: dell
o Delayed differentiation (mass customization)
o Inventory in WIP format (only for assemble to order)
Wait for the order to come in and then put it together
Called mass customization
Problems:
Customer doesn’t always know what they want
Forecasts are difficult
Technological change
Engineer to order
o Major projects
o Long lead times (takes a very long time to make)
o Multiple inventory form
o Project focus
← Functions of Inventory (why do we have the inventory?):
1. Transit or pipeline inventory (inventory sitting on a truck, boat, etc)
2. Cycle inventory (more cost efficient to run at a certain batch/lot size)
3. Uncertainty/safety stock (hold onto them because we don’t know what’s going to
happen) - ex: natural disaster, big events, protection, holidays, fear of strikes, late
deliveries (supplier), machine breakdowns, employee absenteeism
4. Decoupling of operations (puts things in place between pieces of equipment in
case of delays to allow machines to keep running)
5. Flexibility of operations
6. Economies of scale
7. Strategic
← Problem with Inventory:
o Inventory is the water, and problems are in the rocks, but water (inventory)
is high enough that the boat continues
o As water goes down (inventory), eventually the rocks become problem and
must be dealt with)
o Companies hide behind these problems by producing extra inventory
o Ex: easier to have extra inventory than to fix the training problem
← Typical ABC Inventory Distribution:
Tenets of Lean:
Maximize customer value while minimizing waste
Overproduction, waiting time, transportation, processing, motion, defects, inventory
← Lean Tools and Techniques – Design Principles:
1. Produce in small lots
o Makes bottlenecks more obvious
o 1 piece flowing through at a time
2. Uniform plant loading/level scheduling
o Level load your plant based on demand
3. Set-up reduction
o Reduce set-up to save time and money
o Single minute exchange of dies (SMED)
4. Quality at the source
o Have it done right (high quality) the first time
5. Preventive maintenance
o Machinery will break if you don’t maintain it (take time regularly for
maintenance work)
6. Kanban
o Japanese word for signal
o Ex: in class airplane example, the green x’s were kanbans
o Important in a lean system
o Need to use kanban in a consistent quantity system or with unimportant C
parts
o Need to bring in and hold on to what you need
7. Cellular layout
o For lean systems
o In a traditional system, departments are separated by walls can cant see
what is coming in and what is going out
o In a lean system with cellular layout, departments are in a linear fashion with
the next function after the previous
o You can see when it comes in, you can see when it goes out
o Difficulty: cant have shared equipment (every department needs their own)
8. Process flexibility
o Important for process to be flexible
9. Employee involvement and empowerment
o In a lean system, the employees have the right to stop and speak up because
they think they have a poor quality product, the system isn’t working, etc
o In a traditional system, you don’t speak up, you just work
10. Supplier partnerships
o Want to have suppliers close to you
o Share your schedule with them so they can deliver at right times
o In a lean system, your suppliers are an extension of the company
← 5S – Steps to “clean up”:
Sort: separate needed items from unneeded (dispose of unneeded)
Set in order: neatly arrange items
o Many companies have peg boards (for tools) to always know where products
are and where they go
Shine: clean up work areas
Standardize: ensure there are standardized procedures (for the above steps)
o Have an audit to check these things
Sustain: keep it that way
← Continuous Improvement:
Kaizen – Japanese term for continuous improvement
← Benefit of a Lean System:
1. Low unit cost
2. Greater quality
o Most companies forget to measure performance based on external quality
3. Better customer service
o Shorter lead times and more predictable outcomes
4. Flexibility
o Able to change with your demand
o Able to respond to your customers needs
o No master production schedule telling you what to make and when
←
← Supply Chain Management Strategies:
Draw a supply chain map to see where everything is and going, and the costs
associated
Globalization (don’t buy and make products in North America much anymore)
← Magnitude of Supply Chain Costs:
←
Skipping distributor and the retailer reduces the cost of the product
Intermediaries increase costs
Ex: Costco and Walmart skip intermediaries which saves a lot of costs (working
directly with suppliers)
← Impact of Purchasing Dollars:
Total sales = $10,000,000
Purchased material = $7,000,000
Labour and salaries = $2,000,000
Overhead = $500,000
Profit = $500,00
How can we increase profits to $1,000,000?
o Increase sales by 100% - very difficult
o Increase selling price by 5% - upsets customers, lower sales if price is above
competitors
o Decrease labour and salaries by 25% - upsets employees
o Decrease overhead by 100% - impossible
o Decrease purchase cost by 7.1% - doable!!
← Right Supply Chain Strategy:
1. Tailored to meet the needs of the customer
o Need your own supply chain that meets your strategic needs and objectives
o Cannot copy another companies supply chain
2. Products with stable demand and reliable source supply should not be managed
the same as those unpredictable demand and unreliable sources of supply
o What works for one industry may not work for the other
o Need to look at characteristics of demand and characteristics of supply
← Demand Characteristics:
Functional:
o Stable and predictable demand
o Long lifecycle
o Less forecast error
o Mature product
o Low product variety
o Ex: T-shirt, groceries
Innovative:
o Unpredictable demand
o Short lifecycle
o Difficult to forecast quick obsolescence
o High product variety
o Ex: technology, high fashion
Competing Dimensions for Demand:
o Cost: functional products
o Speed to market: innovative products
o Flexibility: innovative products
o Quality: functional and innovative products (always want high quality)
Supply Characteristics (how easy is it to get their stuff):
Stable:
o Manufacturing processes and underlying technology are mature
o Manufacturing complexity is low
o Automated
o Long term supply contracts in place
Evolving:
o Manufacturing processes and underlying technology are still under
development
o Rapidly changing technology
o Supply based is limited in size and experience
o Equipment subject to break downs
o Ex: telephones
Competitive Dimensions for Supply:
o Cost: efficient supply chain
o Flexible: risk hedging, responsive, and agile supply chains
o Speed to market: agile and responsive supply chains
o Quality: all want high quality
← Bullwhip Effect:
←
The further away we get, the more trouble we get into
Try to plan supply chain so that there are the same trends in demand
Slight change in demand in consumer sales, retailer responds by increasing demand,
which makes the wholesaler increase their sales because of retailers, and then
manufacturers increases production
All due to lack of communication
Ask why sudden increase in demand rather than assuming and responding
immediately
← Supply and Demand Uncertainty Reduction Strategies:
Information sharing
o Reduced bullwhip effect
Synchronized planning
o Ex: smart car – built factory and chose suppliers to help design the car
o Collaborative planning – planning and forecasting together
o Everybody feels apart of the process
Use of technology/internet
A – no predecessor
B – A is the predecessor
C – A is the predecessor
D – B & C are predecessors
← Critical Paths:
The critical path is the one that takes longer
o Must be managed more critically than others
At each task, something it occurring
Shows which tasks are dependent on the completion of a project
←
← Controlling the Project: GANTT Chart
Triple bottom line: evaluating the firm against social, economic, and environmental
criteria
Social: pertains to fair and beneficial business practices toward labour, the
community, and the region in which a firm conducts its business
Economic: obligations to compensate shareholders who provide capital through
stock purchases and other financial instruments via a competitive return on
investment (traditionally referred to as THE bottom line)
o Developing them in the shortest amount of time to get them out to market
faster than competitors
6. Other product-specific criteria
o Other dimensions often relate to specific products or situations
o 1. Technical liaison and support
Provide technical assistance for products development, particularly
during the early stages of design and manufacturing
o 2. Meeting a launch date
Firm may be required to coordinate with other firms
o 3. Supplier after-sale support
Ability of a firm to support its product after the sale
Availability of replacement parts and possibly, modification of older,
existing products to new performance levels
Speed of response to these after-sale needs is often important as well
o 4. Other dimensions
These typically include factors such as available colours, size, weight,
location of the fabrication site, customization available, and product
mix options
← Emerging Competitive Dimensions:
Environmentalism and corporate social responsibility (CSR)
o Products or services that are seen as environmentally friendly and are
created in an ethical manner command a higher price in the markets
o Companies are realizing that not maintaining a minimal level of corporate
social responsibility can be a competitive advantage
o Companies are becoming more transparent in their supply chain to
demonstrate this
o Help the company bottom line as well as the environment
o Companies have to avoid “greenwashing” customers by purporting to be
“green” while in reality they are not
o Counterfeiting – especially in products that can affect customer health and
safety
o The issue of CSR is increasingly important as supply chains become global
Access to Information
o Providing customers with access to information that was previously available
only internally is increasingly valued by customers
o Package tracking over the internet via FedEx, UPS, and Purolator, enables the
customer to have visibility into the internal processes of the courier
o Customers appear to value organizations providing access to “internal”
information, even paying more in some circumstances
← The Notion of Trade-Offs:
The underlying logic is that an operation cannot excel simultaneously on all
competitive dimensions
Management has to decide which parameters of performance are critical to the
firm’s success and then concentrate the resources of the firm on these particular
characteristics
A strategic position is not sustainable unless there are compromises with other
positions
Trade-offs occur when activities are incompatible – more of one thing necessitate
less of another
Excellent companies are able to compete better on more competitive dimensions
Better operations and supply management practices as well by using advanced
manufacturing and information technology
Straddling: occurs when a company seeks to match the benefits of a successful
position while maintaining its existing position
It adds new features, services or technologies onto the activities it already performs
o Ex: Continental Airlines - Continental Lite
← Order Winners and Order Qualifiers: The Marketing-Operations Link:
An interface between marketing and operations is necessary to provide a business
with an understanding of its markets from both perspectives
o Ex: Terry Hill – oriented dimensions that are key to competitive success
Order winner: criterion that differentiates the products or services of one firm from
another
o Cost of the product (price), product quality and reliability, or any of the other
dimensions developed earlier
Order qualifier: a screening criterion that permits a firm’s products to even be
considered as possible candidates for purchase
Must “requalify the order qualifiers” every day it is in business
The order winning and order qualifying criteria may change over time
Consumer groups continually monitor the quality and reliability criteria, thus
requalifying the top-performing companies
Customers know the set of features they want and they want to purchase a
particular combination at the lowest price, thus maximizing value
Some aspects of corporate social responsibility such as ethical production are now
becoming order qualifiers
Ex: a few years ago internet connection in hotels was order winner, today in-room
internet has become an order qualifier
← Strategic Fit: Fitting Activities to Strategy:
A successful strategy requires strong linkages that are horizontal, vertical, and across
time
An organizations strategy is only as strong as its weakest link
Even if activities related to only one of the horizontal, vertical and across-time
strategies are incongruent with the corporate strategy, it will affect the performance
of the organization
← Horizontal Strategic Linkages:
After corporate strategy is developed, all functional areas then must coordinate
their own strategies to implement
Vertical Strategic Linkages:
An organization may be just one link in a vertical supply chain that spans from a
parent corporation all the way down to the organization’s suppliers
The activities at every level of the chain have to be consistent with the overall
strategy
← Across time Strategic Linkages:
The implementation of a strategy requires long-term (strategic), medium-term
(tactical), and short-term (operational) decisions for success
Implementing a strategy requires “walking the talk” – following through with the
medium and short term decisions and processes that will enable the long-term
strategy to be successful
In order to succeed in the market place, a company’s strategy must be delivered
through a set of tailored activities
In companies with a clear strategy, a number of higher-order strategic themes can
be identified and implemented through clusters of tightly linked activities
← A Framework for Operations and Supply Chain Strategy:
Operations strategy must be linked vertically to the customer and horizontally to
other parts of the enterprise
Overlying this framework is senior management’s strategic vision of the firm
The vision identifies, in general terms, the target market, the firm’s product line, and
its core capabilities
The firm may also have a mission, which expresses its method to achieve the vision
With the given vision and mission, corporate strategy dines the specific businesses in
which the firm will compete and how it will compete
The business strategy depends on the market requirements (such as customer
desires and success criteria in the market), the environment (such as competition,
technological advances, and government regulations) and the organizational
competencies (such as its core capabilities, its culture, and strengths and
weaknesses)
The choice of a target make can be difficult
The environment is also important in formulating strategy
Use of technology in manufacturing and services has increased greatly in recent
years
Naturally, this affects the market choice, and competitive priorities as well as
operations strategy decisions
Functional strategies (operations, marketing, HR) are developed to support or align
with the established business strategy
Core capabilities/competencies: the distinctive skills or capabilities that the
organization possesses
These often differentiate the service or manufacturing firm from its competitors and
create a preference for its products in the marketplace
Strategy is often based on core capabilities
The operations activities must be linked to the activities of the other functions of the
firm
Possibly the most difficult thing for a firm to do is part with tradition
What companies need in this world of intense global competition is not more
techniques but a way to structure a while new product or service creation system
differently and better than any competitor
EXHIBIT 2.3 – The Operations Strategy Process
← Assessing the Risk Associated with Operations and Supply Chain Strategies:
The uncertainty in the global environment where most supply chains operate
requires strategic planners to evaluate the relative risk of their operations and
supply chain strategies
Supply chain risk: the likelihood of a disruption that would impact the ability of the
company to continuously supply products or services
Supply chain disruptions that are unplanned and unanticipated events that disrupt
the normal flow of gods and materials within a supply chain, which expose firms
within the supply chain to operational and financial risks
Operations and supply chain strategies must consider the risk in their supply chains
and develop initiates to cope with these disruptions and mitigate their impact on the
business
Two dimensions:
o 1. Supply chain coordination risks that are associated with the day-to-day
management of the supply chain, which are normally dealt with using safety
stock, safety lead time, overtime, etc
o 2. Disruption risks, which are caused by natural or manmade disasters, such
as earthquakes, hurricanes, and terrorism
Disruption risks – events related to these risks are highly random and virtually
impossible to predict with an precision
← Risk Management Framework:
The nature of these types of risk lends itself to a four-step risk management process
that can be applied to situations where disruptions are possible
The four steps are:
o 1. Identify the sources of potential disruptions
Assessing the type of vulnerability
We do the improvement
We check the results against the plan
We act to improve again, which leads us back to the beginning of the
next PDCA cycle
W. Edwards Deming:
o Deming emphasized the importance of organization-wide quality
management
o He placed great importance on the change in attitude of senior management
o “Red bead experiment”
o His well-know 14 point plan for quality improvement helps achieve long-term
competitiveness
o The plan focuses on the following major themes in quality improvement:
1. Defect prevention rather than inspection
2. Doing business with suppliers based on quality rather than price
3. Leadership from top management that provides an atmosphere in
which employees can focus on continuous improvement and can take
price in their work though producing quality goods and services
4. The importance of continuous training and education
o It was also his view that by focusing on quality, cost would be automatically
reduced in the long run
o His work influenced the rise in quality of Japanese products
Joseph M. Juran:
o Also influenced the Japanese
o Developed the concert of quality as “fitness for use” – i.e. that product must
satisfy the customer’s needs
o Promoted the Pareto analysis in quality control and costs of quality
o His methods of preventing quality problems included:
Quality improvement - finding ways to doing better than standard
Quality planning - launching new products and process in ways that
result in minimal need for future quality improvements
Genichi Taguchi:
o Applied the concept of design of experiments (changing various parameters
of the process), also referred to as DOE, in optimizing process quality
o His work influenced many companies like Toyota
Philip Crosby:
o Developed the notion that “quality if free”
o The cost and effort spent preventing defects will be more than offset by the
benefits, such as reduced repair cost, better reputation, and more market
share
o Focused on defect prevention or “zero defects”
EXHIBIT 8.1: The Quality Gurus Compared
These dimensions refer to the features of the product or service that relate directly
to design issues
A firm designs a product or service with certain performance characteristics and
features based on what the intended market expects
Materials and manufacturing process attributes can greatly impact the reliability and
durability of a product
The company attempts to design a product or service that can be produced or
delivered at reasonable cost
Te serviceability of the product may have a great impact on the cost of the product
or service to the customer after the initial purchase is made
It may also affect the warranty and repair cost to the firm
Aesthetics may greatly impact the desirability of the product or service, in particular
consumers products
The design often represents the next generation of an ongoing stream of products or
services, especially when a brand name is involved
Consistency in the relative performance of the product compared to the start of the
art may have a great impact on how the quality of the product is perceived
This may be very important to the long-run success of the product or service
Quality function development (QFD) is an important tool in improving design
quality
QFD uses multifunctional teams from different departments, such as marketing,
design, engineering, and manufacturing, to ensure that the designed product is fit
for use
The QFD process beings with understanding the customer to determine the
characteristics of the required product
The customers’ product needs and preferences are then defined and broken down
into categories called customer attributes
A weighted importance rating for each engineering characteristic that relates to
customer attributes is developed
The customer is also asked to compare and rate the company’s products with those
of its competitors
Thus, the QFD process helps the company to determine those product
characteristics that are important to the consumer and to evaluate its product in
relation to others
The end result is a better understanding of and focus on the product characteristics
that require improvement
Customer attribute information forms the basis for the QFD matrix, also called the
house of quality (HOQ)
The matrix depicts:
o 1. Customer attributes
o 2. Design characteristics required to satisfy customer requirements
o 3. Weighted importance ratings for the design characteristics
o 4. Interrelationships between design characteristics (that could lead to trade
offs)
o 5. Competitor comparisons
By building a HOQ matrix, the cross-function QFD team can use customer feedback
to make engineering, marketing, and design decisions
The matrix helps the team translate customer attribute information into concrete
operating or engineering goals
The important product characteristics and goals for improvement are jointly agreed
on and detailed in the house
This process encourages the different departments to work closely together and
results in a better understanding of each other’s goals and issues
However, the most important benefit of the HOQ is that it helps the team to focus
on building a product that satisfies customers
Conformance quality refers to the degree to which the product or service design
specifications are met
The activities involved in achieving conformance are of a tactical, day-to-day nature
Quality at the source is frequently discussed in the context of conformance quality
This means the person who does the work takes responsibility for making sure that
their output meets specifications
EXHIBIT 8.4: Examples of Dimensions of Quality
Both quality of design and quality of conformance should provide products that
meet the customer’s objectives for those products
This is often termed the product’s fitness for use, developed by Joseph M. Juran
It entails identifying the dimensions of the product or service that the customer
wants and developing a quality control program to ensure that these dimensions are
met
← Cost of Quality:
Recognized by Juran
Cost of quality (COQ) analyses are common in industry and constitute one of the
primary functions of QC departments
From the purist’s point of view, it means all of the costs attributable to the product
of quality that is not 100 percent perfect
A less stringent definition considers only those costs that are the difference between
what can be expected from excellent performance and the current costs that exits
How significant is the cost of quality?
o It has been estimated at between 15 to 20 percent of every sales dollar
o Crosby states that the correct cost for a well-run quality management
program should be under 2.5 percent
Three basic assumptions justify an analysis of the costs of quality:
o 1. Failures are caused
o 2. Prevention is cheaper
o 3. Performance can be measured
The costs of quality are generally classified into four types (EXHIBIT 8.5):
o 1. Appraisal costs – costs of the inspection, testing, and other tasks to ensure
that the product or process is acceptable
o 2. Prevention costs – the sum of all of the costs to prevent effects
Fail-safing measures to prevent defects are sometimes referred to by
the Japanese term poka-yoke
o 3. Internal failure costs – costs for defects incurred within the systems (scrap,
rework, repairs)
o 4. External failure costs – costs for defects that pass through the system
(customer warranty replacements, loss of customers or goodwill, handling
complaints, and product repair)
The lesson is that it may not require new money to improve an organization’s quality
performance - just has to change where they are spending it
Often, increases in productivity occur as a by-product of efforts to reduce the cost of
quality
← International Quality Management Systems Standards:
← ISO 9000:
ISO 9000 is a series of international quality standards developed by the International
Organization for Standardization
The idea behind the standards is that defects can be prevented through the planning
and allocation of best practices at every stage of business
These standards focus on identifying criteria by which any organization, regardless of
whether it is manufacturing or service oriented, can ensure that product leaving its
facility meets the requirements of its customers
These standards ask a company to first document and implement its systems for
quality management and then to verify, by means of an audit conducted by an
independent accredited third party, the compliance of those systems to the
requirements of the standards
ISO 9000 is a family of standards on good quality management practices based on
international consensus
ISO 9000:2008 is the main standard, providing standardized requirements of a
quality management system for any organization
Other standards in the ISO 9000 family relate to things such as performance
improvements, training, and process documentation
Only the ISO 9000:2008 standard provides the possibility of a certification, though
certifications is not mandatory
These are process standards (not product standards), meaning that they indicate
how processes should be measured and documented from a quality view, but d not
prescribe specific tolerances for individual products (which may be covered by
industry-specific or jurisdiction-specific standards)
The purpose of ISO is to facilitate international trade by providing a single set of
standards that people everywhere will recognize and respect
The standards apply to all kinds of organizations in many industries
← ISO 9000 Certification:
Registration procedures to become certified differ depending on the country
A voluntary guidance tool to help move organizations from “good intentions to good
actions” by:
o Developing an international consensus on what social responsibility means
and the related issues that organizations need to address
o Providing guidance on translating principles into effective actions
o Refining best practices that have already evolved and disseminating the
information worldwide for the good of the international community
ISO 26000 covers the following seven core subjects and their issues that are
addressed:
o Organizational governance
o Human rights
o Labour practices
o The environment
o Fair operating practices
o Consumer issues
o Community involvement and development
The ISO standards are constantly evolving
← Recognition for Good Organization-Wide Quality:
To foster better quality in products and services, many countries have instituted
annual awards for companies that achieve organization-wide quality
o Canada = Canada Awards for Excellence (CAE)
o United States = Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award (MBNQA)
o European Union = European Quality Award
o Japan = Deming Award
Canada Awards for Excellence:
The Canada Awards for Excellence (CAE) are quality awards given annually to
Canadian organizations by the National Quality Institute (NQI) on behalf of the
Canadian government to recognize outstanding achievement across major functions
of the organization
EXHIBIT 8.8: The Integrated Framework for the Canada Award for Excellence
Put tools in place to ensure that the key variables remain within the
maximum acceptance ranges under the modified process
← Analytical Tools for Six Sigma:
The analytical tools of Six Sigma have been used for many years in traditional quality
improvement programs to collect, present, and analyze data about any kind of
process, including service processes
The goal in using it is to provide management with the proper information to make
better decisions about how to design and improve process performance
These seven basic quality control (QC) tools are:
o 1. Process flow charts (or diagrams)
o 2. Check sheets
o 3. Bar charts and histograms
o 4. Pareto charts
o 5. Scatter plots (or diagrams)
o 6. Run (or trend) charts
o 7. Cause-and-effect (or fishbone) charts
Process Flow Charts (Or Diagrams):
o Process flow diagrams or flow charts show each of the steps required to
produce either a good or a service
o In service operations, flow charts often are referred to as “service blueprints”
o The primary purpose for using flow chart analysis is to properly sequence the
various tasks required to produce a given product or service and to identify
any bottlenecks in the process that limit its overall capacity
o The purpose of flowcharting, from a quality improvement perspective, is to
identify those steps in the process that could be potential sources of error
o
Check sheets:
o Collected data about some process by noting how frequently an event occurs
and making a tick mark for a particular category in a check sheet
o What is most important about check sheets is that the categories not overlap
and that all categories be listed – in other words, categories should be
mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive
o
Parteo Charts:
o Pareto charts (sometimes referred to as Pareto analysis) are specialized bar
charts
o The frequency of occurrence of errors is sorted in descending order and a
cumulative percentage line is typically added to make it easier to determine
how the errors add up
o Pareto charts can help to establish priorities for action, focusing attention on
those errors that occur most frequently
o However, there are times when the frequency of occurrence by itself does
not determine how important an error problem might be
o The Pareto diagram an weigh the factors being considered to enable
managers to take action on those items that most need attention
o
Scatter Plots (Or Diagrams):
o Scatter plots show the relationship between two measured (not counted)
variables
o
Run (Or Trend) Charts:
o Run charts show the behavior of some variable over time
o
Cause-and-Effect (Or Fishbone) Diagrams:
o Cause-and-effect diagrams (also known as fishbone diagrams or Ishikawa
diagrams) are used to identify the causes that lead to a particular outcome or
effect
o Major categories of the causes are first identified, then for each cause, why is
asked until the root cause for that category can be identified
o
Other tools that have seen extensive use in Six Sigma projects are failure mode and
effect analysis (FMEA) and design of experiments (DOE):
o Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA):
This is a structured approach to identify, estimate, prioritize, and
evaluate risk of possible failures at each stage of a process
o Xi = observed value
o N = total number of observed values
The standard deviation is
In monitoring a process using SQC, samples of the process output would be taken
and sample statistics calculated
Using samples allows for the quick detecting of changes in the actual distribution of
the process
The purpose of sampling is to find when the process has changed in some
nonrandom way, so that the reason for the change can be quickly determined
← Variation Around Us:
It is generally accepted that as variation is reduced, quality is improved
With engineers, the knowledge is better defined
When quality is unacceptable, customers are typically dissatisfied
However, engineers also know that it is impossible to have zero variability
For this reason, designers establish specifications that define not only the target
value of something but also acceptable limits about the target
These design limits are often referred to as the upper and lower specification limits
A traditional way of interpreting such a specification is that any part that falls within
the allowed range is equally good, whereas any part falling outside the range is
totally bad
Taguchi has pointed out that the traditional view is nonsense for two reasons:
o 1. From the customer’s view, there is often practically no difference between
a product just inside specifications and a product just outside. Conversely,
there is a far greater difference in the quality of a product that is the target
an the quality of one that is near a limit
o 2. As customers get more demanding, there is pressure to reduce variability
EXHIBIT 8.16: A Traditional View of the Cost of Variability
In nearly anything that can be measured, the customers sees not a sharp line, but a
gradation of acceptability away fro the “aim” specification
Customers see the loss function as Taguchi’s view rather than the traditional view
If products are consistently scrapped when they are outside specifications, the loss
curve flattens out in most cases at a value equivalent to scrap cost in the ranges
outside specifications
This is because such products, theoretically at least, will never be sold, so there is no
external cost to society
However, in many practical situations, either the process is capable of producing a
very high percentage of product within specifications and 100 percent checking is
not done, or, if the process is not capable of producing within specifications, 100
percent checking is done and out-of-spec products can be reworked to being them
within specs
In either of these situations, the parabolic loss function usually a reasonable
assumption
← Process Capability:
Taguchi argues that being within specifications is not a yes/no decision, but rather a
continuous function
The Motorola quality experts argue that the process used to produce a good or
deliver a service should be so good that the probability of generating a defect should
be very, very low
Motorola made process capability and product design famous by adopting Six Sigma
limits
When we design a part, we specify that certain dimensions should be within the
upper and lower specification limits
There are many variables involved for parts
The designer specifies limits for each of these variables to ensure that the parts will
fit properly, known as the lower and upper specification limits
Usually, there are trade-offs that need to be considered when designing a process
for making a part
We can run a test assuming that the process is under control
After running our test, we find that the average or men is “centered” right in the
middle of the upper and lower specification limits
In reality, it may be very difficult to have a perfectly centered process
Let’s say that the values have a standard deviation; this means that the process does
not make each production exactly the same
Normally we monitor a process suing control charts
If the process makes products with more than three standard deviations above or
below, we stop the process
This means that we will product parts that vary between ___ and ___ are referred to
as the upper and lower process limits
The “process” limits relate to how consistent our process is for making the product
The “specification” limits are related to the design of the part
Normally in control charts, we will examine samples as a group
Thus, we will have to use the standard deviation of the sample mean rather than the
standard deviation of the individual units
Ex: if process limits are slightly greater than the specification limits
o Not good because we will produce some parts that do not meet
specifications
Companies with Six Sigma processes insist that a process making a part be capable
of operating so that the design specification limits are six standard deviations away
for the process mean
Using a 100 percent testing approach, the company would spend more time testing
than it takes to actually make the part, significantly slowing the process and
potentially doubling the cost of the part
This is why organizations use small samples to periodically check that a process is in
statistical control
We say that a process is capable when the mean and standard deviation of the
process are operating such that the upper and lower control limits are acceptable
relative to the upper and lower specification limits
If we can improve our process by reducing the standard deviation associated with
the part, the probability can be reduced
Suppose the central value of mean of the process shifts away from the mean
(approx. 1 standard deviation closer to the upper specification limit)
o Causes a slightly higher number of expected defects (since the right edge of
the red area is now closer to the upper specification limit, but we can bee
that this is still very, very good
We use the capability index to measure how well our process is capable of producing
relative to the design specifications
Capability Index (CPK):
The capability index (CPK) shows how well the parts being produced fit into the
range of specified by the design specification limits
If the specification limits are larger than the three σ allowed in the process, then the
mean of the process can be allowed to drift off-center before readjustment, and a
high percentage of good parts will still be produced
The capability index (CPK) is the position of the mean and tails of the process relative
to design specifications
EXHIBIT 8.18: Process Capability
The more off-center, the greater the chance to produce defective parts
Because the process mean can shift in either direction, the direction of shift and its
distance from the design specification set the limit on the process capability
The direction shift is toward the smaller number
The capability index (CPK) is calculated as the smaller number as follows:
o
Note: CPK has to be at least 2 for a process to be capable
At times, it is useful to calculate the actual probability of producing a defect
The approach to use is to calculate the probability of producing a part outside the
lower and upper design specification limits, given the means and standard deviation
of the process
The Z score is the number of standard deviations either to the right or to the left of
zero in s standard normal distribution
An easy way to get the probabilities associated with these Z values is to use the
NORMSDIST functions built into excel
The format for this function is NORMSDIST (Z), where Z is the Z value calculated
above
NORMSDIST is giving the cumulative probability to the left of the given Z value
If +/- 6 σ is a defect level of 2 per billion, why does Motorola’s Six Sigma definition
refer to 3.4 per million?
o The reasons I the Motorola’s definition allows for a shift in the process mean
itself by 1.5 σ (CPK = 1.5)
o A shift in the mean implies reduced process capability and increased
probability of defects
o Motorola’s Six Sigma process definition is closely related to +/- 6 σ but is not
identical
← Process Control Procedures:
Process control is concerned with monitoring quality while the product or service is
being produced
Typical objectives of process control plans are to provide timely information on
whether currently produced items are meeting design specifications and to detect
shifts in the process the signal that future items (units) may not meet specifications
Statistical process control (SPC) involves testing a random sample of output from a
process to determine whether the process is producing items within a preselected
range
Attributes are quality characteristics that are classified as either conforming or not
conforming to specification
o Good or bad, functioning or malfunctioning, etc
o This type of measurement is known as sampling by attributes
Amount of deviation from a set standard
o This type of measurement is known as sampling by variables
EXHIBIT 8.20: Process Control Chart
The process is assumed to be working correctly when the samples, which are taken
periodically during the day, continue to stay between the control limits
P bar is the fraction defective, Sp is the standard deviation, n is the sample size and z
is the number of standard deviations for a specific confidence
Typically, Z = 3 (99.7% confidence) or Z= 2.58 (99% confidence) is use
← Size of the Sample:
The size of the sample must be large enough to allow counting of the attribute
A rule of thumb when setting up a P chart is to make the sample large enough to
expect to count the attribute twice in each sample
o Ex: is defect rate was 1%, sample size would be 200 units
Assumption is that the sample size is fixed
The calculation o the standard deviation depends on this assumption
If the sample size varies, the standard deviation and upper and lower process
control limits should be recalculated for each sample
← Process Control with Variable Measurements: Using X bar and R Charts:
X bar and R (range) charts are widely used in statistical process control
In attribute sampling, we determine whether something is good or bad, fits or
doesn’t fit – it is a go/no-go situation
In variables sampling, we measure the actual weight, volume, length, or other
variable measurements, and we develop control charts to determine the
acceptability of refection of the process based on those measurements
These values are used to create or modify control charts and to see whether they fall
within the acceptable limits
Four main issues need to be addressed in creating a control charts: the size of the
samples, number of samples, frequency of samples, and control limits
Size of Samples:
o When we compared process limits and specification limits, the normal
method in process control is to use sample sizes greater than one
o For industrial applications in process control involving the measurement of
variables it is preferable to keep the sample size small
An X bar chart is simple a plot of the means of the samples that were taken from a
process
X bar bar is the average of the means
The standard deviation of the process is not known
For this reason, an approach that uses actual sample data is commonly used
An R chart is a plot of the range within each sample
The range is the difference between the highest and the lowest numbers in that
sample
R values provide an easily calculated measure of variation used like a standard
deviation
An R bar chart is the average of the range of each sample
o X bar = mean of the sample
o i = item number
o n = total number of items in the sample
o R bar = average of the measurement differences R for all samples
Upper and lower control limit for X bar and R formulas:
o
Acceptance Sampling:
← Design of a Single Sampling Plan for Attributes:
While a sampling plan meets our requirements for the extreme values of good and
bad quality, we cannot readily determine how well the plan discriminates between
good and bad lots at intermediate values
For this reason, sampling plans are generally displayed graphically through the use
of operating characteristic (OC) curves
These curves, which are unique for each combination of n and c, simply illustrate the
probability of accepting lots with varying percentages of defectives
The procedure we have followed in developing the plan, specifies two point on an
OC curve:
o 1. One point defined by AQL and 1 -
o 2. One point defined by LTPD and
Curves for common values of n and c can be computed or obtained from available
tables
Shaping the OC Curve:
o A sampling plan discriminating perfectly between good and bad lots has an
infinite slope (vertical) at the selected value of AQL
o However, such a curve is possible only with compete inspection of all units
and thus is not a possibility with a true sampling plan
o An OC curve should be steep in the region of most interest (between the AQL
and the LTPD), which is accomplished by varying n and c
o If c remains constant, increasing the sample size n causes the OC curve to be
more vertical
o While holding n constant, decreasing c (the maximum number of defective
units) also makes the slope more vertical, moving closer to the origin
The Effects of Lot Size:
o The size of the lot that the sample is taken from has relatively little effect on
the quality of protection
o This means that as long as the lot size is several times the sample size, it
makes little difference how large the lot is
o Statistically (on the average in the long run), whether we have a carload or
box full, we’ll get about the same answer
o This assumes that the lot is randomly chosen and that defects are randomly
spread through the lot
Situations in which it is necessary to have the item in stock are ideal candidates for
the models described in this chapter
A distinction that should be made with the models in this chapter is whether this is a
one time purchase (ex: seasonal item or for special event), or whether the item will
be stocked on an ongoing basis
EXHIBIT 10.1 – Supply Chain Inventories
In these situations, companies attempt to maximize the fill rate (95% or 99%) while
maintaining a reasonable inventory investment
Note that in the make to order system no end product inventory is maintained
(instant fill rate is 0%)
Companies that stock many items may use a combination of fill rate policies for
different items
A few items that are crucial or are inexpensive to hold may have 100% fill rate, while
many others may have a 95% fill rate
Other slow moving items may have a 0% fill rate and are backordered when the
customer wants them - implying that the customers understand that these are
special orders, and are willing to wait
An item is considered backordered when there is not stock in inventory but an order
has been placed with the supplier
This chapter looks at three types of inventory decision models (all of which assume
stable, though not necessarily deterministic demand)
They are applicable in different situations and answer two decision questions:
o 1. When do we place an order
o 2. How much do we order
Three inventory decision models are:
o 1. The single period model – this is used when making a one time purchase of
an item
o 2. The fixed-order-quantity model – this is used to maintain an item in stock,
and when we resupply the item, a certain number of units must be ordered
each time. Inventory for the item is monitored until it gets down to a level
where the risk of stocking out is great enough that we are compelled to
order
o 3. The fixed-review-period model – this is similar to the fixed-order-quantity
model; it is used when the item should be in stock and ready to use. The item
is ordered at certain intervals of time (ex: every Friday). Convenient when a
group of items are ordered together
Ensuring accuracy in inventory records is essential to running an efficient inventory
control process
Techniques such as ABC analysis and cycle counting are essential to the actual
management of the system since they focus attention on the high value items and
ensure the quality of the transactions that affect the tracking of inventory levels
Also, effective inventory management leads to operations becoming more green
Ensuring that the right amount of inventory in carried starts with sales and
operations planning, and forecasting
These two processes inform the manager of the likely sales and production plans by
period which then allows the planning of the inventory by period
← Definition of Inventory:
Inventory is the stock of any item or resource used in an organization
An inventory system is the set of policies and controls that monitor levels of
inventory and determine what levels should be maintained, hen stock should be
replenished, and how large orders should be
Manufacturing inventory generally refers to items that contribute to or become part
of a firm’s product output
Manufacturing inventory is typically classified into raw materials, finished products,
component parts, supplies, and work in process
In services, inventory generally refers to the tangible goods to be sold and the
supplies necessary to administer the service
The basic purpose of inventory analysis in manufacturing and stock keeping services
is to specify (1) when items should be ordered and (2) how large the order should be
Many firms tend to enter longer-term relationships with vendors to supply their
needs for perhaps the entire year
This changes the “when” and “how many to order” to “when” and “how many to
deliver”
← Purposes of Inventory:
All firms keep a supply of inventory for the following reasons:
o 1. To maintain independence of operations
A supply of materials at a work center allows that center flexibility in
operations
Ex: reduce the number of set ups
Independence of work stations is desirable on assembly lines as well
The time that it takes to do identical operations will naturally vary
from one unit to the next
Therefore, it is desirable to have a cushion of several parts within the
work station so that shorter performance times can compensate for
longer performance times
This way, the average output can be fairly stable
o 2. To meet variation in product demand
Obviously, high holding costs tend to favour low inventory levels and
frequent replenishment
o Set-up/production change costs: making each different product involves
obtaining the necessary materials, arranging specific equipment set ups,
filling out the required papers, appropriately charging time and materials,
and moving out the previous stock of material
If there were no costs or loss of time in changing from one product to
another, many small lots would be produced
This would reduce inventory levels, with a resulting savings in cost
One challenge today is to try to reduce these set-up costs to permit
smaller lot sizes
o 3. Ordering/order preparation costs: these costs refer to the managerial and
clerical costs to place the purchase order. Ordering costs include all the
details such as counting items and calculating order quantities. The costs
associated with maintaining the system needed to track orders are also
included in ordering costs.
This costs is similar to the set-up cost expect that it is related to a
purchase order rather than a production order
o 4. Shortage costs: when the stock of an item is depleted, an order for that
item must either wait until the stock is replenished or be cancelled. There is a
trade-off between carrying stock to satisfy demand and the costs resulting
form stock out
Establishing the correct quantity to order from vendors or the size of lots submitted
to the firms productive facilities involves a search for the minimum total cost
resulting from the combined effects of the individual costs: holding costs, set-p
costs, ordering costs, and shortage costs
The timing of these orders is a critical factor that may affect inventory cost
← Managing Inventory for Independent Versus Dependent Demand:
Inventory is managed differently depending how the demand for the item is derived
Independent demand: demand for an item is not dependent on another item
These are typically end items such as cars, TVs, and filing cabinets, or spare parts
To determine the quantities of independent items that must be produced, firms
usually turn to their sales and market research departments
Techniques used: customer surveys, forecasting techniques, and economic and
sociological trends
This demand is then converted into the master production schedule (MPS) which is a
production plan
Because independent demand is uncertain, extra units (safety stock) must be carried
in inventory
For many service organizations such as retailers, or hospitals that purchase the end
items, inventory management of end items is all they need to do
But for the companies that manufacture the end items, managing inventory of the
components that go into the end item is critical too
The demand for components of an end item are said to experience dependent
demand since the demand depends on the demand for another item (typically the
item of which this component is a part)
Needed quantities of a dependent demand item are simply computed, based on the
number needed in each higher level item in which it is used
However, it takes time to produce these components and there may be inventory of
some components
Thus the time of production as well as net inventory needed have to be calculated
for a large number of components
← Inventory Systems:
An inventory system provides the organizational structure and the operating policies
for maintaining and controlling goods to be stocked
The system is responsible for ordering and receipt of goods: timing the order
placement and keeping track of what has been ordered, how much, and from whom
The system must also follow up to answer questions, such as has the supplier
received the order? Has it been shipped? Are the dates correct? Etc
This section divides systems into single-period systems and multiple-period systems
The classification is based on whether the decision is just a one time purchasing
decisions where the purchase is designed to cover a fixed period of time and the
item will not be reordered, or if the decision involves an item that will be purchased
periodically and inventory should be kept in stock to be used on demand
← A Single-Period Inventory Model:
Ex: t-shirts promoting a championship hockey game
A simple way to think about this is to consider how much risk we are willing to take
for running out of inventory
Co = cost per unit of demand overestimated
Cu = cost per unit of demand underestimated
The expected marginal cost equation is:
o P(Co) (1 – P) Cu
P is the probability that the unit will not be sold
1-P is the probability of it being sold, because one or the other must
occur
Solving for P, we obtain a distribution independent equation:
o P Cu
Co + C u
o This equation states that we should continue to increase the size of the order
as long as the probability of selling what we order is equal to or less than the
ratio Cu / Co + Cu
Single-period inventory models are useful for a wide variety of service and
manufacturing applications
Consider the following:
o Overbooking of airline flights
The cost of underestimating the number of cancellations if the
revenues lost due to an empty seat on a flight
The cost of overestimating cancellations if the awards, such as free
flights or cash payments, that are given tot customers unable to
board the flight
o Ordering of fashion items
Often only a single order can be placed for the entire season
This is caused by long lead times and the limited life of the
merchandise
The cost of underestimating demand is the lost profit due to sales not
made
The cost of overestimating demand is the cost that results when it is
discounted
o Any type of one time order
Ex: t-shirts for a sporting event, spare parts, or maps because
obsolete after a certain period of time
← Multi-Period Inventory System:
There are two general types of multi-period inventory systems:
o 1. Fixed-order-quantity models (also called the economic order quantity,
EOC, and Q model)
o 2. Fixed-review-period models (also referred to variously as the periodic
system, periodic review system, fixed order interval system, and P model)
Multi-period inventory systems are designed to ensure that an item will be available
on an ongoing basis throughout the year
Usually the item will be ordered multiple times throughout the year where the logic
in the system dictates the actual quantity ordered and the timing of the order
The basic distinction is the fixed-order-quantity models are “event triggered” and
fixed-review-period models are “time triggered”
A fixed-order-quantity model initiates an order when the event of reaching a
specified reorder level occurs
This event may take place at any time, depending on the demand for the items
considered
The fixed-review-period model is limiting to placing orders at the end of a
predetermined review period; only the passage of time triggers the model
To use the fixed-order-quantity model (which places an order when the remaining
inventory drops to a predetermined order point, R), the inventory remaining must
be continually monitored
Thus, the fixed-order-quantity model is a perpetual system, which requires that
every time a withdrawal from inventory or an addition to inventory is made, records
must be updated to reflect whether the reorder point has been reached
In a fixed-review-period model, counting takes place only at the end of the review
period
Some additional differences tend to influence the choice of systems:
o The fixed-review-period model has a larger average inventory because it
must also protect against stock out during the review period, T; the fixed-
order-quantity model has not review period
o The fixed-order-quantity model favors more expensive items because
average inventory is lower
o The fixed-order-quantity model is more appropriate for important items such
as critical potential stock out
o The fixed-order-quantity model requires more time to maintain because
every addition or withdrawal is logged
EXHIBIT 10.2 – Fixed-Order-Quantity and Fixed-Review-Period Differences
o Shows what occurs when each of the two models is put into use and
becomes an operating system
o The fixed-order-quantity system focuses on order quantities and reorder
points
o Procedurally, each time a unit is taken out of stock the withdrawal is logged
and the amount remaining in inventory is immediately compared to eh
reorder point
o If it has dropped to this point, an order for Q items is placed
o If it has not, the system remains in the idle state until the next withdrawal
o In the fixed-review-period system, a decision to place an order is made after
the stock has been counted or reviewed
o Whether an order is actually placed may depend on the inventory position at
the time
← Fixed-Order-Quantity Models:
← Determining Optimal Order Quantities:
Fixed-order-quantity models attempt to determine the specific point, R, at which an
order will be paced and the size of that order, Q
The order point, R, is always a specified number of units
An order of size Q is placed when the inventory available (currently in stock and on
order) reaches the point R
Inventory position is defined as the on-hand plus on-order minus backordered
quantities
The simplest models in this category occur when all aspects of the situation are
known with certainty
EXHIBIT 10.4 –Basic Fixed-Order-Quantity Model
Exhibit 10.4 and the discussion about deriving the optimal order quantity are based
on the following characteristics of the model:
o Demand for the product is constant and uniform throughout the period
o Lead time (time from ordering to receipt) is constant
o Price per unit of product is constant
o Inventory holding cost is based on average inventory
o Ordering or set-up costs are constant
o All demands for the product will be satisfied (no backorders are allowed)
The “saw tooth effect” relating Q and R shows that when the inventory position
drops to point R, a reorder is placed
This order is received at the end of time period L, which does not vary in this model
In constructing any inventory model, the first step is to develop a functional
relationship between the variables of interest and the measure of effectiveness
Equation:
On the right side of the equation, DC is the annual purchase cost for the units,
(D/Q)S is the annual ordering cost (the actual number of orders placed, D/Q, times
the cost of each other, S), and (Q/2)H is the annual holding cost (the average
inventory, Q/2 times the cost per unit for holding and storage, H)
These cost relationships are graphed in EXHIBIT 10.5 – Annual Product Costs, Based
on Size of the Order
The second step in model development is to find that order quantity Qopt at which
total cost is a minimum
The total cost is minimal at the point where the slope of the curve is zero
Take the derivative of total cost with respect to Q and set this equal to zero
For the basic model considered here, the formula is
Because this simple model assumes constant demand and lead time, neither safety
stock nor stock out cost are necessary and the reorder point, R, is simply:
Not only does the optimal order quantity decrease, which leads to carrying less
inventory and its associated benefits, but also the total cost decreases too
Given all these benefits of smaller lot sizes, it is no wonder that in recent years firms
have been putting in great efforts to reduce ordering costs
← Fixed-Order-Quantity Model with Safety Stock:
Recall that in the fixed-order-quantity model, the inventory is adjusted every time a
sale or withdrawal is made, and when the ROP, R is reached, an order for a fixed
quantity, Q, is placed
However, in practice, the demand may not be known with certainty (hence our use
of the general term d bar for average daily demand)
As a result, the inventory depletion line will not be straight, but will be crooked, as in
EXHIBIT 10.7 – Fixed-Order-Quantity Model under Uncertainty
A proactive approach to reducing the need for safety stock would be preferable
Information on demand as well as supplier shipments can reduce the need for safety
stock
However, given the uncertainties in the market even if we do good demand planning
and have reliable suppliers, some amount of safety stock may be necessary and we
can use a probabilistic approach to determine the optimum level of safety stock
The Probability Approach:
o Assume that the demand over a period of time is normally distributed with a
mean and standard deviation
o Again, remember that this approach considers only the probability of running
out of stock, not how many units we are short
o To determine the probability of stocking out over the time period, we can
simply plot a normal distribution for the expected demand and note where
the amount we have on hand lies on the curve
o If running out this often was not acceptable, we would want to carry extra
inventory to reduce this risk of stocking out
o It is common for companies using this approach to set the probability of not
stocking out at 95%
o This means we would carry about 1.64 standard deviations of safety stock
o Thus, the safety stock level that one should have for any given item depends
on (1) demand variation, (2) the desired service level, and (3) the variability
in order delivery lead time, L
o The quantity to be ordered, Q, is calculated in the usual way, considering the
demand shortage cost, ordering cost, holding cost, etc
o The reorder point is then set to cover the expected demand during the lead
time plus a safety stock determined by the desired service level
o Thus, the key difference between a fixed-order-quantity model where
demand is known and one where demand is uncertain is in computing the
reorder point
o The order quantity is the same in both cases
o The uncertainty element is taken into account in the safety stock
o The reorder point is:
n = number of days
o The standard deviation of the daily demand is:
o Because σd refers to one day, if lead time extends over k (several) days, we
can use the statistical premise that the standard deviation of a serious of
independent occurrences is equal to the square root of the sum of the
variances
← Fixed-Review-Period Models:
In a fixed-review-period system, inventory is counted only at particular times, such
as every week or every month
Counting inventory and placing orders periodically is desirable in certain situations
o
EXHIBIT 10.9 – Fixed-Review-Period Model
q = quantity to be ordered
o So every time the system hits the ROP, Q quantity is ordered to being it up to
max (though by the time the batch arrives, part or all of the ROP would have
been consumed, thus we would be unlikely to reach the max level in actual
inventory)
o However, in the fixed-review-period system with demand uncertainty, using
a min-max would imply incorporating aspects of the fixed-order-quantity
system in that there is an TOP
o So inventory is replenished only is the amount on hand is below the ROP
(thus the flowchart of the P-model is representing the pure fixed-review-
period system that would rigger a replenishment at every review would have
to be modified to trigger a replenishment only if the review revealed an
inventory level below the ROP)
o The amount ordered would change depending on how much stock is on hand
consistent with the pure fixed-review-period system
Lot-For-Lot System:
o Lot-for-lot means ordering only what is needed for each period in the
forecast horizon
o So the inventory arrives when needed and nothing is left at the end of the
period
o This reduces the inventory cost but may result in excessive ordering or set up
costs
← Inventory Control and Supply Chain Management:
It is important for managers to realize that how they manage items using inventory
control logic relates directly to the financial performance of the firm
A key measure that relates to company performance is inventory turn:
Inventory turn = cost of goods sold / average inventory value
o Numerator:
The COGS for an individual item relates directly to the expected
yearly demand (D) for the item
Given a cost per unit (C) for the item, the COGS is just D x C
Recall that this it he same ass what was used in our EOQ equation
o Denominator:
Recall from EOQ that the average inventory is Q/2, which is true if we
assume that demand is constant
When we bring uncertainty into the equation, safety stock is needed
to manage the risk related by demand variability
An approach that has been adopted to analyze a process to identify steps that can
be improved is called value chain mapping or value stream mapping
Value Stream Mapping:
Value stream mapping (VSM) is a special type of flowcharting tool that is valuable for
the development of lean processes
The technique is used o visualize product flows through various processing steps
The tool also illustrates information flows that result from the process as well as
information used to control flow through the process
The technique is used to identify all of the value-adding as well as non-value adding
processes that materials are subjected to within a plant, from raw material coming
into the plant through delivery to the customer
EXHIBIT 12.2 – Manufacturing Process Map
With this map, wasteful processes and flows can be identified so that they can be
modified or eliminated and the manufacturing system made more productive
VSM symbols are somewhat standardized but there are many variations
EXHIBIT 12.3 – Value Stream Mapping Symbols
o Smoothing the production flow to dampen the reaction waves that normally
occur in response to schedule variations is called uniform plant loading (or
in Japanese, heijunka)
o When a change is made in a final assembly, the changes are magnified
throughout the line and the supply chain
o The only way to eliminate the problem is to make adjustments as small as
possible by setting a firm monthly production plan for which the output rate
is frozen
o Toyota found it could do this by building the same mix of products every day
in small quantities
o Thus, Toyota always has a total mix available to respond to variations in
demand
o Cycle time is the time between two identical units being completed on the
line
o The cycle time figure is used to adjust resources to produce the precise
quantity needed
o Lean production desires a stable schedule over a lengthy time horizon
o This is accomplished by level scheduling, freeze windows, and
underutilization of capacity
o A level schedule is one that requires materials to be pulled into final
assembly in a pattern uniform enough to allow the various elements of
production to respond to pull signals
o A given production system equipped with flexible set-ups and a fixed amount
of material in the pipelines can respond
o Freeze window refers to that period of time during which the schedule is
fixed and no further changes are possible
o An added benefit of the stable schedule is seen in how parts and
components are accounted for in a pull system
o Backflush is used where the parts that go into each unit of the product are
periodically removed from inventory and accounted for based on the number
of units produced
o This eliminates much of the shop-floor data collection activity, which is
required if each part must be tracked and accounted for during production
o Underutilization and overutilization of capacity are features of élan
production
o Each container net to the assembly line has a withdrawal kanban and a
production kanban
o This is often referred to as a two-card kanban system
o The following are some other possible approaches:
Kanban squares
Container system
Coloured golf balls
o The kanban pull approach can be used not only within a manufacturing
facility but also between manufacturing facilities
o Determining the Number of Kanbans Needed:
Setting up a kanban control system requires determination of the
number of kanban cards or containers needed
In a two card system, we are finding the number of sets of withdrawal
and production cares
The kanban cards represent the numner of containers of material that
flow back and forth between the supplier and the user areas
The group technology cells eliminate movement and queue (waiting) time between
operations, reduce inventory, and reduce the number of employees required
Workers must be flexible to run several machines and processes
Due to their advanced skill level, these workers have increased job security
GT provides several advantages:
o Work in process inventory in its factories is reduced
o Factory operating costs are reduced
o Decreased real estate costs
o The reduced inventory level has resulted in fewer required warehouses
← Focused Factory Networks:
The Japanese build small specialized plants rather than large vertically integrated
manufacturing facilities
Plants designed for one purpose can be constructed and operated more
economically
← Concurrent Engineering:
In terms of product design, lean firms use concurrent engineering
Traditionally in product design, the design of the product was sequential
o Marketing department thinks of idea, design department designs it,
manufacturing makes it
In concurrent engineering, personnel from the different functions such as marketing,
design, manufacturing, costing, customers and suppliers, are involved in product
design so that issues are exposed early in the process
This avoids the problems of sequential design
The result is that products are launched quicker and at a lower cost
← Workforce Involvement:
Respect for people and their capabilities is key to the Toyota production system
Company unions exist to foster a co-operative relationship with management
Employees know that if the company performs well, they will get a bonus
This encourages workers to improve productivity
Management views workers as assets, not as human machines
Automation and robotics are used extensively to perform dull or routine jobs so that
employees are free to focus on important improvement tasks
JIT firms often use quality circles, which are groups of employees that meet during
work hours to analyze the processes that they are involved with and suggest
improvements to the process and the product
So lean firms encourage employees to make suggestions for improvements
Cross-training is very important since flexibility of the worker is key in effective lean
operations
If a machine is idle due to its kanbans being full, the worker has to be employed
otherwise
This could include working on process improvement or working on other machines
because he or she is cross-trained
← Close Supplier Relationships:
Lean firms like Toyota rely heavily on subcontractor networks
Some suppliers are specialists in a narrow field, usually serving multiple customers
Firms have long term partnerships with their suppliers and customers
Suppliers consider themselves part of a customer’ family
The company and suppliers may be part of a close network of companies, not all of
which may be suppliers, called a keiretsu
Change in procurement philosophy from one of trying to make many vendors
compete with each other to get the best price to one that fosters long term
collaborative relationship with fewer suppliers
Lean was one of the influential factors in this phenomenon
This is called single sourcing, though in practice each component will have more
than one vendor as most customers do not want to put all their eggs in one basket
Another aspect of lean sourcing is that vendors are often located close to the
customer
This allows for frequent deliveries in small lots and face to face meetings to improve
the product and the supply chain
Lea firms share their projected usage requirements with vendors, so the vendors
have a long run picture of the demands that will be placed on their production and
distribution systems
This avoids the bullwhip effect
Some vendors are linked online with customers to share production scheduling and
input-needs data
This permits vendors to develop level production systems, thus perpetuating the
lean system all along the supply chain
Confidence in the supplier’s or vendor’s delivery commitment allows reductions of
buffer inventories at the customer’s facility
Maintaining stock at a lean level requires frequent deliveries during the day
When vendors adopt quality practices, the customer can bypass incoming receiving
inspections of vendors’ products and have vendors deliver it directly to a location on
the production line and not to a receiving dock
North American manufacturers have moved in the direction of closer co-operation
with suppliers
A key to lean procurement is automation
The term e-procurement relates to automatic transaction, sourcing, bidding, and
auctions using web-based applications, and the use of software that removes human
interaction and integrates with the financial reporting of the firm
The key to lean procurement is visibility
Suppliers must be able to “see” into customers’ operations and customers must be
able to “see” into their suppliers’ operations
The overlap of these processes needs to be optimized to maximize values form the
end customer perspective
A supply chain is the sum total of organizations involved – from raw materials firms
through tiers of suppliers to original equipment manufactures, onward to the
ultimate distribution and delivery of the finished product to the customers
Guidelines for implementing a lean supply chain:
o Value must be designed jointly for each product family along with a target
cost based on the customer’s perception of value
o All firms along the value stream must make an adequate return of their
investments related to the value stream
o The firms must work together to identify and eliminate muda (waste) to the
point where the overall target cost and return on investment targets of each
firm are met
o When cost targets are met, the firms along the stream will immediately
conduct new analyses to identify remaining muda and set new targets
o Every participating firm has the right to examine every activity in every firm
relevant to the value stream as part of the joint search for waste
To summarize: to be lean, everyone ahs to be on the same page
← Problem Solving and Continuous Process Improvement:
Suggestions are geared to repetitive production systems – those that make the same
products again and again
These elements are linked: any changes in part of the production system affect other
features of the system
It is also important to note that lean is not a one time improvement and it involves
everybody in the workplace: management and non-management employees
In fact, lean firms are big believers in the PDCA cycle (kaizen)
The focus is on always seeking ways to improve the product and process
Lean firms also recognize that the lean journey does not happen overnight; in fact, it
is never ending
Thus, it requires patience and commitment
In fact, as with any improvement process, initially results may be negative
Firms must not loose hope
← Lean Services:
Many lean techniques have been successfully applied by service firms
The suitability of each technique and the corresponding work steps depends on the
characteristics of the firm’s market, production, and equipment technology, shill
sets, and corporate culture
Tend of the more successful lean techniques applied to service companies:
o Organize Problem Solving Groups:
Quality circles
o Upgrade Housekeeping:
Only the necessary items are kept in a work area, that there is a place
for everything, and that everything is clean and in a constant state of
readiness
Employees clean their own areas
Note the linkage between suppliers that provide inputs; manufacturing and service
supply operations that transform the inputs into products and services; and the
distribution and local service providers that localize the product
Localization can involve just the delivery of the product or some more involved
process that tailors the product or service to the needs of the local market
The structure of the supply chain is dependent on the competitive priorities of the
company
Many companies are achieving significant competitive advantage by the way they
configure and manage their supply chain operations
← Designing the Supply Chain:
The supply chain includes suppliers, the transformation process, distributors, and
customers
A number of issues need to be addressed in designing a company’s supply chain:
o 1. Product design to facilitate supply chain management
o 2. Strategic sourcing
o 3. Logistics and inventory management
The term sourcing implies a more complex process suitable for products that are
strategically important
Specificity refers to how common the item is, and in a relative sense, how many
substitutes might be available
Commonly available products can be purchased using a relatively simple process
For low volume and inexpensive items purchased during the regular routine of work,
a firm may order form an online catalogue
o Often customized for a customer
A request for proposal (RFP) is commonly used for purchasing items that are more
complex or expensive and for which there may be a number of potential vendors
Vendor-managed inventory means that a customer actually allows a supplier to
manage an item or group of items for the customer
Supplier is given the freedom to replenish the item as it sees fit
Typically, there are some constrained related to the maximum that the customer is
willing to carry, required service levels, and other billing transaction processes
Selecting the proper process depends on minimizing the balance between the
supplier’s delivered costs of the item over a period of time and the customer’s costs
of managing the inventory
← The Bullwhip Effect:
Forward buying: retailers respond to the price cut by stocking up
EXHIBIT 13.3 – Increasing Variability of Orders Back Through the Supply Chain
The retailer’s orders to the wholesaler display greater variability than the end-
consumer sales; the wholesaler’s orders to the manufacturer show even more
oscillations; and finally, the manufacturer’s orders to its suppliers are the most
volatile
This phenomenon of variability magnification as we move from the customer to the
producer in the supply chain is referred to as the bullwhip effect
The effect indicates a lack of synchronization among supply chain members
Even a slight change in customer sales ripples backward in the form of magnified
oscillations upstream, resembling the result of a flick of a bullwhip
Because the supply patterns do not match the demand patterns, inventory
accumulates at various stages and shortages and delays occur at others
This bullwhip effect has been observed by many firms in numerous industries
o Ex: Campbell’s Soup, IBM, Procter & Gamble, etc
In addition to forward buying, the lack of information sharing, and rationing and
gaming (in case of shortages, customers tend to exaggerate orders to ensure that
they get at least some amount), can cause the bullwhip effect
Prevent the bullwhip effect by:
o Information sharing
o Reducing the lead time
o Vendor managed inventories
o Instituting and everyday price policy
Lee argues that while functional products tend to have more mature and stable
supply process, that is not always the case
EXHIBIT 13.5 – Hau Lee’s Uncertainty Framework
Demand and supply uncertainty is a good framework for understanding supply chain
strategy
Innovative products with unpredictable demand and an evolving supply process face
a major challenge
Because of shorter and shorter product life cycles, the pressure for dynamically
adjusting and adopting a company’s supply chain strategy is great
← Trends in Strategic Sourcing:
These has also been a move in recent years toward dealing with fewer high quality
and reliable suppliers
This allows the company to establish long term and collaborative relationship with
fewer suppliers rather than having many suppliers compete primarily on price
This was one of Deming’s 14 points
When selecting a supplier, it is important to consider all of the costs involved, the
total cost of ownership (TCO)
There are many qualitative as well as quantitative factors to consider
One issue that is becoming increasingly important is that of fair trade practices
Companies are recognizing the importance of corporate responsibly within their
supply chains
It is important to ensure that supplier companies are environmentally conscious,
provide acceptable working conditions, and respect human rights issues
Another emerging issue is that of fakes or counterfeits, and related to this,
intellectual property theft
Globalization has resulted in many more suppliers that are widely dispersed
geographically
We are in the middle of a major change in the global economy
Great opportunities in global sourcing are available because of the collapse o
communism and the Eastern Bloc, the issuance of the euro currency, and emerging
markets
We have seen the results of accords such as NAFTA and GATT
Managers face an interesting predicament in global procurement management
Companies that face such diverse sourcing, production, and distribution decisions
need to weigh the costs associated with materials, transportation, production,
warehousing and distribution to develop a comprehensive network designed to
minimize costs
← Logistics and Inventory Management:
Logistics refers to the management functions that support the complete cycle of
material flow: from the purchase and internal control of production materials, to the
planning and control of work in process, to the purchasing, shipping, and distribution
of the finished good
Supply chains convert RM into FG which involves the storage and movement of
different types of inventory
Therefore, organizations have to make decisions about how the inventory is
controlled
Organizations have to make decisions about how to coordinate these decisions
among the supply chain partners
Lean supply chains are relates to the management of inventory within supply chains
Managing inventory across the supply chain is sometimes called multi-echelon
inventory management
Inventory management involves deciding where and in what form to stock
inventory in the supply chain
Another aspect of positioning is the form in which inventory is stored in various
locations
o Ex: Dell
o Assemble to order process is a middle ground between the make to stock
and make to order processes and is ideal for mass customization strategy
In addition to assembly postponement, there are also potential flexibility benefits
for the supply chain with labeling and packaging postponement
In labeling postponement, products are complete expect for labeling
This occurs when manufacturer produces a generic product that is sold under
multiple labels
Rather than holding safety stock for each label, inventory is stored generically then
labeled once the customer has placed an order
In addition to the reduced inventory holding, labeling postponement reduces risk of
obsolete inventory, improves customer response times, and reduces the potential
rework in un-labeling and relabeling
In packaging postponement products are completed but stored in bulk within
packaging
In addition to reducing required storage space, packaging postponement provides
flexibility for demand fluctuations of different package sizes
Many firms use vendor-managed inventories (VMI)
Under this concept, vendors manage the customer’s inventory for the products they
supply
The supplier has oversight of the demand for its products, which helps its supply
chain management while decrease purchasing and record keeping for the company
← Vertical Integration and Outsourcing:
Vertical integration refers to the proportion of the supply chain that the company
owns
The current trend in many industries is to become less vertically integrated
Some organizations have chosen to vertically integrate to manage their critical
supplies, illustrating that the outsourcing model is not universal
Outsourcing is the act of moving some of a firm’s internal activities and decision
responsibility to outside providers; i.e. becoming less vertically integrated
The terms o the agreement are established in a contract
Outsourcing goes beyond the more common purchasing and consulting contracts
because not only are the activities transferred, but also resources that make the
activities occur – including people, facilities, equipment, technology, and other
assets – are transferred
The responsibilities for making decisions over certain elements of the activities are
transferred as well
The reasons a company decides to outsource (sometimes referred to as the make-
or-buy decision) can vary greatly
EXHIBIT 13.6 - Reasons to Outsource and the Resulting Benefits
Outsourcing allows a firm to focus on activities that represent its core competencies
Thus, the company can create a competitive advantage while reducing cost
An entire function may be outsourced, or some elements of an activity may be
outsourced, with the rest kept in-house
The decision goes beyond the notion that “core competencies” should be
maintained under the direct control of management of the firm and that other
activities should be outsourced
In this framework, a continuum that ranges from vertical integration in arm’s length
relationships forms the basis for the decision
An activity can be evaluated using the following characteristics: required
coordination, strategic control, and intellectual property
Required coordination refers to how difficult it is to ensure that the activity will
integrate well with the overall process
Uncertain activities that require much back-and-forth exchange of information
should not be outsourced, whereas activities that are well understood and highly
standardized can easily move to business partners that specialize in the activity
Strategic control refers to the degree of loss that would be incurred if the
relationship with the partner were severed
Being green can be the “order winner” from selection when many sourcing options
are available
Logistics suppliers could find business opportunities coming directly to them as a
result of the green trend
The following is an outline of a six-step process (EXHIBIT 13.8) designed to transform
a traditional process to a green sourcing process:
This allows the company to benchmark its performance against competitors and its
own objectives
Each group at any company has its own measures of performance
The different measures focus the groups on different objectives
If the groups are not properly coordinated, their attempts to optimize their own
performance may hurt the company’s ability to create the most efficient supply
network that can deliver a customer product at the lowest cost
Negotiations among these groups are critical, with the goal being to decide to do
what is best for the company as a whole
Balanced scorecard approach, including financial, customer, business process, an
learning and growth measured used at all levels of the supply chain
Two common measures to evaluate supply chain efficiency are inventory turnover
and weeks-of-supply
These essentially measure the same thing and mathematically are the inverse of one
another
Inventory turnover is calculated as follows:
o Inventory turnover = COGS / average aggregate inventory value
The cost of goods sold is the annual cost for a company to produce the goods or
services provided to customers; it is sometimes referred to as the cost of revenue
This does not include the selling and administrative experience of the company
The average aggregate inventory value is the total value of all items held in
inventory for the firm valued t cost
It includes the raw material, work in process, finished goods, and distribution
inventory considered owned by the company
Good inventory turnover values vary by industry and the type of products being
handled
Many firms continuously work to improve the number of turns
In man situations, particularly when distribution inventory is dominant, weeks of
supply is the preferred measure
This is the measure of how many weeks’ worth of inventory is in the system at a
particular point in time
The calculation is as follows:
o Weeks of supply = (average aggregate inventory value / COGS) x 52 weeks
When company financial reports cite inventory turnover and weeks of supply, we
can assume that the measures are being calculated firm-wide
Also, these calculations can be done on individual entities with the organization
Managing the supply chain is being shifted, to a large extent, to the vendor
Purchasing contracts are now tied to delivery schedules
Electronic information flow has shifted routine activities to the vendor by allowing
direct access to point of sales data and given responsibility for forecasting and
delivery of product directly to the vendor
Today, such relationship tend to be long term, but one can speculate whether the
relationship will be long term in the future
← Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR):
Collaborative planning, forecasting, and replenishment is a technique used to
coordinate production and purchase planning, demand forecasting and inventory
replenishment between supply chain trading partners
CPFR is being used as a means of integrating all members of an n-tier supply chain,
including manufacturers, distributors, and retailers
EXHIBIT 13.10 – n-Tier Supply Chain with Retail Activities
The ideal point of collaboration utilizing CPFR is the retail level demand forecast
which is successively used to synchronize forecasts, production, and replenishment
plans upstream thought the supply chain
CPFR’s objective is to exchange selected internal information on a shared Web
server to provide reliable, longer-term future views of demand in the supply chain
CPFR uses a cyclic and iterative approach to derive consensus supply chain forecasts
It consists of the following five steps:
o 1. Creation of a front-end partnership agreement
o 2. Joint business planning
o 3. Development of demand forecasts
o 4. Sharing forecasts
o 5. Inventory replenishment
The early exchange of information between trading partners provides for reliable,
longer term future views of demand in the supply chain
One obstacle to collaboration is the lack of trust-over complete information sharing
between supply chain partners
There is the potential loss of control as a barrier to implementation
Companies successful in their reverse supply chains have often closely coordinated
them with their forward supply chains, creating a closed-loop system
This implies that they design and manufacture products with eventual recycling in
mind
Other companies take steps to avoid unnecessary reverse supply chain occurrences
by educating customers on product usage
← Third-Party Logistics and the Reverse Supply Chain:
With organizations often focused on improving their forward supply chain, many
have recognized that third-party logistics (3PL) providers may be better equipped to
handle the complexity and challenges of their reverse supply chain
← Integrating It All: The Successful Supply Chain:
The discussions in this chapter can be related to the following important themes:
o Supply chains should be customized: a supply chain has to be designed to fit
the product and process characteristics
o Partnerships are important: it is important to focus on improved
management of the entire supply chain and to create long term trust based
relationship with suppliers and customers
Exam
← 4 Sections:
←
← 1. Multiple choice (25 questions - 25%)
From chapters: 2, 8, 10, 12, 13
Only theory questions
← 2. Short answer (8 options, choose 6) – (30%)
From chapters: 2, 8, 10, 12, 13
Class notes
← 3. Case study (15%)
From anything
← 4. Quantitative problems (4 questions – 30%)
From:
o MRP
o P chart (SPC)
o Forecasting methods – 3/6 month moving averages
o Aggregate planning – level and chase planning based on demand
o Capacity analysis/planning (Harvard case)
o Project management
←
← Bring calculator
← Seats: 282-341
Customer satisfaction
o Staffing
Seasonal
OT/morale
Dependability
Staff agency
Wages
Union
Hours
o Capacity
Poor planning
Limitation on holding wet
Dumpers/storage
More storage (farmer benefits – trucks wait less)
o Time frame
60 months
February
Off season
Planning, training
Floor space
Revenue
o Wet berries
58-70% increasing
Limits (market prices)
Processed immediately
Processing had stabilized
← Dryers: process 600 barrels/hour
The Goal
←
Cycle time = rate (ex: 2 miles/hour)
Dependant event: have to do everything sequentially
o Cant do the next event unit the first is complete
Statistical fluctuations: people do things at different rates
Bottleneck: what holds up the process (ex: Herbie)
o Unplanned events (ex: Davey adjusting straps)
Speeding up intermediary steps does not speed up overall through put because they
are dependant on all events
Bottleneck has to make up for his fluctuations as well as everyone else’s
Balanced system: everyone in process doing the same things in the same amount of
time
Some fluctuations cannot be planned (match game)
o Last operations get overtime
Slowest (bottleneck) governs the throughput as a whole
o Entire system
Increase capacity at bottleneck
Maximize bottleneck – keep it going
Want to see more pieces/timeframe (throughput)
DAV
← Difference Between Service and Manufacturing Company:
1. No physical output
o measure
2. Subjective
3. Direct/indirect contact with customers
4. Employee skill set
← Immediate Issues:
Information?
Implementation
Sustainability
Accuracy
← Decision Criteria:
Customer satisfaction
o Temporary workers are not achieving customer service
o Growth of the company
o A lot of OT
← Basic Issues:
Mistake classification
o Mistake is a mistake
o Unnecessary competition among departments
Unnecessary competition among departments
o Tearing apart a team
o Focusing on each other rather than the customer
Sampling size
Resistance
o New system is a passing phase
o Uninformed
o No goals
o No communication
Many locations
o Communication
Size of company
o Dynamic
o Diverse
o Consistency
o Customer service
o Communication
o Think about reputation
o Changes are slow
Capacity issues
o Same day processing
Double key entry
Automated
o Costs money
o 1996
o Eliminate employees
o Change process
Consistent measurement
o Subjectivity of right vs. wrong
Continued success
SPC applicability
o Lawyers
Senior managers
o Lack of involvement
o Focus on numbers
o Impatient (tunnel vision – want to do everything now)
Results
o What is the purpose
o No planning
← Calculations:
UCL = .0972
LCL = .0171
Week 23 and 24 out of control (no idea why)
o Audit, who was working, time frame, business environment at the time, etc
What can we do about 2 plots out of control: find the root cause, talk to employees
← Quality Costs:
Appraisal and prevent costs
o Appraisal – define the problem, expensive
Not making it better
Just becoming aware
o Prevention – if dealt with properly
No plan yet
Want to put money into prevention to make sure it doesn’t keep
happening
External
o Customers service
o Loss of customers
o Competition
Macpherson
← Talking points:
Aggregate plan
Seasonal employees
Linda not knowing future demand
Seasonal employees getting some time off
Brand loyal
Inventory getting damaged
Bad relationships with customers over damaged inventory
← Immediate Issue:
Which aggregate plan?
Need an aggregate plan because they have many different products
← Business Plan:
Strategy
Goals
Competitive dimensions (what is going to drive the company)
o Macpherson uses cost, efficiency, quality
← Aggregate Plan:
Demand and forecasts come into aggregate demand
Purchasing, design, accounting, etc
← Plans:
Level
o Labour market
Labour hours known
Employee morale vs. feeling too comfortable (lazy)
Relationship with the union
Seasonal employees
o Inventory
Holding inventory vs. OT
After 2.5 months cheaper to run OT
o Back orders and lost sales
Forecasts being wrong
Suppliers not supplying good raw materials
Chase and OT
o Union = wants OT
o Tired, overworked employees
o No training/easy transition
o Consistent workers/high skill
o Labour cheaper
o Satisfy union
Change and hire/fire
o Union = nightmare
o Job security
o Inventory
Perish
Damaged
Obsolete
o Loyalty towards company
Illustrious Corporation
← Participation:
← - Explained H590 tapped vs. untapped
← - Explained the problem with the weeks (back orders)
← - Question about G418
← - F416 in kits – own assembly of it
←
←
It’s the sales peoples fault that back orders occur
o Late forecasting
o Bad scheduling
o Poor communication
ITC eChoupal
← 1. Profit
Growth potential (currently at 12%)
Better quality
Eliminate middle men
Standardize
Protection
Market control
← 2. Future potential
Expand sales
Government partnership
← 3. Social
Trust/loyalty
Fair trade
Cash flow
←
← Basic Issues:
1. Finding the right middlemen
2. Technology is limited (start up and training)
3. Costs to startup and replace equipment
4. Trust
5. Success of implementation
6. Participation
7. Competition
8. India’s culture and structure
9. Cash flow
10. Geography
11. Illiteracy
12. Corruption
13. Farm locations
Value:
Quality
Better life
More accurate money
Empowerment
Less uncertainty
Co-operative
Efficient transportation
More market share
More profit
Communication
Less uncertainty of supply and demand
Education
Guaranteed cash flow
←
← ITC Advantage:
First in the market with this
Brand loyalty
Government relationship
Resources to give data to farmers
Customers/suppliers
One stop shop
Farmer morale
Controlling the source
Zara
←
Demand pattern: innovative
Supply pattern: stable
Responsive supply chain
← Supplier pressure:
Zara is proven to be the pioneer in fast fashion with twice a week supply to its
stores, keeping them fresh and interesting for its customers.
← Elimination of stages in the supply chain:
More than 40 000 items designed per year
Continuously supplied to its stores increasing the number of “seasons” radically and
breaking the tradition two season model
← Strengths:
Close communication between customers and its designers
Ability to ship the desired items in a week catching the sales moment
ASC is an aspect enhancing competition among organizations
Good balance between in house and outsourcing task
Minimal lead times
Whole organization is agile and working very efficient (not just the supply chain)
Does not spend money on advertising, instead on new stores
One of the most innovative retailers in the world
Efficient distribution
Information technology
Fast delivery of new products and trends
Employee morale, empowerment, and responsibility
Decentralized decision making
← Competitive Advantage:
Speed:
o Reduces excess stock holding in the supply chain
Agile
←
Blame game
o Commitment
o Iso 9000 – quality guideline standard
o Pressure
o No guidelines
o Confusing
o Gaps
Contracts
Supplier choice
Quality
Different goals
IDEO
←