The 1945-1949 Dutch-Indonesian Conflict PDF
The 1945-1949 Dutch-Indonesian Conflict PDF
The 1945-1949 Dutch-Indonesian Conflict PDF
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marks the beginning of the second stage, which involves the counter-
insurgents' strategic consolidation and the insurgents' preparation for the
counter-offensive. In the second stage the insurgents adopt guerrilla warfare,
in preference to mobile fighting.4 At this stage in Mao's model the
countryside is divided into three types of areas: enemy and insurgent base
areas, and guerrilla areas contested by both sides. Two factors influence the
duration of this, the most important of the three stages. They are the degree
of shift in the balance of forces, and changes in the international system.5 To
Mao fluctuations in the counter-insurgents' will to fight and their level of
international support are of vital importance, and it is through the insurgents'
spirited resistance that these changes will come about.6 The third, and final,
stage comprises the insurgents' strategic offensive, and the counter-insurgents'
strategic defeat. Here, the insurgents finally abandon guerrilla war in favor of
positional warfare.7
Despite the fact that Mao developed his escalatory model specifically for
the Sino-Japanese war, the model has been applied to other insurgent wars,
and (with certain modifications) has become the orthodoxy. Nevertheless,
Julian Paget is very far from the truth when he asserts that Mao's writings
have the same level of acceptance among revolutionaries, as the gospels have
among Christians.8 The escalatory model has undergone many revisions
since Mao. Ernesto 'Che' Guevara re-affirmed Mao's view that guerrilla war
was not an end in itself, but the precursor to a conventional (positional
warfare) stage.9 He added that an insurgency can begin before all the
conditions in the state are right for a popular rising, and that the insurgents
can create popular discontent, rather than wait for it.10 Thus, there exists the
possibility of another stage, in which the insurgents must woo the
population. It is interesting, and ironic, that Guevara's strategy succeeded
only in Cuba, but failed in Bolivia, partly because of a lack of public
support. The history of insurgency in Latin America has tended to show that
Guevara's ideas have had a narrower application than Mao's writings. Carlos
Marighella went further than Guevara, by defying Mao's prohibition on short-
cuts. He wrote that an insurgency can destroy a government's will to fight by
bringing about a "climate of collapse."11 Although this notion is a useful
one, it has to be borne in mind that Marighella's rebellion in Brazil was
unsuccessful, a fact which tends to endorse Mao's prohibition on short-cuts.
A further modification of Mao's stages was made by the Vietnamese
communists, who put more emphasis on the role played by international
opinion and "war frustrations." To the Vietnamese victory could be achieved
with "militarily indecisive strikes" and the "mobilization of external support",
in conjunction with guerrilla war.12 This was an important break with Mao's
emphasis on the military situation: "Mao Tse-Tung was not insensitive to
psychological warfare issues . . . but he never based his strategy on these
tactics."13
Counter-insurgent experts have also used and amended Mao's escalatory
model. The French army's Guerre Révolutionnaire thinkers, fresh from their
colonial experiences, emphasized the importance of terrorism as a method of
undermining the government in the initial period of the war. They advocated
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the use of counter-terror against the pro-insurgent population.14 The fact that
no insurgent war has ever been won by counter-terror tactics has tended to
tarnish their image. Robert Thompson stressed the role of political
subversion in insurgent warfare. A period of political subversion, that might
include terrorism, would lead into the guerrilla (Thompson calls it 'insurgent'
rather than 'guerrilla') period. Thompson's preferred strategy was to
concentrate on defeating the political subversion, but through a recognized
legal framework.15 Other analysts, like Robert Taber and Andrew Scott, have
used escalatory models of insurgent war that are not dissimilar to Mao's.
Taber envisaged insurgent war passing through set phases, and postulated that
both escalation to an insurgent victory, and de-escalation to insurgent defeat
were possible.16 He agreed with E.L. Katzenback's interpretation of Mao,
that the insurgents trade control of territory for time — for without time to
mobilize the population, insurgents cannot escalate the war into a higher
stage.17 In another attack on Mao's blanket prohibition on short-cuts, Taber
identified three categories of insurgency. First, there are those insurgent wars
where the insurgents, through a steady campaign, bring about a general
rising, or an overthrow, of the discredited government (e.g. Cuba). Secondly,
we find those wars fought in colonies, or peripheral territories, in which a
guerrilla war makes the running of the territory too expensive for the
occupiers (e.g. Cyprus). Finally, there are wars, like the Chinese civil war,
where the insurgents and counter-insurgents must fight to the bitter end of the
conventional war stage.18 Andrew Scott formulated a similar escalatory
model, in which an insurgency would rise and fall through various phases.
As with Taber's model, downward movement is as likely as upward.19
Among these writers and practitioners there is a general consensus that
insurgent wars have many parts, and that different issues are important at
different times. In this sense, there is not only an asymmetry between the
two parties to the conflict, but also an asymmetry between the stages in the
conflict. Following this premise, it is possible to identify four characteristics
of insurgent war, each being important to the conduct of the war at different
times and at different places. The diplomatic characteristic is the most
political since it involves international opinion and discussions between the
two sides before, during and after the war. The least attractive, but
nevertheless oft discussed, feature is terror, which involves the use of violence
to gain the support, or neutrality, of the population. The guerrilla
characteristic is most frequently associated with insurgent war; that is fighting
between lightly armed bands of guerrillas and the security forces (who control
the communication network of towns, roads, railways, sea and air). Finally,
there is the conventional feature, where the guerrillas have formed themselves
into conventionally organized units, and fighting occurs for the control of the
communication network.20
These characteristics can be applied to the escalatory model: an
insurgency will begin witii a period where diplomacy will predominate, as the
future insurgents attempt to involve themselves in the civil politics of the
country. As this becomes increasingly difficult they will gradually turn to
more violent means, until they no longer believe they can change the system
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The speed of the Dutch defeat taught the Indonesians that their colonial
masters could be overthrown, and that the pre-war nationalists had been right
to believe that the Dutch could be replaced by a native government.22 In
addition, the Japanese came to rely on local Indonesians to administer and
police the islands of Java and Sumatra. As a result, when the Japanese
surrendered to the Allies the Republicans23 had a body of trained soldiers and
the nucleus of a bureaucracy. When Allied troops landed in Indonesia to take
the surrender of the Japanese and to reinstate a Dutch colonial administration,
the Republicans were prepared to fight. Similarly, the Dutch, who had
experienced occupation and a government of collaborators, were unwilling to
negotiate with the Republicans. To the Dutch the Republican leaders,
particularly Sukarno and Hatta, were Axis puppets and traitors. Despite the
Japanese legacy, the Republicans were still comparatively weak. Although
unable to prevent the Dutch returning, they were able to resort to diplomacy
and insurgency in order to prevent the return of the status quo ante bellum.
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differences between the supporters of the moderate leadership and the more
radical groups, including the communist party (PKI), who wished to fight an
all-out war with the Dutch. The conflict between the moderate advocates of
Diplomasi and the radical Pejuangan came to a head on 18 September 1948,
when left wing units took control of the town of Madiun. The leadership
reacted swiftly, arresting the PKI leadership, and suppressing the Madiun
revolt with high loss of life. The crushing defeat of the revolt was a set-back
for the hopes of those Indonesian leaders who wished to fight the war as an
all-out protracted war along the lines of Mao's teachings, and strengthened the
moderate's control of the army. The removal of the left from mainstream
Indonesian politics also encouraged support for the Republic from the United
States and the United Nations.32
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CONCLUSIONS
The order in which each of the four characteristics of insurgent war
predominate in the Dutch-Indonesian war does not seem to favor the
escalatory model. To begin with, there was no real initial diplomatic phase;
it was the power vacuum left by the Japanese surrender that triggered the
insurgency. The terror characteristic did dominate the SEAC period. This
gave way, however, not to a predominantly guerrilla phase, but to the
diplomacy-dominated Linggajatti period. During the Linggajatti period
diplomacy was rapidly replaced as the dominant feature by the guerrilla
characteristic, until the Dutch reacted with conventional attack on the
Republic. The period of the first Dutch military action was by and large a
conventional phase with a strong subsidiary guerrilla characteristic.
International diplomatic intervention precipitated the diplomacy-dominated
second diplomatic period, although the guerrilla characteristic again came to
be as important as the diplomatic in this period. The second military action
was the period of guerrilla domination. Yet, before this could be allowed to
develop into a conventional dominated phase, international diplomacy and
Dutch political problems conspired to produce a final diplomatic phase that
ended the war. Thus the Indonesian war went through the following stages:
1) a terror stage;
2) a diplomatic stage;
3) a conventional and guerrilla stage;
4) a diplomatic stage;
5) a guerrilla stage; and,
6) a diplomatic stage.
While parts of the Indonesian war seem to fit into the escalatory model
— most notably the need for an initial propaganda/terror period, and the
development of a strong guerrilla movement that became more organized over
time — the phases of the war are at odds with the model. There are two
reasons for this: the role of international diplomacy, and the goals of the
Republican leadership.
The terror stage was rapidly moving towards a guerrilla dominated stage,
helped along by the large quantities of armaments left behind by the Japanese.
This development was altered by the intervention of SEAC, and the
willingness of the Republican leaders to negotiate. The diplomatic
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intervention did not stop tenor in the Dutch areas, but it did arrest the
development of an all-out guerrilla war, and allowed the Republican forces to
form a proper conventional army. After the Dutch conventional attack, and
the beginning of a large scale guerrilla war in the Dutch occupied regions,
diplomacy again prevented the war from following the escalatory model.
Without the cease-fire it is likely that the Dutch would have occupied all of
Java, and that a protracted guerrilla war would have begun. International
interests now guaranteed that the two sides would not be allowed to fight to a
conclusion without interruption. However, protracted guerrilla war was
escalating in the Dutch occupied areas, and the second Dutch military action
did finally produce an all-out guerrilla war in Java.
Although the Dutch were seeking a military solution, the Republican
leaders chose to put their trust in diplomacy. Allowing themselves to be
captured, the Republican leadership waited for international pressure to force
the Dutch to release them and give them their place at the negotiating table.
This trust in diplomacy by the leadership was not shared by the more radical
advocates of Pejuangan who favored a protracted guerrilla war along the lines
discussed by Mao. Luckily for the leadership the diplomatic campaigns they
waged were successful, and only after the controversial Renville agreement
was concluded, were the supporters of Pejuangan able to muster an effective
challenge to the policy of Diplomasi. In the end, it was Dutch vulnerability
to international pressure, and the acceptability of the Republic's demands to
the international community, that assured the primacy of diplomacy. In turn,
it was the primacy of diplomacy that ensured that the leadership of the
Indonesian revolution stayed with the moderates, and did not fall into the
hands of radicals.
The Dutch-Indonesian war demonstrated that international intervention,
and the exploitation of international opinion, can severely disrupt the
development of an insurgent war along the lines of the escalatory model. In
the cases of the Chinese and Cuban civil wars the warring factions did not
wish to compromise, and either the country involved was too large to give
intervention force (China), or there was a lack of international will to
intervene (Cuba). As a result, diplomatic intervention was at a minimum,
and the wars followed the escalatory model. In this case study the Netherlands
was vulnerable to international pressure, both sides exhibited a certain degree
of flexibility, and international opinion became deeply involved in the
conflict. Today insurgent wars are endemic to a number of smaller states
around the world. It is reasonable to assume that, through regional security
interests (eg. in Sri Lanka and Central America) and/or the willingness of
belligerents to compromise (eg. Namibia and the Philippines), many of these
wars will come to resemble the Dutch-Indonesian war more than the Chinese
civil war.
Therefore, a fourth type of conflict can be added to Taber's categories of
insurgent war: namely those wars in which there are regular diplomatic
interventions. This does not mean that the escalatory model is redundant. In
the Dutch-Indonesian war there was significant movement toward a complete
guerrilla stage a number of times during the war, particularly during the latter
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halves of the Linggajatti and Renville periods. The escalatory model serves
the same role for insurgency as Clausewitz's notion of absolute war did for
conventional conflicts; it is an ideal that is never quite reached.39 When
examining an insurgency we should bear in mind the escalatory model —
then look for the circumstances that make it different.
Endnotes
1. Carl von Clausewitz, On War (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1976), p. 483.
2. Mao did not use the terms "insurgent" and "counter-insurgent." I use them for clarity.
3. Mao Tse-Tung, Selected Military Writings of Mao Tse-Tung (Peking: Foreign Languages
Press, 1963), p. 212.
4. To Mao guerrillas are static forces.
5. Mao, Selected Military Writings, p. 213.
6. Ibid., p. 214.
7. Ibid., p. 214.
8. Julian Paget, Counter-Insurgency Campaigning (London: Faber & Faber, 1967), p. 27.
9. Che Guevara, Guerrilla Warfare (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1961), p. 75.
10. Ibid., Chapter one.
11. John Baylis et al., Contemporary Strategy (London: Croom Helm, 1975), p. 141. See
also Carlos Marighella, "The Mini-Manual of the Urban Guerrilla," in Robert Moss,
"Urban Guerrilla Warfare," Adelphi Papers, no. 79, 1971.
12. Chalmers Johnson, Autopsy on People's War (Berkeley, CA: University of California
Press, 1973), p. 49. See also Chalmers Johnson, "The Third Generation of Guerrilla
Warfare," Asian Survey 8, no. 6 (June 1968), pp. 435-47.
13. Johnson, Autopsy on People's War, p. 49.
14. Chalmers Johnson, "Civilian Loyalties and Guerrilla Conflict," World Politics 14, no. 4
(July 1962), p. 650. The basic ideas of the Guerre Révolutionnaire thinkers are reiterated
in Virgil Ney, "Guerrilla War and Modern Strategy," Orbis 2, no. 1 (Spring 1958), pp. 74-
5.
15. Robert Thompson, Defeating Communist Insurgency (London: Chatto and Windus, 1966),
pp. 21-49, 50-57.
16. Robert Taber, The War of the Flea (London: Paladin, 1970), pp. 44-58.
17. E.L. Katzenbach, Jr., "Time, Space and Will: The Politico-Military Views of Mao Tse-
tung," in Col. T.N. Green, éd., The Guerrilla — and How to Fight Him (New York:
Praeger, 1962).
18. Taber, pp. 46-7.
19. Andrew Scott, et al.. Insurgency (Chapel Hill, NC: North Carolina Press, 1970).
20. This list of the characteristics of insurgency is adapted from many sources. Andrew Scott
divided insurgent war into times when different forms of conflict predominated, which
included a political period. Mao mentions the use of different kinds of warfare at different
stages. The use of terror for mobilization is discussed by Thompson, Marighella, and Paret
and Shy Guerrillas in the 1960s (New York: Praeger, 1962), p. 34. John Baylis divides
insurgent war into what he calls dimensions. My characteristics of insurgent war were first
used in Lucian Ashworth, "Political and Military Factors in Insurgent Warfare: The Case
of Indonesia 1945 to 1949," (Dalhousie University, unpublished M.A. thesis, 1987), pp.
86-88.
21. Genevieve Collins Linebarger, "Indonesia (1946-9)" in D.M. Condit et al., Challenge and
Response in Internal Conflict, Vol. I (Washington: Social Science Research Institute,
1968), p. 275.
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22. Anthony Reid, The Indonesian National Revolution 1945-50 (Hawthorn: Longman, 1974),
p. 10.
23. In this article "Republican" refers to the anti-Dutch forces that grouped around the
government at Jogjakarta. They are the insurgents in this case study.
24. Anthony Reid, "The Revolution in Regional Perspective," in J. van Goor, éd., "The
Indonesian Revolution," Utrechtse Historiche Cahiers, Jaargang 7 (1986), nr 2/3, p. 192.
25. See Shibata Yaichiro, "Surabaya After the Surrender," in Anthony Reid and Oki Akira, eds.,
The Japanese Experience in Indonesia: Selected Memoirs of 1942-1945 Monographs in
International Studies South-East Asia Series, no. 72, Ohio University, 1986, pp. 340-74.
26. Reid, "The Revolution in Regional Perspective," p. 191; Ashworth, p. 30.
27. Robert Asprey, War in the Shadows: the Guerrilla in History (Garden City, NY:
Doubleday, 1975), p. 834.
28. Oey Hong Lee, "British-Dutch Relations and the Republic of Indonesia," Asian Affairs 7,
(February 1976). However, Sjahrir was not universally liked by the Dutch. See H.N.
Boon, Indonesische Dagboeknotities van Dr. HM. Boon 1946-9 (Houten: De Haan, 1986),
p. 22.
29. Ashworth, p. 54.
30. E.A.R. (monogrammed only), "Indonesia, Political and Economic Realities," The World
Today 5, no. 2 (February 1949), p. 59.
31. For analyses of the Renville agreement see Anthony Reid, The Indonesian National
Revolution; and Ide Anak Agung Gde Agung, Renville als Keerpunt in de Nederlandse-
Indonesische Betreklcingen (Alphen aan den Rijn: A.W. Sijhoff, 1980).
32. Ashworth, pp. 63-4. A smaller revolt in 1946, led by the veteran left-wing politician Tan
Malakka, was similarly brought to heel.
33. See General Spoor's telegram of 16 November 1948 to Lt. Gen. Kruls, quoted in Roland
Gase, Beel in Batavia (den Toren: Anthos, 1986), p. 284.
34. Reid, Indonesian National Revolution, pp. 150-51. Patra M.H. Groen, "Dutch Armed
Forces and the Decolonization of Indonesia: The Second Police Action (1948-49) A
Pandora's Box," War and Society 4, no. 1 (May 1986), pp. 83-4.
35. Time Magazine, 17 January 1949, p. 20.
36. George Kahin, Nationalism and Revolution in Indonesia (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University
Press, 1952), pp. 368 and 374; B.H. M.V. (monogrammed only), "Settlement in Indonesia.
The Final Stage," The World Today 6, no. 1 (January, 1950), pp. 27-8.
37. Boon, p. 148.
38. Gase, p. 286.
39. Clausewitz, p. 77.
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