Maths Project

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2019-20

CBSE PROJECT

SUBJECT – MATHEMATICS

TITLE – “Computation of conditional probability”

SUBMITTED TO: LALITA MAAM

SUBMITTED BY: XXXXX


CERTIFICATION

It has been certified that Krishan Malhotra


of

Class 12, during the session 2019-2020

has completed his project on the topic

“COMPUTATION OF CONDITIONAL
PROBABILITY” and has given

a satisfactory account for this in his project

report.
DECLARATION
I Krishan Malhotra of class 12 A4, Delhi
Public School
Ghaziabad declare that the following project
on the topic:

Computation of conditional probability

has been accomplished under the


able guidance of our mathematics teacher

Mrs. Lalita
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

It is my duty to record my sincere thanks and

deep sense of gratitude to my respected teacher

Mrs. Lalita for her valued guidance, interest and

constant encouragement for the fulfillment of

the project.

Krishan Malhotra
XII – A4
Contents

 Objective

 Principle

 Requirements for experiment

 Construction and Demonstration

 Observation

 Application

 Bibliography
Objective

To explain the computation of conditional probability of a given


event A, provided event B has already occurred, through an
example of throwing a pair of dice.

Principle
Conditional probability formula:

Conditional probability P (A | B) can also be found by first


taking the sample space of event B out of the sample space of
the experiment, and then finding the probability A from it.
Material required
 Drawing board
 White sheet
 Pen/Pencil
 Scale
 A pair of dice

Construction & Demonstration


1. Paste a white paper on a drawing board of a convenient
size.
2. Make a square and divide it into 36 unit squares of size
1cm each.
3. Write pair of numbers as shown in the figure.

4. Figure given above gives all possible outcomes of the given


experiment. Hence, it represents the sample space of the
experiment.
Experiment 1:

Event A: A number 4 appears on both the dice

Event B: 4 has appeared on at least one of the dice

Number of outcomes favourable to A = 1


Number of outcomes favourable to B = 11
Number of outcomes favourable to A ∩ B = 1.

(i) P (B) = 11/ 36


(ii) P (A ∩ Β) = 1/36
(iii) P (A | B) = P (A ∩B). P (B) = 1 /11
Observation

1. Outcome(s) favourable to A :
n (A) = 1
2. Outcomes favourable to B :
n (B) = 11

3. Outcomes favourable to A ∩ B :
n (A ∩ B) = 1
4. P (A ∩ B) = 1/11
5. P (A | B) = n (A ∩ B) /n (B) = 1/11

Application
This activity is helpful in understanding the concept of
conditional probability, which is further used in Bayes’
theorem
Bibliography

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